Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative Answers – Table of Contents Summary.............................................................................................................................................. 2 Glossary............................................................................................................................................... 3 Uniqueness Answers Uniqueness Overwhelms Link – FAA Solves ........................................................................................ 4 Link Answers No Link – Only Limits Surveillance ........................................................................................................ 5 Non-Unique and Link Turn – States Are Limiting Now .......................................................................... 6 Link Turn – Plan Reverses Legal Uncertainty ....................................................................................... 7 Internal Link Answers No Internal Link – Industry Hype ........................................................................................................... 8 No Internal Link – Drone Industry Resilient ........................................................................................... 9 Impact Answers Impact Turn – Aerospace Lobby Blocks Deficit Recovery .................................................................. 10 1|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division Summary Answers to this disadvantage is very diverse, and a tactical Affirmative team would need to choose which arguments to read. Many of these arguments cannot be read together, so reading through the entire packet to fill speech time is not an encouraged tactic. The possible responses here include attacks on the role of the status quo. One such argument suggests that the drone industry is now so strong that the plan’s impact would be insignificant. Another argument suggests that the drone industry is going to collapse due to state limitations anyway. One can easily see how these two arguments, while both Affirmative responses, cannot be argued simultaneously. Other examples exists in this packet, but that’s for the debater to figure out. The debate could also center on whether or not the plan would hurt or help the drone industry. There are both defensive and offensive answers here. Lastly, there are arguments that attack the importance of both the drone industry and the aerospace industry. These include arguments that suggest the Negative evidence is biased, as well as arguments that these industries are actually bad for the economy. 2|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division Glossary Aeronautics/Aerospace Industry – An industry that focuses on all aircraft, spacecraft, and associated technological industries. FAA (Federal Aviation Administration) – A branch of the U.S. Department of Transportation that has the authority to regulate all aspects of U.S. civil (non-military) aviation. Nascent – Just coming into existence and beginning to display signs of future potential. Paranoia – A thought process believed to be heavily influenced by anxiety or fear, often to the point of irrationality and delusion. Political Gridlock – A situation when there is difficulty of passing laws in a legislature because the votes for and against a proposed law are evenly divided, or in which two legislative houses, or the executive branch and the legislature are controlled by different political parties, or otherwise cannot agree. UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) – Commonly known as a drone, and also referred to as an unpiloted aerial vehicle and a remotely piloted aircraft (RPA), is an aircraft without a human pilot aboard. Its flight is controlled either autonomously by onboard computers or by the remote control of a pilot on the ground or in another vehicle. U.S. Department of Defense – An executive branch department of the federal government of the United States charged with coordinating and supervising all agencies and functions of the government concerned directly with national security and the United States Armed Forces. U.S. Department of Homeland Security – A department of the United States federal government, created in response to the September 11 attacks, and with the primary responsibilities of protecting the territory of the United States and protectorates from and responding to terrorist attacks, manmade accidents, and natural disasters. U.S. Department of Commerce – A department of the United States government concerned with promoting economic growth. The mission of the department is to "promote job creation and improved living standards for all Americans by creating an infrastructure that promotes economic growth, technological competitiveness, and sustainable development". Warrant (Search) – a court order that a magistrate, judge or Supreme Court official issues to authorize law enforcement officers to conduct a search of a person, location, or vehicle for evidence of a crime and to confiscate any evidence they find. 3|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division Uniqueness Overwhelms Link – FAA Solves [___] FAA regulations solve—safe drone use will be inevitable. Whitlock, 2015 (Craig Whitlock, Washington Post, “FAA rules might allow thousands of business drones”, http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/faa-releases-proposed-rules-for-domesticdrone-use/2015/02/15/6787bdce-b51b-11e4-a200-c008a01a6692_story.html, February 15, 2015) Thousands of businesses could receive clearance to fly drones two years from now under proposed rules that the Federal Aviation Administration unveiled Sunday, a landmark step that will make automated flight more commonplace in the nation’s skies. Meanwhile, the White House on Sunday issued presidential directive that will require federal agencies for the first time to publicly disclose where they fly drones in the United States and what they do with the torrents of data collected from aerial surveillance. Together, the FAA regulations and the White House order provide some basic rules of the sky that will govern who can fly drones in the United States and under what conditions, while attempting to prevent aviation disasters and unrestrained government surveillance. The FAA’s draft rules would make it relatively simple for real estate agents, aerial photographers, police departments, farmers and anyone else to fly small drones for work purposes. Operators would need to pass a written proficiency test, register the drone and pay about $200 in fees — but would not have to obtain a regular pilot’s license or demonstrate their flying skills. The long-awaited regulations — the FAA had been drawing them up for several years — are expected to lead to a revolution in commercial aviation. But they must first undergo a lengthy period of public review and comment that is projected to take at least until early 2017. Once the rules are finalized, the FAA estimates that more than 7,000 businesses will obtain drone permits within three years. Drone crashes during House committee hearing(1:15) Colin Quinn of 3D Robotics led a demonstration of a drone in flight during a House Science subcommittee meeting on unmanned aircrafts. 