INTERMODAL GROWTH PLANS: SPAIN AND SOUTH FLORIDA IN 2050 John W. Bradford Master’s Program in Urban and Regional Planning Florida Atlantic University Fort Lauderdale, Florida August 3, 2011 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Introduction . . . . . . . . 3 II. Literature Review . . . . . . . 5 a. Transportation in Spain . b. Transportation in South Florida c. Future Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 8 9 III. Research Problem . . . . . . . 12 IV. Data . . . . . . . . . 14 V. Methods . . . . . . . . . 16 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 20 24 30 35 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 44 45 47 47 a. b. c. d. e. VI. Airport and Seaport Totals Madrid . . Barcelona . . Miami . . Fort Lauderdale . Results a. b. c. d. e. . . . Discussion . . . . Cargo Movers . . . Electric Buses and Trucks . . Speed Rail into City . . . Designated Passenger/Cargo Lines 39 VII. Conclusion . . . . . . . . 49 VIII. References . . . . . . . . 53 1 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans TABLES T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 Airport Passenger Traffic Airport Cargo Traffic Seaport Passenger Traffic Seaport Cargo Traffic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 17 18 18 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 23 26 27 29 31 32 36 44 46 48 FIGURES F-1 F-2 F-3 F-4 F-5 F-6 F-7 F-8 F-9 F-10 F-11 Madrid Barajas Airport Map La Fortuna, Madrid . . Barcelona Airport Map . Port of Barcelona . . Traffic Node in Barcelona . Miami International Airport . Miami Intermodal Center . FLL Intermodal Idea . . Cargo Mover . . . Electric Bus in Europe . Parallel Railway Tracks . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 1.0 INTRODUCTION Transportation planners in the United States and Europe have long grappled with the increasing numbers of passengers and amounts of cargo processed through major cities via car, truck, rail, ship, and plane. People and freight move through seaports, airports, and railway stations every day and require interconnectors from one mode of travel to another in the form of intermodal centers. An example of such would be London Stansted Airport, which was designed in the 1990s to process freight and expedite passenger travel from plane to ship or rail. However, because of the distance of Stansted from downtown London, the center never grew to considerable size. The importance of intermodal centers in future travel is underscored by a number of facts. First, the populations of both the United States and Europe are expanding just as international passenger and freight traffic has increased since the 1980s. In order to process freight and provide efficient passenger access to city centers, different transport vehicles must be used in replacement of those which require the use of carbon fuels such as oil: ships, planes, trucks, and buses. Second, with the much dreaded decline in availability of such fuels in the year 2050, it can be theorized that travel will become more and more expensive. This expense must be reduced somehow to make transportation possible; otherwise, intercity movement will come to a halt. Third, travel between critical locations such as industrial and employment centers must be preserved so that cities do not die on the vine. People must be able to get to work. Therefore, today’s planners must develop new ideas and revisit old ideas wherein intermodal centers will advance transportation as efficiently and as inexpensively as possible. Ideas on this topic have been suggested in the past, such as 3 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans the implementation of cargo movers and people movers. However, wherever costs are concerned, such as that of the movement of cargo underground, many ideas have been abandoned in the name of the dollar or the euro. Gasoline-powered vehicles presently offer cheaper alternatives to freight and passenger travel than drastic measures, such as putting all methods of travel on electric cable or hybrid engine. Nonetheless, intermodal centers have proven useful and will be part of the equation for success when oil reserves are depleted in 2050. This research paper addresses the issue of new ideas versus old ideas involving intermodal centers and compares two regions in Spain—Madrid and Barcelona—with two in South Florida—Miami and Fort Lauderdale—in order to illustrate how far behind—or sometimes, how far ahead—many regions are today in preparation for 2050. The purpose of this paper is to show where success and room for improvement exist in designing intermodal centers for the year 2050. The paper is divided into seven sections: Introduction, Literature Review, Problem Statement, Data, Methods, Results, and Conclusion. Research from scholarly journals and interviews with professors in Spain and South Florida were included in this study. Additionally, airport and seaport statistics were collected from Internet sources. Finally, observations in Spain and South Florida were conducted during a Planning Abroad trip on behalf of the Master’s Program in Urban and Regional Planning at Florida Atlantic University in May of 2011. This information yielded the significant findings discussed in “Results” and provided the relevant discussion in the “Conclusion” section at the end of the paper. 4 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 2.0 LITERATURE REVIEW Transportation in Spain and South Florida is similar in that both regions depend on oil as a means of providing energy for truck-lifts, planes, and ships to function. Moreover, these methods of transport require that cities such as Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale utilize intermodal connectivity to move people and freight in and out of the city, in that a plane cannot land on top of buildings in a downtown area, and train networks cannot go everywhere a bus or subway system may go. Ultimately, the problem rests with construction of efficient and effective intermodal centers, for the cost of fuel precludes wasteful expense, such as relying on taxi service to get from airport to seaport, or on trucking freight from port to outlying areas where a train service would work more efficiently. Planners have tried to develop intermodal centers at airports, seaports, and downtown business centers as efficiently as possible. There are a number of transportation options available to planners, and regrettably, most of them require oil as their main source of fuel and are extremely expensive. These options include but are not limited to: trucks, airplanes, ships, railway, bus, and car. However, it should be noted that measures have been taken to create more electric rail service. For instance, Spain has spent billions of Euros to develop an all-electric passenger speed train system (AVE) that connects cities like Barcelona and Madrid with every major city in Spain on the national railway system known as RENFE. Even so, Spain still depends on carbon fuels to provide its electricity and to operate local trains not on the AVE system. These attempts to improve Spanish rail have not gone unnoticed, and in South Florida, ideas for a bullet train between Miami and Orlando have been discussed. 5 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Notwithstanding, these issues and the rising cost of fuel have generated much discussion in scholarly literature and among professors and professionals in Spain and the United States concerning the future of intermodal centers and the fate of various forms of travel which depend on carbon fuels. Most importantly, there is a definite date and cause for concern—the year 2050—whereupon world oil depletion will be felt the hardest by everyone. In this section, transportation issues in Spain and South Florida are discussed and followed by an analysis of the literature on future impacts of world oil depletion on intermodal centers in the years to come. 2.1 Transportation in Spain The primary focus of current literature points to the laws of supply and demand. In other words, if people still want to travel, they will pay the higher costs of traveling by train or car even when the price of gasoline reaches, for instance, twenty dollars a liter. However, it is fair to say that many will object to the high price of transportation and may look into less expensive and more efficient means of traveling, such as taking the metro or an electric bus from a train, boat, or airplane trip. This concept would necessitate creating as many efficient intermodal centers as possible. For instance, one might take a plane to a train at one intermodal center, then a train to a bus at another, and so on until one arrives at his or her destination. A number of professionals and scholars agree with this supposition. Gimeno and Vila (2007) and Matas (2004) concur that public transportation—and thereby the use of intermodal centers—is a way of life for most Spaniards. Novales, Orro, and Bugarin (2003) have even identified using suburban rail systems on national railway lines (RENFE) as a means of further expanding public transportation into the far-reaching 6 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans enclaves of Madrid. This practice of reusing existing transportation lines to expand another service could give rise to other services such as the movement of freight underground using extant Metro lines. In other words, the Spanish are resilient and eager to try most things public. However, some Spaniards have discovered the luxury of driving their car to work and are not eager to give it up. As Asensio (2002) discusses of Barcelona’s commuters, many Spaniards now see the car as a necessity. Spanish autopistas, the concrete maze of super highways which crisscross the nation, have been constructed everywhere— even through mountains—for the myriad cars and trucks that now populate the nation. Even though Metro service reaches into the suburbs of Barcelona, many residents prefer driving. Notwithstanding, as Asensio suggests in his conclusion, suburbanization and the price of gasoline may preclude the use of the car or the truck over mass transit. Gimeno and Vila (2007) and Matas (2004) would probably agree. More importantly, airports and seaports depend greatly on mass transit and use intermodal centers. Rebollo and Baidal (2009) and Soliño and Vassalo (2009) would say that market drivers for Spanish airports—i.e., tourism and business travel—point towards low-cost air transport with high use of public transportation in the city to get to and from the airport. Soliño and Vassalo would underscore the importance of using both public and private sectors to develop subway systems with airport intermodal centers and to promote competition in order to arrive at a fair cost. Once again, this argument is largely dependent upon the future cost of oil and airplane travel, and if low-cost air transport is not low enough, there will be fewer travelers with less need for airport intermodal centers. Possibly, train or ship service may be more popular. 