Music Industry College Year 12 Mathematics A 2012 Semester 3 Report : Statistics and Probability Exploring and Understanding Data (b) Modelling and problem solving Knowledge and procedures Criterion K1 K2 K3 M1 M2 M3 M4 Communication & justification C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 Standard A Standard B Standard C Standard D Standard E The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: accurate use of rules and formulas in simple through to complex situations accurate use of rules and formulas in simple situations or use of rules and formulas in complex situations use of rules and formulas in simple routine situations use of given rules and formulas in simple rehearsed situations attempted use of given rules and formulas in simple rehearsed situations application of simple through to complex sequences of mathematical procedures in routine and non-routine situations application of simple sequences of mathematical procedures in nonroutine situations or complex sequences in routine situations application of simple sequences of mathematical procedures in routine situations application of simple mathematical procedures in simple rehearsed situations attempted use of simple mathematical procedures in simple rehearsed situations appropriate selection and accurate use of technology appropriate selection and accurate use of technology selection and use of technology use of technology attempted use of technology The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: use of strategies to model and solve problems in complex routine through to simple non-routine situations use of strategies to model and solve problems in routine through to simple nonroutine situations use of familiar strategies for problem solving in simple routine situations use of given strategies for problem solving in simple rehearsed situations attempted use of given strategies for problem solving in well-rehearsed situations investigation of alternative solutions and/or procedures to complex routine through to simple non-routine problems investigation of alternative solutions and/or procedures to routine problems informed decisions based on mathematical reasoning in complex routine through to simple non-routine situations informed decisions based on mathematical reasoning in routine situations reflection on the effectiveness of mathematical models including recognition of the strengths and limitations of the model recognition of the strengths and limitations of the model in simple situations The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: The student’s work has the following characteristics: accurate and appropriate use of mathematical terminology and conventions in simple non-routine through to complex routine situations accurate and appropriate use of mathematical terminology and conventions in simple non-routine and/or complex routine situations appropriate use of mathematical terminology and conventions in simple routine situations use of mathematical terminology and conventions in simple rehearsed situations use of mathematical terminology or conventions in simple rehearsed situations organisation and presentation of information in a variety of representations in simple non-routine through to complex routine situations organisation and presentation of information in a variety of representations in simple non-routine and/or complex routine situations organisation and presentation of information in a variety of representations in simple routine situations presentation of information in simple rehearsed situations analysis and translation of information displayed from one representation to another in complex routine situations analysis and translation of information displayed from one representation to another in simple routine situations translation of information displayed from one representation to another in simple routine situations use of mathematical reasoning to develop logical sequences in simple non-routine through to complex routine situations using everyday and/or mathematical language use of mathematical reasoning to develop logical sequences in simple non-routine and/or complex routine situations using everyday and/or mathematical language development of logical sequences in simple routine situations using everyday and/or mathematical language justification of the reasonableness of results obtained through technology or other means informed decisions based on mathematical reasoning in simple routine situations Result Section A. Too many Festivals? Introduction In recent years there has been a great deal of speculation as to whether there may be too many music festivals in each calendar year. Falling ticket sales as witnessed in Big Day Out (January 2012) and Festival cancellations such as Soundwave Revolution (September 2011) are symptomatic of what is being known as “Festival Glut”. (See http://www.fasterlouder.com.au/news/local/30469/Yet-another-festivalcancelled http://www.inthemix.com.au/news/aust/52167/Big_Day_Out_2012_attendance _down_in_official_stats 1. Design a Survey (K3) Your task is to design a 10 question survey which aims to investigate the reasons why some festivals are not pulling the crowds. Go to http://www.surveymonkey.com/ Create a free account Design 10 question survey (including a title) which will determine: o The age and sex of the respondents o Whether or not they attend Music Festivals o The types of Festivals they attend or would like to in the next 12 months and why o Feedback about the deterrents (things that put them off going to a festival) Submit your draft survey to your teacher at Monitoring Date 1. Once approved, you may send your survey to friends, family and acquaintances of all ages via email, Website link or Facebook. Be sure to send one to your teacher. Aim to get 100 responses – or more! 2. Display of Survey Results (C2) Surveymonkey will collect and collate your survey results. Present the results for each question in both tabular and graphical form ie in a table and a graph. 3. Analysis of Survey Results (C3, C5) Were there any noticeable trends in the data? Were there any opinions that many of the respondents shared? Were there any strong correlations evident between any of the variables? Were you surprised by any of the results? Which one/s? Why? 4. Probability based on your Survey Results (K2) What is the probability that a festival goer is : a) Female b) Under 18 c) Planning to attend a festival in the next 12 months Show working and refer to you results. 5. Conclusions (M3, C3) Based on your own survey results, write a 200 word conclusion as to the reasons why Festivals are suffering. In your conclusion, make recommendations to Festival organisers as to what your research states is necessary for future festivals to be successful. Section B. Ticket Prices as a Continuous Variable The rising price of tickets is one possible explanation as to why the public seems to be cutting back on the number of festivals they are attending each year. Read the following articles which support this view. http://www.fasterlouder.com.au/news/local/29972/Are-festivals-too-expensive http://www.theenthusiast.com.au/archives/2011/outrageous-ticket-pricesruining-music-festivals-for-audiences/ In May 2011, music industry marketing and digital consultant Danny Yau compared the ticket prices of major music festivals around the world. He found that Australian festivals are among the world’s most expensive. See Table 1. (Note – all festivals listed include camping fees for the entire festival) Table 1. Comparing Worldwide Camping Festival Prices Source: http://leapbound.wordpress.com/2011/05/11/comparingworldwide-camping-festival-prices/ Questions: Probability of a Continuous Variable – Ticket Price (K2, C2) 1. Create a frequency table (Table 2) based on the data in Table 1 which groups the festivals into ranges of ticket prices. ie Ticket Price $AUD 150 - 199 200 – 249 250 – 299 300 – 349 etc Frequency Relative Frequency 2. Construct a relative frequency histogram and polygon on the graph paper provided to answer the following questions: (C3, K2) What is the probability that a worldwide camping festival ticket price is: a) Below $250 b) Between $300 and $400 c) Over $400 3. Danny Yau’s research involves only three Australian festivals. Find out the prices of other Australian camping festivals and compare them to those listed in Yau’s research. (M4, C5) Are Australian Camping Festivals overpriced? Research articles written on the subject to support your view.