WattsSEDU7006-8-3 0 Experimental Designs I Stephen W. Watts Northcentral University WattsSEDU7006-8-3 1 Experimental Designs I Jackson (2012) Chapter Exercises #2. A randomized ANOVA indicates an analysis of variance conducted on data where the subjects were randomly selected for a between-subjects design. A repeated-measures ANOVA is an analysis of variance conducted on data where the subjects are correlated in either a within-subjects or matched-subjects design. Thus, the difference between a randomized versus repeated measures ANOVA is the underlying design of the research study being analyzed. A one-way ANOVA indicates an analysis of data with a single independent variable. #4. When analyzing multiple measures, the probability of a Type I error increases. This probability can be determined by the formula 1 – ( 1 – α )c. According to the formula, the current probability of a Type I error on at least one of the three conditions is 1 – (1 - .05)3 = 1 – (.95)3 = 1 - .86 = .14. The Bonferroni adjustment used the formula α / k = .05 / 3 = .017. #6. A post hoc comparison is performed when the ANOVA indicates that at least one of the sample means is statistically different from the other means. The post hoc comparison allows determining which means are statistically different from which other means. #8. In a randomized ANOVA, error variance consists mostly in individual differences between subjects. A repeated-measures ANOVA analyzes data that removes or minimizes individual differences. Since error variance is the denominator in the ANOVA calculation, a smaller value results in more sensitivity and more statistical power. #10a. SOURCE df SS MS F Between Groups 2 22.167 11.084 6.763 Within Groups 9 14.750 1.639 11 36.917 Total WattsSEDU7006-8-3 2 #10b. Fcv(.05) = 4.26, Fcv(.01) = 8.02; F(2,9) = 6.763, p < .05. Stress affects the number of illnesses in at least one group and is statistically significant at the .05 level, but not at the .01 level. #10c. Tukey's Post Hoc Test Q(3,9) MSwithin n HSD 0.05 3.950 1.639 4 2.528 Minimal Minimal Moderate High 0.010 5.430 1.639 4.000 3.476 Moderate - High 1 - 3 2 - #10d. In the present study, only the differences between the minimal and high stress conditions is significant at alpha = .05. All other comparison conditions in the study are not statistically significant. Those who have high levels of stress are much more likely to get sick than those with either moderate or low levels of stress. #10e. The effect size eta-squared uses the formula η2 = SSbetween / SStotal = 22.167 / 36.915 = 0.60, meaning that approximately 60% of the variance among the illnesses can be attributed to the level of stress. Average Illnesses by Stress Level 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 #10f. Minimal Moderate High WattsSEDU7006-8-3 3 #12a. SOURCE df SS MS F 2 1202.313 601.157 3.974 Within Groups 14 2118.000 151.286 Total 44 3320.313 Between Groups #12b. Fcv(.05) = 3.74, Fcv(.01) = 6.51; F(2,14) = 3.974, p < .05. The groups affect the measurement of depression in at least one group and is statistically significant at the .05 level, but not at the .01 level. #12c. Tukey's Post Hoc Test Q(3,14) MSwithin n HSD 0.05 3.700 151.286 15 11.750 Control Control Placebo Drug - 0.010 4.890 151.286 15.000 15.530 Placebo 2.93 - Drug 12.13 9.2 - #12d. In the present study, only the differences between the control group and the drug group conditions is significant at alpha = .05. All other comparison conditions in the study are not statistically significant. The drug decreases the effect of depression over the use of a placebo or no treatment at all. #12e. The effect size (η2) = .362, meaning that approximately 36% of the variance in depression score is attributable to application of the drug. WattsSEDU7006-8-3 4 Depression Scores 40 30 20 10 0 #12f. Control Placebo Drug #14a. SOURCE df SS MS F Subject Between Groups Error Total 9 2 18 29 2.75 180.050 21.650 204.450 0.306 90.025 1.203 74.848 #14b. Fcv(.05) = 3.55, Fcv(.01) = 6.01; F(2,18) = 74.848, p < .01. At least one group of types of pizza slices is statistically significant at both the .05 and .01 level. #14c. Tukey's Post Hoc Test Q(3,18) MSerror n HSD Hand-tossed Thick Thin 0.05 3.610 1.203 10 1.252 0.010 4.700 1.203 10 1.630 Hand-tossed - Thick 1.47 - Thin 5.77 4.3 - #14d. In the present study, all comparisons are significant at the .05 level, and two comparisons are significant at the .01 level. Subjects preferred thin crust pizza over both handtossed and thick crust pizza at a .01 significance level. Subjects preferred thick crust over handtossed pizza at a .05 significance level. WattsSEDU7006-8-3 5 #14e. The effect size (η2) = .881, meaning that approximately 88% of the variance of pizza slice choice is attributable to the type of slice. 