7 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 2.2 Transportation in the South Florida On the other hand, Miami and Fort Lauderdale are typical American cities with insufficient mass transit. The normal wait for a public bus is one hour, and until the creation of Tri-Rail, there was no north-south rail service to either the Miami airport or the Fort Lauderdale airport. The most common way to travel in and around South Florida is by car, such as a taxi or one’s own personal vehicle, or else by van or limousine service, such as a jitney or Super Shuttle. Metrorail is also an option if one wishes to travel by elevated train between Hialeah and Kendall via Downtown Miami, but the route is not nearly as well-traveled as it could be if the service went to the seaport or the airport. Presently, airport to downtown travel in South Florida is rather expensive. To get to the city center would cost you forty dollars for the Miami to downtown trip or twenty dollars for the Fort Lauderdale to downtown trip. South Floridians ordinarily prefer to hitch a ride with a friend or catch a taxi to get from the suburbs to the airport. Nonetheless, there is currently no speed train from the airport to the downtown city center which would be cost effective and feasible for South Florida’s millions of visitors who come to Florida’s beaches, not to mention the regular business travelers who live in the suburbs of Miami or Fort Lauderdale who need access to the airport. It should be no surprise that the literature on United States intermodal centers indicates that Americans lag behind the Europeans. Slack (1990) observed that the United States and Canada first began to construct freight intermodal centers in the 1980s because of few inland load centers. Europe had already constructed such intermodal centers while America struggled with its outmoded systems of transport. 8 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Granted that most airports and seaports have trucking and sometimes railway access, people in Miami and Fort Lauderdale, however, do not have easy access to transportation options such as trams or metro systems. Consequently, intermodal center development in cities like Miami and Fort Lauderdale did not achieve significance until the turn of the century (Slack, 1990). The recent growth of intermodal centers in coastal cities such as Miami and Fort Lauderdale can be attributed to several factors. Bitzan and Keeler (2010) theorize that the need to conserve energy in these locations might have precipitated intermodal traffic and has thereby led to intermodal centers near seaports, airports, and rail depots. However, Hayuth (1991) believes differently that business activity could have precipitated many of today’s American intermodal centers. Prosperi (2008; p.2) might agree with Hayuth (1991) that airports like Miami offer “localized externalities of financial and technical factors” that generate employment centers, which can in turn lead to intermodal centers, especially for freight through transshipment and other activities. These factors have also precipitated plans for airport passenger intermodal centers, such as the one under construction at Miami International Airport, and have created an important and practical purpose for South Florida intermodal centers in general. 2.3 Future Trends There are a number of factors which will play crucial roles in future development of intermodal centers. Some relevant ideas—such as those of Hayuth (1991) and Prosperi (2008)—stress the importance of business centers as a foundation for intermodality. As the population increases in cities like Barcelona, Madrid, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale, so may the need for more freight and passenger intermodal centers— 9 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans or in the cases of Miami and Fort Lauderdale, so will the need to catch up with Europe. Through urban development studies, cities like Madrid are already calculating new loads for their transportation networks which can, in effect, produce more and better designed intermodal centers (Gospodini, 2005). However, it should be said that scholars including Hayuth (1991) and Gospodini (2005) have articulated the need for such centers but have not factored in the cost of transportation in 2050. The most critical factor in developing intermodal centers in the future lies in the fate of the world’s supply of oil. Without enough petroleum-based products, many services around the globe may come to a halt. Ahlbrandt (2002; p.1092) with his work involving the United States Geological Survey calculates that the world can expect potential oil shortfalls as early as 2036-2040 with natural gas depletion sometime during 2050-2060. In other words, ships, airplanes, trucks, and trains will have to give way to other modes of transport that do not require petroleum-based products—such as electric trains that depend on alternative fuels, such as nuclear energy-based electricity. Additionally, the world may find ways to conserve what oil is left while researching the feasibility of hybrid engines and electric motors. These possibilities open a door for travel past 2050 and may shed light on the usefulness of intermodal centers. More importantly, however, the uncertain future of oil hastens the need for more public transport and better-developed intermodal centers. Stone and Mees (2010) opine that these ideas—including more walking, cycling, and electric vehicles—will ultimately take the forefront in a post-petroleum world. Already some nations such as Japan and those in Europe have embraced intermodal centers where passengers can change from train to metro to electric bus without ever using a mode of transport that requires oil. 10 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Bitzan and Keeler (2010; p.1) cite the growth of “rail freight” which cuts down on fuel consumption and reduces carbon emissions. Stone and Mees (2010) and Bitzan and Keeler (2010) would definitely agree that intermodality is a probable solution for 2050. Clearly, electric trains, public transport, and intermodal centers form part of the solution to the depletion of world oil resources in 2050. There is one additional factor that ties in with this solution. Climate change will necessitate creating and utilizing “clean fuels,” as MacCracken (2009) writes, which will stop the accumulation of carbon in the earth’s atmosphere from the combustion of coal, oil, and natural gas. In agreement with MacCracken, Giglio (2010; p.28) underscores the importance of President Obama’s goals to reduce substantially greenhouse gases (GHG) “by eighty percent in 2050.” Without this reduction, the air we breathe will obviously become scarcer, and the overall cost to society will be even higher. Therefore, more integrated transportation—such as intermodal centers—that use “clean energy,” as MacCracken (2009) describes, should be developed in the years to come. Without creating more efficient forms of travel with intermodality, the world will not be prepared for global oil depletion in 2050. The roles these preceding arguments play in South Floridian and Spanish transportation are quite significant. For instance, Miami and Fort Lauderdale already suffer from lack of walkability—something Stone and Mees (2010) would find quintessential for the year 2050. Moreover, world oil depletion and GHG hasten the need for efficient intermodal centers that connect a fast, long-range mode of transport, such as high speed rail, with a short-range mode of transport, such as a metro system (MacCracken, 2009). Without employing such science, transportation is at a loss. 11 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 3.0 RESEARCH PROBLEM Intermodal centers are ubiquitous and used every day by people traveling to and from work or beyond the immediate to places for vacation or business. However, people often take these centers and transportation for granted. As an example, what price would people put on their transportation if the economy turned sharply downward? People’s travel options would be limited considerably if the cost to travel and to use these intermodal centers were well over a certain amount—for instance, using 2011 European currency, fifty Euros to travel by metro to the airport and then 5,000 Euros for a one-way ticket between Madrid and Barcelona. Such a premise on a global level would be catastrophic for transportation all over—not just for domestic travel, but international travel as well. Yet how will people get about from place to place in 2050 if these fares and calculations were the same as they are now or even higher? This situation lends itself to worry that today’s modes of transportation are unacceptable because of world oil depletion and that our intermodal centers may not be ready for different and more effective, more efficient means of travel. What are the options currently available? What do intermodal centers in Spain and South Florida have to offer in the year 2011 in comparison with the demands for travel in 2050? Are we ready for the intermodal center of the future, or are we still lagging behind everyone else in the world? Intermodal centers bear significant value to today’s transportation networks and should continue to do so in 2050. For instance, how easy is it for a person who lives on the other side of town and who is carrying luggage to reach the airport as efficiently and economically as possible? This idea would probably require the use of a bus or subway 12 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans and then an airplane when he or she arrives at the airport. Without an intermodal center in between stops, the person would have to carry the luggage and walk from one stop to the next. Intermodal centers facilitate travel ubiquitously and usually provide an inexpensive method of travel, such as connections for mass transit. As discussed in the preceding paragraphs, this travel may be ideal—especially in the year 2050 when the price of oil may preclude the ease of using one’s car for virtually all trips. As explained in the beginning of this paper, the focus of this research is on what cities in South Florida and Spain have accomplished in the way of constructing intermodal centers and how their advancements address, or fail to address, the demands of future travel. How do air travel, cruise ships, railway, and urban mass transit—such as bus, tram, and metro—interconnect in cities that number in the millions of inhabitants? Which of these cities—Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale— is faring better than the others, and what are they doing right? If any such are failing, then what are they doing wrong? Therefore, a non-statistically based research question is posed for the purpose of this paper. Given data on the most significant intermodal centers in locations such as airports, seaports, and downtown business areas, how do the two regions—Spain and South Florida—compare with one another in overall achievement of a common goal to facilitate travel for each respective municipality in terms of freight or passenger traffic? The answer to this question comes in the form of observations and local knowledge of Miami and Fort Lauderdale in addition to observations through travel to Madrid and Barcelona in conjunction with Florida Atlantic University’s Planning Abroad in Spain Program from May 6th through May 16th of 2011. 