1 (12) CLEEN Strategic Research Agenda for the theme Architecture of a sustainable future energy system Executive summary “Pathway to sustainable future through energy system revolution” The goal of the proposed program portfolio is to define a pathway to sustainable and flexible energy systems of the future and to develop the key technologies, services, business models and processes needed for the implementation of such systems in various development scenarios and for different geographical areas including diverse market environments. The future sustainable energy system will: - Provide Accessible, Affordable, Available and Acceptable energy to consumers Use a sustainable and flexible mix of primary energy sources Utilize flexible power generation to compensate for the intermittency of renewables Combine various energy carriers Coordinate the use of heating/cooling and power Use both local and global energy resources Utilize the flexibility offered by demand response and energy storages Use primary energy very efficiently Take into account the real-time price/cost of energy Take into account the human behavioral factors and user-experience Take into account different geographical areas having centralized or distributed market models and their potential for technical and market integration Offer high quality of supply with an affordable cost What is suggested here is a large and covering research program, which combines the efforts of all parties involved in the chain: power generation – energy carriers (electrical networks, gas, heat, cool) – energy use. A strong focus is on systemic level, on the optimal integration of centralized and decentralized energy resources and production as well as flexible use of various energy carriers. The program utilizes and strengthens the identified key fields of Finnish knowhow. These include, for instance, the advanced application of information and communication technologies (ICT) at CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 2 (12) various energy system levels, combined heat and power (CHP), high expertise in internal combustion engine based flexible power generation and fluidized-bed combustion, knowledge of catalytic materials and advanced weather measurement technologies. Regarding the efficient utilization of renewable power generation, the strengths include strong competence in electrical power conversion techniques and integration of intermittent generation system using power electronics. The most important key knowledge to be developed, in addition to the present strengths of the Finnish companies, include the optimization of multi-carrier (power, heat, cool, gases) energy systems, new technical solutions for energy storages, smart coordination of CHP and thermal storages, energy management systems also targeted to lower system levels, and finally a holistic approach to the application of ICT systems in management of energy systems from centralized and distributed production through various carrier systems down to the end-use level. The optimization will take into account possible changes in community and industrial structures, market conditions, as well as consumer behavior. Background Energy systems are probably in the biggest transition seen in their history, leading to major changes in energy production and energy transmission as well as energy use. The driving forces are the targets for deep reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, depletion of conventional oil reserves, rapid increase in energy demand, especially in developing economies, and globalization. At the same time, the economies are coming more and more dependent on reliable and secure power and energy supply, which together with the efforts to increase capacity and access to energy will require massive investments in the transmission and distribution systems. In addition, development of enabling ICT-technologies such as advanced automatic metering systems and evolution of wireless communication networks towards Internet of things (IoT) offer new possibilities for building, operating and controlling flexible and efficient energy systems. The future energy system must be sustainable, reliable, and affordable. The pathway towards the future energy systems will require: - - Balancing the intermittency with flexible generation, storages and demand side management Sustainable, reliable and affordable power generation solutions Diversified energy sources to increase energy security Flexible power generation units capable of fast load changes Combination and coordination of various energy carriers: power, heat, cool, fuels Intelligent demand side management for power and energy balance management Optimal division of energy resources between local and centralized levels Intelligent integration of zero-energy buildings in the energy system CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 3 (12) - Smart grids, smart heat systems, smart energy use, smart customers and smart policies Substantial changes in power delivery infrastructure, for instance wider use of direct current (DC) systems Extensive use of heat and power storages at various system levels Tools and solutions for increased system reliability and security, including cyber security Flexible and effective market models in wholesale and retail markets to enable incentives for change, transmission system operators (TSO’s) and distribution system operators (DSOs’). Co-operative systems level