Regional Approach to Climate Change Exigencies: The Ecosystem, Streamflow and Fisheries Management Perspectives 1 Albelee A. Haque, 2Shiba P. Kar, 3Xin Yuan and 4Farhana Sharmin 1 Bangladesh Environment Network (BEN)- Email:albelee_haque@yahoo.com Pennsylvania State Univ., 235 Forest Resources Bldg., Univ. Park, PA 16802 - Email:shiba.kar@psu.edu 3 UMass Amherst, Dept of Civil- Environmental Engg., Amherst, USA; 4Practical Action- BD, Dhaka 1205. 2 Abstract The purpose of this paper is to highlight the importance of a regional and watershed-based approach necessary to meet climate change exigencies in the fore of Bangladesh (BD). We present a three-prong management decision tree model embracing ecosystem function, natural streamflow and fisheries revival. The indigent populations of the Bengal delta are facing malnutrition, water shortage and related ecosystem services deprivation threats due to global climate change, as predicted by general circulation models (GCM) and rapid industrialization dependent upon fossil fuel or hydropower dam construction. The result of unplanned growth and industrialization without considering ecosystem impact is essentially environmental degradation and depletion of natural resources, such as, clean water and freshwater fisheries. The mega hydropower dams on international rivers by co-riparian nations without introspection into ecosystem consequences can impede or impair streamflow and other life-giving characteristics of the energetic rivers of the Bengal delta. The large hydropower dams are, therefore, untenable from an ecosystem and socioeconomic standpoint. The importance of natural streamflow cannot be stressed enough. Human manipulation of riverine systems by dams (unless ecologically scaled) can exacerbate climate variability and iniquity and hinder efforts to bolster natural resource protection. A region-specific approach including water diplomacy is necessary to resolve the ecosystem issues. Attention to these factors are particularly important to minimize an urbanization nightmare caused by likely influx of climate refugees. I. INTRODUCTION Climate change awareness is an indispensable part of natural resources management strategies for many nations in different parts of the world including the Gulf Coast estuaries along Texas coast in the United States (US) susceptible to changes in sediment supply [4]. Our study focuses on Bangladesh (BD) that belongs to the Ganges Brahmaputra Meghna basin. The Bengal delta and especially BD is one of the most vulnerable geographic areas [1] due to GCM predicted global climate change [13]-[15]. It is notable that the Tibetan glaciers that feed important river systems in South Asia receded 196 sq KM (1/4 the size of New York City) over the past 40 years [1]. Deltas need sediment subsidies [12] and natural streamflow can tremendously help with adaptation. This paper suggests region-specific solutions. It asserts watershedbased ecosystem approach and human adaptation to meet the climate change exigencies. Also technologybased effluent treatment plants (ETP) can help revive fisheries and reduce river pollution due to the dual Figure 1. Study Area – Bangladesh delta Courtesy: BD Assoc. of Delaware Valley, USA. impact of fast industrialization and climate impact. Indifference to the forces of nature and ecosystem functionality with outmoded policy and management style cannot help with efforts to adapt to the climate change phenomenon in this century [13] and to go forward in realizing economic growth. Although our main focus is the BD delta (Fig. 1), ecological data from other parts of the world with similar geographic features are also referred to as they are clearly relevant, given the global nature of climate change. II. HYDROPOWER DAMS, CLIMATE AND FISHERIES IMPACT Hydropower dam on rivers causing nutrient rich riparian soils that are responsible for proliferation of algae and rooted aquatic plants (macrophyte) ultimately becomes a human induced natural condition degrading water quality and limiting beneficial ecosystem uses (fishing, bathing, boating). The worst impact on ecology/aquatic biota of the southwestern US and southeastern BD [2]-[3] occurred from extensive damming of the US rivers and India’s Farakka barrage construction, respectively. These projects changed either flow characteristics or post-dam salinities [1]. Kromer-Baker and Baker, who studied the effects of temperature and current discharge, noted that algal concentrations increased up to 