Continuous Influenza Virus Production in Cell Culture Shows a Periodic Accumulation of Defective Interfering Particles Timo Frensing, Frank Stefan Heldt, Antje Pflugmacher, Ilona Behrendt, Ingo Jordan, Dietrich Flockerzi, Yvonne Genzel, Udo Reichl Text S1: Theoretical analysis for the models (1) and (2) 1. Scaled DIP-Model in 6D We consider the 6D system (1) with the 8 positive parameters D , Tin , , k1 , k2 , k3 , k33 , k4 , and f 0 and are mostly interested in nonnegative initial values of the form T 0 T0 0 , I d 0 I s 0 Ic 0 0 , Vs 0 Vs 0 0 and Vd 0 Vd 0 0 . We investigate the case with f 0 . A small positive f won’t change much the dynamics in R 6 0 but we could always take Vd 0 to be 0 . Note that the nonnegative orthants R 6 0 and the one with I d I c Vd 0 are positive invariant. We will provide a structural analysis of system (1) for arbitrary parameter values. In particular, we will prove first that the structure of system (1) without DIPs I d Ic Vd 0 excludes a Hopf bifurcation to periodic solutions for D . In a second step, we show that, in contrast, system (1) with DIPs allows a Hopf bifurcation to periodic oscillations for D . To this end we reduce the number of parameters by introducing the scalings k k k2 D t and 1 col T , I s ,Vs , 1 col I d , I c ,Vd (S1.1) k2 D k2 D with col 1 , 2 , 3 , col 1 ,2 ,3 and arrive at the 6D-system d1 u 3 1 13 , d d 2 13 2 23 , d d 3 2 1 2 1 2 3 , d d1 3 1 13 , d d 2 31 2 23 , d d3 32 1 2 1 2 3 , d with the 5 parameters k DT u 1 in 2 0, k2 D k3 0, k2 D 3 k33 0, k2 D 1 0 k1T0 , k2 D 2 0 0, 3 0 (S1.2b) (S1.2c) 1 0 0, (S1.2d) 2 0 0, (S1.2e) 3 0 k1Vs 0 , k2 D (S1.2a) D k2 D k1Vd 0 , k2 D (S1.2f) 0, (S1.3a) k4 D 0. k2 D (S1.3b) In the new variables, we obtain a system of the form F B U A B , 0 0 , (S1.4a) C , , 0 0 , (S1.4b) with U u , 0, 0 and T 3 0 0 0 0 1 A 3 1 0 B 0 0 2 , , (S1.4c) 0 1 2 3 3 0 3 0 1 C , 3 1 2 . (S1.4d) 0 3 1 2 1 2 The octant O j 0, j 0 is positive invariant with the DIP-free reduced system F U A , 0 0 . (S1.5) Moreover, the octant 1 0, 2 3 0, j 0 and the positive 1 -axis are positive invariant. We observe in (S1.3) that the new parameters depend linearly on Tin , k3 , k4 , k33 and whereas the dependence on D is rather involved. 2. DIP-free Model in 3D To test whether the oscillations in virus titers are caused by DIPs or the continuous process mode, we use the reduced model for neglecting defective particles from . In this 3D case, we prefer the notation x, y, z T instead of 1 , 2 , 3 T so that system (S1.5) reads kT dx x 0 x0 1 0 , u z x, (S2.1a) k2 D d dy y 0 0, xz y , (S2.1b) d kV dz z 0 z0 1 s 0 , y x y z, (S2.1c) k2 D d with the 4 parameters u , , and from (S1.3). The sign of is not fixed. The positive x-axis is positive invariant. For 0 one has the globally exponentially stable equilibrium x u / on it. We turn to the nonnegative equilibria E col x, y, z of (S2.1) on the boundary of R 3 0 . We first note that x cannot be 0 because of u 0 (cf. (S2.1a)). In case z 0 y (cf. (S2.1b)) one has x u / 0 for 0 . There's no nonnegative equilibrium of the form E col x,0,0 for 0 . We now come to the positive equilibria E col x, y, z of (S2.1). The equation x 0 can be rewritten as u x z , the equation z 0 can be rewritten as x xz x, The equation (S2.2a) i.e., 1 z x , (S2.2b) y xz, (S2.2c) originating from y 0 , and the relations (S2.2a) and (S2.2b) can be seen as defining equations for positive steady states parameterized by x 0, z 0, 1 , u 0 and (S2.2d) 1. Lemma 2.1 Just in case 0 , system (S2.1) allows a nonnegative equilibrium on u the boundary of R 3 0 , namely E0 col , 0, 0 . System (S2.1) possesses a unique positive equilibrium E1 col x, y, z with 1 u , 1 , u y xz, , 1 u where the side conditions can be rewritten in terms of the parameters as 1 u : . 1 and 1 min 0 z x 3. (S2.3a) (S2.3b) Bifurcation Analysis in 3D The Jacobian of (S2.1) at a nonnegative equilibrium E is given by z 0 x Jac E z 1 x z z x y (S3.1b) in terms of 6 variables which are related by the equilibrium conditions in (S2.2). Lemma 3.1 The Jacobian J 0 : Jac E0 at the boundary equilibrium E0 possesses three negative eigenvalues for min and exactly two negative eigenvalues for min ,0 . A transcritical stationary bifurcation gives rise to the positive equilibrium E1 for min . The Jacobian J : Jac E1 at the positive equilibrium E1 possesses three negative eigenvalues for close to min . For negative 's, the real parts of the eigenvalues of J stay negative, so that there does not occur a Hopf bifurcation to periodic solutions in the nonlinear system (S2.1) at E1 for negative 's. Proof: 1) For negative , one has u / 0 J 0 : Jac E 0 1 u / . 0 u / (S3.2) It has the negative eigenvalue with the x-axis as eigenspace. The 2 2 -block possesses the negative trace 1 u / and the determinant 1 u / . Thus one encounters the eigenvalue 0 exactly for min . A transcritical stationary bifurcation happens giving rise to the positive equilibrium: For 's with (S2.3b) there exists the positive equilibrium E1 emanating at min from E0 (which exists for all negative 's). 2) At positive equilibria E1 col x, y, z , the Jacobian (S3.1) can be rewritten as 0 x z 0 x u / x J : Jac E1 z 1 x z 1 x (S3.3) z z x z z x in terms of 5 variables. We seek conditions for pure imaginary eigenvalues of J . So we investigate the characteristic polynomial : det I J 3 2 A2 A1 A0 (S3.4a) with positive coefficients A2 z x 1, A1 z x 1 , A0 xz 1 z . (S3.4b) Thus the Jacobian J does not possess a nonnegative real eigenvalue and it has the negative determinant A0 . Hence, for sufficiently small positive x , J has 3 negative eigenvalues. We investigate whether these eigenvalues can cross the imaginary axis at some nonzero points i . In order to have a nonzero pure imaginary eigenvalue i one has to solve the necessary and sufficient conditions 0 Re( i , 0 Im( i . ! ! This amounts to solving 2 A1 A0 / A2 , i.e., u u (S3.5) x 1 x 1 z x 1 z x 1 xz 1 z . x x Here, we consider the variables u , , x and z from (S2.2d) as parameters defining an equilibrium via the equations (S2.2a)-(S2.2c). 3) We show that, given an admissible solution z Z1/2 x, u, a of the quadratic equation (S3.5) (wrt. z ), the corresponding z u / x from (S2.2a) is necessarily u nonnegative. To this end, we scale z via z introducing the new positive x variable so that equation (S3.5) is equivalent to q u, , x, : u x x 1 x 1 x 1 x u 0 . Because of q u , , x, q 0, , x, x 2 x 2 2 x 1 x (S3.6) (S3.7) a necessary condition for having an admissible solution of (S3.5) is 2 . Hence, equation (S3.5) does not have an admissible solution for which is negative 0,1 . Remark 3.2 (Hopf bifurcation to periodic oscillations) The right-hand side of (S3.5) represents a u -independent quadratic polynomial in z 1 0, 1 with maximal value x . The left-hand side of 2 (S3.5) is independent of z and is tending to 0 for u 0 . Thus, for sufficiently small u , one has explicit formulae for the two zeros z Z1/2 x, u, of (S3.5): So given 2 which is positive on x 0 , 1 and a sufficiently small u 0 one first has solutions z Z1/2 x, u, and u then y xz 0 , z and 1 z x 0 for the equilibrium values (cf. x (S2.2)). The condition 2 from (S3.7) can be written as u u !u u 1 0. x x x u So, recalling (S2.3a), we arrive at the necessary conditions 1 1 and 1 1 2 /u (S3.8) asking for a sufficiently small u in case of 0 1 / 2 . In the original parameters, (S3.8) is given by k3 k2 D Dk1Tin k k D (S3.9) 3 2 k2 D k4 D 2k1DTin asking in particular for D and k2 D k3 . There are explicit - simple but tedious - formulae for sufficient conditions. The period near the bifurcation point is 2 / in first approximation. The amplitude of the oscillation near the bifurcation point has an explicit approximation formula [1]. For a numerical example one might take 1 x 1, 2, u 9 82.08 , z 0.1, y 0.1, 0.1 u, 0.9 (S3.10) 6 and vary near 2 or u near 0.01 . 4. Periodic oscillations in the 6D DIP-model We investigate the 6D system (S1.2) in case of 0 , f 0 and Vd 0 0 . We turn to the determination of positive equilibria E2 of the 6-dimensional system (S1.2) and parameterize the equilibrium values by 1 , 3 , u , and 3 . With : 3 , the equations (S1.2a), (S1.2b) and (S1.2d) provide u u v 23 , and 3 , 2 1 3 , 1 1 3 . (S4.1a) 1 1 1 3 The remaining equations (S1.2c), (S1.2e) and (S1.2f) then lead to 2 1 3 2 3 , 2 1 2 1 2 , (S4.1b) 3 and finally to 3 3 2 2 3 3 1 3 (S4.1c) reducing on 0 to 3 3c : u . 3 1 u (S4.2) It is a tedious task to derive the conditions that guarantee the realizability of these parameter values in terms of the original parameters in system (1). We note that the determinant of C , vanishes along (S4.1) for R 30 . Moreover, taking 3 0 in (S4.1), the positive E2 R 30 R 30 equilibrium tends to the equilibrium E1 0 R 30 R 30 . This limiting equilibrium E1 0 is critical in the sense that its Jacobian possesses 0 as an eigenvalue (giving rise to the bifurcating E2 ). The over-all stability in R 6 0 of E1 is determined by the eigenvalues of the Jacobian of (S1.4a) which is in block-triangular form F å J (S4.3) C , 0 0 where we have suppressed the remaining parameters. The eigenvalues of the upper left block F are in the left half-plane of C by Lemma 3.1 since has been assumed to be negative. We note that the matrix C ,0 in (S4.3) is an exponentially stable matrix exactly E1 0 1 , 2 , 3 0 T O j 0, j 0 , for [2]. C ,0 3 3c First, at because any of the boundary positive equilibrium invariance of cannot possess non-real eigenvalues. Secondly, considering 3 3c , there is exactly one eigenvalue of C ,0 passing transversally from the left to the right half-plane in C when passes from negative to positive values. This follows easily from the representation det I C , 0 3 d 2 2 d1 d 0 (S4.4a) of the characteristic polynomial with the coefficients d2 1 1 0, d1 1 u 313 , d0 u 33 u 1 . (S4.4b) The relations in (S4.4) show that C ,0 possesses the eigenvalue 0 0 3 that is vanishing at 3 3c with a positive 3c -derivative at 3c [0' 3c 0 because of u u ] . The values given by (S4.1) with 0 thus provide a critical point 1 in the space of parameters 3c , c , u c , c , c and states 1c , 2c , 3c which induces a transcritical steady-state bifurcation to the exponentially stable positive equilibrium E2 . 3c13 Varying, for example, u away from criticality may entail a subsequent Hopf bifurcation from the positive equilibrium E2 at some parameter value u Hopf . Based on numerical simulations, this seems indeed to be the case. 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