Glenda Kodaseet (Winn) PADM 590 – Program Evaluation Dr. Mario A. Rivera, Regents’ Professor of Public Administration April 19, 2010 Case Summary and Analysis of A Partnership in Troubled Waters CASE SUMMARY Introduction Ranked among the world’s top 25 bio-diverse hotspots, the Philippines’ rich marine environment is in jeopardy as illegal fish practices, over-fishing, and population pressures threaten its existence. Since the 1990s, marine life along the 32 square miles of Philippine coastline has undergone considerable damage. Critical to its sustainment, the 27,000 square kilometers of coral reefs are being destroyed by cyanide and dynamite fishing. A recent survey conducted by an international NGO found that less than 5% are thriving and in excellent condition. Degraded by migrant and transient fishers drawn to more abundant waters, marine life is further aggravated by unbridled population growth. Located in the middle of the Sulu Sea, the Philippines has 7,107 islands and a population of 76 million. With 60% of the population living in coastal regions and dependent upon fishing as their main source of food and livelihood, marine life is rapidly decreasing. Population increases can further deplete marine life, creating a food crisis for the Philippine people. With 45% of its population nearing the reproductive age, it is predicted that the Philippine population will double in less than 30 years (Castro, D’Agnes, and Aquino, 2004). While efforts to protect the Philippines’ marine ecosystems have been in place since the 1980s, family planning to control population growth was added in the 1990s. Concerns for the Philippines’ bio-diverse marine life and population pressures became the link that brought together a local non-profit, the Andres Soriano Foundation and an international NGO, PATH Foundation Philippines, Inc. Through the commonalities of their missions and innovative solutions that address the rapidly deteriorating marine eco-system, citizen empowerment contributed to the Municipality of Cuyo embracing coastal management techniques and alternative livelihoods to decrease the degradation of its marine life. While human population pressures also contribute to the degradation of Cuyo’s once abundant fish population, social values and belief systems hindered the implementation of family planning programs and resources. While this component was successful throughout the Philippines in the early 2000s regarding integrated coastal management techniques, Cuyo’s political and social arenas were not ready for this component to be introduced into the community. The Island of Cuyo The Island of Cuyo is comprised of 32 square miles and is under the Palawan Province. There are 79 provinces in the Philippines. The province is the primary local governance system. Provinces are made up of municipalities with each having a mayor and a governing council. Cuyo has two municipalities – the Municipality of Cuyo and the Municipality of Magsaysay. Municipalities are further divided into barangays. Cuyo has 17 barangays. Each barangay is headed by a captain and a council. This level of governance is closest to the people. For Cuyonons, barangays employ policies and programs to sustain their livelihoods and quality of life while finding solutions to challenges the community may face. This includes factors that contribute to fish depletion. Dependent upon fishing and farming, Cuyonons receive 80% of their protein intake from fish. Since the 1990s, Cuyonons have been struggling to find enough fish to feed their families. Where it took them only 1 day of fishing to catch a week’s worth of fish, they must now go Kodaseet-Winn 2 further out to sea, often staying for days or weeks to find enough fish for only a couple of days worth of food. With a political and social structure non-supportive of family planning programs and resources, population growth only exacerbates the problem. Understanding the challenges facing the Cuyonon community, Cuyo barangays were the crucial element to implementing coastal environmental management techniques that addressed the growing problem of fish depletion. The decrease in fish was attributed to over-fishing by migrant, transient, and Cuyonon fishers and illegal fishing practices. The latter not only killed fish not being sought by fishermen, it also killed the coral reefs. Marine life, overall, is dependent upon coral reefs. In Cuyo, coral reefs not only contribute to the population’s food source, they also support income generating opportunities. For example, coral reefs alone contributed at least $1.35 billion (U.S. dollars) annually to the Philippine economy during the 1990s and at least 1 million Filipinos work for the marine sector in commercial fishing fleets or as subsistence fishers. Tourism also contributes to the country’s economy as tourists visit Philippine beaches and coral reefs which are world-renowned. While the coral reefs are important to the country, destructive fish practices are destroying fish stocks. Cyanide fishing is on the rise in Cuyo. It kills coral and small reef fish on contact and spreads throughout the reef on wave currents, killing a square meter of reef for every fish caught. Approximately 160 live grouper fish are air-freighted out of Cuyo each day destroying the island’s marine resources. Cyanide and dynamite fishing are driven by the live fish trade. Live grouper fish are in high demand in Manila and China as individuals pay up to $300 (U.S. dollars) “to pick a live coral grouper from a tank