Age, Sex & Biological Factors

advertisement

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Age, Sex & Biological Factors

Key Messages:

 In 2011, the population of Betsi Cadwaladr University Health

Board (BCU HB) was estimated to be 687,800.

 BCU HB has higher proportions of people aged 55 years and over and lower proportions of the population aged between 15 and 34 years, compared to Wales.

 The proportion of the population aged under 18 years in BCU HB is 20.7%; lower than 21% in Wales as a whole.

 The proportion of people aged over 75 years in BCU HB is higher than the average for Wales, 9.3% compared to 8.6%. There is variation across UAs, MSOAs and localities.

 The proportion of the population aged 85 years and over in BCU

HB is just above the average across Wales, 2.7% compared to

2.5%. There is again variation.

 Five of the six counties in BCU HB are in the top 10 most sparsely populated counties in Wales.

 The percentage of the population in BCU HB aged 65 years and over has increased from 18.3% of the population in 2001 to

20.2% of the population in 2010, reflecting the aging of the population. This is a 10.4% growth in this population.

 The 65 year old and over population in BCU HB is predicted to increase by 60% between 2008 and 2033.

 There are large populations of temporary residents and tourists in North Wales which impact on the provision of health services.

 The General Fertility Rate (GFR) for BCU HB is above the average for Wales, 65.4 per 1,000 compared to 63.3 per 1,000.

 The proportion of low birth weight babies in BCU HB is lower than the average across Wales, 5.5% compared to 5.8%. There is considerable variation across MSOAs in BCU HB. MSOA

Denbighshire 006 (Rhyl South West) has the highest proportion of low birth weight babies, 8.2%. MSOA Conwy 003 (Llandrillo yn

Rhos, Penrhyn) has the lowest proportion, 2.9%.

 Teenage conception rates (15 to 17 year olds) across BCU HB are highest in Wrexham (42.8 per 1,000) which is higher than the average for Wales (37.7 per 1,000).

 The abortion rates in Unitary Authorities across BCU HB, with the exception of Gwynedd, are higher than the average for Wales.

 The Black and Ethnic Minority population in BCU HB is lower than the average for Wales, 2.4% compared to 4.4%.

 Overseas migration data are based on National Insurance

Registrations, although this is deemed to be an underestimation of the true figure. Data show that Wrexham has had the highest

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 1 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile number of registrations since 2002/03.

 The percentage of people, aged over three years, able to speak

Welsh in BCU HB ranges from 12.9% in Wrexham to 65.4% in

Gwynedd. All UAs in BCU HB have experienced a decline in the proportion of Welsh speakers between the 2001 and 2011

Census.

 There are 88,600 people of working age in BCU HB with a disability.

1. Demography

North Wales is a geographical area of approximately 2,500 square miles.

There are six unitary authorities (UA) within this region – Isle of

Anglesey, Gwynedd, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire and Wrexham, and one Health Board (HB) – Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board (BCU

HB).

Table 1 shows that in 2011, the approximate population of BCU HB was

687,800. Flintshire in the North East has the largest population of

152,500 and Anglesey in the North West has the smallest population,

69,700.

Table 1: Population numbers, Wales, Betsi Cadwaladr University Health

Board & unitary authorities, 2011

Wales

Numbers

3,063,500

Betsi Cadwaladr University HB

Isle of Anglesey

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

687,800

69,700

121,900

115,200

93,700

152,500

134,800

Source: ONS, Census 2011

Table 2 below shows that 705,715 individuals are registered with a GP in the BCU HB area; a further 8,160 BCU residents are registered with a GP in England and 1,607 with GP elsewhere in Wales. 8,064 individuals who are registered in BCU GP practices reside outside the BCU area. The

registered population is higher than the resident population, this could be partly explained by practice inflation, which occurs when people move to a new practice but do not notify their old practice of the move 1 . It may also be due to people accessing services outside their immediate local area. There are around 697,650 individuals registered with a GP in BCU

HB and residing in the region.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 2 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Table 2: Registered GP population, Betsi Cadwaladr University Health

Board, December 2012

Locality Numbers

Anglesey

Arfon

Central & South Denbighshire

Central Wrexham

Conwy East

Conwy West

Dwyfor

Meirionnydd

North & West Wrexham

North Denbighshire

North East Flintshire

North West Flintshire

South Flintshire

South Wrexham

England

Other Wales

Total registered population

66,078

69,148

42,174

52,246

54,030

62,940

25,168

31,992

40,339

59,377

61,343

39,124

48,729

53,027

8,160

1,607

715,482

Source: NWIS, 2011

Figure 1 and Table 3 shows that BCU HB has a larger proportion of the population aged 55 years and over compared to Wales and a smaller proportion of the population in the younger age groups, particularly the mid teens to early 30s age groups.

The proportions of each age band, over 55, over 65, over 75 and over 85 are all individually higher than the average for Wales as a whole. This is important as need for healthcare varies according to age, and in particular, the young and elderly, whose populations are not evenly distributed across the country 2 .

Increases in healthcare costs are strongly associated with increasing age and it is widely projected that the healthcare of the very elderly will account for an increasing proportion of health budgets in the future 3 .

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 3 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 1:

Proportion of population by age and sex

Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board and Wales, 2010

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using 2010 mid year population estimates, ONS

Betsi Cadwaladr females Betsi Cadwaladr males Wales females Wales males

85+

80-84

75-79

70-74

65-69

60-64

55-59

50-54

45-49

40-44

35-39

30-34

25-29

20-24

15-19

10-14

05-09

00-04

12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Proportion (%) of population

Table 3: Proportion and number of population by age and sex, Wales and

Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board, 2010

% total population Total population (thousands)

Betsi Cadwaladr Wales Betsi Cadwaladr Wales

% Males % Females % Males % Females

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

00-04

05-09

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

5.9

5.6

6.1

6.6

6.3

5.7

5.2

6.0

6.8

7.2

6.4

6.4

7.4

6.0

4.7

3.5

2.4

1.8

5.4

5.0

5.6

6.0

5.5

5.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

7.2

6.6

6.5

7.3

5.9

5.0

4.0

3.3

3.7

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using MYE (ONS)

