Are you missing the next wave of Innovation? This publication was developed in partnership with Richard Sandor, CEO of the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) and Neil Eckert, CEO of the European Climate Exchange (ECX) by Karlson ‘Charlie’ Hargroves and Michael H. Smith of The Natural Edge Project (TNEP) under contract and supervision by L. Hunter Lovins and Christopher Juniper of Natural Capitalism Solutions (NCS). The lead developers were supported by Robbie Noiles, Scott Leach, Andrew Essreg, Stephen Self and Nancy Johnston of NCS and Nick Palousis, Cheryl Paten and David Marsden-Ballard of TNEP. This report is complemented by a series of training materials and best practice case studies. These case studies demonstrate the concepts briefly described in the following report. An accompanying training unit provides instructional materials to build capacity in reducing GHG’s and earning and trading CFI’s. Structure of Report 1. Executive Summary for Business 2. Management Report 3. Operations Report Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 2 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary for Business ...................................................... 8 Management Report: Operating in a Carbon Constrained World ..... 12 Section One: The New World of Carbon Trading: How Emissions Reductions Make Sense and Make Money ................................................................. 13 Section Two: GHG reductions that achieve CFI’s – best practices ................ 17 On-site Direct Emissions (ODE) ..................................................................... 17 Opportunities to reduce fossil fuel combustion ............................... 17 Non CO2 GHGs .......................................................................... 20 Efficient use of electricity ............................................................ 23 Onsite sequestration .................................................................. 24 Off-site emissions, offsets and demand management ...................................... 25 Mobile combustion ..................................................................... 25 Offset projects........................................................................... 25 Exchange Methane Offsets (XMOs) ...................................................... 25 Exchange Forestry Offsets (XFOs) ....................................................... 26 Exchange Soil Offsets (XSOs) ............................................................. 26 Demand Management .................................................................................. 27 Section Three: Whole system design capturing multiple benefits ................. 28 Section Four: The Business Case for GHG Emissions Reduction Strategies .... 31 Cost Reductions .......................................................................................... Sector Performance of Companies Reducing GHGs .......................................... First Mover Advantage ................................................................................. Good Corporate Governance ......................................................................... Reputation Management .............................................................................. Insurance Access and Costs .......................................................................... Legal Compliance ........................................................................................ Concerns Regarding Fiduciary Duty ............................................................... Shareholder Activism ................................................................................... Access to Capital ......................................................................................... Reduce Risks of Exposure to Higher Carbon Prices ........................................... 31 34 36 38 39 40 41 44 44 45 45 Conclusion ........................................................................................... 46 Operations Report: Overview.......................................................... 48 Part 1: CFI Opportunities from reducing CO2 Emissions from Energy Production and Use .................................................................. 49 Reducing CO2 Emissions from Electric Power and Steam Generation............ 49 Reducing CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion: The Benefits of CoGeneration to Business, Universities and Municipalities .............................. 52 The Benefits of Energy Efficiency for Energy Utilities ........................................ 53 Benefits of Fuel Switching ............................................................................ 62 An Historic Shift in the Energy Sector: Small is Profitable ................................. 69 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 3 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Part 2: Reducing Process Emissions (including non-CO2 emissions) in High GHG Emitting Sectors ....................................................... 74 Iron and Steel Production ....................................................................... 74 The Aluminum Sector ............................................................................ 78 Energy Efficiency......................................................................................... 80 Greenhouse Gases Reduction in the form of Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) ................. 80 Improvements in Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions from Recycling ............. 81 Waste Management ............................................................................... 82 Contributions of the Manufacturing Sector to Greenhouse Gases ....................... International Examples of Best Practice in Greenhouse Gas Reductions .............. 1. Small Manufacturer - Harbec Plastics Inc., U.S. ........................................... 2. Large Manufacturer: DuPont ..................................................................... 3. Large Manufacturer: Intel Corporation ....................................................... 84 86 86 87 88 Semi-conductor Wafer Production (PFC emissions) .................................... 89 Cement Production ................................................................................ 93 Case Study: CEMEX - leading global producer and marketer of quality cement and ready-mix concrete products. ............................................................... 96 Ammonia Production.............................................................................. 98 Organic Recycling: Case Study of the Multiple Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Reduction Strategies .................................................................................. 100 True Landfill Costs ...................................................................................... 101 Packaging for Community Profit ................................................................... 102 Ensuring Carbon: Nitrogen Balance .............................................................. 103 HFC-23 Emissions from the Production of HCFC-22 and Conversion to CO2 Equivalence ........................................................................................ 105 N2O from Adipic Acid and Nitric Acid Production ...................................... 105 Electrical Transmission Equipment (SF6 emissions) ................................. 107 Part 3: Transport Sector - Mobile Combustion .............................. 110 Universities and Municipalities .............................................................. 112 Feebates: Municipalities ....................................................................... 112 Part 4 - Offsets ............................................................................. 114 Capturing Methane from Coal Mines ...................................................... 114 Forestry Offsets Project........................................................................ 115 Soil Offsets ......................................................................................... 116 Farming Offsets .................................................................................. 117 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 4 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World TABLE OF FIGURES Figure 1: STMicroelectronics commitment to Carbon Neutrality ........................... 9 Figure 1: CCX Trading Interface .................................................................... 13 Figure 2: CCX CFI Vintage 2005 - Volume & Price ........................................... 14 Figure 3: Forward Pricing Curve .................................................................... 15 Figure 4: The Million Solar Roofs Initiative, San Francisco ................................ 18 Figure 5: Global GHG emissions for DuPont (1990 – 2002) ............................... 23 Figure 6: Onsite Sequestration ..................................................................... 24 Figure 7: ZERI Pavilion in Manizales, Columbia. .............................................. 26 Figure 8: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs. laggards in the forest and paper products sector 1999-2003. .......................................... 34 Figure 9: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs laggards in the oil and gas sector 1999-2003. .................................................................. 35 Figure 10: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs laggards in the EU electric utilities sector 2000-2003 ..................................................... 35 Figure 11: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs laggards in the USA electric utilities sector 2000-2003 ................................................... 36 Figure 12: A critical mass of enabling technologies and methods to achieve end use efficiency is creating a new wave of innovation in the energy sector. .................. 37 Figure 13: Economic insured and uninsured losses with trends. ........................ 41 Figure 14: Combined heat and power systems................................................ 51 Figure 15: Electricity Generation Comparison ................................................. 52 Figure 16: Wes Birdsall ................................................................................ 56 Figure 17 Transmission losses from electricity plants.(Source: RMI.) ................. 61 Figure 18: US Wind Resources. (Source US Department of Energy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory). ..................................................................... 64 Figure 19: Farmers can plant crops right to the base of the turbines. (Source: Warren Gretz, National Renewable Energy Laboratory) ..................................... 65 Figure 20: Rancho Seco, Sacramento ............................................................ 67 Figure 21: Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) installing domestic solar water heating systems. ................................................................................. 68 Figure 22: Maximum and average sizes of new generation units (fossil-fuelled steam utilities, 5-year rolling average) by year of entry into service. .................. 70 Figure 23: Critical mass of innovations meeting real market needs creates new waves of innovations. ................................................................................... 71 Figure 24: A new wave of innovation in the energy sector................................ 72 Figure 25: Smelting for Iron ......................................................................... 74 Figure 26: EU steel industry energy consumption per tone of finished steel vs. EU steel industry CO2 emissions per ton of finished steel. ...................................... 75 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 5 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Figure 27: Aluminum Ingots ......................................................................... 78 Figure 28: Carbon dioxide emissions from EU manufacturing sector and gross value added. ........................................................................................................ 85 Figure 29: Harbec Plastics wind turbine ......................................................... 87 Figure 30: IBM Circuit Board ........................................................................ 90 Figure 31: Business as usual PFC emissions vs. actual PFC emissions due to GHG emission reductions. ..................................................................................... 91 Figure 32: Wafer Chip, Motorola ................................................................... 92 Figure 33: Cement Industry Greenhouse Gas Emissions .................................. 93 Figure 34: Energy Consumption in U.S. cement production by fuel, 1970 to 199794 Figure 35: Carbon emissions from the U.S. cement industry by clinker production process ....................................................................................................... 95 Figure 36: The Ammonia Manufacturing Process ............................................. 98 Figure 37: CO2 separation and capture at an ammonia plant. ........................... 99 Figure 38: Map of soil degradation globally ...................................................100 Figure 39: Vertical Composting Units ............................................................102 Figure 40: CSIRO Effluent plantation project, Wagga Wagga, Australia .............104 Figure 41: SF6 emission reduction partnership emission rate trend, 1999 – 2003 .................................................................................................................107 Figure 42: Cross-Sectional View of Cold Dielectric Design of High-Temperature Superconducting .........................................................................................109 Figure 43: Ford Escape Hybrid .....................................................................111 Figure 44: Capturing methane from coal mines .............................................114 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 6 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World TABLE OF TABLES Table 0: IPCC has identified the 6 major GHGs ............................................... 