4|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division No Link – Only Limits Surveillance [___] [___] Surveillance is not the only usage of drones. Other sectors are key to the drone market Ballve, 2015 (Marcelo Ballve, Editorial Director for Business Insider's paid subscription research service BI Intelligence from late 2012 to early 2015. He is now research director at CB Insights, a data startup focused on venture capital and private companies. Ballvé is a graduate of Brown University and Columbia University's school of international and public affairs, “THE DRONES REPORT: Market Forecasts, Regulatory Barriers, Top Vendors, And Leading Commercial Applications,” Business Insider, 7/2/15, http://www.businessinsider.com/drones-report-market-forecast-2015-3) A growing ecosystem of drone software and hardware vendors is already catering to a long list of clients in agriculture, land management, energy, and construction. Many of the vendors are smallish private companies and startups — although large defense-focused companies and industrial conglomerates are beginning to invest in drone technology, too. In this report from BI Intelligence, we take a deep dive into the various levels of the growing global industry for commercial drones, or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). This 32-page report provides forecasts for the business opportunity in commercial drone technology, looks at advances and persistent barriers, highlights the top business-to-business markets in terms of applications and end users, and provides an exclusive list of dozens of notable companies already active in the space. Finally, it digs into the current state of US regulation of commercial drones, recently upended by the issuing of the Federal Aviation Administration's draft rules for commercial drone flights. Few people know that many companies are already authorized to fly small drones commercially under a US government "exemption" program. Here are some of the main takeaways from the report: The global commercial drone market will take shape around applications in a handful of industries: agriculture, energy, utilities, mining, construction, real estate, news media, and film production. Most growth in the drone industry is on the commercial/civilian side, as the shift away from the military market gains momentum. The market for commercial/civilian drones will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19% between 2015 and 2020, compared with 5% growth on the military side. E-commerce and package delivery will not be an early focus of the drone industry. Legacy drone manufacturers focused mostly on military clients do not have a natural advantage in the fast-evolving civilian drone market. 5|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division Non-Unique and Link Turn – States Are Limiting Now [___] [___] State regulations are grounding all drones now because of public outrage—federal action that mandates warrants reverses the trend. Sorcher, 2013 (Sara, Deputy editor of CSMPasscode, covering security & privacy in the digital age]; The backlash against drones; Feb 21; www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/the-backlash-against-drones-20130221; kdf) The Seattle Police Department’s planned demonstration of its small surveillance drones quickly devolved into a noisy protest. Angry residents attending the community meeting in October chanted “No drones!” drowning out officers’ attempts to explain how the unmanned aerial vehicles would support certain criminal investigations, help out during natural disasters, and assist in search-and-rescue operations. Now it’s clear that Seattle’s drones, purchased with federal grants, won’t be flying over the metro area anytime soon. Amid backlash from civil-liberties advocates and citizens worried about government invasion of their privacy, the mayor earlier this month tabled any drone ambitions—for now. Public concerns are not limited to Seattle. Lawmakers in at least 11 states want to restrict the use of drones because of fears they will spy on Americans, and some are pushing to require warrants before the robots collect evidence in investigations. Just this month, the Virginia General Assembly passed a two-year moratorium on drones. The outcry comes after the Electronic Frontier Foundation sued last year for a list of drone applicants within the U.S. When that information went public, staff attorney Jennifer Lynch says, “it really got people up in arms about how drones are being used, and got people to question their city councils and local lawenforcement agencies to ask for appropriate policies to be put in place to regulate drone usage.” Drones change the game: Nearly continuous surveillance could be possible without a physical intrusion such as a property search or an implanted listening device. The flying robots can carry high-powered cameras, even facial-recognition software or thermal imaging to “see” through walls. They can hover, potentially undetected, for hours or days at a time. As of yet, however, there are no laws governing the use of domestic drones when it comes to privacy. Unless Congress or the executive branch moves to regulate the robots’ use before they take to the skies en masse, states will likely continue to try to limit or ban drone use altogether, which could stymie their potential for other, beneficial uses. And failing to enact privacy limits only increases the likelihood of an incident in which the public perceives that the technology is being misused. 