Business Case and Intervention Summary Intervention Summary Title: Global Mine Action Programme What support will the UK provide? This programme will provide £30,000,000 support over three years (July 2014 - July 2017) to clear landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERW), and to reduce the risks posed by contaminated land, in up to eleven countries worldwide. Why is UK support required? The problem of landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERW)1 remains immense. In 2011, it was estimated that more than 4,000 people were killed or injured by landmines and ERW. Many people in post-conflict countries live alongside land littered by landmines, grenades, rockets and ammunition. This is a major threat to the physical safety of communities, denying them the use of agricultural land and the ability to access essential services, such as health and education. The presence of landmines and ERW hampers freedom of movement, prevents the repatriation of internally displaced persons (IDPs) and refugees and obstructs the delivery of humanitarian aid. Mine action is an essential component of the process to build stability and enable development following a conflict. UK funding for mine action saves lives. In the last three years alone, UK support has removed over 70,000 landmines and ERW; released over 10,000 hectares of contaminated or suspected hazardous land; and increased the awareness of hundreds of thousands of people through mine risk education. The UK also funds mine action to meet its international commitments. The UK is a signatory to the Ottawa (Mine Ban) Treaty, as well as the Convention on Cluster Munitions (CCM) and the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW). As a signatory to the Ottawa Treaty, the UK has an obligation to assist mine-affected countries to clear their anti-personnel (AP) mines. This new programme follows DFID’s 2011-2014 Global Mine Action Programme which concludes on 30 June 2014. The new programme will consist of two phases: Phase 1, which continues programmes in Mozambique, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, Sri Lanka, building on results achieved in the 2011-2014 programme; and Phase 2, involving scoping work and programme implementation, as appropriate, in other countries severely affected by mines, namely Burma, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Yemen and Zimbabwe. What are the expected results? The new UK policy paper on mine action published in November 2013 states that the goal of the UK’s mine action work is: ‘to build peace and security and support development in countries affected by landmines and ERW’. The paper outlines three core objectives of the UK’s future mine action work: Objective 1: Support landmine and ERW clearance and risk reduction in some of the poorest countries; 1 Unexploded weapons such as artillery shells, mortars, grenades, bombs and rockets, left behind after an armed conflict. Objective 2: Strengthen the ability of national partners to manage their mine action programmes; and Objective 3: Respond rapidly to emergency needs in humanitarian crises. Impact: Improved physical security and livelihoods leading to poverty reduction and progress against the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Outcomes: Fewer mines and ERW related injuries and deaths in the target countries, leading to increased personal safety; Target communities feel safer, leading to increased well-being; Formerly contaminated land used productively by target communities, and increased access to markets, leading to improved livelihoods; Target communities have increased access to basic services provided by national governments or NGOs; Effective mine action programmes increasingly managed by national authorities with minimal outside technical or financial input; Measurable progress towards Ottawa (Mine Ban) Treaty, Convention on Cluster Munitions and Convention on Conventional Weapons compliance. Some examples of anticipated results and benefits for countries within the programme: Marked increases in tourism and international investment in Mozambique as a result of measurable progress towards Mine Ban Treaty completion; Clear increase in range and impact of economic opportunities provided to poor subsistence farmers in rural Mozambique and on the border with Zimbabwe; Significant mine / ERW clearance in heavily contaminated areas in Vietnam leading to release of land for livelihoods and socio-economic development of local communities; 5 million m2 of land cleared per year in Laos from the effects of mines and ERW; 2 million m2 of land cleared per year in Sri Lanka in the most complex, heavily mined areas of the country; Increased employment opportunities in Sri Lanka, particularly focused on former combatants and women; 20,000 people receive mine risk education in Cambodia in the most at-risk areas, targeted towards those who need it most, in particular children; Improved management, prioritisation, execution and quality management by Cambodian National Mine Action authorities. Business Case Strategic Case A. Context and need for a DFID intervention What’s the problem? 1. The problem of landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERW) remains immense. In 2011, it was estimated that more than 4,000 people were killed or injured by landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERW). Furthermore, 59 states and six other areas, primarily in the Middle East, Asia and Africa, are still contaminated by landmines. More recent conflicts, such as those in Syria and Libya, present new challenges on a daily basis. 2. Many people in post-conflict countries live alongside land littered by landmines, grenades, rockets and ammunition. This is a major threat to the physical safety of communities, denying them the use of agricultural land and the ability to access essential services, such as health and education. The presence of landmines and ERW hampers freedom of movement, prevents the repatriation of internally displaced persons (IDPs) and refugees, and obstructs the delivery of humanitarian aid. Mine action is an essential component of the process to build stability and enable development following a conflict. 3. The UK has shown a strong commitment to mitigating the effects of landmines and cluster munitions2. The UK has signed and ratified both: The Convention on the Prohibition of the Use, Stockpiling, Production and Transfer of AntiPersonnel Mines and on their Destruction3 (the Ottawa Treaty), aimed at stopping the effects of landmines used against humans around the world; The Convention on Cluster Munitions (the Oslo Treaty), an international treaty that prohibits the use, transfer and stockpile of cluster bombs. As a signatory to the Ottawa Treaty, the UK has an obligation to assist mine-affected countries to clear their anti-personnel (AP) mines. 4. For over 20 years, the UK has supported some of the poorest countries around the world to clear landmines and ERW after conflict, building up considerable knowledge and experience in the mine action sector. UK funding has helped to save lives. Recorded casualty rates have decreased significantly over the past five years in part due to continued donor commitment. 5. The UK’s current global mine action programme, managed by the Conflict, Humanitarian and Security (CHASE) Department in DFID, is due to end on 30 June 2014 following extensions to some of the projects. The programme has provided £30 million to eight country projects over the period 2011-2014 to the Mines Advisory Group (MAG) and the HALO Trust in: DRC, Sri Lanka, Laos, Cambodia, South Sudan, Mozambique, Vietnam and Iraq4. DFID has also funded the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and the United Nations Mine Action Service (UNMAS), commonly referred to as UNMAT. This component of the programme has supported mine action work (capacity development and mine risk education) in ten mine affected countries, namely Afghanistan, Cambodia, Colombia, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Iraq, Laos, Mozambique, Nepal and Sudan. 6. UK support in the current programme has removed over 70,000 landmines and ERW; released over 10,000 hectares of contaminated or suspected hazardous land so that people can return to 2 A type of explosive weapon which scatters smaller munitions http://www.un.org/millennium/law/xxvi-22.htm 4 Other DFID priority countries which, to varying degrees, have problems with landmines and other ERW include: Afghanistan (where DFID-A has a significant mines programme), Burma, Kenya, Occupied Palestinian Territories (OPT), Pakistan, Somalia, Sudan, Yemen and Zimbabwe. 3 their everyday lives; and increased the awareness of hundreds of thousands of people through mine risk education (MRE). 7. A comprehensive independent evaluation of the impact and value for money of the current mine action programme and its strategy was finalised in July 2013 (http://devtracker.dfid.gov.uk/projects/GB-1-203746/documents/). It concluded that there were “significant benefits derived by mine-affected communities who benefited from DFID sponsored demining programmes”. These benefits were not constrained to reducing the risk of future casualties, but included other positive outcomes such as allowing the safe return of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs), improving livelihoods and attracting investment. The programme was found to have delivered good value for money for the UK taxpayer and a large, positive impact. UK Policy Paper 8. The evaluation, and a subsequent process of consultation, informed the development of HMG’s new mine action policy paper entitled: “Clearing a path to development: The UK Government’s approach to landmines and explosive remnants of war in developing countries”. The policy paper sets out the UK Government’s priorities and principles in tackling the threat of landmines and ERW in developing countries over the next few years. 9. The policy paper, approved by DFID Ministers and subsequently published in November 2013, states that the goal of the UK’s mine action work is to: ‘to build peace and security and support development in countries affected by landmines and ERW’. The paper outlines three core objectives of the UK’s future mine action work: Objective 1: Support landmine and ERW clearance and risk reduction in some of the poorest countries; Objective 2: Strengthen the ability of national partners to manage their mine action programmes; and Objective 3: Respond rapidly to emergency needs in humanitarian crises. 10. It highlights the following guiding principles: Landmine and ERW clearance and risk education activities are often the first step towards stabilisation and security, and are a fundamental precursor to development. Decisions about which land to clear and how to use cleared land can be politically contentious. It is vital that these decisions are well integrated into national and local decision-making structures and plans. Development does not happen automatically once land or infrastructure is declared safe for productive use. Mine action provides the space and opportunity to build livelihoods. National ownership is important. For work to be sustainable there needs to be strong leadership and management by national governments. Donors should work closely with national authorities to integrate mine action programmes into broader development plans, tackling issues related to conflict, governance and livelihoods. Mine action programmes should be designed and implemented in a way that takes into account the different needs, priorities, knowledge and capabilities of women, girls, men, and boys ensuring that they participate in, and benefit equally from, interventions. More effort needs to be invested in monitoring and evaluating the impact of land clearance and mine risk education to inform future programming. Donors can play a vital role in encouraging and improving coordination amongst mine action and stakeholders to increase the impact of programmes and funding. development Country Focus of New Mine Action Programme 11. As of October 2012, 59 states and six other areas were confirmed to be mine-affected; primarily located in the Middle East, Asia and Africa5. Of the 59 affected states, 36 were party to the Ottawa (Mine Ban) Treaty. A further 13 states had either suspected or residual mine contamination. As well as containing over 10km² of contaminated land, nine countries were estimated to have high levels6 of casualty rates in 2011: Afghanistan, Colombia, Myanmar, Cambodia, South Sudan, Libya, Somalia, Iraq and Sudan. A number of other states saw increased levels of casualty rates from 2010-2011: Myanmar, South Sudan, Libya, Iraq and Sudan. There is no credible estimate of the total number of mines in the ground worldwide. 12. Considering the scale of the global challenge, DFID will allocate its resources to those countries where we can have the greatest humanitarian impact and where we can add most value: principally in the poorest countries affected by landmines and ERW. To this end, we have prioritised country focus according to the following criteria: - Levels of poverty; - Casualty rates from landmines and ERW; - Levels of landmine and ERW contamination; - Gaps in existing donor assistance; - Development potential (following mine action activity); - Commitment on the part of the host government to address the issue; - Presence and capacity of national coordination body; and - Opportunities for integration into wider bilateral programming. 13. The presence and capacity of a DFID country office has also been taken into consideration. In the evaluation of the existing programme, our work was judged to be most effective in countries where DFID has an office and links can be made between landmines work and broader conflict, governance and livelihoods programmes. 14. Following extensive analysis of the above criterion, it was agreed to focus the new mine action programme in up to eleven countries worldwide: Burma, Cambodia, Laos, Mozambique, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Sri Lanka, Vietnam, Yemen and Zimbabwe over the course of the programme. The target countries for the new programme were agreed by DFID, the MoD and FCO in August 2013. 