Nearshore Coastal Water Quality in Pegasus Bay, Canterbury July 2013 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality in Pegasus Bay, Canterbury July 2013 Report prepared for Environment Canterbury by Fiona Death Dr Olivier Ausseil Aquanet Consulting Limited This report has been prepared for Environment Canterbury by Aquanet Consulting Limited. No liability is accepted by this company or any employee or sub-consultant of this company with respect of its use by any other parties. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Context Environment Canterbury is responsible for the coastal environment of Pegasus Bay (from mean high water out to 12nM). A number of freshwater bodies including the Waipara, Kowai, Ashley, Kaiapoi, Waimakariri, Styx, Avon and Heathcote Rivers and Saltwater Creek flow into Pegasus Bay at various points along the coastline. Two wastewater outfalls from Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council also make point-source contributions to Pegasus Bay. Water quality and river flow were monitored by Environment Canterbury at locations on each of the above rivers. Water quality was also monitored at 10 beaches along Pegasus Bay, monthly between 1 July 2010 and 30 June 2011. This report was commissioned by Environment Canterbury in order to provide up-to-date information regarding the state of the water quality in coastal Pegasus Bay. In particular, the aim was: to analyse and summarise the state of water quality at nearshore and offshore water quality sites in Pegasus Bay, as well as at river sites that feed into Pegasus Bay; to determine annual contaminant loadings from rivers and wastewater outfalls into nearshore Pegasus Bay; and to quantify the contribution made by each river and wastewater outfall to the annual contaminant loadings entering Pegasus Bay. The above assessments were primarily focussed on nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus). Assessment undertaken The state of each river and coastal site surveyed monthly from 2010-2011 is presented with descriptive statistics, such as mean, median, distribution percentiles, standard error and confidence intervals, as well as relevant guidelines used here as reference points to describe the state of the resource. Principal Components Analysis (PCA) was used to compare all variables between the main stem rivers and coastal sites sampled, while a Spearman Rank correlation was used to compare survey data with that collected from the Regional Monitoring Programme to determine if survey results reflected a typical year. Annual loads were calculated for the survey sites for the year 1 July 2010 -30 June 2011. Inputs of total nitrogen, total phosphorus and total suspended solids from each of the rivers were calculated as a daily load (kg/day) and as a percentage of the total from all rivers. Results In terms of overall volumes, the Waimakariri River contributed 80% of the flow from all the rivers surveyed between 2010 and 2011. The next highest flows came from the Ashley (7%), and the Waipara (3%) with the remaining rivers and two outfalls contributing less than 1.5% each. Principal Components Analysis (PCA) showed coastal sites were similar to each other in their overall nutrient composition regardless of where they are located in the Bay. PCA analysis also revealed that most river sites were similar in composition to each other and to the coastal sites with a few exceptions. The main drivers of the PCA patterns appear to be total nitrogen, total phosphorus and dissolved reactive phosphorus for river sites and total phosphorus and total ammonia-nitrogen for coastal sites. All river sites except the Waipara, Ashley and Waimakariri had total nitrogen concentrations which were above reference guidelines (ANZECC 2000). Half of the rivers surveyed had average concentrations of total phosphorus which exceeded the reference values (ANZECC 2000). All rivers had ammonia-nitrogen concentrations that were within reference guidelines. The Kaiapoi, Ohoka and Cust Rivers had DIN concentrations which were above reference values; while the Heathcote River exceeded reference guidelines for DRP concentrations. All coastal sites were within the Canterbury coastal water reference guidelines for total nitrogen and total phosphorus. The Christchurch City Council outfall contributes the highest annual loads of DRP, DIN, TN and TP of all the sites sampled. The Waimakariri River is the highest river contributor for annual loads of DRP, DIN, TP and TN. The Waimakariri River contributes the highest annual load of TSS followed by the Waipara River. The Christchurch City Council outfall contributed the highest daily total nitrogen, total phosphorus and suspended sediment loads followed by the Waimakariri River. Excluding the Waimakariri and WDC and CCC outfalls from analysis revealed the Kaiapoi to contribute the next highest loads of total nitrogen; the Heathcote and Avon Rivers contribute the next highest loads of total phosphorus and most other rivers to be contributing similar daily loads of suspended sediments. The CCC and WDC outfalls combined contributed 49% of the daily total nitrogen and 66% of the daily total phosphorus, compared with 51% of daily TN and 34% of daily TP from the rivers. CONTENTS Table of Contents 1 2 Context .................................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Background ................................................................................................................................... 1 1.3 Aim and scope of the study ........................................................................................................... 4 Methods................................................................................................................................................. 4 2.1 Original dataset ............................................................................................................................. 4 2.2 Additional datasets ........................................................................................................................ 7 2.3 Water quality data preparation .................................................................................................... 10 2.4 Waimakariri River Sites .............................................................................................................. 10 2.5 Ashley River ............................................................................................................................... 11 2.6 Flow data..................................................................................................................................... 11 2.7 Data analysis ............................................................................................................................... 14 2.7.1 Descriptive and Exploratory Statistics ................................................................................ 14 2.7.2 Annual Contaminant loads .................................................................................................. 14 2.8 3 Water quality guidelines ............................................................................................................. 16 Water Quality State ............................................................................................................................. 17 3.1 Mean Annual Flows .................................................................................................................... 17 3.2 Nutrients...................................................................................................................................... 17 3.2.1 Total Nitrogen ..................................................................................................................... 18 3.2.2 Total Phosphorus................................................................................................................. 19 3.2.3 Total Ammonia-Nitrogen .................................................................................................... 21 3.2.4 Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen ............................................................................................. 23 3.2.5 Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus .......................................................................................... 25 3.2.6 Total Suspended Solids ....................................................................................................... 27 3.3 Comparison between Survey and Regional Programme data ..................................................... 29 3.4 Comparison between River and Coastal sites - PCA Analysis ................................................... 30 3.5 Annual Loads .............................................................................................................................. 34 3.5.1 Total Nitrogen ..................................................................................................................... 34 3.5.2 Total Phosphorus................................................................................................................. 35 3.5.3 Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus .......................................................................................... 36 3.5.4 3.6 Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen ............................................................................................. 37 Daily Nutrient Loads................................................................................................................... 38 3.6.1 Nitrogen .............................................................................................................................. 38 3.6.2 Phosphorus .......................................................................................................................... 41 3.6.3 Total Suspended Solids ....................................................................................................... 44 4 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................... 47 5 Recommendations ............................................................................................................................... 48 5.1 Site selection ............................................................................................................................... 48 5.2 Eutrophication issues in Pegasus Bay ......................................................................................... 