RESEARCH PROPOSAL EDUARDO MESQUITA PEREIRA ALVES CRISIS AND TRANSFORMATION IN THE REGULATION OF FINANCIAL SYSTEMS: COMPARISON OF THE BRAZILIAN AND JAPANESE LEGAL FRAMEWORKS 2013 ABSTRACT This project’s focus is on the performance of Financial System Regulatory Institutions in Brazil and Japan from the comparative perspective of how both countries’ legal frameworks have adapted to face internal and external crises, therefore concerning not only how they react to global and local financial crises, but also how to deal with crises of trust, autonomy, independence and democratic deficit. While Japan relied for decades on a rigorous but nontransparent regulation, exercised by the Ministry of Finance and by the BOJ, the model failed in the face of a changing economic scenario, being replaced by a system shared between ministries, regulatory agencies and the Central Bank in a much more transparent and autonomous model. Brazil, in turn, has struggled with complex, overloaded and inefficient regulation that does not offer enough space for expert action without influence from the political sphere, despite recent changes in its legislation. This study aims to extract from the comparison of these two systems an analysis of structural characteristics of the financial system, normative and regulatory activity, as well as how it can be optimized to respond to crises and changes in the economic scenario Key-words: Financial System, Brazil, Japan, Financial Regulation, Central Banking Table of Content 1. Background .................................................................................................... 4 2. Objectives....................................................................................................... 5 3. Justification..................................................................................................... 6 4. Methodology ................................................................................................... 7 6. Research Plan ................................................................................................ 8 References ......................................................................................................... 9 4 1. Background Japan represented the greatest symbol of economic development success during the 60’s, 70’s and 80’s, until it finally succumbed to an unprecedented crisis. While much of its economic success relied on the solidity and security of the Financial System, which was able to deal with major global crises for three decades, the combination of the bubble economy, structural factors and lack of supervision due to an inefficient regulatory framework made the Japanese banking and financial crisis in the late 80’s more acute and long-lasting when compared to similar banking problems in other countries. When new crises hit the country in the late 90’s and 2000’s, its ability to react was put to the test, and changing the financial system regulation framework was one of its main breakthroughs. In 2013 the independence of the Central Bank has been questioned by the LDP, bringing the financial system framework once more into discussion. Brazil, in turn, faced serious social and economic problems during the second half of the 20th century due to an authoritarian and dictatorial regime that was unable to develop efficient economic, fiscal and monetary policies. The Brazilian Financial System was disorganized; its Central Bank did not enjoy a great deal of autonomy, with constant changes in its main positions. Banking and credit policy were not well regulated and supervised, and public financial institutions were used for electoral purposes. These problems led to a major economic crisis with a critical three digits inflation scenario. The situation started to change with a new Financial System regulation framework devised by the 1988’s Constitution and new legislation arising from this new frame. However, there is much room for improvement, especially in institutional and legislation remodeling. The present research intends to focus on the shaping and improvement of legal institutions that govern both countries’ financial systems, without forgetting that economic, social and political factors play a fundamental role in the performance of such institutions. 5 Therefore, the comparison should be guided by a careful consideration of underlying elements that can influence the performance of those systems. 2. Objectives This study aims to identify the key legal, structural and institutional aspects of financial system regulation, based on the Japanese and Brazilian comparison case. Among the main points to be clarified are: a) the structural modification in legislation before, during and after serious crises faced by both countries, especially the role played by Central Banks in those key events; b) the relevance of features of system adaptability to specific circumstances of a given economic order and momentum; c) the differences between frameworks designed for short, medium and long-term challenges and objectives; d) choices concerning the separation or not of a Central Bank’s supervisory and regulatory power Concerning the institutional perspective, the research will deal on how to legally define clear limits to the role of the Ministry of Finance, Central Bank and other regulatory authorities. By studying Japanese and Brazilian law in detail, as well as the legislative process and reasoning that led to the adoption of the current regulatory framework, the aim is to not only objectively understand the system, but to produce a critical analysis of the relations of (in)dependence among agents that compose the formal and informal division of powers and functions in the regulation structure. The comparison also highlights the political and sociological aspect that differentiates developed and developing countries in relation to formal obedience to the law, stability and strength of democratic institutions and regulatory authorities. More importantly, by deriving general rules and principles it will be possible to diagnose some of the main legal factors that can lead to the worsening of crises, helping both countries to devise the best legal solutions to maintain a healthy regulatory framework even in periods of cyclical economic crisis. 6 By looking at the major legislative changes in Japan, as the revision of the Bank of Japan Law, the redistribution of some roles previously exercised by the Ministry of Finance and the creation of a regulatory agency (FSA), Brazil may be able to provide its regulatory framework with greater legal clarity and efficiency, making the performance of both the Central Bank and Ministries more predictable and transparent, based on the definition of rules that establish objective criteria concerning state intervention on private financial agents. Japanese researcher, on the other hand, can benefit from this study by learning more about the financial structure of one of the major emerging markets in the world. This can lead to a better understanding of law and economy in developing countries in general and can provide valuable information concerning the risks of investing in such countries. 