and have it cooked to order” (D’Agnes, 2006, p. 5). Approximately 20,000 tons of live fish from the Philippines are eaten by gourmands in Hong Kong annually. International traders from Hong Kong and Manila control the live fish trade out Kodaseet-Winn 3 of Cuyo through local subsidiaries often owned by Cuyonons. Because the live fish trade is lucrative, and fish are harder to find, many Cuyonons engage in these illegal and destructive fishing practices. Cuyonon businesses provide cyanide to fishers and buy the live fish which are flown on privately chartered planes directly to Manila or Hong Kong. The Philippine fisher receives $12 (U.S. dollars) per fish which is 10 times the going rate for a dead grouper and more money than a fisher makes in a whole month of fishing. While cyanide and dynamite fishing are illegal fishing practices and are the type of practices employed in finding groupers, local politicians and government officials ignore the presence of illegal fishers. Due to their indifference or participation in the illegal fishing arena, the rich marine eco-systems along their coastlines is slowing disappearing. While fishers and politicians underestimated the threat of the live fish trade to Cuyo’s marine resources, Lemia Simbulan, Executive Director of the Andres Soriano Foundation, knew the level of devastation that could occur if marine resources were not protected. Andres Soriano Foundation The Andres Soriano Foundation (ASF) was founded in 1968 under the A. Soriano Corporation. ASF’s initial funding was provided by the company’s beer profits – San Miguel Beer. It was established with the vision of corporate social responsibility to communities. It employs the community organizing model that promotes self-help and reliance, wherein, it reverses control and accountability from central authorities to community organizations (COs) which are supported by people organizations (POs) – citizen empowerment. Through ASF, Lemia Simbulan administered two projects in the Philippines: (1) Cancer Research, Abatement, and Rehabiliation Program, and the Small Islands Sustainable Development Program in Palawan. The latter had been in place since 1986 and eventually included Cuyo as the program expanded Kodaseet-Winn 4 through funding from the PATH Foundation Philippines, Inc. The Small Islands Project initially focused on organizing communities to help with basic services such as potable water, electricity, health care, education, microfinance, and social development. As profits dwindled from the sale of San Miguel Beer and later through the loss of the beer company, it had to rely more on charitable gifts from donors. PATH Foundation Philippines, Inc. ASF’s major donor was Program for Appropriate Technology in Health (PATH) Foundation Philippines, Inc. (PFPI), an international NGO. Its mission focuses on improving the quality of health services, specifically, for women and children, and reducing the impact of communicable diseases within communities. Headquartered in the U.S., with offices in 22 countries, it is internationally renowned for developing creative technologies and approaches that address local health problems. Partnering with local NGOs working with at-risk populations around the world and in the Philippines, PFPI provides tools and training as needed and gives local partners latitude in program development and implementation which contribute to culturally relevant practices. Viewing population pressures and over-fishing as causes of Philippine marine environmental degradation, PFPI’s Leona D’Agnes, Technical Direcor, and Dr. Joan Castro, Project Director, conceptualized the Integrated Population and Coastal Resource Management (IPOPCORM) initiative to address the situation. Designed around environmental issues, it was seen as a significant departure from its traditional focus on reproductive health. IPOPCORM initiatives, however, appeared very relevant to their mission after the results of a Philippine coastal survey were received: (1) high fertility rates among coastal populations; (2) low contraceptive use; (3) high number of sexually active youth; and (4) high unmet demand for family planning. Overall, according to the survey, the coastal area population growth rate is 3.9% Kodaseet-Winn 5 compared to the national average of 2.4%. Thus, PFPI could tie IPOPCORM’s initiatives to their mission of health concerns for women and children as health is connected to food sources. Integrating environmental and population concerns, IPOPCORM identified four strategic activities: (1) improve reproductive health of those living in coastal communities by providing information on human sexuality and reproductive health and increasing access to affordable and readily available reproductive health products; (2) encourage and build local capacity to manage coastal and marine resources; (3) implement a micro-lending program to support alternative livelihoods, relieving fishing pressure and reducing the risk of food insecurity; and (4) linking grassroots activities to mass media campaigns for increased awareness among policymakers on the link between population and environment and solutions. Implementing IPOPCORM also meant identifying priority project sites. Project site selection involved local consultants hired to conduct biophysical and ecological assessments and baseline surveys on key population, environment, and development indicators. Three specific groups were targeted: (1) fishers; (2) youth; and (3) small-scale entrepreneurs. Twelve coastal