7.2

6.4

6.2

6.8

5.4

4.3

3.3

2.2

1.7

6.0

5.6

6.2

6.9

7.5

6.2

5.3

6.0

6.8

7.2

6.5

6.2

6.7

5.5

4.5

3.8

3.1

3.4

5.5

5.1

5.6

6.3

6.7

5.8

5.2

6.0

7.0

Males Females Males Females

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

00-04

05-09

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

19.6

18.5

20.4

22.0

21.0

18.8

17.4

20.0

22.6

24.0

21.3

21.1

24.6

19.8

15.6

11.5

7.9

5.9

18.7

17.4

19.6

20.9

18.9

17.5

17.3

20.6

24.2

25.0

22.7

22.5

25.1

20.6

17.3

14.0

11.5

12.7

88.9

82.9

90.6

102.2

110.1

91.6

78.7

87.9

100.2

105.2

94.4

91.0

99.8

79.1

63.0

48.0

32.4

24.8

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using MYE (ONS)

110.4

99.2

95.2

102.9

83.7

69.7

58.6

47.1

51.7

84.7

78.3

85.8

96.4

103.2

89.7

79.4

92.5

107.0

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 4 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

1.1 Proportion of the population aged under 18 years

In BCU HB, 20.7% of the population is under the age of 18 years, compared with 21.0% in Wales as a whole. Figures 2 and 3 show how this varies across BCU HB, with the highest proportion of under 18s in

Flintshire UA (21.4%) and MSOA Wrexham 010 (Cartrefle, Queensway,

Wynnstay) at 29.4%, and the lowest proportion of under 18s residing in

Conwy UA at 20.0% and MSOA Gwynedd 001 at 10.2% (Deiniol, Hirael,

Marchog, Menai-Bangor). Locality boundaries are also given. Figure 4 shows the variation by UA across Wales.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 5 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Flintshire

008

016

011

017

014

005

015

013

018

012

002

020

001

019

006

004

007

003

010

009

Conwy

009

007

008

002

011

005

014

013

015

003

012

010

006

004

001

Figure 2: Percentage of population aged under 18 in Betsi Cadwaladr

University Health Board area, 2009

Produced by the Public Health Wales Observatory using data from ONS (MYE)

Gwynedd

Isle of Anglesey

003

006

007

009

001

004

008

005

002

24.5

22.6

21.4

21.1

20.8

18.9

18.8

17.9

17.8

% under 18

Isle of Anglesey

% = 20.6

002

003

006

004

005

008

009

007

011

015

012

016

010

014

013

017

001

21.5

21.3

20.7

20.0

18.7

18.7

18.2

17.8

16.4

10.2

% under 18

23.4

23.3

23.2

22.9

22.7

22.2

22.1

Gwynedd

% = 20.2

23.8

22.8

22.6

22.2

21.3

21.3

20.6

20.0

19.7

19.5

19.0

17.7

17.4

15.5

14.8

% under 18

Conwy %

= 20.0

Denbighshire

006

002

008

011

012

005

015

009

007

001

014

013

004

010

003

016

19.6

19.0

18.8

18.7

17.1

16.8

% under 18

22.6

22.3

22.3

21.4

21.1

21.0

20.9

20.6

20.3

29.3

Denbighshire

% = 20.6

21.2

20.7

20.3

19.7

19.7

19.6

19.4

18.3

% under 18

23.7

23.2

23.1

23.0

22.4

22.3

22.2

22.0

21.9

21.9

21.9

21.8

Flintshire % =

21.4

Wrexham

014

019

016

018

012

002

008

007

011

010

017

003

004

005

006

015

013

001

009

23.3

29.4

23.1

23.0

20.5

20.1

19.5

18.9

17.3

17.1

16.6

% under 18

22.8

22.5

22.2

22.2

21.6

21.2

20.6

20.6

Wrexham %

= 21.2

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 6 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 3: Percentage of the population aged under 18 years, Betsi

Cadwaladr University Health Board, locality areas, 2009

©Crown Copyright Licence Number 100022432

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, adapted by Claire Jones, March 2013

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 7 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 4:

Percentage of population aged under 18 by local authority, 2009

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS (MYE)

Wales = 21.0%

A reas o rdered geo graphically fro m no rth west to so uth east

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 8 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

1.2 Proportion of the population aged 75 years and over

In BCU HB, the proportion of the population aged 75 years and over is

9.3%, which is higher than the proportion in Wales as a whole, at 8.6%.

Again, there are variations across BCU HB. Figures 5 and 6 show that the highest proportion of the 75s and over reside in Conwy UA at 11.9% and

MSOA Conwy 004 (Llandrillo yn Rhos) at 20.4%, and the lowest proportion in Flintshire UA (7.5%) and MSOA Denbighshire 006 (Rhyl

South West) at 5.3%. Locality boundaries are also given. Figure 7 shows the variation by UA across Wales.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 9 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 5: Percentage of population aged 75 and over in Betsi Cadwaladr

University Health Board area, 2009

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS (MYE)

Gwynedd

Conwy

004

010

003

001

006

002

008

007

012

005

015

013

011

009

014

Isle of Anglesey

005

002

008

004

006

001

007

009

003

12.5

11.4

10.7

9.9

9.1

8.8

8.7

8.7

7.4

% 75 and over

12.0

10.5

10.5

9.9

9.8

9.2

9.1

8.9

8.1

7.9

% 75 and over

Flintshire

016

004

020

006

017

019

011

001

013

009

014

003

002

012

015

008

018

005

010

007

7.9

7.8

7.8

7.7

7.7

9.9

9.9

9.5

8.5

7.4

7.1

7.1

6.9

6.9

6.4

6.3

6.1

6.0

5.8

5.7

% 75 and over

15.8

15.7

15.4

15.3

Isle of Anglesey

% = 9.6

20.4

Conwy

% = 11.9

Flintshire

% = 7.5

011

016

007

009

015

006

017

014

010

013

012

008

002

005

004

003

001

14.3

13.6

12.3

11.6

11.4

11.4

11.1

9.8

9.2

9.1

8.4

8.2

8.2

7.8

7.3

6.7

5.6

% 75 and over

Denbighshire

004

014

003

016

001

002

010

007

005

012

013

009

011

008

015

006

12.9

12.9

12.7

12.4

12.1

11.8

11.2

10.3

9.6

9.6

9.5

9.0

7.8

7.5

7.4

5.3

% 75 and over

Wrexham

009

002

008

007

019

015

018

014

017

001

006

011

016

012

010

005

013

003

004

8.9

8.7

7.8

12.6

11.4

10.7

10.1

9.5

7.4

7.3

7.1

6.9

6.9

6.7

6.5

6.4

6.1

6.0

5.4

% 75 and over

Gwynedd

% = 9.7

Denbighshire

% = 10.2

Wrexham

% = 7.9

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 10 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 6: Percentage of the population aged 75 years and over, Betsi

