MI-4: Normal Distributions Learning Objectives: Students will learn to evaluate normal distributions using Microsoft Excel and Wolfram Mathematica. More specifically, students will learn: 1. What a normal distribution is 2. What standard deviation and mean are 3. How standard deviation and mean affect the graph of a normal distribution using Wolfram Mathematica 4. How to calculate probability under a normal distribution using Microsoft Excel 5. What implications normal distributions hold in daily life What is a normal distribution? A normal distribution is a symmetric curve that has significantly more data points near the mean than at the extremities of the graph, which results in a bell shaped curve. The equation for a normal distribution is described by: ๐(๐ฅ) = 1 √2๐๐ 2 −(๐ฅ−๐)2 ๐ 2๐2 Normal Distributions: Josh Lam and Nate Suek Here is an example of a normal distribution graph: 1 What is Mean? Mean is the average of all of the data points. The mean can be calculated by: ๐๐ข๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ข๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ Calculate the mean of these data sets: 1. {1,5,20,32,47} 2. {a,2,5,g,z} Standard deviation is a description of how far, or how dispersed, data points are from the mean. A low standard deviation would tell us that the data points are very close to the mean whereas a high stand deviation would tell us that the data points are further spread out from the mean. Standard deviation is usually denoted by the Greek symbol, σ (sigma). The equation for sample standard deviation is: Where: x= the data points μ= the means n= number of data points ๐=√ ∑(๐ฅ−๐)2 ๐−1 Normal Distributions: Josh Lam and Nate Suek What is Standard Deviation? 2 Calculate the standard deviation of the following sets: 1. {1,5,20,32,47} 1 3 4 1 6 2. {2 , 5 , 3 , 7 , 11} How are mean, standard deviation, and normal distribution connected? Open up Wolfram Mathematica and copy the following command into the box: Manipulate[Plot[1/(๏ณ Sqrt[2 Pi]) E^(-(x-๏ญ)^2/(2 ๏ณ^2)),{x,-10,10},PlotRange๏ฎ {0,1}],{{๏ณ,1},0.1, 10}, {{๏ญ,0},-10, 10}] This application allows you to manipulate both the mean and standard deviation so you can see how each factor affects the graph. Mean is represented by μ and standard deviation is represented by σ in case you’ve forgotten. Normal Distributions: Josh Lam and Nate Suek As shown earlier, both mean and standard deviation are represented as variables in the equation for a normal distribution graph. The highest point of the graph is centered on the mean and it is where the most data points are clustered. Normal distribution graphs are generally divided up by standard deviations that help define the regions in which data points are located. 3 What happens to the graph as you change the mean? What happens to the graph as you change the standard deviation? How can you calculate the probability under a normal distribution graph? Within the first standard of deviation both ways [-σ, +σ], approximately 68% of points are present; within the first 2 standards of deviation [-2σ, +2σ], approximately 95%; within the first 3 standards of deviation [-3σ, +3σ], approximately 99.7%. Normal Distributions: Josh Lam and Nate Suek Fill in the blanks below for percentages of points: 4 Calculate the probability of a point being: 1. Between μ-σ and μ+σ 2. Between μ-σ and μ+2σ 3. Between μ-2σ and μ+σ 2 Open Microsoft Excel and input into the cell: =NORM.DIST or =NORMDIST depending on which version of Excel you have Excel will ask you to input x, mean, standard_dev, cumulative. Input your given value for x, the mean, the standard deviation, and “TRUE” for cumulative, each separated by a comma. This function in Excel is extremely useful for calculating the probability of a point being in a certain specified range of numbers. Calculating this by hand requires a lot of computation and the use of a zscore table, which can all be eliminated by the use of Excel. Here are some practical applications to solve. Use Excel to calculate: 2. The average SAT score for any given subject is 450 and the standard deviation is 50 points. What is the probability that a test taker will score higher than a 630? 3. If the average IQ is 100 points and the standard deviation is 10 points, what is the probability that one’s IQ would be lower than 127 points, but higher than 83 points? Normal Distributions: Josh Lam and Nate Suek 1. In a math test, the average score was 80 points out of a hundred and the standard deviation was 5 points. What is the probability that a student would score lower than 76 points? 5