13 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 4.0 DATA The information used for this comparative analysis comes chiefly from observations, interviews with professors, and data from professionals in each of the four cities in this study: Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale. In the case of the airport and seaport statistics obtained for comparative analysis below, data was collected from relevant websites on the Internet. It should be noted that for several instances as it were with Madrid and Barcelona, there were no obtainable numbers for calendar year 2010. Therefore, only 2005 through 2009 airport and seaport data were used for comparison. With respect to key observations in Madrid, information was gathered from personal visits by the researcher in addition to knowledge offered by Ambrosio AguadoBonet in the Urbanismo y Vivienda Department of the Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Additional knowledge came from Professor Diego Martín Gil at the Polytechnic University of Madrid and Mark Dwyer of the Fundación Metrópoli. For those cases in which actual words or ideas are quoted, please refer to the text and citations in “Methodology” and “References.” Similarly, data on intermodal centers in Barcelona was obtained from personal observations within the city in addition to interviews with Xavier Roselló, Assistant Technical Director of the Autoritat del Transport Metropolità in Barcelona, and with Francesc Magrinyà Torner, Professor of Urbanism within the Department of Transportation Infrastructure at the Polytechnic University of Catalunya. For words or ideas quoted from either of these two contacts, please refer to the text and citations in “Methodology” and “References.” 14 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Information on Miami, Florida comes from personal knowledge of the researcher and studies at Florida Atlantic University (FAU). Actual visits to the airport and the adjacent intermodal center were performed in May of 2011 and previously in May of 2010 in a course called “International Planning Design Studio” under the auspices of the professors at FAU and Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) in Germany. Additionally, the researcher visited the Port of Miami in travel during the months of December of 2009 and January of 2010. Similarly, knowledge on Fort Lauderdale, Florida comes from personal knowledge of the researcher and related studies at FAU. Visits to the Miami International Airport in 2010 and again in 2011 were coupled with a visit to Port Everglades during the summer of 2009 and the Port of Miami in the fall of 2008. Additional information was obtained from Dan Bartholomew at the Fort LauderdaleHollywood International Airport and from the course on intermodal design at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport called “International Planning Design Studio” during May of 2010 and taught by professors at FAU and KIT. The information and thoughts gleaned from these sources lead to the unique ideas debated at the end of the paper. Conversations with professors and professionals alike inspired new thought on the developing of separate cargo and passenger traffic lanes in railway travel, on the use of high-speed rail to link airports and seaports, on the introduction of a high-speed connector of mass transit from the airport to the downtown business areas, and on the revisiting of old designs for cargo movers that use underground metro lines. The data referenced herein is included for analysis in the following section on “Methods” and discussed accordingly in “Results.” 15 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 5.0 METHODS The aforementioned data were collected and analyzed using simple comparison of passenger and freight totals for the four cities used in this study in addition to point by point comparison of unique qualities of various cities, such as the offering of seaport to airport connections or express train from either port into the downtown city center. These findings are presented in this section and show how Spain and South Florida vary from point to point concerning overall development of intermodal centers in key locations throughout each respective region. Furthermore, the significance of rail, bus, metro, tram, airplane, and ship is weighed in, for each mode of transport was found to have a significant impact on the service potential of an intermodal center. Spain and South Florida have developed intermodal centers near airports and seaports which to some degree embrace public transportation. The most common form of public transportation at either site is rail service—national railways (RENFE) in Spain and the Florida East Coast Railway (FEC) which runs parallel to the CSX Railway (CSX) in South Florida. Without rail service, airports and seaports would not be able to transship large bulk cargo over long distances inasmuch as trucking for this purpose can be very expensive, especially in Spain where fuel costs are much higher in comparison to those in the States. 5.1 Airport and Seaport Totals The volume of airport passenger and cargo traffic for the cities included in this study indicates that the airports are still growing. See Tables 1 and 2 below for passenger and cargo statistics on each city. For instance, passenger traffic in Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale grew since 2005 but leveled off because of the 16 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans economy up until 2009. However, unlike Madrid Barajas Airport (MAD), which maintained a level amount of cargo tonnage from 2005 to 2009, Barcelona (BCN) grew at a steady rate from 2005 to 2008. It should be noted that Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport (FLL) decreased in annual cargo traffic for 2005 through 2009 while Miami International Airport (MIA) fluctuated from 2005 until 2008 with a sharp decline in 2009, most likely associated with the recession of that year. This data suggests that all four airports are relatively vibrant with regard to passenger and cargo traffic for the period from 2005 to 2009. TABLE 1 – Passenger Traffic by Airport (Millions of Passengers) AIRPORT 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Madrid 42.1 45.8 52.1 50.8 48.4 Barcelona 27.2 30.0 32.9 30.2 27.3 Miami 31.0 32.5 33.7 34.0 33.9 Ft Lauderdale 11.4 10.7 11.1 11.6 10.5 SOURCES: Wikipedia.com, Miami-airport.com, and broward.org. TABLE 2 – Cargo Traffic by Airport (Tons) AIRPORT 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Madrid 333,138 325,702 325,201 329,187 302,863 Barcelona 90,446 93,404 96,770 104,329 a 1,894,241 1,975,764 2,076,898 1,944,879 1,676,515 179,159 165,186 155,077 137,826 102,149 Miami Ft Lauderdale aData not available for this year. SOURCES: Wikipedia.com, Miami-airport.com, and broward.org. 17 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans On the other hand, seaport data shows that Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and Barcelona are about the same from year to year, with the exception of Miami cargo, which has been in decline since 2005. See Tables 3 and 4 below for more detail. Although the Port of Barcelona has not posted passenger traffic numbers on-line as of June 8, 2011, the figures computed for 2010 of 3.4 million passengers indicate that the port is competitive with those of Miami and Fort Lauderdale (Port Everglades). Furthermore, this data reveals consistency in the face of economic downturn, or in the case of Barcelona, the addition of new security procedures at the port. TABLE 3 – Passenger Traffic by Seaport (Millions of Passengers) SEAPORT 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -- -- -- -- -- Miami 3.61 3.73 3.80 4.14 4.11 Ft Lauderdale 3.80 3.24 3.41 3.23 3.14 Barcelonaa a Barcelona passenger statistics not available. SOURCES: portdebarcelona.es, miamidade.gov/portofmiami, and porteverglades.net. TABLE 4 – Cargo Traffic by Seaport (Tons) SEAPORT 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Barcelona 3,276,014 3,307,841 3,622,328 3,090,696a 3,206,550 Miami 9,473,852 8,654,371 7,835,132 7,429,963 6,831,496 Ft Lauderdale 5,076,403 5,688,442 6,060,149 6,584,747 5,204,103 aNew customs and security procedures in place. SOURCES: portdebarcelona.es, miamidade.gov/portofmiami, and porteverglades.net. 18 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans What the seaport and airport data above indicates is that there is a demand for intermodal activity in all places. Whether cargo must be unloaded by forklift from train to ship, or whether passengers need transportation from plane to bus or even cruise ship, it is clear by sheer volume of cargo and numbers of people that time, cost, and space can be saved through intermodal centers in any of these locations. As the model cities included in this study—Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale—illustrate in this section, there is tremendous potential for the improvement of transportation in large business centers including airports, seaports, and downtown locations. As the data implies with regard to the extrinsic value of intermodal centers, people use these centers all the time when traveling far distances. Both airport and seaport intermodal centers would be used if one could not afford to park a car at the parking lot; take a taxi, jitney, or limousine service; hitch a ride with a friend; or walk or bicycle to the location. While it is clear that airports and seaports have maintained a steady level of passenger traffic over the last five to six years, the significance of intermodal centers in these locations has probably risen, too. Likewise, cargo intermodal centers have acquired importance through steady traffic over the years at the four airports and three seaports included in this survey. Moreover, this traffic validates the need for freight rail and truck service to these locations inasmuch as cargo must be moved lest it stand by idly on the side next to an airplane or a ship berth waiting to be loaded on another vessel. Nonetheless, intermodal centers are quintessential for transshipment and processing, and without a crane or a forklift to transport or move the freight, one would have only a plane and a train, or a ship and a train. It takes the whole intermodal center to make the process viable. 