NACLIM Deliverable D22.14 Colour code: Your inputs to be provided in the parts in green Template prefilled by project office in the grey sections 1st batch-Newly acquired & updated time series provided to data portal for CMIP model data comparison Deliverable title (Full title: 1st batch-Newly acquired and updated time series provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison. Data acquired in NACLIM is used to update the time series at key regions and is provided to the NACLIM data portal. The agreed data format shall be used (e.g. CMIP5 OBS netcdf or OceanSITES or others) WP No. 2.2 Lead beneficiary: WP title Transports in the subpolar North Atlantic Work duration1) 12 NIOZ Due delivery deadline: 15 Sept.2013 Actual delivery date: R= report Nature of the deliverable P= prototype D= demonstrator X O= Other PU = public X Dissemination level PP= restricted to other programme participants, including the Commission services RE= restricted to a group specified by the consortium, including the Commission services CO= confidential, only for members of the consortium, including the Commission services 1) Work duration = project month Lead beneficiary: NIOZ Laura de Steur Other contributing partners: GEOMAR Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved MRI Page 1 SAMS Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved Page 2 Index 1. Executive summary ........................................................................................................... 4 2. Project objectives .............................................................................................................. 4 3. Detailed report on the deliverable ...................................................................................... 4 4. References ........................................................................................................................ 5 5. List of publications ............................................................................................................. 5 6. The delivery is delayed: Yes No ............................................................................. 6 7. Changes made and difficulties encountered, if any............................................................ 7 8. Efforts for this deliverable .................................................................................................. 7 9. Sustainability ..................................................................................................................... 7 Page 3 1. Executive summary Please provide in 1 page: - a brief summary of the work performed in this deliverable - a list of the main results achieved Input requested here. 2. Project objectives With this deliverable, the project has contributed to the achievement of the following objectives (see DOW Section B.1.1): Please put an X where appropriate Nr. 1. Objective Assessing the predictability and quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of the North Atlantic/Arctic Ocean surface state 2. Assessing the atmospheric predictability related to the North Atlantic/Arctic Ocean surface state 3. Monitoring of volume, heat and fresh water transports across key sections in the North Atlantic 4. Quantifying the benefit of the different ocean observing system components for the initialization of decadal climate predictions 5. Establishing the impact of an Arctic initialization on the forecast skill in the North Atlantic/European sector 6. Quantifying the impact of predicted North Atlantic upper ocean state changes on the oceanic ecosystem 7. Quantifying the impact of predicted North Atlantic upper ocean state changes on socioeconomic systems in European urban societies 8. Providing recommendations for observational and prediction systems 9. Providing recommendations for predictions of the oceanic ecosystem 10. Disseminating the key results to the climate service community and relevant endusers/stakeholders 11. Constructing a dataset for sea surface and sea ice surface temperatures in the Arctic 3. Detailed report on the deliverable Please write a detailed report on the work done. Input requested Page 4 Yes No X X X X X X X X X X X 4. References Please quote references here for this deliverable Author, (year), “Title”, doi: Input requested 5. Dissemination and uptake 5.1 Dissemination Add the publications related to this deliverable. Please fill in the table below in ALL its parts. These are inputs we must upload in the European Commission database SESAM. Peer reviewed articles: Title Main author All authors Example Systematic Estimates of Initial-Value Decadal Predictability for Six AOGCMs Branstator, G., H. Teng, G.A. Meehl, M. Kimoto, J.R. Knight, M. Latif, and A. Rosati Title of the periodica l or the series JOURNA L OF CLIMAT E Number, date or frequency Publisher VOLUME 25 America n Meteorol ogical Society Place of publicat ion Check the NACLIM „Dissemination Plan“ on the open access requirements: http://naclim.zmaw.de/Deliverables.2224.0.html 1 Page 5 Year of publication Permanent identifiers[1] DOI 2012 DOI: 10.1175/JCL I-D-1100227.1 Is/Will open access 1provided to this publication? Yes Publications in preparation OR submitted Is there any publication in plan or already submitted. Add lines if needed. In preparation OR submitted? Title All authors Title of the periodical or the series Example: In preparation Decadal Predictability Branstator, G., H. Teng, G.A. Meehl, M. Kimoto Is/Will open access be provided to this publication? 5.2 Uptake by the targeted audience According to the DOW, your audience for this deliverable is: The general public (PU) X The project partners, including the Commission services (PP) A group specified by the consortium, including the Commission services (RE) This reports is confidential, only for members of the consortium, including the Commission services (CO) How are you going to ensure the uptake of the deliverables by the targeted audience? Input requested 6. The delivery is delayed: Yes No If yes, please write four lines for justifying the delay and estimate risks for the project. Input requested Page 6 7. Changes made and difficulties encountered, if any If you have encountered difficulties or made changes, please write four lines of explanation. Input requested 8. Efforts for this deliverable How many person-months have been used up for this deliverable? Partner Person-months NIOZ GEOMAR MRI SAMS 3 2 0.25 1.25 6.5 Period covered From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy Total Total estimated effort for this deliverable (DOW) was 6.5 person-months. 