Cadwaladr University Health Board, locality areas, 2009

Figure 7:

Percentage of population aged 75 and over by local authority, 2008

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS ( MYE)

Wales = 8.6%

Areas ordered geographically from north west to south east

Areas ordered geographically from north west to south east

1.3 Proportion of the population aged 85 years and over

In BCU HB, 2.7% of the population are aged 85 years and over, which is slightly higher than the average of 2.5% across Wales. Figures 8 and 9 show that the highest proportion of 85 year olds and over reside in Conwy

UA, 3.5% and MSOA Conwy 004 (Llandrillo yn Rhos), 6.8%. The lowest proportions live in Flintshire UA 2.1% and MSOA Wrexham 013 (Minera,

Penycae, Penycae & Ruabon South), 1.2%. Locality boundaries are also given.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 11 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 8: Percentage of population aged 85 and over in Betsi Cadwaladr

University Health Board area, 2009

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS (MYE)

Isle of Anglesey

0.0

008

005

002

004

007

006

001

009

003

748

3.5

005

002

0.0

001

009

003

MSOA

Wales (2.5%)

Local Authority

2.7

2.5

3.7

3.5

3.2

2.4

2.4

2.3

2.0

1.8

% 85 and over

Conwy

002

007

013

015

012

005

014

011

009

004

001

003

010

006

008 3.7

3.6

3.6

2.7

2.6

6.8

5.4

5.3

4.5

4.3

2.4

2.2

2.1

2.0

2.0

% 85 and over

Flintshire

014

001

008

018

007

012

010

009

019

003

011

002

015

020

016

004

006

013

017

005

2.1

2.1

2.0

2.0

1.8

1.8

1.7

2.5

2.4

2.2

2.8

2.8

2.7

2.6

1.7

1.6

1.6

1.5

1.5

1.3

% 85 and over

4.0

Conwy

% = 3.5

6.0

4.0

Isle of Anglesey

% = 2.7

6.0

Gwynedd

016

012

007

005

002

006

015

009

008

001

004

003

014

011

017

010

013

8.0

3.2

3.0

3.9

3.9

3.7

3.7

2.9

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.2

2.1

2.0

1.9

1.9

1.6

% 85 and over

Denbighshire

012

007

005

009

008

013

011

015

006

004

014

002

016

010

003

001 3.5

3.3

2.7

2.7

2.6

4.0

3.7

2.5

2.4

2.1

1.9

1.3

% 85 and over

Flintshire

% = 2.1

Wrexham

009

002

015

008

019

007

018

012

001

006

011

005

016

017

010

014

004

003

013

3.8

3.2

2.9

2.7

2.5

2.1

2.0

1.9

1.8

1.8

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.2

1.8

1.6

1.6

1.2

% 85 and over

10.0

10.0

4.5

4.4

4.2

5.1

4.0

12.0

12.0

Gwynedd

% = 2.6

Denbighshire

% = 3.3

Wrexham

% = 2.3

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 12 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 9: Percentage of the population aged 85 years and over, Betsi

Cadwaladr University Health Board, locality areas, 2009

©Crown Copyright Licence Number 100022432 Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, adapted by Claire Jones, March 2013

©Crown Copyright Licence Number 100022432

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, adapted by Claire Jones, March 2013

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 13 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

2. Population Density

Population density provides a measure of the concentration of people living in an area. It is calculated by dividing the population by the geographical area in square kilometres.

Population density varies across Wales. The chart below shows that five out of the six North Wales counties – Gwynedd, Anglesey, Conwy,

Denbighshire and Wrexham – are in the top 10 most sparsely populated counties in Wales. This is important as the cost of providing healthcare may be higher in remote rural areas because of diseconomies of scale.

Figure 10: Population density, Wales & unitary authorities, 2011

Source: Office for National Statistics, Census 2011

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 14 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

North Wales has 62 areas which are classed as ‘urban’ (that is, an area with a minimum population of 1,500). 40 of these areas have populations of less than 5,000 people and 14 areas have populations of 10,000 people or more (Table 4).

It should be noted that this data is now 10 years old and we are awaiting analyses of data from the 2011 Census.

Table 4: Main urban areas in North Wales, 2001 census

Wrexham,

Colwyn Bay

Rhyl

Shotton (inc. Hawarden)

Prestatyn

Buckley

Brymbo/Gwersyllt

Abergele

Connah’s Quay

Bangor

Llandudno

Rhosllanerchrugog

Flint

Holyhead

UA Area

Wrexham

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

Conwy

Flintshire

Gwynedd

Conwy

Wrexham

Flintshire

Anglesey

Resident population

42,576

30,269

25,390

24,751

18,496

18,268

17,912

17,574

16,526

15,280

14,872

13,246

11,936

11,237

Source: Census 2001

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 15 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

3. Population Change

Table 5 shows that here has been a 3.5% increase in the population of

BCU HB between 2001 and 2011, with Wrexham experiencing the largest percentage increase.

Table 5: Population change, Wales, Betsi Cadwaladr University Health

Board & unitary authorities, 2001-2011

2001 population

(number)

2011 population

(number)

Change since

2001 (%)

Wales

Betsi Cadwaladr UHB

Isle of Anglesey

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

2,910,200

664,500

67,800

116,800

109,700

93,100

148,600

128,500

3,063,500

687,800

69,700

121,900

115,200

93,700

152,500

134,800

5.3

3.5

2.8

4.4

5

0.6

2.6

4.9

Source: Office for National Statistics

To look at the percentage chance in specific age-bands, we need to look at mid-year population estimates, as this specific data is not yet available from the 2011 Census. The percentage of the population in BCU HB aged

65 years and over has increased from 18.3% of the population in 2001 to

20.2% of the population in 2010, reflecting the aging of the population.

This is a 10.4% growth in this population.

There has been a 6.8% increase in the population aged 75+ in the same period. The population aged 85+ has grown by 12.5%.