6|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division Link Turn – Plan Reverses Legal Uncertainty [___] [___] Legal uncertainty undermines the industry—plan reverses that. Rule, 2015 (Troy A [Associate prof of law @ Sandra Day O'Connor college of law]; Airspace in the age of drones; 95 B.U.L. Rev. 155;) Although drones have been around for decades, n2 recent advancements in drone technologies are fueling an unprecedented level of interest in these futuristic devices. A wide and growing array of ever-more-sophisticated drones is now readily available for purchase at hobby stores and on the Internet. Many of these drones sell for just a few hundred dollars and can effortlessly be controlled from ordinary smartphones. n3 Seemingly overnight, a domestic drones market that once catered primarily to weekend hobbyists is attracting journalists, real estate agents, wedding photographers, law enforcement agencies, and even delivery companies. Unfortunately, the United States seems ill-prepared for the complex legal questions and regulatory challenges that this massive flock of new domestic drones will bring. Within the United States, there are already reports of civilian drones crashing into buildings, n4 having hazardously close encounters with helicopters, n5 peeping into residential windows, n6 and being intentionally shot down. n7 Anticipating the potential benefits and difficulties associated with the emergent domestic drone market, Congress enacted legislation in 2012 instructing the Federal Aviation Administration ("FAA") to adopt regulations [*158] by September 2015 to facilitate the smooth integration of "civil unmanned aircraft systems" into U.S. airspace. n8 However, it appears increasingly doubtful that the FAA will meet that deadline. n9 And in the meantime, the agency is attempting to enforce a controversial moratorium on most commercial drone use. n10 To date, most of the scholarly n11 and legislative n12 activity relating to domestic drones has centered on the devices' potential impact on privacy rights and criminal evidence gathering. Regrettably, legal academicians and policymakers have devoted far less attention to an unsettled property law question that underlies these and many other domestic drone issues: Up to what height do surface owners hold strict rights to exclude flying objects from physically invading the airspace above their land? Legal uncertainty and confusion are likely to continue swirling around the domestic drone industry until courts or legislators clear up this basic property question. 7|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division No Internal Link – Industry Hype [___] Their link is just industry hype—plan won’t hurt the industry. Bernd, 2013 (Candice [assistant editor/reporter with Truthout]; The Coming Domestic Drone Wars; Sep 19; www.truth-out.org/news/item/18951-the-coming-domestic-drone-wars#;) States Push to Regulate Domestic Drones as Industry Pushes Back The Texas law is just one of many pieces of legislation placing restrictions on the use of domestic drones to be introduced in 43 states this year, passing in eight. Many of these state-level bills seek to require search warrants for surveillance drones used by local police departments, and at least six states have required warrants. In 2013, Virginia put in place a two-year moratorium on the use of drones by law enforcement to develop more stringent guidelines. Legislation restricting civilian drone use has passed in states such as Florida, Tennessee, Idaho, Montana and Oregon, but other states such as North Dakota have tried to pass laws that would ban weapons from domestic drones and have failed. But the industry is pushing back against privacy restrictions and regulations on civilian drones, saying the restrictions will hinder job creation. In Maine, Gov. Paul LePage backed up the claim by vetoing a bill that would have required police to obtain a warrant before deploying a drone, citing concerns it would kill new aerospace jobs. "We don't support rewriting existing search warrant requirements under the guise of privacy," Mario Mairena told the AP. Mairena is a government relations manager for the Virginia-based Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International (AUVSI), an industry group. The group's website boasts hundreds of corporate members, many of which are defense contractors. The group also has ties to the Unmanned Systems Caucus in Congress. Whether or not requiring a warrant in law enforcement drone operations would kill jobs remains to be seen, but the integration of civilian drones into the NAS would create a considerable economic impact, to be sure. An AUVSI report estimates that that the integration of unmanned systems in the U.S. will generate more than $13.6 billion and create 74,000 jobs within the first three years. But strong regulations of domestic drones in the states may prove especially important depending on what guidelines the FAA puts in place to integrate the technology into the national airspace by 2015, as some experts fear the susceptibility to co-option of unmanned systems by third-party operators could pose serious risks to domestic security. 8|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division No Internal Link – Drone Industry Resilient [___] The domestic drone industry is resilient—billion dollar industry. The money is largely dependent on the applications and not the drones themselves. Thompson, 2015 (Cadie Thompson, CNBC, “Here’s where the real money is in drones”, http://www.cnbc.com/id/102676023, May 13, 2015) The drone industry is expected to climb to a whopping $8.4 billion by 2019, according to ABI Research. But most of that growth won't come from selling hardware. Instead, it's all the applications and services on top of the hardware (sometimes literally), that hold the big opportunity, said industry experts. All about commercial drone services "Application services, data services, licensing and legal services—once you start adding all of this into the mix, the size of the marketplace starts growing very, very quickly," said Dan Kara, an ABI Research analyst, at the RoboUniverse Conference this week in