Greek/World economic crisis and income inequality University of Ioannina Department of Economics Course: English for Economists IV Instructor: Theodora Tseligka Academic year: 2013-2014 Skoufi Maria (2857) Sakkoy Lydia (2855) Index: 1) Introduction……………………………………………………………….page 2 2) Greek economic crisis…………………………………………………page 2 3) Causes of economic crisis………………………………………….page 3 4) Greek economic crisis and income inequality……………..page 5 4.1) Importance of income for Greek economy…….page 5 4.2) Effects of crisis on income…………………………….page 6 5) Conclusion………………………………………………………………….page 8 6) References………………………………………………………………….page 9 1 1) Introduction The economic crisis began in 2007, from the United States because of the wrong monetary policy of the Central Bank, low interest rates and low investment, lead the market in “bubble”. The crisis reached in Europe from the crisis of debt that became dramatic in 2010 and began from the economic collapse of Portugal, Ireland, Iceland, Greece and Spain. Moreover, the European Economic and Monetary Union was swinged equally. The initial shock that began from the precarious housing loans in America began to influence the markets of money of developed countries in August 2007. 2) Greek economic crisis Present situation: One of the most important consequences of economic crisis is the increase of unemployment, which has reached a double-digit number while between the young persons the percentage of unemployed exceeds 25%. When it comes to the course of Greek industry, not only the reduction of turnover which is at 26,8% and causes intense concern, but also the indicator of new orders. This indicator fall at 36% and decreases continuously the degree of employment of productive potential for the next months. It results that the total employment fall at -1,3% in annual base the passed May. The unemployment reached in the 8,5% of workforce, with the unemployed increasing in the 420 thousands against the 324 thousands that were one year before. The overdraft cheques and unpaid exchange exceeded the two billions of Euros from the start of the year. The whole market works with postdated cheques, which because of the recession they function as a reverse pyramid. They do not only threaten what is published and in this case their cover is in any case lost. They threaten they torpedo even healthy enterprises if these burst in their hands. Then responsible governmental factors ensured that the Greek economy is still shielded and they prepared the eminent parcel of support of real economy of 28 billions of Euros. If the expenses exceed the income, the government marks deficit and it should proceed in lending. Thus is created debt. Moreover, if the government has accumulated debt from previous years, at which she functioned marking deficit, the deficit at the running year increases further the debt. 2 3) Reasons of economic crisis The fact is that up to 2004 the country is found in the 29 more developed countries of the world. Who is the most basic reason of the current crisis? It was expected that the world economic crisis of 2008 would also reach Greece, as it happened after one year, even if Greece had not made investments in Iceland as a lot of other countries had. The problem began in 1981 when the government tried and finally accomplished to decrease the unemployment in big levels, following however the policy of engagement in the public sector and their payment with Danish. Thousands executives and not, are engaged in all public services of state, a policy that found worthy imitators in all political spaces. A regular acquaintance in all of us from the season of Ottoman domination, said roysfet, that was continued with incomparable eagerness and from the first political parties of recently established Greek state. Another reason of this crisis was also the political corruption and opacity of transactions, thing that happens in a lot of countries with entrusting of big economic work in businessmen, governmental friends and other factors which for the entrusting of work gave and give still big monetary sums under the table in the mediators governmental employees. The scandals of political corruption in Greece constituted cover page of the newspapers the last 30 years with reports even for the ministers. Still the huge expenses for equipment that were realised took into consideration the safety of country and the balance of forces led to a waste of public money for the purchase of useless and very expensive arms. Furthermore, a big problem that constitutes and one from the main reasons of crisis is the tax evasion. From the season of foundation of Greek state the tax evasion constitutes a constant arrangement in Greece. Naturally the tax evasion does not come so much from the function but mainly from the finances powerful social layers and especially from enterprises, businessmen and professional from all branches. The last 30 years, thousands luxurious villas, yachts, luxurious cars have filled Greece with a new generation of rich. Illegal rural residences were created in forestall spaces and beaches, but reasons of public interest were almost unverified. Another fact that has contributed in the crisis was also the unverified lending from banks. With the appearance of credit card Greeks began to spend irresponsibly for refrigerators and cookers up to cars of luxury and ships. As a result billions was lost by these lendings providing that many were unable to pay the installments. Therefore thousands cars and home were confiscated 3 because of the weakness of arranging the loans. Also, a basic reason of the current crisis that has affected Greece and other European states as Portugal and Spain is also the globalisation of economy. The phenomenon of globalisation affected Greece where a lot of monitoring local and foreigners preferred investments in cheap markets in countries with cheap workforce, even if the medium wage in Greece is from the lowest in Western Europe. A lot of Greek businessmen made factories in the Balkan countries and thousands local enterprises closed. 