Eram Haider Chandresh Nandani The Hardy-Weinberg Theorem Regarding Genetic Inheritance Background Purpose The purpose of this lab is to demonstrate the Hardy-Weinberg Theorem regarding two alleles as a simulated population breeds. Materials 1 Opaque plastic cup 100 Beads of relatively same sizes (65 of one color and 35 of another) Paper and Pencil Calculator Chi-square Chart Procedure As instructed by the lab manual Data Expected Genotypic and Allelic Frequencies for the Next Generation Produced by the Bead Model Parent Populations Allelic Frequency A a 0.65 0.35 New Populations Genotypic Number (and Allelic Frequency Frequency) AA Aa aa A a 0.28 0.62 0.1 0.68 0.32 Observed Genotypic and Allelic Frequencies for the Next Generation Produced by the Bead Model Parent Populations Allelic Frequency A a 0.68 0.32 New Populations Genotypic Number (and Allelic Frequency Frequency) AA Aa aa A a 0.40 0.5 0.1 0.68 0.32 Chi-Square Results from the Bead Model AA 0.40 0.28 0.12 0.0144 0.0514 Aa Aa Observed Value (o) 0.50 .10 Expected Value (e) 0.62 .1 Deviation (o-e)=d -0.12 0.00 d2 0.0144 0.00 2 d /e 0.0232 0.00 Chi-square (χ2)=Σd2/e 0.0746 The calculated χ2 value is less than the given χ2 value at degrees of freedom=2 and p < 0.05; therefore, the data is significant Calculations See calculations (attached) Data Analysis 1. The proportion of the population that was homozygous dominant was 0.40, or 40 %. The proportions for homozygous recessive and heterozygous were 0.10 or 10 % and 0.25 or 25%, respectively. 2. The observed results were very consistent with the expected results in terms of the allelic frequency. The observed genotypic frequency of the homozygous recessive was exactly the same as the expected frequency. The homozygous dominant and heterozygous observed frequencies were a little different from the expected frequencies, but they were set each other off so that the differences in the two observed did not have an impact on the allelic frequency. 3. COMPARE 4. The results do match our predictions with the Hardy-Weinberg Theorem since the expected frequencies—which were calculated using the theorem—were very similar to the observed frequencies in both the allelic and genotypic sense. If the simulation were to continue for 25 generations, I would expect the allelic and genotypic frequencies to hover around the same frequencies as the original population—with a little bit of variation. This would mean that the population is not evolving; since the genotypic frequencies are relatively similar each generation, the population cannot be evolving. This makes sense since evolution requires genetic drift, natural selection, etc. in order to change the population genetics. In this type of “Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium,” those factors are not addressed, and evolution may not occur. 5. The model follows the Hardy-Weinberg Model as closely as it can. The population is relatively large—50 individuals is a fairly decent sample size, with 100 alleles in total; The “matings” were indeed random, since we used sampling with replacement, and we didn’t look to see which alleles we were picking. There were no net changes to the gene pool—there were no alleles added or changed in any way to the gene pool. There was no selection either—each allele had an equal chance of being picked relative to the allelic frequency; so, the each of the dominant alleles had a 65% chance of being picked, and each of the recessive alleles had a 45% chance of being picked. Conclusion In this lab, the purpose was to simulate the Hardy-Weinberg Model using the Hardy-Weinberg Theorem and beads of different colors. 100 beads, which represented alleles, made up the original population. An allelic frequency of 65 and 45 beads were assigned by our instructor. In our case, the dominant (65 beads) was white in color and the recessive (45 beads) were blue in color. We made sure the sizes of the beads were relatively similar so that there was no advantage of one bead being picked over another due to size, and we randomly chose two beads, or alleles, to contribute to the next generation. These two alleles made up the individual regarding its genotype with the gene. Each time two beads were chosen, those beads were returned to the cup and the cup was shaken before another two beads were picked. We repeated the procedure fifty times and recorded to genotype of each of the fifty individuals that made up the next generation. After the expected frequencies were recorded for the next generation, we repeated the procedure again, with fifty more individuals as the generation after the last generation. We then compared the observed frequencies to the expected frequencies. The original population yielded a generation that was very close to the allelic frequency as the original population: the allelic frequencies of this new population were off by only ±3% from the original population. The generation after that was also very similar in both the allelic frequencies (it was the exact same as its parental generation) and the genotypic frequencies were also very close. The homozygous recessive was exactly what the expected frequencies were with the parental generation and the while the homozygous dominant and the heterozygous frequencies were off by 12% (a gain of 12% in the homozygous dominant, and a loss of 12% in the heterozygous genotypic frequencies), the offset each other so the resulting allelic frequencies were the same. This verifies the Hardy-Weinberg Model because the Model states that the population in which the population is very large, the matings are random, there is no net change in the gene pool due to mutation, there is no migration of individuals into and out of the gene pool, and there is no selection will have the same allelic frequency every generation. The procedure followed Hardy-Weinberg’s model and kept the gene pool as stable as possible. Since the population was large but not very large (for example, 1,000 individuals), there was a little bit of variation; however, in a larger population, it can be expected that the allelic frequency would be nearly the same. The Chi-square test shows, also, that there the results are significant and that the null hypothesis—that there is no significant difference between the expected and the observed result—has a less than 5% chance of being true. These results mean that in a stable gene pool, the population would essentially stay the same generation after generation. In the real world, however, the population is never stable. There are environmental factors that cause natural selection, as well as the five factors that the Hardy-Weinberg Theorem lays out does not occur in the real world. Phenomena such as sexual selection or mutations do occur, which means that the gene pool will favor one trait or another, depending on all the factors. This is a good thing because if the population were always the same, and something were to happen—such as a natural disaster—that affected the population, the entire population would be extinct because there was no genetic variation that allowed individuals to survive. It is the lack of stability in the gene pool that makes the life on Earth so diverse, and it allows for life to adapt to the changing world. Data Analysis—Non AP Lab Experiment A. Simulation of Genetic Drift Results Generation 0 1 2 3 4 5 Genotypic Frequency Observed AA Aa aa ------------0.40 0.60 0 0.60 0.40 0 0.60 0.40 0 0.80 0.20 0 1.00 0 0 Allelic Frequency Observed A (p) A (q) 0.5 0.50 0.70 0.30 0.80 0.20 0.80 0.20 0.90 0.10 1.00 0.00 Genotypic Frequency Expected p2 2pq q2 0.25 0.50 0.25 0.49 0.42 0.09 0.64 0.32 0.04 0.64 0.32 0.04 0.81 0.18 0.01 1.00 0.00 0.00 1. We generated five generations. 2. See graph attached 3. The dominant allele fixated, and it never seemed as if the recessive allele would have ever fixated. 4. None of the genotypic frequencies fixated because the A was required for Aa, and there was a greater chance of the homozygous dominant and the heterozygous genotypes to be picked as well, compared to the homozygous recessive. 5. COMPARE Discussion 1. COMPARE 2. OBSERVE/COMPARE I would expect the dominant allele to become fixated nearly every time if the bottleneck effect was simulated 100 times. 3. The results would have been different if the allelic frequencies were different in the sense that the greater quantity allele (q=0.8), which is still recessive, would become fixated. 4. No because evolution is on a larger scale and has to include things such as sexual selection, natural selection, mutations, etc. The chance events only allow the population to survive randomly, which is not evolution. Experiment B: Simulation of Migration: Gene Flow 1.