January 17, 2012 Sullivan Citizens Alliance PO Box 425 Chittenango, NY 13037 RE: Planned Quarry Road Mine – Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns; Perryville, New York HydroQuest was retained by the Sullivan Citizens Alliance of Chittenango to address concerns relative to the karst hydrology and potential environmental impacts associated with the proposed Oot Quarry application. HydroQuest has prepared this report for consideration in the mine permit application before the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (NYSDEC). Because significant karst features and karst aquifers are present on, beneath, and adjacent to the subject property, a comprehensive hydrogeologic study of the site and its down gradient groundwater and surface water receptors is necessary to address water quantity and quality concerns of area residents. In addition, risks attendant to gas drilling in carbonate terrains are addressed. The focus of this report is to raise environmental issues relative to the presence of karst hydrology on and adjacent to the Oot Quarry site and the potential that such geology carries for adverse environmental impacts to down gradient property owner wells and surface water resources. Specifically, mining removal of all or part of residents’ aquifer recharge area may substantially degrade the groundwater flow regime and the quantity of groundwater currently available to area residents (e.g., Laughlin, Osborne). In addition, mining related bedrock particulates may become entrained in site groundwater, may flow off-site, and may potentially degrade both groundwater and surface water quality. Also, fugitive dust from quarry operations may pose a health risk to area residents. HydroQuest is a hydrologic consulting firm whose principal is the undersigned Paul A. Rubin. Paul Rubin is a hydrologist with three decades of specialized experience in both surface water and groundwater hydrology. He has conducted work for the New York State Attorney General’s Office (Environmental Protection Bureau), Oak Ridge National Laboratory (Environmental Sciences Division), the New York City Department of Environmental Protection, and as an independent environmental consultant as President of HydroQuest (see curriculum vitae and all figures referenced in this report at: http://hydroquest.com/Laughlin/). Mr. Rubin’s experience includes SEQRA review, research, site characterization, land-use planning, report and affidavit preparation, testimony, and numerous professional presentations and publications related to karst hydrology. His CV and Addendum to this letter document many of his karst related publications, including a presentation before an international congress of karst hydrologists in the summer of 2009. Introduction The findings of this report are based on a combination of field survey, review of geologic material, and hydrologic interpretation. Locations of geologic features of importance were determined using a handheld Global Positioning System receiver and were subsequently plotted using ESRI GIS software. Two different years of high resolution orthoimagery and digital raster graphics (i.e., topographic data) were reviewed. The major surface drainage that flows around much of the Perryville Plateau was then plotted on Figure 1. All springs that issue from the base of the escarpment and hillslope areas join down gradient streams, although the exact physical flow routes were often not plotted on the map. Photographs were also taken. As explained in more detail below, karst geology and karst features are evident on the site and in the surrounding area. Based on the areal extent of karst geology and hydrology, there is substantial potential for contamination of local aquifers, wells, and down gradient surface water resources. Assuming that state-of-the-art fueling pads are always used in the proposed quarry and no spills occur, the most likely risk to water quality stems from the entrainment of fine particulates that will be generated throughout the proposed quarrying process. These particulates may move with groundwater and may result in turbid well, spring, and stream water. From a groundwater quantity perspective, the removal and physical alteration of the aquifer recharge area up gradient of residents wells may be a significant adverse environmental impact. In addition to water quantity and quality risks, fugitive dust stemming from quarry operations may also pose a significant risk that may adversely impact the health of downwind residents. The “hard look” required by SEQRA is fully warranted. Site Geology In the absence of core hole data from the proposed Oot quarry site it appears that the bedrock present throughout the northwestern portion of the Oot parcel extends throughout most of the Manlius Formation, downward into the Rondout Formation, and below. Nearby cliffs exhibit abundant stromatoporoids that are commonly found in the middle Olney Member of the Manlius Formation, found below the Elmwood Member and above the Thacher Member. Thin bedded stromatoporoid-bearing strata present in northern site cliff exposures provide further evidence that the uppermost site strata there is the Manlius Formation vs. the Coeymans Formation that also sometimes has stromatoporoids in portions of New York State. Reference to a bedrock geology map of New York State available through the New York State Museum indicates that the bedrock geology present in the southeastern portion of the site grades upward stratigraphically, with increasing topographic elevation, into the Coeymans, Oriskany, and Onondaga formations. Verification of the bedrock units present may have been conducted by consulting geologists after examining bedrock core. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 2 of 2 Site and Area Hydrogeology Overview The Oot parcel is situated within a broad upland karst plateau, the “Perryville Plateau”, marked by a general lack of surface drainage (see Figures 1 and 2). The physical boundaries depicted for the Industrial Zoning and Oot parcel were derived from outside sources and may need some correction. Portions of this plateau drop off steeply along the edge of an escarpment, particularly southwest and south of the Oot parcel. Instead of streams that are typically found throughout non-carbonate terrains, site drainage is largely internal through a thin soil mantle and the underlying fractured bedrock. Surface water infiltrates downward through dissolutionally enlarged bedrock fractures. Some fractures are preferentially enlarged more than others, resulting in a criss-crossed appearing ground surface where exposed (see Figure 3). This dissolutionally enlarged fracture or joint network, referred to as karren, shunts surface water downward into the underlying karst aquifer. Measurement of the orientation of some exposed joints immediately east of the site reveals the following orientations: 93 to 104; 6 to 19; 68 to 78; 173 to 174. The general location of these joint orientation readings is depicted on Figure 2. Because joint orientations are relatively consistent throughout adjacent areas, it reasonably follows that these orientations are similar throughout the Perryville Plateau. Below the ground surface, this network of solutionally enlarged openings is referred to as epikarst. Surface water incident to the Perryville Plateau infiltrates downward through both the epikarst and sinkholes. Sinkholes are closed depressions that shunt surface water downward into an underlying karst aquifer. Several, large enough to show up on topographic maps, are present within the Perryville Plateau, one on the Oot parcel (see Figures 1 and 2). Groundwater flow within the plateau occurs through a continuum of intersecting joints and dissolutionally enlarged joints and conduits that discharge to numerous springs present along the base of the plateau. While many of these springs were located via field survey (see Figures 1 and 2), there are likely to be others present in locations beyond the area of field reconnaissance. What is karst and why is it important? Karst is a term used to describe a landscape in which landforms are produced mainly by dissolution of bedrock, most typically limestone, dolostone, and marble. Dissolution created features; such as enlarged fractures (i.e., karren), shafts, sinkholes, and caves; form as groundwater infiltrates into and flows through carbonate bedrock. The result is a scenic landscape which is beautiful but fragile, and vulnerable to erosion and pollution. These features can provide for rapid transport of contaminants with groundwater over relatively long distances if they are exposed to a source of contamination.1 1 While many excellent books on karst geology and hydrology are available, we recommend that consulting firms, engineers, planning boards, and others interested in learning about the subject obtain Dr. Arthur N. Palmer’s 2007 book titled Cave Geology. Dr. Palmer is the most frequently cited karst hydrologist in the world. Paul Rubin, of HydroQuest, has coauthored a number of karst guidebooks and papers, as well as co-led professional geological field trips, with him. Dr. Palmer’s 454-page book is well-illustrated and brings together well his fifty plus years of karst experience. It is available for $38.00 in hardback at: HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 3 of 3 Some karst terrains exhibit surface features including epikarst (i.e., a solutionally enlarged fracture network), sinkholes, sinking streams, caves, and springs, providing a relatively simple means of identification. However, the most important aspects of karst landscapes are hidden. For example, glacial sediments often mask karst features that would be visible in non-glaciated regions. Only about 10% of sinkholes in a typical American karst are shown on topographic maps. This is also true where there is a cover of glacial sediment, which tends to mask subsidence features. Many significant karst areas, some with major cave rivers flowing beneath them, exhibit little or no surficial evidence of karst. People unfamiliar with karst terrains may incorrectly conclude that the absence of sinkholes on topographic maps indicates a non-karst terrain. The most important characteristic of karst is the way groundwater behaves. Surface water in karst areas drains underground through solution conduits. Water in these conduits can travel up to several miles per day, and contaminants can move at the same rate with little or no natural cleansing. Contaminants enter the ground easily through sinkholes and sinking streams, and filtering is virtually non-existent. Stormwater discharges, pesticides, herbicides and spills incident to karst aquifers can degrade groundwater aquifers and reservoirs within hours or days. 2 As a result of these concerns, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) actively supports remedial investigations, strategy development, and conferences devoted to better understanding karst aquifers. Even small solution conduits can transmit groundwater and contaminants hundreds of times faster than the typical unenlarged fissure network. http://nssbookstore.org/index.php?mode=store&category1=Cave%20Science&page=2 In this report, we reference some of the karst characteristics cited by Dr. Palmer in his book. Such characteristics and features will be described from observation in the vicinity of and on the Oot property. In this manner, there will be no doubt regarding the presence of karst on the Oot property site and no doubt relative to recommendations for completion of a DEIS should the site ultimately be determined to be zoned for mining. 