40-fold the levels of the 1920s since the installations of locks/dams in the Mississippi River (US), south of the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area [20]. It is notable that some researchers found up to 40% mortality of larval fish (e.g., catfish) entrained during pumping due to hydroelectric power plant operation in North America [5]. Hoover dam changed hydrodynamic characteristics creating an inverse estuary and artificially increased salinities toward the mouth of the Colorado River; many fish and aquatic species adapted to natural flooding decimated [6]. Also shift in regional climate pattern might be due to alteration of large riverine systems by dams and diversions, with major increases in surface water evaporation rates [17]. Removal of dam to restore salmon habitats and spawning, among other things, for example along the Columbia and Snake Rivers (I. Mahbubul, US Environmental Protection Agency - Region 10, pers. comm., April 2009) is becoming the new approach in the US. India and China may benefit from the US experience and opt for ecologically sustainable industrialization. On the other side, BD may not have to face water quality degradation because of the mega dams built by co-riparian nations. Lake and reservoir management for flood storage (e.g., Lake Waco in central Texas contributed >$258 million in flood damage prevention since 1964) has gained attention of authorities in various states in the US [21]. While hydroelectric dams for power and irrigation can worsen water quality and quantity problems, flood control dams only provide a pseudo sense of security when water levels rise. Stabilizing coastal shoreline with vegetation and reforestation, cyclone warning and evacuation will constitute better strategic planning to meet the fisheries management, ecosystem and habitat protection challenges (see Fig. 2). Climate Exigency (regional involvement) Riparian Vegetation (prevents erosion) – fisheries protection Effluent Treatment Plants - disinfected/treated wastewater return flows - low flow augmentation Ecosystem Protection - dam removal/ecologically scaled hydropower dams - unstated ecosystem cost consideration Figure 2. Management Decision Tree to Address Climate Change Exigencies Increased metabolism at higher temperatures leads to greater oxygen demand with accelerated decomposition at the lake-bottom and rapid oxygen depletion (may lead to death of fish and aquatic 2 species). Setting apart the climate variables (temperature, salinity), artificially raised temperatures and low dissolved oxygen due to thermal discharge from hydroelectric plants can also affect fish and aquatic species diversity [7]. Fish and rice are considered staples for agrarian BD. A country that has substantial population living below poverty line (suffering from malnutrition) could benefit from any improvements to its freshwater fisheries. The knowledge of temperature acclimation and individual adaptation to environmental changes due to damming (obstruct fish passage) of rivers and climatic conditions can help with better management models and decision tree (Fig. 2) relative to ecosystem improvement and fisheries protection. III. ECOSYSTEM PROTECTION AND FLOW CHARACTERISTICS Adaptive watershed management and technology can help us meet the climate change exigencies. Low flow and untreated or partially treated wastewater discharges promote algal accumulation and toxic blooms. Temperature plays a dominant role in influencing algal community composition and occurrence of algal toxins like the cyanotoxins [8]-[9]. High counts of dinoflagellate plankton are toxic in saltwater, but rarely toxic in freshwater. Cylindrospermopsin is a hepatotoxin (known to impact drinking water supplies in tropical/sub-tropical areas) produced by numerous strains of cyanobacteria (blue-green algae), including Cylindrospermopsis, Aphanizomenon and Lyngbya. Artificial circulation can alter algal biomass and species composition shifting phytoplankton dominance to green algae and diatoms [11][16]. Aeration can also work by creation of suitable zooplankton refuge and enhancement of phytoplankton grazing potential, most notably by the large-bodied Daphnia [10][16]. Biomass of toxin forming cyanobacteria including Microcystis aeruginosa was minimized in Lake Nieuwe Meer (The Netherlands) and Lake Palmdale (California) by artificial circulation, with a shift to less harmful or edible green algae [10]-[11]. BD is in urgent need of both technology- and