engineering, services and management enabled by appropriate business models and regulation Digitalization and ICT as an enabler of future energy system will contribute in: - Management of the complex energy infrastructure involving flexible generation, smart energy end-use and coordination of various energy carriers and energy resources. Management of energy in low energy and zero-energy buildings Integration of distributed energy resources (DER), storages and demand response (DR) in infrastructures and in energy systems Changing customer needs: not only for energy supply but also for user-driven energy services and actions Wide use of photovoltaic (PV), wind and wave power, in addition to biomass and waste as fuels, all offer great opportunities for export business for Finnish companies. The transition to future energy system requires huge investments in the coming years and decades. For instance, ENTSO-E has estimated that European transmission system operators will invest in their networks about 104 billion EUR during the next 10 years. In the same time period, total investments in the European energy system will be about 1000 billion EUR. With regard to power production, globally speaking the strongest increase seems to be in solar power and in gas fired electricity and CHP production. The PV market is currently about 100 billion USD/year, whereas VTT has estimated that gas fired production investments will total up to 1000 billion € in 2020 and 1500 billion € in 2030. Positioning of the Finnish know-how Being a Northern country, Finnish energy system has developed strong competence in both CHP production and in reliable and intelligent electrical networks. This competence has been created in close collaboration between energy and power companies and manufacturing industry, utilizing the support of Finnish universities and research institutes during the past 30 years. The development has been possible due to innovative Power and Energy Companies willing to support the development of the whole energy chain from primary energy source down to end-use. Today, the Finnish key competences focus on the following fields: CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 4 (12) - Strong competence in multi-fuel power plants and flue gas cleaning technologies Unique position in gas-fired engine based power plants for flexible power generation Advanced know-how within catalytic materials and catalysts in the entire energy chain Knowledge about different size CHP plants and related systems, such as biofuels handling, steam & condensate and district heating systems High expertise in fluidized-bed combustion and gasification technologies World class products & systems in operation of smart grids World class competence in electrical power conversion, including electrical systems of wind and solar power generating plants Strong ICT-industry to support Smart Grids and Smart Energy Use High-quality automation systems of power plants: security, low operational costs Arctic know-how Strong knowledge and industry in weather measurement technologies, which are coming more and more critical when intermittent generation (wind, solar) increases Long term expertise in open energy market and associated business models For decades, Finnish cities and industrial companies have utilized CHP production in district and regional heating and process steam production. The availability and usability figures are of top class in the world and the energy efficiency is very high. The plants are based on steam turbine, combined gas and steam turbine, or internal combustion engine technology, and the fuel variety is very large. In solid fuel driven plants, core technology is fluidized-bed combustion, which has been developed up to a high level. The plants utilize sophisticated automation systems, which have also been thoroughly verified in Finnish nuclear power stations. Finnish universities, research institutes and industrial companies have developed proper catalytic materials and catalysts for the entire energy chain, from fuel refining and processing to exhaust gas cleaning. Finnish companies have wide experience on arctic applications of various technologies particularly within energy production systems, including power plants, electricity and heat distribution and networks and user equipment, as well as construction and mechanical industries, e.g. icebreaker manufacturing. In general, technologies related to electrical energy engineering are and will be in the main role in future energy systems. Finland has very strong electrical industry especially in fields of power electronics, wind power generators, PV converters and Smart Grid technologies, all of which are key technologies with regard to future sustainable energy systems. Electrical energy technologies are already a bigger export business than other energy technologies in Finland. Identification of the research needs The vision of the energy system after the energy revolution comprises of the following: CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 5 (12) - Optimal role and integration degree of centralized and distributed production Optimal combination of district heating and local CHP Optimal supply-demand balance of energy and power High energy efficiency of energy generation, distribution and end-use Optimal management of low- and zero-energy buildings Energy services that satisfy citizen needs: accessible, affordable, clean, secure, reliable and