19 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 5.2 Madrid Capital of Spain and a city of well over six million, Madrid is located in the center of the country and does not possess a seaport. It features three significant intermodal centers to note, and they are the railway stations of Atocha and Chamartín followed by the airport center at Barajas. The Atocha and Chamartín railway stations are both served by the Metro, RENFE, and the public (EMT) and private buses. According to information from RENFE, only passengers travel through these two principal railway stations. Cargo is shipped separately via railway service to other centers inside and outside of Madrid. The most common form of inter- and intra-city shipping is that of gasoline-consuming trucks which must compete with local city traffic. The most popular hours for truck deliveries in Madrid are between one and five in the morning. Similarly, Madrid’s airport depends heavily on trucks to distribute freight around the city and into the suburbs. There is a train depot not too far away from the airport; however, for freight to reach the train from the airport’s cargo centers requires smaller vehicles to provide the transfer. Diesel-powered forklifts and smaller ramp vehicles are also used in the process of moving cargo, which becomes considerably expensive when one considers the price of oil in most European countries. Electric ramp vehicles have been proposed but are not yet completely implemented since May of 2011. However, as the statistics in Section 5.1 above indicate, the Madrid Barajas Airport caters less to freight processing and transshipment and more so to passenger traffic and commercial air service. The passenger intermodal center offers a number of amenities that are typical of the modern aerotropolis, but the pinnacle is the interchange of air travel with the Metro, taxis, and public and private bus systems. There is even a 20 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans separate Metro stop for Terminals 1, 2, 3, and 4. Passengers can literally walk from a flight and board a Metro train in very little time. See Figure 1 below for a diagram of the Barajas airport. “North” appears to the left side of this map. Blue marks the runways and taxiways. Yellow marks the intermodal center. Orange marks the airport terminals. Pink marks the cargo centers. SOURCE: http://www.aena-aeropuertos.es/cartografia Figure 1: Madrid Barajas Airport Map Madrid’s intermodal centers like Barajas are fast, clean, and efficient for present day purposes. However, how effective will they be in 2050? Atocha and Chamartín offer electric railway service from Metro to RENFE up above and may one day connect with electric buses should the Ayuntamiento de Madrid decide one day to put electric cable all over Madrid for use with trams and electric buses. At the present moment, there is no discussion of such plans. In the meantime, the cost to use an intermodal center is free 21 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans and is kept operational by taxes and user fees with one of the transportation systems. This arrangement works fine for the train stations and for Barajas, which is a model for airport efficiency and esthetics as well. For instance, Barajas was constructed with “green building” and features glass, elevators for the handicapped, and information centers that guide visitors to one of the local services: private or public bus, Metro, or taxicabs into the city. With the exception of planes, buses, and taxicabs, Madrid’s intermodal centers use “clean energy” and are ready for oil depletion in 2050. On the other hand, it should be mentioned that Madrid’s intermodal centers are lacking in many capacities. First, there is no real train service on RENFE at the airport per se. Passengers have to take the Metro from Barajas and change lines twice in order to reach one of the nearest railway stations. Second, there is no non-stop Metro line from the airport to the city center, to either the business center like the Castellana or perhaps to the heart of Madrid near the Puerta de Sol. How are business travelers to get there in a hurry? Third, the airport lacks a veritable “cargo city” like that of Miami which would facilitate the distribution of large amounts of cargo. One would waste much fuel on this operation this way. Fourth, diesel-powered tugs and forklifts at the small cargo center at Barajas probably contribute as much GHG as the trucks that deliver the cargo. Barajas needs a cargo intermodal center that includes rail. Fifth, freight must come into the airport—located in the northeast part of the City—from very far away, usually the southwest regions of the City like La Fortuna. Clearly, this operation is inefficient and wasteful of precious gasoline. See Figure 2 on the next page for a perspective of La Fortuna wherein industry in Southwest Madrid is apparent and wherefrom goods must be shipped to the airport generally by truck. 22 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Figure 2: View of La Fortuna - SW Madrid, Spain Granted that trucks can usually ferry goods to railway depots, it is clear, however, that Madrid was not designed with dynamic railway systems, easy access to loading points, and overall transportation efficiency in mind. For instance, much of Madrid’s roadways meanders over hills and runs into cul-de-sacs, plazas, and glorietas, which are very beautiful but difficult to circumnavigate during rush hour. Additionally, train traffic must go underground since much of Madrid is already built from the ground up, and although it would seem easy to combine Metro and RENFE lines for freight traffic, the notion is impractical because of the considerable cost to upgrade the tracks and move freight vertically from the surface to the train down below and vice versa. Ostensibly, Madrid is ahead of some cities with regard to intermodal centers— such as the one at the Barajas airport and the train stations located in the north (Chamartín) and the south (Atocha). On the other hand, Madrid is still struggling to 23 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans modernize a 500 year-old city with roadways that are difficult to navigate and pose innumerable traffic problems. If Madrid can manage to integrate different modes of transport using rail service and electric vehicles, the City could pave the way for success with regard to intermodal centers in the year 2050. As for now, Madrid is still dependent on fuel-guzzling vehicles like the truck and trying to figure out the day to day load specifications for Metro and bus routes to provide the most effective system possible for a city teeming with millions of public transportation users. 5.3 Barcelona Second largest city in Spain and by far the most culturally-enriched, Barcelona basks in popularity as a popular beach mecca and cultural center. The City has offered such amenities as an Olympic village and an artist’s gathering point for Miró, Gaudí, and Picasso. The city has also benefited from a large metro network coupled with trams, trains, and buses that speed Barcelona’s denizens from the suburbs on the other side of the mountains into the downtown area. Moreover, the city is uniquely compact with the airport called El Prat de LLobregat (BCN), the seaport, and the major business center all lined up along the Mediterranean coast from west to east respectively. Barcelona’s railway system is very efficient. According to RENFE, the main railway station known as Sants provides passenger service aboard AVE trains that use electric cables that crisscross across Spain and local service aboard diesel locomotives. Similarly, private train service is also available and connects the city with the surrounding areas, such as Sitges and Montserrat. Commuters travel great distances in European terms to get from the far north into downtown Barcelona. Although many commuters prefer their cars, as discussed in the literature review, and many travel 24 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans through the mountain tunnels that connect the suburbs to the city’s downtown region, most Barcelonans take a series of train, Metro, or tram trips to get to work in the business districts such as Eixample or Ciutat Vella. Cargo is generally shipped separately via train to other centers outside of Barcelona, while mixed electric and diesel service is provided for the seaport and airport intermodal centers. The most common form of inter- and intra-city shipping is still that of gasoline-consuming trucks which must compete with local city traffic and which pick up most loads from the seaport center. Truck delivery hours in Barcelona are reserved between one and five in the morning, and trucks can sometimes be seen early in the morning on pedestrian streets, approved so by the City, using removable stanchions. Thus, the freight network of Barcelona depends mostly on electric trains and gasconsuming trucks. Barcelona’s airport is relatively small compared to Barajas (MAD) or Miami (MIA). As one can see from Figure 3 on the next page, Barcelona’s airport is relatively compact with a small cargo processing center and only three terminals. The subway line extends directly into the city, but with a series of stops. Most Barcelonans prefer public transportation to taxi-rides to the airport. Presently, there are no steps in place to expedite the shipment and delivery of cargo underground, which means freight must be trucked into town or transferred at the railway the runs through the middle of Barcelona, separating the airport from the seaport and the heart of the city. Furthermore, transshipment exists locally at the airport through trucks or inter-regionally via train service, but it does not flourish as it would in larger cities like Madrid or Miami. Much like Madrid’s airport, Barcelona airport caters to passenger traffic more so than freight. 25 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans “North” appears on the top part of this map. Blue marks the runways and taxiways. Yellow marks the intermodal center. Orange marks the airport terminals. Pink marks the cargo centers. SOURCE: http://www.aena-aeropuertos.es/cartografia Figure 3: Barcelona Airport Map The Port of Barcelona features both cruise ship and cargo traffic. Granted that Barcelona may not be as large as the Port of Miami, nevertheless, the port does process a considerable amount of cargo through use of cranes, forklifts, trucks, and railway service. The seaport view from Montjuïc in Figure 4 on the next page shows a typical day’s activity in Barcelona as domestic and international cargo is processed and distributed in an intermodal shipyard situated on the Mediterranean coastline. Passengers can also board cruise ships through any of the port’s four terminals located near Barcelona’s downtown center, known as Ciutat Vella. Although Metro and bus service exists to the seaport, many people would recommend taking a taxi if coming from the airport with a number of suitcases. 