This is important as it is widely projected that the healthcare of the very elderly will account for an increasing proportion of health budgets in the future 3 ; this is shown in Figure 11 and Table 6.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 16 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

15

10

5

0

25

20

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 11:

Percentage of the population aged 65+, 75+ and 85+, persons, Betsi

Cadwaladr University Health Board area, 2001-2010

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using MYE (ONS)

30

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

65+

75+

85+

65+ 75+ 85+

Table 6:

Percentage of the population aged 65+, 75+ and 85+, persons, Betsi Cadwaladr

University Health Board area, 2001-2010

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

18.3 18.5 18.6 18.7 18.9 19.0 19.2 19.5 19.8 20.2

8.8

2.4

8.9

2.4

9.0

2.3

9.0

2.3

9.0

2.4

9.1

2.5

9.2

2.6

9.2

2.6

9.3

2.7

9.4

2.7

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 17 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

-10

-20

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

4. Projected changes in total population from 2008 to

2033

Figure 12 shows that the 65 year old and over age group in BCU HB is predicted to increase by 60% between 2008 and 2033. The proportion aged 75 years and over (Figure 13) is projected to increase around 7% and 8% per cent in Flintshire and Wrexham to around 15% and 14% respectively during this period. In Conwy, the proportion is projected to rise from around 12% to 18%. The percentage aged 85 years and over

(Figure 14) is projected to double from around 2% to 3.5% to around

5.5% to 7% by 2033 4 .

It is important to note that population projections provide estimates of the size of the future population, and are based on assumptions about births, deaths and migration. The assumptions are based on past trends.

Projections only indicate what may happen should the recent trends continue. Projections done in this way do not make allowances for the effects of local or central government policies on future population levels, distribution and change 1 .

Figure 13:

2008-based population projections for Betsi Cadwaladr University Health

Board, persons: 2008 to 2033

Produced by the Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from the Welsh Assembly Government

0-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65+

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 18 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

12

10

8

6

18

16

14

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 14:

Projected population, 2008-2033, % aged 75 and over

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from the Welsh Assembly

Government

Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy

Flintshire Wrexham Wales

20

Denbighshire

* Y-axis is truncated

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 19 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

5

4

3

2

7

6

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 15:

Projected population, 2008-2033, % aged 85 and over

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from the Welsh Assembly

Government

Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy

Flintshire Wrexham Wales

8

Denbighshire

* Y-axis is truncated

Further Information

 Public Health Observatory Wales: Population estimates and projection resources

5. Transient Populations

5.1 Temporary Residents

There is a high concentration of caravan sites on the coastal strip of North

Wales, predominantly around Kinmel Bay and Towyn.

There are likely to be substantial numbers of long-term caravan residents in North Wales who access local health services. However, research from

Lincolnshire 5 has found that the Census of Population, the electoral register and Council Tax register all seriously under-record this

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 20 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile population. The omissions from the Census of Population are particularly important because Census data (and the mid-year population estimates built upon Census data) plays a central role in public sector funding formulas.

Key findings on demography of the surveyed caravan population in

Lincolnshire found 5 :

 nearly three-quarters are over 55, and more than 40 per cent over

65

 over 60 per cent describe themselves as ‘retired’

 fewer than a quarter have a job – and this low figure includes a number of site

 workers for whom the caravan came with the job

The households surveyed spend a large proportion of the year living in a caravan:

 85 per cent live on site for at least three months of the year

 over 40 per cent live on site at least nine months of the year

 43 per cent don’t return to another home elsewhere for part of the year

 39 per cent consider their caravan or chalet to be their main home

 39 per cent are permanently registered with a GP at the caravan’s address.

These findings could also be applicable to North Wales.

5.2 Tourists

North Wales is a prime tourist destination, predominantly for visitors from the North West of England/ Merseyside (Liverpool and Manchester), who stay in coastal resorts such as Llandudno, Rhyl and Prestatyn.

The large increase in the number of visitors, especially in the summer months, may lead to increased pressure on health care resources.

In 2011, there were almost 3.5 million overnight visits to North Wales.

Overall, there was a 15% increase in overnight visits to North Wales between 2009 and 2011.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 21 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Table 7: Overnight tourism by GB visitors to North Wales, 2009-2011 millions

2009

2010

2011

3.0

3.4

3.4

Source: Great Britain Tourism Survey

These figures do not include day visits, which are covered in the GB Day

Visits Survey (GBDVS). This was undertaken for the first time in its present form in 2011, so comparative or trend data is not yet available.

Day visits are very significant, however, and GBDVS tells us that in 2011, some 26 million day trips from home were made to destinations in North

Wales. Overseas tourists are covered separately in the International

Passenger Survey. Data for 2011 are not yet available, but in comparison with GB, the volume is relatively small, around 300,000 trips annually to

North Wales.

A review conducted by the National Public Health Service (NPHS) for

Wales on the impact of tourism on health found the following 6 :

 There is little research done on the health impacts of tourism in the

UK

 Holidaymakers have different patterns of consulting in primary care than the resident population, consulting more often for respiratory,

Gastrointestinal, minor infections and skin complaints

 Workload for GP’s in popular holiday resorts can increase in summer months.

 Holidaymakers are often ill prepared for their trip, forgetting vital medications and travelling after major illnesses and surgery.

Comprehensive pre-trip counselling by health professionals in the

‘donor’ areas, especially for those with chronic conditions, could reduce burden on health services in the ‘host’ areas.

 Local residents are more likely to present at A&E for illnesses, and tourists are more likely to present at A&E for accidents in one

Australian seaside resort.

 Tourists often have little local knowledge of conditions, putting them at increased risk of accidents, especially in relation to the natural environment.

 Comprehensive data collection on tourist health episodes and good communication and information sharing between Health Services,

Tourist Industry and Local Government can aid planning for the health impacts of tourism.

 Risky behaviour in terms of alcohol use, drug use and sexual behaviour increase when people are on holiday.

 The hedonistic, ‘carnavalised’, transient atmosphere of UK seaside resorts, together with easy access to alcohol can contribute to risk

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 22 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile taking in the sexual behaviour of young people. Young people are often drawn into the leisure and entertainment industry geared towards adults which can leave them open to exploitation.

 Transport problems and issues with visibility and confidentiality can prevent young people from accessing sexual health services in the rural areas surrounding seaside resorts. Schools can be successful in directing young people to appropriate services.

 According to the Single Issue Panel report, Primary Care Trusts in

England may not currently be reimbursed under the Out of Area

Treatment scheme, for temporary residents attending A&E, minor injuries units and outpatient clinics. This may be particularly important in areas with high levels of tourism where the allocation of health service resources are not currently reflecting the burden of tourist health encounters on some services.

6. General Fertility Rate

The general fertility rate (GFR) is defined as the total number of live births born to females who are of childbearing age in a population, i.e. those aged between 15 and 44 years. This rate provides a useful indicator when studying population growth and change.