watershed-based ecosystem protection measures for locally controllable pollution. Adequate wastewater collection/conveyances and treatment facilities are essential to protect the rivers and lakes/ponds. Also industrial pretreatment is necessary before discharging into sewers to avoid toxic inputs into publicly owned treatment works. Treated wastewater return flows during winter can compensate for drought flow. For example, environmental flow (EF) requirements for the Teesta in drought-prone northern BD (with significant agricultural potential) for low flow period Table 1. Teesta River Long Term Flow Characteristics (Kaunia Station) and EF Requirements (Mullick et al. 2010) 3Observed Seasons Period Flow requirements Tennant Method mean monthly (% of 1MAF) HF LF flow (m3/s) (m3/s) (m3/s) HF *1967-1990 1970 Flushing flow (200%) 1772 1772 **1991-2000 2140 Optimum range (60-100%) 532-886 532-886 ***2001-2006 1548 Excellent (50% at HF, 30% at LF) 443 266 Good (40% at HF, 20% at LF) 354 177 LF *1967-1990 169 Fair/degrading (30% at HF, 10% at 266 89 **1991-2000 152 LF) < 89 < 89 ***2001-2006 80 Poor (10%) to severely degraded <10% HF – High flow season, LF – Low flow season; *Pre-barrage, **Post-barrage I, ***Post-barrage II; 1MAF – mean annual flow based on pre-Gazaldoba (India) and Dalia-Doani (BD) barrage construction for irrigation; 2FDC Method flow requirements: HF (50th percentile) 1280 – 2180 m3/s and LF (90th percentile) 108-151 m3/s. 3Data source: Bangladesh Water Development Board; m3/s – cubic meter/sec (December – March) based on Tennant [19] and flow duration curve (2FDC) range between 89–177 m3/s and 108-151 m3/s, respectively (Table 1, Fig. 1) to maintain good to fair ecosystem condition. The pre- and post-barrage (India and Bangladesh has one barrage each) mean annual flow (MAF) calculation using 40year (1967-2006) data shows a declining trend, with severe low flow impact for post-barrage II period [18]. Thus, dam removal and adequate wastewater treatment are needed to improve ecosystem services. Furthermore, agricultural application of treated sewage sludge is common in the western countries. This will reduce the need for energy-demanding chemical fertilizers and pesticides [7]. Recycle of treated effluents for agriculture/industrial process water and discharge of very low nutrient waters to the rivers, 3 lakes and estuaries can protect freshwater and marine fisheries and ecosystem health from human watershed activity related excess nutrients and toxic pesticides and/or domestic wastewater discharges. IV. SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS While hydroelectric dams for power/irrigation can worsen low streamflow problems, flood control dams provide a pseudo sense of security. Suffice it to say, a paradigm shift embracing the ecosystem approach that calls for uninterrupted streamflow and critical regional cooperation (including diplomatic missions) is needed to avoid unnecessary damming or diversions of the shared international rivers. The Bengal delta and the entire region could benefit from natural river flows and sediment subsidies [13]. ETPs and treated wastewater return flows to rivers can also help with environmental flow requirements, with improved ecosystem services during low flow seasons in drier parts of BD. Increased river pollution and salinity issues linked to dams and GCM predicted climate destabilization [1][14] and rapid urbanization [16] can be resolved at the local and regional scales with improved knowledge and understanding of ecosystem function. This paper is a condensed version of an elaborate research based on extensive literature review. Low flow augmentation may be necessary to overcome the climate impediment for future river restoration projects in many areas of the world. The infelicitous end result of excessive damming is disappearance of ecosystem service benefits (fishing, boating) to the affluent and poor alike. The authors recommend greater collaboration among lake and river management experts, NGOs and public officials and a congruent water-energy-ecosystem policy formulation under the same governmental authority. DISCLAIMER Opinions are the authors’ and may not reflect the policy, support or endorsement by any agency ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We appreciate the comments from three anonymous reviewers and Prof. Saleh Tanveer, Ohio State University, OH, USA, which improved the preliminary draft. 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