15. The new programme is proposed to have two phases: Phase 1: Phase 1 will consist of continuing programmes in Mozambique, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos and Sri Lanka. These programmes will be between 9-36 months in length and will build on results achieved in the 2011-2014 programme. As DFID has been funding mine action programmes for more than 20 years, we have sought to retain continuity where we have previously funded mine action and where continuity is both required and productive. It is expected that the projects will not be renewed following the end of the programme in 2017, as UK funding will either no longer be necessary; for example, in the case of Mozambique due to Ottawa Treaty completion; or as the country has reached middle-income status. Phase 2: This will involve more extensive scoping in six additional countries, as political conditions allow, for new or modified programmes in 2014 including: Burma, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Yemen and Zimbabwe. 5 6 www.landminemonitor.com 100 or more recorded casualties B. Programme Design 16. The proposed design of the country projects is in accordance with DFID’s policy paper on mine action7. Future projects to be funded by DFID will: i. Include demining tasks which have the greatest potential to: a. Reduce death and injuries; b. Enhance livelihoods; c. Increase peace and security, including human security; d. Facilitate humanitarian access; e. Allow the safe movement of mine affected communities; and Promote community engagement at every stage of the project cycle; Improve integration between mine action and broader humanitarian and development planning and operations; Support risk education where it is an effective way of reducing the threat of death and injury from mines and ERW; and Demonstrate value for money. ii. iii. iv. v. 17. As there is no “one size fits all” approach to tackling landmines and ERW, it is imperative that country projects are designed to meet individual country needs and priorities, and even regional needs and priorities within each country. The priorities and focus of activities in different contexts varies, as does the link with development and longer-term outcomes. Therefore, the selection of implementing partners (whether that is demining or capacity development organisations, or multilateral agencies) should be determined against the country context. 18. Over the last few months, DFID has undertaken technical analysis and scoping in the countries listed under Phase 1 of the programme; as recommended in DFID’s recent evaluation. This will allow DFID to provide clear guidance to prospective operators and set out precise expectations for programming. The scoping has provided a detailed assessment and analysis of the landmines and ERW context, as well as options for future funding following discussions with national authorities and all other relevant stakeholders. Phase 1 is expected to absorb around 45% of the programme budget: Mozambique Sri Lanka Laos Vietnam Cambodia Capacity Building Component £1,500,000 £1,600,000 £7,600,000 £2,700,000 The design and rationale of each country project under Phase 1 can be found below: Mozambique 19. DFID previously funded the HALO Trust approximately £3.43m for mine clearance work in Mozambique, 2011-2014. The project has been highly regarded for its work across difficult terrain, removing over 5,000 mines and ERW. The project was also highly valued by the Mozambique national authorities and the UK Government has been a strong and consistent supporter of mine action in Mozambique over the last ten years. Since the Northern provinces 7 Clearing a path to development: the UK Government’s approach to landmines and ERW in developing countries, November 2013. were declared ‘mine free’ in 2007 there has been a marked increase in tourism and international investment in the north. 20. The Government of Mozambique has requested a further Ottawa Treaty Article 5 extension to 31 December 2014 to clear all its remaining minefields. As Mozambique nears completion, the continuing support of the UK Government is required. In addition, UK support is needed to provide support to a national capability able to cope with the residual threat from 2015 onwards. The Government of Mozambique believes that a national ‘mine free’ status post December 2014 will lead to increases in tourism and allow international companies to invest further in the country. 21. Objective 1: Demining and Mine Risk Education (MRE). The scope of this project directly follows the priorities set out by the National Demining Agency (Instituto Nacional de Desminagem (IND)8. IND reports that there are 229 mine sites totalling 8.76km2 of suspected hazardous areas (SHA)9 remaining in Maputo, Manica, Inhambane, Sofala and Tete. The greatest remaining mine action challenge in Mozambique is the survey and clearance of mines and ERW on the border with Zimbabwe. The border minefields represent the greatest risk to people in Mozambique from landmines, and those most likely to be harmed are poor rural subsistence farmers, who are sometimes forced, by economic necessity, to take risks. It is recommended that a single demining and MRE project be funded by DFID in the provinces of Tete and Manica, following a request from IND. The project will run from 01 July 2014 until 31 March 2015 (9 months). 22. Objective 2: Capacity Building. It is recommended that a national mine action capacity development project be funded by DFID. IND have requested UK support to share their mine action management skills with the military, police, civil engineering and mining sectors so that there is an integrated approach across the government. Vietnam 23. In the previous project in Vietnam, DFID invested £3.42m through the Mines Advisory Group (MAG) from 2011-2014. The project focused on the clearance of unexploded ordnance (UXO), mine risk education and developing the capabilities of the national and provincial mine action authorities. Official US Government data shows that 14 million tonnes of explosive and incendiary bombs were dropped by the US Air Force and Navy during the Indochina War from 1965-73. What remains are deep buried bombs, cluster munitions, artillery shells and smaller items such as grenades. All 63 provinces are affected to some degree, however the greatest threat can be found in the four central provinces of Quang Binh, Quang Tri, ThaThien (TT) Hue and Quang Nam. Most of the current DFID mine action funding in Vietnam is currently focussed on Quang Tri province. Three projects are recommended over the next 36 months operating until 31 March 2016. 24. Objective 1: Demining and MRE. It is recommended that a single demining and MRE project be funded by DFID in the Province of Quang Tri. This is endorsed by the British Embassy and DFID Country Office. Not only is Quang Tri one of the four most heavily impacted provinces, improvements in its management of mine action should provide lessons on mine action efficiency and effectiveness which can be applied to the other provinces. 25. Objective 2: (a) National capacity development. It is recommended that a national mine action 8 IND serves as the Mine Action Coordination Centre (MACC): a semi-autonomous statutory body reporting directly to the Foreign Affairs Ministry, which acts as the National Mine Action Authority (NMAA). IND is mandated to coordinate and oversee the implementation of demining tasks, including quality assurance of contractors and information management for the whole mine action programme. 9 A Suspected Hazardous Area (SHA) is an area suspected of having a mine/ERW hazard. capacity development project be funded by DFID. The objective of the project will be to enable the National Mine Action Authority10 to direct and regulate mine action in Vietnam, and for the VBMACC to develop and oversee the VMAP more effectively. (b) Provincial capacity development. It is recommended that a provincial mine action capacity development project be funded by DFID. The objective of the project will be to enable the Quang Tri authorities11 to prioritise and manage mine action projects in the province more efficiently and effectively. Laos 26. In the previous programme, DFID funded MAG approximately £3.3m, from 2011-2014, for ERW clearance in Laos. This UK-funded project has cleared over 6.5 km2 of land and responded to over 3,500 requests to make unexploded ordnance safe and provided mine risk education to over 90,000 people. Most of the 2011-2014 DFID-funded mine action in Laos is currently focussed on Xieng Khouang. 27. Per capita, Laos is the most heavily bombed country in the world. All 17 provinces and 25% of all villages are affected to some degree, however the greatest threat can be found in the provinces of Xieng Khouang (in the north), and Savannakhet, Khammouane, Sekong and Attapeu (in the south). The future UK-funded project will place greater emphasis on land release using procedures other than clearance, and improving national governance. Three projects are proposed: 28. Objective 1: Demining and RE. It is recommended that DFID fund a demining and mine risk education project in Laos covering one or more provinces for 24 months to 30 June 2016. 29. Objective 2: Capacity Development. It is recommended that DFID fund a national mine action capacity development project in Laos. The objective of the project will be to enable the National Regulatory Authority more effectively to direct, regulate and coordinate mine action in Laos. The project will include the development of a national standard which sets out the processes and responsibilities to better integrate UXO clearance with national development projects; and the development of a centre of excellence in risk management. 30. National survey. It is recommended that DFID fund a national cluster munition contamination survey project in Laos. The objective of the project will be to enable the national and provincial/district authorities more effectively and efficiently to prioritise and manage mine action UXO clearance projects. Sri Lanka 31. In the previous programme, DFID gave funds to the HALO Trust of approximately £3.9m, from 2011-2014, in northern Sri Lanka. The current programme has had a significant impact allowing the re-settlement of 70,000 IDPs. Whilst contamination of land has fallen sharply, a landmine problem persists in the north of Sri Lanka. Furthermore, donor funding levels have decreased significantly from 2011 to 2012 by around 60%. 32. An additional £1.6m programme until 31 December 2015 (18 months) was agreed by DFID Ministers in November 2013 and announced by the Prime Minister during the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM) in 2013. 33. Objective 1: Demining and MRE: Three conflict-affected districts in the North: Jaffna; Kilinochichi and Mullaitivu, are the Government’s priority areas for mine action. The main task for UK funding The National Steering Committee, Standing Board and Executive Committee collectively act as Vietnam’s National Mine Action Authority. 10 11 The Department of Foreign Affairs and its PPC in Quang Tri. will be clearance of land to release it for livelihood opportunities, as well as schools and roads. As the Sri Lankan Government requested that all international demining operations leave by 31 December 2014 to allow the Sri Lankan Army to take over, DFID support to demining from January 2015 onwards will be sub-contracted to the local NGO DASH. DFID support to demining is needed therefore for 18 months. After 2015, demining will focus on medium and low priority areas. 34. In addition, UK support will support the mainstreaming of MRE into the work of the National Mine Action Centre (NMAC) and the national school system as well as the development of village-level MRE committees. This will be the final DFID-funded mine action programme in Sri Lanka. 35. Objective 2: National capacity-development: Given that Sri Lanka wishes to take-over all mine action tasks as of end of 2014, DFID should support capacity development of the NMAC and the local NGO, DASH. Efforts are needed to strengthen national capacity in a number of areas, particularly information management and quality assurance/control (QA/QC). Cambodia 36. In the previous programme, DFID gave funds to MAG of approximately £5.27m, from 2011-2014, for mine clearance. The current UK-funded project has had a major impact by clearing contaminated land for productive use and providing MRE benefiting 100,000 people. Cambodia is severely contaminated with landmines and other explosive remnants of war (ERW), the result of protracted internal and regional conflicts that ended in the 1990s. 1,915 km2 of Cambodia is still contaminated by mines and ERW. The most affected provinces are Battambang, Oddar Meanchey, Meanchey and Vihear. With many of the mined areas in the country's interior now cleared, demining efforts are focussed on the border minefields. 37. It is recommended that DFID fund a three year demining and MRE project in Cambodia to 30 June 2017. 38. National capacity development. The scoping study confirmed Cambodia's reputation as a wellmanaged and productive mine action programme. But the country remains heavily contaminated with mines and ERW, and further improvements in the management and execution of the programme are needed. It is recommended that DFID fund a national mine action capacity development project in Cambodia. The objective of the project will be to enable the Cambodia Mine Action Authority to more effectively direct, regulate and coordinate mine action in Cambodia. PHASE 2 39. Each of the countries in Phase 2 of the programme has a significant landmines and ERW problem and is a priority country for UK work to build stability overseas. For a variety of reasons, thorough scoping will be required in advance of any mine action investments to ensure greatest impact and value for money. DFID has a presence in each country and the offices are engaged in the scoping and will be involved in the oversight of any future programme. 