21 Table 1: Reducing GHGs and Gaining CFI’s in Electric Power and Steam Generation Source: Cogeneration Technologies ................................................................ 50 Table 2: Stationary Combustion: Onsite Energy Generation other than from Electric Power and Steam Generation ......................................................................... 53 Table 3: Reduce CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion through End Use Efficiency .................................................................................................... 61 Table 4: Trends in energy use, by source, 1995-2001 ...................................... 62 Table 5: Heat and gas recovery options ......................................................... 77 Table 6: Components of net emissions for various municipal solid waste management strategies. ............................................................................... 83 Table 7: Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Manufacturing by Industry Group, 1998 84 Table 8: Electronic gas applications and climate impact ................................... 89 Table 9: Energy efficient practices and technologies in cement production .......... 97 Table 10: Abatement technologies ...............................................................106 Table 11: The greenest vehicles of 2005 .......................................................111 Table 12: Key forestry offset project types and their effect on GHGs ................115 Table 13: US EPA on Representative Carbon Sequestration Rates and Saturation Periods for Key Agricultural & Forestry Practices ..............................................118 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 7 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Executive Summary for Business CEOs surveyed by the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2000, stated that for them, “The greatest challenge facing the world at the beginning of the 21st Century – and the issue where business could most effectively adopt a leadership role - is climate change.”1 The 2005 Forum agreed. The BBC reported, “On day one of the forum, some 700 top business people and political leaders held a "town hall meeting" to decide what the world's most burning issues are. Their verdict: What worries us most are not taxes, overregulation and low-cost competition, but poverty, equitable globalisation and climate change.2 In February of 2005 the world agreed. Despite the fact that Australia and the United States yet still refuse to ratify it, the Kyoto Protocol to reduce the emissions of greenhouse gasses (GHG’s) came into force, signed by essentially all of the world’s industrial nations.1 Fortunately, enormous opportunities exist to enable businesses to address global climate change in ways that are profitable.2 Executives who embrace these opportunities will not only gain an advantage in the future “carbon-constrained” world, but will strengthen every aspect of their business. In 2000, as part of its re-branding as “Beyond Petroleum”, British Petroleum (BP) announced a corporate commitment to reduce its emissions of greenhouse gasses to 10% below its 1990 levels by 2010. This was seen as an impossibly bold move for a company entirely dependent on carbon-based fuels. In fact, BP achieved the cuts in only two years, and in the process saved itself US$650 million. While returns on traditional investments average 40-50%, investments in increasing energy efficiency often return more than 300%. Indeed, Rodney Chase, a senior executive at BP, subsequently reflected that even if the program had cost BP money, it would have been worth doing because it made them the kind of company that the best talent wants to work for.3 BP’s achievement is actually one of the less impressive corporate accomplishments in the field of reducing carbon. DuPont has committed itself to reducing GHG’s by 65% over the same time frame. The company proposed to raise revenues 6 percent per year during the ten years with no increase in energy use, and by 2010 source 10 percent of its energy and 25 percent of its feed stocks from renewable energy. Did DuPont join Greenpeace?! The company made this announcement in the name of increasing shareholder value. And indeed they are: Since 1990, DuPont has kept energy use the same and increased production by 30 percent. Globally, DuPont’s emissions of GHGs are down 67 percent. Global energy use is 9 percent below 1990 levels, and the company is on track with its renewable energy targets. It estimates that by the time it is done it will have saved about $2 billion. In one example four engineers at DuPont recently figured out how to spend a little (less than $100,000) and save a lot (more than $5 million per year in energy costs).4 141 countries have ratified the Kyoto Protocol, Seven including the U.S., Australia and Indonesia signed it but have so far refused to ratify the treaty. 2 For non-profit organizations and governments, the opportunities can be called “cost-effective”. 1 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 8 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World And even this is not the cutting edge. STMicroelectronics (ST) pledged to have zero net CO2 emissions by 2010 with a 40-fold increase in production over its 1990 levels. It set a 2010 goal of 15 percent renewable energy, 55 percent from cogeneration and 30 percent from conventional sources. By the time ST is climate neutral, it will have saved US$900 million. Perhaps more important, ST’s commitment to this goal has driven the company’s innovation, taking the company from being the number 12 chipmaker in the world to being the number 6. Figure 1: STMicroelectronics commitment to Carbon Neutrality (Source: STMicroelectronics Sustainable Development Report 2003) None of these companies were required to do this. Their leaders simply felt that it was the responsible thing to do. Companies that embark on this exciting journey find that not only does a commitment to behave in more sustainable ways cut their costs, but it can also increase worker productivity. A survey of a dozen energy savings programs that installed better lighting showed increases in labor productivity of 6 to 16 percent.5 As the business case for energy efficient strategies has improved, so has the imperative to act. The struggle to understand the science of complex carbon cycles has afforded business leaders and politicians the luxury of waiting. For better or for worse, that time has passed.3 It is gone for two reasons. The first reason, science has revealed deeper trouble and shorter timelines for solving global warming problems than had previously been thought. In January, 2005, Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, the chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the international scientific body charged with establishing the science of climate change, told an international conference in Mauritius attended by 114 governments that global warming has already hit the danger point that international attempts to curb it are designed to avoid. Pachauri, picked by the Bush Administration to head the IPCC, stated that he personally believes that the world The Kyoto Protocol was put forth by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and entered force on 16 Feb. 2005 3 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 9 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 has "already reached the level of dangerous concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere," and called for immediate and "very deep" cuts in emissions. He cited a multi-year study by 300 scientists showing that the Arctic was warming twice as fast as the rest of the world, and that its ice cap had shrunk by up to 20 per cent in the past three decades. Remaining ice is 40 per cent thinner than it was in the 1970s and is expected to disappear altogether by 2070. In January 2005, as he spoke, arctic temperatures were eight to nine degrees centigrade higher than normal. People have changed the carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere (one main cause of global warming) by 20 percent in the last four decades, and today add three times more annually than in 1960.6 The levels of carbon dioxide have leapt abruptly over the past two years, suggesting that climate change may be accelerating out of control. Pachauri stated that because of inertia built into the Earth's natural systems, the world is now only experiencing the result of pollution emitted in the 1960s, and much greater effects would occur as the increased pollution of later decades worked its way through. Carbon released into the atmosphere today will still be insulating the earth for decades. Pachauri concluded: "We are risking the ability of the human race to survive."7 Recent scientific research concludes that abrupt climate change could occur far faster than the models have predicted.4 This would increase the urgency of corporate and societal action. The second reason: to adopt an aggressive climate strategy is equally important for business. As the examples above demonstrate, competent greenhouse gas management is becoming a proxy for competent corporate governance. Leaders already capturing the sustainability advantage often start because they realize that acting now is actually a “no regrets” strategy: if climate change turns out to be real, they will already be in a leadership position in dealing responsibly with it: but even if the scientists are wrong and there is no threat to the climate, these are actions that they want to take anyway, because doing so is profitable. In a world that overwhelmingly recognizes climate change as a serious threat, behavior that ignores it is coming to be seen as irresponsible. In 2003 the Columbia Journal of Environmental Law published an article demonstrating the legal feasibility of lawsuits holding companies accountable for climate change. The effects of such litigation on companies' market value and shareowner value remains to be seen. 8 The first such suits have already been filed.5 In 2003, the Wall Street Journal reported that “With all the talk of potential shareholder lawsuits against industrial emitters of greenhouse gases, the second Tim Barrnett’s Scripps work, From November 28 to December 9, 2005 approximately 10,000 scientists, environmentalists and politicians from 180 countries will meet in Montreal to begin a debate that will, in time, possibly lead to even stronger commitments to reduce carbon emissions by 2050. These discussions will form the basis for development of a Post Kyoto Framework. 5 FoE, in conjunction with Greenpeace and several western cities, filed one of the first climate change lawsuits last year. The suit charges two U.S. government agencies with failing to comply with National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) requirements to assess the environmental impact of projects they financed over the past decade. The states of Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Maine have also filed a climate change lawsuit against another U.S. government bureau, the Environmental Protection Agency, for failing to regulate carbon dioxide emissions under the Clean Air Act. 4 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 10 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World largest re-insurance firm, Swiss Re, has announced that it is considering denying coverage, starting with directors and officers liability policies, to companies it decides aren’t doing enough to reduce their output of greenhouse gases.”9 In the United States, the new Sarbanes-Oxley Act10 makes it a criminal offense for a company board of directors to fail to disclosure environmental liabilities (including greenhouse gas emissions) that could alter a reasonable investor’s view of the organization. In France, The Netherlands, Germany6 and Norway, companies are required by law to publicly report their greenhouse gas emissions. In January 2005 an independent commission of businesspeople, politicians and scientists released a report to the G-8 meeting, urging all G-8 countries to cut carbon emissions, double their research spending on green technology and work with India and China to build on the Kyoto Protocol. The report recommended that the major countries agree to generate a quarter of their electricity from renewable sources by 2025 and to shift agricultural subsidies from food crops to biofuels. The report further recommended wider international use of emission trading schemes, which are already in use in the European Union, under which unused carbon dioxide quotas are sold. The profit motive, stated the report, is expected to drive investment in new technology to cut emissions further.11 Fortunately, it is now easier than ever for a company to reduce its emissions of greenhouse gases technically, socially and economically. The advent of carbon trading mechanisms such as the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) and European Climate Exchange (EUX) provides organizations emitting greenhouse gases both the opportunity to sell reductions in emissions, together with the ability to participate in a proven risk-management system of futures contracts and financial derivatives.7 When combined with appropriately aggressive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, this is the path to both short-term and long-term success. Making sense of climate change is synonymous with making money.12 This Management Report, and its accompanying Operations Report and Training Modules, are offered by the Chicago and European Climate Exchanges to business, non-profit organizations and government departments to present a profitable mechanism to prosper in the new carbon-constrained world. The materials provide additional resources for decision-makers, including leading-edge company and government case stories; summaries of climate change science and expected human impacts; emissions trading and regulation systems; the economics and public policy of climate change; and management frameworks for getting started. In Germany, only “heavy” industry is required to report greenhouse gas emissions. On December 12, 2003 the Chicago Climate Exchange commenced trading. Since then, major international developments have included the opening of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU-ETS) on Jan 1, 2005 and the entering into international law of the Kyoto Protocol. Approximately 29 percent of the 500 largest companies in the world (the FT500) are located in countries that are included in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme. Of those companies, approximately 32 percent have facilities covered by the EU-ETS. In the US, over 20 states have already either passed or proposed legislation on CO2 emissions, or have developed carbon registries. Clearly the carbon market is growing rapidly. 