2 In addition to contamination by potential fuel spills, quarry-derived particulates can be a threat to the water quality in karst aquifer systems. Hydrocarbon contamination is particularly serious in karst aquifers, as the likelihood of successful remediation is poor. Recker (1992) found that hydrocarbons stemming from a gasoline spill remain in the fractured epikarst and become a continuing source of groundwater contamination. Gasoline fumes associated with a similar contaminant event in a Bowling Green, Kentucky karst aquifer seeped into overlying buildings. Ewers et al. (1992) document that hydrocarbon transport in the turbulent flow of karst conduits occurs as globules of entrained free product as well as a dissolved phase and can move at nearly the velocity of water. Ewers et al. (1992) further illustrate that once turbulent flow regimes become laminar (i.e., slow moving), concentrated hydrocarbons separate from water and can collect or be trapped in high points along the conduit ceiling. Based on the results of multitracer investigations of diffuse or conduit flow in karst aquifers, Quinlan and Ray (1992) concluded that successful remediation of contamination in most karst aquifer systems would be nearly impossible. All potential quarry-related contaminant threats require evaluation. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 4 of 4 As a result, sound land use planning in karst terrains requires protection of both groundwater and surface water quality (e.g., at down gradient locations including streams, wetlands, springs, wells, and hibernating habitat for critical species, such as certain bats). Identification of karst terrains is essential in determining land uses protective of the environment and natural resources. Findings: Surface Karst Features of the Oot Property Site and Surrounding Area Dr. Palmer, in his Cave Geology book (2007), provides descriptions and pictures of many surface karst features recognized by karst hydrologists throughout the world. His introduction explains: “Most caves and surface karst features grow in close association with one another. Much of the water that forms caves is fed to them through karst depressions and sinking streams, and this water emerges at springs. These and other surface features are clues to the presence and patterns of caves, and they may also serve as cave entrances.” (page 24) In the karst aquifer beneath the Perryville Plateau, groundwater flow is influenced by a combination of bedrock lithology and structure, karren topography, glacial processes, stream incision, and man’s alteration of the landscape. Field investigation revealed the existence of surface and subsurface features which provide solid documentation of karst geology and hydrology. A brief description of these features follows. Karst Features A. Karren topography and epikarst on and adjacent to the Oot property Portions of the Oot property support no obvious surface drainageways such as streams and gullies. In carbonate terrains where bare soluble bedrock is exposed to weathering, such as that present on the Perryville Plateau, exposed joints or fractures are enlarged into fissures. As joints are dissolutionally enlarged, the surrounding bedrock is left standing amidst fissures, resulting in karren topography. Rainwater, snowmelt, and runoff infiltrate into this network of interconnected fissures where it flows downward, then laterally until preferentially enlarged joints shunt this water further downward into solution conduits. Below the ground surface, this network of dissolutionally enlarged openings is referred to as the epikarst. Figure 4 depicts vertical joints, bedding planes, and faults present in the epikarst. Portions of the Oot property and surrounding area exhibit extensive karren (see Figure 3). B. Sinkholes - topographic evidence of karst depressions Closed depressions occur within the epikarst where sufficient groundwater flow occurs to both carry away overlying soil and to dissolve bedrock. Subsurface streams beneath karst depressions transport soil and any contaminants through solution conduits to springs. In America, these closed depressions are called sinkholes. Outside of America, these closed depressions are HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 5 of 5 referred to as dolines. Sinkholes have no surface outlet for runoff. Their sloping walls shunt runoff and snowmelt into them and downward into an underlying solution conduit. Sinkholes vary in size and shape from deep, vertical, shafts to broad, shallow, basins nearly filled with soil. Shallow sinkholes commonly do not show up on USGS topographic maps where they are properly depicted with hachured contour lines. This is for a number of reasons, including sinkhole depth of less than the depicted map contour interval, topography not being visible under tree cover, and relatively small size. Figures 1 and 2 depict a number of sinkholes as blue areas with red borders that readily show up USGS topographic maps. One is on the Oot parcel. Sinkholes provide evidence of a karst landform. In order for a sinkhole to form, subsurface water must flow through a solution conduit, dissolving away bedrock and carrying it and any soil away. Only when this process has occurred for a sufficiently long period of time will enough bedrock have been removed to allow collapse into an underlying void. Even small and shallow sinkholes provide evidence that surface water runoff is pirated into underlying solution conduits, only to reappear or resurge at springs. Spring locations may be onsite or, in most instances, off-site – perhaps miles away. Thus, the risk of transporting quarry particulate material and/or fuel spill chemicals (e.g., hydrocarbons) off-site is an, as yet, undetermined aspect of the site’s hydrogeology. Contaminants in solution conduits receive little or no natural cleansing, thereby potentially providing unknowing down gradient receptors with polluted water. C. Sinking streams In karst terrains, entire streams can be captured by underground openings to form sinking or disappearing streams. The sink points are called swallow holes. Some of the earliest cave passages in karst regions are formed by sinking streams. Sinking streams typically disappear underground directly into an open cave or through bedrock fractures or a thin