1. What should the new VEET target be? Other Other (please specify a target and length): [Required if 'Other' selected] * Please see attached document 1a. Please outline why you prefer the target you identified, or why you selected "No response": The recently modelling results outlined in the Consultation Paper indicate that Option 1 (i.e. a continuation of the existing target of 5.4 million tonnes CO2-e per year for a period of at least three years) will raise the VEET certificate price from its long term average of $18 to $26 (an increase of 45%) and that the other options considered by the modelling would increase the certificate price even further. Alinta therefore considers that the VEET target should not exceed its existing level for a period of at least three years and that the Victorian Government should seriously consider reducing the target to avoid ‘bill shock’ for energy consumers. 2. Comments are invited on the modelling approach used to determine the costs and benefits of the VEET scheme. Is there any additional data or information that should be considered? Alinta is concerned that the results of the Victorian Government Business Impact Assessment undertaken in 2014 and the costbenefit modelling outlined in the Consultation Paper, differ to such a significant extent. These contradictory outcomes demonstrate that the modelling results are very sensitive to the inputs used, which combined with the complexity and uncertainty inherent in such models, indicates that the modelling outcomes should be treated with caution. Some of Alinta’s specific concerns relating to the cost-benefit modelling outlined in the Consultation Paper are described below. Electricity demand in Victoria is falling due to a large range of factors that include, but are not limited to energy efficiency improvements. Alinta therefore believes that Victorian energy consumers will already benefit from minimal expenditure on network infrastructure over the next three to five years, independent of what the VEET target may be, and that this should be reflected in the modelling inputs. Climate change is a global issue and therefore the financial benefits associated with avoided emissions are shared across the global economy. As such, the VEET program is too small to have any measureable benefit on the global economy, or indeed any material direct benefits to the Victorian economy. Alinta therefore considers that including avoided emission values in the modelling (by incorporating these with actual, measurable and immediate benefits such as those associated with avoided generation) will mislead readers as to the real benefits derived from the VEET scheme. Although Alinta understands that assessing how the VEET program might contribute to the avoidance of future climate change adaptation costs is a worthwhile analysis, the avoided emissions values used in the modelling are not sufficiently tangible, certain or linked to the Victorian economy to justify their inclusion in the cost-benefit analysis. As a result, Alinta believes that the benefits of avoided emissions should be considered separately to the cost-benefit analysis to avoid producing misleading modelling results. Alinta also questions the accuracy of the improved air quality benefit values used in the model, given that power stations operate under strict regulatory conditions established under State environmental law, and are subject to operating conditions that are based on environmental and health considerations. It is therefore difficult to imagine that the costs used in the model would become actual savings to the economy if electricity generation were to decrease by the small amount predicted by the VEET modelling. When economic benefits of greenhouse gas avoidance and improved air quality are removed from the recent cost-benefit model, the net benefits of the VEET program become quite marginal. Alinta therefore cautions against raising the VEET targets based on the outcomes of the recent modelling. 3. Which greenhouse gas coefficient should be used to quantify the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions achieved by the VEET scheme? Updated marginal coefficient 3a. Please outline why you believe this option is preferred, or why you selected Alinta considers that updating the coefficient using the same methodology as in 2007 "No response": seems like a reasonable approach. 4. The Department has valued greenhouse gas emissions reductions attributed to the VEET scheme by adopting a carbon valuation series that was produced by the Federal Climate Change Authority as part of its 2014 Targets and Progress Review.Please outline whether you think this approach is appropriate for valuing greenhouse gas emissions reductions over the period 2016 to 2050? As discussed above, Alinta believes that the avoided greenhouse gas values used in the recent modelling are not sufficiently tangible, certain or linked to the Victorian economy to justify their inclusion in the model, especially given that they are incorporated with actual, measureable, immediate benefits such as those associated with avoided generation. 5. Is there a case to exclude any business sector(s) from participation in the VEET scheme? No 5a. Please outline why this is your preferred option, and comment on how this should be implemented: 5b. Please outline why this is your preferred option: Alinta considers that maximising the pool of energy consumers that can generate certificates will help the program achieve its objectives, and therefore supports the ability of EREP customers to generate certificates. 6. Should the VEET scheme be amended to better ensure support for low income households? No 6a. Please outline how the VEET scheme could better support low income households, and comment on why this option should be preferred: 6b. Please outline why this is your preferred option: Alinta supports efforts to assist low income households manage their energy costs; however, these initiatives should be undertaken independent of the VEET to avoid over complicating the scheme. 7. In addition to expanding the range of energy efficiency activities available in VEET, should any other action be taken to target participation by certain groups? Yes 7a. Please outline the actions you believe should be taken: An inherent problem with energy efficiency schemes such as VEET is that program costs are shared amongst all energy consumers, whilst the scheme’s benefits are largely limited to energy consumers that generate certificates, resulting in cross subsidies between energy consumers. Alinta therefore believes that monitoring of certificate generation should continue to be undertaken to ensure that the benefits of the scheme are shared fairly amongst energy consumer groups. For example, the Consultation Paper states that “residential activities have to date generated more than 90% of certificates”, and therefore activity development should probably focus on approving cost effective energy efficiency activities that will be of interest to the commercial and industrial sectors. 7b. Please outline why no other action should be taken, or why you selected "No response": 8. Please suggest up to five activities that should be prioritised for revision or introduction to the VEET scheme. Please outline why you believe these activities should be prioritised. Alinta is not directly involved in the generation of certificates and therefore has no specific suggestions as to activities that should be prioritised for revision or introduction. Alinta does, however, support the introduction of a variety of viable new energy efficiency activities to ensure the VEET scheme can meet its objectives and to avoid certificate shortfalls that would result in unreasonably high costs for consumers. 9. Please suggest up to three changes which should be made to improve the VEET scheme. Please outline why you believe these changes should be a priority. Alinta believes that a single scheme covering the NEM that aims to both improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions, would be the most efficient means of achieving these objectives, both from a government administration and business compliance perspective. This approach is preferred given that most energy retailers are national and the cost, complexity and illiquidity created by a number of unique schemes (all with similar objectives) is overly burdensome on consumers. Alinta therefore suggests that the NEM jurisdictions work together to implement a single scheme.