26 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Figure 4: Port of Barcelona from Montjuïc Barcelona’s intermodal centers at Sants, the airport, and the seaport provide excellent interconnectivity and facilitate travel to all points within the city and those without such as the suburbs, the rest of Spain, and even France. Presently, intermodal access does not cost anything, and Metro and bus travel is nominal compared to taxicab or private car. The City of Barcelona is preparing for 2050 and recently introduced a tram service across town. The fact that RENFE uses electricity to operate its trains makes intermodal centers like the intermodal center at Sants truly unique. Without these intermodal centers, it would be difficult to reach the airport or the seaport if one lived in the suburbs on the other side of the mountain range, or if one lived all the way east of the city where mass transit would be hard to come by. While air and sea travel in this region may be very expensive in 2050, Barcelona is at least trying to bridge the connection points using railway, mass transit, and intermodal centers as a way of the future to replace the costly truck and private car. 27 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans However, as much as Barcelona may have reason to boast its magnificent transportation accomplishments, there are certain drawbacks to their passenger and cargo systems. For instance, there is no subway or speed rail connecting the airport to the seaport, a feature which many travelers may find useful in contrast to a forty dollar taxi ride. Second, Barcelona needs a non-stop subway service from the city center to its two main ports, especially the airport. Business travelers need this kind of service especially since they may be one of the few people who could afford air travel in 2050. Third, the airport lacks a “cargo city” like that of Miami which would facilitate the transshipment and distribution of large amounts of cargo into Barcelona and other places beyond the region. Fourth, both ports need to invest in electric vehicles to move cargo from ship to rail or rail to plane, for the GHG produced by an idle ramp vehicle can negate the savings of an electric train journey. Fifth, freight must come into the seaport and the airport—located in the southwest part of the city—from very far away, usually the suburbs or the industrial sector in the northeast near downtown Barcelona. Cargo bound for places beyond Spain will still need the airport and the seaport in 2050, and rail service into the industrial district is highly recommended. Sixth, there are traffic nodes that are not connected properly, such as a possible link between a parking lot, the tram, an electric bus, and the Metro. See in Figure 5 on the next page how cars, buses, trams, and trains meet at a point near an important part of Barcelona’s business district, but do not have a proper interchange. A suggested improvement would be to combine all modes of transport and to provide a parking lot for commuters. 28 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Figure 5: Traffic Node in Barcelona On the outset, Barcelona has created a superior model for an integrated transportation system that combines private and public service with trams, buses, Metro, trains, funiculars, ships, and airplanes. The City is clearly ahead of some cities with regard to intermodal centers—such as the one at the airport, the one at the seaport, and the one at the downtown railway station, Sants, which interconnects Metro, bus, and railway. Should costs increase over the years, Barcelonans will need more of these intermodal centers all around. Furthermore, if Barcelona can manage to integrate different modes of transport using rail service and electric vehicles, Barcelona could copy Madrid’s model and lead the way for intermodal success. Even though RENFE and Metro lines are not integrated in Barcelona, Professor Magrinyà Torner (2011) admitted that the idea was considered once, but determined to be too costly at the time. As for now, Barcelona still depends on fuel-consuming vehicles like the truck, the car, and the local-line diesel-train and is still working to make the leap into the year 2050. 29 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 5.4 Miami The largest populated region in South Florida, Miami-Dade County features both a seaport called the Port of Miami and an airport known as Miami International Airport. There is a public bus service operated by the County in addition to private-fare jitneys and taxis that compete along the region’s clogged major arteries. Additionally, there is an elevated train service built during the early 1980s called Metrorail which was constructed to speed workers from Hialeah and Kendall into downtown Miami in a sort of hook-like line stretching from south to north. Metrorail was constructed above ground inasmuch as a subway system could not be built because of the water table. Principal users of Metrorail are those who work downtown, specifically business men and women and not the blue-collar workers in Hialeah as originally anticipated. However, plans are already underway to expand Metrorail from Miami International Airport to service stations for Tri-Rail, Government Center, and later on the Port of Miami. Miami depends heavily on its overworked highway system. The principal route is the north-south highway known as I-95 which intersects with I-195 and I-395 to connect the beaches with downtown and further out west, the Miami International Airport. Because most Miamians prefer their car to the hour-long wait for a public bus that takes twice as long to get somewhere as it does to travel by automobile, roadways are often gridlocked during rush hour, and getting to Government Center, the airport, or the Port of Miami can become something of a problem. Recently, some of Miami’s roadways were privatized and now offer a “fast lane” through use of tolls. While travel has become easier since then, the cost of gasoline continues to rise, and Miamians are not thinking of what might happen in 2050 when the cost of gasoline could reach fifty dollars a gallon in today’s currency. 30 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans If there is anything more congested than I-95, it would have to be Miami’s airport, which handles hundreds of thousands of passengers every day. More vital to Miami’s economy than passenger traffic, Miami International Airport’s greatest feature is its cargo processing center, known as “Cargo City.” Passengers arrive on the east side of the diagonal runway while cargo is brought into Cargo City on the west side of the airport. Because of the large trucking facilities collocated at this center, transshipment and distribution take imports within the United States via truck and rail and ship exports to places all over Central and South America. As Prosperi (2008) explains, this heavily industrialized area near the airport has created an employment center, a hotspot for trade and commerce with the greatest number of employees in Miami-Dade County. See Figure 6 below for more detail. As the airport passenger and cargo traffic figures in Section 5.1 suggest, Miami International Airport’s success arises from a stable market wherein the drivers of tourism and business are coupled with transit passengers who are traveling to other locales beyond Miami, and with transshipment and processing at Cargo City. In this way, Miami’s airport has become a leader in world travel. Figure 6: Miami International Airport (facing west) 31 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans However, Miami International Airport’s crowning achievement is the building of the Miami Intermodal Center. See Figure 7 below which illustrates how the intermodal center was designed. Passengers can be picked up at the airport and board Metrorail, which will take them to the intermodal center whereat they may choose the main route into downtown Miami and outlying suburbs. The Miami Intermodal Center will also have service via Metrorail into the Port of Miami, a much awaited accomplishment. There is also the public bus service, Metrobus, in addition to the jitney service with one of the private carriers. For those passengers planning to travel north, Metrorail brings these passengers to the intermodal center where they can catch Tri-Rail to destinations in Broward and Palm Beach counties. Finally, the intermodal center provides access to Amtrak, the nation’s railway carrier, to cities such as Hollywood and Fort Lauderdale and as far off as New York and Boston. Clearly, Miami’s intermodal center offers a number of travel alternatives, many of which involve mass transit, or in the case of taxis, jitneys, Super Shuttles, and private highway express lanes, a choice between public and private transportation that does not necessarily require the use of a private car. Figure 7: Miami Intermodal Center 32 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Miami may be a leader in some respects, but how many more intermodal centers are needed to make Miami viable in 2050? The airport may succeed somewhat with its Intermodal Center located east of the main terminal, but what about downtown Miami? Public and private buses run along the grid’s major arteries, and several have a terminus near Government Center. Unfortunately, this terminus is in a congested area with insufficient shelter against the sun and the elements, and to reach Miami’s Metrorail or the People Mover that links important downtown buildings, people must walk from the downtown bus terminal to the Government Center Station to catch one of the infrequent trains into town. An integrated downtown intermodal center is needed, much like Miami’s Overtown Station which was planned for this system and that of the commuter rail like Tri-Rail which would operate on the FEC. As for Tri-Rail, it could be said that the tri-county railway which connects at the Miami Airport Intermodal Center will be needed more so at a downtown intermodal center and perhaps the seaport, which is located about a mile away from Government Center. There has been much discussion of constructing such centers, but in 2011, the City of Miami was still constructing the Intermodal Center at the airport and not near to developing other intermodal centers like it in strategic points like downtown. However, there are several different limitations to Miami-Dade County’s transportation infrastructure. For instance, there is presently no direct Metrorail or express bus connecting MIA to the Port of Miami, a feature which has been planned but not yet constructed. Many travelers may find that service useful in contrast to a thirty or forty dollar taxi ride. Second, Miami needs a non-stop Metrorail service from the city center to the airport. Without this service, people have to wait upwards of twenty 33 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans minutes for transportation depending on highway traffic. Third, the airport and the seaport need to invest in electric vehicles to move cargo from ship to rail or rail to plane. These vehicles would reduce the amount of GHG that accumulate near the two ports and make the air less toxic to breathe. Fourth, railway service is near enough to the airport and seaport, but it does not extend into Cargo City proper. Without rail service close enough to the unloading points along berths and cargo bays at the airport, distribution and transshipment become a problem. It is recommended that railway tracks travel all the way into Cargo City rather than requiring trucking freight back and forth from the airport center to the railway depot. Fifth, the streets of Miami tend to be congested and would necessitate special