9. Sustainability Lessons learnt: both positive and negative that can be drawn from the experiences of the work to date and Links built with other deliverables, WPs, and synergies created with other projects Input requested Page 7 10. Dissemination activities Add the dissemination activities (starting from November 2012) related to this deliverable. Fill in the table below in all its parts. [3] Indicate here which type of activities from the following list: Publications, conferences, workshops, web, press releases, flyers, articles published in the popular press, videos, media briefings, presentations, exhibitions, thesis, interviews, films, TV clips, posters, Other. [4] Indicate here which type of audience: Scientific Community (higher education, Research), Industry, Civil Society, Policy makers, Medias ('multiple choices' is possible. Type of activities[3] Main leader Title (+website reference) Date Place Type of audience[4] Size of audience Countries addressed Have you sent a copy to Chiara (project office) via mail? Presentations UPMC 16th AOMIP and 1st FAMOS meetings http://www.whoi.edu /page.do?pid=1094 56 23-26 October 2012 Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts (USA) Scientific Community (higher education, Research) 150 USA, Europe Yes Page 8 Page 9 Description of the work package in the Description of Work (DOW) for reference Objectives WP 2.2 • To provide time series of critical variables (volume, heat, and freshwater transport) in key areas of the Subpolar North Atlantic (SPNA) suitable for the assessment of the CMIP5 models. • To provide time series of water mass formation and transformation rates in the centre of the deep convection areas in the SPNA suitable for the assessment of the CMIP5 models. • To analyse the efficiency of the observational system in respect to the requirements for an assessment of the model data and also considering sustainability aspects. Description of work and role of the partners Existing and newly acquired observational data will be analyzed to derive reference time series suitable for the assessment of the hindcast predictive skill of the CMIP5 models. The focus is on time series of critical variables (volume, heat, and freshwater transport) in focus areas as the warm water inflow region, the deep western boundary current, and the SPNA deep water formation areas. Dedicated observations as well as data available via the GOOS (e.g. satellites, Argo) will be considered. The data will be formatted compliant with the CMOR2 output (see: http://cmip-pcmdi.llnl.gov/cmip5/obs4mips.html) Task 2.2.1 Upper layer transport in the Subpolar gyre a) Using data from a moored array on the Reykjanes Ridge, the transport of volume, heat and freshwater in the northward flowing Irminger Current will be investigated and provided as input for CMIP5 model assessment. Other data (e.g. SSH, SST, atmospheric reanalysis) will also be incorporated in the analysis of the time series data. A comparison with time series data northwest of Iceland (WP 2.1) will be done to allow for a differentiation of the northward flowing branch from the re-circulating branch of Atlantic Water in the Irminger Gyre. [NIOZ, MRI] Task leading to deliverables D29, D31, D44, D55, D14 b) Glider sections will be conducted in the eastern part of the SPNA gyre to provide validation of the model's ability to capture the seasonal variability of the hydrographic properties in the inflow region. [SAMS, UiB] Task leading to deliverables D31, D44, D55 Task 2.2.2 Lower layer transport in the Subpolar gyre Existing current, temperature and salinity data obtained from instruments deployed at an array of moorings spanning the DWBC at the southern exit of the Labrador Sea at 53°N will be analyzed in the context of assessment of the CMIP5 models. The array is designed to capture the fundamental features of the intervening water mass structure: the deep DSO temperature minimum, the overlying LSW temperature and salinity minimum, and the intervening ISO temperature and salinity maximum. The data will be used to assess characteristics of the deep water pathways. [GEOMAR] Task leading to deliverable D6 and D31 Task 2.2.3 Connection between Upper and Lower layer in the Subpolar gyre a) Using existing and newly obtained observational data from moored instrumentation in the central Labrador and Irminger Sea, the convection variability and water mass transformation will be analyzed and prepared for use to assess the CMIP5 models. Multiple Irminger Sea moorings will be merged into one system. A prototype system to collect critical atmospheric data in convection centers will be added to investigate the impact of small scale event on the upper layer stratification and in comparison to atmospheric reanalysis data. [GEOMAR, NIOZ] Task leading to deliverable D6 and D31 b) A high resolution, full-depth hydrographic section will be obtained from Canada to Greenland to Scotland. A near-synoptic, eddy-resolving view of mass transports and the associated fluxes of heat, salinity and freshwater and salt on the complete subpolar circulation at one moment in time will be provided and used for testing the representativeness of CMIP model’s basin scale description of properties and currents. The impact of seasonal variability on the MOC and net fluxes of heat and freshwater will also be examined by constraining the one-time section with time-varying transports from Argo/boundary current arrays and sea-surface height variability. [ [SAMS, NIOZ] [+ NERC as in-kind contribution]. Task leading to deliverable D29, D14 and D55 Task 2.2.4 Sustainability of observations and link to other projects The optimization of the observatory system in