sustainable energy New technologies and business models for energy and power balance management Co-existence and co-operation of centralized and distributed energy market models Transmission & distribution grid as a market place for energy market Gas grid and district heating systems as an open market place Flexible power production to compensate for intermittent renewable variations Strong role of digitalization and ICT – various scale energy management systems Smart grid, smart generation, smart energy use, smart energy markets Technologies FUTURE ENERGY SYSTEM System management Figure 1 Markets and Business models Key elements of the future energy systems To realize the above vision, main research needs in Finland are: - - Development and optimization of flexible power generation to increase the efficiency, reliability and load follow-up capabilities, and to further reduce the emissions to comply with anticipated future requirements: technologies, ICT, engineering methodologies, business models, policies & regulations, existing infrastructures, and economic development in different regions Development and demonstration of internal combustion engine technology and power plants for flexible power generation Development of fuel pretreatment systems in multi-fuel boiler plants as well as recycling of combustion wastes Demonstration of sustainable and smart CHP plants in small and medium sized scales Piloting of new waste heat recovery systems for increased electric efficiency ICT-solutions and market mechanisms for the integration of multi-fuel, multi-carrier energy systems with local energy resources such as local production, different storages and DR CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 6 (12) - - Understanding and development of energy market models and associated business models to be applied in different market areas Development of Smart Grid technologies and demonstrations of large scale business cases in Smart Grids. Further development of Smart Grids to also cover multi-fuel environment and different energy carriers, like gas, heat and cool. Development and pilot testing of the key solutions and technologies for future energy systems Development of sustainable pathways towards the future energy system including technological solutions and business concepts In many regions, there is demand for increased distributed energy production. Several actors want to improve energy self-sufficiency and utilize local sustainable primary energy sources, solar and wind, supported by e.g. biomass, biogases and other waste-derived fuels. The increased utilization of solid bio and waste-derived fuels entails a need to further develop fuel pretreatment systems and adapt them to several kinds of alternative solid fuels and their mixtures. Solutions are also needed for utilization of solid residues from combustion of these fuels. At the same time, the energy efficiency must be improved. Different kinds of sustainable and smart CHP plants should be demonstrated paying special attention to high electric efficiency and effective utilization of thermal waste energy and other commodities, e.g. gases. The plants should be equipped with advanced ICT solutions in order to enable as automated operation as possible and to make it possible to control the production in a flexible way. An important issue is also the optimal role of centralized versus distributed power generation and how these resources should be divided between the system levels and areas. Additionally, the role of various energy carriers should be opened for discussion: what is the optimal role of electricity distribution versus heat distribution and gas distribution. How can the storages of these energy forms be coordinated and utilized in an optimal way? These are big questions that pave way to the future sustainable energy and power systems. Hence, their roles, advantages and limitations should be investigated from the system level point of view. In addition, multi-fuel, load-following and rapidly-reacting power plants must be further developed to balance the electricity network when the production of intermittent energy continuously increases. Internal combustion engines form a unique option for flexible power production but further development and optimization of power generation flexibility is required. The other main research topics include increasing engine efficiency, improvement of the reliability, grid connection times and load follow-up capabilities and further reduction of emissions through primary (engine related) and secondary (after treatment) methods in order to comply with the anticipated future emission legislation. Furthermore, as the importance of electricity increases in modern societies, the electricity gain should be increased also for different thermal power processes. This means that waste heat of thermal power processes and heat engines must be increasingly converted to electricity. There are several alternative processes available to accomplish this, many of which must, however, be CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 7 (12) further studied and developed and, in particular, demonstrated by properly scaled pilot installations. Novel ICT solutions must be developed for smart coordination of energy production to meet customer needs, and for system operation through remote control and monitoring. It is also important to provide smart ICT tools to customers in order to enable their