Across Wales and the UK, the GFR fell between 1998 and 2001/2002.

Figure 15 shows it has been slowly rising since 2001/2002. It has been postulated that this upturn has been largely driven by increasing birth rates among older women. In 2010, the BCU HB GFR was higher than the

Wales rate (65.4 per 1,000 compared to 63.3 per 1,000), but closely reflects the Welsh pattern.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 23 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 15:

General fertility rate per 1,000 females aged 15-44 years, Wales &

Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board, 1998-2010

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory using ADBE/MYE (ONS), adapted by

Claire Jones, March 2013

BCU HB Wales

70.0

60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0

Further Information

 Public Health Wales Observatory: UA level trend data

Figures 16 and 17 show that the GFR for 2006-8 is highest in Wrexham

UA (64 per 1,000) and MSOA Wrexham 010 (Cartrefle, Queensway,

Wynnstay) at 93 per 1,000 and lowest in Gwynedd UA (58 per 1,000) and

MSOA Gwynedd 001 (Deiniol, Marchog, Hirael, Menai [Bangor]), 21 per

1,000; rates are particularly low in parts of Bangor where there is a large student population. Figure 16 also shows locality boundaries. Figure 18 shows how GFR varies in UAs across Wales.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 24 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

008

015

013

016

005

017

011

012

018

010

004

003

002

007

009

014

020

006

019

001

007

010

002

009

005

004

015

014

013

001

008

011

003

006

012

Figure 16: General fertility rate per 1,000 in Betsi Cadwaladr University

Health Board area, females aged 15-44, 2006-08

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS (ADBE, MYE)

MSOA GFR with 95%

Gwynedd confidence interval 006 77

Isle of Anglesey

009

012

008

004

007

003

71

68

68

68

003

001

006

004

007

009

002

008

005

52

52

GFR

62

62

60

58

74

68

68

Isle of Anglesey

GFR = 63

011

015

002

005

016

010

013

014

017

001 21

54

54

51

49

67

67

64

64

63

60

57

Gwynedd

GFR = 58

GFR

Conwy Denbighshire

51

51

GFR

61

60

58

56

55

53

67

66

63

61

71

69

84

Conwy

GFR = 62

004

006

011

001

007

014

003

010

012

008

015

013

005

009

016

002

47

46

GFR

56

55

55

53

53

52

84

72

84

69

58

68

57

56

Denbighshire

GFR = 61

Flintshire

Wrexham

54

52

52

52

51

51

50

48

45

61

58

58

58

GFR

69

67

67

66

74

73

71

Flintshire

GFR = 60

013

019

014

001

016

008

011

018

007

009

002

010

012

005

015

017

003

004

006

55

51

48

48

61

59

58

62

61

69

68

47

47

GFR

76

73

73

72

70

93

Wrexham

GFR = 64

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 25 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 17: General fertility rate per 1,000 females aged 15 to 44 years,

Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board locality areas, 2006-2008

Figure 18:

General fertility rate per 1,000, by local authority, 2006 -08

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS (ADBE, MYE)

95% confidence interval

Wales = 59.7

Areas ordered geographically from north west to south east

7. Low Birth Weight

Birth weight is measured to identify children who are most at risk of dying young or suffering health related problems in childhood. There is a strong correlation between social deprivation and low birth weight. Figure 19 shows that the percentage of low birth weight births is smaller in BCU HB

(5.5%), compared to 5.8% in Wales as a whole. Figures 20 and 21 show that within BCU HB, the highest percentage of low birth weight babies is in Conwy and Denbighshire UAs (6%), and the lowest in Gwynedd UA

(5%). There is considerable variation across MSOAs; the MSOA with the highest proportion of low birth weight babies is Denbighshire 006 (Rhyl

South West) at 8.2% and the MSOA with the lowest is Conwy OO3

(Llandrillo yn Rhos, Penrhyn) at 2.9%. Figure 20 also shows locality boundaries.

Figure 21 illustrates the variation in low birth weight in UAs across Wales.

Figure 22 shows trends in low birth weight for the six UAs in BCU HB between 2001 and 2009.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 26 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 19: Low birth weight in Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board area, percentage of singleton live births, 1998-2007

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS (ADBE, MYE)

MSOA % with 95% confidence interval

Isle of Anglesey

003

005

001

006

008

002

007

004

009

6.8

6.0

5.7

5.6

5.2

5.0

4.8

4.4

4.3

% low birth weight

Conwy

009

004

006

015

014

011

012

008

003

010

007

013

005

001

002

2.9

6.0

5.5

5.3

5.2

5.0

4.7

4.4

7.3

7.2

7.1

7.0

6.7

6.5

6.3

% low birth weight

Isle of Anglesey

%LBW = 5.4

Conwy

%LBW = 6.0

Gwynedd

012

017

014

002

015

013

004

016

006

003

008

001

009

011

007

010

005

4.4

4.2

4.2

3.6

3.6

3.5

3.4

5.3

5.1

5.0

4.9

4.7

4.6

4.5

7.5

6.8

6.0

% low birth weight

Denbighshire

006

004

003

005

011

009

6.3

6.2

5.9

5.8

8.2

7.4

6.7

6.6

008

001

016

010

007

015

002

014

012

013

Wrexham

4.7

4.6

4.2

4.1

5.8

5.6

5.4

5.3

% low birth weight

Gwynedd

%LBW = 5.0

Denbighshire

%LBW = 6.0

Flintshire

001

020

016

005

006

014

003

013

002

008

007

009

015

017

004

011

012

018

010

019

4.7

4.6

4.3

4.2

5.4

5.2

5.1

4.9

4.8

4.7

8.1

5.8

7.4

5.8

5.7

5.6

5.4

4.1

3.8

3.7

% low birth weight

Flintshire

%LBW = 5.3

010

005

012

004

011

014

017

002

003

015

006

013

007

009

008

019

001

016

018

7.5

7.0

6.1

5.8

5.8

5.6

5.5

5.5

5.4

5.4

5.2

4.9

4.9

4.8

3.0

4.7

4.4

4.3

4.1

% low birth weight

Wrexham

%LBW = 5.4

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 27 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 20: Low birth weight, all singleton live births, Betsi Cadwaladr

University Health Board, locality areas, 1998-2007

©Crown Copyright Licence Number 100022432

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, adapted by Claire Jones, March 2013

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 28 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 21:

