APPENDIX A MERCURY CONCENTRATIONS IN FUELS This appendix provides the basis of the assumptions in this study on the mercury concentrations of fossil and non-fossil fuels. FOSSIL FUELS This section describes this study’s assumptions on mercury concentrations for coal, oil, and natural gas and explains the methodologies used to arrive at them. Coal Mercury concentrations in different types of coal in different regions of the country were calculated through the following four steps: Collected data on mercury concentrations in different types of coal by State. The three coal types are bituminous, subbituminous, and lignite. Made adjustments in mercury concentrations for coals in those States, where companies would clean them and EPA had data on their mercury concentrations prior to cleaning. Converted data on mercury concentrations that were expressed in parts per million weight (ppmw) to pounds of mercury per trillion Btus of heat content of each coal (lbs /TBtus). Conducted cluster analysis to group the same types of coals with similar mercury concentrations together to arrive at an average estimate of the mercury concentrations in that set of coals. These steps are described below in detail. Compilation of State Data EPA relied primarily on the EPA’s Report to Congress on hazardous air pollutant (HAP) emissions (HAP Study; EPA, 1998a).1 The mercury concentrations in coal used for the purposes of the IPM mercury emissions analyses are reported in Exhibit A1. For bituminous coals from Illinois and Colorado, mercury concentrations pertain to as-shipped coals, which are deemed cleaned prior to shipping. EPA.1998a. Study of Hazardous Air Pollutant Emissions from Electric Utility Steam Generating Units – Final Report to Congress.Volumes I and II. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. EPA-453/R-98-004a & -004b. February 1998. 1 A-1 Coal Cleaning Bituminous coals from selected States are cleaned to meet customer specifications for heating value, and ash and sulfur content. EPA estimates that the average mercury reduction due to coal washing is 21 percent in the HAP Study. In the IPM mercury analyses, the Agency assumed a 21 percent reduction for bituminous coals shipped from 14 States (i.e., Alabama, Iowa, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia). Consistent with the HAP Study, no mercury removal factor was applied to lignite and subbituminous coals, nor to bituminous coals shipped from Arizona, Montana, New Mexico, and Wyoming. Mercury Concentrations in IPM Mercury concentrations of coal (i.e., amount of mercury per unit of heat content, which is expressed as “lbs/TBtu”) differs by type, based on their initial mercury concentrations on a parts per million weight (ppmw) basis and heat content.2 EPA estimated the mercury concentrations in coals for use in IPM using the following formula: Mercury concentration of coal in ppmw * lbs to short ton conversion factor / heat content of coal * MMBtu to Trillion Btu conversion factor.3 The mercury concentrations reported in column 5 of Exhibit A1 pertain to the average mercury concentrations of coal.4 There can be substantial variation in the mercury concentrations of coal from different mines in a State and in different coal seams at the same mine. However, Exhibit A1 shows that certain types of coals in various regions of the country do have average concentrations of mercury that differ markedly from the average concentrations of mercury of other types of coal. In the same coal class, there are also marked differences in average mercury concentrations between States. 2 The different sulfur grades of coal that are used in the IPM mercury analyses include the following six sulfur grades of bituminous coals, three sulfur grades of subbituminous coals, and two sulfur grades of lignite coals: Low Sulfur Eastern Bituminous (BA), Low Sulfur Western Bituminous (BB), Low Medium Sulfur Bituminous (BD), Medium Sulfur Bituminous (BE), Medium High Sulfur Bituminous (BF), and High Sulfur Bituminous (BG); Low Sulfur Subbbituminous (SB), Low Medium Sulfur Subbituminous (SD), and Medium Sulfur Subbituminous (SE); and Low Medium Sulfur Lignite (LD) and Medium High Sulfur Lignite (LF). 