49 Figures Figure 1: Pegasus Bay................................................................................................................................... 2 Figure 2: Water quality monitoring sites in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. .............................. 6 Figure 3: Map showing sites monitored monthly on the Waimakariri River from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2011. ........................................................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 4: Average Annual flow (log scale) for rivers surveyed from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2011. .......... 17 Figure 5: Total nitrogen concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the reference guideline value for total nitrogen concentrations (Table 4). .................................................................................................................................................................... 18 Figure 6: Total nitrogen concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference value for total nitrogen concentrations in Canterbury coastal waters (Table 4). ...................................................................................................... 19 Figure 7: Total phosphorus concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference guideline for total phosphorus (Table 4). . 20 Figure 8: Total phosphorus concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference value for total phosphorus concentrations (Table 4). ............................................................................................................................ 21 Figure 9: Total ammonia-nitrogen concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the reference guideline for ammonia-nitrogen concentrations (Table 4). ..................................................................................................................................................... 22 Figure 10: Total ammonia-nitrogen concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference value for ammonia-nitrogen concentrations (Table 4). ............................................................................................................................ 22 Figure 11: Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed lines represent reference guidelines for un-enriched (red), low level of enrichment (orange), moderately enriched (green) and enriched (blue) river systems (Table 4). .......... 24 Figure 12: Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. ............................................................................................................... 24 Figure 13: Dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP) concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed lines represent recommended guidelines (Table 4)....................... 26 Figure 14: Dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP) concentrations for coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference guideline for DRP (Table 4). ..................................................................................................................................................... 26 Figure 15: Total suspended solid concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. ................................................................................................................................................... 28 Figure 16: Total suspended solid concentrations for coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. .............................................................................................................................................. 28 Figure 17: Box plots of total nitrogen and total phosphorus data collected at a selection of rivers during Environment Canterbury’s Regional Monitoring (2000-2012). The red line represents the monthly total nitrogen or total phosphorus concentration based on data collected monthly from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2011. ........................................................................................................................................................... 29 Figure 18: Plot of Axis 1 against Axis 2 from a Principal Components Analysis for all river and coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011.......................................................................................... 30 Figure 19: Plot of Axis 1 against Axis 2 from a Principal Components Analysis for averages of all river and coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011 ....................................................................... 31 Figure 20: Cluster analysis for river and coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. ............ 32 Figure 21: Plot of axis 1 against axis 2 from a Principal Components Analysis for all coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. ............................................................................................................... 33 Figure 22: Cluster analysis for coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. ........................... 33 Figure 23: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of total nitrogen for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. .......................................................... 34 Figure 24: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of total phosphorus for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. .......................................................... 35 Figure 25: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of dissolved reactive phosphorus for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. ................................. 36 Figure 26: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of dissolved inorganic nitrogen for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. ...................................... 37 Figure 27: Total nitrogen inputs (kg/day) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. ................................................................................................................................................... 39 Figure 28: Total nitrogen inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. ............................................................................................................... 39 Figure 29: Total nitrogen inputs (kg/day) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. .................................................................................................................................................... 40 Figure 30: Total nitrogen inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. .......................................................................................................................... 40 Figure 31: Total phosphorus inputs (kg/day) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. .............................................................................................................................................. 42 Figure 32: Total phosphorus inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. ............................................................................................................... 42 Figure 33: Total Phosphorus inputs (kg/day) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. ..................................................................................................................................................... 43 Figure 34: Total phosphorus inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls. .......................................................................................................................................... 43 Figure 35: Total suspended solid inputs (kg/day) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. .................................................................................................................................. 45 Figure 36: Total suspended solid inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. ................................................................................................. 45 Figure 37: Total suspended solids inputs (kg/day) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River and the Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. .......................................................................................................................... 46 Figure 38: Total suspended solid inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, the Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. ................................................................................................................... 46 Tables Table 1: Pegasus Bay River and Coastal sites monitored monthly between 1 July 2010 and 30 June 2011. ...................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Table 2: Summary of the water quality and flow data used in the 2010-2011 study on Pegasus Bay. Phys-Chem: Physico-chemical parameters (eg. temperature, pH, conductivity and dissolved oxygen). Nutrients comprise nitrogens, phosphorus, dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP). ..................................... 8 Table 3: Summary of the flow data accepted or rejected for use in the 2010-2011 study on Pegasus Bay. .................................................................................................................................................................... 13 Table 4: Summary of the reference guidelines used in assessing the state of rivers and coastal sites surveyed in Pegasus Bay from 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. ...................................................................... 