6 7 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 11 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Management Report: Operating in a Carbon Constrained World This Management Report demonstrates to managers of companies, communities and such organizations as universities and religious organizations that there are cost-effective and profitable methods to reduce emissions of greenhouse gasses (GHGs). This report describes the opportunities to enter the market now being created to create and trade carbon financial instruments, and how companies are already committing to and achieving deep cuts in greenhouse emissions as a new path to competitive advantage It discusses how in many industrial sectors, environmental leaders are outperforming laggards, and how committing to carbon responsible behavior is coming to be seen as a proxy for good governance. It discusses the social political and regulatory forces that round out the business case, describing why climate management strategy is today’s risk management strategy. The Report has three sections: Section one presents the opportunity to become a participant in the cutting edge greenhouse gas trading regimes now operating in North America and Europe. It succinctly describes the array of Climate Financial Instruments (CFI’s). Section two describes how various GHG reductions enable a member of a Climate Exchange to achieve CFI’s. It presents case studies of best practices in emissions reductions. It discusses the cost effective ways to reduce both carbon and non-carbon emissions of greenhouse gasses. It provides case examples of best practice in profitable ways to cut each of these emissions. Section three sets forth the business case for climate impact management. It documents the claims made in the Executive Summary, describing how approaching climate management wisely will improve your bottom line. It shows how organizations that take a systemic approach to incorporating strategies to reduce GHG emissions throughout the organization increase shareholder value, and better serve community stakeholders and taxpayers. It presents evidence that companies that implement climate management programs can achieve high rates of return, outperform others in their sector, reduce their risks and capture multiple benefits for the organization. It demonstrates that there is an overwhelming case for undertaking a climate management strategy Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 12 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Section One: The New World of Carbon Trading: How Emissions Reductions Make Sense and Make Money Aidan Murphy, vice president at Shell International, stated in 2000: “The Kyoto treaty has prompted us to shift some of its [Shell’s] focus away from petroleum toward alternative fuel sources. While the move has helped the company make early strides toward its goal of surpassing treaty requirements and reducing emissions to 10 percent less than 1990 levels, Shell is being driven largely by the lure of future profits… We are now involved in major energy projects involving wind and biomass, but I can assure you this has nothing to do with altruism… We see this as a whole new field in which to develop a thriving business for many years to come. Capital is not the problem, it’s the lack of ideas and imagination.”13 Into this gap stepped Richard Sandor, the creator of the Chicago Climate Exchange. The failure of the United States Senate to ratify Kyoto did not deter him. Sandor remarked “Wait a minute, governments don’t make markets, traders do. I’m a trader, let’s make a market.” And on December 12, 2003, the Chicago Climate Exchange® (CCX®) opened for trading and by July 1, 2004, had traded over 1 million tons14 of Carbon Dioxide.8 CCX is a greenhouse gas emission reduction and trading program for emission sources in the United States and offset projects in the United States, Canada, Mexico and Brazil. It is a self-regulatory, rules-based exchange designed and governed by CCX members. Figure 1: CCX Trading Interface Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a long-lived gas that is considered a 'greenhouse gas' as it retains solar energy in the atmosphere. CO2 is released as a result of combustion of fossil fuels, industrial processes and land-use changes. Carbon dioxide is the largest anthropogenic contributor to the enhanced global greenhouse effect. 8 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 13 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 The members have made a voluntary, legally binding commitment to reduce their emissions of greenhouse gases by four percent below the average of their 19982001 baselines by 2006, the last year of the pilot program. Figure 2: CCX CFI Vintage 2005 - Volume & Price (Source: Chicago Climate Exchange) CCX seeks to build institutions and skills needed to cost-effectively manage GHG emissions, and inform the debate on appropriate actions for managing the risk of global climate change. The U.S. does not yet have a mandated climate market, but over 20 states have already either passed or proposed legislation on CO2 emissions, or have developed carbon registries. On January 1, 2005, the E.U. Emissions Trading Scheme (EU-ETS), the official mandated trading regime of the European Union, came into being. This was closely followed by the creation of the European Climate Exchange® (ECX®), a whollyowned subsidiary of the CCX. The European Climate Exchange Carbon Financial Instruments (ECX CFI) listed on the International Petroleum Exchange are advanced, low-cost and financially guaranteed tools for trading in the EU ETS. ECX CFI contracts include both spot contracts (for prompt delivery) and futures contracts that allow users to lock-in prices for instruments delivered at set dates in the future. ECX CFI products help business succeed in the new carbon-constrained environment of the EU. Approximately 29 percent of the 500 largest companies in the world (the FT500) are located in countries that are included in the EU-ETS. Of those companies, approximately 32 percent have facilities covered by the EU-ETS. Clearly the carbon market is growing rapidly. Carbon trading makes activities to reduce GHG even Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 14 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World more profitable, and futures markets allow a mechanism to manage the risk of price fluctuations. Figure 3: Forward Pricing Curve (Source: European Climate Exchange) Carbon trading is similar to the common practice of banks selling home mortgages to other financial institutions: a financial instrument connected to an asset (in this case, the certified saved carbon units) can be sold to the highest bidder in a controlled and secure marketplace. The exchange requires a certification system for the asset. It provides a user-friendly interface for making the trade (keeping transaction costs low). Organizations that are efficient at developing credits (i.e., reduce emissions at least cost) can effectively sell these reductions in the form of a financial instrument to others. In addition, the creation of carbon-credit futures markets by both the CCX and EUX provides new risk management tools for managing exposure to price volatility in the emissions allowances market. The establishment of such carbon-trading systems and carbon financial instruments has created diverse opportunities for sector leaders to become carbon-credit producers and profit from supplying the sector’s laggards. A member of the Exchanges can earn Carbon Financial Instruments by reducing: Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 15 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 1. On-site direct emissions (ODE): stationary combustion: through fuel switching, including renewable energy generation;9 energy-efficiency: improvements in operational efficiency and design that reduce purchases of electricity and hence reduce the requirement for combustion; process emissions: reductions though industrial process changes, additional treatment of waste gases, and design innovation resulting in new processes to produce products with less or no emissions; and sequestration and GHG capture activities (onsite). 2. Off-site emissions, offsets and demand management: mobile combustion: reducing vehicle emissions through efficient use and fuel switching (fossil fuels used in vehicles, trucks, rail, and airplanes); offset projects: investment in activities such as forestry, soils, and methane offset projects;10 and demand management: electric utility customer energy-efficiency and peak load shaving. Most carbon-trading schemes primarily reward the reduction of direct emissions of GHGs on-site. CCX is no exception. However, companies, municipalities, schools, and churches can also save a great deal of money and indirect carbon emissions through electricity efficiency measures. Organizations that do not have direct onsite emissions still can apply to the exchange to obtain credits for the reduced use of electricity.11 This report will show that there is so much money to be saved through wise end-use efficiency that it is worth doing anyway, even if end-use efficiency is a relatively minor part of generating CFI’s through the CCX. Note that CO2 emissions associated with the combustion of renewable fuels shall be excluded from Emissions Baselines as recognized by the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX). 10 As recognized by the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX), refer to Chapter 9 of the Chicago Climate Exchange Rulebook July 2003. 11 Refer to the Chicago Climate Exchange Rulebook July 2003 for further information. 9 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 16 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Section Two: GHG reductions that achieve CFI’s – best practices On-site Direct Emissions (ODE) A growing number of companies have proved that setting GHG reduction targets drives corporate innovation, uncovers waste (unsaleable production) throughout the company, and confers competitive advantage. The Operations Report more fully develops these best practices, but the examples below provide an indication of what is possible. Opportunities to reduce fossil fuel combustion There are numerous ways that companies and other organizations can reduce their onsite GHG emissions, while improving services and cutting costs. Technologies such as co-generation, fluidized-bed combustion, integrated gas and gasification combined cycles, and supercritical steam cycle can help power stations achieve higher conversion efficiency.15 Combined-cycle generation units produce electricity and capture the waste heat energy, using it to generate more electricity or for process heat at a nearby facility. Such co-generation applications increase energy efficiency, uses less fuel, and thus produce fewer emissions per unit of service delivered. Natural gas fired combined cycle generation units can be up to 60 - 90 percent energy efficient, whereas coal and oil generation units are typically only 30 to 35 percent efficient.16 A strong case now exists for companies to invest in fuel switching away from carbon intensive fuels. The steel industry has shown the way by shifting from coal to electric-arc furnace technology, which uses only about 13 percent of the energy of the traditional process. Throughout industry, if all of the latest technological innovations are applied, 70 percent efficiency gains are technically possible17. Energy utility and power companies have been switching from oil and coal to natural gas. A strong case now exists to increase the use of renewable energy. Costs are falling for renewable such energy sources as wind, solar, mini-hydro, biomass, geo-thermal, and tidal. Wind power in areas of high average wind speed is already more cost effective (often at 3¢ per kilowatt hour) than existing coal-fired electricity.18 Around the world wind is now the fastest growing energy supply, increasing at over 30 percent per year19, and now adding more new megawatts of capacity than nuclear power did at its height (over 5 GW per year). The next fastest growing form of supply is solar photovoltaics. Significant innovations are also occurring in harnessing energy from ocean waves12 and ocean currents13. The World Energy Council estimates that "the global market for renewable energy could be $625 billion by 2010 and $1,900 billion by 2020. Non-hydro renewables are Wavegen Ltd, UK are a world leader in wave energy. They have developed and operate the world’s first commercial-scale wave-energy device that generates power for the grid. 13 Marine Current Turbines Ltd’s technology represents a novel method for generating electricity from a huge energy resource in the sea. Although the relentless energy of marine currents has been obvious from the earliest days of seafaring, it is only now that the development of modern offshore engineering capabilities coinciding with the need to find large new renewable energy resources makes this a technically feasible and economically viable possibility. 