active participation in energy markets and in power balance management. This requires extension of Smart Grid technologies towards energy management systems for customers. For market mechanisms, there is a need to evaluate different potential approaches and develop mechanisms that incentivize the provision of capacity and flexibility in a manner that the end user cost is minimized without sacrificing the economic feasibility for the industrial players in the upstream chain. To be able to evaluate this, there is also need for system level research to understand the optimal mix of future energy infrastructure in different scenarios, i.e. the role and amount of e.g. flexible production, the division of the production into centralized and decentralized shares, the role of grid improvements, and the role of flexible end use. The role of Smart Grid and Demand Response should be extended to also cover multi-fuel, multi-carrier systems, which aim to optimal mix of energy sources and flexibility both at generation and consumption side. Strategic Research Agenda at CLEEN Ltd The Strategic Research Agenda of CLEEN Ltd provides a holistic view for Finland to pass through the energy revolution towards sustainable energy system, at the same time opening new business possibilities for the exporting industry. The task is huge and multi-disciplinary, and requires close collaboration between several industries as well as public parties. The objective of the research portfolio is to create a pathway to energy system revolution The strategic research topics to achieve this are: - Research on system level which takes into account different scenarios in the development of global energy markets, development of energy demand in all energy end use sectors in Finland and the neighbouring countries as well as potential market areas globally, smart end use/demand response, improved grids & control, flexible generation, smart CHP systems, open heat delivery networks, distributed storages, role of centralized versus distributed solutions, optimal co-ordination and combination of various energy carriers (electricity, heat, cool, fuels, gases) Intelligent solutions for system components, integration and management: o Energy management for advanced energy systems o Optimal coordination and system planning for 1) centralized versus distributed resources as well as 2) centralized district heating versus local CHP o Smart coordination of heat/cool demand, CHP and thermal storages CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 8 (12) o o o o - Sustainable distributed energy systems Intelligent integration of zero-energy buildings in energy system Solutions for maintaining energy system security and reliability also in the presence of large amount of intermittent production Smart Grid and Demand Response extended to multi-fuel, multi-carrier systems, aiming at optimal mix of energy sources and flexibility both at generation and consumption side - The role of ICT in controlling the whole energy system including the production of heat and power at different system levels, storages and intelligent end use. Management of the complex energy infrastructure involving flexible generation, smart energy end-use and coordination of various energy carriers and energy resources => Coordinated management and optimization of energy grids/networks: Multi-Carrier Smart Grid - Integration of increased volumes of intermittent power production into energy systems: o Flexible power generation value chains, and the related business models and role of policy and regulation in different market areas o New tools for power balance management utilising forecasts based on weather measurements and taking into account both power generation and demand o Energy storages for heat and power and their optimal integration into smart energy systems Smart grids which are in the key role when connecting distributed renewable energy sources to the power networks and in managing the demand response. New technologies for sustainable products: o Development of flexible (multi-fuel, load following, load range) power generation technologies o Development of optimized CHP solutions of different size for various energy system levels o Development of high efficiency energy storage systems (from short to long term) o Energy management systems at various energy system levels – down to prosumers´ side - Potential to develop mid-sized comprehensive energy solutions, adapted technologies and business models for developing markets, which could open up new potential for Finnish industry but require collaboration within the whole value chain - Local energy grids, microgrids and off-grid solutions. Local level energy management solutions and services, virtual power plants - Assessment of the effects of various changes in the operating environment of the energy companies: increasing amount of low-energy buildings and local power production, the emergence of multi-carrier systems, transition from energy selling to providing energy CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 9 (12) solutions and services, and managing the local energy resources as a part of the total energy system - Novel market solutions and business models: o Business models and mechanisms for future energy systems o Policy and regulation for future energy systems o Energy services to various scale customers to enable their active role in future energy systems Services for increasing the energy