40. Burma, Somalia, Sudan and Yemen each have their own issues of access, security and changeable political, social and economic dynamics. The political situation in each is fluid and the space to work on landmines may open up rapidly. With fewer donors present, UK resources may have the potential for significant development impact. Some preliminary analysis on mines contamination in these countries can be found below: Burma: Burma has the fourth highest mine casualty figures globally, and landmines were still being laid as recently as 2013. There is significant land contamination. At present no mine survey or clearance takes place, although the Government has set up the Myanmar Mine Action Centre. If political conditions allow, the potential for development impact through mines clearance is significant. Somalia: Somalia is littered with landmines, ERW contamination, improvised explosive devices (IEDs) and stockpiles of weapons, although the true scale of the problem is not fully known. At least 146 casualties were recorded in Somalia (excluding Somaliland) in 2011. DFID Somalia funds some community security activities, some of which is related to ERW clearance and weapons management. A larger investment in mine clearance could contribute to wider peace, stability and development objectives in the country. Sudan: In 2011, 122 casualties were identified in Sudan. Recent armed violence in South Sudan has added to existing mine contamination, and 10 out of 17 states contain possible contamination from landmines. There is over 260,000 km² of dangerous or suspected hazardous areas and minefields mainly located in Darfur, the eastern states, Blue Nile and South Kordofan. DFID Sudan has identified the need to address this issue as a priority in its operational plan. Yemen: In 2011, there was 94 child casualties. It is estimated that 11,200 km² are contaminated across the South of Yemen, though exact figures are unknown. Priority areas are Abyan and Saada; secondary areas of operation are Hadramout and Ibb. The government maintains complete control of demining activity in Yemen, which is carried out by the military. Any scoping work in the country will look at these issues and associated risks in this environment. 41. In South Sudan, while DFID has had a mine action programme, the DFID footprint has been limited, with only a small number of communities benefiting from the current funding. Nevertheless, all 10 states of South Sudan have a significant problem with landmines and ERW, challenges which have been exacerbated by recent outbreaks of conflict. If political conditions allowed an expanded programme in South Sudan, further scoping of a new approach (including new geographical focus) would be required. 42. We do not have an existing programme in Zimbabwe, however the Mozambique programme in Phase 1 will clear minefields in the border region and will only be for 9 months. It is therefore logical to scope out a mine action programme to clear the remaining mine affected areas on the Zimbabwe side of the border for Phase 2. Objective 3: Rapid Response 43. UK support for rapid response demining will be channelled through a pre-existing mechanism: the Humanitarian Rapid Response Facility (RRF)12. In 2012, DFID set up the RRF to support response within 72 hours of an emergency for up to 12 weeks. A number of mine action organisations are on the register of pre-approved organisations and can be deployed quickly to assess risk and clear landmines and ERW. The UK has a range of capabilities to respond to humanitarian emergencies based on need: either directly through our relief materials, or working through NGOs, the Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement and multilaterals. Monitoring and Evaluation 44. Monitoring and evaluation (M&E) forms an essential part of DFID's policy paper on mine action. M&E are critical tools for ensuring we achieve the best value from our programmes and also to generate evidence of which approaches work best. Monitoring tools will be designed to reflect the anticipated outcomes of country programmes. It is imperative we evaluate how effective UK mine action programmes have been in achieving real change on the ground. This will generate lessons 12 For more information on the RRF please see https://www.gov.uk/rapid-response-facility. for future programming for the UK and the wider sector. 45. M&E are critical tools for ensuring DFID achieves the best value from its mine action programme, and generates evidence to inform the design, development and implementation of future programmes and projects for the UK and the wider mine action sector. Monitoring performance should provide information to DFID to confirm that targets and milestones have been achieved (using lag indicators) and provide confidence that future targets and milestones will be achieved (using lead indicators). Monitoring should also provide information that will be subsequently used in programme evaluations and audits. An evaluation should provide information that is credible and useful, enabling the incorporation of lessons learned into the decision-making process of both donors (such as DFID) and recipients (such as national mine action authorities and implementing partners). 46. Critical issues to cover in monitoring and evaluating mine action programmes include: - - Identification of baselines using sex and age disaggregated data: against which progress can be monitored on an annual basis; Design of a monitoring strategy with the right feedback mechanisms to the programme so that activities remain on track, VFM is being achieved and lessons learned are being fed into operational plans, programme implementation and future programme design; Identification of outcomes on beneficiaries disaggregated by age and gender; Monitoring and evaluation visits to review progress and discuss emerging issues; Timely evaluation of the programme to inform future policies. B. Impact and Outcome that we expect to achieve 47. Through developing mine / ERW clearance, mine risk education and capacity building projects in up to 11 countries worldwide, we will expect to achieve the following impact and outcomes: Impact: Improved physical security and livelihoods leading to poverty reduction and progress against the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Outcomes: Fewer mines and ERW related injuries and deaths in the target countries, leading to increased personal safety; Target communities feel safer, leading to increased well-being; Formerly contaminated land used productively by target communities, and increased access to markets, leading to improved livelihoods; Target communities have increased access to basic services provided by national governments or NGOs; Effective mine action programmes increasingly managed by national authorities with minimal outside technical or financial input; Measurable progress towards Ottawa (Mine Ban) Treaty, Convention on Cluster Munitions and Convention on Conventional Weapons compliance 48. An example of some of the anticipated results and benefits for Phase 1 countries can be found in the table below: Mozambique Marked increases in tourism and international investment as a result of measurable progress towards Article 5 Ottawa (Mine Ban) Treaty completion; Clear increase in range and impact of economic opportunities provided to poor subsistence farmers in rural Mozambique and on border with Zimbabwe; 30 ha of confirmed high priority contaminated land in two high-priority provinces released for productive use; 90% of cleared land used for agriculture and infrastructure development; Over 75 findings of UXO safely destroyed; Employment of approximately 125 Mozambique de-miners and national staff; More mine risk education in the most at-risk areas; Expanded national capacity to manage residual threat. Vietnam Significant mine / ERW clearance in heavily contaminated Quang Tri province; Release of land for livelihoods and socio-economic development of local communities; and all requests by development partners for land clearance responded to; 150,000 beneficiaries from clearance activities; 25,000 household surveys completed in over 200 villages; 10,000 items of ERW removed and destroyed; Improvements in national management of mine action and land prioritisation process; 20% year on year improvement in the effectiveness of mine clearance nationwide; More mine risk education in the most at-risk areas. Laos Land cleared of mines and ERW: approximately 5m m2 of land cleared per year; Release of land for livelihoods and socio-economic development of local communities, in particular improved integration of mine action and wider national development; Sri Lanka 100,000 direct beneficiaries of clearance and community liaison work; 20,000 items of UXO identified and destroyed and thousands of requests to make ordnance and ERW safe are responded to; 20% year on year improvement in efficiency nationwide in land release 200 mine risk education sessions targeted to those at-risk, in particular children. Comprehensive national mines and ERW contamination survey conducted across Laos. Sri Lanka Land cleared of mines: approximately 2,000,000 m2 of land cleared per year in the most complex, heavily mined areas of the country. Complete clearance is expected in the district of Jaffna and near complete clearance in Kilinochchi and Mullaitivu districts; Better livelihoods opportunities: 15 km2 of suspected hazardous areas cancelled from Sri Lankan national database; and 80% of released land used for livelihoods and socio-economic development of local communities; Approximately 40,000 direct beneficiaries from clearance work; More mine risk reduction: in the most at-risk areas, targeted towards those who need it most, in particular children; Over 200 community visits by survey teams; Expanded Sri Lankan capacity for mine clearance; Increased employment opportunities, particularly for former combatants. Cambodia Approximately 5,000,000 m2 cleared by all teams and released to communities for livelihoods and socio-economic development; Better livelihoods opportunities: release of land for livelihoods and socio-economic development of local communities, in particular returning IDPs; Over 100,000 beneficiaries from clearance and mine risk education activities; 20,000 people receive mine risk education during 500 sessions in the most at-risk areas, targeted towards those who need it most, in particular children. 10,000 dangerous items safely removed and destroyed; 20% year on year improvement in efficiency of clearance; Improved management, prioritisation, execution and quality management by Cambodian National Mine Action authorities. UK Theory of Change for Mine Action Inputs UK funding channelled through mine action partners HMG diplomacy, advisory & programme staff time Accurate & upto-date data Activities Outputs Landmine & ERW clearance that targets vulnerable groups Land released following effective tasking & prioritisation Mine/ERW risk education delivered to target beneficiaries & linked to prioritisation & clearance Coordination between national authorities, mine action implementers, donor community & development actors Capacity building of national implementation staff & national mine action authorities Assumptions: -Security and/or political situation allows work to take place -Strong programme design Notes: Clearance = land release, including through clearance Affected communities aware of the risks of landmines & ERW & able to manage them & assist prioritisation Mine action more closely linked with wider development planning & implementation Capable & trained national staff & staff in national mine action authorities meeting identified needs Assumptions: -Assets not misappropriated -Security and/or political situation allows work to take place -MRE successfully targets those at risk -National authority has sufficient will & backing to improve -Trained staff remain in sector -Actors have incentives to coordinate & an effective mechanism is in place -Mine action coordination bodies willing & able to prioritise on the basis of vulnerability & development impact Outcomes Impact Target communities feel safer, leading to increased well-being Formerly contaminated land used productively by target communities, & increased access to markets, leading to improved livelihoods Target communities have increased access to basic services provided by national governments or NGOs Poverty reduction & improved physical security leading to better livelihoods & progress against the MDGs Effective mine action programmes increasingly managed by national authorities with minimal outside technical or financial input Measurable progress towards Ottawa Treaty, CCM & CCW compliance Assumptions: -Improvements in safety from mines & ERW not outweighed by other variables -Benefits of clearance accrue to intended beneficiaries -Land prioritised for clearance can be used productively by targeted communities -Complementary development inputs for targeted communities are secured -National authority has sufficient will & backing to improve -Security and/or political situation remain favourable -Implementing organisation able to prioritise on the basis of vulnerability & development impact & measure change against baselines Assumptions: -Benefits of clearance accrue to intended beneficiaries -Security and/or political situation remain favourable Appraisal Case A. What are the feasible options that address the need set out in the Strategic case? 49. Demining and mine risk education - Option 1: Provide up to £25.5m over three years through a country specific approach; providing direct funding to demining organisations. RECOMMENDED. - Option 2: Provide up to £25.5m over three years and route it through the UK Ministry of Defence. - Option 3: Provide £25.5m over three years and route it through the United Nations Mines Action Team (UNMAT). 50. Capacity Building - Option 1: Provide up to £4m over three years to a capacity development organisation through a competitive tender. RECOMMENDED. - Option 2: Provide £4m to UNMAT to undertake capacity development. 51. Monitoring and Evaluation - Option 1: Provide up to £500,000 to a M&E organisation through a competitive tender. RECOMMENDED. - Option 2: Conduct M&E internally. 52. Do nothing. OBJECTIVE 1: DEMINING AND MINE RISK EDUCATION - OPTION 1: Provide up to £25.5m over three years through a country specific approach; providing direct funding to demining organisations. 