Low birth weight by local authority, percentatge of singleton live births, 1998-2007

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using data from ONS (ADBE, MYE)

95% confidence interval

Wales = 5.8%

Areas ordered geographically from north west to south east

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 29 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 22:

Rate per 1,000 live births, Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board local authority areas, 2001-05 to 2005-09 and Wales

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using ADBE (ONS)

Local authority Wales

Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd

6

5

7

6

5

4

9

8

3

2

1

0

Conwy

Denbighshire

4

3

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

9

8

7

Do not use as chart y axis label for the 6 micro charts

2002-06 2004-08

95% confidence interval

Only to be used for chart title, legend and

2005-09

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

9

8

7

Further Information

 Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board: Executive Director of Public

Health Annual Report 2011. The Early Years – building the blocks for future life.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 30 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

8. Teenage Conceptions

Teenage pregnancy is a known cause of health inequality and childhood poverty. Evidence has shown that teenage pregnancy is related to poor maternal and child health outcomes. There is an increased risk of teenage mothers failing to complete their education, suffering from post natal depression and other mental health issues and of living in poverty. There is a 60% increase in the Infant Mortality Rate in comparison to older mothers 7 .

Children of teenage mothers are at risk of poor health, poor housing, low educational attainment and lower rates of economic activity in adult life

(Department of Health, 2010).

NICE Guidance

 Prevention of sexually transmitted infections and under 18 conceptions

8.1 Conceptions, under 16 year olds

There are around 100 conceptions to females aged 13 to 15 years each year in BCU HB. This equates to a conception rate of 7.8 per 1,000 females aged 13 to 15 years. Table 8 shows that the rates for Anglesey and Conwy in 2008-10 (8.2 per 1,000) are above the average for Wales

(7.8 per 1,000). Denbighshire has the lowest conception rate for under 16 year olds.

Table 8: Under 16 conceptions, (numbers and rates) and outcome, three year aggregates, Wales and Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board unitary authorities, 2007-09 to 2008-10

2007-2009 2008-2010

Number of

Conceptions

Conception rate per

1,000 females

% of conceptions leading to abortion

Number of

Conceptions

Conception rate per

1,000 females

% of conceptions leading to abortion

Wales 1,329 8.0

7.2

7.1

8.4

6.9

6.4

7.5

54.6

48.1

55.3

52.0

57.9

51.9

66.0

1,265

29

51

48

35

59

54

7.8

8.2

7.8

8.2

6.5

7.0

7.8

56.7

62.1

60.8

45.8

60.0

55.9

64.8

Source: Office for National Statistics

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 31 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 23 shows trends in teenage conceptions for females aged 13 to 15 years for the six UAs in BCU HB, from 1999 to 2008.

Rate per 1,000 live births, Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board local authority areas, 2001-05 to 2005-09

Board local authority areas, 1999 to 2008

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using Conceptions data (WG)

Local authority Wales

95% confidence interval

20

Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd

6

15

10

5

5

0

20

Conwy

4

15

10

5

3 0

2002-06

Denbighshire

Do not use as chart

Only to be used for chart title, legend and y axis label for the 6 micro charts

2004-08 2005-09

20

15

10

5

0

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 32 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

8.2 Conceptions, under 18 year olds

Table 9 shows that there were 463 of conceptions to women aged 15 to

17 years in BCU HB in 2010; this number is lower than previous years.

Table 9: Number of conceptions, females aged 15 to 17 years, Wales,

Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board and unitary authorities, 2001-

2010

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Numbers

2010

Wales 2,529 2,601 2,609 2,605 2,521 2,598 2,622 2,578 2,293 2,081

BCU HB

Isle of Anglesey

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

479

46

88

74

64

109

98

518

44

95

82

73

116

108

526

44

70

104

79

101

128

566

43

79

99

92

107

146

575

41

85

100

82

115

152

581

55

91

110

80

100

145

572

51

106

85

95

124

111

550

58

82

93

95

106

116

524

62

94

85

84

92

107

463

42

74

77

66

105

99

Source: Office for National Statistics (ONS)

In 2010 the conception rate per 1,000 young women aged 15 to 17 years in England was 35.4; the Wales rate was higher at 37.7 per 1,000 females aged 15 to 17 years.

Table 10 shows that in 2010 Wrexham has the highest rate of conceptions among 15 to 17 year olds (42.8 per 1,000). Gwynedd has the lowest rate in BCU HB (33.7 per 1,000). Teenage conception rates (15 to 17 year olds) in Wrexham, Conwy and Flintshire are higher than the average for

Wales.

Table 10: Conception rate per 1,000 females aged 15 to 17 years, Wales and Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board unitary authorities, 2001-

2010

Rate per 1,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Wales 45.5

46.0

45.7

45.0

43.6

45.0

44.9

44.3

40.1

37.7

Isle of Anglesey 36.0

34.8

34.0

32.5

31.1

40.9

36.8

41.5

46.8

34.0

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

44.1

38.3

37.3

47.0

41.5

40.8

34.6

53.4

42.8

38.0

49.3

50.5

40.5

49.4

44.7

43.3

52.6

42.6

49.3

40.2

49.8

38.1

43.4

48.6

42.6

41.0

43.6

33.7

38.7

35.2

Flintshire

Wrexham

38.7

40.4

35.5

37.5

40.5

34.2

41.2

35.8

32.3

37.8

40.6

44.9

55.8

62.2

62.5

58.8

43.9

46.9

44.2

42.8

Source: Office for National Statistics (ONS)

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 33 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Figure 24 shows trends in under 18 conceptions for the six UAs in BCU HB from 2000 to 2009. There has been an increase in some areas, but a decline in others.

Figure 24: local authority areas, 2001-05 to 2005-09

Board local authority areas, 2000 to 2009

Produced by Public Health Wales Observatory, using Conceptions data (ONS) & (WG)

Local authority Wales

Gwynedd

80

6

60

Isle of Anglesey

95% confidence interval

4

60

40

20

3 0

40

5

20

0

80

Conwy

2002-06

Denbighshire

Do not use as chart

Only to be used for chart title, legend and y axis label for the 6 micro charts

2004-08 2005-09

80

60

40

20

0

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 34 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

8.3 Abortion Data

Table 11 shows that abortion rates within BCU HB vary from 14.2 per

1,000 females aged 15-44 years in Gwynedd to 19.0 per 1,000 in

Wrexham. All rates are higher than the average rate for Wales with the exception of Gwynedd. Abortion rates in Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire and Wrexham are higher than the average for England and Wales.