New York. "The money to be made is actually in the application space to a large degree," he said. Companies playing in this space include those like PrecisionHawk—which combines unmanned aerial systems with information delivery and sensing technologies to enhance business operations for a slew of different industries—and Airware, a developer of drone software, hardware and cloud services. "So the services [offered by drones] are stored, manipulated and optimized depending on what you are looking for. It's then georeferenced and tagged in a way that you can access that data in the cloud," Kara said. "So really what it is not a drone delivery platform, it's actually an information services architecture." Last month, Airware launched an operating system for commercial drones to help big companies both scale their drone operations, and to help them adhere to safety regulations and insurance requirements. Read More Drone driver Airware ready to take flight "Big companies like GE, they can take a small consumer system, and they can take some pictures, but what happens when they need to use hundreds of them?" said Jesse Kallman, director of business development and regulatory affairs for Airware. "How do you do that safely and reliably? How do you do that at scale? How do you get certification for these types of systems?" Kallman said. "[Big companies] are not going to use this technology unless it's proven to be safe," he said. Read More FAA makes big step for drones Follow the money In total, VC funding in drone companies was more than $108 million across 29 deals in 2014, according to data from CB Insights. According to the research firm, Airware was the bestfunded drone start-up in 2014, having raised a total of $40 million from venture capital firms including Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers, Andreessen Horowitz and First Round Capital. Last month, the company also received an undisclosed investment amount from Intel Capital, which is also invested in PrecisionHawk. "It's a data play. We are going to sell servers and we are going to sell chipsets based on getting this new class of information that we couldn't get before in the same degree in the same amounts," Kara said. Traditional drone suppliers both in the consumer and military space are aware this is where the money is flowing and are all trying to get a piece of the action, he said. For example, more consumer-focused drone makers are adding more advanced capabilities, and military drones, which are typically single-purpose, are beginning to add more technologies so that they can be used for many different scenarios. "Every drone supplier knows this, they recognize this. So you see the military and civil guys moving down and adding new technologies and the prosumer folks are also upgrading their systems," Kara said. 9|Page Aerospace Industry Disadvantage Affirmative RIUDL Junior Varsity Division Impact Turn – Aerospace Lobby Blocks Deficit Recovery [___] Strong aerospace lobby blocks deficit recovery Reich, 2011 (Robert Reich, former U.S. secretary of labor 6/5/11 http://www.dailynewstranscript.com/opinion/columnists/x1360366511/Reich-The-military-industrialpolitical-complex#axzz1RoxpdPxL) Lockheed has also been spending more than $3 million a year on political contributions to friendly members of Congress. On top of this, Lockheed gives money to the Aerospace Industries Association to lobby for a bigger defense budget and support members of Congress who will vote accordingly. But we don't know how much because it's secret. We don't even know how much Lockheed is giving the U.S. Chamber of Commerce to lobby against the president's proposed executive order requiring disclosure of its political activities. That's secret, too. Don't we have a right to know? After all, you and I and other taxpayers are Lockheed's biggest customer. As such, we're financing much of this lobbying and donating. Lockheed's political activities are built into its costs. So when Lockheed contracts with the federal government for a piece of military equipment, you and I and other taxpayers end up paying for a portion of these political activities. It's one of the most insidious conflicts of interest in American politics. Lockheed is hardly alone in using taxpayer money to get fatter contracts from taxpayers. The 10 biggest government contractors are all defense contractors. Every one of them gets most of its revenues from the federal government. And every one uses a portion of that money to lobby for even more defense contracts. That's one reason the defense procurement budget keeps expanding. Next year's expected drawdown of troops from Afghanistan and Iraq was supposed to save money. But Lockheed and other giant defense contractors have made sure all anticipated savings will go to new weapons systems. Lockheed recently delivered a budget bombshell with a proposed tab of more than $1 trillion for a fleet of F-35 joint-strike fighter jets. That doesn't even include $385 billion that the Defense Department will spend to buy 2,500 of the stealth planes. Tom Burbage of Lockheed acknowledged that the "t" word, as he gently put it, "causes a lot of sensational reaction ... because no one ever dealt with 't's before in the program." That's an understatement. Congress is nonetheless willing to fund these mammoth projects as if the nation didn't have a long-term budget crisis. Brace yourself. In the wake of last year's Supreme Court decision, Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission, there's no limit on what Lockheed and other defense contractors can spend on politics. But why should you and I and other taxpayers pay Lockheed to lobby for the trillion-dollar F35 and support politicians who will vote for it? Why should we pay for the political activities of Northrop-Grumman and Boeing to come up with even more aerospace weapons systems? Or for Raytheon and General Dynamics to procure more high-tech weapons? Or for Blackwater and Halliburton to procure more private military contract workers? The answer is, we shouldn't. Over a half-century ago, President Dwight Eisenhower warned of the dangers of an unbridled militaryindustrial complex, as he called it. It's now a military-industrial-congressional complex. And after Citizens United, it's more unbridled than ever. 10 | P a g e