soil mantle. Field reconnaissance to date has not located any large streams sinking into the Perryville Plateau. However, the earliest stages of surface water piracy into dissolutionally enlarged joints is evident in places (see, for example, the center two photographs in Figure 3). Elsewhere, groundwater has been heard and observed rapidly flowing through a dissolutionally enlarged joint upstream of a spring (on Osborne property, see Figure 2). Several locations east of the Oot property, while dry on the date of observation, were observed that appeared to be small stream or wetland sink points. Cave streams may carry sediment, contaminants, and other debris to nearby spring resurgences or to springs many miles away. Tracer testing is required to document subsurface groundwater flow paths and destinations. D. Caves in the vicinity of the site and on the site Caves provide unequivocal evidence of underlying karst aquifers. Caves are large solution conduits formed by bedrock dissolution. They can readily conduct contaminants into underlying HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 6 of 6 karst aquifers. The size of a solution conduit is not important. Once it is large enough to rapidly transport turbulent groundwater, contaminant transport can adversely impact nearby and distant receptors. There is little doubt that caves are present within the Perryville Plateau. Caves are more appropriately referred to as conduits because they either are or were once capable of transmitting rapid, turbulent, groundwater flow. Conduit portions of the Perryville karst aquifer have the highest permeabilities of all aquifer types, but random well installations would almost certainly not intersect them. In addition, sinkholes, extensive karren, and springs provide solid evidence of the karstic nature of the underlying aquifer. Clearly, further investigation is warranted to characterize the site’s hydrogeology and related environmental concerns prior to any consideration of allowing quarrying as an acceptable land use. In my experience, this is not only important from the standpoint of protecting a Town’s best interests and environmental resources, but also from a legal standpoint. Using a New York State example, much of the karst hydrology of the Cobleskill Plateau in East Central NYS, as well as of other karst systems of America, has been delineated through tracer tests. Experienced karst hydrologists follow ASTM Standard procedures (ASTM D 5717–95) to determine groundwater flow direction, velocity, and destination, as well as to assess contaminant risks. Characterization of the conduit portions of karst aquifers cannot be made on the basis of a few randomly placed wells. Instead, tracer tests are required to resolve groundwater flow paths down gradient of quarries or projects proposed in carbonate terranes. E. Karst springs The Perryville Plateau site is situated within a known karst region (see Figure 7). In karst terrains, most underground water reappears at the surface as springs. Each karst spring represents the resurgence of a cave stream. Springs can be small in size, ranging up to rivers in flow. Most of the discharge at a karst spring is delivered by turbulent-flow through conduits. Cave water moves rapidly as turbulent flow, at rates that approximate those in surface streams (for example, 5.3 km/hr [3.3 mph] measured in Howe Caverns 3/14/07). Karst springs are therefore highly susceptible to contamination and should never be used for water supply unless development in the catchment area is minimal, and substantial treatment is provided. Stream and wetland ecosystems downstream of springs are also susceptible to water quality degradation. Numerous springs were located below the plateau and plotted (see Figures 1 and 2). Some are supersaturated with calcite and precipitate travertine (see Figure 5). Surface runoff and snowmelt that enters karren and sinkholes on the plateau eventually discharges as groundwater issuing from springs. Because the proposed Oot quarry site almost certainly comprises the recharge area of some of these springs, as well as that of residents’ wells, it is necessary to characterize groundwater flow directions from throughout the quarry site as part of an environmental impact analysis prior to approvals of any kind. Determination of groundwater flow direction, pathways, and receptors in karst terranes is accomplished via tracer testing. Tracer testing is needed to characterize karst aquifers that underlie the proposed Oot quarry site and to document subsurface flow routes. If pathways and HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 7 of 7 outflows are not traced, the quarry has the potential to contaminate water supplies down gradient and some distance away, as well as surface water resources. F. Subsurface dissolution features - evidence of an underlying karst aquifer Core log reports provide insight into the karstic nature of the Perryville carbonate aquifer. The carbonate aquifer is, like most significant karst aquifers, comprised of a continuum of bedrock fractures and dissolution conduits that range from interconnected fractures with slow, laminar, groundwater flow to dissolutionally enlarged fractures and conduits with non-laminar, turbulent, rapid groundwater flow. Dissolutionally enlarged fractures commonly grade into enlarged conduits where groundwater moves rapidly until discharging at one or more spring resurgence points. Groundwater flow in these conduits is analogous to flow in surficial streams, regardless of whether or not they are partially or wholly water-filled. As fractures and conduits are enlarged through time, groundwater flow within them carries dissolved bedrock, sediment, pebbles and cobbles, and any contaminants that may enter the karst aquifer. The sapping of surficial soils into underlying conduits, from which they are carried away, is a common mechanism associated with sinkhole formation. As conduits grow in size, sometimes into cave