16 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 1 Context 1.1 Introduction Environment Canterbury is responsible for the coastal environment of Pegasus Bay (from mean high water out to 12nM). A number of freshwater bodies including the Waipara, Kowai, Ashley, Kaiapoi, Waimakariri, Styx, Avon and Heathcote Rivers and Saltwater Creek flow into Pegasus Bay at various points along the coastline. Wastewater from both the Waimakariri District and Christchurch City also enter the bay via ocean outfalls. Inputs of contaminants, in the form of nutrients, sediment, microorganisms from all of these sources have the potential to adversely affect the water quality of coastal Pegasus Bay. Environment Canterbury has monitored water quality and flow at locations on each of the above rivers (as close to the coast as possible but without being affected by tidal influence); as well as at 10 beaches along Pegasus Bay. These data were collected monthly between 1 July 2010 and 30 June 2011. Furthermore, Consent conditions for the Waimakariri District Council (WDC) and Christchurch City Council (CCC) wastewater discharges also require monitoring of water quality and flow. This report was commissioned by Environment Canterbury in order to provide up-to-date information regarding the state of the water quality in coastal Pegasus Bay. 1.2 Background Pegasus Bay is a gently curved coastline some 50 km long (Figure 1). The bay runs essentially southnorth from Banks Peninsula to north of the Waipara River mouth. Banks Peninsula to the South and the cliffs and shores of the Teviotdale Hills north of the Waipara River to the North, create the embayment. The Pegasus Bay shoreline consists of sand and gravel beaches. The sediment making up the beaches changes along the bay from sand and fine gravels in the north to medium and fine sands in the south. Seaward of the intertidal beaches the seabed slopes to a depth of 5 m at a distance of around 700 m to 1.9 km from shore. The 10 m depth contour is 4 – 10 km from the shore (NZ chart 63). 1 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Figure 1: Pegasus Bay The nearshore Pegasus Bay is a high energy environment. Wind waves and ocean swells from the northeast, east and south east, generated over long fetches, average 1 m in height (range 0.3 – 2.6 m) and deep water waves may potentially attain heights of 4.9 – 6.6 m (Fenwick, 1999). Wind waves are predominantly from the north-east in summer and from the south-east in winter. Water movement in Pegasus Bay is influenced by the large scale coastal circulation process of the Southland Current in combination with the influence of tides, wind and waves (Miller et al., 2004). The Southland Current flows northward along the east coast of the South Island. However, episodic eddies 2 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury from the Southland Current do occur in Pegasus Bay (Reynolds-Fleming and Fleming, 2005). Nearshore, current flow is predominantly aligned with the shoreline and the majority of the time the current is a uniform northward or southward flow. The tides play a major role in controlling current direction with the current in the lower half of the water column reversing in phase with the tides (Cox and Hudson, 2003). Wind influences the direction of surface water currents in Pegasus Bay. However, as the wind energy is not equitably distributed in Pegasus Bay current variations do occur (Miller et al., 2004). The water plume that leaves the Estuary of the Heathcote and Avon Rivers/Ihutaiu, as the tide is ebbing, flows either north or south. Data collected by Environment Canterbury indicates that this plume influences water quality at the waters’ edge and out to at least 300 m from shore (the length of the New Brighton Pier) to at least 6.2 km north and 1.8 km south of the estuary mouth (Bolton-Ritchie, 2007). The Waimakariri River flows from the mountains through a predominantly rural catchment to discharge to the sea. In its lower reaches this river receives the water from the Kaiapoi River and Jockey Baker Creek and until recently the discharge from the PPCS freezing works. Stormwater runoff from both Rangiora and Kaiapoi also eventually ends up in the Lower Waimakariri River. The Waimakariri River discharge plume is often visible because of the colour of the river water, with the plume being most evident when the river is in flood and the river water laden with sediment. The plume of the Waimakariri River is normally contained within Pegasus Bay and is more often in the northern than the southern part of the Bay (Hadfield and Zeldis, 2012). For river flows up to the mean of 122 m3/s, the plume has a weak influence on salinity some 10 km from shore (Stenton-Dozey, 2005). The outward extent of influence is likely to be greater during flood events in the river. Pegasus Bay has high environmental, cultural, social and economic values. The following is a very brief evaluation of each value. Environmental The Banks Peninsula Marine Mammal Sanctuary extends into Pegasus Bay as far as the Waipara River mouth and 12 nM out to sea from the coast. This sanctuary was established to protect the endangered Hector’s dolphins/upokohue (Cephalorhynchus hectori). Other whale and dolphin species are transitory as they migrate through the area. Pegasus Bay is habitat for a diversity and abundance of benthic and pelagic flora and fauna including fish and shellfish species that are caught commercially. Cultural The following information has been obtained from the Mahaanui Iwi Management Plan 2013. Nġai Tūāhuriri, of Nġai Tahu are the tāngata whenua of Pegasus Bay. There are wāhi tapu and wāhi taonga sites along the coast. The coastal area between the Waipara and Kōwai Rivers is of immense significance as one large mahinga kai resource. The coastal lowland region from the Waimakariri to the Rakahuri/Ashley River is a cultural landscape of immense importance. Tuatua is an important kai moana species that can be collected from the low shore of the sandy beaches. The discharge of treated human wastewater into Pegasus Bay is culturally unacceptable. A consequence of the discharges in the mauri of coastal waters is now degraded and tāngata whenua are highly unlikely to use the area for mahinga kai. 3 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Social The beaches of Pegasus Bay are popular for swimming, surfing, kite surfing and walking. Many people fish recreationally for whitebait, salmon and other fish such as kahawai and mullet at the mouth of the rivers. Tuatua, a bivalve mollusc and popular seafood item, are collected from the low shore area by recreational gatherers. Economic There is commercial fishing for surf clams in the northern part of Pegasus Bay. The surf clam species are Paphies donacina (tuatua), Spisula aequilateralis, Dosinia anus and a Mactra species. A commercial company has resource consent for a 2,695 hectare mussel farm 10 km from shore within Pegasus Bay. 1.3 Aim and scope of the study The aim of this study was to analyse water quality and flow data collected monthly by Environment Canterbury, between 1 July 2010 and 30 June 2011, from rivers and coastal sites along Pegasus Bay. In particular, the study aims at investigating the following points: To analyse and summarise the state of water quality at nearshore and offshore water quality sites in Pegasus Bay, as well as at river sites that feed into Pegasus Bay; To determine annual contaminant loadings from rivers and wastewater outfalls into nearshore Pegasus Bay; To quantify the contribution made by each river and wastewater outfall to the annual contaminant loadings entering Pegasus Bay. The assessment undertaken primarily focusses on nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus) but data relative to other water quality determinands such as suspended solids are also analysed and presented. This report also makes recommendations for future water quality monitoring and management in Pegasus Bay. 2 Methods 2.1 Original dataset Water quality and quantity data were collected by Environment Canterbury from locations on fourteen rivers which flow into Pegasus Bay (Table 1, Figure 2). Each monitoring site was chosen to be as close to the coast as possible without being influenced by the tide. Two wastewater outfalls, the Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council, also enter the Bay and water quality data collected from these sites (corresponding to the river sampling dates) have also been obtained from WDC and CCC and included in this report for analysis. Water quality data were also collected from ten coastal sites along the Bay (Table 1, Figure 2). Sampling at these sites was undertaken a day after monitoring at the river sites by Environment Canterbury. Water quality indicators monitored at both river and coastal sites included total ammonia-nitrogen, dissolved reactive phosphorus, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, total suspended solids, volatile suspended solids, turbidity, dissolved oxygen and water temperature. 4 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury All data were collected monthly between 1 July 2010 and 30 June 2011. Table 1: Pegasus Bay River and Coastal sites monitored monthly between 1 July 2010 and 30 June 2011. Site ID SQ30162 SQ30166 SQ30193 SQ30175 SQ30369 SQ30426 SQ30400 SQ30332 SQ30245 SQ30249 SQ30253 SQ32750 SQ33426 HEATH04 WDC CCC Site ID SQ33153 SQ32546 SQ32551 SQ32571 SQ32516 SQ32514 SQ32573 SQ34870 SQ32578 SQ35111 River Survey Site Waipara River at Teviotdale Bridge Kowai River at SH1 Saltwater Creek at SH1 Ashley River at SH1 Cam River at Bramleys Rd Bridge Ohoka River at Island Road Cust River at Skewbridge Road Kaiapoi River at Island Road Waimakariri River at Kairaki Yacht Club Waimakariri River at Ferry Road Waimakariri River at Stewarts Gully Yacht Club Styx River at Teapes Road Avon River at Gayhurst Road Heathcote at Bowenvale Ave Waimakariri District Council Outfall Easting 2492020 2489416 2486153 2484738 2480578 2480220 2479939 2480317 2485901 2484371 2483406 2483978 2483514 2481183 2488000 Northing 5786592 5779565 5771249 5770021 5762608 5759083 5759498 5759031 5757524 5757548 5756278 5751260 5742835 5737387 5760200 Christchurch City Council Outfall Coastal Survey Site Amberley Beach Near Amberley Beach Road Leithfield Beach at Leithfield Beach Waikuku Beach at Surf Club Woodend Beach at Surf Club Pines Beach at Surf Club Spencerville Beach at Surf Club Waimari Beach at Surf Club Brighton Beach Off end of New Brighton Pier South Brighton Beach at Surf Club Sumner Beach at Cave Rock 2492000 Easting 2492033 2490138 2487463 2486604 2486642 2486870 2487740 2488578 2488825 2490686 5742600 Northing 5781329 5777070 5768879 5763237 5758609 5752750 5746809 5744577 5742818 5737941 5 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Figure 2: Water quality monitoring sites in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 6 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 2.2 Additional datasets Environment Canterbury undertakes a Regional Monitoring Programme from which data for the rivers monitored in the 2010-2011 survey were also obtained. In most cases, datasets date back to at least 2000. As part of their Regional Monitoring Programme, Environment Canterbury also undertakes quarterly monitoring at ten coastal sites. Five of these sites are at the water’s edge, one is off the end of the New Brighton pier and four sites are three kilometres from shore (Figure 2). There is also a site near the mouth of the Ashley Estuary. Sampling of these sites began in September 2007, although some sites have data dating back to 2005. Table 2 provides a summary of the data used in this study. 