12 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 17 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 expected to grow faster than any other primary energy source to 2030, by an average of 6% per annum. Europe is being most aggressive. It aims to generate 50% of its energy needs from renewables by 2050, corresponding to some $90$135 billion."20 Renewable energy sources, long considered future technologies, can be a cost effective supply right now, even if the up front costs appear higher than continuing to use conventional fossil fuels. The book Small is Profitable, voted #1 book for 2002 by The Economist magazine, showed that there are dozens of benefits of such distributed energy systems.21 For instance, CCX member Green Mountain Power now provides the 39 percent of its energy to customers through renewable energy.22 In 1989, the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) California shut down its 1,000 megawatt nuclear power plant. Rather than invest in any conventional centralized fossil fuel plant, SMUD invested $59 million locally on energy efficiency measures to meet its citizens’ needs along with programs for renewable supply technologies as wind, solar, biofuels, and distributed technologies like cogeneration, fuel cells, etc. A recent econometric study showed that the program has increased the regional economic health by over $124 million achieving an economic multiplier of 2.11, compared to just running the existing nuclear plant. SMUD avoided spending $45 million to purchase power from other regions and added $22 million to the area’s wage-earning households, and created about 880 direct-effect jobs, 250 of which were SMUD jobs. 23 The utility paid off all of its debt and was able to hold rates level for a decade, retaining 2,000 job in factories that would have been lost under the 80% increase in rates that just operating the power plant would have caused.24 Recently the utility, under new management, has begin construction of a gas-fired plant.25 Ed Smeloff, Sacramento’s former manager, is now running the solar roofs program for the City of San Francisco.14 Figure 4: The Million Solar Roofs Initiative, San Francisco26 The Million Solar Roofs Initiative is a unique public-private partnership, aimed at overcoming barriers to market entry for selected solar technologies. The goal of the Initiative is practical and market-driven: to facilitate the sale and installation of one million "solar roofs" by 2010. (http://www.millionsolarroofs.org/index.html) 14 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 18 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World In 1997, British Petroleum (BP) became one of the first major companies, and the first oil company, to commit to significant reductions of its emissions of CO2. 27 In 2000 the company announced that it would reduce its emissions 10 percent below 1990 levels by 2010. This commitment proved to be a remarkable strategy for unleashing creativity in the workplace. At the time BP committed to the 10 percent reduction target the company only knew how to achieve 5 percent of the cut and assumed it would take ten years to achieve a further 5 percent. BP created an internal emissions trading scheme, to provide a clear incentive to the divisions of the company to act. By sending this signal to staff, the company unleashed innovation within the company and achieved its target of 10 percent in only two years. BP’s staff are encouraged to come forward with great ideas of how to be more efficient. The companies GHG reduction program is saving the company $650 million, just on energy efficiency alone, and also underpins the company’s rebranding as “Beyond Petroleum.” Senior officials now state that even if their carbon abatement program cost them money, it would be worthwhile because it makes them the kind of company that the best talent wants to work for. The ability of a company to attract and retain the best talent is one of the most significant business reasons for a corporate commitment to behaving in more sustainable ways. BP has shifted its investments from coal and heavy oils, formerly about 80 percent of BP’s hydrocarbon capacity was in that end of the spectrum, and about 20 percent in gas. BP now has about 50 percent gas and 50 percent hydrocarbons,15 and it is also now the world’s second largest manufacturer of solar cells28. STMicroelectronics (ST), a Swiss-based US$8.7 billion semiconductor company, set a goal of zero net GHG emissions by 2010 while increasing production 40-fold.29 The main sources of ST’s GHG emissions are ~45 percent energy use, ~35 percent PFC and SF6 emissions and ~ 15 percent transportation. Its strategy is to reduce on-site emissions by investing in co-generation (efficient combined heat and electricity production16) and fuel cells (efficient electricity production). By 2010 cogeneration sources should supply 65 percent of ST’s electricity with another 5 percent coming from fuel switching to renewable energy sources. The rest of the reductions ST is seeking are through improved energy efficiency (hence reducing the need for energy supply) and reforestation projects (to sequester carbon17). ST’s commitment has driven corporate innovation and improved profitability. During the A major study performed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the Gas Research Institute (GRI) in 1997 sought to discover whether the reduction in carbon dioxide emissions from increased natural gas use would be offset by a possible increased level of methane emissions. The study concluded that the reduction in emissions from increased natural gas use strongly outweighs the detrimental effects of increased methane emissions. Thus the increased use of natural gas in the place of other, dirtier fossil fuels can serve to lessen the emission of greenhouse gases in the United States 16 Conventional power stations that burn fossil fuels give off a lot of heat, wasting as much as 70% of the energy they consume. 17 In theory, a carbon-emitting activity, such as a plane flight, can be “neutralized” by planting an appropriate number of trees to absorb the CO2. By the time they’re done, they reckon they predict that they will have saved almost $1 billion 15 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 19 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 1990s its energy efficiency projects averaged a two-year payback (a nearly 71% after-tax rate of return). 18 Non CO2 GHGs Most of the examples above focused on reducing carbon emissions. But, as the ST example above shows, there are other non-CO2 gas emissions that may be even more important to reduce as well. Again, there is a strong business case for doing this. There are five classes of greenhouse gases, other than CO2, recognized by the Kyoto Protocol as causing global warming. Though allowances for these substances are not regulated by the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme until 2008, reductions of these emissions will earn CFIs from the CCX. These gases have significantly higher global warming potential than CO2. For instance, sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) has a global-warming potential 23,900 times higher than that of CO2. This means that one SF6 molecule has the same effect on warming the planet as 23,900 CO2 molecules. STMicroelectronics Environmental Report, 2001. (http://www.st.com/stonline/company/environm/report01/index.htm) Accessed February 2007. It further reported that no energy efficiency project undertaken incurred more than a three year payback. The source of the correlation of years payback to real after-tax rate of return is Hawken, Lovins, and Lovins, Natural Capitalism, p.267. 18 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 20 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Table 0: IPCC has identified the 6 major GHGs Symbol CO2 CH4 N2O HFC's PFC's SF6 Atmospher ic Lifetime (years)* Global Warmin g Potentia l Percentag e of USA Emissions 1 79.9 Name Common Sources Carbon Dioxide Fossil fuel combustion, forest clearing, cement production, etc. Methane Landfills, production and distribution of natural gas and petroleum, fermentation from the digestive system of livestock, rice cultivation, fossil fuel combustion, etc. 12 21X 9.5 Nitrous Oxide Fossil fuel combustion, fertilizers, nylon production, manure, etc. 150 310X 5.8 Hydrofluorocarbons Refrigeration gases, aluminum smelting, semiconductor manufacturing, etc. 264 Up to 11,700X Perfluorocarbons Aluminum production, semiconductor industry, etc. 10,000 Up to 9200X Sulfur Hexafluoride Electrical transmission and distribution systems, circuit breakers, magnesium production, etc. 50-200 1.8 3,200 Up to 23,900X *Standard Industry Classification (Sources: Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-846, “Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey,” and Form EIA-810, “Monthly Refinery Report” (1998); Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ‘Climate Change 2001 The Scientific Basis’, Cambridge University Press, 2001.) Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 21 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 There are a growing number of new processes that reduce emissions of non- CO2 greenhouse gases. Emissions of Nitrous Oxide (N2O) from the production of adipic acid and nitric acid can be reduced through the use of catalytic destruction, thermal destruction, or various N2O recycling/utilization technologies. Currently, the three largest adipic acid producing plants in the U.S. voluntarily control N2O emissions. Sixty three percent of production employs catalytic destruction and 34 percent uses thermal destruction. Only 3 percent of production has no N2O abatement measures. Currently, the nitric acid industry controls for NOx using non-selective catalytic reduction (NSCR), a very effective way of controlling N2O emissions. It is now recognized that under normal operating conditions, anywhere from 10 to 80 percent of the PFC gases that pass through semiconductor-wafer manufacturing tool chambers unreacted and are released into the air.19 In April 1999, the World Semiconductor Council (WSC) announced its intention to reduce PFC emissions by at least 10 percent below the industry's 1995 baseline level by year-end 2010. The semiconductor industry’s aggressive goal setting assures governments, industry suppliers, and the public of their commitment to protect the environment.30 An example of leadership in reducing such emissions is the case of DuPont. In the 1990s DuPont set itself the goal of reducing its GHGs by 65 percent by 2010. It achieved this goal in 2002, while reducing total global energy use in the company to 6 percent below 1990 levels. This saved DuPont over US$1.5 billion, compared to what it would have paid had energy use increased in proportion to increases in production.31 Setting this target encouraged the company to look for new and creative ways to reduce GHG emissions. As Charles O. Holliday Jr., chairman, CEO and chief safety, health and environment officer, DuPont stated: “Our goal for the 21st century is to become a sustainable growth company – one that creates shareholder and societal value while decreasing our environmental footprint along the value chains in which we operate. As part of our transformation we have worked hard on reducing our environmental impacts and have set aggressive targets to be attained by 2010 in the areas of energy use, greenhouse gas reductions and the use of renewable energy and feedstocks.”32 Current semiconductor manufacturing processes require the use of high Greehouse Warming Potential fluorinated compounds including perfluorocarbons (e.g., CF4, C2F6, C3F8), trifluoromethane (CHF3), nitrogen trifluoride (NF3), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), collectively termed perfluorocompounds (PFCs) 19 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 22 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Figure 5: Global GHG emissions for DuPont (1990 – 2002) (Source: DuPont) DuPont was able to achieve such significant, yet profitable, reductions in GHG emissions largely by reducing and replacing the non CO2 GHG; that is, largely through reducing the emissions of HFCs, PFCs, N2O (by 80 percent) and CH4 (Figure 3). Numerous other companies have demonstrated such reductions as well. IBM achieved a 10 percent reduction in onsite non-CO2 PFC emissions between 2000 and 200533, while also saving US$791 million, through a 65 percent reduction in CO2 emissions (1990-2002).34 The magnesium industry is in the process of phasing out SF6 by 2010 through a voluntary partnership with the US EPA and the International Magnesium Association.35 Nike is well on the way to phasing out all SF6 from its manufacturing facilities.36 Efficient use of electricity Many companies, throughout a range of industries, are increasing the efficiency with which they use electricity.37 For example, there is a potential to achieve large energy efficiency improvements in heating, ventilating and air conditioning systems (HVAC) control systems by optimizing the operation of equipment throughout the year. There has also been a considerable increase in the efficiency of boilers and furnaces. By combining control systems with higher efficiency motors and variable speed equipment, the efficiency of building ventilation systems can be improved by over 70 per cent.38 Industry examples of energy efficiency initiatives include: 1. Department of Energy's (DOE’s) solid state lighting research may produce dramatic changes in lighting technology that