Long Range Goals AND Assessment: • What will students know, value, or be able to do after I teach? How will I know if they’ve accomplished this? Students will be able to (SWBAT): - determine the odds of your main character winning the math Hunger Games - determine whether an event in your main characters “life” is an independent or dependent event of him/her being chosen as tribute (independent vs. dependent events) - determine the probability that the main character will get chosen as tributes (simple events) - determine the probability after each day in the math Hunger Games that your main character will win (simple events) - use tree diagrams and the counting principle to figure out the number possible outcomes of a particular scenario that happened within the math Hunger Games (tree diagram and the counting principle) - use the rules of probability to figure out all possible permutations of the math hunger games tributes death (factorials and permutations) use the rules of probability to figure out all the possible combinations of a certain number of the math hunger games tributes dieing on the same day (combinations) - Apply probability to other situations Big Ideas (Scope and Sequence) • How will I organize the topic and subtopics Topic: Probability Subtopics: ● Independent events vs. dependent events ● Basic probability: Simple Events ● Tree Diagrams ● The Counting Principle ● Permutations and Factorials ● Combinations ● odds vs. probability Enduring Understandings • What should students know so well that I would never need to re-teach it? - how to find the probability of simple and compound events - the difference between Independent Events and Dependent Events - when to use Permutations compared to Combinations - how to find a permutation - how to find a combination Essential Questions • What questions should I be asking students from the beginning of the instruction to guide us toward the objectives? If students can answer the essential questions, they should be able to demonstrate mastery of the objectives. - Where do I see the use of probability in my life or the world around me? - How am I putting forth my best effort? - What is the difference between odds and probability? - What are the Independent and Dependent Events in my “life” in the Math Hunger Games? - How do I solve for probabilities of independent and dependent events? - How do I determine the probability of a single event? - How do I find the expected outcomes of different scenarios that could happen within the Math Hunger Games? - When do I use tree diagram and How are they helpful? - How does the Counting Principle help me to find the total number of outcomes in each situation? - When do I use permutations? (does order matter) - When do I use combinations? (does order matter) Student Activities: Daily LESSON PLANS and Formative Assessments • What will I do with students to reach the long-range goals and how am I checking progress? Lessons - - mini lesson - summarize what students read the night before by reading a particular passage we are focussing on - give an example of my own story - how do I find out the probabilities, outcomes, etc. (model with mathematics) workshop - working on their “Math Hunger Games” story - if they need they can read the book - write their story - work on illustrating the story - bounce ideas of other students - - ask me to explain the mathematics more - I will put up leading questions on the board or give sticky notes out to students throughout the class if I see that they need a little more guidance - I will be walking around observing class conference - we will all come back together and we will all share our findings out for the day (it could consist of misconceptions, an aw-ha moment, a proud moment) - make a summary of what we learned - give reading assignment Assessments - the students will have 3 different evidences to prove that they mastered the topic and subtopics - The class Hunger Game story in which students can revise until the end of the unit when the whole story is due. each student will put their “Math Hunger Game” story together and publish it for others to read and share with the class - one will be applying the concepts to their own lives - a group project that revolves around the topic probability: the student will be able to choose and come up with their own project that has the underlying theme of probability.( Some ideas are making a game with probability as the underlying concept, find the probabilities of winning different tv game shows)