7 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Table 2: Summary of the water quality and flow data used in the 2010-2011 study on Pegasus Bay. Phys-Chem: Physico-chemical parameters (eg. temperature, pH, conductivity and dissolved oxygen). Nutrients comprise nitrogens, phosphorus and dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP). Water quality data 2010-2011 Survey Monitoring site Site ID Overall Record Period Phys-Chem Flow data Nutrients Bact Flow Overall Survey dates Flow recorder Flow recorder Rivers 1999-2012 Waipara River at Teviotdale Bridge SQ30162 Kowai River at SH1 SQ30166 Flow gauging Saltwater Creek at SH1 SQ30193 Flow gauging Ashley River at SH1 SQ30175 1999-2012 Cam River at Bramleys Rd Bridge SQ30369 2001-2012 Flow gauging Ohoka River at Island Road SQ30426 2000-2012 Flow gauging Cust River at Skewbridge Road SQ30400 2000-2012 Flow gauging Kaiapoi River at Island Road SQ30332 2000-2012 Waimakariri River at Kairaki Yacht Club SQ30245 2002-2012 Flow recorder Flow recorder Waimakariri River at Ferry Road SQ30249 2002-2012 Flow recorder Flow recorder Waimakariri River at Stewarts Gully Yacht Club SQ30253 2002-2012 Flow recorder Flow recorder Styx River at Teapes Road SQ32750 1991, 1992, 1999-2012 Flow recorder Flow recorder Avon River at Gayhurst Road SQ33426 2000-2012 Flow recorder Flow recorder Heathcote at Bowenvale Ave HEATH04 2000-2012 Flow recorder Flow recorder Waimakariri District Council Outfall WDC 2006-2012 Flow meter Christchurch City Council Outfall CCC 2010-2012 Flow meter 8 Flow recorder Flow gauging Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 2010-2011 Survey Monitoring site Site ID Water quality data Flow data Overall Record Period Phys-Chem Nutrients Bact Flow 2005-2012 Not applicable Coastal Sites Amberley Beach near Amberley Beach Rd. SQ33153 Leithfield Beach at Leithfield Beach SQ32546 Waikuku Beach at Surf Club SQ32551 2005-2012 Not applicable Woodend Beach at Surf Club SQ32571 2005-2012 Not applicable Pines Beach at Surf Club SQ32516 Spencerville Beach at Surf Club SQ32514 Waimari Beach at Surf Club SQ32573 Brighton Beach Off end of New Brighton Pier SQ34870 South Brighton Beach at Surf Club SQ32578 Not applicable Sumner Beach at Cave Rock SQ35111 Not applicable Scarborough Beach by the clock tower SQ32596 Not applicable Not applicable 2005-2012 Not applicable Not applicable 2005-2012 2005-2012 9 Not applicable Not applicable Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 2.3 Water quality data preparation The dataset contained a small proportion of “less than detection limit” results. To conduct statistical analysis, such censored data were replaced by numerical values. The “less than” values represented fewer than 10% of the total dataset for each parameter and were replaced by half of the detection limit, which is consistent with the recommendations of Scarsbrook and McBride (2007). Where values were greater than the detection limit the actual value was used. No monitoring data were available for February 2011 due to the occurrence of a magnitude 6.3 earthquake which struck the Canterbury region, and interrupted the normal monitoring through staff and laboratory unavailability. 2.4 Waimakariri River Sites Three sites on the Waimakariri River (at the Kairaki Yacht Club, at Ferry Road and at Stewarts Gully) were monitored (Figure 3). Figure 3: Map showing sites monitored monthly on the Waimakariri River from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2011. The site at the Kairaki Yacht Club appears to be within the tidal zone. Typical river contaminant load calculations estimate the amount of contaminant carried by the river through one point, or more correctly one transversal section of the river in a given length of time, and are thus not applicable to sites influenced by tides without significant additional information and analysis. 10 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury The site at Ferry Road is located on the true left bank of the Waimakariri River, in close proximity to the confluence with the Kaiapoi River. Full mixing of the waters from the Kaiapoi River and the Waimakariri River is highly likely to be incomplete at the sampling point. Water quality data collected at the Ferry Road site is considered unlikely to be representative of the fully mixed Waimakariri River water quality in this river reach. Contaminant load calculation methods generally assume that the contaminant concentration is homogenous across the section of river. Water quality data collected at the Ferry Road site should therefore not be used to estimate contaminant load inputs from the Waimakariri River into Pegasus Bay. Consequently, the approach taken in this study was to use the data from the Waimakariri at Stewarts Gully site in load calculations as this site was assumed to be upstream of any influence from inputs from the Kaiapoi River. The inputs from the Kaiapoi River were estimated separately. It is important to note however that the Stewarts Gully site is located downstream of the discharge of treated meatworks effluent from the PPCS plant, which was still being discharged to the Waimakariri River during the period of sampling. Consequently the nutrient load estimates presented in this report for the Waimakariri at the Stewarts Gully site represent in fact the sum of the loads from the Waimakariri River catchment above this point and the PPCS point-source discharge. It is our understanding that this discharge does no longer occur to the Waimakariri River, and has since been diverted to the Christchurch City Council ocean outfall. In other words the PPCS wastewater is still discharged to Pegasus Bay, but via the CCC outfall instead of the Waimakariri River. There were insufficient data to confidently estimate, directly or by difference, the nutrient loads from the PPCS discharge and/or the Waimakariri catchment above the Stewart Gully site. Significant differences were identified in key water quality indicators between the three lower Waimakariri monitoring sites. Total nitrogen concentrations increase significantly between the most upstream site at Stewarts Gully and the more coastal sites. Total phosphorus and ammonia concentrations are three times higher at the Ferry Road site when compared with the Stewarts Gully and Kairaki Yacht Club sites. These differences may require further investigation at a later date. 2.5 Ashley River It should be noted that the Ashley River monitoring site (at SH1) is not located at the bottom of the Ashley River catchment, and water (and contaminant) inputs to the Ashley River occur downstream of the monitoring site via a number of tributaries. Consequently the nutrient load estimates based on data collected at the SH1 site are likely to underestimate the actual loads from the Ashley River catchment into Pegasus Bay. 2.6 Flow data Flow data used in this report were provided by Environment Canterbury’s Hydrology team. Continuous flow data are available at five sites: the Waipara River, the Waimakariri River, the Styx River, the Avon River and the Heathcote River. Instantaneous flow data from direct flow gaugings were available for the other water quality sites. 11 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury In some instances flow gaugings were not undertaken on the same day as water quality monitoring. In each of these cases a decision was made whether to accept or reject the flow gauging data as an acceptably likely representation of average daily river flow during closest day of water quality sampling. The decisions were based on the number of days between gauging and water quality sampling dates and the flow regimes within that time period at nearby flow recorders. Most, but not all, gauging flow data were accepted using these criteria. Table 3 summarises the decisions made. Following this process, an insufficient number of daily flow data were available for the Ashley River, and monthly average flows were used in load calculations at that site. The Kowai River and Saltwater Creek were not able to be included in load analysis due to insufficient flow data being available at these sites. 12 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Table 3: Summary of the flow data accepted or rejected for use in the 2010-2011 study on Pegasus Bay. Gauging Date (where differs from sampling date) WQ Sampling Date No. of days between WQ sampling & Gauging Accept / Reject Site ID Site Name SQ30162 Waipara River at Teviotdale Bridge Accept SQ30249 Waimakariri River at Ferry Road Accept SQ30245 Waimakariri River at Kairaki Yacht Club Accept SQ30253 Waimakariri River at Stewarts Gully Yacht Club Accept SQ32750 Styx River at Teapes Road Accept SQ33426 Avon River at Gayhurst Road Accept HEATH04 Heathcote at Bowenvale Ave Accept SQ30166 SQ30193 SQ30175 Kowai River at SH1 27-Jul-10 15-Jul-10 12 Reject 21-Sep-10 27-Sep-10 -6 Reject 26-Oct-10 21-Oct-10 5 Accept 23-Nov-10 18-Nov-10 5 Reject 23-Nov-10 4-Nov-10 19 Reject 18-Jan-11 11-Jan-11 7 Reject Saltwater Creek at SH1 Ashley River at SH1 SQ30332 Kaiapoi River at Island Road SQ30369 Cam River at Bramleys Rd Bridge SQ30426 Ohoka Stream at Island Road SQ30400 Cust River at Skewbridge Road 26-Oct-10 14-Oct-10 12 Accept 23-Nov-10 10-Nov-10 13 Reject 21-Dec-10 14-Dec-10 7 Reject 18-Jan-11 12-Jan-11 6 Reject 17-May-11 11-May-11 6 Reject 26-Aug-10 17-Aug-10 9 Reject 21-Dec-10 20-Dec-10 1 Accept 21-Dec-10 20-Dec-10 1 Accept 21-Sep-10 16-Sep-10 5 Accept 21-Dec-10 20-Dec-10 1 Accept 21-Dec-10 20-Dec-10 1 Accept 13 Comments All water quality sampling and gauging dates correspond Exclude from load analysis as insufficient flow records Exclude from load analysis as insufficient flow records Used monthly average flows in load analysis Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 2.7 Data analysis 2.7.1 Descriptive and Exploratory Statistics “Box and whiskers” plots were produced for each key water quality indicator to provide a summary of water quality at each site in relation to national water quality guidelines. Appendix C provides background information for the correct interpretation of box and whiskers plots. More detailed descriptive statistics, such as mean, median, distribution percentiles, standard error and confidence intervals, as well as the proportion of samples complying with the relevant guideline are provided for both river and coastal survey sites in Appendices A and B. To provide more in-depth analysis, Principal Components Analysis (PCA) was used to compare all variables between the main stem rivers and coastal sites sampled. The PCA analysis was undertaken using PRIMER v6.1.13. Cluster analysis was also performed in Primer using Euclidean distance and the group average clustering algorithm. The SIMPROF procedure (P = 0.05, Permutations = 999) was also conducted to assess the significance of groupings within the cluster analysis. A Spearman Rank correlation was used to compare survey data with that collected from the Regional Monitoring Programme to determine if survey results reflected a typical year. Spearman rank correlations were undertaken using Primer v6.1.13. 