53. This option would involve the provision of £25.5m over three years to demining organisations in up to eleven countries worldwide (Phase 1: Mozambique Vietnam, Laos, Sri Lanka and Cambodia as outlined in the strategic case; and Phase 2: Burma, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Zimbabwe and Yemen to be detailed in due course). The procurement method would be modified according to the context and country in question. - Demining and Mine Risk Education 54. Those likely to compete for UK funds include international non-governmental organisations (INGOs) and / or commercial organisations currently working in the mine action sector. In most countries, the process of accreditation and licensing to work will limit the number of contractors able to bid for this work. - In Mozambique, the project would be completed by a single contractor, selected by competitive tender. As Mozambique has a clearance completion deadline of 31 December 2014, this contract would only be for 9 months (to also allow time for de-mobilisation). The National Mine Action Authority has specifically asked the UK to continue funding the work set out in the business case. - In Vietnam, the project would be completed by a single contractor, selected by competitive tender for 21 months. It is envisaged that the outputs and intended outcomes will be more challenging than those used in the existing single contract with MAG for Vietnam. - In Laos, operators for the project should be selected by competitive tender for 24 months. Ideally the project should be implemented by a single contractor, but the proposals may justify two separate projects. - In Sri Lanka, the project will be implemented through the provision of a competitive contract. The selected option is based on the assumption that the 31 December 2014 deadline for INGOs remains in place. The contract would be for 18 months but the 12 months in 2015 would be sub-contracted to a local NGO: DASH. - In Cambodia, the project would be completed by a single contractor, selected by competitive tender for 36 months. Proposals would cover one or more provinces. Evidence for the option 55. The option of funding demining organisations through a competitive tender is the most suitable model to meet the needs set out in the strategic case. This option will drive value for money and provides DFID with the greatest control over the design of the programme and choice of implementing partners. The results of the programme will be directly attributable to UK aid and it will ensure DFID retains influence over funding and the direction of travel. 56. This country specific approach is strongly aligned to the recommendations made in the recent evaluation of the existing DFID mine programme, and also with the new UK policy paper on mine action “Clearing a Path to Development”. Both documents stress the importance of ensuring a context specific approach to mine action funding, and using a procurement model which is fit for purpose. 57. Over the past two decades, DFID has developed a strong relationship with a number of demining organisations. They are often the best actors on the ground, with vast experience and expertise in mine action and with access to those areas most affected by landmines and ERW which most impede development. As there are often a number of operators working in the mine-affected areas of DFID’s selected countries, a competitive tendering process will allow a level playing field for these projects. 58. This option fits with wider UK priorities in a number of the priority countries. With DFID country offices and UK embassies directly engaged in oversight of the programme, we can ensure that there are direct links between demining and broader development and political priorities; another recommendation made in the recent DFID evaluation. In addition, this option is national government led, and in direct alignment with the support requested by national mine action authorities. 59. In terms of costs and administration, this option will not result in extensive transaction costs; only small costs to local NGOs in country to conduct MRE, for example. The option would ensure high levels of transparency and accountability with DFID having direct oversight of its implementing partners. In addition, DFID currently owns a number of assets in each of these countries; this option would allow a smooth transfer of assets, if necessary. Risks 60. The greatest drawback of this option is the programme management burden involved in managing a number of diverse contracts. A further difficulty with this option is that it involves a significant number of competitive tender processes in a challenging and technical sector where best practice on issues such as VFM continues to evolve. Mitigating Actions 61. To mitigate these risks, DFID has undertaken an internal analysis to understand the resource required to effectively manage this programme. On balance, the benefits of a tailored country approach, and the potential for impact, are felt to outweigh the programme management challenges. DFID will need to plan sufficient programme management capacity from the outset of the work to mitigate this risk. Through outsourcing other components of the programme (monitoring and evaluation) there would be more space to manage all the separate contracts. 62. In terms of the management of the tendering process, the risk of legal or reputational problems in this round is judged to be minimal, in large part due to the approach taken to undertaken significant scoping before deciding on the procurement method. Furthermore, technical guidance on a number of issues such as value for money in mine action has been commissioned and will accompany the invitation to tender. DFID has been open and transparent throughout the process of evaluating its existing programme and drafting a new policy paper, engaging heavily with all prospective operators, and will continue to do so as the programme develops. - OPTION 2: Provide up to £25.5m over three years and route it through the UK Ministry of Defence. 63. This option would involve routing the UK’s mine action funding over three years through the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD). DFID would develop a joint mine action plan with the MOD that would target the countries which DFID has already established as priorities for mine action. The MOD were consulted for consideration of this option. 64. Since DFID’s spend on this issue must qualify as official development assistance (ODA), this arrangement would require the MOD to send military demining experts and personnel into priority countries in order to train local civilian partners in mine action, thus mirroring the approach currently adopted by demining operators such as the HALO Trust and MAG. Military action itself including military-military aid does not qualify as official development assistance (ODA) and would therefore be excluded under this option. Evidence for the option 65. There are some advantages to this option. The involvement of the UK military means that it may be easier to provide security during mine action work in potentially insecure locations. The UK would also be able to present a more “joined up” approach on mine action across Whitehall. Risks 66. Humanitarian demining is not a (funded) military task and existing Ministry of Defence (MOD) resources; capabilities; utility and commitments do not lend themselves to such tasks. Furthermore, the advice from MOD is that their capability is unlikely to be as competitive as a competitive tender process for mine action. Capitation rates will reflect operators being soldiers, combat engineers or technicians first and then EOD specialists. This would not represent good value for money for HMG overall. 67. In addition, defence EOD and Search is a resource limited specialist capability with operational and contingent liabilities impacting on suitability, cost effectiveness and availability for humanitarian demining. Engagement would entail doubling/tripling-up on duties, at further risk, against tasks at home and operations elsewhere. Capacity is focused on non-permissive environments for force protection, freedom of manoeuvre and where there is an immediate risk to life. This requires operators to be soldiers first; C-IED, EOD and Search do not consider humanitarian mine action a priority; the environment and context are different requiring training and experience working to International Mine Action Standards, impacting further on cost effectiveness, utility and availability. There has been and there will be efficacy in military experts supporting post-conflict clearance, physical security and stockpile management (PSSM) tasks. However, this is always context-driven on a case by case basis. 68. There is an added risk that in certain countries the presence of the UK military would be viewed negatively, creating political obstacles to mine action that are not faced by NGOs, commercial operators or the UN. In many countries, access may not even be possible, for example in many of the Phase 2 countries. Moreover, the partners that DFID has worked with on mine action thus far have a significant base of institutional knowledge and expertise built up over two decades of work in this field. The UK military would need to build up knowledge and expertise in the countries from a zero baseline. Furthermore, other donors are likely continue to fund mine action organisations and we would risk creating duplicate or overlapping functions in the field. There are also components of the UK mine action policy paper that would not be operational under this option. The UK military would not be the best actor to deliver or manage mine risk education where it is needed; nor would it be able to operationalize objective two: to strengthen the capacity of the national government. 69. Furthermore, under OECD-DAC rules, the MOD would face obstacles to effective mine action when operating in countries where the national implementing partner is the military. Since military to military aid is excluded from the definition of ODA, the MOD would not be able to engage fully with countries in which the military is the principal partner in mine action. - OPTION 3: Provide £25.5m of earmarked funds over three years and route it all through the UN Mine Action Team through the Voluntary Trust Fund (VTF) 70. This option would involve delivering all of DFID’s funding on mine action over three years through the United Nations Mine Action Team (UNMAT, consisting of UNMAS, UNDP, and UNICEF). This would allow DFID funds to be spread over a range of mine action activities across target countries. We would therefore ask UNMAT to earmark our funds to DFID priority countries (particularly Sri Lanka, Laos, Cambodia, Mozambique, Vietnam, Burma, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Yemen and Zimbabwe) where we have decided to prioritise spend (as outlined in the strategic case). 71. Under the existing programme, DFID funds the UN agencies through the Voluntary Trust Fund (VTF). This remains the preferred mode of delivery for the UN in receiving donor funds. The aim of using this funding model was to reduce the transaction costs for DFID, by only managing one grant rather than three separate funding arrangements. UN Mine Action Service 72. The United Nations Mine Action Service (UNMAS) was established in 1997 as the focal point for all United Nations (UN) mine action activities. It is mandated by the General Assembly to coordinate the mine action assistance of the 14 UN agencies working to assist and support member states to implement mine action. At the global level, UNMAS coordinates the development of appropriate mine action policies and standards. At country-level, UNMAS is responsible for providing mine action assistance in the context of humanitarian emergencies and peacekeeping operations as well as providing resources for mine-action programs including mine clearance, stockpile destruction, mine risk education, victim assistance and advocacy activities. UN Voluntary Trust Fund (VTF) 73. Under the VTF, funds can be earmarked towards a specific country or project or be un-earmarked, in which case their precise use is not specified. The VTF is used primarily to finance the: - Conduct of assessment missions to monitor the scope of the landmine threat and the programmes established to deal with it; - Initiation of new mine action activities and programmes when and where required; - Bridging of funding delays in on-going programmes; and - Coordination and advocacy work of United Nations Mine Action Service (UNMAS). Evidence for the option 74. The UNMAT VTF enables access to a broad range of service providers and services through the Portfolio of Mine Action Projects presented annually. This option will allow DFID funds to be spread over a range of demining activities across target countries. We would also ask UNMAT to earmark our funds to a particular country or region. A key advantage of channelling earmarked funds through the VTF may be the ability to reduce DFID’s administrative burden (i.e., managing a single instead of multiple grant arrangements with implementing partners). The approach should also reduce the administrative costs associated with finding an implementing agency and following up field activities. Risks 75. The most significant disadvantage of this option is that there is a substantial management fee involved for UNMAT (anywhere from 7-20% and much higher than demining operators) and less of DFID’s money would be directed at the objectives outlined in the UK policy paper than if we funded demining agencies directly. The UN agencies do not conduct mine clearance themselves and instead would subcontract all of their funding to mine action operators. 76. As UNMAT does not actively link mine action to its development activities we would not be able to report the benefits from affected communities to the MDGs, as outlined in the theory of change. There does not appear to be a system in place to assess the cost effectiveness of UNMAS proposals received as part of the annual Portfolio of Mine Action projects. 77. The current arrangement with UNMAT has proven extremely costly in terms of administrative overheads (for DFID and for the UN agencies) and human resources. DFID’s Annual Review of UNMAT in December 2012 stressed that one of the goals of funding the VTF: “reducing the administrative burden on DFID” has not been borne out. These high costs were attributed to the lack of a common administrative and reporting mechanism among the different UN agencies receiving funds. 78. Another risk with funding through the VTF may be inefficiency. Under the existing arrangement, the time lapse between disbursement and the use of funds for activity in the field was long and an issue of concern. There was a perceived lack of transparency regarding the disbursement and exact use of funds and overall reporting. 