3. Justification The legal researcher does not have a laboratory to test and improve legislation and institutions. He must look at other time periods and other nations to learn from their mistakes and successes. Considering that Financial Systems are highly globalized and integrated, and that economic patterns repeat themselves around the world, financial regulation is a fertile field of Comparative Law studies. Also, taking in account the need for regulatory harmonization, the field actually asks for more studies that help to conciliate different frameworks, allowing institutional changes to be consistent with international standards of regulation and supervision. Therefore, unlike some areas of law that are concerned only with domestic issues, Comparative Public Economic Law deals with global issues that can only be solved through international cooperation. The research is justified in firstly as a theoretical need since it fills gaps in two areas of law studies. 1) In a general perspective, it fills a gap of Comparative Law due to the absence, in both Brazil and Japan, of studies in Comparative Public Law between the two countries. 7 Despite the economic success and institutional effectiveness of Japan in the twentieth century, the country has not received sufficient attention by Brazilian jurists as a possible source of inspiration for developing effective public policies and legal solutions. As much as cultural, economic and social aspects may constitute barriers to "import" or “export” these solutions between the two countries, the same argument could be raised with respect to Western nations with significant differences in social structure, which did not prevent both countries from adopting even whole legal frameworks from Europe or the United States. 2) With respect to Economic Law, especially Regulatory Law, the research contributes to the consolidation of new standards of legal and institutional design in the field. Well-designed legislation establishes a framework that enables a regulatory authority to pursue those responsibilities for which it is designed, in the most efficient way. The research also justifies itself as a pragmatic need. Japanese and Brazilian experience shows that problems dependent on an efficient relationship between law and economics cannot be solved by a classical approach. The drafting of the new legislation concerning financial system regulation is not based on principles set by administrative law or classic banking law, but on principles derived from the assessment of needs from a specific economic order. The change of intervention methods, the distinctive features of a legislation that ensures the transparent performance of the regulatory authorities, and the security of economic agents need the empirical support that only comparative law can provide. Ultimately this type of research can help to avoid some of the worst effects of economic crises. 4. Methodology In order to achieve the proposed objective the research will follow two lines of investigation. The first, eminently historical, seek to understand the influence of legal phenomena on political and economic institutions trying to clarify how they mutually influence each other through the recent history of crises. 8 The approach does not intend to take an evolutionary perspective of institutions to demonstrate a supposed superiority of the new over the old. Rather, the analysis of different historical moments has the scope to demonstrate that such changes are responses of the legal system to to transformations in the economic and political reality, and as such, are not better or worse, but possible reactions necessary for maintaining an acceptable level of institutional balance. The second line of investigation will be effectively a survey of the normative aspects of the Brazilian and Japanese regulation legal framework based on the careful reading and comparisons of Acts and Laws from both countries. From those comparisons we hope to devise legal and economic principles that underlie the legislation, in search of both derivation of general concepts and principles of economic law and specific techniques of regulation adopted by these countries. The theoretical research will be followed by a more practical investigation of the recent activity of regulatory authorities and institutions in order to check their commitment with the formal framework . Finally, the work will counteract the actual results of financial system transformation in regulation in both Japan and Brazil allowing the empirical learning of foreign experience in developing legal systems. 6. Research Plan This research will be conducted in four phases: 1) Conceptual Phase; 2) design of research , 3) complementary reading of works considered useful to fill the gaps left by the previous phases, 4) synthesis comparison and writing. 1) Conceptual Phase: This phase is mostly concerned with background research. It will be conducted by searching and reviewing scientific literature in order to clearly formulate the problem and develop the theoretical construction of the research. Estimated Duration: 10 months 9 2) Design of Research: It involves the construction of definitions; selection of specific objects of study and methods of research, analysis of more specific literature as well as empirical data. In this phase the formulated questions will be completely dissected by using the previous acquired theoretical framework. - Estimated Duration: 5 months 3) Solving Problems: Selections of additional and complementary reading, as well as review of the most relevant papers and books already read. This phase is meant to effectively solve the major theoretical and terminological questions risen during the investigation. - Estimated Duration: 4 months 4) Analytic Phase: Synthesis of the content researched and final draft of the work. Represents the synthesis of ideas and the confrontation between the Japanese and the Brazilian framework. In short, it is the moment to draw critical conclusions and to identify the main points of convergence and divergence between both countries. -Duration: 4 months References ALEXANDER, Arthur. The Arc of Japan’s Economic Development. London: Routledge, 2008 CARGILL, Thomas F.; ITO, Takatoshi, HUTCHISON, Michael M.The Political Economy of Japanese Monetary Policy, Cambridge: MIT Press, 1997 CARGILL, Thomas F.; ITO, Takatoshi, HUTCHISON, Michael M. Financial Policy and Central Banking in Japan, Cambridge: MIT Press, 1997 FRANKEL, A; MORGAN, P. B.. “Deregulation and competition in Japanese banking”, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bulletin, August, 1992. 10 GRAU, Roberto Grau. A ordem econômica na Constituição de 1988. São Paulo: Malheiros, 2001 HORNE, James. Japan's Financial Market: Conflicts and Consensus in Policymaking. 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