municipalities covering 109 barangays were selected which included Cuyo. While PFPI set overarching project outcomes per site and provided technical assistance as needed, their role was mainly an advisory one. The goal of the first two years of IPOPCORM, the first stage, was to produce changes in attitudes and perceptions about family planning, increase in contraceptive use, and establishment of measures that protected coral reefs, such as Marine Protected Areas (MPSs), and mangrove areas. While family planning programs and reproductive health were included in IPOPCORM initiatives, Castro decided that Cuyo was not ready for this program component. Given the problems facing Cuyo, Castro felt that community organizing and environmental protection were the most important project activities. Kodaseet-Winn 6 This was attributed to its isolation, lack of prior NGO presence, and inexperience with participation in local governance. Challenges surrounding this aspect of Cuyo included finding a core group of interested villagers, educating them about their rights under Philippine law to support giving them a voice in the governing process, and teaching them about the coastal environment supportive of management actions on their part in their barangays. Once community organization and structures were in place, the reproductive health component would be introduced in Cuyo. Cuyo and IPOPCORM Successes and Challenges Like PFPI, IPOPCORM was a departure for ASF. Now focused on the management and conservation of marine ecosystems, ASF’s Cuyo staff were trained on basic marine and ocean ecology, alternative livelihood strategies, and Philippine coastal laws and regulations. Cuyo had five program staff and two supervisors from neighboring barangays. Nilo Ungui was the project leader and was from the Island of Agutaya. He had used illegal fishing practices until he saw the impact on fish. He was politically active in his community of Agutaya and worked diligently to engage and educate the Cuyo community, placing importance on building trust relationships. He saw Cuyo’s policymakers as the problem behind the continued practice of illegal fishing activities. As staff engaged the community to establish and enhance Community Organizations (COs) and People Organizations (POs), they ran into resistance but were successful in gaining support from local officials and the youth whose ages were similar to ASF staff. To improve resistance at other levels, Ungui mentored staff and accompanied them on their visits to the barangays. While this allowed Ungui to personally meet with and know specific barangay officials and community members and their concerns, it delayed IPOPCORM activities by nine months. IPOPCORM activities were to be implemented in the first year of the program’s Kodaseet-Winn 7 establishment. Once activities were underway, Barangay Captains and Councils and youth became allies of COs. Program outcomes included the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding with Cuyo officials which allowed IPOPCORM to be an official partner in community development. Two types of POs were developed: fishermen and youth. COs established creative approaches to community education: (1) performance art; and (2) music and songs – a Cuyo council member recorded and sang songs about IPOPCORM’s initiatives; (3) study tours; (4) mangrove plantings that built community; and (5) coastal clean-ups. COs also established the Barangay Fisheries Aquatic Resource Management Committees (BFARMCs). BFARMCs were nationally mandated advisory boards. Each barangay was to have one BFARMC comprised of 8 fishermen and community members. They were to submit to the Council formal coastal and fisheries management recommendations for passage into law. They received training on the Philippine legal framework regarding : (1) coastal management; (2) national coastal regulations; (3) national agencies that BFARMCs could call on for technical assistance; and (4) received certification and training as bantay dagats or fish wardens. BFARMCs’ duties included patrolling waters to apprehend illegal fishers and imposing fines; opening and closing fisheries seasons; restricting net size; limiting amount of fish harvested in landing sites; and establishing Marine Protected Areas – MPAs. MPAs are a fisheries and coastal management tool used since 1974 and are segments of the coastal environment designated as a marine reserve. They help improve: (1) coral reefs; (2) mangrove density and seagrass cover; and (3) eco-system health. They increase fish varieties, density or number of fishes, and fish catches. While BFARMCs were a crucial element to IPOPCORM initiatives, they and COs and POs lacked the influence needed to change the Kodaseet-Winn 8 municipal political process. While BFARMCs were given the authority to patrol and fine individuals using illegal fish practices, they often received special protection from the municipal and legal system process, discouraging and frustrating COs, POs, and ASF staff. To combat this indifference and illegal fishing practices, BFARMCs demanded more resources from ASF. Additionally, ASF project leader Nilo Ungui requested that ASF take a political approach regarding IPOPCORM initiatives and endorse political candidates taking a stance against cyanide fishing. Both ASF and PFPI wanted to avoid creating a non-supportive environment in Cuyo regarding the IPOPCORM program. CASE ANALYSIS The evaluation framework for the IPOPCORM project called for decreasing population