79. More generally, problems with reporting have meant tracing the impact of funding UNMAT through the VTF has been difficult. Information on general expenditure and the ability to create a clear line of sight between the funding received by the UNMAT and the funds that have directly contributed to the benefit of individuals on the ground is difficult with the current UN annual reporting system. OBJECTIVE 2: CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT 80. The ultimate responsibility for addressing the mine and ERW problem lies with the government of the contaminated country. Donors and other international actors work with national authorities and civil society in mine-affected countries to fulfil this responsibility in ways that develop national capacities, ensure sustainability and encourage the sharing of information and good practice. The role of capacity development (and thus DFID’s funding of such work) is becoming ever more important as government institutions assume more responsibilities. - OPTION 1: Provide up to £4m over three years to a capacity development organisation through a competitive tender. 81. Under this option, the capacity development needs of each country would be headed up by a single contractor, selected by competitive tender. For each country there must be clearly defined capacity development outcomes and outputs, and the contractor must develop separate log frames for each country project. This contract would be over the course of 36 months and for a value up to £4million (for Phase 1 and Phase 2). It would initially cover those countries under Phase 1 of the programme but would be flexible to ensure it could be expanded to cover any capacity building initiatives under Phase 2 of the programme. Evidence for the option 82. In the existing programme, DFID has provided funding to UNMAT, and HALO and MAG, to undertake capacity development for national mine action authorities. For the INGOs this has run alongside their demining and MRE work. However, DFID’s recent evaluation of its mine action programme found that INGO’s were not the most suitable operator to deliver this work. The evaluation stated that “the capacity building strengths of organisations like HALO and MAG lie in training and mentoring mine action operational staff. They should not be required to deliver services aimed at strengthening management in governmental or quasi-governmental institutions”. The option proposed therefore is aligned to the recommendations put forward in the evaluation, as well as the UK policy paper on mine action. 83. There is often a conflict of interest in mandating INGOs to undertake this work as part of a clearance contract, as they are tasked with demining by the Government themselves. They are not always the best actor to undertake capacity building requirements, such as quality assurance and M&E assistance. 84. It is unlikely that any single contractor will have the knowledge and proven skills to conduct all the tasks in all eleven countries therefore they will need to sub-contract to other operators, where appropriate, to undertake the tasks outlined in the strategic case. This is a multi-skilled piece of work which requires one organisation to bring in a diverse number of actors and expertise. We may therefore encourage consortia (with multiple capabilities) to bid for the work. 85. A significant advantage of this approach is that one organisation would be tasked with transferring lessons from one country / region to another. It would also allow them to share best practice across all of the targeted countries; and additionally reduce the administrative burden on DFID of managing up to eleven capacity building contracts and eleven demining and MRE contracts. 86. It is likely that any management costs incurred under this option would be significantly cheaper than funding the UN to undertake this work which normally charge admin costs of between 7-20%. Similar projects undertaken by other organisations feature management fees of 5%. 87. As DFID has undertaken significant scoping in each of the priority countries, this approach would ensure a tailored outcome in each country delivering the specific outputs detailed in the strategic case. A competitive tender would allow DFID to drive down costs and best ensure value for money for UK funds. Risks 88. A potential difficulty with this option is that the relationship with the national government may be difficult in certain circumstances, and Phase 2 countries may well require the presence of the UN who is mandated to undertake this work. The most suitable actor on the ground to support the national government is often a multilateral agency who is already working closely with the national authorities in the field. 89. This option is a relatively new and innovative approach to funding capacity development work therefore there is a degree of uncertainty. Moreover, a disadvantage with this approach is the potential added transaction costs involved with up to eleven very different projects across eleven countries which may well require sub-contracting to a number of different actors. Mitigating Actions 90. It is envisaged that if and when the UN were found to be the best actor to undertake the national capacity work, then organisation who wins this bid would work closely with, or possibly provide funds to, the relevant UN country office. In terms of the transaction costs, we will ask for a clear line of sight in any project proposal and will not agree to any proposals with unreasonable costs. An assessment will be undertaken to assess the need of the intervention versus its relative value for money. - OPTION 2: Provide £4m to UNMAT 91. This option would involve delivering DFID’s funding on capacity development (£4m) over three years through the United Nations Mine Action Team (UNMAT). This would be a similar arrangement to the current Memorandum of Understanding with UNMAT, but with stronger provisions for monitoring and evaluation. The advantages and disadvantages of this option are broadly similar to Option 3 of Objective 1. Nevertheless some additional analysis can be found below. Evidence for this option 92. The UNMAT has a specific mandate and responsibility to address the various challenges presented by mines and ERW, particularly long-term capacity development. The United Nations role in mine action is rooted in the UN Charter and further defined in UN resolutions, which consider “mine action to be an important component of United Nations humanitarian and development activities”. As such, the UN is often the most suitable actor on the ground to work alongside national governments to strengthen planning, coordination, data management and quality assurance mechanisms. 93. The recent Strategy of the United Nations on Mine Action 2013-2018 presented the common objectives and commitments that will guide the work of the United Nations in mine action. One of the four strategic objectives of the new strategy is to ensure that the ‘transfer of mine action functions to national actors is accelerated, with national capacity to fulfil mine action responsibilities increased’. The activities detailed include supporting affected states in developing and implementing national strategies; providing technical advice; institutional support and capacity building and supporting the development of national information management and data collection systems. Therefore this contribution would demonstrate UK support to the aims and objectives of the strategy which are aligned to the various activities outlined in the strategic case. Risks 94. Whilst the UNMAT (in particular UNDP) are often tasked with supporting national ownership of mine action coordination and management, they are not based in all of the countries that DFID wishes to support. For example, in Sri Lanka, UNDP have recently de-prioritised their work on mine action despite a clear need to further support the capacity and technical expertise of the Sri Lankan NMAC. Their presence in Cambodia, Laos, Mozambique and Vietnam is small. 95. A further disadvantage is that the impact of funding through the UNMAT is unclear. Information on general expenditure and the ability to create a clear line of sight between the funding received and the funds that have directly contributed to the benefit of individuals on the ground is difficult from the current UN annual reporting system. Moreover, as detailed previously, the management costs of funding the UN, are higher than we would expect through a competitive tender. MONITORING AND EVALUATION - OPTION 1: Provide up to £500,000 to an M&E organisation through a competitive tender 96. Under this option DFID would provide up to £500,000 through a competitive tender to outsource the monitoring and evaluation of the programme to an external organisation. 97. It is essential that this piece of work is: (1) independent i.e. those conducting the evaluation, for example, must be objective and not connected with the intervention under study; (2) be transparent i.e. results must be publically available; and (3) use robust methodologies which, if replicated, will produce similar results. The organisation would have a thorough understanding of the outputs and intended outcomes of each mine action project, as defined in the project contract and log frame. They would know the capabilities of the mine action contractor (or grantee), and the challenges/risks associated with the effective implementation of the project. 98. The monitoring and evaluation of the programme will require a team which includes technical expertise in demining. It is not technically feasible for DFID to conduct the evaluation as the department does not currently employ a technical expert in the demining field. The evaluating organisation should have proven experience in evaluating development and poverty reduction programmes for DFID, and should have access to world-class mine action experts. In particular, it should understand the concept of 'enabling development and poverty reduction'. An evaluation organisation should aim to determine, using OECD DAC evaluation criteria how successful DFID and its implementing partners have been in achieving the objectives of the DFID mine action policy “Clearing a Path to Development”. The evaluation should inform the development of future policy which shape the UK Government's approach to landmines and ERW in developing countries. 99. In addition, value for money can be ensured through putting the evaluation out to a competitive tender process. The estimated costs of the monitoring and evaluation component are relatively similar to the recently completed 2011-2013 evaluation of the existing programme, as the operator(s) separately would be collecting, analysing and collating the routine reports and returns provided by the mine action contractor. 100. The disadvantage to this approach is that the monitoring of the programme could be conducted internally and therefore is an additional cost of the programme. - OPTION 2: Conduct M&E internally. 101. As above, this option would incur fewer costs for DFID. However, whilst DFID has traditionally undertaken the monitoring of the existing programme, it does not have the capacity to robustly assess the bi-annual reports (often up to 100 pages) of eight country projects. The next programme will be working in up to eleven countries, with diverse programmes and differing needs in terms of capacity development. Furthermore, an internal evaluation of DFID’s Mine Action work could not be a truly independent analysis of the strategy. 102. If this work is not undertaken, the UK risks losing the benefits from developing its policy and programming on Mine Action with a full understanding of lessons learnt from the programme. DO NOTHING 103. This option would involve DFID deciding not to fund any further mine action at all. The benefit of this option is that it could free up funds to spend on other programmes. However this would be at the risk of significant humanitarian, political, and legal costs. 104. Humanitarian: For over 20 years, the UK has supported some of the poorest countries around the world to clear landmines and ERW after conflict, building up considerable knowledge and experience in the mine action sector. UK funding saves lives and recorded casualty rates have decreased significantly over the past five years in large part due to continued donor commitment. 105. The problem of landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERW) remains immense. In 2011, it was estimated that more than 4,000 people were killed or injured by landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERW). While significantly lower than the historical average, this is higher than in previous years, and on account of recent and new conflicts in countries such as Libya and Syria the trend is upwards.13 Furthermore, 59 states and six other areas primarily in the Middle East, Asia and Africa are still contaminated by landmines. More recent conflicts, such as those in Syria and Libya, present new challenges on a daily basis. 13 Landmine Monitor, 2012, p32 106. Many people in post-conflict countries live alongside land littered by landmines, grenades, rockets and ammunition. This is a major threat to the physical safety of communities, denying them the use of agricultural land and accessing essential services, such as health and education. The presence of landmines and ERW hampers freedom of movement, prevents the repatriation of internally displaced persons (IDPs) and refugees and obstructs the delivery of humanitarian aid. Mine action is an essential component of building stability and enabling development to take place following a conflict. 107. Direct UK support has helped achieve significant progress both in the clearance of over 70,000 mines and ERW over the past three years, as well as education of hundreds of thousands of people in communities around the world of the risks of mines and ERW. By doing nothing, we risk losing the progress that has been made and increasing the likelihood that ever greater numbers of people will be killed or disabled by mines and ERW. The negative humanitarian consequences of putting an end to the UK’s mine action funding are substantial. 108. Political: the UK has historically been a major leader in international mine action efforts, having been one of the first states to sign and ratify the Ottawa Treaty, thus committing itself to work towards securing a world free from the use and manufacture of, and trade in, landmines. This has delivered some major successes with fewer than thirteen countries today still manufacturing landmines, and a near-global moratorium on sale and transfer of mines. 