Name: BIOL 464/GEN 535 Population Genetics Fall 2011 Test # 2, 11/2/2011 Please answer all questions unless otherwise specified. Show as much of your work as you can, including which formulas you use (even if actual calculations are done with software). Use the back of the page and additional sheets as necessary. 1. Indicate the correct relationship between the terms or parameters in the table, all else being equal. (15 points) Term 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Genetic drift in large populations HT Census population size Number of alleles prior to bottleneck FST with high gene flow between populations Variance in allele frequencies among completely isolated populations undergoing genetic drift FST among populations with very small effective population sizes Average allele frequency among many isolated subpopulations before genetic drift Genetic match probability with genotyping error included Genetic match probability with population structure included FRT Match probability for 10 loci with 2 alleles with equal population frequencies Time to coalescence for first coalescent event for a locus with six alleles Average time to fixation of a favored allele in a large population Number of possible rooted trees for a group of taxa ≤ or ≥ or = Term 2 Genetic drift in small populations Average HS Effective population size Number of alleles after bottleneck FST with low gene flow between populations Variance in allele frequencies within completely isolated populations undergoing genetic drift FST among populations with very large effective population sizes Average allele frequency among many isolated subpopulations after genetic drift Genetic match probability without considering genotyping error Genetic match probability without considering population structure FST Match probability for 2 loci with 10 alleles with equal population frequencies Time to coalescence for fifth coalescent event for a locus with six alleles Average time to fixation of a favored allele in a small population Number of possible unrooted trees for a group of taxa 2. The following phylogeny and Structure bar plot was derived from 96 microsatellite genotypes for 69 dog breeds (Parker et al. 2004) Parker et al. 2004. Genetic Structure of the Purebred Domestic Dog. Science 304: 1160-1164. A. Based on the phylogenetic tree above, mark the following statements True or False (5 points) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. The Akita is more closely related to the Siberian Husky than to the Afghan Hound. T F The Akita is more closely related to the Chow Chow than to the Shiba Inu. T F The Akita is more closely related to the Shiba Inu than to the Chinese Shar-Pei. T F The Basenji is more closely related to the Siberian Husky than to the Saluki. T F The Basenji is more closely related to the Saluki than to the Akita. T F B. Based on the figures on the previous page, propose a reasonable hypothesis for the origin and evolution of the Alaskan Malamute (marked with circle). (5 points) C. Why do you think the phylogenetic analysis failed to resolve the relationships among most of the highly domesticated breeds? (5 points) D. What additional analyses would you perform with this same set of genetic data to evaluate substructure and relationships among the breeds? (5 points) 3. A Fish and Game warden detains a fisherman suspected of catching trout illegally in Blackwater Creek, where fishing is prohibited. The fisherman claims to have caught the fish legally in a recreational lake that is routinely stocked. The warden, having taken BIOL 464, decides to resolve the issue with microsatellites. Based on the following profile, calculate an appropriate likelihood ratio. Be sure to state the two hypotheses that you are comparing, and present a proper interpretation of the results. (15 points) Locus 1 2 3 Fish Genotype 121 135 148 121 139 154 Blackwater Creek (native) Allele Frequencies 0.68 0.68 0.59 0.32 0.69 0.31 Tygart Lake (stocked) Allele Frequencies 0.24 0.24 0.07 0.09 0.21 0.06 4. Blackwater Creek in problem 3 has a highly degraded trout population due to historical overfishing and habitat degradation. The current population size is estimated to be 50. Only two alleles are detected for Locus 3, as shown in the table. a. What is the probability that allele 148 will eventually become fixed in this population due to genetic drift? (5 points) b. What is the mean expected time to fixation for allele 148 in the Blackwater Creek population? (10 points) c. What are the key assumptions of this calculation? What would cause underestimation of the time to fixation? What could cause overestimation? (5 points) 5. The following table contains data from locus 3 for 7 trout populations. a. Assuming equal population sizes, estimate the proportion of genetic variation that is due to differentiation among populations. (10 points) Population Blackwater Creek Poplar Creek Cheat River Monongahela River New River HSi 0.47 0.29 0.40 0.48 0.45 Gauley River Shavers Fork 0.47 0.31 HT = 0.42 b. What can you infer about the degree of connectedness and genetic exchange among these populations? (5 points) c. Based on this calculation, would you revise your conclusions in problem 4? Why? (5 points) Short Answer. Graduate students answer any 3. Undergraduates answer any 2. Please aim for no more than a paragraph (less than 150 words) per answer. (Grads: 10 points each; Undergrads: 15 points each) 6. Explain how genetic drift plays a central role in Wright’s Shifting Balance theory. 7. A. How does genetic drift affect the efficiency of selection in small populations? B. How does the level of dominance affect this relationship? 8. What is the difference between cladistic and phenetic approaches to phylogenetic analysis? What are the advantages and disadvantages of each? 9. Compare and contrast coalescent and phylogenetic approaches to the study of evolution. How does one depend on the other? 10. List at least three possible types of errors in paternity analysis, and explain how each of these can these be overcome. 11. What does the following equation mean, what are its underlying assumptions, and what are some alternatives to this approach? Nm 1 FST 4 FST