passages large enough to allow for survey, they are sometimes partially filled with sediments. Core holes sometimes encounter what might appear to some geologists as open or sediment filled voids, fractures, or partings in what should be continuous, unbroken, bedrock strata as is associated with normal, uninterrupted, sediment deposition. Thus, these open or partially sediment filled openings in bedrock represent conduits that either once were or still are actively transmitting groundwater flow from one or more surficial water input locations to one or more spring resurgence points. Therefore, the presence of open voids or sediment filled openings provide hydrologic proof of karstic groundwater flow. They are not isolated vugs as one might find when cutting a block of swiss cheese - they are part of an interconnected groundwater flow regime. Core log reports from the nearby Perryville Quarry provide documentation of subsurface conduits within the karst aquifer. For example, Boring No. DDH 6-96, in the Elmwood Member (Unit A) of the Manlius Formation found a: “Prominent mud seam with limestone clasts at 22.5 22.7’. Nearly vertical weathered fracture from 24.3 - 25.1’.” Another core hole that was completed in October 1961 (Hole 2) had only ~85 percent core recovery at a depth of 45 ft to 50 ft. The stated reason for core loss is: “probably some cavities associated with stylolites.” The 20 foot increment between 50 and 70 feet has a logged core recovery varying between only 22 and 50 percent for each five foot increment. Although not noted on the core log, the missing strata is likely to have been as a result of encountering a solution conduit. Comments on the core log in the 65 ft to 70 ft increment note: “small pebbles in waterline”. These pebbles are not reported as broken clasts as might be associated with rock breakage during drilling, but rather as small pebbles. Similarly, Worlock Stone Company core log from Hole 1 drilled in the fall of 1961 notes the presence of pebbles in the Manlius limestone at a depth of 45 ft to 50 ft. These core log notes infer rounded, stream-worn, pebbles that would not be expected within a continuous limestone bedrock sequence. Instead, these pebbles provide evidence of solution conduits (e.g., cave like conduits) that extends from surficial water input locations to spring resurgence points. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 8 of 8 Wells Are Not An Appropriate Method For Defining Karst Hydrology As the hydrogeology of the Perryville karst aquifer is investigated, it is possible that the suggestion may be made that the presence or absence of karst on the proposed quarry site could be made based on core logs from investigative boreholes. Wells in karst terrains are rarely suitable as a means of addressing the dynamic conduit portions of karst aquifers, unless they intersect solution conduits with flowing groundwater. The installation of wells in carbonate bedrock (i.e., limestone, dolomite, marble) sites as a means of characterizing carbonate aquifers is still sometimes relied upon by some engineers, geologists, and hydrologists who are not familiar with the literature, publications, research, and ASTM standards specifically developed over the last forty years or so. Wells drilled at random in carbonate bedrock rarely intersect solution conduits. These conduits commonly integrate slower groundwater flow present in fractures to zones of lower pressure where groundwater flow and contaminant transport are rapid. Well information alone is not sufficient to document groundwater flow, pathways, and receptors (e.g., springs, wetlands, streams, water supplies) that may be on or down gradient of a quarry or other project site. Tracer testing is required. Fugitive Dust Fugitive dust associated with quarrying operations may pose a significant health risk for residents situated downwind of the proposed Oot quarry. Children and adults with asthma who are exposed to dust are even more vulnerable. Figure 6 illustrates wind flow directions outward from the rose diagram center which, in the example, illustrates the center of a proposed quarry site. An analysis of wind speed and wind direction data, such as that presented in this figure, should be conducted as part of the environmental impact analysis prior to considering mining or quarrying in an area with existing nearby residences or in an area where existing zoning contemplates additional residential development. Should mining be considered to be an appropriate land use in an area already zoned for residential expansion, mining would in effect be a “taking” of property rights and would directly translate into decreased land values. Beyond the health risks associated with the inhalation of airborne particulates, quarry operations have been documented as the source of particulate cover on yards, cars, and houses. People living near quarries may need to keep their windows closed in warm weather to avoid dust inhalation and deposition throughout their houses. This may directly impact people’s health and quality of life. Data collection and interpretation, such as that illustrated, are important in health assessments and in assessing zoning changes. Gas Wells and Hydraulic Fracturing It is conceivable that consideration might one day be given to leasing Oot property and surrounding karst plateau lands to companies seeking to exploit underlying gas reserves from gas-rich shales. Therefore, it is important to point out the associated environmental risks to karst aquifers and conduits within them at this time. Karst terrains are particularly vulnerable to gas HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 9 of 9 and contaminant excursions resulting from hydraulic fracturing. This is well-documented in a January 10, 2012 HydroQuest report provided to NYSDEC as a public comment on the revised draft Supplemental Generic Environmental Impact Statement (SGEIS) on proposed gas drilling regulations in New York State (pages 