109. Under the ‘do nothing’ option, the UK (DFID) will forego an important opportunity to influence international demining policy. UK influence has had a major catalysing influence in increasing the efforts taken by other states and civil society in mine action. There is a real chance that other actors will reduce their own interest in the issue, leading to a reverse multiplier effect and the fragmentation of the global consensus against landmines. 110. Legal: the UK is a state party to the Ottawa Treaty having signed in 1997 and ratified in 1998. The UK therefore has an obligation under Article 6 of the treaty to “provide assistance for mine clearance and related activities”. By deciding to do nothing, the UK would be in breach of our legal obligations arising from a major international treaty. 111. For all of the reasons outlined above, we feel that it would be extremely unwise to cease UK funding for such important work. Therefore, ‘do nothing’ has been rejected as an option. Mine Action Programme: Appraisal Case Options Objective 1: Demining and Mine Risk Education OPTION EVIDENCE RISKS 1: Provide £25.5m over three years through a country specific approach; providing direct funding to demining organisations. - Provides DFID with greatest control over the design of the programme and choice of implementing partners. - Results will be directly attributable to UK and will ensure DFID retains influence over funding and direction of travel. - Strongly aligned with existing UK policy on mine action. - Programme management burden involved in managing diverse contracts. - Difficult tendering process based on contested terminology. 2: Provide £25.5m over three years and route it through the UK Ministry of Defence. - Involvement of UK military means that it may be easier to provide security during mine action work in potentially insecure locations. - UK would take greater credit for its mine action work, and it would provide a credible form of employment for trained military personnel. - No appetite in MOD for humanitarian demining to become a military task. - MOD will be less competitive than NGOs: poor VFM. - Presence of UK military may cause political obstacles to mine action not faced by NGOs. 3: Provide £25.5m of earmarked funds over 3 years and route it through the UN Mine Action Team - Institutional value of UNMAS provides broad range of service providers through UN portfolio. - Potential for reduced admin burden on DFID given one rather than multiple grant arrangements. - Higher management fees Inefficiency and lack of transparency. Objective 2: Capacity Development 1. Provide up to £4m over 3 years to a capacity development organisation through competitive tender. - Aligned to DFID policy paper and evaluation. - UN and INGOs not the most suitable operators given conflict of interest. - Management costs would be cheaper. - Potential difficulties in working with national authorities. - Transaction costs due to working with up to 11 different actors across multiple countries. 2. Provide £4m to UN agencies - UN has mandate for capacity development. - UN Mine Action has no presence in some countries. - Impact of UN funding is unclear. - High management costs. Monitoring and Evaluation 1. Up to £500K to an M&E organisation through competitive tender. - Necessary expertise on demining that DFID does not have can be contracted. - External organisation can ensure independence, transparency and robustness of methodology. - Additional cost to DFID compared to conducting M&E internally. 2. Conduct M&E internally - Fewer costs for DFID - Capacity required to assess bi-annual reports for 8-11 country projects. - Technical expertise required in order to capture full lessons learned. DO NOTHING Do Nothing - Frees up funding for other programmes. - Significant humanitarian, political and legal costs. - Humanitarian: still 59 mine-affected countries and 4000 deaths a year. - Political: UK has been a leader on mine action. Doing nothing would forego influencing opportunities. - Legal: UK has an obligation under A.6 of Ottawa Treaty to carry out mine action work. B. Assessing the strength of the evidence base for each feasible option 112. In the table below the quality of evidence for each option is rated as either Strong, Medium or Limited OBJECTIVE 1 Option 1 2 3 Evidence rating Medium (limited for economic case14) Limited Medium OBJECTIVE 2 Option 1 2 Evidence rating Medium Medium MONITORING AND EVALUATION Option 1 2 Evidence rating Medium Medium What is the likely impact (positive and negative) on climate change and environment for each feasible option? 113. Overall this programme could have a positive impact on the environment and on communities’ ability to cope with climate variability and change if development following landmine clearance is climate sensitive. There are some risks to the climate and environment from travel and use of heavy machinery in demining operations. Categorise as A, high potential risk / opportunity; B, medium / manageable potential risk / opportunity; C, low / no risk / opportunity; or D, core contribution to a multilateral organisation. Option Climate change and environment risks and impacts, Category (A, B, C, D) C Emissions from air and road travel. Emissions from machinery used in demining 1 14 Climate change and environment opportunities, Category (A, B, C, D) C There are limited opportunities to share best practice and building resilience in natural resources management following landmine clearance as CHASE will be several steps removed from the implementation agencies. The proposals do not support any action other than demining. Given that a substantial evaluation has been performed of a previous stage of this project, it is disappointing that it did not produce more robust VFM analysis, results and recommendations, and that such great uncertainty remains in the economic returns on investment in mine clearance in familiar contexts. Of the five Phase One countries, data for a cost-benefit analysis is available for only two, and in one of those the data and analysis are not of sufficient quality to determine whether the benefits outweigh the costs. Of necessity, this data forms the basis of predictions of returns from this business case, although there are good reasons to believe these predictions will overstate the likely returns. 2 C Emissions from air and road travel. B There are opportunities to enhance Emissions from machinery used in environmental policy making and demining. implementation, sharing of best practice, and building resilience in natural resources management. 3 C Risk of explosion causing localised C Without supporting this programme landslide and disturbance. some opportunities to raise awareness of environment and climate issues affecting communities would be lost. C. What are the costs and benefits of each feasible option? 114. The costs and benefits of mine clearance vary significantly between contexts, and it is always necessary to carefully weigh the priority areas for demining within and between particular countries. In each case, clearance should concentrate on areas where the humanitarian and socioeconomic impact of mines is most severe. 115. The highest economic returns to mine clearance are generally expected where demining permits access to pre-existing assets, where the full value of the returns of the asset can be claimed. Such assets vary from critical infrastructure assets such as railways and electricity transmission lines (as in Mozambique) to existing housing permitting the return of IDPs (as in Sri Lanka). 116. Useful economic returns can also be expected where mine clearance enables new investment projects or development of scarce agricultural land, although the costs of investment and demining should be weighed together against the benefit stream (there is a risk that this will not happen if the costs of investment and demining are paid by different organisations). 117. Mine clearance should be scrutinised more closely when it is enabling access to land which is of questionable economic use. For instance, if demining seeks to release agricultural land in a country in which large amounts of uncultivated land already exists, there is good reason to investigate whether any particular benefits of the cleared land outweigh the significant investment involved. The benefits of demining are often higher when it is coupled with additional development activity that ensures that economic returns to released land are fully exploited. 118. Country studies were completed during the WYG International evaluation for Cambodia, Mozambique, Sri Lanka and South Sudan, all of which have programmes in the current business case (all except South Sudan in Phase One). Sufficient data is available to construct useful costbenefit analyses for Cambodia and Sri Lanka; for the other countries no more than a limited qualitative assessment is possible. 119. Whilst evidence on DFID programmes from a previous business case represents the best evidence available, it should be noted that if DFID has been able to successfully target the most cost-effective mine clearance interventions in the past, then the average benefit-to-cost ratio will be falling over time as diminishing returns set in (this is particularly true in Sri Lanka, where highreturn IDP return is largely complete). If this is the case, then the following case studies will be somewhat optimistic if used as predictors of returns over the next few years. However, if targeting of high-return opportunities is better in the proposed interventions than previously, it is possible that these estimates could underestimate future returns. Cambodia 120. The Cambodian CBA is based on the single village of Phnom Koy, where clearance has been intended to enable agricultural production on previously unsafe land. 83 per cent of the previous DFID-funded MAG programme was aimed at clearing land for agriculture, so whilst not a representative sample, this village represents the dominant rationale for clearance in this context. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 30,375 643 643 643 643 643 643 643 643 643 643 NPV of benefits NPV of costs Total revenues 30,375 6,458 940 5,871 9,583 855 7,920 9,583 777 7,200 9,583 706 6,545 9,583 642 5,950 9,583 584 5,409 9,583 531 4,918 9,583 482 4,471 9,583 439 4,064 9,583 399 3,695 Totals 36,728 56,042 Previous employment of 20% of benefits 36,728 44,834 Previous employment of 50% of benefits 36,728 28,021 391 391 391 391 391 391 391 391 391 391 30,375 1,034 1,034 1,034 1,034 1,034 1,034 1,034 1,034 1,034 1,034 Farm revenues cassava Farm revenue maize Total Costs Cassava input costs Maize input costs Deminin g service 3.5 hectares of land was cleared for four farming families (28 individuals). The key assumptions used are: An appraisal period of ten years. Quantified benefits are returns from agricultural production of maize and cassava. The balance of the crops is typical for Phnom Koy, and conservative (in terms of returns) for Cambodia more generally. A discount rate of 10 per cent is used. The baseline assumption is that those working on this land previously had no employment or income-earning livelihoods activities whatsoever. Given Cambodia’s unemployment rate of 0.1 per cent15 this assumption is unrealistic, but estimating the productivity of labour in alternative employment is challenging, since this data was not incorporated in the evaluation. Informal sector labour is likely to be underemployed, so that even if those who work on released land had previously had some employment, it is plausible that the benefits of that former employment could accrue to others once the land had been cleared. Alternatively, it may be possible for workers to continue some or all of their former livelihoods activities whilst simultaneously working on newly cleared land. This assumption is tested with sensitivity analysis, in which benefits are reduced by 20 per cent and 50 per cent to take into account possible alternative employment by those working cleared land. Additional health and community safety benefits are not included. 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,333 3,125 6,250 6,250 6,250 6,250 6,250 6,250 6,250 6,250 6,250 All values in US$. Total prior unemployment Previous employment 20% of benefits Previous unemployment 50% of benefits Benefit to cost ratio (BCR) 1.53 1.22 0.76 Internal rate of return (IRR) 22.6% 15.6% 3.1% 121. The benefit-to-cost ratio is high if previous employment of those working on agricultural land had no previous employment, or if all previous employment revenue accrues to other underemployed community members after the mine clearance. If workers forgo a revenue stream 15 Source: Trading Economics, 2012, http://www.tradingeconomics.com/cambodia/unemploymentrate. The World Bank estimated the Cambodian unemployment rate at 0.2 per cent in 2011 (World Bank Development Indicators). equivalent to 20 per cent of the revenue from farming cleared land, the benefit-to-cost ratio is still significantly above unity. However, if the forgone revenue stream is 50 per cent, project costs outweigh benefits under this set of assumptions. There is substantial uncertainty about the likely level of revenue forgone, and the 20%–50% range (or more) is plausible. Consequently, there is substantial uncertainty about whether the project will be value creating. The figures of 1.53 (as an optimistic scenario) and 0.76 (for the moderately pessimistic case of prior employment representing 50% of the after-project revenue stream) will be used later in the aggregated estimate of benefits under this business case. Mozambique 122. In Mozambique, mine action has prioritised restoring and protecting infrastructure assets (including railways, a hydroelectric dam and power transmission lines) and may enable new investment, although information on this is limited. Insufficient data is available to assess the benefit-to-cost ratio of this activity. It is important to highlight that more than 90 per cent of Mozambique’s arable land is currently uncultivated, so it is highly questionable whether clearing land for agricultural development would have significant economic benefits. Sri Lanka 123. The Sri Lankan CBA focuses on the resettlement of 47,804 IDPs from the Manik Farm refugee camp into their former homes, with access to their former agricultural holdings or other means of employment. Given that mine clearance is enabling access to pre-existing assets, we would expect a strong benefit-to-cost ratio. 