pressure on the marine resource base in coastal communities to benefit sustainable levels of fishing. While family planning and reproductive health programs were utilized in IPOPCORM projects on other islands, they were not implemented in Cuyo. Instead, Dr. Joan Castro, PFPI Project Director, wanted Lemia Simbulan, Executive Director of ASF, and her Cuyo staff to focus on community organizing and environmental protection strategies as mechanisms to protect the coral reefs while defining measures of protection such as designating coastal segments as Marine Protected Areas (MPAs). In defining IPOPCORM’s strategic activities, ASF’s experience with and use of community organizing models became key to gaining community support for IPOPCORM’s initiatives. With clearly laid out program implementation strategies, IPOPCORM’s approach was based on Change Theory supported by Marten’s “linked eco-social systems” concept and the belief that small improvements in social and/or ecological systems reinforce one another and can turn around both systems from degradation to health (D’Agnes, 2009). In Cuyo, the linked eco- Kodaseet-Winn 9 social systems were the damaged marine environment and behavioral change. It was assumed that as behavior became more responsive to sustaining marine life, illegal fishing practices and over-fishing would decrease, limiting the amount of damage inflicted on Cuyo’s marine environment. If ASF had introduced family planning and reproductive health programs into Cuyo’s population, further behavioral change might have been experienced. Further, Marten’s concept and belief of systems reinforcing one another and turning around degradation to health were addressed within the household survey conducted by PFPI that reflected high rates of malnutrition in families reliant upon fishing and who lived along degraded coastlines (D’Agnes, 2009). It was assumed that as fish stocks increased and alternative livelihoods were pursued, environmental damage and children’s malnourished state would improve as an outcome to the change in the populations’ behavior towards marine life. The Cuyo evaluators, along with Lemia Simbulan and Dr. Joan Castro, visited with the Cuyo IPOPCORM staff and attended meetings with the local community, including barangay captains and councils. They saw the outcomes of community engagement through theatre and music performances reflective of the marine ecosystem concerns. By participating in meetings and events with Cuyo staff, evaluators were able to identify and see first-hand the innovative program activities that stemmed from the Cuyo staff outreach and challenges facing the Cuyo staff. Evaluators also gained an understanding of ASF’s goals in designing the Cuyo IPOPCORM project and the special circumstances that limited the feasibility of achieving IPOPCORM goals in the initial 2-year period, all of which can impact the design of the evaluation. Within the evaluation design, the testing of the hypothesis that integrated approaches yield bigger payoffs than single sector approaches is relevant to the change theory by Marten and Kodaseet-Winn 10 relates to Chen’s (2005) program theory perspective. This perspective helps to answer four factors that can influence the selection of evaluation approaches and methods. With its use of descriptive and prescriptive assumptions, program theory becomes action-oriented. While descriptive assumptions look at the causal process for identified problems and use the change model, prescriptive assumptions prescribe components and activities deemed necessary to a program’s success and, thus, use action models. Evaluators can look to the action model for the nuts and bolts of the program as the model “determines the means of implementing and supporting the intervention so that the processes described in the change model can occur”(Chen, 2005, p. 17). In other words, the program is put in motion when the action model is implemented. Use of change and action models help evaluators to achieve a balanced view in assessing a program’s worth. They can also contribute to data collection for empirical research which supports the IPOPCORM evaluators’ use of a hypothesis in determining whether integrated approaches yield bigger payoffs than a single sector approach. The IPOPCORM framework also supported tracking of information allowing for measureable achievement of goals. PFPI’s project design strategies also impacted the evaluation design. PFPI developed a conceptual model for the IPOPCORM approach, a causal-chain model that identified strategies to bridge a gap or redress a threat, a results chain model to test different hypothesis which maps out a series of causal statements that link factors in an “if-then” situation, and a two-part plan to monitor the outputs of strategies and measure the level of objectives achieved. While the evaluators have access to detailed program materials and resources for a broader understanding of the program goals and activities, being informed of the challenges at the local level was also instrumental to the design of the evaluation. Given IPOPCORM’s approach, Chen’s theory-driven outcome evaluation seems an Kodaseet-Winn 11 appropriate choice for the IPOPCORM project as it takes into account causal mechanisms and implementation proceses in assessing program effectiveness. It also addresses the hows and whys of program success and failure to develop intervention changes as needed. In Chen, three significant advantages to using a theory-driven outcome evaluation are