reference to NACLIM science goals requirements will be done. The requirements for sustained transport time series will be evaluated considering existing as well as proposed/planned international projects in general (e.g. Ocean Observatories Initiative OOI, FixO3, EMSO, RAPID) and in particular in the framework of GOOS (including Argo). In particular, the contribution of funded Page 10 and proposed EU projects addressing European marine infrastructure, such as GROOM and FixO3, will be considered. [GEOMAR, NIOZ, SAMS] [+ NERC as in-kind contribution] Task leading to deliverable D8 Interaction with other work packages The scientific investigations in WP2.2 address the assessment and improvement of the observing system south of the Greenland/Scotland Ridge. First an assessment of the existing system will be done (including the GOOS components such as Argo floats). Next different routes in optimizing the system will be taken: Dedicated optimization experiments such as a quasi synopthic research cruise task 2.2.3, glider observations, additional moorings at the Reykjanes Ridge, merging of existing moorings. As such the WP2.2 is very well linked to WP2.1 which propose to do similar work but for the region north of the Greenland Scotland Ridge. The work is also in close collaboration with WP2.3 which will mainly synthesize the existing (pre-NACLIM) and upcoming NACLIM data into variables and matrices that characterize the state of the system in a more compact and comparable way. For more information on this interactions with WP 2.3: please see the explanation in WP2.3. Work in WP2.2 is also closely linked to the observing system experiments proposed in WP3.1, but based on an idealized model world only. By defining suitable ways in comparing data/model but in a “matrix world”. WP 2.2 and 3.1 run in parallel but talk to each other, in the sense that they need to verify what they can learn from each other. This means that WP2.2 can learn WHERE observations should be focused and WP3.1 can learn where and how to design “virtual” observations in the models. WP3.1 investigates whether transports can be assimilated: the experience obtained in WP3.1 will be provided to WP 2.2. The data products generated in WP2.2 will be provided to WP1.1 and WP1.3. List of deliverables D22.6) Pre-NACLIM time series data provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison: Existing time series data is provided to the NACLIM data portal. Preliminary agreement on the data format has to be agreed on (e.g. CF format). [month 6] Who is in charge: GEOMAR D22.8) Report on the technical characteristic of the observing system operated in NACLIM south of the sills: The existing observing system is reviewed in the NACLIM context (south of the sill). The instrumentation as well as sampling characteristic is described in the report. [month 18] Who is in charge: GEOMAR D22.14) 1 batch-Newly acquired & updated time series provided to data portal for CMIP model data comparison: Full title: 1st batch-Newly acquired and updated time series provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison. Data acquired in NACLIM is used to update the time series at key regions and is provided to the NACLIM data portal. The agreed data format shall be used (e.g. CMIP5 OBS netcdf or OceanSITES or others). [month 12] Who is in charge: NIOZ D22.29) 2 Batch-Newly acquired&Updated timeseries provided to dataportal for CMIP model data comparison: Full title: 2nd batch of newly acquired and updated time series are provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison. Data acquired in NACLIM is used to update the time series at key regions and provided to the NACLIM data portal. The agreed data format shall be used. [month 24] Who is in charge: NIOZ D22.31) Report on the upper & lower transport variability at NACLIM key sections in the Subpolar gyre of NA: Full title: Report on the upper and lower transport variability at NACLIM key sections in the Subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic. Based on historical and NACLIM observational data, as well as data accessible as part of GOOS (e.g. satellite sea-surface temperature, sea level anomaly) the variability in key areas will be quantified. [month 30] Who is in charge: SAMS D22.44) 3 Batch-Newly acquired&Updated timeseries provided to dataportal for CMIP model data comparison: Full title: 3rd batch of newly acquired and updated time series are provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP Page 11 model data comparison. Data acquired in NACLIM is used to update the time series at key regions and provided to the NACLIM data portal. The agreed data format shall be used. [month 36] Who is in charge: NIOZ D22.55) Data sets converted in a format compliant with CMOR2 output and published: All data is converted to the CMOR compliant data format (based on NetCDF/CF). [month 44] Who is in charge: GEOMAR Page 12 Person-months per participant Deliverable title Pre-NACLIM time series data provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison 1st batch-Newly acquired and updated time series provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison Report on the technical characteristic of the observing system operated in NACLIM south of the sills 2nd batch of newly acquired and updated time series are provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison Report on the upper and lower transport variability at NACLIM key sections in the Subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic 3rd batch of newly acquired and updated time series are provided to NACLIM data portal for CMIP model data comparison Data sets converted UH A M D Q MP G UPM C UiB UniR ES To t P M SAM S NE RC/ ICP O 4.7 5 2.00 0.50 1.00 1.25 2.00 NIO Z 6.5 2.00 0.25 3.00 1.25 2.00 GE OM AR 21 10.00 0.25 0.50 10.25 10.0 0 NIO Z 6.5 2.00 0.25 3.00 1.25 2.00 SA MS 61 16.00 6.25 4.75 34.00 16.0 0 NIO Z 6.7 5 2.00 0.25 3.00 1.50 2.00 GE 3.2 2.00 0.25 0.50 0.50 2.00 Page 13 GEO MAR DMI HA V Person-months (PM) FMI MRI NIO Z Lea d ben efici ary GE OM AR NER SC VITO GI M DTU MSS in a format compliant with CMOR2 output and published OM AR 5 Page 14