highways for trucks and special lines for railway service in order to move freight in and out of the city. Plans are already underway to build a ramp and tunnel from I-95 to the Port of Miami, but the train tracks still go through much of the city. Sixth, there is no connection between the airport or the seaport with the beach. When people come to the City, they want a fast connection that would take them to South Beach before going elsewhere, such as Dadeland Mall, which incidentally is on the Metrorail route but without a close transfer to the entrance. Ostensibly, Miami has blossomed with a commendable model for an integrated transportation system that combines private and public service with buses, Metrorail, trains, ships, and airplanes. Granted that the Miami-Dade County does not have the variety nor the kind of transportation interconnectivity that cities like Madrid and Barcelona have, Miami is still growing and showing promise with projects like the airport’s Intermodal Center. If the County could develop its Metrorail system further into the suburbs, since most of the County lives there and not downtown, and make train 34 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans travel throughout the region a more viable option, Miami would be ahead of many older cities with regard to intermodal centers. Clearly, Miami’s Intermodal Center at the airport stands to shine in efficiency at a time when people entering the airport will need a fast way to get to the seaport or downtown. Moreover, Miami may someday integrate different modes of transportation using electric rail service and electric vehicles instead of fuel-consuming vehicles like buses, trucks, cranes, ramp vehicles, and diesel trains— in order to address the issue of global oil depletion. 5.5 Fort Lauderdale Located several miles north of Miami in Broward County, Fort Lauderdale similarly offers beach access with numerous cultural opportunities. Fort Lauderdale is a stop on Tri-Rail and Amtrak, and its airport features service to North, South, and Central America through low-cost air carriers. The seaport, Port Everglades, hosts just as many cruise ships and large container vessels as the Port of Miami, and there are many interchanges along the way enabling ship-to-rail and airport-to-rail. Even though Broward County does not have a true intermodal center much less an elevated transit system like Metrorail, there have been discussions about starting an airport people mover (APM) or a transit express bus option to connect Fort Lauderdale’s seaport with the airport. This proposal would be gladly welcomed since the average taxi fare from Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport to Port Everglades currently runs upwards of twenty dollars for a ride that takes less than ten minutes. Another option that was considered before recession of 2009 was transit service along the Florida East Coast (FEC) corridor from Palm Beach to Overtown Station in downtown Miami. Operating parallel to Tri-Rail on the FEC railway line, the SFECC 35 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans option would have an actual stop at FLL with an interchange of bus, people mover, and train at an intermodal center ideally located within eastern part of the traffic loop feeding into the airport. During an “International Planning Design Studio” at Florida Atlantic University, students from the United States and Germany presented their recommendations for a tram, light-rail, or electric bus that would connect visitors to the area with people-mover service to downtown Fort Lauderdale and Sawgrass Mills Mall. See Figure 8 below for a suggested tram route including a Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Aiport intermodal center. Figure 8: FLL Intermodal Idea Granted that there have been many ideas and many proposals such as where to put the intermodal center (see gray half-circle in Figure 8), unfortunately, FLL remains one of the most poorly serviced airports for intermodal growth. For instance, train tracks run right between the airport and Port Everglades, which would be optimal for 36 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans developing a shared route, but in order to load freight onto this railway line which belongs to the FEC, trucks must be utilized to move cargo from either a cargo terminal to a depot near Federal Highway. These service trucks are chiefly gasoline-powered; however, there is no curfew on operations, which means FLL is a twenty-four hour, seven days a week operational center just like MIA. Trucks can move freight at any time of the day and bring cargo into the city or deliver locally as necessary. There is also the opportunity to develop increased travel on the CSX railroad which operates west of the airport near I-95. The CSX runs north to south and already offers travel to Tri-Rail, the commuter train between Miami International Airport and Palm Beach, and Amtrak, the national railway system which takes passengers north to locations such as the Carolinas, Virginia, Washington, D.C., and New York. Presently, commuter buses connect airport passenger with Tri-Rail at the Dania Beach Station but not the Fort Lauderdale Station where Amtrak stops. It would be suggested that cargo and passenger traffic be separated between CSX and the FEC railway tracks in order to facilitate travel and the transfer of cargo from airport or seaport to train service. However, as pointed out earlier, Fort Lauderdale does not possess a suitable intermodal center for passenger or cargo traffic. First, passengers are relegated to taking a car—taxi, rental, or personal—or else the public bus, which operates on the half-hour, for transportation into downtown Fort Lauderdale or Port Everglades. Currently, a public shuttle does offer service between the airport and the Tri-Rail station for Dania Beach located three miles away, but Tri-Rail does not take passengers to places out west such as Weston, Cooper City, Plantation, Cypress Creek, or Coral Springs. Second, there is no “cargo city” like Miami’s where employment would be 37 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans concentrated and focused on transshipment and distribution. Instead, Fort Lauderdale depends solely on trucking into the airport or into Port Everglades. This method is antiquated and not conducive to the reduction of GHG in the atmosphere. It should be noted that airport and seaport trucks, trains, ships, airplanes, and service vehicles all consume oil in addition to Florida Power and Light’s garbage burning plant located between the airport and seaport on Eller Drive. It should be said that since Fort Lauderdale does not have in place a model intermodal center like any of the other three cities, this city should invest in its future and at least introduce electric vehicles at each port to move cargo efficiently and effectively. Furthermore, Fort Lauderdale greatly needs a mass transportation system, either public or private, that transports passengers to the seaport from the airport, and vice versa. Right now, Fort Lauderdale depends on public buses, Tri-Rail, Amtrak, freight trains, ships, airplanes, trucks, and private ground transportation including taxicabs, rental cars, and privately owned vehicles. Granted that Fort Lauderdale does not have the variety nor the kind of transportation interconnectivity that cities like Madrid and Barcelona have, Broward County is still growing. If the County could revisit its APM system in the years to come and make train travel a more viable option, Fort Lauderdale would be on its way to success in 2050 with regard to intermodal centers. In the meantime, Fort Lauderdale clearly needs to integrate different modes of transportation at the airport and seaport using electric vehicles in order to address the issue of global oil depletion. Without planning now, Fort Lauderdale stands to be left behind other coastal American cities that are intermodal-ready, and the market will shift to those cities that are economically and efficiently sound in the years to come. 38 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 6.0 RESULTS There is a need for intermodal centers now, but how badly will they be needed in the future? To answer this question, one must weigh in the cost of fuel in 2050, increased passenger travel and cargo traffic, and suburbanization, as seen in places like Madrid and Barcelona. Moreover, one must consider logistics, demand, and terrain like Miami and Fort Lauderdale. Clearly high energy costs will generate innovative ideas on how to improve freight and passenger traffic. One might even predict that electric cars and trucks would be more common on the roadway sometime by the year 2050, and that gas-consuming vehicles such as the typical American bus or diesel train would fall into desuetude. While airplanes and diesel-burning ocean-going vessels might present a problem for travel in 2050, there might be inventions such as a nuclear passenger or cargo ship or a “new-fuel” airplane. Nonetheless, innovators and inventors will probably offer society a number of options for ocean-crossing. By 2050, there may be many different ways to transport a business person who works on the Castellana in Madrid to the office of his or her counterparts on Brickell Avenue in Miami—all by a mixture of public and private options, to say the least. However, one must return to the issue of tomorrow’s intermodal center. Clearly, there will be a need for connecting passengers and cargo as efficiently as possible from plane to rail to ship with as many public and private transportation options. Space is needed for these intermodal centers at airports, seaports, and downtown business hubs where land and energy resources are economized as much as possible. For instance, passengers coming into Barcelona from an AVE train with their arms full of packages 39 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans and suitcases would not want to backtrack several miles on the Metro in order to reach the Port of Barcelona or the airport at El Prat de Llobregat. An idea for improvement might be to create more RENFE stops at these locations. This scenario could also benefit transshipment and cargo distribution in places like Miami and Fort Lauderdale where lines are close to the various ports, but not close enough. Ultimately, the intermodal center of the future will have to draw upon a number of innovative ideas such as the ones just discussed. The idea of electric buses and trams will have to be discussed in addition to the need for speed rail from airport to downtown center or to seaport. Passenger and cargo train lines may be separated, and some cargo may have to be moved to underground rail in order to avoid traffic above ground. These ideas illustrate how the intermodal center of tomorrow will be useful in places like Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale. 6.1 Discussion From the study of intermodal centers in each of these four cities—Miami, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale—it becomes evident that progress is being made to advance