will fundamentally alter the way we view artificial light. Lighting currently accounts for about 20 percent of U.S. electricity consumption. The most widely used sources of artificial light are incandescent and fluorescent lamps. Solid-state lighting is a new technology that Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 23 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 has the potential to be 10 times more energy efficient than incandescent lighting. Accordingly, this technology could revolutionize the illumination of homes, offices, and public spaces.39 2. Use of dry-process cement production, which requires significantly less energy than the wet process, is growing. In addition, new cements such as the magnesium based cement offer even greater reductions by reducing furnace temperatures in production by 40-50 percent.40 3. In aluminum production, old Soderberg-type smelters, which use 18 or 19 megawatt hours of electricity per tone of aluminum, are being replaced by more efficient smelters that use 14 megawatt hours per tone. Further innovations could achieve even greater electricity savings.41 4. In the pulp and paper industry there has been a shift to mechanical pulping from chemical pulping - a process which uses about 20 percent less energy. Onsite sequestration An alternative to reducing the emissions of GHGs is trapping the emissions and “sequestering” them so that they do not enter the atmosphere. It is possible to embody carbon in trees, in soil, and perhaps underground. There are significant R&D projects underway in many countries to investigate this process. For instance, the FutureGen Project in the USA is an effort to advance carbon capture and storage technology as a way to reduce GHG emissions. The project is a US$1 billion publicprivate effort to construct the world's first fossil fuel, low-pollution climate neutral power plant. Geological carbon sequestration is being demonstrated in a six year project at the Sleipner Field in the Norwegian North Sea (see Figure 5) where approximately 1 million tons of CO2 has been injected into the oilfields each year over the last 5 years. Figure 6: Onsite Sequestration (Source: Australian Petroleum Cooperative Research Centre42) Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 24 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World An especially interesting opportunity involves “reforming” natural gas at the wellhead, separating the hydrogen from the carbon, and re-injecting the CO2 to increase the pressure in the fields to increase natural gas extraction, recovering enough additional natural gas to pay for the re-injection. A large plant would strip the hydrogen for shipment to wholesale markets via new or existing pipelines. Professor Robert Williams, of Princeton University, points out that the gas field can typically hold about twice as much carbon in the form of CO2 as it originally held in the form of natural gas. The abundant resources of natural gas (at least two centuries worth) could thus be cleanly and efficiently used in fuel-cell vehicles, and in fuel-cell powered buildings and factories, without harming the earth’s climate. The hydrogen provider would be paid three times: for the shipped hydrogen, for the enhanced recovery of natural gas, and a third time, under future Kyoto Protocol trading, for sequestering the carbon.43 Off-site emissions, offsets and demand management Mobile combustion Fleet management strategies offer opportunities to reduce cost and GHG emissions. The U.S. City of Denver, Colorado has already purchased 52 hybrid automobiles that average 45 miles per gallon during in-city driving. It also conducted a pilot project with biodiesel fuels in 2004 that achieved an estimated 78 percent lifecycle CO2 emission savings over petroleum-based diesel. The environmental benefits of the Denver pilot program of 50,000 bio-diesel gallons were projected to be 80 tons of CO2, 711 lbs of carbon monoxide, and small reductions of minor diesel pollutants.44 In 2001, Interface Inc., the world’s largest manufacturer of commercial flooring, developed a ‘green fleet program’ for company vehicles that rewards use of vehicles that have lower CO2 emissions rates.45 The company is dedicated to “resourceefficient transportation to achieve carbon neutrality by eliminating or off-setting greenhouse gas generated in moving people and products from point A to point B.”46 In addition, Interface created the Transportation Working Group, a monitoring program designed to share its best transportation practices with business units around the globe.47 Offset projects20 Exchange Methane Offsets (XMOs) The global warming impact of methane gas is 21 times that of carbon dioxide, therefore burning methane for energy can reduce GHG emissions significantly. The Chicago Climate Exchange currently recognizes Offset Projects in the U.S, Canada, Mexico and Brazil however projects that meet the CCX eligibility criteria located in other regions may be registered with CCX and the allowed use of offsets will be determined by the CCX Committee on Trading and Market Operations. (See Section 9 of the CCX Rulebook) 20 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 25 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 XMO’s can be generated by systems that measurably collect and burn landfill and agricultural methane that would otherwise be emitted into the atmosphere. The city of Toronto, Canada, has cut its greenhouse emissions 42 percent since 1990, of which 20 has come through harnessing the natural gas from landfills. The City of Toronto has earned $20-30 million in cumulative revenue through this project.48 Exchange Forestry Offsets (XFOs) A range of forestry and agriculture projects qualify as carbon-offset projects if they increase carbon embodied in forests or soil and avoid deforestation. One exiting industrial application is NEC’s use of kenaf to reinforce polylactic acid and produce a superior plastic. Kenaf is an extremely fast growing plant that absorbs more CO2 than almost any other crop. The resulting bioplastic is biodegradable. Its superior strength and heat resistance will allow its use in electronic products. NEC expects to use the new material in 2005-2006. Kenaf can also be made into paper.49 Bamboo absorbs over 40 times as much CO2 as plantation forests while growing to maturity three times faster than any other harvestable timber. Treated appropriately, bamboo can last for over 500 years. The Costa Rican Government is committed to building over 3,000 bamboo homes every year as the material is excels at coping with and surviving earthquakes, and can produce extremely cost effective homes. Architects and engineers are showing increasing interest in adopting these modern applications of bamboo as used, for example, in Balinese resorts. Bamboo is also being used in such products as flooring, wallboards and furniture.50 Figure 7: ZERI Pavilion in Manizales, Columbia51. (Source: Zero Emissions Research and Initiatives (ZERI)) Exchange Soil Offsets (XSOs) Emissions from soil disturbance can be reduced by a number of approaches such as reduced tillage, erosion control and irrigation management, changes in rotations Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 26 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World and crop cover. The IPCC estimates that improved productivity and conservation tillage can allow increases in soil carbon at an initial rate of around 0.3 tons of Carbon per hectare per year.52 The potential of carbon sequestration on a global scale is about 0.7-billion tons, 0.6-billion to 1-billion tons per year.53 Demand Management A profitable way for the energy supply sector to reduce on-site GHGs is to encourage the end-use efficiency of its clients. Some state governments have created innovative incentives to encourage utilities to increase their customers’ efficiency. The best such regulatory reform allows the utilities to retain, as increased profit, a percentage of any savings created for their clients and customers. In the late 1980’s being allowed to keep 15 percent of the savings inspired Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), the US's largest private utility, to meet all of its increased needs for capacity from efficiency and independent power production. For example, in the early 1990s PG&E announced that it would never need to build any new conventional power plants. In 1992, PG&E invested over $170 million to help customers save electricity more cheaply than the utility could make it. That investment created $300–400 million worth of savings. Customers received 85 percent of those savings as lower bills, while the utility's shareholders received the rest—over $40 million—as extra profits: the perfect win-win option for the energy supply sector.54 This market based mechanism is made possible by effectively decoupling utilities' profits from the actual quantity of kilowatt hours produced and sold, ensuring that the energy utility is no longer rewarded for selling more energy nor penalized for selling less.55 Another successful approach is for the utility regulatory body to allow all ways to reduce demand or supply new capacity to compete on the same footing. In such auctions, the utility would accept fixed firm bids to make or reduce the use of electricity for 1¢ per kilowatt-hour, then 2¢, then 3¢, etc. A utility will typically meet all of its needs at around 3¢ through efficiency and perhaps a portion of renewable supply. This method could allow utilities to ramp-down its fossil plants, building “efficiency power plants” instead.56 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 27 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Section Three: Whole system design capturing multiple benefits Most people assume that to achieve large reductions to our negative environmental impacts will cost significantly more than smaller incremental reductions. This is not necessarily true. It is possible to look at how a whole system works, and thereby find ways to improve the overall efficiency that can allow for far greater savings than if one looked only at the pieces of the system one at a time. Whole system design approaches for buildings, cars, cities, industrial plants, motors, farming and agriculture and lighting systems are the most cost effective ways to reduce GHGs. Taking this approach, the OECD states that it is relatively easy to identify technical and organizational changes that can achieve 75 percent reductions in resource use or environmental impact. The inventor Edwin Land once remarked "People who seem to have had a new idea have often just stopped having an old idea." The world’s leading interiors company, Interface Inc., experienced what Land called "a sudden cessation of stupidity" when one of its engineers, Jan Schilham undertook to redesign a standard industrial pumping loop for installation in a new Shanghai factory. The original, supposedly optimized, design needed 70.8 kW for pumping. Schilham, made two simple design changes that reduced the energy load to only 5.3 kW: a 92 percent reduction. The redesigned system cost less to build, and worked better in all respects. It required no new technology (though using better pumps could save even more energy and money). The changes involved no rocket science, but merely traditional wisdom of century-old holistic engineering. Engineering rules of thumb would limit measures to increase energy efficiency to the point at which the cost of the efficiency measure equals the energy savings that they can elicit. Sounds sensible until you consider that even greater efficiency can save not only energy but the balance of the system that delivers the energy. Often this can be smaller or non-existent. In Schilham’s case, he increased the size of the pipes through which the fluid was to be pumped far beyond the “cost effective point, because this reduced friction allowed him to significantly downsize the pumps. The savings from the lower cost of pumps paid for the fatter pipe. The second measure he took was to lay out the pipes first, so that they could be short and straight, then locate the equipment that the pipes connected – not the other way around, as is conventional practice. Typically the equipment is sited, and the pipefitters called in to connect point A to point B. The pipes go round corners, through numerous bends, and over great distances, all increasing friction and requiring every larger pumps, and attendant energy use. Why does this matter? Pumping is the biggest user of electricity worldwide. Electric motors use 3/5ths of all electricity. Each unit of friction saved in the pipe saves about ten units of fuel, cost, pollution, and climate change at the power station. More important, though, the thought process of whole-systems thinking, of optimizing for multiple benefits (not just energy savings but smaller pumps and therefore lower overall cost), applies to almost every technical system that uses Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 28 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World energy and resources. Optimizing a whole pumping system, a whole building, a whole factory or a whole economy, can typically yield resource savings of 3 to 10fold more than conventional practice, yet cost less to build. Company facilities typically use fossil fuels directly for heating and cooling, and indirectly for electricity. By adopting a whole-system approach to energy efficiency that involves pumping, building design, heating/cooling, lighting, and office machines, remarkable emissions reductions can be achieved in existing or new facilities.57 For example, at Toyota's Torrance office complex, completed in 2003, a combination of energy-efficiency strategies such as roof color, photovoltaic solar electricity, and ‘little things’ including an advanced building automation system, a utilities metering system, natural-gas-fired absorption chillers for the HVAC system, an Energy Star cool roof system, and thermally insulated, double-paned glazing resulted in the 600,000+ square foot (s.f.) campus exceeding California's stringent energy-efficiency requirements by 24 percent at no additional cost than a conventional office building.58 At the US Army's Fort Detrick, an energy performance contract will save 33,000 tons of CO2 and $2.9 million annually.59 Many participants in the voluntary US EPA performance-challenge programs (such as 33/5060 and Green Lights61) reported that re-examining their decision-making methods enabled them to capture multiple benefits. For example, Sony Electronics’ US and Mexican facilities voluntarily installed energy-efficient lighting where it was cost-effective and did not interfere with the quality of light. By the end of 1994, the organization had upgraded approximately 6.1 million square feet of floor space with new lighting fixtures, reduced its operating expenses by more than $915,000 per year, and lowered energy demand by almost 12 million kilowatt hours annually. In addition, these lighting changes indirectly prevented more than 7,300 tons of air pollution from being emitted by local utility companies.62 Sony found its participation in the EPA's Green Lights program to be very advantageous. Lighting retrofits often improve visual performance so significantly that they can lead to significant increases in labor productivity and reductions in error rates. The financial benefits from this far outweigh the value of the energy savings. For example, Boeing implemented a lighting system retrofit in its design and manufacturing areas. The program cut lighting energy costs by 90 percent with a less than 2-year payback, but because workers could see better they avoided rework – the error rate decreased 30 percent – increased on-time delivery, and enhanced customer satisfaction..63 In another example, Lockheed commissioned a new headquarters building for its Sunnyvale facility. The architects successfully argued that the “literium” that provided day-lighting throughout the structure was not merely an amenity, but was essential to the performance of the building. They were right: the lighting system resulted in a 75 percent reduction in lighting energy usage. This contributed to enabling the building to use half the energy of a comparable standard building. The different design added US$2 million to the cost of the building, the reason the “value engineers” sought to eliminate it from the design. However, it is saving Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 29 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Lockheed $500,000 per year worth of energy, or a 4-year payback. More importantly though, because workers enjoyed the space absenteeism dropped by15%, and productivity increased 15%. The gains from this won Lockheed a very competitive contract, the profits from which paid-off the entire costs of the building.64 Such energy savings programs can lead to increases in worker productivity as well as energy savings. It appears that people simply perform better in well designed spaces. In 1987 the NMB Bank in The Netherlands completed a new the 538,000 square foot headquarters. The bank’s management, desiring to improve the somewhat stodgy image of the company, commissioned the creation of a “green headquarters.” The building uses 10 percent of the energy of a similar building constructed at the same time. The annual energy savings of $2.9 million requiring only $700,000 additional building cost - a three month payback on energy costs alone. Employees report being more comfortable and absenteeism is down 15 percent, dramatically increasing project return on investment. The new headquarters achieved its goal: it dramatically improved the image of the bank which became the number two bank in the Netherlands, renamed itself ING and subsequently bought Barings.65 Small office buildings can achieve similar savings. A 2,800 square foot law office remodeling in Louisiana improved employee productivity with energy systems that save over $6,000 and 50 tons of CO2 emissions per year.66 A study by Pacific Gas and Electric showed that in good “green design” buildings, daylighting can enable students to achieve 20 to 26 percent higher test scores, and retail stores to have up to 40 percent higher sales than conventional stores.67 Whole system design can also assist companies to develop new products and achieve real product differentiation in the market. The Toyota Prius hybrid car, now in its second generation, achieves 63 percent more miles per gallon than other cars of its size. In the United States, the Prius has been backordered since its debut in late 2003 and has dramatically exceeded Toyota’s sales projections. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 30 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Section Four: The Business Case for GHG Emissions Reduction Strategies Companies that address GHG emissions, especially in the context of a broader whole-system corporate sustainability strategy, will achieve multiple benefits for shareholders beyond reducing their contribution to global climate change. Governments that take a similar course of action will accrue similar benefits to their citizen stakeholders.68 These include: 1. Energy and materials cost savings in: - industrial processes; - facilities design and management; - fleet management; and - government operations. 2. Enhanced core business value: - sector performance leadership; - first mover advantage; - improved corporate governance; - enhanced reputation and brand development; - insurance access and costs; - legal compliance; - exposure to increased carbon regulations; - reduced shareholder activism; - access to capital; - reduced risks of exposure to higher carbon prices; and increased employee productivity, retention, improved communication, creativity, and morale in the workplace. - Cost Reductions Even businesses that do not, as yet, see climate change or the control of GHG emissions as a threat can reduce their costs and increase their competitive advantage through GHG reduction measures. Energy-efficiency initiatives that renovate outdated processes can create simultaneous improvements in resource productivity and economic performance. Research on energy decision making has indicated that decisions to run or retire a facility are often based on the inaccurate assumptions that equipment should be used until fully depreciated, instead of being replaced when more competitive energy-efficient processes are available. This is Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 31 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 simply bad economics. A policy that leads firms to re-examine the assumptions underlying inefficient manufacturing processes will lead firms to discover opportunities for simultaneously reducing costs and GHG emissions.69 3M is an organization world-renowned for its innovation. What is less well known is that 3M achieved a 50 percent reduction in worldwide GHG emissions between 1990 and 2004, and has saved $200 million since 1973 from their environmental strategies. 70 Since 1995, 65 percent of this 50 percent reduction was achieved through implementing energy efficiency solutions and 35 percent came from improvements in process and products. Much can be done to reduce GHGs profitably with the equipment and technologies now on the market and thousands of companies globally are doing so. A vast body of experience exists, both through government-funded programs and worldwide business practice, demonstrating the multiple cost-savings benefits and reduced risks for businesses pursuing GHG emissions reductions.21 Leading corporations such as Dow Europe, Mitsubishi Electric, Panasonic, Sony, Matsushita, and aerospace company Pratt and Whitney are committing to 50-75 percent more reductions in material and energy carbon intensity, otherwise known as “Factor 2” and “Factor 4” reductions respectively. They see such commitments as a powerful strategy to gain a competitive advantage.71 The Center for Energy & Climate Solutions (Arlington, VA) points out that such leading businesses are earning the equivalent of 40 to 50 percent returns on energy-saving investments.72 STMicroelectronics averaged a 300 percent return on investment (ROI) in efficiency projects throughout the 1990s. An energy efficiency project at a 30-year old DuPont ethylene plant has produced extraordinary results. In 2003, re-engineering turned a capital investment of less than $75,000 into annual energy savings of $6.8 million per year. The following year two more projects have saved another $9.5 million per year with internal rates of return exceeding 100 percent.22 Heavy industry is also achieving remarkable savings. For instance, in the aluminum sector, Alcan (UK) has achieved a 65 percent reduction in GHG emissions. Similar results are emerging in other sectors. Universities are demonstrating that significant financial savings are possible through wise GHG reduction strategies, which is a good thing as universities can be significant emitters. A recent Yale University study reports that the school emits more GHGs than 32 developing countries. Some 84 percent of Yale's emissions come from on-campus power plants. The report Green Investment and Green Return73 showed that a large University could, in principle, save up to $17 million annually if it implemented best practice in GHG reduction strategies. www.coolcompanies.org is a project of the non-profit Center for Energy & Climate Solutions. The Center was founded in 1999 by Dr. Joe Romm – former Under Secretary for Energy Efficiency and Renewables at the US Department of Energy – to promote clean and efficient energy technologies as a money-saving tool for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and other pollutants. The Center helps businesses, government, and environmental organizations develop technological, strategic, financial, and regulatory tools to foster the adoption of clean solutions 22 Dawn Rittenhouse, DuPont Director of Sustainable Development, correspondence of 14 March, 2005. For more information, see the DuPont Case Story of this Report. 21 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 32 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World The report cites the following leading examples: The State University of New York-Buffalo saved over $9 million with a clever mix of wise energy-saving strategies. This allowed the university to prevent 63.4 million pounds of emissions of carbon dioxide, 140,000 pounds of sulfur dioxide, and 214,000 pounds of nitrous oxide. - Cornell University worked with local public transport companies to greatly increase patronage by students and faculty to delay the need to build another vertical car park. "Getting students out of the car" saved them over $3 million and also indirectly saved 417,000 gallons of gas, preventing GHG emissions of 6.7 million pounds of carbon dioxide. - Brevard Community College saved more than $2 million through energyefficiency strategies and has been dubbed "the energy miracle" by its local utility company, Florida Power & Light. - Municipal and local governments are also reducing GHG and saving money. Communities are achieving from 5 to 50 percent reductions in GHG emissions, for example: Toronto, Canada, will achieve a 20 percent GHG emission reduction by 2005 over 1990 levels simply by capturing methane emissions from the city’s landfills and using them for energy production. This has earned the city between $20 to 30 million (Canadian dollars) in cumulative revenue.74 Strategies like building retrofits and efficient street lighting are enabling Toronto to achieve a 42 percent reduction in carbon dioxide emissions by 2005 over 1990 levels. These strategies have saved the city an additional $17.5 million (Canadian).75 - Heidelberg, Germany, achieved a 30 percent reduction in energy usage through retrofitting buildings and achieved a $1.5 million reduction on municipal fuel bill.76 - Woking Borough Council, England, has used a variety of programs to achieve a 43.8 percent reduction in energy consumption over 1990 levels. They used a wide range of onsite, offsite and offset GHG reduction strategies. Woking even introduced a carbon-offset charge for the use of car parks. Their program for reducing CO2 emissions from council-owned vehicles and facilities has achieved an amazing reduction of 96,588 tons of CO2.77 - Globally, over 300 cities are achieving significant GHG savings as part of the International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives (ICLEI) Cities for Climate Protection program. Five hundred local governments are participating in the campaign, representing 8 percent of global GHG emissions.78 Institutions such as churches are also reducing their costs through energy efficiency. Co-founders of the Episcopal Power and Light (IPL) program,79 Rev Sally Bingham, Steve MacAusland, and others are mobilizing religious communities to promote renewable energy, energy-efficiency and conservation. Episcopal Power and Light assists churches to implement energy-efficiency strategies and to purchase their electrical power from companies that generate it from renewable sources. In the Diocese of California, 50 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 33 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 percent of Episcopal churches are now more energy-efficient and are buying green energy. In 2001, Bingham and MacAusland co-founded California Interfaith Power and Light (CIP&L),80 which helps people of faith in California to organize and promote positive environmental change around energy and global warming. They are now working to establish Interfaith Power and Light programs81 in every state. Sector Performance of Companies Reducing GHGs Companies with good corporate environmental governance and proactive stances on GHG reductions generally out-perform the rest of their sector, according to data across numerous sectors.82 These studies show the average share price movement of firms with strong climate change responses (or an “above average carbon rating”). Such companies outperform the lagging companies in that sector (those with “below average carbon rating”). In the forest and paper products sector, the performance difference was 43 percent over a four-year period.83 (see Figure 7.) Figure 8: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs. laggards in the forest and paper products sector 1999-2003. (Source: Innovest Group84) The same is true in the oil and gas industry, where companies with a pro-active climate/carbon management strategy (plotted in light green) outperformed their peers (plotted in light blue) by 11.8 percent over a 3-year period.85 (See Figure 8.) Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 34 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Figure 9: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs laggards in the oil and gas sector 1999-2003. (Source: Innovest Group86) Sectors such as pulp and paper and oil and gas both have significant GHG emissions, but the energy-supply sector (electric utilities) is the largest single source of global GHGs. In this sector, in 3 of the last 4 years for which there are figures, the percentage change in total return to environmentally leading electric utilities was 39 percent above that of environmentally below average energy utility performers. (See Figure 9.) Figure 10: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs laggards in the EU electric utilities sector 2000-2003 (Source: Innovest Group87) Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 35 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Electric utilities in the U.S. exhibited the same pattern. (See Figure 10.) Figure 11: Percentage change in total return of environmental leaders vs laggards in the USA electric utilities sector 2000-2003 (Source: Innovest Group88) First Mover Advantage Investing in innovative technologies and/or new emerging markets is often perceived as risky. That is why wise companies strategically position themselves for market opportunities from real changes in demographics, consumer trends or government policy that will underpin the creation of new markets. History has shown that, for instance, the Montreal Protocol significantly helped DuPont to improve global market share as it had already innovated new non-ozone destroying chemicals.89 Similarly those companies that have strategically positioned themselves to be ready for the new carbon-constrained world can expect to do well given that the Kyoto Protocol has been ratified. The Kyoto Protocol coming into effect on February 16, 2005, will ensure that there is a growing market for technologies that help reduce GHG emissions. The World Energy Council estimates that the global market for renewable energy could be $625 billion by 2010 and $1,900 billion by 2020. Non-hydro renewables are expected to grow faster than any other primary energy source to 2030, by an average of 6 percent per annum. Europe is being most aggressive with its aim of generating 50 percent of its energy needs from renewables by 2050, equating to some $90-$135 billion.90 In 1998, the Royal Dutch Shell external relations newsletter, Shell Venster, stated that “In 2050, a ratio of 50/50 for fossil/renewables is a probable scenario, so we have to enter this market now!” Shell’s “Dynamics as Usual” scenario found it plausible that renewables would supply 20 percent of world energy by 2020, and a third by 2050. Their more aggressive scenario, “Spirit of the Coming Age,” found a transition to a hydrogen Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 36 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World economy plausible by 2050, driven in part by a Chinese conversion to hydrogen.91 In 1995, London’s Delphi Group began advising its institutional investment clients that alternative energy industries offer “greater growth prospects than the carbonfuel industry.”92 Leading companies, communities, universities, and churches are finding that making a serious commitment of management attention to reducing their emissions of GHGs is leading them into new markets, introducing them to new ways to solve problems, and is thus driving their innovation as an organization. The growing number of technologies and climate solutions internationally are forming a new wave of innovation. Since the first industrial revolution, technologies have driven innovation and created the basis of economic activity and prosperity. Building on from the IT revolution, the group of technologies that might collectively be called “green technologies” offer an enormous opportunity for existing and new enterprises to increase competitive advantage, enhance shareholder value, satisfy stakeholder concerns, improve delivery of services, and operate facilities affordably.93 Figure 12: A critical mass of enabling technologies and methods to achieve end use efficiency is creating a new wave of innovation in the energy sector. (Source: Adapted from Hargroves, K and Smith M (2005)94) Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 37 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Even such traditionalist commentators as Michael Porter have forecasted that there can be a significant first mover advantage for companies that take advantage of such opportunities. “Our central message is that the environment-competitiveness debate has been framed incorrectly. The notion of inevitable struggle between ecology and the economy grows out of a static view of environment regulation, in which technology, products, processes, and customer needs are all fixed. In this static world, where firms have already made their cost-minimizing choices, environmental regulation inevitably raises costs and will tend to reduce the market share of domestic companies on global markets. Managers must start to recognize environmental improvement as an economic and competitive opportunity, not as an annoying cost or an inevitable threat. Environmental progress demands that companies innovate to raise resource productivity - precisely the new challenge of global competition. It is time to build on the underlying economic logic that links the environment, resource productivity, innovation, and competitiveness.”95 Good Corporate Governance The challenges posed by climate change warrant a serious commitment of management attention. Responses to the climate change issue have significant short-term and long-term implications for competitive advantage, shareholder value, satisfaction of stakeholder concerns, delivery of services, and ability to operation facilities affordably.96 CEOs and management who do not seriously address their GHG emissions face significant risks. Conversely, there are also remarkable opportunities for improved profitability and image enhancement for those that implement the best practices to reduce emissions. There are numerous reasons why it is now vital for companies respond to the challenge of global warming. One of the most significant is that a company’s proactive strategy to address climate change is coming to be seen as an indicator to shareholders, the investment community, banks, and the broader community of good governance. Numerous companies already recognize this and have addressed this at board level.97 Innovest Strategic Value Advisors have found that 85 percent of studies show a positive correlation between environmental governance and financial performance.98 “How companies perform on environmental, social, and strategic governance issues is having a rapidly-growing impact on their competitiveness, profitability, and share price performance,” said Dr. Matthew Kiernan, founder and CEO of Innovest Strategic Value Advisors.99 Leading companies are beginning to build real accountability into their top-level structures. Alcoa, for instance, formally linked environmental accountability with performance expectations and compensation in 2000. Its Primary Metals Group has linked compensation to reductions in perfluorocarbon (PFC) emissions and has hired third parties to verify its emissions baseline and annual inventory of GHGs. DuPont started a senior management level environmental leadership council in the early Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 38 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World 1990s. In 2002, International Paper launched a senior-level climate change task force. Ford Motor Company has a strategy and business governance committee, comprised of senior managers, that submits annual GHG emissions data to the board of directors for review. Reputation Management In an internet-empowered world, corporations and organizations can have their activities broadcast to an audience of millions, and risk losing their reputation overnight. A 2004 survey of some of the world’s leading CEOs, undertaken by the World Economic Forum at Davos, found that the responding leaders felt that corporate reputation is now a more important measure of success than stockmarket performance, profitability, and return on investment. Only the quality of products and services edged out reputation as the leading measure of corporate success. Fifty-nine percent of the respondents estimated that corporate brand or reputation represents more than 40 percent of a company’s market capitalization.100 A February, 2005, Los Angeles Times article reported, “Aided by the internet, activists can swiftly spread the word about alleged corporate misdeeds and enlist help from like-minded people in other countries. They have become more adept at fundraising; some organizations that once ran on a shoestring [now] have large and global staffs, replete with lawyers, researchers, and webmasters. Many have expanded their use of financial tools - buying company shares and pressing for shareholder resolutions, for example - honed during the fight against companies doing business in apartheid-era South Africa in the 1970s and '80s.”101 The 2004 Carbon Disclosure Report stated that Exxon Mobil is at significant brand risk due to its stance on climate change. Companies like Shell have learned from controversies in the mid 1990s not to put their brand at such a risk, and were among the first to leave the Global Climate Coalition in 1998 (the corporate financed organization that sought to convince the public that climate change was a myth, that action to mitigate it would be financially ruinous, and that Kyoto should be rejected). Shell has since invested strongly in renewable energy, energy efficiency, and in such projects as Iceland’s national hydrogen project.102 The World Business Council for Sustainable Development warns, "There are many examples of corporations that have seen dramatic impacts on their market valuation when being accused of child labor, human rights abuses or environmental damage."103 Companies must face the fact that “nongovernmental organizations, as citizen activist groups are often called, rank as the most trusted institutions in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and much of Asia, according to the Edelman Trust Barometer, a survey of 1,500 global opinion leaders by public relations firm Edelman. The biggest jump was in the U.S., where the "trust ratings" of NGOs soared to 55 percent in 2005 from 36 percent in 2001. At the same time, public regard for corporate executives and government officials has fallen, according to the survey, which was released at this year's World Economic Forum. Tarred by Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 39 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 corporate scandals, chief executives and financial officers are viewed as credible sources by only 3 of 10 opinion leaders in the U.S., Europe, and Japan.”104 NGO’s, investors and regulators are increasingly targeting climate mitigation as a minimum requirement for a company to retain its franchise to operate. "Retention of top talent is a top priority.” In early 2004, PricewaterhouseCoopers' "Trendsetter Barometer" interviewed CEOs of 387 privately held product and service companies identified in the media as the fastest growing US businesses over the last five years. Asked the top factors critical for success over the next 12 months, an overwhelming 78 percent of "Trendsetter" CEOs pointed to retention of key workers."105 Insurance Access and Costs Climate-change strategies are gradually becoming vital for companies that wish to avoid difficulties in obtaining appropriate business insurance. Swiss Re has publicly stated that they may start to review their willingness to provide CEOs with professional indemnity insurance based on their efforts to reduce GHG emissions. “Emissions reductions are going to be required. It’s pretty clear,” Christopher Walker, managing director for a unit of Swiss Re recently told the Wall Street Journal. “So companies that are not looking to develop a strategy for that are potentially exposing themselves and their shareholders.”106 The trends of increasing natural disasters leading to increasing economic and insurance losses (shown in Figure 8) became dramatically worse in 2004. According to a survey by global insurance giant Munich Re, economic losses from natural disasters – including hurricanes, floods, bushfires, quakes, and tsunamis – topped $184 billion. Insured losses exceeded $56 billion, making it the most expensive insurance loss year ever. Of particular concern was the level of atmospheric and weather-related events. More than $50 billion of the insurance losses were sustained in four hurricanes in the Caribbean and east coast of the U.S., and a record 10 tropical cyclones that hit Japan. Higher ocean temperatures are more suitable for hurricane formation (especially major hurricanes), while low temperatures are associated with less active hurricane seasons.107 Therefore, Munich Re's head of geo risks research, Professor Peter Hoppe, said that "a correlation between global warming and the considerable rise in the number of extreme weather events is becoming increasingly plausible".108 