Letting of 1 bed properties through Manchester Move 1st April 2015 – 30th November 2015 It was announced in the CSR in Nov 2015 that the Government intended to change the Housing Benefit rules for single people under 35. The move means that housing benefit for single people in social housing under 35 without children will be restricted to shared accommodation rates. This means they will only be able to claim the same amount of benefit as a private tenant is able to claim for a room in a shared house. This new rule will apply to all new tenancies from April 2016 and will come into force in April 2018. This change potentially has a significant impact for landlords with stock in Manchester. This paper isn’t a comprehensive look at the issue but aims to pick up the main points that are highlighted when looking at recent lettings that have taken place through Manchester Move. It highlights a number of issues that will need further thought from landlords and strategically as a Housing Access board. As this legislation is in place from April 2016 we should expect to know about any exemptions early in the New Year. Lettings Between April 1st and November 30th 2015 288 x 1 bed properties were let through MM to people under 35. While a number of these may have been let to couples the vast majority will have been let to single people. All also have the potential to be let to single people. A further 280 1 bed properties had an age restriction higher than35 – this paper does not look at those) There are also no figures available as to which of these were working households and therefore maybe wouldn’t be in receipt of HB - although even if a percentage are in this category they become a risk to landlords should they lose their job. This paper looking at these particular lettings is attempting to look at the consequences if these lettings were subject to this new rule and to raise questions for landlords in advance of April 2016. As well as these 1 bed properties a further 45 x 2 bed multi storey properties were let – all also let in the main to single people. Broad Market Rental Areas (BMRA) There are 2 BMRAs that cover Manchester and set Local Housing Allowance levels (LHA) Central - £67.20 - Covers all of Manchester except Wythenshawe. South - £57.84 – Covers Wythenshawe. 1 This is the rate (although it is subject to change every April ) that the rent for a single person will be set at whatever size of property that they move into. The following tables look at what this means when applied to lettings between April and November 2015. This is split into 3 areas: 1) Northwards 2) Wythenshawe area 3) Central BMRA except Northwards) 1) Northwards Northwards let 61 x 1 bed properties through MM to people 35 or younger between April and November 2015. Average rent LHA rate £67.38 £67.20 Number let higher than LHA rate 39 Lowest Rent Highest Rent £64.81 £69.31 With the planned rent reductions over the next 4 years of 1% a year this would bring down the highest rent by around £2.60 a week. If the LHA rate does not change this will make all these 61 properties affordable for people on full HB as the highest rent would be approx. £66.71. 2) Wythenshawe There were 44 x 1 bed properties let through MM to people 35 or younger between April and November 2015. Average rent LHA rate £74.28 £57.84 Number let higher than LHA rate 44 Lowest Rent Highest Rent £66.71 £91.43 With the planned rent reductions over the next 4 years of 1% a year this would bring down the highest rent by around £3.60 a week. If the LHA rate does not change this will make none of these 44 properties affordable for people on full HB. Even the lowest rents (£64.11 by 2019) will be £6.27 a week above HB levels with the average rent being £13.44 a week above the south LHA level. 2 3) Central BMRA (not inc Northwards) There were 183 x 1 bed properties let through MM to people 35 or younger between April and November 2015. Average rent LHA rate £74.85 £67.20 Number let higher than LHA rate 29 Lowest Rent Highest Rent £61.01 £103.84 With the planned rent reductions over the next 4 years of 1% a year this would bring down the highest rent by around £4 a week. If the LHA rate does not change this will make only 53 of these 183 properties affordable for people on full HB. (ie: they won’t have to make any contribution towards the rent) Therefore at the current time all of these 288 properties in the 3 areas outlined above would be available to single people under 35 should they need to claim HB – these changes will mean that just 40% of them will be from April 2016 should landlords roll out strict affordability criteria. Where will properties be available? In area 3 above (central BMRA – not Northwards) 183 properties were let – the table below shows where these were and how many would still be available from April 2016. Lettings Area Number available now Ardwick – Grove Village Ardwick Beswick Brunswick Clayton Cheetham Hill Cheetwood City centre Chorlton Gorton Fallowfield Didsbury Harpurhey 1 Number potentially available post April 2016 to applicants on HB. 1 5 10 12 3 4 1 2 10 28 3 1 3 0 6 12 2 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 3 Hulme Levenshulme Longsight Mosside Monsall Crumpsall Miles Platting Newton Heath Openshaw Rusholme Whalley Range TOTALs 27 5 15 16 2 6 8 3 5 2 11 183 4 0 1 0 0 0 8 1 1 0 3 53 (29%) Which Landlords are affected? From the data above it shows that Northwards isn’t really affected at all and that WCHG is affected substantially due to the different LHA levels. The following table shows where the affect is via other landlords in the Central BMRA. Landlord Number available now Adactus (inc PFI) Arcon Contour One Manchester 13 3 3 76 Great Places Guinness Non MHR landlords Mosscare Places for People People First S4B YHG Southway St Vincents Irwell Valley Affinity Sutton Total 13 18 8 14 3 1 12 10 7 2 No lettings No lettings 183 Number potentially available post April 2016 to applicants on HB. 9 0 0 24 (mainly Easlands) 0 2 1 0 1 0 12 4 0 0 0 0 53 Age profile The current average age of these 288 tenants is 25 (well below the cut off of 35) so if this was post April 2016 there would be significant extra risk for landlords. 4 57 (20%) are over 32 and 79 (27%) are 21 and under. Lettings: 90% of these lettings have been made to an applicant in housing need (Bands 1-3) the split is as follows: Band 1 2 3 4 5 Total Number 27 98 137 22 4 288 % 9% 34% 48% 8% 1% 100% Tenure The previous tenure breakdown is as follows: Tenure Lodger Current MM Partner tenant MCC TA Other hostel /SA Private tenant Other Unknown Total Number 68 50 58 53 17 32 10 288 % 23% 17% 20% 18% 6% 11% 3.5% 100% What this does show is that 111 new tenants have been rehoused from TA or supported accommodation. When looking at where they were rehoused to - just 29 of these 111 would be under the current LHA level. This means that potentially that 82 of these tenancies would not have taken place bringing significant issues for access to move on accommodation. The only landlords that would have potentially rehoused these tenants where the change in rent would not have mattered are: Northwards: 16 OM – 4 S4B – 8 Adactus – 1 5 Questions: 1) What will landlords decide to do from April - both with HB tenants and those working that are under 35? 2) Will landlords decide to make the change from April 2016 or later? 3) Will landlords consider lowering their 1 bed rents? 4) When will we know what exemptions there will be for new tenants – leaving care etc – and for how long – 12 months? 5) Are we confident that the LHA 30th percentile rule won’t change to make more unaffordable? 6) LHA is set every April for 12 months - can be subject to going up or down. 7) A number of areas of the City and a number of landlords will have no affordable 1 bed properties for people on HB – consequences for move on accommodation? 8) Most people will be on UC by April 2018 which will make the administration more complex. While this paper concentrates on 1 bed properties there are also a number of 2 bed properties that are also let to single people – these are in the main multis but can also be low rise flats and maisonettes. A quick look at these puts all 45 x 2 bed multi flats that have been let between April and November 2015 above the LHA levels average 2 bed multi rent in South Manchester is £73.98 and in Central Manchester is £77.83. While most of these will now be let to working households since the onset of the bedroom tax there is always a risk that the tenant will come out of work and claim HB. 6