124. The CBA assesses benefits on the basis of average earnings in agriculture, fishing and labouring. Since beneficiaries were all previously unemployed IDPs in camps, receiving food aid from the Government of Sri Lanka and IOM, it is plausible to assume that the counterfactual would involve zero earnings. Key assumptions are: Appraisal periods of one and ten years. Quantified benefits are usual earnings per profession, and do not include renewed access to road and rail infrastructure, which are likely to be significant. Gains to the government and IOM from no longer having to support IDPs in camps are not included, although these too are likely to be significant. Costs included are only DFID investment, which included mine action and limited shelter and livelihoods support for beneficiaries most in need, but do not include any additional relocation costs incurred by beneficiaries or other development organisations. These may well be significant, but perhaps less costly than providing comparable services to the IDP population in camps. It is assumed (conservatively) that each family of 3.3 people has one working member. Agriculture Fishing Labouring Other Unknown17 Total benefits Total costs 16 17 Resettled families 5,735 1,375 4,476 2,253 790 14,629 Annual earnings per family (LKR) 150,000 200,000 126,000 150,000 126,000 Annual total earnings (GBP)16 4,481,565 1,432,881 2,938,626 1,760,615 518,581 11,132,268 1,950,000 Sri Lankan Rupee (LKR) exchange rate: LKR 1,000 = GB £5.21; LKR 1 = GB £0.00521 Unknown due to survey inconsistency. 1 small division dropped from Kilinochchi, 2 from Mullaitivu. Unlikely to be much different from district averages. 1 year 10 years NPV of costs 1,950,000 1,950,000 NPV of benefits 10,614,201 71,741,638 Benefit-to-cost ratio 5.4 36.8 125. It is not possible to calculate an IRR for this project because it yields net positive returns within the first year. For the purposes of NPV calculations, it is assumed that project costs are incurred immediately at project start and that earnings are received mid-year each year thereafter. 126. The benefit-to-cost ratio is clearly highly favourable, especially when viewed over a ten-year horizon (as was used in the Cambodian example). The costs and benefits excluded from the calculation mean that the BCRs are far from precise, but since it is likely that excluded benefits would be substantially greater than excluded costs, the BCRs are conservative. The stark difference in BCRs between this and the Cambodia case should serve to underline the high variation in returns to mine clearance and the correspondingly vital importance of prioritisation in the overall process. 127. However, IDP resettlement is largely over, and demining from 2014 onwards will focus on land for livelihoods and other socio-economic development purposes. It would therefore be illegitimate to make projections for future returns in Sri Lanka on a similar scale to those in the previous programme. South Sudan 128. The purpose of clearance in South Sudan is to release land for use in agriculture and other livelihoods activities such as stone quarrying. At the time of the evaluation the programme had had limited reach (having cleared around 100 hectares, or 1 km2), and no data was available on changes in agricultural output or other economic benefits. Aggregate benefits 129. Here it is assumed that the benefit-to-cost ratio of future demining activities is similar to that of the Cambodian case study. The Sri Lankan example implies the very high returns gained from IDP relocation, which are no longer available even in Sri Lanka, and not applicable to other Phase One countries. The data could be criticised on the following grounds: There is good evidence that economic returns differ widely between contexts and types of land use, so there is no justification for expecting this very small sample to be representative. The evaluation of previous mine clearance identified this case study (along with the Sri Lankan one) as the most economically successful,18 which could imply that returns in other contexts will be lower. However, this may merely reflect the serious errors in their analysis, which overestimated economic returns. To the extent that prioritisation has successfully identified the areas yielding the highest returns in the past, it should be expected that economic returns will diminish over time as only lowerreturn opportunities remain. Optimistic Case Pessimistic Case Investment (£m) 25.5 25.5 Benefit-to-cost ratio 1.53 0.76 Returns (£m) 38.9 21.0 “[T]he clear successes so far in terms of community and economic impacts are in Sri Lanka and Cambodia, where population density and hence immediate pressures to use released land are greatest.” Mine Action Evaluation by WYG International, p16. 18 Conclusions 130. Given the limitations of available data, these figures should be given less weight than the following qualitative conclusions: 1. Demining activity can have highly favourable benefit-cost ratios in certain contexts, but that 2. The returns on investment vary widely, so expending significant effort to identify the most favourable contexts pays off. 131. Evidence currently available does not demonstrate whether mine clearance is value creating. However, wider considerations need to be taken into account, including the stabilising effects of mine clearance, and treaty obligations of countries relating to mine action. Cost effectiveness measures will be looked at as part of the programmes M&E. D. What measures can be used to assess Value for Money for the intervention? 132. The DFID approach to defining and measuring Value for Money (VfM) is the 3E model of effectiveness, efficiency and economy, while also considering cost-effectiveness in addition. 133. The preferred option involves partnering with demining organisations and multilateral organisations across up to ten countries. Since there is no “one size fits all” approach, value for money considerations will differ on a country by country basis depending on context. Metrics for measuring the VfM of specific country programmes will, therefore, be outlined in country-level programme documents and tracked through the M&E framework. 134. The supporting programme document will require the partner to report on value for money. The reporting to be provided by the partner will set out the progress against the indicators specified in the programme’s logical framework. This will help provide the evidence for the overall effectiveness of the intervention. There will also be project financial reports from all the implementers which will be used to assess VfM. 135. When considering the Value for Money provided to the taxpayer for the mine action programme as a whole, we will use the ‘3E’ model: i. Economy refers to the costs and quality of inputs and resources of an intervention (i.e. a programme, or the projects within a programme). Typical inputs for mine action interventions are international staff, local employees, vehicles, equipment, consumables, information, travel and accommodation. In some cases, such as information about suspected hazardous areas, the quality and availability of inputs are more important than unit costs, though costs can be easily assessed. ii. Efficiency refers to how well inputs and resources are converted into outputs. Typical outputs for mine action interventions can be assessed through the quantity of surveyed land, cleared land, communities briefed on how to reduce the risk of injury from mines and unexploded ordinance, post-clearance impact surveys, the development of national mine action standards and information databases, and the training and mentoring of national mine action managers. iii. Effectiveness refers to how far an intervention achieves its intended outcomes. Mine action outcomes tend to be local, such as enabling communities to use cleared land productively, and to provide safe access to sources of water, firewood, medical centres and places of education. Some outcomes may be more strategic such as enabling the construction, maintenance and repair of power lines, or the re-opening of provincial roads. iv. Cost-effectiveness refers to the degree to which an intervention achieves its intended impact relative to the inputs used. Mine action impacts tend to be strategic and long term such as: enabling a country, or part of a country, to be declared as ‘mine free’; to empower national mine action authorities; and to encourage greater national investment in addressing the residual threat of mines and ERW. 136. Countries frequently make use of a Landmine Impact Survey which can determine the level of social and economic suffering experienced by a given community resulting from the harm or risk or harm caused by mine and ERW hazards and hazardous areas. High, medium, or low levels of impact are identified. 137. These can be summed up in the following diagram which demonstrates the link between economy, efficiency, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness in the context of the programme’s theory of change: 138. Given the evidence available of very high variation in benefit-to-cost ratios (BCRs) in different locations, the greatest value for money benefits are likely to stem from improved prioritisation of clearance tasks. Inefficient landmine clearance in high priority areas is likely to yield significantly better value for money than efficient landmine clearance in low priority areas. 139. In some contexts there is political sensitivity about donor-driven prioritisation processes. Within countries it is therefore often not possible for DFID to determine clearance priorities. However, there are various measures that DFID can take to improve value for money through better prioritisation across the portfolio of clearance within this business case. 1. The capacity building component of this project will aim to improve prioritisation by national authorities, including by increasing the quality of economic appraisal used in this process. 2. DFID can offer technical assistance in the form of economic analyses of clearance options for the use of national authorities in prioritising action. 3. In countries where national authorities are interested in working together with donors on clearance prioritisation, DFID can actively engage in that process. 4. Clearance resources will be allocated to countries on the basis of the expected economic returns from projects prioritised by national authorities; those countries that identify greater opportunities for economic returns will receive priority access to resources. E. Summary Value for Money Statement for the preferred option 140. The economic argument for mine and ERW clearance is that a population that has been cleared of landmines and ERW are often at the first step towards stabilisation and security and therefore it is a fundamental precursor to development. Countries recover more quickly if they are supported during mine clearance programmes as most of those countries do not have the funds or expertise to lead on eradication programmes. They can also get back on their feet quickly are more able to get back on track with reaching development targets to achieve the Millennium Development Goals if supported. 141. Our chosen option will ensure accountability to beneficiaries, and transparency; and will place a focus on results, with emphasis on outcomes and the impact on the affected countries and communities. This option involves DFID contracting partners to undertake mine action work. This creates a series of VfM considerations for all stages of the process: selecting a contractor, monitoring performance, and evaluating the programme. 1. Selecting a Contractor 142. Contractors will be selected based on VfM of their proposals, i.e. those projects which are expected to use resources most economically, apply procedures most efficiently, achieve outputs most effectively, and are likely to achieve the required socio-economic outcomes and impact. 143. When drafting terms of reference for contractors, DFID will require them to propose projects which will provide VFM in achieving required outcomes and impact. In particular, the proposals should: i. ii. iii. iv. v. vi. Demonstrate that the contractor will ensure that the project inputs constitute an appropriate amount and quality of resources to enable the required outputs to be achieved. High cost items, such as the use of international staff and organisational overheads should be justified. Demonstrate that the contractor has access to accurate, reliable and affordable information. Describe how the contractor will provide a secure and safe working environment for its employees. Describe a project which adopts efficient operational procedures and processes. For example, grouping mined areas which are geographically close will normally be more efficient than clearing mined areas which are prioritised simply in terms of socio-economic impact but are geographically dispersed. Propose outputs which are specific, measurable, appropriate, relevant and time-bound, and which provide the conditions necessary to achieve the intended outcome(s) of the project. Describe how the outcomes will be realised once the mine action outputs have been achieved. It may be appropriate to conduct a formal risk assessment to identify the issues which may prevent the outcomes being realised, and propose mitigating measures. 2. Monitoring contractor performance 144. The monitoring of contractor performance is fundamental to VFM. Monitoring is required for three reasons: (1) to provide information to the contractor as a routine part of effective project management; (2) to provide information to DFID to confirm that targets and milestones have been achieved (using lag indicators) and to provide confidence that future targets and milestones will be achieved (lead indicators); and (3) to provide information to the contractor and DFID which will improve the VfM of future mine action programmes and futures. 145. Whenever possible, data provided by contractors to DFID should achieve all three purposes, i.e. information requested by DFID should also assist the contractor's routine project management and lead to a better understanding on how to conduct mine action more efficiently and effectively. 