efficiency of energy end use Services for the integration of customers in energy system as smart energy prosumers Figure 2. A sustainable, reliable and affordable energy system of the future CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 10 (12) Flexible energy systems including large penetration of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) to enable sustainable, secure and affordable future 1) 2) 3) 4) Solutions for power generation, energy distribution and end-use sites (DR, energy storages) Integrated systems for managing the whole energy system (role of ICT is essential) Business models and market mechanisms Holistic system approach where ICT-solutions and business models cross the energy chain Main topics of future energy systems Power Production Transmission & Distribution Energy use Active customers Energy storage – Heat and Power Energy economy, markets, policy & risk How to ensure that future energy system is sustainable Flexible generation to meet power balance challenge. Multicommodity CHP. Efficient use of capacity to enable wide area markets. Security and cyber security. Sustainability in the design of energyrelated products, services and systems over the life-cycle Increase the system flexibility in order to be able to integrate more intermittent power Market mechanisms that enable large penetration of RES are needed. High energy security. Technological solutions needed for the vision Plants that are capable to fast load changes. Multi-fuel and CHP, including also cooling Integration of storages, local resources and Demand response. Aggregation and VPP Energy efficient equipment and processes. Energy management systems at various levels. Extensive storages for heat combined with CHP and end-use. Demand response, energy management systems at small and medium size customers How to optimize the system with lot of peak power, high peak energy prices, increased reserve capacity and storage needs Importance of reserve capacity increases. Fast reacting plants integrated with storages. Flexible fuels. Seasonal storages. Holistic optimization for multi-carrier energy distribution, integration of local energy sources and storages. Optimal equipment, infrastructure and control systems which are feasible in various operating environments. Smart coordination of heat demand, CHP and heat storages. Batteries for shorter term balance management Optimal operation of local resources. Market models to share the benefits between players. How do the system solutions differ from arctic to tropical areas, from industrialized to developing economies Variations in local energy sources flexibility. Heat versus cool storages. Basic solutions same. Role of centralized versus distributed systems varies. Access to energy sources, existing infra, industrial structures, etc. operation environment factors. Thermostat controlled appliances offer high flexibility ranging from heat to cool Different market models and policies in EU, USA, Asia and Russia. Different community and industrial structures. What kind of earning models can be created to fit the future energy system Promotion of flexible power generation. New mechanisms to divide the Earning models of both energy and network companies change. New innovative tariffs are Business models can be supported by policies. Solutions depend on local factors, Virtual Power Plant. Business models for demand response needed. Role of tariffs and feeding tariffs is CLEEN OY Large batteries, EVs Instead of just Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 11 (12) benefits. Waste to energy. needed. why their development will focus on different regions. selling energy, providing energy solutions and associated services. essential. Changes in customer behavior call for new business models. Suggested project & program portfolio for the theme What is suggested here is a large and covering research program, which combines the efforts of all parties involved in the chain: power generation – energy carriers (electrical networks, gas, heat, cool) – energy use. The overall goal is flexible and sustainable multi-carrier energy system enabling large penetration of renewable energy sources by comprehensive power balance management solutions. As illustrated in Figure 1, to achieve this requires efforts in three different perspectives: 1. DEVELOPING NEW TECHNOLOGIES FOR THE POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION AND END-USE, INCLUDING STORAGES AS WELL AS FLEXIBLE EQUIPMENT FOR POWER USE 2. INTELLIGENT SOLUTIONS FOR SYSTEM INTEGRATION AND MANAGEMENT: MULTI-CARRIER SMART GRIDS/NETWORKS, EXTENSIVE USE OF ICT- AND AUTOMATION SOLUTIONS FOR OVERALL ENERGY SYSTEM MANAGEMENT 3. NOVEL MARKET SOLUTIONS, BUSINESS MODELS AND SERVICES This is a multi-disciplinary task and during the preparation of the program, interfacing and collaboration with the other SHOKs, like RYM and DIGILE, are to be examined. Participants of the SRA group Erkki Antila, Vaasa University Marja Englund, Fortum Satu Helynen, VTT Tero Hottinen, Wärtsilä Pertti Järventausta, TTY Niko Karvosenoja, SYKE Ari Kettunen, Foster Wheeler Energia Matti Lehtonen, Aalto University Seppo Niemi, Vaasa University Juha Paldanius, Vaisala Jarmo Partanen, LUT Leena Sivill, ÅF-Consult CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 12 (12) Responsible author Matti Lehtonen, Aalto University, matti.lehtonen@aalto.fi, +358 40 581 57 26 CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi