Course Number: Math 1342 Course Title: Elementary Statistics Semester Hours: 3 Foundational Component Area: 1. The course “focuses on quantitative literacy in logic, patterns, and relationships.” The focus of Elementary Statistics is quantitative literacy through the collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation of numerical data and through identifying relationships and patterns to draw conclusions and form predictions. The course also teaches methods of describing and presenting quantitative and qualitative data, and progresses to teaching students how to infer, drawing conclusions and making predictions based on the data. 2. The course “involve[s] the understanding of key mathematical concepts and the application of appropriate quantitative tools to everyday experience.” Elementary Statistics involves the study of probability and statistics in order to better understand, form conjectures, and evaluate data. In the course, students learn to use probability models, and apply statistical tests to support or reject claims. Students also learn to determine the probability of obtaining certain results and to determine statistical significance of their results. Core Objectives: A. Critical Thinking, Aspect 3: “Students will analyze information effectively.” A major part of statistics is analyzing data. Students will create graphs and calculate numbers based on data sets, which will organize the data so that they can look for patterns and garner insights. See question 1, parts a) and b), Excel assignments #1, and #2, B. Critical Thinking, Aspect 4: “Students will evaluate information effectively.” Students will examine the graphs and numbers calculated, and interpret what they indicate about the original data set. See question 1, parts c) and d), and the questions for Excel assignments #1 and #2. C. Critical Thinking, Aspect 5: “Students will synthesize information effectively. Students need to look at what both the graphs and different numbers are telling them, and draw an overall interpretation integrating both the visual and the numeric. See question 1 c) and Excel assignment #2 question e). D. Communication, Aspect 1: “Students will demonstrate effective development, interpretation, and expressions of ideas through written communication.” The course teaches students to describe situation or events using data. Students learn how to categorize data, and to summarize it using measures of central tendency, variation and position. Students will analyze information in order to formulate conclusions and verbalize inferences drawn from statistical testing of the available data. See Question 2. E. Communication, Aspect 2: “Students will demonstrate effective development, interpretation, and expressions of ideas through visual communication.” The course teaches students to analyze and synthesize data in order to create graphical representations. Students will be able to select visual models that best summarize and display the data for further investigation. See Question 1a), Excel assignment #1. F. Empirical and Quantitative Thinking, Aspect 1: “Students will demonstrate effective manipulation of numerical data or observable facts.” Being able to calculate numbers based on data is a major part of statistics. Students need to show their work, if calculating by hand, and demonstrate they can produce correct results. Calculating with technology---calculators and Excel--- is also a large part of the class. See Excel assignment #2. G. Empirical and Quantitative Thinking, Aspect 2: “Students will demonstrate the analysis of numerical data or observable facts resulting in informed conclusions.” The course teaches how to interpret what the calculated results mean. They need to be able to report what the numbers they have calculated say about the data. See question 1c), and Excel #2 questions. H. Empirical and Quantitative Thinking, Aspect 3: Students will demonstrate effective use of numerical data or observable facts to reach informed conclusions. Inferential statistics is the study of taking results based on a sample of the population and using it to draw conclusions about the wider population. Numerical calculations are used to help draw these conclusions. See question #2. Assignment Examples Question 1. 1) An emergency service wishes to see whether a relationship exists between the outside temperature and the number of emergency calls it receives for a 7-hour period. The data are shown below Temperature in °F (x) 68 74 82 88 93 99 101 7 4 8 10 11 9 13 No. of calls (y) a) Draw a scatterplot of the data by hand or using technology. b) Calculate the correlation coefficient (also known as “r”) for this data set (you may use your calculators). c) Analyze the strength and type of association between the variables based on the correlation coefficient and the scatterplot. d) The least squares regression line (also known as the line of best fit) for this data set is 𝑦̂ = 0.190𝑥 − 7.544. Identify the average rate of change and interpret what it means. e) Use this equation to predict the number of calls when the temperature is 80°F. Question 2. 2) The average national cell phone call length was reported to be 2.27 minutes. A random sample of 20 phone calls in one town showed an average of 2.98 minutes with a sample standard deviation of 0.98 minutes. Can we determine that the average length of calls in this one town is greater than the national average? Perform a hypothesis test by doing the following steps. Use a level of significance of α = 0.05. a) Students will set up the null and alternative hypotheses demonstrating that they have the ability to create logical statements about which to draw conclusions. b) Students will also be able to calculate the t-score and determine whether the difference between the sample and the population average are significantly different at the ascribed level using either the critical number or the P-value test for statistical significance. c) Students will also be able to accurately state what conclusion can be drawn from this hypothesis test. Excel Projects Excel assignment #1: You will be making a frequency distribution (table) and a frequency histogram (graph) based on HDL cholesterol levels. [Instructions for creating the table and graph in Excel] Describe the distribution of this data set. Include an estimate of the center, the spread of the data set, and the shape of the histogram. Excel Assignment #2 The data set represents the profit (in dollars) of a random sample of 40 sales for a used car salesman. The assignment is to find the mean, mode, variance, standard deviation, five number summary, the 34th and 92nd percentiles, the IQR, the lower and upper fences, and the numbers 1 & 2 standard deviation from the mean in Excel. The instructions for doing this are given below. You should be doing this completely in Excel, not by hand. You should not be using a calculator at all. [ Excel instructions} Answer the follow questions, based on your results. Put the answers either on the Excel sheet, or in the answer space in the drop box. Please write in complete sentences. It may be helpful have the chapter 3 notes nearby to look things up. a) Compare the mean and median values. Based on this, do you think the distribution is symmetric or skewed left or right? Explain your answer. b) Look at the five number summary. What do these five numbers tell you about the shape? Explain your answer. c) Find the percent of data values within 1 sd of the mean, and within 2 sd of the mean You will need to go through the data set and actually count the numbers like we did in class (slides 28 and 29 in the chapter 3 notes). Do these percents match the empirical rule? What does this tell you about the shape of the distribution? Explain. d) Based on the upper and lower fences, are there any outliers in this data set? If there are, identify them. NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS COLLEGE COURSE SYLLABUS The North Central Texas College (NCTC) Course Syllabus provides the following as required by the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB): (1) a brief description of the course including each major course requirement, assignment and examination; (2) the learning objectives for the course; (3) a general description of the subject matter of each lecture or discussion; and (4) any required or recommended readings. Contact information for the instructor is also provided. The Course Syllabus also provides institutional information to indicate how this course supports NCTC’s purpose and mission. Information specific to a particular section of the course will be included in the Class Syllabus and distributed to enrolled students. Course Title: Elementary Statistics Course Prefix & Number: MATH1342 Section Number: XXX Term Code: 131S Semester Credit Hours: 3 Lecture Hours: 48 Lab Hours: Course Description (NCTC Catalog): Collection, analysis, presentation and interpretation of data, and probability. Analysis includes descriptive statistics, correlation and regression, confidence intervals, and hypothesis testing. Use of appropriate technology is recommended. Course Prerequisite(s): MATH0310 or satisfactory placement test score Course Type: - Academic General Education Course (from Academic Course Guide Manual but not in NCTC Core) - Academic NCTC Core Curriculum Course - WECM Course Name of Instructor: John Doe Campus/Office Location: Corinth Campus room XXX Telephone Number: XXX-XXX-XXXX E-mail Address: jdoe@nctc.edu Name of Chair/Coordinator: Aziel Wilson Office Location: Cor331 Telephone Number: 940-498-6227 E-mail Address: awilson@nctc.edu REQUIRED OR RECOMMENDED COURSE MATERIALS Fundamentals of Statistics Informed Decisions using Data 4th Edition Michael Sullivan, III ISBN #9780321839039 COURSE REQUIREMENTS, EVALUATION METHODS AND GRADING CRITERIA # of Graded Course Elements Graded Course Elements Percentage or Points Values 20 Homework XX 10 Quizzes XX 5 Tests XX 1 Final Exam XX ATTENDANCE POLICY TENTATIVE TEST SCHEDULE OTHER PERTINENT INFORMATION INSTITUTIONAL LEARNING GOALS A quality general education curriculum in all associate degree programs. Quality freshman and sophomore level courses in arts and sciences which parallel the lower division offerings of four-year colleges and universities. Quality technical programs leading directly to careers in semi-skilled and skilled occupations, and quality technical education programs up to two years in length leading to certificates and associate degrees. Quality programs and services in support of adult literacy and basic skills development as a mean of workforce enhancement and expanding access to higher education. PROGRAM PURPOSE STATEMENT NCTC seeks to implement its goal of offering quality general education curriculum in all associate degrees by offering a core of general education courses designed to help students achieve academic, career and lifelong goals. Acquiring knowledge, thinking critically, and utilizing the methodologies of various disciplines exposed students to experiences that serve to advance their personal growth. The chief focus of the General Education Core Curriculum at NCTC is to emphasize Exemplary Educational Objectives and Basic Intellectual Competencies. DEPARTMENTAL PURPOSE STATEMENT NCTC’s Mathematics and Physics Department will teach courses that enable students to solve abstract and concrete problems within a logical system in order to aid students in the pursuit of their academic, professional, and civic goals. STATEMENT OF SKILLS AND KNOWLEDGE EXPECTED OF NCTC GRADUATES NCTC seeks to implement its goal of offering a core of general education courses designed to help students achieve academic, career and lifelong goals. The chief focus of the General Education Core Courses at NCTC is to emphasize basic intellectual competencies and broad intellectual perspectives. CORE CURRICULUM COMPONENT AREA The overall objective of the Mathematics component area is to develop a quantitatively literate college graduate. Every college graduate should be able to apply basic mathematical tools in the solution of real-world problems. MATHEMATICS: CORE OBJECTIVES (COs) Critical Thinking Skills To analyze, evaluate and synthesize information effectively Communication Skills To demonstrate effective development, interpretation, and expressions of ideas through written and visual communication.” Empirical and Quantitative Skills To demonstrate effective manipulation and analysis of numerical data or observable facts to reach informed conclusions. STUDENT LEARNING OUTCOMES EEO Student Learning Outcome At the successful completion of this course the student will be able to: M1-7 Explain the use of data collection and statistics as tools to reach reasonable conclusions. M1-7 Recognize, examine and interpret the basic principles of describing and presenting data. M1-7 Compute and interpret empirical and theoretical probabilities using the rules of probabilities and combinatorics. M1-7 Explain the role of probability in statistics. M1-7 Examine, analyze and compare various sampling distributions for both discrete and continuous random variables. M1-7 Describe and compute confidence intervals. M1-7 Solve linear regression and correlation problems. M1-7 Perform hypothesis testing using statistical methods. GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF SUBJECT MATTER FOR EACH LECTURE/DISCUSSION Topic General Description of Subject Matter Elementary Statistics Explain the use of data collection and statistics as tools to reach reasonable conclusions. Elementary Statistics Recognize, examine and interpret the basic principles of describing and presenting data. Elementary Statistics Compute and interpret empirical and theoretical probabilities using the rules of probabilities and combinatorics. Elementary Statistics Explain the role of probability in statistics. Elementary Statistics Examine, analyze and compare various sampling distributions for both discrete and continuous random variables. Elementary Statistics Describe and compute confidence intervals. Elementary Statistics Solve linear regression and correlation problems. Elementary Statistics Perform hypothesis testing using statistical methods. Last day to Withdraw For the Fall 2013 semester, the last day to withdraw from a course with a “W” is November 16, 2013. Student Rights & Responsibilities NCTC Board policy FLB (Local) Student Rights and Responsibilities states that each student shall be charged with notice and knowledge of the contents and provisions of the rules and regulations concerning student conduct. These rules and regulations are published in the Student Handbook published in conjunction with the College Catalog. All students shall obey the law, show respect for properly constituted authority, and observe correct standards of conduct. Scholastic Integrity Scholastic dishonesty shall constitute a violation of college rules and regulations and is punishable as prescribed by Board policies. Scholastic dishonesty shall include, but not be limited to cheating on a test, plagiarism, and collusion. STUDENT SUPPORT SERVICES Disability Accommodations The Office for Students with Disabilities (OSD) provides accommodations for students who have a documented disability. A disability is anything that can interfere with learning, such as a learning disability, psychological challenge, physical illness or injury. Accommodations may include extra time on tests, tests in a distraction reduced environment, volunteer note taker in class, etc. On the Corinth Campus, go to room 170 or call 940-498-6207. On the Gainesville Campus, go to room 110 in the Administration (100) Building or call 940-668-4209. Students on the Bowie, Graham, Flower Mound, and online campuses should call 940-668-4209 to arrange for an intake appointment with OSD. North Central Texas College is on record as being committed to both the spirit and letter of federal equal opportunity legislation, including the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) of 1990, ADA Amendments Act of 2009, and Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 (P.L. 93-112). Student Success Center The Student Success Center is designed to help all students at NCTC develop tools to achieve their academic goals. The center links students to FREE tutoring, including a Writing Center, a Math Lab, and free online tutoring in the evening. The program helps students acclimate to college by providing students free interactive workshops about Time Management, Study Skills, Test Anxiety, and much more. For more information, please visit your nearest Student Success Center. Financial Aid, Scholarships, and Veterans Services The Financial Aid Office is responsible for administering a variety of programs for students who need assistance in financing their education. The first step for financial aid is to complete a FAFSA. For more information, please visit your nearest Financial Aid Office. Tobacco-Free Campus NCTC restricts the use of all tobacco products including cigarettes, cigars, pipes and smokeless tobacco on campus property. NCTC is aware that tobacco use influences underage students which cumulates unsightly tobacco litter and interferes with assuring clean air for all who come to NCTC. NCTC recognizes the health hazards of tobacco use and of exposure to second hand smoke. Information on a tobacco cessation program is available for students, faculty, staff who wish to stop using tobacco products. We would like to "thank you" for your help in making our campuses Tobacco-Free. For questions or concerns please contact the Office of Vice President of Student Services at 940.668.4240.