transportation for the year 2050, but at a very slow pace. For instance, nearly all airports have considered or are now considering electric vehicles for use of cargo transfer and transshipment at the airport, and in places, the seaport. Advancement in this area will lead to fewer GHG emissions and less oil consumption. Ideas such as these will make intermodal centers more valuable in the years to come whereat passenger and cargo traffic may increase or stay the same, as one can see from the tables in Section 5.1. In other words, intermodal centers of the future may be more numerous and feature more electric vehicles than presently seen. 40 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Despite the common link among these principal cities in regard to the role of electric vehicles, it should be discussed how intermodal centers in places like Madrid and Barcelona compare to those in Miami and Fort Lauderdale. For example, Spain is clearly ahead with its metro systems and electronic trains. Barcelona has included the use of a tram running east to west, and both cities have invited private bus and train service to compete with EMT in Madrid and RENFE everywhere else. Granted that electric trains consume fewer fossil fuels—less than whatever is used at a power plant in Spain—and are more numerous in Europe, there are some trains left in Barcelona that still use diesel fuel. Notwithstanding, Spain’s use of trains is considerably higher than that by cities in the United States. Thus, and in these respects, Madrid and Barcelona are ahead of South Florida wherein no electric trains are used at all. Miami and Fort Lauderdale are somewhat behind in another respect, namely the use of mass transit. As an example, Miami’s public transportation system depends on three components: the standard fifty-passenger bus, the elevated train known as Metrorail, and the small automated train known as the People Mover. Additionally, there is internal competition in Miami-Dade County with regard to private jitney service. Similarly, Fort Lauderdale has just the public bus system, known as BCt, and recent plans to upgrade travel near the airport and the seaport with a rail or people mover system like Miami’s were shelved because of funding problems in 2010. Obviously, Miami and Fort Lauderdale residents use public transportation less and the private vehicle more. All of these aspects of public and private transportation underscore the fact that South Florida is very much behind Spain and needs to develop an integrated model that includes more electric vehicles like metro rail and the people mover. 41 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans So how then exactly does Spain compare to South Florida with regard to intermodal centers? Spanish cities like Madrid and Barcelona have more options available to its residents in terms of both passenger and freight travel. One can catch very easily a train, a metro line, a bus, or even a plane or a ship when visiting an intermodal center. They are located conveniently near airport terminals, train stations, and even the port. These centers offer a number of amenities, such as the aerotropolis in Madrid where one can buy a sandwich or a newspaper, and cater to large numbers of people who often use the intermodal centers on a daily basis. Clearly, the traffic in these centers is very high, and if it were not for public transportation, there would not be so much traffic in some of these intermodal locations. Conversely, South Florida has very few intermodal centers primarily because of lack of widely-used public transportation. An example of the paucity in such centers is Metrorail in Miami. The planners of the late 1970s dreamt of an elevated train that connected certain parts of the county with the downtown business center of Miami; however, very few people actually used it, even in the year 2011. Consequently, there was little reason to design an intermodal center on the scale of one of Madrid’s until the recent plan to bring Metrorail to the Miami International Airport to connect everything including Tri-Rail under one house close to the airport terminal. Miami’s Intermodal Center is the only model passenger center of its kind in South Florida, which does not compare very well at all to the many others already in use over in Spain. There is one other kind of intermodal center which Miami possesses that compares much better against similar ones in Spain, namely the freight processing centers that make up Cargo City. Cargo City is a unique center located close to the 42 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans airport runways that is so large in terms of industry that it is its own employment center (Prosperi, 2008). In other words, there are so many workers there that the number dwarfs that of people working in office buildings along Downtown Miami. This center processes, transships, and distributes freight all over South Florida and even to parts north. There is no comparison between Cargo City and the cargo centers of Madrid or Barcelona. Proportionately with respect to the total population of Miami-Dade County, Miami’s Cargo City handles more freight, trucks more freight, and ships more freight via train and cargo ship than Madrid or Barcelona alone. It is for this reason that Miami’s model might fare better than that of any of Spain’s. Nonetheless, the results of this study lead one to conclude that Spain might be more prepared for 2050 than South Florida. Spain already uses electric trains, electric trams, and electric Metro lines. South Florida has practically none, save Metrorail and the People Mover in Miami. These aspects of public transportation might lead to possible interconnectivity at certain points, such as the ones whereat intermodal centers have already been constructed. Needless to say, intermodal centers of the future— daresay by the year 2050—will have electric vehicles in place, such as the electric forklift and the electric train, in addition to new ideas and innovations, such as the oilless airplane or the nuclear-powered cargo ship. Vehicles such as these will dock as closely as possible to new and improved intermodal centers to make cargo transfer or passenger travel more convenient and free of burdensome connections, like having to walk a mile with one’s suitcases to catch a train on the other side of an air or sea terminal upon arriving from an airplane or disembarking from a cruise ship. Clearly, intermodal centers are part of the solution for world oil depletion in the year 2050. 43 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 6.2 Cargo Movers Cargo movers are an old idea that was bandied about when subway systems were constructed all over Europe. Many people saw the efficiency in moving freight from location to location underground without having to waste money on gas for trucks that were often mired in traffic. It was proposed that containerized freight could be transported more efficiently on the same railways used by metro lines and even the national railway corporation, such as RENFE. See Figure 9 below for an artistic impression of what a cargo mover would look like in one of Madrid’s metro stations. Figure 9: Cargo Mover in Madrid? Nonetheless, Dr. Francesc Magrinyà Torner of the Polytechnic University of Catalunya expresses disdain for the concept inasmuch as there would be too many issues involved with its implementation. The most obvious problem is cost. How would one lower the cargo down below and retrieve it at the other end? How would it be transported during the day or the night? There are too many cost-related problems with 44 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans retrofitting and new construction, and there is still the problem of moving freight from a terminus, such as a large enough metro station, to its final destination at a store down the street. As Dr. Magrinyà Torner explains, one would still need a truck, or several trucks, to move freight from Point A to Point B, not to mention special equipment necessary to load and unload the freight from the metro line and hoist it to the surface. There are simply too many costs which preclude the efficacy of such an operation. On the other hand, what options will planners have in 2050 when the price of gasoline could force us to try drastic means to facilitate the delivery and transport of freight across town? Intermodal centers may one day have a freight-lifting device at suitable sites such as industrial centers, airports, and seaports, thereby hastening the day when cargo movers are indeed worth the cost of implementing. Granted that places like Miami and Fort Lauderdale, which cannot have subway systems because of the water table, cannot implement cargo movers, cities such as Madrid and Barcelona may one day see the development of cargo movers in strategic locations around town. 6.3 Electric Buses and Trucks Whereas it may be difficult to imagine, Fort Lauderdale is already acquiring an airport fleet with electric vehicles for the year 2012. This necessity arises from engines that are constantly in use during the day and often at night. Needless to say, Miami and other cities like Madrid and Barcelona are probably following suit inasmuch as the cost of fuel and the spread of greenhouse gases create such terrible headaches for airport officials and planners alike. Electric forklifts, tows, and other ramp vehicles are clearly the way of the future. Soon every intermodal center across the globe will have such vehicles for their use in moving freight from ship to rail to plane. 45 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Curiously enough, not all electric vehicles have reached complete popularity in South Florida. For instance, electric buses are not nearly as popular in the United States as they are in places like Europe. Electric buses depend on electric cable strung above streets and provide energy to the standard bus carrying passengers from one location to the next. Barcelona already has a few in use that interchange with tram and Metro stations along the way. It should be mentioned that Miami and Fort Lauderdale are now experimenting with hybrid buses in order to reduce energy costs, but they have not committed yet to the fully electric bus like those in Europe. See Figure 10 below for an example of these transportation alternatives. Figure10: Electric Bus in Europe Although hurricanes may preclude stringing electric cable all over the cities of Miami and Fort Lauderdale, there is a choice for residents of Miami and Fort Lauderdale to continue using wasteful gasoline-powered cars or to embrace fuel-less modes of transport such as the electric bus or light rail. Come the year 2050, residents of these two cities may find it necessary to lay track and electric cable. Moreover, there may be a higher cost to pay for such service. People must be aware. 