17-25, plus figures). The many potential contaminant transport pathways present in gas fields relative to caves are illustrated below: Contaminant transport pathways illustrated in a cross-sectional schematic. Here, upward hydraulic pressures drive brine and contaminant-rich waters to overlying freshwater aquifers along fractures, faults, and failed cement sheaths in gas wells. Where caves are present, the environmental risk to groundwater and cavedwelling species is not justifiable. As illustrated, sloppy wellhead practices also pose a contaminant threat to groundwater resources. The January 10, 2012 HydroQuest report concludes that gas drilling in karst terrains should be banned. This report also addresses that the existing cement and steel well bore sealant material used to protect and isolate freshwater aquifers lacks suitable durability to protect them in the long-term. Beyond this, as discussed in the January 10, 2012 report, it is highly unlikely that casing strings can be safely grouted through conduits. Even if this were possible, this January 17, 2012 report provides evidence that the area is seismically active. Thus, earthquakes would almost certainly result in cracking of well bore cement sheaths and loss of sealant integrity. This is further discussed below. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 10 of 10 The seismic/earthquake risk to the integrity of well sealant materials used to isolate freshwater aquifers is great. The increased groundwater and environmental risk in karst terrains is far greater than in non-carbonate terrains. This is well-documented in a January 10, 2012 HydroQuest report provided to NYSDEC as a public comment on the revised draft SGEIS on proposed gas drilling regulations in New York State (pages 14-15, plus figures). The text of this report may be reviewed at: http://hydroquest.com/Laughlin/ and all the supporting figures may be viewed at: http://hydroquest.com/Schoharie/. The material on both these web pages, as well as additional supportive information available at: http://hydroquest.com/Hydrofracking/, are herewith fully incorporated by reference as part of this report. Naturally-occurring earthquakes will almost certainly disrupt and degrade the cement sheath materials used in gas wells to protect freshwater aquifers. Gas production wells should not be placed within seismically active regions where ground shaking/motion will damage the integrity of cement seals. The SGEIS draft gas drilling regulations do not adequately address seismic risk either naturally occurring or resulting from hydrofracking activities, nor do they identify New York State areas prone to higher seismic activity and measures to prevent earthquake damage potentially associated with hydraulic fracturing. The HydroQuest April 9, 2011 DRBC Comment Report (pages 41 to 46, Figures 8 to 15) details the great seismic risk and likely resultant damage to cement sheaths. Repeated hydraulic fracturing may activate pre-existing faults or induce shifting or settlement along lubricated fractures, as is recently indicated with underground injection of gas drilling wastewater in Youngstown, Ohio and elsewhere. Much of New York State is seismically active, including the Chittenango area. Excessive lubrication of faults and fractures with highly pressurized hydraulic fracturing fluids, bolstered by repeated hydrofracturing episodes, may result in fault activation and bedrock settlement. This, in turn, may result in shearing of production well boreholes and casing strings even in the absence of natural seismic activity. While assessment is warranted to establish acceptable threshold values, appropriate maximum values for Richter magnitude and modified Mercalli shaking-vibration intensity may be on the order of 3.0 (III) or less for both. Philadelphia, PA, for example, recently experienced structural damage to buildings from an earthquake some 200 miles to the SW. Clearly, if the related earthquake intensity of 4.7 could damage buildings, it was also likely to result in damage to the integrity of cement sheaths, especially with repeated seismic events through time. Seismic hazard risk must be evaluated over the duration of the life of aquifers – 1,000,000 plus years. Just as it would not be prudent to promulgate gas drilling regulations without thoroughly evaluating long-term seismic risk, it would not be prudent permit gas drilling within Chittenango – Perryville karst plateau area carbonate formations. A series of four earthquake probability figures are presented below which show the statistical probability of earthquakes with a magnitude of greater than 5.0 occurring within 50 kilometers of Chittenango, New York. HydroQuest assessed the probability of earthquakes in the area using Chittenango as a focal point. Modeling of earthquake probability was conducted using the USGS 2009 Earthquake Probability Mapping model and related data available from the USGS Geologic Hazards Science Center. A series of model runs were conducted to assess and graphically display earthquake probabilities that were computed from the source model of the 2008 USGS-National Seismic Hazard Mapping Project (NSHMP) update for Chittenango, NY HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 11 of 11 (43.05º N, -75.87º W). The four generated maps show the probability of earthquakes with magnitudes of > 5.0 within a radius of 50 km for 500, 1000, 5,000, and 10,000-year events. The USGS web-based model runs determined earthquake probability percents for these events to be: Time Interval (yrs) > 5.0 500 1000 5000 10000 4-6 10-12 40-50 60-80 These very real and high earthquake probabilities stem from USGS web-based model runs conducted by HydroQuest. The probabilities for each of these events are based on known, recorded, earthquakes. Clearly, earthquake probability and the great risk to the integrity of cement sheaths and casing materials used to protect the integrity of freshwater aquifers must both be addressed in a newly revised NYSDEC SGEIS and in the Perryville karst plateau should consideration ever be given to permitting gas production in the area. Based on the Chittenango seismic analysis presented here, it can be stated that the probability that seismic shaking will result in cracking of cement sheaths and then massive upward release of contaminants is great. To intentionally risk permanently jeopardizing the purity of our freshwater aquifers by permitting gas well installations in seismically active portions of New York State (e.g., Chittenango) would be irresponsible. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 12 of 12 HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 13 of 13 HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 14 of 14 Conclusions and Recommendations The substantial risk of groundwater and surface water contamination via the site’s karst aquifers has not been characterized via the SEQRA process. Public and environmental health require assessment of the potential for groundwater transport of contaminants through and from the site. We recommend that a Draft Environmental Impact Statement be required that addresses the site’s karst hydrology. Hydrogeologic field work should be conducted by an experienced wellpublished karst hydrologist, with subsequent public review and comment. Should mining be determined to be a legal activity on the Oot property, we strongly recommend that a full environmental assessment be conducted, complete with scoping and DEIS preparation. Since the hydrologic and air quality issues raised in this report are significant and substantive, a full EIS is warranted to ensure the protection of public health and the environment. To protect groundwater resources, the potential risks to aquifer systems must be fully considered when evaluating proposed quarry operations – especially in an established residential area. The need for careful planning and water quality protection programs is particularly important when developing in hydrologically sensitive areas like those above karst terrains, where groundwater flow is rapid and contaminant remediation is generally impossible. For these reasons, recharge zones for karst aquifer systems must be identified and actively protected by quarry owners and town/community planning organizations. In general, considerations for development in karst regions should be based upon three factors: (1) identification and hydrogeologic characterization of regional karst aquifers (including monitoring via ASTM D 5717-95), (2) assessment of the vulnerability of karst aquifer systems to pollutants, and (3) the design and implementation of programs to protect underlying karst aquifers. In the specific case of assessing potential adverse impacts associated with quarrying, potential impacts associated with the partial removal of the aquifer recharge zone overlying the underlying aquifer must be evaluated. The presence of karst features discussed above provides solid evidence of karst geology and hydrology on and surrounding the Oot property. Additional field work is required, and a thorough karst inventory should be conducted throughout the Oot parcel and nearby lands. This is an initial step required to characterize the site’s hydrology. Based on information presented here, it is apparent that the Oot parcel hosts karst or carbonate aquifers and, as such, environmental concerns should be addressed. Mining removal of part or all of the aquifer recharge area may substantially degrade the groundwater flow regime and the quantity of groundwater currently available to area residents (e.g., Laughlin). In addition, mining related bedrock particulates may become entrained in site groundwater, may flow off-site, and may potentially degrade both groundwater and surface water quality. Airborne fugitive dust poses a health risk to area residents. In addition, quarry operations in a residential zoned area may decrease property values and retard the natural community growth contemplated by existing zoning law. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 15 of 15 Gas production below the Perryville karst plateau, should it ever be contemplated, would not be prudent. Recommendations ● Place a moratorium on any pending Perryville karst plateau quarry/mining approvals or zoning advancement until the site’s geology and hydrology have been fully characterized by professional karst hydrogeologists with extensive karst experience. HydroQuest has provided a technical presentation to the Town in support of this. Karst experience, at a minimum, should require a record of published karst-specific papers; ● Require completion of a Draft Environmental Impact Statement with complete public review and comment should Town mining permit approval be contemplated. NYSDEC should have required this. The Oot quarry site should be visited and characterized by an experienced karst hydrologist; ● Hydrologic characterization should include on-site and off-site spring locations, groundwater tracer testing with a discussion of site and area karst features, a comprehensive karst inventory with survey of karst features, and discussion of bedrock lithology, and structural and hydrologic controls on groundwater flow.3 Clearly, bedrock mining and potential contaminant influx to an important groundwater flow and aquifer system should not be permitted with no knowledge whatsoever as to where contaminants might go or what they might contaminate; ● A DEIS, complete with GIS reference maps, should provide an assessment of contaminant risks (e.g., particulates, hydrocarbons, road salt) to groundwater, wells, wetlands, springs, and other potential on-site and off-site receptors; ● Once the site’s geology and hydrology have been adequately characterized, the applicant should evaluate the quarry design and propose potential mitigation measures or alternate site uses that will provide protection of groundwater and surface water quality; ● The DEIS should include a series of groundwater flow direction maps depicting flow throughout all areas of the site, with emphasis on off-site contaminant receptors; ● The DEIS should include a comprehensive analysis of all the scoping issues to be identified in the early stages of SEQRA; and ● Gas drilling should be banned along and within carbonate formations in and beyond the 3 The American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) Standard guide for the design of ground-water monitoring systems in karst and fractured-rock aquifers (1995) was developed with funding from the EPA in response to the need for a method to characterize karst aquifer systems and their groundwater flow paths. A standard engineering tracer investigation should be conducted [ASTM D 5717-95] designed to determine groundwater flow directions, destinations, and velocities within the karst groundwater basin. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 16 of 16 Town boundaries. If you would like to discuss the issues raised in this letter, please contact me directly. Thank you. Sincerely, Paul A. Rubin HydroQuest References Cited: ASTM (American Society for Testing and Materials), 1995, Standard guide for design of ground-water monitoring systems in karst and fractured-rock aquifers, ASTM Standard Guide D5717-95, Annual Book of ASTM Standards, v. 04.09, Soil and Rock (II), p. 435451. Ewers, R.O., Duda, A.J., Estes, E.K., Idstein, P.J., & Johnson, K.M., 1992, The transmission of Light hydrocarbon contaminants in limestone (karst) aquifers. Proceedings, Hydrogeology, Ecology, Monitoring, and Management of Ground Water in Karst Terranes Conference, National Ground Water Association, Dublin, Ohio, p. 287-306. Palmer, A.N., 2007, Cave Geology. Published by Cave Books – the publications affiliate of the Cave Research Foundation, 454 p. Palmer, A.N. and Rubin, P.A., 2007, Karst of the Silurian-Devonian Carbonates in Eastern New York State, with emphasis on the Cobleskill Plateau. Guidebook for the Hudson-Mohawk Professional Geologists’ Association Spring 2007 Field Trip, “Carbonate Geology of the Howes Cave Area, Schoharie County, New York”, p. 17-35, Trip coleader with Arthur Palmer (April 28, 2007). Quinlan, J.F., & Ray, J.A., 1992, Ground-water remediation may be achievable in some karst aquifers that are contaminated, but it ranges from unlikely to impossible in most: I. Implications of long-term tracer tests for universal failure in goal attainment by scientists, consultants, and regulators. Proceedings, Hydrogeology, Ecology, Monitoring, and Management of Ground Water in Karst Terranes Conference. National Ground Water Association, Dublin, Ohio, p. 553-558. Recker, S.A., 1992, Petroleum hydrocarbon remediation of the subcutaneous zone of a karst aquifer, Lexington, Kentucky, Proceedings, Hydrogeology, Ecology, Monitoring, and Management of Ground Water in Karst Terranes Conference, National Ground Water Association, Dublin, Ohio, p. 447-474. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 17 of 17 Attachments: Figure 1: Color GIS map of Perryville, NY proposed Oot quarry area Figure 2: Color GIS map of Perryville, NY proposed Oot quarry area – close-up Figure 3: Karren topography Figure 4: Bedrock geology Figure 5: Sinkhole, springs and stream Figure 6: Wind chart for unnamed asthmatic Quarry Town, USA Figure 7: Eastern U.S. karst map cc: Sullivan's Citizens Alliance PO Box 425 Chittenango, New York 13037 HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 18 of 18 Addendum: Paul A. Rubin HydroQuest karst background and experience include (see resume for additional detail): ● Karst field training and course work with recognized karst experts including Dr. Arthur N. Palmer, Dr. Stephen J. Egemeier, Dr. Peter Smart, and others; ● Thirty years of extensive caving and karst investigation experience with recognition by the National Speleological Society (made a Fellow of the NSS in recognition of karst research and water resource protection); ● Collaboration and publications with world recognized karst experts including Arthur N. Palmer, Margaret Palmer, and James Quinlan, including four lengthy technical karst guidebook papers; ● Substantial personal research from 1973 to the present on the characterization, groundwater flow dynamics, and geomorphic history of assorted karst terrains in New York, Maine, Tennessee, and Kentucky; ● Over 30 karst publications and conference presentations, including professional geologic guidebook papers and peer-reviewed papers (some papers addressed land-use planning in karst terrains); ● Service as an expert witness in court relative to karst issues; ● Leader or co-leader of professional karst geologic field trips for professional geologists at a New York State, national, and international level, including the NYS Geological Association, American Association of Petroleum Geologists; assorted colleges; New York State Geological Survey geologists including the New York State geologist; the Hudson-Mohawk Professional Geologists’ Association, the National Ground Water Association, the National Speleological Society, and the International Association of Geochemists and Cosmochemists; ● Karst hydrologist for Howe Caverns from 2004 to 2007, plus previous karst consulting work with Howe Caverns; ● Developed and documented a conceptual model of karstic groundwater flow at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to assess contaminated groundwater flow where the first atomic bomb was made; ● Numerous consulting jobs focused heavily on environmental karst issues, land-use protection, and water supply in New York State and Missouri; ● Authorship of numerous unpublished karst reports, GIS maps, and affidavits; and ● On-going personal karst research in the Rosendale Binnewater Lakes area with emphasis on the hydrogeology associated with a disappearing lake, speleogenesis in a complex structural setting, and geomorphic interpretation. HydroQuest RE: Perryville Plateau - Karst Hydrology & Gas Drilling Concerns 01/17/12 p. 19 of 19