2.7.2 Annual Contaminant loads Contaminant loads are the amount of contaminant carried by the river through one point, or more correctly one transversal section of the river in a given length of time. Calculation methods generally assume that the contaminant concentration is homogenous across the section of river. When both continuous river flow and contaminant concentration data are available, instantaneous contaminant flux can be calculated at any point in time, and an estimate of the contaminant load during a given period of time can be calculated by simply summing up the instantaneous flux: Load yeari 31 / 12 / yeari Pollut t Flowt dt 01 / 01 / yeari When contaminant concentrations are known only at regular time intervals (e.g. monthly), the above formula can be approximated using a number of approaches. Annual loads were calculated for the survey sites for the year spanning 1 July 2010 -30 June 2011. Two approximations methods were used in this report where data were sufficient. 2.7.2.1 Averaging approach This method uses the monthly average river flow and the monthly average contaminant concentration to estimate monthly loads. The annual load is then calculated by summing up the monthly loads. This method is particularly applicable when the contaminant concentration and river flow are independent variables (Richards, 1998). 14 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Monthly load: Load monthi Pollut monthi 31/ monthi Flowt dt 01/ monthi 12 Load yeari Load monthi Annual load: i 1 2.7.2.2 Ratio approach: The Beale ratio estimator Ratio estimators use the year’s data to calculate a mean daily load, then use the mean flow from days lacking concentration data to adjust the mean daily load. The annual load is obtained by multiplying the mean daily load by 365 (Richards, 1998). Ratio estimators assume that there is a positive linear relationship between river flow and contaminant load. The basic assumption of a ratio estimator is that the ratio contaminant load/river flow for the entire year is the same as on days the contaminant concentration was measured. Average _ daily _ load year Average _ daily _ flow year Average _ daily _ load o Average _ daily _ flowo where the subscript “year” refers to an average for the year, and the subscript “o” refers to an average over the days on which concentration was observed. However, as daily load and daily flow are correlated variables, this ratio estimator is biased and a bias correction factor must be used. The Beale Ratio estimator is one way to correct the bias: Average _ daily _ load year Average _ daily _ load o Average _ daily _ flow year Average _ daily _ flowo 1 1 slq 1 n N l o qo 1 1 s qq 1 n N qo 2 Where: Slq is the covariance between flow and pollutant flux, sqq is the variance of the flow based on the days on which concentration was measured. N is the expected population size (365), and n is the number of concentration measures (generally 12, as we have one measure for each month). lo and qo represent the average daily flux and flow respectively on the days concentrations were measured. The square root of the mean square error of the daily load (RMSE) provides an estimate of the standard deviation, and is given by: 𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸 = 2 2 𝑆𝑙𝑞 𝑆𝑙𝑞 𝑆𝑞𝑞 𝑆𝑞𝑞 𝑆𝑙𝑞 𝑆𝑞𝑞 𝑆𝑙𝑙 1 1 𝑆𝑞𝑞 𝑆𝑙𝑙 1 1 2 − )( 2 + 2 − 2 + + 2 2 )] ) + ( − ) (2 4 − 4 2 2 ̅ ̅ ̅ 𝑛 𝑁 𝑞̅𝑜 𝑛 𝑁 𝑞̅𝑜 𝑞̅𝑜 𝑙𝑜 ̅̅̅ 𝑞̅𝑜 𝑙𝑜̅ 𝑙𝑜 𝑙𝑜 ̅̅̅ 𝑞𝑜 𝑞𝑜 (𝑙 ̅ ̅̅̅) 𝑞 √𝑙𝑜2 [( 𝑜 15 𝑜 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury This approach is consistent with that used by Ausseil (2011) and Kelly & Norton (2010) in work on the Hurunui catchment and is considered standard practice by Environment Canterbury. 2.8 Water quality guidelines Environmental guidelines are commonly used in describing the general state of a natural resource. This report makes use of indicators based on the percentage of samples which comply with the guidelines used in Environment Canterbury’s 2010 State of the Environment Report and/or the ANZECC 2000 guidelines for river sites. There are no coastal guidelines for New Zealand waters (the ANZECC 2000 guidelines state that values for the south eastern Australian coastal waters be used, however these are not suitable for Canterbury coastal waters as the Australian coast is not impacted by riverine inputs to the same extent as New Zealand). Reference values for the coastal sites have therefore been calculated by Environment Canterbury as the 80th percentile values from local data. Importantly, these guidelines are used in this report as reference points to describe the state of the resource, and the comparisons to these guidelines made in this report should by no means be seen as a compliance assessment. Table 4: Summary of the reference guidelines used in assessing the state of rivers and coastal sites surveyed in Pegasus Bay from 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. River Ammonia-Nitrogen (mg/L) Total Nitrogen (mg/L) Total phosphorus (mg/L) Nitrate-Nitrite nitrogen (mg/L) Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen (mg/L) Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus (mg/L ) Turbidity (NTU) Ammonia-Nitrogen (mg/L) Total Nitrogen (mg/L) Total phosphorus (mg/L) Nitrate-Nitrite nitrogen (mg/L) Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen (mg/L) Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus (mg/L ) Turbidity (NTU) 0.9 0.614 0.033 1.7 <0.03 Unenriched 0.03-0.17 Low level enrichment 0.17-0.44 Moderately enriched 0.44-2.0 Enriched >2.0 Excessive <0.003 Unenriched 0.003-0.009 Moderately enriched 0.009-0.030 Enriched >0.030 Excessive <2 Clear 2-5.6 Opaque >5.6 Turbid Coastal 0.09 0.33 0.08 0.06 0.05 16 Source Environment Canterbury (2010), ANZECC (2000) ANZECC (2000) ANZECC (2000) Environment Canterbury (2010) Environment Canterbury (2010) Environment Canterbury (2010) Environment Canterbury (2010) Source Environment Canterbury (80th percentile values calculated from local data) Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3 Water Quality State 3.1 Mean Annual Flows Mean annual flows for the rivers included in the 2010-2011 survey are shown in Figure 4. The Waimakariri River contributes 80% of the total annual flow from these sources. The remaining flow is made up of 7% from the Ashley, 3% from the Waipara and 1.5% or less from each of the Cam, Ohoka, Cust, Styx, Avon and Heathcote Rivers as well as the two outfalls. The CCC Outfall contributes 1.4% of flow while the WDC outfall only contributes 0.9%. No flow data were available for the Kaiapoi River. Mean Annual flow 1000000 Mean Flow (L/s) 100000 10000 1000 100 10 1 Site Figure 4: Average Annual flow (log scale) for rivers surveyed from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2011. 3.2 Nutrients Different chemical forms of two key macronutrients, nitrogen and phosphorus, were monitored at all sites. Dissolved forms of reactive phosphorus (mainly phosphates) and inorganic nitrogen (nitrate-, nitrite- and ammonia- nitrogen) are directly available to plant growth. The sum of all forms of phosphorus and nitrogen (termed total phosphorus and total nitrogen) provide an indication of the “pool” of nutrients potentially available for immediate or future uptake (through cycling) by plants. 17 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Information on these various water quality indicators at the sites is presented in the following sections, with site-specific graphs provided in Appendix C. The boxplots represent median, 25th and 75th percentile values. Whiskers indicate 5th and 95th percentile values. Reference guidelines represented by horizontal dashed red lines in the box and whisker plots are as per Table 4. 3.2.1 Total Nitrogen Total nitrogen concentrations vary for each of the rivers sampled in the 2010- 2011 survey (Figure 5). While most rivers had median concentrations of 2mg/L or less, the Kaiapoi and its tributaries, the Cust and Ohoka, had concentrations around 5 mg/L. Only the Waipara, Ashley and Waimakariri Rivers had annual average and median total nitrogen concentrations below reference guidelines (Table 4) The WDC and CCC outfalls, although not presented in Figure 5, had median total nitrogen concentrations of 19 and 28 mg/L, respectively. Median total nitrogen concentrations for the coastal sites ranged from 0.21 mg/L to 0.29mg/L (Figure 6), and all sites had concentrations below the recommended reference guideline for Canterbury coastal waters (refer Table 4). 7 Total nitrogen (mg/L) 6 5 4 3 2 1 co te on th Av ea H yx St iri ar W ai m ak ia Ka C us po i t ka am ho O C ey hl er As w ai Ko ltw at Sa W ai pa ra 0 Site Figure 5: Total nitrogen concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the reference guideline value for total nitrogen concentrations (Table 4). 18 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 1.2 Total nitrogen (mg/L) 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Am be rle y Le Be ith ac fie h ld Be W ac ai h ku ku Be W oo ac de h nd Be ac Pi h ne Sp s en Be ce ac rv h ille Be W ac ai h m ar N iB ew ea Br ch So ig ht ut on h Br Pi ig er ht on Be Su ac m h ne rB ea ch 0.0 Site Figure 6: Total nitrogen concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference value for total nitrogen concentrations in Canterbury coastal waters (Table 4). 3.2.2 Total Phosphorus Median total phosphorus concentrations at river sites ranged from 0.01 to 0.08 mg/L (Figure 7). The Heathcote River and Saltwater Creek had the highest median concentrations (0.07 and 0.08 mg/L respectively). The Styx, Waimakariri and Avon rivers supported the next highest concentrations (0.040.06 mg/L), while concentrations in all other rivers were less than 0.04mg.L. Half of the rivers surveyed (Saltwater Creek, the Waimakariri, Styx, Avon and Heathcote rivers) had median and average concentrations of total phosphorus which exceeded the reference guideline (Refer Table 4) The CCC and WDC outfalls (again, not presented in Figure 7) had three to five times the total phosphorus concentrations found in the rivers. Coastal sites surveyed from 2010 to 2011 all had median total phosphorus concentrations below the reference guideline for Canterbury coastal waters, ranging from 0.04 to 0.06 mg/L (Figure 8). 