4 4) Greek crisis and income inequality Income distribution has experienced a lot of changes in the last decades. Two of the reasons of income inequality are first the technological change, as the main factor of changes in the wage and as a secondary cause we have globalization. Growing inequality has contributed to the imbalances that caused the crisis, since between the richest and poorest economic classes of Greece society opens more and more social gap, resulting Greece currently to own one of the worst places at European level, regarding the “economic inequality” of citizens. 4.1) Importance of income for Greek economy The unequal distribution of income can lead to financial crisis, because low income as inequality widens it forces to borrow more and more money, which provide their surplus with higher incomes, consequently increasing their profits, and aggravated the income deficit. Within such a powered positive cycle, the economic imbalance and crisis are not far. Income inequality can lead to less economic growth, while redistribution of income does not damage, but instead helps an economy. There was evidence that very high taxes or transfers to the poor could harm growth. By reducing inequality the redistribution would also help economic growth. 5 4.2) Effects of crisis on income Negative effects: a) For decades the perception of economists headed by liberal faculty and ideas of the American economist and Nobel laureate Milton Friedman, who supported the theory that the more the governments decrease the taxation of the rich, the protection of workers and the distribution of wealth, the more they would thrive. The faculty declared the superiority of free markets, without ever hiding distrust towards state interventions and state policies to redistribute income in particular. Its supporters argue that economic policy which has developing and not redistributive character, eventually favors the weaker social groups. In contrast, according to them the redistribution discourages high incomes and businesses at the expense of society. b) Based on the data of 2012 ( 2011 income ), published by the Hellenic Statistical Authority for "economic inequality " in Greece, the income share of the richest 20 % of the population is 6.6 times greater than the income share of the poorest 20 % of population. The opening of the "gap" between the richest and the poorest, demonstrated by the fact that in 2010 (2009 income) was 5.6. Also, 25 % of households with the lowest income holds 8.7 % of the total national income (in 2011 it held 9.4 %), while households with the highest incomes account for 47 % of total national income. At the same time, economic inequality for those aged 65 years and older is estimated at 4.5 (on a par with 2011), while for those under 65 rose to 7.4 from 6.3 in 2011. Based on the list compiled by the Hellenic Statistical Authority, according to the index of income distribution (S80/S20), "winner" of the economic inequality is Spain (7.2), while Greece (6.6) lies in second place among the European countries which have been examined. According to the rate GINI, Greece is the 4th worst (in the worst position is Latvia with 35.9% and at best is Norway with 22.6% in 2012). c) After the Greek economic crisis, income inequality has declined in Greece. The GINI coefficient decreased from 0.33 in late 1990’s to 0.31 in the late 2000’s. The ratio of disposable income of the richest to the poorest has decreased from 9.7 to 7.4. 6 This chart represents the GINI indicator for Greece and for the time period from 1960 up to today. It represents the first period from 1981 up to roughly 1987 the indicator GINI is regularly inclined. It was then in 1987 when the taxation had gone up for enterprises for about 45%. However, from 1990 and afterwards, with “moderns”, GINI begins to take the opposite course to the top. Comparing the prices of this indicator today, in Greece it appears to take the higher value. Through this example it becomes obvious that unequal distribution of wealth constitutes the basic imprint of globalisation. Which however are the mechanisms behind the reorganization? The main mechanisms are tax political and the public education. 7 5) Conclusion Inequality has played an important role in the origin of the lack of equality that appeared in the crisis, as well as in the demand for the assets in which the crisis broke out. Present policy tries to reach the cutting wages in a recession, but more wage growth is a required aspect for a balanced economy. In conclusion, we come to the fact that increasing inequality, in interaction with financial deregulation, should be considered as the main causes of the crisis. 8 6) References D: http://digilib.lib.unipi.gr/dspace/bitstream/unipi/5286/1/Gogos.pdf E: http://el.wikibooks.org/wiki/%CE%9F%CE%B9%CE%BA%CE%BF%CE%BD%CE%BF% CE%BC%CE%B9%CE%BA%CE%AE_%CE%BA%CF%81%CE%AF%CF%83%CE%B7. _%CE%91%CE%B9%CF%84%CE%AF%CE%B5%CF%82_%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%B 9_%CE%B1%CF%80%CE%BF%CF%84%CE%B5%CE%BB%CE%AD%CF%83%CE%B C%CE%B1%CF%84%CE%B1 G: http://gini-research.org/system/uploads/447/original/Greece.pdf?1370090519 K: http://www.koolnews.gr/%CE%B5%CE%BB%CE%BB%CE%B1%CE%B4%CE%B1/terasti a-eisodimatiki-anisothta-stin-ellada-stis-xeiroteres-theseis-se-eyropaiko-epipedo/ N: http://www.naftemporiki.gr/finance/story/779224/dnt-i-eisodimatiki-anisotita-blaptei-tinanaptuksi P: http://pmeletios.com/ar_meletios/oikonomia/oikonomikh_krish.html S: http://www.southeast-europe.org/pdf/03/DKE_03_G_E_Bartol-Letica_The-First-GlobalFinancial-Crisis_Maria-Koutoulakou.pdf 9