3. Evaluating the programme/project 146. A key requirement of DFID is the evaluation of programmes and its projects. This is likely to be carried out towards the end of a three year mine action programme, and aims to provide DFID with strategic lessons from the UK Government's investment in the programme and its projects. 147. The evaluation will draw on information provided to monitor the performance of the contractor (which tends to focus on how well the contractor has delivered the agreed outputs), but it will also apply broader research methods which aim to discover whether the intended outcomes and the longer term impact of the programme have or will be achieved. Commercial Case Direct procurement A. Clearly state the procurement/commercial requirements for intervention 146. As outlined in the DFID policy paper on mine action, no single model for programming can be applied in all situations. Country programmes will be designed to meet individual country needs and priorities. As stated in the appraisal case, the recommended option under the components for Demining and MRE, Capacity Building and M&E is predominantly through a competitive tender. 147. We will run the tender process in accordance with DFID procurement rules; and bidders will be asked to submit output-based budgets to ensure best value for money. Separate fixed price contracts will be offered for the selected countries, and may offer multiple contracts in the same country. Adjudication of tenders will be on cost; quality of their proposals; the technical expertise of bidding organisations; cost-benefit analysis; management experience; sound financial management and clear procurement practices. B. How does the intervention design use competition to drive commercial advantage for DFID? 148. An overall budget will be offered for a number of different countries, rather than a fixed price budget per country, which will be subject to open market competition. The competition for these contracts will ensure that DFID receives the maximum benefit from the available budget. C. How do we expect the market place will respond to this opportunity? 149. The pool of supplier expertise is niche, but we anticipate that a number of suppliers will be interested in the opportunities offered by this programme. Given that DFID no longer has MOUs in place with country governments it will be challenging from both a cost and time perspective for commercial organisations to obtain registration and tax exemptions. We therefore expect the majority of bidders to be INGOs, however our requirements will be set to ensure equal treatment of all potential interested bidders and we will be transparent as to the requirements that all bidders require to secure in order to operate within our mine action selected countries. 150. DFID have consulted widely on the new Mine Action policy and extensive supplier input has been received for our consultation process. We therefore expect a strong market response to the procurement competition. D. What are the key cost elements that affect overall price? How is value added and how will we measure and improve this? 151. Key cost elements relate to personnel, management costs and equipment. The significant variable between potential suppliers is the level of overhead costs they attribute to the projects and the efficiency and effectiveness of their methodology for mine clearance, MRE and capacity building initiatives. 152. The procurement process will call for fixed price proposals with payment linked to delivery of specified outputs. E. What is the intended Procurement Process to support contract award? 153. The new programme will be mainly implemented under an open procurement procedure. It will be imperative that DFID draws on experienced procurement and legal advice to ensure the procurement process is compliant with public procurement procedures and legal and reputational risks are mitigated. The proposed start date for Phase 1 contracts is 1 July 2014, by which time the current set of contracts will have expired. A swift turnaround will ensure there is no break in DFID funding and service provision. F. How will contract & supplier performance be managed through the life of the intervention? 154. Through project reports and audited annual statements from partners in accordance to the requirements of their contracts. Regular supplier performance reviews will be held with successful bidders reporting performance to DFID on a quarterly basis. 155. An independent monitoring and evaluation partner will be appointed to independently measure and assess the performance of the overall mine action strategy and the contribution of selected suppliers. 156. Annual reviews will include team members external to the lead programme team. Lead suppliers should respond in writing with an action plan of how they will address review recommendations in a specified time frame. Payments may be withheld until actions are taken, if deemed appropriate by the lead department. Key performance indicators and break points may be agreed in line with milestones set out in the logical framework to ensure each supplier meets specific requirements. Financial Case A. What are the costs, how are they profiled and how will you ensure accurate forecasting? 157. The total costs of the programme will be £30,000,000. An approximate breakdown of this funding, according to country programme and activity can be found Year 1 (2014-2015) Phase 1 Clearance, MRE Mozambique Sri Lanka Vietnam Laos Cambodia Capacity Building Phase 1 countries Phase 2 All activities Monitoring and Evaluation 158. Year 2 Year 3 (2015-2016) (2016-2017) Total 1,500,000 1,100,000 0 500,000 0 0 1,500,000 1,600,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 1,600,000 7,600,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 700,000 2,700,000 3,700,000 5,600,000 6,800,000 16,100,000 80,000 70,000 350,000 500,000 10,380,000 10,170,000 9,450,000 30,000,000 The majority of the budget is allocated to operational costs. These will be disbursed monthly in arrears. Where possible, fixed payment schedules will be linked to programme milestones. As long as the milestones are met, the forecasts should remain in line with the agreed payment schedules. B. How will it be funded: capital/programme/admin? 159. The funding for these activities will be drawn from the CHASE programme budget. The proposed budget can be funded from the current CHASE resource allocation for 2014/15 and 2015/16, and it has been confirmed that funds for 2016/17 and 2017/18 are available for this project. Management of the project will be by existing CHASE staff, so no additional administration or front line delivery costs will be incurred. 160. The Divisional Accountant and FCPD have been informed that this investment goes beyond the current CSR. When Ministerial approval has been granted, the Divisional Accountant will work with FCPD to put a proposal to HMT and obtain the necessary clearance, as required. C. How will funds be paid out? 161. The direct procurement contracts will be offered as fixed price payment schedules. Expenses and fees will be paid monthly in arrears,. The payment of fees will be conditional on meeting agreed milestones for the outputs of the project. All payments will be made on receipt of satisfactory invoices. D. What is the assessment of financial risk and fraud? 162. Financial risk and fraud is considered to be low. The fixed price contracts together with output milestones will ensure that funds are being spent where intended. 163. We will ask for assurance from bidders that they have rigorous internal procedures in place for procurement and accounting. Bidders will also be asked to periodically review systems in country to ensure that all procedures are being followed and that any weak areas highlighted by reviews are being addressed. E. How will expenditure be monitored, reported, and accounted for? 164. Detailed reports of expenditure will be expected to accompany each request for payment by partners. This will detail actual and forecast expenditure and state the level or balance of DFID funds held. There will also be yearly annual reviews of the programme and a request for annual audited statements. 165. DFID has a zero tolerance policy on fraud. Through close engagement with suppliers audit processes and scrutiny of their financial statements, DFID will ensure all spend is properly accounted. We will work with supplier to strengthen financial oversight, where required, and where fraud is detected we will demand repayment in full. Continued disbursement of funds will be contingent upon adequate financial oversight mechanisms by all suppliers. 166. Assessment of financial reporting will be done alongside technical reports detailing progress towards programmes logical framework. DFID will undertake an annual review of the overall programme at the end of each programme year which will include financial scrutiny. Performance will be managed as outlined in Section F of the Commercial Case. Management Case A. What are the Management Arrangements for implementing the intervention? 167. As the scoping for each of the countries under Phase 2 (Burma, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Yemen and Zimbabwe), cannot be completed in the timeframe required for Phase 1, an adjusted approval process will be needed for Phase 2. We propose that the approval process for Phase 2 will proceed as follows: 1. Programme Scoping 2. Drafting of Terms of Reference 3. Approval by head of CHASE and DFID Country head 4. Approval by Ministers 5. Procurement begins 168. The contracts for both Phase 1 and Phase 2 will have clearly defined outputs that should be met by suppliers or organisations as a condition of payment. This will be closely monitored on a sixmonthly basis by DFID. Annual breakpoints will be built into the contracts, enabling DFID to assess performance and to terminate or change the programme as required. 169. The progress of the programme at input, activity and output levels will be monitored by the CHASE Programme Manager. Six-monthly and annual reports will be provided by the selected suppliers to CHASE, highlighting all project activities during the reporting period. 170. Following contract agreement, the global logical framework will be further developed (draft attached) that takes into account all project activities and provides milestones against progress. Individual log frames will also be agreed for each country and for each component of the programme. The selected suppliers will be required to discuss the logical framework with DFID on a bi-annual basis and agree changes if required. The Annual Review will also be a key mechanism for reviewing progress and identifying gaps and challenges. 171. DFID has sufficient staff resources to provide proportionate management and oversight of UK tax payers’ funds. The Programme Manager will be asked to allocate time to liaise with suppliers on a monthly basis. This post will be responsible for programme management, including programme reviews and payments. All programme management activities will be carried out in accordance with the DFID oversight requirements. B. What are the risks and how these will be managed? Risk (RAG) Likelihood Impact Mitigation Fraud & Fiduciary Low Low Due diligence checks will be undertaken on selected suppliers or organisations as part of the contract process. They will be expected to have robust financial and audit procedures in place Delivery Low Low Underachieving and incomplete clearance of defined areas. CHASE will endeavour to select suppliers or organisations with a track record of delivering all outputs in a timely manner. Regular monitoring by CHASE and the independent monitoring and evaluation agency will track progress. Political Low Medium Risk of Disruption – many of the countries affected by mines and ERW have delicate political environments. These will be closely monitored, but are predominantly outside the control of DFID. Financial Risk Low Low Funds paid out to suppliers that do not have sound financial management e.g. through subcontracting is considered a low risk this will be mitigated by contracting procedures that ensure lead contractors are held accountable for financial management of all sub-contracted funds and have strong financial management expertise. Economic risk (that High Medium Competitive tender will require participants to returns are lower submit cost-benefit projections for their context; than projected) these will be used to divert funding to the areas with the highest return. Prior to Phase Two, DFID will conduct a further cost-benefit analysis to prioritise high-return contexts for greater funding levels. C. What conditions apply (for financial aid only)? N/A D. How will progress and results be monitored, measured and evaluated? 172. An independent monitoring and evaluation partner will be appointed to independently measure and assess the performance of the overall mine action strategy and the contribution of selected suppliers. Progress towards anticipated results will be regularly monitored, measured and reported against the overall logframe for the programme. A monitoring and evaluation strategy will be developed within 90 days of contract approval. 173. There will be two Annual Reviews and one Project Completion Report submitted for the overall programme. The annual review will draw on annual reports generated for each country, which will also allow for country level investigation of progress towards performance targets. The independent M&E agency will also be closely engaged. 174. Project implementing suppliers will report on progress on a six monthly basis (via short reports and regular meetings) with yearly annual technical and financial reports, including yearly externally audited accounts. 175. As we have requested additional (minimal) support and oversight from country offices, CHASE will organise regular meetings with policy leads across the programme. 176. In addition to monitoring throughout, we plan to undertake an external independent evaluation at the end of the funding period for the project. The purpose will be to assess the impact and effectiveness of the UK’s funding for the mine action in the chosen countries in terms of performance and the impact of its work on intended the beneficiaries. The evaluation costs will be met from CHASE’s monitoring and evaluation budget line; the report will be made publicly available. Logframe Quest No of logframe for this intervention: