The Six-Year Graduation Rate of the Fall 2007 Cohort of First-Time Full-Time Freshmen Executive Summary In fall 2007, 949 first-time full-time freshmen entered UMass Boston. By September of 2013, 414 or 43.6% of those entrants had graduated. IPEDS will report this as a rounded 44%. This is the highest six-year graduation rate that UMass Boston has ever had, and is six percentage points higher than we reported for the 2006 cohort last year. Our previous best was 40.9% (reported as 41% by IPEDS) for the 2004 cohort. An additional 53 students from the 2007 cohort were actively enrolled at UMass Boston in fall 2013. That is a combined graduation/continuation rate of 49.3%. Using National Student Clearinghouse data, we located 95 students who had graduated from other four-year schools, including 17 who graduated from UMass Amherst and 7 who graduated from UMass Lowell. An additional 226 had enrolled at another school after leaving UMass Boston and prior to fall 2013. Based on these findings, we will be reporting a transfer out rate of 34% to IPEDS. Several areas stand out: Among U.S. residents, Pell Grant recipients (354 of 903) were more likely to graduate at 45.5% compared to 42.1% for non-Pell recipients, but the difference was not statistically significant Among U.S. residents, immigrants (144 of 903) were significantly more likely to graduate at 63.2% to 39.7% Boston Public School (BPS) students in the cohort graduated at a 37.6% rate, 6.9 points lower than all other students, but the difference was not statistically significant. In multivariate analyses, neither Critical Reading nor Math SAT scores were related to graduating High school GPA was always significantly related to graduating Women were more likely to graduate than men at 46.1% to 40.2%, but that difference was only significant at a low level. Asians were significantly more likely to graduate than any other group For the first time, all of the larger racial/ethnic groups had rates of 40% or higher. The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies Page 1 of 8 April 23, 2014 KBM General Report Demographics Women were about 6 percentage points more likely than men to have graduated by fall 2013, but that difference was statistically significant only at a low level. We found that while women tended to be more likely to graduate within each racial/ethnic group, the difference was significant only for the group who did not identify a group. The gap between men and women narrowed from11.8% for the 2006 cohort to 5.9% for the 2007 cohort. Both women and men improved over the 2006 cohort with women increasing from 42.8% to 46.1% and men improving from 30.9% to 40.2%. The previous high for men was 34% for the 2003 cohort. Table1: Differences by Gender within Racial/Ethnic Group Group Women Men Difference Asian P/I 58.2% 52.0% 6.2% Black NH 40.8% 39.6% 1.3% Hispanic 45.5% 28.9% 16.5% International 45.0% 36.8% 8.2% Native American 20.0% 0.0% 20.0% Unknown/Refused 40.4% 17.2% 23.1% White NH 45.1% 42.0% 3.2% Total 46.1% 40.2% 5.9% *One tailed test Significance No No No No No P<.05 No P<.05* In the fall 2007 cohort, Asians, Black non-Hispanics, Hispanics, and White non-Hispanics all improved their graduation rates over the comparable groups in the 2006 cohort. Asians improved by over 15 percentage points, and the rate for Asians was significantly higher than for all of the non-Asian students. Asians graduated at a rate of 55.4%. Black non-Hispanics, Hispanics, and White non-Hispanics all had rates of 40% or higher. That is the first time all three groups have reached that level in the same cohort. The details are provided in Table 2. Table 2: Graduation Rates by Racial/Ethnic Group Group Entered Fall 2007 Graduated by Fall 2013 Asian P/I 166 92 Black NH 119 48 Hispanic 115 46 International 39 16 Native American 6 1 Unknown/Refused 86 28 White NH 418 183 Total 949 414 Graduation Rate 55.4% 40.3% 40.0% 41.0% 16.7% 32.6% 43.8% 43.6% The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies April 23, 2014 KBM Page 2 of 8 Among U.S. residents, immigrants were significantly more likely to graduate than were nativeborn citizens at 63.2% to 34.9%. There were 125 students from Boston Public Schools (BPS) in the cohort. They graduated at a 37.6% rate, 6.9 points lower than all other students, but the difference was not statistically significant. About 9% of the BPS students were still enrolled at UMass Boston in fall 2013 compared to about 5% of all other students Academic Preparation Measures Critical Reading SAT scores (Verbal) were negatively associated with graduating. Those who graduated averaged more than 12 points lower than those who did not graduate (486 to 498). However, we believe that is related to the previous point that immigrants graduate at a higher rate. When the variable for immigrant status is introduced into a multivariate model, the Verbal SAT score becomes insignificant. Math SAT scores had no relationship to graduating in any model. High school GPA was positively and significantly related to graduating. Graduates averaged about 0.16 points higher on high school GPA than did those who did not complete. The effect of high school GPA was even more pronounced when looking at the four-year graduation rate with graduates averaging 0.22 points higher than those who did not graduate within four years. Support Programs There were 182 Directions for Student Potential (DSP) graduates in the cohort. Of these, some number participated in the Student Support Services (SSS) program once they had matriculated. While SSS students usually graduate at a higher rate, we were unable to identify the SSS participants in this cohort, so we cannot supply a separate graduation rate for them. DSP students graduated at a 48.4% rate compared to 42.5% for non-DSP students. The 5.8 point difference was not statistically significant. DSP graduates differed from the non-DSP students on a number of measures. DSP graduates had: Significantly lower high school GPAs than non-DSP (2.92 to 3.09) Average Verbal SAT scores 132 points lower than non-DSP (387 to 520) Average Math SAT scores 112 points lower than non-DSP (421 to 533) A significantly lower proportion of men (29% to 44%) A significantly lower proportion of White non-Hispanics (20% to 50%) A significantly higher proportion of Asians (31% to 14%) A significantly higher proportion of Black non-Hispanics (17% to 10%) A significantly higher proportion of Hispanics (17% to 11%) A significantly higher proportion of immigrants among the U.S. residents (32% to 12%). The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies Page 3 of 8 April 23, 2014 KBM College Entered Students entering the College of Management (MGT) or the College of Nursing and Health Sciences (CNHS) were significantly more likely to graduate than students entering the College of Liberal Arts (CLA) or the College of Science and Mathematics (CSM). In CNHS, all of the difference is attributable to the Nursing Program where about 67% graduated. Slightly less than 40% of Exercise and Health Sciences majors graduated. Students are counted as graduated regardless of their entry college and major and their graduating college and major. An incoming Physics major who graduates with a degree in Art counts as graduated with CSM as the entry college. Table 3 presents the details. Table 3: Graduation Rates by Entry College College Entered Fall 2007 Graduated by Fall 2013 CPCS 12 3 CSM 185 74 CLA 582 241 MGT 83 47 CNHS 87 49 Total 949 414 Graduation Rate 25.0% 40.0% 41.4% 56.6% 56.3% 43.6% Within CNHS Entered Fall 2007 Graduation Rate EHS-BS NURSING-BS 33 54 Graduated by Fall 2013 13 36 39.4% 66.7% Combining the Factors When we constructed several multivariate models that included age, gender, high school GPA, SAT scores, immigrant status, and racial/ethnic group dummy variables with White nonHispanic as the base group, the only variables showing a statistically significant relationship to graduating within 6 years were high school GPA and being an immigrant. Success Elsewhere We used the National Student Clearinghouse (NSC) to look for members of the cohort who may have graduated elsewhere. NSC data is often incomplete because of limits on search parameters and because member institutions often do not submit complete data. However, the NSC found 87 members of the cohort who had received bachelor’s degrees at other institutions and were reported with degree and major information. An additional 8 students were listed as graduated from another four-year institution, but without accompanying detail. Of these The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies Page 4 of 8 April 23, 2014 KBM 95 students, 17 received a bachelor’s degree from UMass Amherst and 7 received one from UMass Lowell. Overall, between UMass Boston and the NSC data we can identify 53% of the students in the original cohort as having a graduated from a four-year institution. Two other students received non-Bachelor’s credentials from four-year schools, and 30 others received a credential from a two-year school. The current status of the students in the cohort based on UMass Boston records and the NSC records is presented in Table4, below. Each student has a single status. The hierarchy is UMass Boston Graduate, other 4-year school graduate, currently enrolled at UMass Boston, other credential from a 4-year school, credential from a two-year school, transferred to either a twoyear or four-year school without attaining a credential, and not currently enrolled at UMass Boston and with no record outside of UMass Boston found in the NSC files. Table 4: Current Educational Status of the Fall 2007 Cohort Status as of Fall 2013 Number of Students UMass Boston Graduate 414 Graduated Other 4-Year School 95 Enrolled UMass Boston 53 Other 4-Year Credential 2 Credential from a 2-Year School 30 Transferred Out/No Credential Listed 194 Not Enrolled/No Other Attendance Found 161 Total 949 Percent 43.6% 10.0% 5.6% 0.2% 3.2% 20.4% 17.0% 100.0% Next year, we will report a six-year graduation rate for the 2008 cohort of first-time full-time freshman. They had a similar five-year graduation rate as the fall 2007 cohort in this report, but the continuation to the sixth year rate was slightly lower than for this cohort. The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies Page 5 of 8 April 23, 2014 KBM Appendix I: Known Degree Recipients from other Four-Year Institutions Table 4: Known Four-Year Graduates, by School, Degree Title, and Major Four-Year College Name Degree Title Degree Major Bay State College Not Specified Not Specified Bay State College Not Specified Not Specified Bentley University Bachelor of Science Corp. Finance & Accounting Berklee College of Music Not Specified Not Specified Boston College Bachelor of Science Nursing Boston University Bachelor of Arts International Relations Bridgewater State University Bachelor of Science Chemistry Bridgewater State University Bachelor of Arts History Castleton State College Bachelor of Arts Criminal Justice Charter Oak State College Bachelor of Arts General Studies College of Charleston Bachelor of Science International Business Eastern Connecticut State University Bachelor of General General Studies Studies Eastern Connecticut State University Bachelor of Arts Political Science Emerson College Bachelor of Science Print & Multimedia Journalism Fitchburg State University Bachelor of Science Criminal Justice Fitchburg State University Bachelor of Science Exercise And Sports Science Florida Atlantic University Bachelor of Business Hospitality Management Admin. Framingham State University Bachelor of Arts Communication Arts Georgia State University Bachelor of Business Marketing Admin. Iowa State University B.S. Business - Accounting Iowa State University B.S. Business - Finance ITT Technical Institute Not Specified Not Specified Johnson & Wales University Bachelor of Science Accounting Kaplan University Bachelor of Science Criminal Justice Keene State College Bachelor of Music Music Education Liberty University Bachelor of Science Kinesiology: Teacher Cert Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts Bachelor of Arts Sociology Massachusetts College of Pharmacy B. S. In Nursing Nursing Massachusetts College of Pharmacy Bachelor of Science Pharmaceutical Sciences Mount Ida College Bachelor of Arts English New England Institute of Technology Bachelor of Science Architectural Bldg Continued The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies Page 6 of 8 April 23, 2014 KBM Table 4: Known Four-Year Graduates, by School, Degree Title, and Major Four-Year College Name Degree Title Degree Major New York University Bachelor of Science Childhood Ed/Childhood Special New York University Bachelor of Arts Economics Northeastern University Not Specified Not Specified Northeastern University Not Specified Not Specified Northern Michigan University Bachelor of Science Nursing Nursing Plymouth State University Bachelor of Science Business Administration Plymouth State University Bachelor of Arts Criminal Justice Salem State University Bachelor of Science Bus Business Administration Admin Salem State University Bachelor of Science Communications Salem State University Bachelor of Science Communications Salem State University Bachelor of Science Geography Salem State University Bachelor of Arts History Salus University Not Specified Not Specified Simmons College Bachelor of Arts Psychology Southern Connecticut State University Bachelor of Science Business Administration Springfield College Bachelor of Science Human Services Springfield College Bachelor of Science Movement And Sport Stud Suffolk University Bachelor of Arts European History Suffolk University BS In Business Admin Management Suffolk University BS In Business Admin Management Suffolk University Bachelor of Arts Public Relations SUNY College - Cortland Bachelor of Arts Communication Studies SUNY College Oneonta Bachelor of Science Philosophy SUNY College Potsdam Bachelor of Arts Literature/Writing Major Temple University Bachelor of Business Accounting Administration University of Arizona Bachelor of Science In Business Economics Business Administration University of Connecticut Bachelor of Arts Economics University of Connecticut Bachelor of Arts English University of Connecticut Bachelor of Arts History University of Connecticut Bachelor of Arts Human Dev & Family Studies University of Houston Bachelor of Business Adm Accounting University of Illinois @ Urbana BS Liberal Arts And Psychology Science Continued The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies Page 7 of 8 April 23, 2014 KBM Table 4: Known Four-Year Graduates, by School, Degree Title, and Major Four-Year College Name Degree Title Degree Major University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Science Biochem. & Molecular Biol. University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Science Biology University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Science Biology University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Science Biology University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts Communication University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts Communication University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts English University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Business Finance & Operations Admin. Mgmt University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts History University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Science Hospitality & Tourism Mgmt University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts Individual Concentration University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Science Kinesiology University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Science Kinesiology University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts Linguistics University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts Political Science University of Massachusetts at Amherst Bachelor of Arts Sociology University of Massachusetts Lowell Bachelor of Science In Civil Engineering Engineering University of Massachusetts Lowell Bachelor of Science In Civil Engineering Engineering University of Massachusetts Lowell Bachelor of Science In Computer Engineering Engineering University of Massachusetts Lowell Bachelor of Science In Electrical Engineering Engineering University of Massachusetts Lowell Bachelor of Science Nursing University of Massachusetts Lowell Bachelor of Arts Philosophy University of Massachusetts Lowell Bachelor of Arts Psychology University of North Dakota BA Psycho University of San Diego Bachelor of Business Marketing Admin Washington State University Bachelor of Arts In History History Wentworth Institute of Technology Bachelor of Science Civil Engineering Technology Westfield State University Bachelor of Science Biology Westfield State University Bachelor of Arts History Worcester State University Bachelor of Science Business Admin Worcester State University Bachelor of Arts Communication The Office of Institutional Research And Policy Studies Page 8 of 8 April 23, 2014 KBM