3 The details of this calculation are: (x lbs of Hg / 10 6 lbs of coal) * (2,000 lbs / ton) * (ton / y MMBtu) * (10 6 MMBtu/TBtu) where, x is the mercury concentration reported in the HAP Study and y is the heat content of coal, derived from IPM. 4 The average mercury concentration of coal for a State indicates simple average mercury concentration of various sulfur grades of a particular type of coal shipped from that State. A-2 Exhibit A1 Average Mercury Concentrations in Coal by State of Origin and Coal Type State of Origin Alabama Arkansas2 Arizona2 Colorado Iowa Illinois Indiana Kansas Kentucky Maryland Missouri Montana New Mexico2 Ohio Oklahoma Pennsylvania Tennessee2 Utah Virginia West Virginia Wyoming2 Alaska Montana New Mexico Washington Wyoming Colorado2 Louisiana Montana North Dakota Texas Coal Type Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Bituminous Subbituminous Subbituminous Subbituminous Subbituminous Subbituminous Lignite Lignite Lignite Lignite Lignite Original Average Mercury Concentrations (ppmw)1 0.19 0.17 0.07 0.07 0.19 0.08 0.11 0.19 0.15 0.42 0.17 0.09 0.06 0.22 0.17 0.29 0.15 0.04 0.14 0.16 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.18 0.19 0.12 0.13 0.19 Final Average Mercury Concentrations (ppmw) 0.15 0.13 0.07 0.07 0.15 0.08 0.09 0.15 0.12 0.33 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.17 0.13 0.23 0.12 0.03 0.11 0.13 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.18 0.19 0.12 0.13 0.19 Final Average Mercury Concentrations (lbs of Hg per Trillion Btu) 11.91 21.84 6.45 5.89 14.70 7.18 7.96 13.18 9.92 26.58 12.04 8.38 5.76 14.94 10.76 18.13 9.63 2.87 8.65 10.11 8.13 9.32 9.97 7.06 7.40 9.35 29.81 28.04 17.87 19.73 31.51 Notes: 1 ppmw = parts per million weight = lbs. of mercury / million lbs. of coal. 2 For Tennessee, the mercury concentration was obtained from another EPA study (EPA, 1998b), 5 as the HAP Study does not report this information. For Arkansas, the mercury concentration of bituminous coal was assumed to be the same as that for bituminous coal from Oklahoma. Additionally, for Arizona, New Mexico, and Wyoming, it was assumed that the mercury concentrations of bituminous coal were the same as the mercury concentrations of subbituminous coal from those states. For lignite coal from Colorado, the average mercury concentration of all lignite coals, as reported in the HAP Study, was used. Source: EPA 5 EPA, Analyzing Electric Power Generation under the CAAA, March 1998. A-3 Cluster Analysis Mercury concentrations in coal vary widely across different types in different States. The wide range of mercury concentrations for each grade of coal across supply regions was divided into similar groups using “clustering” analysis for the purposes of the IPM mercury analyses. The clustering analysis places objects into groups or clusters, such that the data in a given cluster tend to be similar to each other, and that they are dissimilar to the data in other clusters. In other words, the clustering analysis minimizes the variance (i.e., the square of the average deviation of the data from their arithmetic mean) of the data within each cluster. 6 The clustering analysis was performed to minimize the complexity involved in incorporating the wide range of mercury concentrations of each individual sulfur grade and type of coal into the IPM input file. The clustering analysis was performed through the following two steps: First, the number of clusters of mercury concentrations within each sulfur grade of coal was determined based on the range of mercury concentrations for that sulfur grade of coal and the extent of its supply. Second, the SAS clustering analysis program was used to group the mercury concentrations of each sulfur grade of coal across various supply regions into a specified number of clusters, such that the variance of mercury concentrations within each coal cluster is minimized. For example, mercury concentrations of Low Sulfur Western Bituminous (BB) coals across nine supply regions are in the range of 2.61 to 8.12 lbs of Hg/TBtu. Based on the amount of BB coal supplied and the range of its mercury concentrations, it was determined that BB coal would be divided into two clusters. Then, using the SAS clustering analysis program, BB coals were divided into a BB1 cluster, with mercury concentrations not exceeding 5.5 lbs of Hg/TBtu, and into a BB2 cluster, with mercury concentrations exceeding 5.5 lbs of Hg/TBtu. Exhibit A2 shows the clusters of various sulfur grades of coal and their mercury concentrations that were developed and analyzed in this effort. EPA assumed in IPM that the coals identified in the first column had the average mercury concentrations of each cluster shown in the columns on the far right in Exhibit A2. For example, the mercury concentration of BA coals from Alabama is estimated to be approximately 11.87 lbs of Hg/TBtu. Exhibit A2 indicates that this coal falls into the second cluster (i.e., BB2), as its mercury concentration is greater than 10.5 lbs of Hg/TBtu. Therefore, for the purposes of calculating mercury emissions using IPM, the average mercury concentration of the BB2 cluster (=11.87 lbs of Hg/TBtu) was used for all BB2 coals. 