Table 11: Legal abortions, numbers and rates per 1,000 females aged

15-44 years, 2011

Number Rate

England & Wales

England

Wales

Anglesey

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

189,931

181,438

8,493

167

312

287

265

455

455

17.5

17.6

14.9

15.5

14.2

18.8

17.8

18.5

19.0

Source: Department of Health

9. Black and Minority Ethnic Population

In BCU HB, the Black and Minority Ethnic (BME) population is approximately 2.4%. Table 12 shows that, at UA level, BME population figures range from 1.5% in Flintshire to 3.5% in Gwynedd.

Table 12: Percentage of population by ethnicity, Wales, Betsi Cadwaladr

University Health Board and unitary authorities, 2011

Percentage

Wales

White

95.6

Black &

Minority Ethnic

4.4

Mixed

1.0

Betsi Cadwaladr University HB

Isle of Anglesey

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

97.5

98.3

96.5

97.7

97.4

98.5

69.9

2.4

1.7

3.5

2.3

2.6

1.5

3.1

0.7

0.6

0.8

0.7

0.8

0.5

0.7

Source: ONS

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 35 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Further Information

 Welsh Government 2012. Statistical Bulletin, 2011 Census: First

Results for Ethnicity, National Identity, and Religion for Wales

 Public Health Wales: A report on the health/health promotion needs of the black and minority ethnic communities in North

Wales.

10. Overseas Migrant Population

It is very difficult to estimate the migrant population from overseas in

BCU HB, but an indication can be obtained from the number of National

Insurance Number Registrations, shown in Table 13 and Figure 25. This is likely to be an underestimate of the overseas migrant population, however, as some migrants may have registered elsewhere. The data shows that Wrexham has had the highest number of registrations since

2002/3.

Migrant workers are not asylum seekers or refugees. They may or may not have unmet needs but are not included in legislation or services for asylum seekers 1 .

Table 13: National Insurance Number Registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK by year of registration and LA, 2002/03-

2011/12

Isle of Anglesey

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

0.07

0.22

0.14

0.14

0.14

0.26

0.10

0.30

0.23

0.23

0.14

0.46

Source: Department for Work & Pensions

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

0.15

0.49

0.36

0.27

0.27

0.95

0.23

0.74

0.56

0.52

0.74

1.45

Date: March 2013

Page 36 of 43

0.17

0.62

0.48

0.44

0.73

1.17

0.16

0.70

0.40

0.25

0.65

1.13

0.13

0.67

0.35

0.26

0.44

0.82

0.10

0.50

0.26

0.15

0.33

0.76

0.10

0.63

0.30

0.20

0.53

1.10

0.09

0.57

0.23

0.18

0.48

0.68

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

1.60

1.40

1.20

1.00

0.80

0.60

0.40

0.20

0.00

Figure 25: National Insurance Number Registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK by year of registration and LA, 2002/03-

2009/10

Source: Department of Work & Pensions

Isle of Anglesey

Denbighshire

Gwynedd

Flintshire

Conwy

Wrexham

Further Information

 National Public Health Service. Guidance on healthcare issues for asylum seekers in Wales: 2009.

11. Welsh Language

Table 14 shows data on the proportion of people over three years of age who can speak welsh by UA area; this data is taken from the 2011 Census

8 .

In BCU HB, Gwynedd has the highest proportion of Welsh speakers,

65.4%, which is considerably higher than the average for Wales, 19.0%.

The proportion of Welsh speakers in Flintshire (13.2%) and Wrexham

(12.9%) is lower than the average for Wales. All UA areas in BCU HB have experienced a decline in the proportion of Welsh speakers between the 2001 and 2011 Census, with the largest decline occurring in Gwynedd

(-3.6%).

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 37 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Table 14: Number and proportion of people (aged 3 and over) able to speak Welsh, Wales and Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board unitary authorities, 2001-2011

2001 2011 Difference

Wales

Number

582,368

%

20.8

Isle of Anglesey 38,893 60.1

Gwynedd 77,846 69.0

Conwy

Denbighshire

31,298

23,760

29.4

26.4

Flintshire

Wrexham

20,599 14.4

18,105 14.6

Number

562,016

38,568

77,000

30,600

22,236

19,343

16,659

%

19.0

57.2

65.4

27.4

24.6

13.2

12.9

Number %

-20,352

-325

-846

-698

-1,524

-1,256

-1,446

-1.7

-2.9

-3.6

-2.0

-1.8

-1.2

-1.7

Source: ONS / Census 2011

Further Information

 Welsh Government 2012. Statistical Bulletin, 2011 Census: First

Results for Ethnicity, National Identity, and Religion for Wales

 Welsh Assembly Government (2010) Local Area Summary

Statistics Heritage: Welsh speaking

12. Religious Beliefs

According to the 2011 census, almost 440,000 residents of BCU HB state their religion as Christianity, with the second highest group being those who profess no religion. Table 15 shows the distribution by UA.

Table 15: Percentage of people who state their religion as specified,

Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board unitary authorities, 2011

Christian Buddhist Hindu Jewish

Muslim

(Islam)

Sikh

Other religion

Numbers

No religion

Religion not stated

Isle of Anglesey

45,400 165 45 40 250 43 257 17,797 5,754

Gwynedd 72,503 426 238 55 1,378 39 637 36,163 10,435

Conwy

74,506 347 206 62 583 17 478 30,017 9,012

Denbighshire 60,129 266 167 32 469 8 345 25,132 7,186

Flintshire

101,298 344 158 70 482 29 362 38,726 11,037

Wrexham 85,576 351 504 58 860 87 310 36,927 10,171

Source: ONS / Census 2011

Further Information

 Welsh Government 2012. Statistical Bulletin, 2011 Census: First

Results for Ethnicity, National Identity, and Religion for Wales

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 38 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

13. Sexual Orientation

The Integrated Household Survey is the largest social survey produced by the Office for National Statistics. Questions on sexual identity were added to the survey in 2009 and are asked to respondents aged 16 years and over. Results are shown in Table 16, 17 and 18.

In summary, the survey indicates that:

 94% of adults identified themselves as heterosexual/straight;

 1% of the survey population identified themselves as gay or

lesbian;

 0.5% identified themselves as bisexual;

 0.4% identified themselves as ’other’.