19 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Total phosphorus (mg/L) 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Av on ea th co te H yx St iri ar ia W ai m ak po i t Ka C us ka ho O C am ey hl er As ltw at Ko w ai Sa W ai pa ra 0.0 Site Figure 7: Total phosphorus concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference guideline for total phosphorus (Table 4). 20 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 0.25 Total phosphorus (mg/L) 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 ch rB Be Su m ne ld f ie it h ea ac h ac h ille Le Sp en ce ai m W Be ea c Pi ar iB on ht ig Br ew N rv er h ac Be ac Pi ne s Be d en oo d W ku ai W h h Be ac on ku ht Br ig h ut So Am be rle y Be ac Be h 0.00 Site Figure 8: Total phosphorus concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference value for total phosphorus concentrations (Table 4). 3.2.3 Total Ammonia-Nitrogen Concentrations of total ammonia-nitrogen averaged less than 0.07 mg/L and were well below the reference guidelines. The highest median concentrations were found in the Avon (0.06 mg/L), Waimakariri (0.06 mg/L) and Heathcote (0.05 mg/L) rivers (Figure 9). All other sites averaged less than 0.04 mg/L. The high concentrations found in the Waimakariri River are most likely a result of discharges from Silver Fern Farms freezing works (PPCS) entering the river during the survey period; such concentrations would otherwise be unusual for an alpine river. Concentrations of total ammonia-nitrogen at coastal sites appeared to increase towards the southern end of the bay. Median concentrations ranged from 0.01mg/L to 0.03 mg/L (Figure 10). 21 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 1.0 Ammonia-nitrogen (mg/L) 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 W ai H Av on ea th co te yx St iri m ak ia C Ka O ar us po i t ka ho C am ey hl er Sa As ltw at w ai Ko W ai pa ra 0.0 Site Figure 9: Total ammonia-nitrogen concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the reference guideline for ammonia-nitrogen concentrations (Table 4). 0.25 Ammonia-nitrogen (mg/L) 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 ch h rB ea ac So ut h Su m ne on ht Br ig Br ew N Be Pi ht ig ar ai W on ea iB Be m ille rv ce en Sp er ch h ac ac Be s ne Pi nd de oo h h ac h Be ac Be ku ku W W ai fie it h Le Am be rle ld y Be Be ac ac h h 0.00 Site Figure 10: Total ammonia-nitrogen concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference value for ammonia-nitrogen concentrations (Table 4). 22 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.2.4 Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen The Kaiapoi, Ohoka and Cust Rivers all had high median concentrations of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) (4.9, 4.3 and 4.3 mg/L respectively) (Figure 11). These exceed the reference guidelines and place these sites in the excessively enriched category using ECan’s 2010 State of the environment report classification (Table 4). Most other rivers averaged median DIN concentrations of less than 2 mg/L indicating enriched to moderately enriched sites. The Kaiapoi, Ohoka and Cust rivers are predominantly spring fed. Due to the large groundwater catchment area and the intensification of land use in the area, the groundwater and hence the springs have high DIN concentrations. The Avon and Heathcote rivers are also spring fed, however their groundwater catchment area is not as large compared to the Kaiapoi, Ohoka and Cust, and fall partly within a groundwater protection zone to the north west of Christchurch, which probably explains the relatively lower DIN concentrations measured in these rivers. Of the coastal sites, Pines Beach had the highest average and median concentrations (0.13 mg/L and 0.12 mg/L respectively), (Figure 12). Water quality at the Pines Beach site may be influenced by inputs from the Waimakariri/Kaiapoi rivers and/or the Waimakariri wastewater ocean outfall, which flow into this area. Waimari Beach and the Brighton sites presented the next highest DIN concentrations, around 0.07 mg/L. 23 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 6 5 DIN (mg/L) 4 3 2 1 co te on ea th Av yx St iri ar ak W H ai m Ka ia C us po i t ka am C O ho ey hl er As w ai ltw at Sa W ai Ko pa ra 0 Site Figure 11: Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed lines represent reference guidelines for un-enriched (red), low level of enrichment (orange), moderately enriched (green) and enriched (blue) river systems (Table 4). 0.7 0.6 DIN (mg/L) 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 ch h m ne rB ea ac Be So ut h Su Pi on Br ig Br ig ht iB ar ew N ht on ea ac Be m ai W en Sp er ch h h ille ce rv ne Pi nd de oo s Be Be ac ac h h ac Be ku W W ai ku fie ith Le Am be rle ld y Be Be ac ac h h 0.0 Site Figure 12: Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) concentrations for the coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 24 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.2.5 Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus The Heathcote River had the highest median concentration of dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP) (0.04 mg/L) while the Ashley River had the lowest concentration (0.002 mg/L) (Figure 13). The Heathcote also had the highest average DRP concentration (0.06 mg/L) while both the Ashley and Waipara Rivers had the lowest average DRP concentrations (0.003 mg/L). Most other sites fell within the guidelines for enriched to moderately enriched habitats. Coastal sites all had very similar median DRP concentrations averaging around 0.01 mg/L (Figure 14), well below the reference guideline of 0.05 (Table 4). 25 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 0.18 0.16 0.14 DRP (mg/L) 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 te co on yx ea th Av iri ar ak W H ai m Ka St i po ia us t ka C ho am O C w ai ltw at er As hl ey Sa W ai Ko pa ra 0.00 Site Figure 13: Dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP) concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed lines represent recommended guidelines (Table 4). 0.06 0.05 DRP (mg/L) 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 on h ut So N ew Br Br m ai W ig ar ht iB Be ille ce rv Pi ig er ht on Be Su ac m h ne rB ea ch h ac ea c h h Be s ne Pi Sp en nd de oo W ac h h Be Be ac ac h ac Be ku ku ai W it h Le Am be rle f ie ld y Be ac h 0.00 Site Figure 14: Dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP) concentrations for coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. The dashed line represents the recommended reference guideline for DRP (Table 4). 26 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.2.6 Total Suspended Solids Total suspended solids (TSS) were in highest median concentrations in the Waimakariri River (24 mg/L), followed by Saltwater Creek (16 mg/ L), and then the Styx and Heathcote rivers (12 mg/L) (Figure 15). The remaining sites averaged median concentrations of less than 6 mg/L over the months surveyed. TSS concentrations at the two outfall sites were similar to those for the Waimakariri River for the WDC outfall and to Saltwater Creek for the CCC outfall. Of the coastal sites surveyed Amberley and Leithfield Beaches had the highest concentrations (Figure 16), with the amount of suspended solids declining the further south one moves along the bay. Water samples at coastal sites are taken at the water’s edge (knee deep water), and TSS concentrations at times reflect the re-suspension of seabed sediment stirred up by wav action, and do not typically represent sediment carried to the sites by the rivers.. Waves are particularly frequent at Amberley and Leithfield beaches, which probably explains the higher average TSS concentrations measured at these sites (Lesley Bolton-Ritchie, pers. comm.). 27 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 400 200 TSS (mg/L) 100 80 60 40 20 ea th co te on yx Av iri St ak W H ai m Ka ia C ar us po i t ka ho O As C hl am ey er w ai ltw at Sa W ai Ko pa ra 0 Site Figure 15: Total suspended solid concentrations for the rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 14000 12000 TSS (mg/L) 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 ea ch h ne rB Be ac m ht ig Br So ut h Su ht ew N on on Pi er ac h ig Br m ar i Be ac Be W ai rv ille s en ce ne Sp Pi h h ac Be ac Be en d oo d W ku h h ac Be ku Be ld ai W ith fie Le Am be rle y Be ac ac h h 0 Site Figure 16: Total suspended solid concentrations for coastal sites sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 28 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.3 Comparison between Survey and Regional Programme data Water quality in Pegasus Bay and its associated river systems is monitored by Environment Canterbury as part of its Regional Monitoring programme. A statistical comparison of the data collected in the 20102011 survey and that collected during the regional programme (spanning the time period between 2000 and 2012) for both rivers and coastal sites was undertaken using Spearman Rank Correlation in Primer v6.1.13. No significant differences were found, indicating that the results obtained during the survey period reflect those that would be found in a typical year. This is also reflected in Figure 17 which shows survey data (red line) following similar patterns to regional data (box plots) for a small selection of rivers. Waimakariri River Ashley River 1.0 1.2 1.0 Total nitrogen (mg/L) 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 ay ril ne Ju M Ap t m Se pt e Au Month Month Waimakariri River Styx River 1.6 0.18 1.4 0.16 0.14 0.06 Ju ly Se Au Ju ne ay M Ap Au ril 0.00 Ju ly 0.02 0.0 ay 0.04 0.2 M 0.4 0.08 Ju ne 0.6 0.10 ril 0.8 0.12 Ap 1.0 gu st pt em be r O ct ob er N ov em be D r ec em be r Ja nu a Fe ry br ua ry M ar ch Total phosphorus (mg/L) 1.2 gu Se st pt em be r O ct ob e N r ov em be D r ec em be r Ja nu a Fe ry br ua ry M ar ch Total phosphorus (mg/L) be r O ct ob er N ov em be D r ec em be r Ja nu a Fe ry br ua ry M ar ch ly Ju ne Ju ril ay M Ap t m Se pt e Ju gu s Au be r O ct ob e N r ov em be D r ec em be r Ja nu ar y Fe br ua ry M ar ch 0.0 ly 0.0 gu s Total nitrogen (mg/L) 0.8 Month Month Figure 17: Box plots of total nitrogen and total phosphorus data collected at a selection of rivers during Environment Canterbury’s Regional Monitoring (2000-2012). The red line represents the monthly total nitrogen or total phosphorus concentration based on data collected monthly from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2011. 