10 Average Slices of Pizza 8 6 4 2 0 #14f. Hand-tossed Thick Thin Part I Assignment Question Answers What is an F-ratio? Define all the technical terms in your answer. Calculation of the F-ratio is the third and last step in performing an analysis of variance (ANOVA). To get to the third step of an ANOVA several (three or four depending on the type of ANOVA) sums of squares must be calculated in the first step. For a one-way randomized ANOVA these consist of (a) “the sum of the squared deviations of each score from the grand mean” (Jackson, 2012, p. 290) or total sum of the squares, (b) “the sum of the squared deviations of each score from its group or condition mean” (Jackson, 2012, p. 290) or within-groups sum of the squares, and (c) “the sum of the squared deviations of each group’s mean from the grand mean, multiplied by the number of participants in each group” (Jackson, 2012, p. 292) or between-groups sum of the squares. A one-way repeated measures ANOVA adds a between-subjects sum of squares which is “the sum of the squared difference scores for the mean of each subject across conditions and the grand mean, multiplied by the number of conditions” (Jackson, 2012, p. 302). In the second step, the sums of squares are converted into mean squared deviation scores, which are an WattsSEDU7006-8-3 6 estimate of the variance within and between groups. Variance is the capriciousness of data due to error, confounds, differences in subjects, and the manipulation of the independent variable. These variance estimates are calculated by dividing each sum of the squares by the appropriate degrees of freedom. The F-ratio is calculated by dividing the mean square of the betweengroups estimate by the mean square of the within-groups estimate. What is error variance and how is it calculated? In a randomized ANOVA the error variance is reflected by the within-groups sum of squares, and indicates the changeability of measures within each condition and is represented with the formula Σ (X – Mg)2. With human beings, direct causation is rarely identifiable; if participants are treated exactly the same in any given condition the results received will vary to some extent. The error variance is a measure of how much subjects in a given condition, or within-groups, vary. In a repeated-measures ANOVA, the within-groups sum of the squares is split into subject variance and error variance. The error variance in this situation is calculated by subtracting the variance attributable to between-subjects from the within-groups variance to determine the error variance. Why would anyone ever want more than two (2) levels of an independent variable? Few conditions in the real world are truly dichotomous. Independent variables with multiple levels give researchers the chance “to address more complicated and interesting questions” (Jackson, 2012, p. 281). A common experimental design with multiple levels uses control, placebo, and experimental groups to counteract demand characteristics and provides an opportunity to compare differences between no treatment, the expectation that something will occur, and the experimental treatment. An independent variable with more than two levels gives a more complete picture of the relationship between the independent variable and the dependent variables. WattsSEDU7006-8-3 7 If you were doing a study to see if a treatment causes a significant effect, what would it mean if within-groups variance was higher than between-groups variance? If betweengroups variance was higher than within-groups variance? Explain your answer. The within-groups variance reveals the amount of inconsistency of measures within a given condition or treatment and is indicative of the differences between subjects plus error. The betweengroups variance reflects the difference between measures caused by the independent variable, confounding variables, and error. In the situation where the within-groups variance is higher than the between-groups variance, the F-ratio will be closer to one, representing that no or little variation is attributable to the independent variable. In the situation where the between-groups variance is higher than the within-groups variance, the F-ratio will be much greater than 1, indicative that there are differences between the experiment conditions. What is the purpose of a post-hoc test with analysis of variance? Only when the Fratio exceeds the value of Fcv will a post-hoc test be conducted. If the Fobt exceeds the critical value, differences between at least one pair of conditions is significant. The post-hoc test compares each condition with every other condition to establish “which ones differ significantly from each other” (Jackson, 2012, p. 297). What is probabilistic equivalence? Why is it important? In order to utilize experimental results to determine cause and effect or predict behavior it is important to be able to control the environment such that the manipulation of the independent variable is the only difference between two groups. For many experiments it is either not plausible or possible to use the same subjects in the manipulation groups. Without using the same subjects, a major assumption of an experiment is broken; that the only difference in the environment is the way that the independent variable is manipulated, because different subjects with different WattsSEDU7006-8-3 8 characteristics are being compared. Probabilistic equivalence indicates that while two groups may not have the same participants, the chance, as a group, they are different from the population from which they are drawn is very small and predictable (Trochim & Donnelly, 2008). Probabilistic equivalence is obtained through random assignment of participants to groups. WattsSEDU7006-8-3 9 References Jackson, S. L. (2012). Research methods and statistics: A critical thinking approach (4th ed.). Belmont, CA: Wadsworth Cengage Learning. Trochim, W. M. K., & Donnelly, J. P. (2008). The research methods knowledge base (3rd ed.). Mason, OH: Cengage Learning.