46 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 6.4 Speed Rail from Ports into the City In many European cities where mass transit is a way of life, public transportation is of sound quality and links airports and seaports with the important employment centers of the metropolis. Madrid and Barcelona are struggling to reach that point by building intermodal stations at the ports with connections to downtown locations, but as of yet, there is no speed rail service from the airport to the city center—say, Barajas to Puerta de Sol. Miami and Fort Lauderdale have long relied on their antiquated bus systems to bring passengers into the city center, but even with an express bus from Miami International Airport to Downtown Miami, there is insufficient celerity. Ostensibly, there is demand, but there is insufficient action to install the obvious links from port to business center. Therefore, it is recommended that faster non-stop connections into town via Metro be constructed in Madrid and Barcelona with similar means created for elevated train systems like Miami’s Metrorail. 6.5 Designated Passenger/Cargo Lines When a railway line is used amply by passenger and by cargo, it becomes necessary to construct separate railways to accommodate the intense traffic on the line. Many cities have done this both in the United States and in Europe. According to a RENFE employee in Barcelona, there are existing railways for cargo and for passengers from the airport and seaport. Madrid plans to do so, too. On the other hand, Miami and Fort Lauderdale depend jointly on the parallel lines of CSX and the FEC for all kinds of traffic, although both handle freight primarily. CSX is used by Tri-Rail and Amtrak during the day when freight tends to leave, too. To add to the confusion, plans have been discussed for a Tri-Rail-like passenger corridor on the FEC. 47 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans This situation creates problems for passenger traffic on Amtrak and Tri-Rail. Many times passengers have to sit on the train and wait for a freight train to pass before continuing towards their destinations. Oftentimes, there is a pile-up of vehicular traffic on the sides waiting to cross the railway tracks. Ideally, there should be separate lines of travel for freight and for passenger rail, such as Tri-Rail, but one runs into the problem of space and where to put a third or fourth rail all the way up the coast from Miami to Palm Beach County. There is simply not enough space currently, but if the price of gasoline becomes too exorbitant, South Florida may have to buy a line from CSX or the FEC, or else the local transportation authority may have to commission the building of a separate railway elsewhere. See Figure 11 below for an example of what separate tracks would look like along CSX or the FEC. Figure 11: Separate Railway Tracks 48 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 7.0 CONCLUSION Spain and South Florida possess similar qualities. They are large regions with mixed populations and are popular travel destinations, three of which offer beach access and a variety of cultural attractions. Additionally, these cities are all developing their potential as world business centers and have populations in the millions. There are also air links now between cities, such as Miami with Madrid and recently, Barcelona, and there is the popularity of the seaports in Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and Barcelona which bring in cargo and passengers from all over the world. Perceptibly, these regions have grappled lately with increased passenger and freight traffic, and because of this influx of traffic, there is an obvious need for improved infrastructure and easier movement from one mode of transportation to the other, such as from airplane or cruise ship to downtown city center. It should be of no surprise that Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale have been constructing intermodal centers to facilitate passenger travel and cargo transshipment at key operations centers such as airports and seaports. For instance, Barcelona and Madrid already have intermodal centers for passengers, and Miami is in the process of developing one for its airport. Furthermore, some cities like Miami have created cargo cities which move large quantities of freight in and out of Miami via truck, rail, plane, and even ship. Ideally, there should be connector loci such as these intermodal centers for passengers and cargo as they travel to different points between airports, seaports, and even railway. Moreover, these modes of transport lend themselves to effective and efficient travel across large distances such as international borders, which emphasizes the need for the construction of intermodal centers. 49 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans What may hasten the construction of more intermodal centers in the near future is the rising cost of energy resources, especially that of oil. It was discussed that oil and gas reserves will reach a critical point in 2050 whereupon the world will have to find other sources of energy. Electric cars, buses, and trucks already exist, and cities like Miami and Fort Lauderdale already use hybrid buses in their public transportation systems with a moderate amount of success. Moreover, the need to conserve space, time, and money will become apparent in 2050 where a walking public will seek to minimize each of those aspects in going from ship to shore and then from rail to plane. People will seek inexpensive rides—probably using mass transit wherever possible— and try to limit the number of transfer points as much as one can, such as disembarking from a ship and boarding a train in as little distance as possible. In light of these observations, it can be theorized that the intermodal growth plans of the future will include maximizing the interchanges with as many different modes of transportation as possible and expediting travel in these four model cities with regard to cargo-related transport and passenger traffic. Current intermodal centers in places like Madrid’s airport and Miami’s Cargo City are not what one would call “complete” as such, for there are many more alternatives that should be considered in the years to come: cargo movers and high-speed trains from the intermodal nexus to downtown business centers and central train stations. Plans for future intermodal center growth in cities like Fort Lauderdale may one day include all of these ideas, such as connecting airport to seaport traffic and providing a link between downtown Fort Lauderdale and the ports, not to mention the use of trams, electric forklifts, electric buses, and people movers that facilitate the transport of freight and passengers in one giant center. 50 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Comparatively, Spain and South Florida are neck and neck in advancing intermodal centers in its key cities—Spain perhaps more so than South Florida. Examples of their growth include train to metro passenger connectors—something that Miami, Barcelona, and Madrid all have now. Then there is the topic of cargo, which lends itself superbly to Miami’s Cargo City at Miami International Airport, to the Port of Miami, to Port Everglades, and to the Port of Barcelona. These four locations are functioning well at present, even though many are using cranes, forklifts, and trucks that require the use of carbon fuels. It should be noted that if any mode of transport can be fully energized using non-fossil fuels, passenger travel will be before cargo processing, for the infrastructure and machinery were not made for “clean energy” and will take a long time for retrofitting. Despite the apparent similarities among Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale, there is one key leader that shows the greatest amount of promise for the year 2050, and that would have to be Barcelona. Barcelona already has private and public transportation in the way of train and metro service, but the greatest achievement is the flexibility of the city with regard to shipyard and cruise terminal traffic, cargo and passenger rail service, airport access, downtown train stations, tram operation, and bus service in and out of the city. Barcelona has more intermodal centers than Madrid, Miami, or Fort Lauderdale and offers the greatest number of variety of transfers with different modes of transportation than even Madrid. When Barcelona finishes its plan for implementing a fuel-conscious transportation system in the year 2050, there should be many combinations of getting into, out of, and transiting through the city that are available to the public—more so than any other city in this study. 51 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans Spain and South Florida intermodal centers are springing up in areas where they are most needed right now: the airport, the seaport, industrial centers, and the downtown business districts. It is clear from the statistics reviewed earlier that these intermodal centers are greatly needed and that more additions would be recommended. Madrid, Barcelona, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale are dynamic cities, three of which are on the coastline, and the need for efficient airport to seaport to rail service is perceptibly needed for such large cities—especially as the population grows and the urban region expands for each city. Intermodal centers are the future of nearly every big city, and growth plans must be made for the inclusion of as many different modes of traffic including public and private transportation, light and heavy rail, cars and buses, trucks and airport ramp vehicles, and even airplanes and ocean-going vessels. Moreover, further study is suggested herewith into the prospects for travel using “clean energy” and ideas like Spain’s AVE speed-rail system which is entirely electric and now serves the entire nation. Without more research into the energy needs of 2050, intermodal growth plans may not completely reach the goals of the people who will use these intermodal centers, and boondoggles may arise from constructing centers for 2012 when the intent is for far into the future. The usefulness of Miami’s Intermodal Center has yet to be seen, but if enough passengers ride from back and forth from the airport to the seaport, there may be some great value of the system in 2050. Therefore, it is recommended that planners strive high to meet all of these goals in the future when planning for Spain and South Florida’s intermodal centers—to include a great variety of transportation modes, to reduce the use of fossil fuels and promote “clean energy,” and to minimize travel cost while maximizing efficiency in both space and design. 52 Bradford, Intermodal Growth Plans 8.0 REFERENCES Ahlbrandt, T. (2002). Future Petroleum Energy Resources of the World. International Geology Review , 44 (12), pp. 1092-1104. Asensio, J. (2002). Transport Mode Choice by Commuters to Barcelona's CBD. Urban Studies , 39, pp. 1881-1895. Barcelona. (n.d.). Port of Barcelona Traffic Reports and Related Information. Retrieved June 8, 2011, from Port of Barcelona, Spain: http://www.portdebarcelona.es/wps/wcm/connect BCAD. (n.d.). Fort Lauderdale International Airport Traffic and Statistics. 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