defined as: (1) it serves accountability and program improvement needs; (2) it can comment on construct validity; and (3) it can increase internal validity. The guidelines for conducting a theory-driven outcome evaluation also relate to the IPOPCORM project. The first guideline for the theory is establishing common understanding between stakeholders and evaluators of what the theory is and what it does. Steps and roles of each party are defined with dialogue addressing what the evaluative information will be used for. In the case of IPOPCORM, it can determine improved interventions. Dialogue among stakeholders or parties involved can address whether an efficacy or effectiveness evaluation should be conducted and can determine what the program theory is or should be. Given the varying groups of stakeholders in Cuyo from the youth to the fishers to barangay officials, dialogue contributes to understanding the evaluation process and its information use which may result in more participatory activities. The second guideline clarifies the stakeholders’ theory, should there be one, and whether it differs from the program theory. Typically, program theory is the basis of a theory-driven outcome evaluation with a focus on the change model which examines the relationship between the intervention, the determinants, and the outcomes (Chen, 2005). The third guideline addresses constructing the research design and data collection methods. Because theory-driven outcome evaluation depends on contextual information, it utilizes a mixed method approach to data collection, linking quantitative and qualitative data in Kodaseet-Winn 12 order to gain a holistic view of a program (Chen, 2005). Given the different stakeholders in the IPOPCORM project and focus on changing behavior, collection and analysis of data might result in new program goals and activities or identify some variable that was not previously identified which contributes to individuals not changing behavior. Chen (2005) also defines two types of causal mechanisms that impact the relationship between the intervention, the determinants, and the outcomes. These are mediating and moderating. The mediating causal mechanism is defined as a component that intervenes in the relationship between two other components. For example, in the IPOPCORM framework, if the determinant mediates the relationship between the intervention and the outcome, the intervention cannot affect the outcome unless it also affects the determinant. The determinate should have the ability to change the outcome which makes the selection of a determinant a crucial part of the program’s performance. If the study tours conducted by IPOPCORM do not help teach the value of the marine environment, then individuals will continue using illegal fish practices, thus the study tour intervention must affect the determinant of valuing the marine environment for the outcome of not doing illegal fishing practices to occur. The second type of causal mechanism is moderating which represents a relationship between program components enabled by a third factor. The presence of the third factor manifests the relationship between the two components, and when it is gone, the relationship dissolves (Chen, 2005). For IPOPCORM, the moderating causal mechanism might be the family having a zero income or no food to eat but are participating in the study tours and continuing to employ illegal fishing practices. When the family has some income and food to eat and participate in the study tours, they will abstain from employing illegal fish practices. Kodaseet-Winn 13 CONCLUSION With the change theory of Marten and the IPOPCORM’s framework comprehensively addressed to include future evaluation processes, findings through the use of mix methods will provide a clear and concise story of what is working and not working for IPOPCORM. The mixed methods approach should also provide detailed information that is not otherwise seen or discussed openly with ASF staff when conducting meetings or educational activities. The hypothesis of determining whether integrated approaches yield bigger payoffs than single sector approaches can already be seen in the program’s change and action models which contribute to the measurement of goal or objective attainment. An example is the number of programs that engage youth, specifically, the theater and music performance activities and the Miss Cuyo pageant all of focus on scholarship of marine eco-system sustainment. Overall, the IPOPCORM approach is comprehensive and conducive to implementing changes via the evaluation findings. While IPOPCORM initiatives are clearly focused with defined goals and objectives, evaluation outcomes can also identify benefits that the program has not addressed. For example, while Cuyo does not have the family planning and reproductive health component of IPOPCORM, individuals learning about the value of the marine environment and negative outcomes of over-fishing due to population pressures may begin to think about family planning and seek out contraceptives. While parents may not employ family planning practices, they can begin dialogue with their children, who may be nearing child-bearing age, on family planning practices as they see the impact of population growth, fertility, on the marine ecosystem. The merging of ASF’s and PFPI’s missions allowed for the development of a Food Security Model replicable in other communities facing the same dilemma as the Philippines. ### Kodaseet-Winn 14 Kodaseet-Winn 15