6 In other words, it is a measure of dispersion of the data from their arithmetic mean. A-4 Exhibit A2 Coal Clusters and Average Mercury Concentrations Coal Type by Sulfur Grade No. of clusters (Lbs of Hg per Trillion Btu) Range of mercury Average mercury concentration within each concentration within each coal cluster cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster #1 #2 #3 #1 #2 #3 > 10.5 -9.62 11.87 - 10.5 Low Sulfur Eastern Bituminous (BA) 2 Low Sulfur Western Bituminous (BB) 2 5.5 > 5.5 -- 2.79 6.14 -- Low Medium Sulfur Bituminous (BD) 3 7.0 > 7.0 to 14.0 > 14.0 5.22 9.64 17.89 Medium Sulfur Bituminous (BE) 3 9.0 > 9.0 to 13.0 > 13.0 7.98 10.01 17.83 Medium High Sulfur Bituminous (BF) 3 13.0 > 13.0 to 20.0 > 20.0 9.55 18.10 26.58 High Sulfur Bituminous (BG) 3 8.0 > 8.0 to 14.0 > 14.0 7.43 10.38 15.91 Low Sulfur Subbituminous (SB) 1 0 -- -- 9.46 -- -- Low Medium Sulfur Subbituminous (SD) 1 0 -- -- 8.84 -- -- Medium Sulfur Subbituminous (SE) 1 0 -- -- 9.37 -- -- Low Medium Sulfur Lignite (LD) 1 0 -- -- 23.80 -- -- Medium High Sulfur Lignite (LF) 2 25.0 > 25.0 -- 19.73 31.31 -- Notes: -- = not applicable. A-5 Oil and Natural Gas EPA used data from the HAP study to develop average mercury concentrations of oil and natural gas (see Exhibit A3). The Agency estimated mercury concentrations in oil and natural gas for use in the IPM analysis in the following manner: Oil - The mercury concentration of 0.0092 ppmw was converted to a mercury concentration in pounds per TBtu using the following formula: Mercury concentration * lbs to gallon conversion factor / heat content * Btu to Trillion Btu conversion factor = (0.0092 lbs / 106 lbs) * (7.88 lbs / gal) * (gal / 150,000 Btu) * (1012 Btu /TBtu) = 0.483 lbs/TBtu. Natural gas - The mercury concentration of 0.0000024 mg/cm was converted to a mercury concentration in pounds per TBtu using the following formula: Mercury concentration * cubic meter (cm) to cubic feet (cft) conversion factor / heat content * Btu to Trillion Btu conversion factor * mg to kg conversion factor * kg to lbs conversion factor = (2.4 * 10-6 mg/cm) * (0.027 cm/cft) * (cft/1,035 Btu) * (1012 Btu/TBtu) * (kg/106 mg) * (2.21 lbs/kg) = 0.000138 lbs/TBtu. Exhibit A3 Average Mercury Concentrations in Oil and Natural Gas Fuel Type Oil Natural Gas Unit for Mercury Concentration in the HAP Study Ppmw mg/cm Mercury Concentration in the HAP Study 0.0092 0.0000024 Mercury Concentration In IPM (lbs of Hg/TBtu) 0.483 0.00014 Notes: ppmw = parts per million weight = lbs. of mercury / million lbs. of oil. Source: EPA NON-FOSSIL FUELS The non-fossil fuels covered in this study are wood waste, municipal solid waste, and geothermal resources. The source of data on the mercury concentrations in these fuels is EPA’s Mercury Study Report to Congress. Volume II: An Inventory of Anthropogenic Mercury Emissions in the United States, December 1997 (Mercury Study).7 Exhibit A4 reports the assumptions on the mercury concentrations of non-fossil fuels that EPA uses in the IPM analysis. Details on how EPA prepared these estimates are provided below. 7 EPA. 1997. Mercury Study Report to Congress. Volume II: An Inventory of Anthropogenic Mercury missions in the United States. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards and Office of Research and Development. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. EPA-452/R-97-004. December 1997. A-6 Exhibit A4 Average Mercury Concentrations of Non-Fossil Fuels Fuel Type Wood Waste Municipal Solid Waste Geothermal Resource (lbs of Hg per TBtu) Average Mercury Concentration in IPM 0.57 71.85 4.08 Wood Waste Consistent with the Mercury Study, the mercury concentration of wood waste is assumed to be 0.0000052 lbs per ton. Also, based on the same study, the heat content of wood waste has been assumed to be 4,560 Btu/lb. Based on these estimates, the mercury concentration in wood waste was calculated for use in the IPM analysis as follows: = (5.2*10-6 lbs/ton) * (lbs/4,560 Btu) * (ton/2,000 lbs) * (1012 Btu/TBtu) = 0.57 lbs/TBtu. Municipal Solid Waste Municipal Waste Combustors (MWCs) are subject to the New Source Performance Standards for MWCs, which require MWCs to reduce mercury emissions by about 90 percent. For the purposes of the IPM mercury analyses, EPA assumed that MWCs would achieve this reduction by the year 2005 and mercury concentrations in the MSW are assumed to be 0.08 mg/dscm. Based on this estimate, the mercury concentration of municipal waste was calculated for use in the IPM analysis as follows: = (20.9/13.9) * (0.08 mg/ dscm) * (9,570 cft/MMBtu) * (cm/35.31 cft) * (106 MMBtu/TBtu) * (Metric Ton/109 mg) * (1.102 tons/Metric ton) * (2,000 lbs/ton) = 71.85 lb/TBtu. Geothermal EPA estimates that the average mercury emissions factor for geothermal plants is estimated to be 0.00012 lbs/MWh. Assuming a heat rate of 29,425 Btu/KWh, the mercury concentration of a geothermal resource was calculated for use in the IPM analysis in the following way: = (0.00012 lbs/MWh) * (MW/1,000KW) * (KWh/29,425 Btu) * (1012 Btu/TBtu) = 4.078 lbs/TBtu A-7