29 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.4 Comparison between River and Coastal sites - PCA Analysis Principal Components Analysis (Primer v6.1.13) was used to compare variables (total nitrogen, ammonia nitrogen, nitrate-nitrite-nitrogen, total phosphorus and dissolved reactive phosphorus) between the main stem rivers and coastal sites sampled. Coastal sites were similar to each other in their overall nutrient composition regardless of where they are located in the Bay (Figure 18 and Figure 19). With a few exceptions, most seasonal samples from each river site were also more similar to each other and to the coastal sites in their nutrient concentrations, regardless of where they are located along the Bay. The exceptions were the Ohoka, Cust and Kaiapoi Rivers (Figure 19), which appeared more similar to each other (top right of figure). The other exceptions were the Waimakariri and Heathcote Rivers (Figure 19, on the lower left) which appear more similar to each other in nutrient composition. The main drivers of the pattern can be seen in the vector plots (Figure 18) and appear to be total nitrogen along axis 2 and total phosphorus along axis 1. Figure 18: Plot of Axis 1 against Axis 2 from a Principal Components Analysis for all river and coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. 30 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Figure 19: Plot of Axis 1 against Axis 2 from a Principal Components Analysis for averages of all river and coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011 Cluster analysis identifies the above main groupings of sites further into: - the Kaiapoi River and its two tributaries; the Avon River, the Waipara and Ashley Rivers, the Cam and Kowai Rivers, the Styx River and Saltwater Creek, the Waimakariri and Heathcote Rivers, and the Coastal sites; (Figure 20). The dark solid lines indicate significant groups while the lighter lines indicate no significance between groups. 31 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Figure 20: Cluster analysis for river and coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. When only coastal sites are examined for differences in nutrients, the main drivers appear to be ammonia nitrogen along axis 1 and total phosphorus along axis 2 (the vectors on Figure 21). Ammonia nitrogen grades from higher concentrations at Waimari Beach to lower concentrations for the group of sites shown at the right of axis 1 (Leithfield, Woodend, Amberley and Waikuku). Total phosphorus grades from low concentrations at New Brighton and Waikuku to higher concentrations at Spencerville. Axis 1 accounts for 75% of the variation while axis 2 accounts for 20%. Cluster analysis shows no significant differences in nutrient composition between coastal sites (Figure 22). 32 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Figure 21: Plot of axis 1 against axis 2 from a Principal Components Analysis for all coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. Figure 22: Cluster analysis for coastal sites sampled along Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. 33 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.5 Annual Loads The annual loads of nitrogen, phosphorus and suspended solids were calculated for all sites flowing into Pegasus Bay for the 2010-2011 survey period, following the methodologies described in Section 2.7. The results are presented in Appendix D and shown in the Figures below. Annual loads for each parameter were also calculated as a percentage of the total from each source and are summarised in Appendix E. The Kowai River and Saltwater Creek were excluded from analysis due to insufficient flow data. 3.5.1 Total Nitrogen Total nitrogen loads average 1,970 T/year from the CCC outfall (46% of total nitrogen inputs from all sources), 950 T/year in the Waimakariri River (22% of all inputs) and 600 T /year in the Cust (14% of all inputs) (Figure 23, Appendix E). All other sites combined represented approximately 757 T/yr. 2000 1750 TN (T/Y) 1500 1250 1000 750 Annual 500 Summer 250 0 Site Figure 23: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of total nitrogen for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. 34 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.5.2 Total Phosphorus Total phosphorus loads followed similar patterns to those for nitrogen with the highest loads coming from the CCC Outfall (1976 T/Yr) followed by the Waimakariri River (233T/Yr or 10% of all inputs) and the WDC outfall (20 T/Yr or 1% of inputs) (Figure 24). All other sites averaged less than 12 T/year. The CCC outfall alone represents 87% of the total inputs of total phosphorus to Pegasus Bay estimated in this study. 2000 1750 TP (T/Y) 1500 1250 1000 750 Year- round 500 Summer 250 0 Site Figure 24: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of total phosphorus for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. 35 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.5.3 Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus The highest annual loads of Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus (DRP) come by far from the CCC outfall (263 T/Yr or 84% of all inputs). The next highest from the Waimakariri River (23 T/Yr or 7% of all inputs) and the WDC wastewater outfalls (15 T/Yr or 5% of all inputs), although these two sources combined represent only 14% of the loads from the CCC (Figure 25). All other sites combined represented approximately 9 T/yr. 300 250 DRP (T/Y) 200 150 Annual 100 Summer 50 0 Site Figure 25: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of dissolved reactive phosphorus for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. 36 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.5.4 Dissolved Inorganic Nitrogen Annual dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) loads are highest from the CCC Outfall (1,887 tonnes/year or 50% of all inputs) followed by the Waimakariri River (863. tonnes/year, 23% of total inputs) and the Cust Main Drain (544 tonnes/year, 14% of all inputs) (Figure 26). 2000 1750 DIN (T/Y) 1500 1250 1000 750 Annual 500 Summer 250 0 Site Figure 26: Annual and Summer (November to April inclusive) loads (tonnes/year) of dissolved inorganic nitrogen for rivers and outfalls sampled throughout Pegasus Bay in 2010-2011. 37 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.6 Daily Nutrient Loads Inputs of total nitrogen, total phosphorus and total suspended solids from each of the rivers were calculated as a daily load (kg/day) and as a percentage of the total from all rivers. Saltwater Creek and Kowai River were excluded as there was insufficient flow data to calculate daily loads for these rivers. 3.6.1 Nitrogen The Christchurch City Council Outfall contributed the highest nitrogen load over all months (47% per month on average). The next largest contribution came from the Waimakariri River (on average 20% per month) (Figure 27 and Figure 28). Further analysis, excluding the Waimakariri River and the two outfalls, showed the Kaiapoi River and its tributary, the Cust River, to be the next main contributors (27% and 17% on average per month respectively). Most other rivers averaged monthly inputs of 2 to 10% (Figure 29 and Figure 30). The Waipara River did have higher loads in the first three months of the survey which is consistent with increased flows over this period. 38 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 16000 Total nitrogen (kg/day) 14000 Waipara 12000 Ashley WDC Outfall 10000 Cam 8000 Ohoka 6000 Cust Kaiapoi 4000 Waimakariri 2000 Styx Avon 0 Heathcote CCC Outfall Month Figure 27: Total nitrogen inputs (kg/day) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 100% 90% Waipara Total nitrogen (%) 80% Ashley 70% WDC Outfall 60% Cam 50% Ohoka 40% Cust 30% Kaiapoi 20% Waimakariri 10% Styx Avon 0% Heathcote CCC Outfall Month Figure 28: Total nitrogen inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 39 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 7000 Total nitrogen (kg/day) 6000 Waipara 5000 Ashley 4000 Cam Ohoka 3000 Cust 2000 Kaiapoi Styx 1000 Avon 0 Heathcote Month Figure 29: Total nitrogen inputs (kg/day) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. 100% 90% Total nitrogen (%) 80% 70% Waipara 60% Ashley 50% Cam Ohoka 40% Cust 30% Kaiapoi 20% Styx 10% Avon 0% Heathcote Month Figure 30: Total nitrogen inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. 40 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.6.2 Phosphorus As with nitrogen, the Christchurch City Council Outfall and the Waimakariri River contributed the highest loads for phosphorus in all months (61 and 25% on average per month respectively) (Figure 31 and Figure 32). All other rivers contributed less than 5%. Excluding the Waimakariri River and two outfall sites from analysis resulted in 20% of the phosphorus (on average per month) coming from the Heathcote River, 15% from the Avon, and 14% from each of the Styx and Waipara Rivers. The remaining rivers contributed less than 10% each (Figure 33 and Figure 34). The largest phosphorus loads over all months came from the Waipara River in July and September 2010 and from the Heathcote in August 2010. 41 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 4500 Total phosphorus (kg/day) 4000 Waipara 3500 Ashley 3000 WDC Outfall 2500 Cam Ohoka 2000 Cust 1500 Kaiapoi 1000 Waimakariri Styx 500 Avon 0 Heathcote CCC Outfall Month Figure 31: Total phosphorus inputs (kg/day) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 100% 90% Waipara Total phosphorus (%) 80% Ashley 70% WDC Outfall 60% Cam 50% Ohoka 40% Cust 30% Kaiapoi 20% Waimakariri Styx 10% Avon 0% Heathcote CCC Outfall Month Figure 32: Total phosphorus inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 42 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 300 Total Phosphorus (kg/day) 250 Waipara 200 Ashley Cam 150 Ohoka Cust 100 Kaiapoi 50 Styx Avon 0 Heathcote Month Figure 33: Total Phosphorus inputs (kg/day) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. 