Table 16: Sexual Identity by Gender, United Kingdom, April to March

2009/10 and 2010/11

2009/10

Men

2010/11

Women

2009/10 2010/11

Percentages

Total

2009/10 2010/11

Heterosexual / Straight

Gay / Lesbian

Bisexual

Other

Don't know / Refusal

No response

94.0

1.3

0.3

0.5

3.1

0.8

93.6

1.3

0.4

0.4

3.6

0.7

94.5

0.6

0.6

0.5

3.3

0.5

94.3

0.6

0.6

0.3

3.6

0.6

94.2

0.9

0.5

0.5

3.2

0.6

94.0

1.0

0.5

0.4

3.6

0.7

Source: Office for National Statistics

Table 17: Sexual Identity by Gender, Wales, April to March 2009/10 and

2010/11

Percentage

Heterosexual / Straight

Gay / Lesbian

Bisexual

Other

Don't know / Refusal

No response

94.2

0.9

0.3

0.3

2.9

1.4

Source: Office for National Statistics

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 39 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Table 17: Sexual Identity by age group, United Kingdom, April to March

2009/10 and 2010/11

16-24 25-34 35-49 50-64

Percentages

65+

Heterosexual / Straight

Gay / Lesbian

Bisexual

Other

Don't know / Refusal

No response 2

91.4

1.1

1.0

0.3

4.9

1.3

93.6

1.4

0.6

0.3

3.4

0.7

94.0

1.4

0.4

0.3

3.2

0.7

95.2

0.7

0.3

0.3

2.9

0.6

94.7

0.3

0.3

0.5

3.9

0.3

Source: Office for National Statistics

According to Stonewall Cymru, information on the health of the lesbian and gay population in Wales is hard to determine. Using research evidence gathered from health surveys conducted in England, it notes that individuals who are lesbian or gay can:

 Consult late with medical practitioners because of the fear of intrusive and judgmental questioning;

 Experience higher levels of emotional and physical vulnerability when admitted into hospital or receiving healthcare;

 Exhibit to a greater proportion than the general population, many of the illnesses and diseases associated with being discriminated against by others;

 Be vulnerable to experiencing higher levels of mental health issues;

 Lack the social structures to promote wellbeing and good health.

In Wales, Stonewall Cymru believes that among the lesbian and gay population there is no reason to suspect these health factors are any different from across the rest of the UK. However the demographic nature of the lesbian and gay community can mean that such considerations are exacerbated by rural isolation, economic inactivity and peer group oppression. Stonewall Cymru has published a report exploring the health needs of lesbian, gay and bisexual people in North and Mid Wales – Inside

Out Project 9 .

This made the following recommendations:

 All health care staff should receive training on sexual orientation issues both in health care and equality of treatment.

 Health care agencies should improve the recognition, acknowledgement and treatment of same-sex sexual orientation issues both in health care and equality of treatment.

 NHS Wales to increase access to specific sexual health services for lesbian, gay and bisexual people.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 40 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

 Health care staff to accept the right of a patient to nominate their same-sex partner/family of choice member as their first point of contact or primary carer (often referred to as ‘next of kin’).

 Statutory bodies to provide sustainable funding and support to the participation of lesbian, gay and bisexual community researchers/interacters in creating an access point and dialogue with this ‘hard to reach’ community.

14. People living with a physical/sensory disability

In October 2010, the Equality Act 2010 replaced most of the Disability

Discrimination Act. The new Act defines a person as having a disability if they have a physical or mental impairment which has a substantial and long-term adverse effect on their ability to perform normal day-to-day activities. The Act also considers progressive conditions to be a disability.

People with Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), cancer or multiple sclerosis are protected by the Act from the point of diagnosis, as are people with some visual impairments 10 .

Levels of disability are an indicator of population health at all ages.

Although not an inevitable consequence of ageing, increasing age is commonly associated with increasing disability and loss of independence, with function impairments such as loss of mobility, sight and hearing. A range of health conditions lead to physical disability such as congenital conditions, injury, stroke, diabetes, vascular disease, arthritis and neurological conditions. Sensory impairment, for example hearing and sight problems, can be related to congenital conditions, diabetes, cataracts, glaucoma, and age.

Table 19 shows that the number and percentage of people of working age with disabilities in BCU HB is 21.2%, which is lower than the 24.4% in

Wales. However, there are 88,600 people in BCU HB of working age with a disability.

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 41 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

Table 19: Number and percentage people of working age (16-64 years) with disabilities, Wales, Besti Cadwaladr University Health Board and unitary authorities, 2012

Number %

Wales 463,300 24.4

Betsi Cadwaladr UHB

Isle of Anglesey

Gwynedd

Conwy

Denbighshire

Flintshire

Wrexham

88,600 21.2

8,900 21.5

14,100 19.3

13,900 21.7

13,800 23.6

19,300 20.3

18,600 21.7

Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS (StatsWales)

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 42 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Public Health Wales North Wales Health Profile

15. References

1.

National Public Health Service & Wales Centre for Health 2009. Betsi

Cadwaladr University Health Board: Demography Profile . [Accessed

18.02.13]

2.

Ball R., King D, Eiser D. Assessing relative spending needs of devolved

government: the Case of Healthcare Spending in the UK. University of

Stirling September 2012.

3.

Caley M, Sidhu, K. Estimating the future healthcare costs of an aging population in the UK: expansion of morbidity and the need for preventative care. Journal of Public Health. 2010. Vol. 33, No. 1, pp.

117–122.

4.

Public Health Wales Observatory 2011. Director of Public Health Annual

Report Chart Book: Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board.

5.

Beatty, C., Fothergill, S., Powell, R., 2012. Centre for Regional

Economic and Social Research, Sheffield Hallam University. Living in

Seaside Caravans . People, Place & Policy Online [Accessed 18.02.13.]

6.

National Public Health Service for Wales, 2005. Health Impacts of

Seasonal Demographic changes in areas with high levels of tourism in the UK – Key findings from the literature.

7.

Department of Health 2010. ‘Teenage pregnancy strategy: Beyond

2010’ . Department of children, schools and families. Department of

Health. London. [Accessed 18.02.13]

8.

Welsh Government, 2012. 2011 Census: First Results on the Welsh

Language . [Accessed 18.02.13]

9.

Stonewall Cymru 2007. Inside Out Project . [Accessed 18.02.13]

10.

Home Office 2010. Equality Act 2010 . [Accessed 18.02.13]

Author: Jones C, Atenstaedt R et al

Version: Oc

Date: March 2013

Page 43 of 43

Status: Working Draft

Intended Audience: BCU HB and partners

Download