SEWAGE TREATMENT PLANT IN PPP MODE RAJENDRA RATNOO PRIYANK BHARTI VIJAY NEHRA MANMEET NANDA EKROOP CAUR ARTI KANWAR 1 Table of Contents 1. Project overview 3-4 2. Rationale of the Project 5 3. Project Design 6-8 4. Financial Proposal 8 - 10 5. Project Evaluation 11 - 13 6. Recommendations 13 - 14 7. Tables 2 1. Project Overview Paramount to sustainable development in many regions around the world is the effective management of water resources. Water of sufficient quantity and quality is a necessary resource not only for agriculture, industry and tourism, but also for everyday life in cities and villages. This is particularly the case in the City of Rajkot in the state of Gujarat, which lies in the dry Saurashtra belt. There has been a severe shortage of water supply in recent years owing to an out dated distribution system and an almost fully utilized water supply system in conjunction with poor management of water resources. Rajkot has witnessed rapid industrialization, which accounts for 40% of the city’s GDP and 70% of its employment. This has put further pressure on its scarce water resources. Due to limitations regarding availability of raw water in the Rajkot region, the Rajkot Municipal Corporation (RMC) has acknowledged that a supplementary source of water is essential considering the arid/ semi-arid climate conditions prevailing in the Saurashtra region. The sewage of the old city is presently being collected through a pipeline network of about 300km long collective system with 7 3 intermediate pumping stations. The whole network covers approximately 60 sq.km of area with coverage of a population of 6.5 lakhs. The capacity of the Sewage Treatment Plant is 44.5 MLD. The treatment plant is designed to give full treatment to sewage by adopting the principle of Extended Aeration Process. The treated sewage is then used for irrigation purposes and by discharging in the Aji-II reservoir. However the existing STP is inadequate to cater to the present quantity of sewage generated which is about 90 MLD and as such RMC is required to enhance the capacity of the existing sewage treatment plant by 45 MLD. With this backdrop in mind, RMC decided to augment its water resources by treating the remaining sewage water and using it to meet the growing industrial requirements. This option of enhancing supplementary sources of water i.e. Recycle-to-Reuse (R-to-R) option for wastewater generated was by far unexplored. 4 2. RATIONALE OF THE PROJECT 2.1 With minimum the adoption of suitable state-of-the-art technology, 80% water (36 MLD water out of 45 MLD of wastewater) can be recovered from existing wastewater of potable quality. It would be useful for industrial applications. 2.2 The recycling of wastewater would automatically augment existing raw water sources for domestic applications/ usage. Currently Rajkot City receives water supplies for only 20 minutes daily. 2.3 The recycling of wastewater would improve the environmental milieu in and around Rajkot City by restricting open land disposal of wastewater and availability of additional water for consumers. 2.4 The availability of additional amount of water for industrial and processing purposes would motivate local industrialists for further expansion of their processes and industries. It would directly bring economic gains to them. Rajkot is currently a major centre for automobile and engineering parts manufacturing in the Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) segment. 5 3. PROJECT DESIGN With the above observations, RMC decided to improve and upgrade the management of the City’s wastewater management through the public private partnership mechanism. It is proposed to establish a 45 MLD Sewage Treatment Plant (STP) to enhance its wastewater treatment capacity from the existing 44.5 MLD to 90 MLD. 3.1 The current project is for the Development, Financing, Operation and Management of 45 MLD STP in an integrated manner, to be taken up on Build-Own-Operate-Transfer (BOOT) Model, through PPP Mechanism. The duration of concession for this project shall be for 30 years in the first instance and can be further extended on mutual agreement between the RMC, concessionaire and other consortium partners. 3.2 The land for the project shall be provided by RMC on lease for the complete duration of the concession period along with uninterrupted power supply for the project operation. The cost of power shall be borne by concessionaire. 6 3.3 RMC shall ensure minimum supply of 45 MLD of sewage to the concessionaire. 3.4 RMC shall play no role in the consumption and reuse of potable quality recovered water. It shall be concessionaire’s sole responsibility to identify their customers and evolve their own marketing plans for selling the recovered water. 3.5 The selection of BOOT Agency for this project was on Swiss Challenge Mode and Jindal Water Infrastructure Limited was adjudged to be preferred bidder (first party). 3.6 The duration of O&M Period shall be 28 years. 3.7 The concessionaire was to ensure and be fully responsible for the quality and standards of services, material, with subsequent independent checks on work activities. 3.8 RMC has in principle agreed to transfer the control of development, operation, maintenance and management of 45 MLD STP to private agency which is financially and technically capable. 7 3.9 The enabling legal framework was developed based on elaborate benchmarking of service standards and under the Gujarat Infrastructure Development Board Act, 1999 (Amended in 2006). 3.10 The concessionaire will be responsible for organizing finances from their own as well as external resources. 3.11 The concessionaire will evolve a Marketing Plan for the sustainability of the project. 