100% 90% Total Phosphorus (%) 80% 70% Waipara 60% Ashley 50% Cam Ohoka 40% Cust 30% Kaiapoi 20% Styx 10% Avon 0% Heathcote Month Figure 34: Total phosphorus inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls. 43 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 3.6.3 Total Suspended Solids On average 74% of inputs of total suspended solids per month come from the Waimakariri River (Figure 35 and Figure 36). All other rivers contributed less than 10% each on average per month. Excluding the Waimakariri River and two outfalls shows most other rivers to be contributing 10-16% each, per month, of the total suspended solids (Figure 37 and Figure 38). Similar to loads for nitrogen and phosphorus, sediment loads were elevated in the Waipara and Heathcote Rivers during winter in the first three months of the survey. 44 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 9000000 Total suspended solids (kg/day) 8000000 Waipara 7000000 Ashley 6000000 WDC Outfall 5000000 Cam Ohoka 4000000 Cust 3000000 Kaiapoi 2000000 Waimakariri 1000000 Styx Avon 0 Heathcote CCC Outfall Month Figure 35: Total suspended solid inputs (kg/day) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 100% Total suspended solids (kg/day) 90% Waipara 80% Ashley 70% WDC Outfall 60% Cam 50% Ohoka 40% Cust 30% Kaiapoi 20% Waimakariri Styx 10% Avon 0% Heathcote CCC Outfall Month Figure 36: Total suspended solid inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers and outfalls sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011. 45 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury Total suspended solids (kg/day) 140000 120000 Waipara 100000 Ashley 80000 Cam Ohoka 60000 Cust 40000 Kaiapoi Styx 20000 Avon 0 Heathcote Month Figure 37: Total suspended solids inputs (kg/day) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River and the Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. 100% Total suspended solids (kg/day) 90% 80% 70% Waipara 60% Ashley 50% Cam Ohoka 40% Cust 30% Kaiapoi 20% Styx 10% Avon 0% Heathcote Month Figure 38: Total suspended solid inputs (as a percentage of the total) in rivers sampled in Pegasus Bay, 1 July 2010 – 30 June 2011 with the Waimakariri River, the Waimakariri District Council and Christchurch City Council outfalls excluded. 46 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury . 4 Conclusions Three of the sites surveyed were on the Waimakariri River. The Waimakariri River at Kainga Yacht Club was believed to be in the tidal zone, while the Waimakariri at Ferry Road was downstream of the confluence with the Kaiapoi River and so influenced by inputs from there. Consequently only data from the Waimakariri site at Stewarts Gully was used in analysis for this report. Analysis for the Ashley River is most likely underestimating nutrient loads as the sampling site does not capture the whole catchment with tributaries draining into the Ashley River downstream of the survey sampling point. All rivers sites except the Waipara, Ashley and Waimakariri had total nitrogen concentrations which were above reference guidelines (Table 4). Half of the rivers surveyed had average concentrations of total phosphorus which exceeded the reference guidelines (Table 4). All rivers had ammonia-nitrogen concentrations that were within reference guidelines. The Kaiapoi, Ohoka and Cust Rivers had DIN concentrations which were above reference values; while the Heathcote River exceeded reference guidelines recommended for DRP concentrations. All coastal sites were within the Canterbury coastal water reference values for total nitrogen and total phosphorus. The Waimakariri River contributed 80% of the flow from all the rivers surveyed between 2010 and 2011. The next highest flows came from the Ashley (7%) and the Waipara (3%) with the remaining rivers and two outfalls contributing less than 1.5% each. Principal Components Analysis (PCA) showed coastal sites were similar to each other in their overall nutrient composition regardless of where they are located in the bay, and with a few exceptions, most river sites were also more similar to each other and to the coastal sites in their nutrient composition. Cluster analysis identified four main groupings: the Kaiapoi and its tributaries, the Avon River, the Waimakariri and Heathcote Rivers and the remaining river sites with all coastal sites. The main drivers of the PCA patterns appear to be total nitrogen, total phosphorus and dissolved reactive phosphorus for river sites while for coastal sites they were total phosphorus and ammonia nitrogen. The Christchurch City Council outfall contributes the highest annual loads of DRP, DIN, TN and TP to Pegasus Bay. Inputs of total nitrogen, total phosphorus and total suspended solids from each of the rivers were calculated as a daily load (kg/day) and as a percentage of the total from all rivers. The Christchurch City Council outfall contributed the highest daily total nitrogen (47%) and total phosphorus (61%) loads followed by the Waimakariri River (20% and 25 % for TN and TP respectively). Excluding the Waimakariri River and WDC and CCC outfalls from analysis revealed the Kaiapoi to contribute the next highest loads of total nitrogen (27%); the Heathcote and Avon Rivers, 47 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury phosphorus (20% and 15% respectively) and most other rivers to be contributing similar daily loads of suspended sediments. The CCC and WDC outfalls combined contributed 49% of the daily total nitrogen and 66% of the daily total phosphorus, compared with 51% of daily TN and 34% of daily TP from the rivers. Physico-chemical parameters (eg. pH, dissolved oxygen and water temperature) although measured, have not been included for assessment in this report due to their variable nature. 5 Recommendations 5.1 Site selection The analysis presented in this report is primarily based on data collected by Environment Canterbury over a relatively limited period of time. The survey period was also characterised by significant earthquakes that hit the Christchurch area, and caused significant loss of life, damage to building and infrastructure, and, of particular relevance to water quality, to sewage and stormwater collection and treatment infrastructure. Also no monitoring was undertaken during one (February) of the 12 months in the period covered by the survey. Further, extensive soil liquefaction is likely to have increased fine sediment mobilisation and transport to streams and rivers. The water quality results obtained during the survey period were checked against long-term data, and were found to be not too dissimilar to long-term water quality at key monitoring sites, which provides a degree of confidence that the results and the analysis based on these results are representative of the longterm situation. It is plausible however, that the earthquake damage and consequences might have had an influence on water quality during the survey period. As a result, it may be advisable to repeat the survey in the future, particularly if eutrophication issues are identified or suspected in Pegasus Bay. If a similar survey was to be repeated, we make the following recommendations: - - - Site selection: Ideally, sites should be located at or near the bottom of the catchments in order to estimate the load of contaminants being exported from the said catchment. Consideration should for example be given to moving the Ashley River monitoring site closer to the bottom of that catchment; Timing of water quality and flow monitoring: Ideally, flow gauging’s and water quality sampling should occur the same day. Some of the flow gauging data provided for this study could not be used for the calculation of daily contaminant loads due to the flow gauging’s occurring several days after the water quality sampling. Alternatively, robust flow correlations with existing flow recorder sites could be established for some of the sites, in order to provide synthetic flow records that could be used in contaminant load calculations; Microbiological water quality could be included in the list of determinands monitored as part of the survey 48 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 5.2 Eutrophication issues in Pegasus Bay Nitrogen in the concentrations present at the coastal sites during the period of survey are not expected to be toxic to aquatic life, and phosphorus forms are generally not toxic to aquatic life. The key potential environmental issues associated with elevated nutrient concentrations in coastal waters relate to eutrophication, i.e. the promotion of excessive benthic or planktonic algae growth. It is unclear at the moment whether nutrient concentrations in Pegasus Bay are or are close to, causing excessive algal growth issues. It is recommended that this should be the focus of targeted monitoring over the next few years. This report characterises the nutrient loads entering the Pegasus Bay nearshore area from a number of non-point (rivers) and point- (wastewater outfalls) sources. It highlights in particular the significant contribution of the Christchurch City Council ocean outfall to the total loads of both TN and TP entering Pegasus Bay. Should significant actual or potential algal growth issues be identified in Pegasus Bay, the findings presented in this report would assist in identifying key nutrient sources and prioritising their management. 49 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury REFERENCES 1. ANZECC. (2000). Australia and New Zealand Guidelines for Fresh and Marine Water Quality. Australian and New Zealand Environment and Conservation Council. Agriculture and Resource Management Council of Australia and New Zealand. ISBN 09578245 0 5. 2. Bolton-Ritchie, L. 2007. The quality of coastal waters between Kaikoura and Pegasus Bay, July 1993 – June 2006. Environment Canterbury Report U07/16. 49pp. 3. Cox, D.R. and Hudson, R. M. 2003. Waimakariri outfall oceanographic data collection, 27 May to 25 July 2003. WRL Technical Report 2003/24. 4. Fenwick, G. 1999. The benthos off South Brighton, Pegasus Bay: a preliminary assessment. NIWA client report CHC99/53. Prepared for Christchurch City Council 5. Hadfield, M. and Zeldis, J. 2012. Freshwater dilution and transport in Canterbury Bight. NIWA Client Report WLG2011-54 for Environment Canterbury. 39pp + animations. 6. Kelly, D., Norton, N. 2010. Current nutrient loads and options for nutrient load limits for a case study catchment: Hurunui catchment. Environment Canterbury report R10/66. 50pp. 7. Miller, B.M., Glamore, W.C. and Hudson, R.M. 2004. Christchurch outfall: Twelve months data collection and modelling. WRL Technical Report 2004/14. 8. 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Stevenson, M., Wilks, T. and Hayward, S. An overview of the state and trends in water quality of Canterbury’s rivers and streams. Environment Canterbury Report R10-117. 80pp 50 Nearshore Coastal Water Quality, Pegasus Bay, Canterbury 51 APPENDICES 52