4. Financial Proposal 4.1 Given that this is an infrastructure project, a Debt Equity ratio of 70:30, which is commonly used for infrastructure projects in India, has been considered for the financial analysis. For the loan repayment, a repayment schedule of 7 years has been adopted without any moratorium period. The interest on long term debt has been taken as 12% in keeping with the present interest regime. The cost of the project from equity and debt will include: Civil Works Non Civil Works 8 Land Cost Maintenance and operating cost The entire project is expected to be completed in 2 years (24 months). Other costs including operating costs and maintenance will be derived from the revenue generated from the project. All Operating and Maintenance costs are to be increased annually by 3%. Based on the technical scheme prepared by JWIL, the cost of project [CAPEX] is Rs 84 crores. This amount is inclusive of standard financial model assumptions such as interest during construction, contingency, cost of administrative expenses and working capital etc. This CAPEX is applicable for a STP using Reverse Osmosis (RO) technology and the quality of water is ensured through the tertiary treatment process. 4.2 The base rate per Kilo-liter (KL) for the treated water shall be Rs 24 per KL. This figure may change based on the production and consumption pattern and fluctuation in the cost parameters of project components during the implementation period, however not exceeding 3%. 9 4.3 If during Stage I of project implementation, the recycled water demand pattern requirement is for non-RO quality recycled water, then the cost parameters of the project would change. 4.4 The operating expenditure (OPEX) figures shall also vary based on the sewage quality fluctuations and treatment strategy agreed between JWIL and RMC for both RO quality recycled water and non-RO quality recycled water. 4.5 As JWIL is responsible for producing and marketing the recycled water through its investments, RMC agreed to exclude itself from playing any role in the fixation of tariff at any stage of the project. It is agreed between JWIL and RMC that the rate of recycled water shall fluctuate based on the water quantity and quality demand patterns of consumers within Rajkot region. However, while working out the financials, the concessionaire has assumed price escalation of recycled water at the rate of 3% per annum. 4.6 The financial closure of the project shall be undertaken within 12-14 months of signing of agreement subject to the establishment of viability of project in Stage -1 and cash flow securitization. 10 The financial structuring of the project shall be made during the Stage I of project development. JWIL will arrange for finances through their own (parent company) as well as external resources for the project development and management. 5. Project Evaluation 5.1 Assumptions The major assumptions made while analyzing the project are as follows: 1. Demand for recycled water produced by the STP is 100% (excluding the obligations in respect of RMC) 2. Cost over runs are zero 3. Inflation rate is taken to be 5% annaually 4. Interest rate is assumed to be 12% for both long and short term loans. 5.2 Decision Criteria The project will be considered viable if: 1. NPV is positive and IRR is more than the WACC 2. Average ADSCR is more than 1 3. Economic benefits are substantial 11 5.3 Financial Results and Interpretation The IRR for the period of the first ten years of project period, in real terms, from the total investment point of view is 4.6% which is less than 13.2% which is the weighted average cost of capital and the NPV is negative. However at the end of 30years the IRR is 15.19% and the NPV is positive to the tune of 1049.00 lacs. In nominal terms, the IRR at the end of ten years is 9.84% and the NPV is negative. At the end of 30 years, IRR is 20.95% and the NPV is positive to the tune of 6093.00 lacs. This is indicative of the inherent viability of the project. ADSCR in the first four years of operation is less than one. The concessionaire will resort short term borrowing to bridge the gap. However from the fifth year of operation over the loan repayment period, the DSCR is consistently more than one. The net cash flow after fourth year of operation is favourable. 12 From the economic point of view, in real terms, the EIRR is 15.19% which is more than the EOCK which is 12%. The NPV at EOCK of 12% is Rs. 1860.67 lacs, proving yet again the viability of the project. The major risk in the project is associated with the inflow of revenues. The concessionaire has assumed 100% off take of its recycled water i.e. 33 MLd. Hence for the purpose of analyzing the viability of the project, a sensitivity analysis of demand of recycled water was undertaken. The results indicate that IRR and NPV, in nominal terms, will be positive even if the demand falls short by around 40% from the total estimated demand. The other assumption made is that there are no cost overruns. In carrying out a sensitivity analysis of cost overrun it is seen that even at 10% cost overrun, the IRR is 8.07% and NPV is positive. 5.5 Recommendation The construction of STP and its operation and maintenance for 30 years in PPP mode with a debt equity ratio of 70:30 is both financially and economically viable. There are immense gains for RMC since it is 13 creating usable water out of sewage and thereby augmenting its very scarce water resources. The project is resulting in substantial savings in terms of capex and opex for RMC. The concessionaire is bringing in technology to facilitate the process of acceptability of treated water. Furthermore, the enhanced capacity of the city of Rajkot for sewage treatment will significantly reduce the negative impact of releasing untreated sewage into the environment. The project is also environmentally sound in as much as it will use biogas generated during treatment of sewage to meet part of its power requirements. The entire project has been premised on the basis that sewage can be considered a resource in these times of increasing water scarcity. 14