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 40 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Figure 13: Economic insured and uninsured losses with trends. (Source: Munich Re Annual Review, 2002 © Munich Re Group, E&F/Geo 2002) In 2004, Reuters reported, “The world’s second-largest re-insurer Swiss Re warns that the costs of global warming threaten to spiral out of control, forcing the human race into a catastrophe of its own making. In a report revealing how climate change is rising on the corporate agenda, Swiss Re said the economic costs of global warming threatened to double to $150 billion a year in 10 years. There is a danger that human intervention will accelerate and intensify natural climate changes to such a point that it will become impossible to adapt our socio-economic systems in time, Swiss Re said in the report. The report comes as a growing number of policy experts warn that the environment is emerging as the security threat of the 21st century, eclipsing terrorism.”109 Legal Compliance A proactive approach to reducing carbon emissions is vital to avoid future lawsuits, especially in carbon-intensive industries. Eight U.S. states and New York City have filed a lawsuit against five U.S. power companies for their contribution to global warming. The states, invoking a long-held “public nuisance” law aimed at protecting property owners from the actions of their neighbors, have joined together to try to force the utility companies to reduce their CO2 emissions by at least 3 percent per year for the next decade. “If we do not act soon, the steps we will need to take to prevent global warming will be much greater and much harder,” says New York attorney general Eliot Spitzer.110 Others in the legal community have demonstrated Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 41 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 the feasibility of tort lawsuits holding companies accountable for climate change, based on clear global-warming effects, from melted permafrost to statistical models linking climate change to coastal property damage.111 Table 2: Government targets for GHG reductions. (Source: Prepared by the Pew Center on Global Climate Change, August 2004. Entity Target Notes and source United States: State and Regional Maine: State-wide 1990 levels by 2010 LD 845 (HP 622) 10% below 1990 by 2020 Climate Massachusetts: State- 1990 levels by 2010 10% Massachusetts Protection Plan of 2004 wide below 1990 by 2020 Massachusetts: Electric Utilities 10% below 1997-1999 CO2 target only. 310 CMR 7.29 New Hampshire: 1990 levels by 2006 Electric Utilities CO2 target only. HB 284 New wide Administrative Order 1998-09 Jersey: State- 3.5% below 1990 by 2005 New York: State-wide 5% below 1990 by 2010 State Energy Plan of 2002 10% below 1990 by 2020 New Governors Eastern Premiers: Regional wide England 1990 levels by 2010 10% Climate Change Action Plan of and below 1990 by 2020 2001 Canadian 75-85% below 2000 longterm economy- Bush Administration 18% below 2002 intensity Announced 2/14/2002 Target Pew Center Analysis levels by 2012 (Voluntary) Proposed Legislation Federal Climate Stewardship 2000 levels by 2010 Act of 2003 (McCainLieberman) SA. 2028 Climate Stewardship 2000 levels by Act of 2003 (McCain- 1990 levels by 2016 Lieberman) S. 139 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 42 of 124 As voted on Pew Center Analysis 8/2003 2010 As introduced 1/2003 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World International: Australia 8% above 1990 by 2008- Kyoto Target 2012 Canada 6% below 1990 by 2008- Kyoto Target 2012 European Community 8% below 1990 by 2008- Kyoto Target 2012 Japan 6% below 1990 by 2008- Kyoto Target 2012 New Zealand 1990 levels by 2008-2012 United Kingdom 20% below 1990 by 2020 CO2 target only. Energy White Paper of 2003 60% below 1990 by 2050 European Community Kyoto Bubble Target for 2008-2012 Targets23 Austria 13% below 1990 Belgium 7.5% below 1990 Denmark 21% below 1990 Finland 1990 levels France 1990 levels 75%by 2050 Germany 21% below 1990 Greece 25% above 1990 Ireland 13% above 1990 Italy 6.5% below 1990 Luxembourg 28% below 1990 Netherlands 6% below 1990 Portugal 27% above 1990 Spain 15% above 1990 Sweden 4% above 1990 60% by 2050 United Kingdom 12.5% below 1990 Kyoto Target European Community Council Decision of April 2002 The EU-15 nations have joined a "bubble" which allows the joint fulfillment of emissions commitments and preserves the collective emissions reduction goal of 8% below 1990 levels by 2008/2012 23 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 43 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 In a New York Times article in 2002, Christopher Walker, managing director of a group that assesses the insurance risks of GHG at the New York offices of Swiss Re, stated: "Our concern is, will there be a shareholder action 5 or 10 years from now?" In particular, he said, emissions reduction is shaping up as a "clear liability issue" for corporate managements and boards.112 Concerns Regarding Fiduciary Duty A growing number of fund and pension plan managers are expressing concern over the long-term economic implications of the risks of climate change. Recent events have sensitized Wall Street to the possibility of off balance-sheet risks to the extent that many fiduciaries now believe that prudence and legal duties compel them to examine the issue in greater detail. On November 21, 2003, Connecticut State Treasurer, Denise Nappier and the Coalition for Environmentally Responsible Economies (CERES) convened the Institutional Investor Summit on Climate Risk at the United Nations headquarters in New York City. Attendants representing the investment, financial, and corporate communities concurred that GHGs, global warming, and climate-change risks are material matters that warrant the attention of those with fiduciary responsibilities. The summit resulted in the formation of the Investor Network on Climate Risk (INCR), a coalition of ten state and city treasurers, comptrollers, and labor pension funds that collectively manage over $1 trillion in assets. Under Sarbanes-Oxley, the new corporate disclosure law passed in the U.S. in the wake of the various corporate financial scandals, failure to disclose material liability from environmental concerns could subject corporate management to criminal penalties. Trends Report stated: “Companies will put themselves at great risk if they do not have adequate internal systems in place to make an appropriate determination of potential environmental costs and liabilities and the need for disclosure of this information… This will necessarily include reviewing pending or threatened litigation, current regulatory obligations, emerging trends, and potentially, new environmental regulations. They will also ensure that senior corporate managers are involved in the evaluation of all information required to assess these costs and liabilities, and that these managers are competent to understand the significance of this information.”113 Shareholder Activism The Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) is an example of the now significant shareholder activism is putting immense pressure on corporations to act. It is a British Government-sponsored program that requires corporate members to publicly disclose data on their carbon emissions. The CDP sent its third information request to the FT 500, the largest companies in the world, on February 1, 2005. This third Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 44 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World information request was signed by 143 significant institutional investors who represented assets of $20 trillion. The CDP includes such significant players as State Street Global Advisors, Credit Suisse, UBS, and Merrill Lynch Investment Managers. This is reflected in the record number of global warming resolutions that have been filed by shareholders for the 2005 proxy season.114 Access to Capital Institutional pension funds now have assets totaling $15.3 trillion. Some of the largest pension funds, such as the California Public Retirement System (CalPERS), have chosen to take a very strong stance on issues like GHGs. On February 14, 2005, CalPERS, a $182 billion retirement system, said its investment staff could evaluate the fund's portfolio companies in terms of any environmental liabilities they might pose. CalPERS approved a proposal by state treasurer Phil Angelides to require all companies in the fund's $180 billion portfolio to join the Carbon Disclosure Project. CalPERS also pledged to use its clout as a major shareholder to press companies to go beyond the project's obligations by making actual cuts in those emissions. Under the plan, utility companies, along with car makers, would come under scrutiny because of greenhouse gas emissions.115 Programs to abate GHG emissions can also help financial institutions gain brand equity. In December 2004, HSBC, one of the world’s largest banks announced its commitment to be the first major bank to go “carbon neutral” in a program that may cost up to $7 million in the first year. A report on the move stated, “HSBC's commitment to carbon neutrality - which involves reducing energy use, buying green electricity, and then offsetting the remaining carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by investing in carbon credit or allowance projects - is part of a package of environmental measures announced by the bank to help tackle climate change.” The package also includes a three-year, £650,000 partnership with Newcastle University and the University of East Anglia (UEA) to research climate change, society's awareness of the issues, and to develop technologies to overcome some of the problems identified. Steve Howard, chief executive of The Climate Group, said: “HSBC's decision sets a new benchmark for the financial sector. They will gain a deeper insight into the emerging low carbon economy and be exceptionally well placed to understand the needs of, and opportunities for, their clients.”116 Reduce Risks of Exposure to Higher Carbon Prices Companies that do all they can to reduce their GHG emissions are reducing the risk of higher energy and carbon allowance or credit prices in the future, and are protecting shareholder value. Innovest’s research suggests that even a 5 percent shift in energy prices could impact per share earnings by as much as 15 percent in energy intensive industries.117 Two-thirds of EU utilities expect wholesale electricity prices to rise by up to 20 percent. According to Innovest’s research, higher Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 45 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 electricity prices across the E.U. could mean additional costs of almost $720 million per year for the European steel industry, $600 million for the pulp and paper business, and $350 million for the cement, lime and glass industries. Energy riskmanagement and energy-efficiency initiatives are clearly now important strategic measures. Conclusion Far from being a burden, recent studies in the United Kingdom and Australia show that deep cuts in carbon emissions are achievable and affordable. Organizations in the U.S. have also undertaken studies on how to reduce greenhouse emissions significantly over the next 30-50 years,118 while in the U.K. the Blair Government has released a detailed plan for how a 60 percent reduction in emissions might be achieved. There are now over 13 major studies showing how nations could achieve deep cuts in greenhouse emissions cost-effectively and even profitably.119 In a landmark speech, Tony Blair remarked that: “(The Scientists have) said that by using known technologies, or those very close to market, the world could reduce emissions by over 60 percent. This would not involve huge shifts in the economy, or enormous changes in lifestyles. It would allow developing countries to increase emissions, in the medium term, on a conventional development path. And it could be achieved gradually, over a period of years by 2050. There is huge potential from wind, wave and other renewable technologies. Improving the efficiency with which we operate our energy processes also offers enormous savings - up to half our energy use could be saved by the use of known efficiency techniques.” Prime Minister Blair has indicated that Britain will champion this emerging postKyoto framework through his position as the chair of the next G8 meeting, and Britain’s position as acting head of the E.U. Even a cautious study by the U.K.’s Department of Trade and Industry concluded that the economic costs of reducing emissions in the U.K. would be small, costing approximately six months of GDP between now and 2050.120 These calculations make no effort to tabulate the benefits of climate action. The study found that, if phased in over 50 years, the economic impacts do not impose significant costs on the economy; rather, it can create more energy-efficient businesses, less congested traffic in our cities, and new export opportunities for firms and nations that lead. European nations such as the U.K., Sweden, France, Denmark, and The Netherlands have already made significant reduction commitments of approximately 60 percent by 2050. For example, Sweden, having made this commitment, has called for a European-wide target of 60 percent by 2050. France has also taken a very aggressive position regarding its longer-term commitment, promising to reduce emissions by 75 percent by 2050. Denmark, meanwhile, has renewed its commitment to a 21 percent reductions target by 2010, with wind already generating 20 percent of its electricity needs. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 46 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Globally, numerous companies and communities are achieving their GHG reduction targets ahead of schedule, and are achieving higher than expected returns on investment. In the U.K., a range of companies, many from the heaviest industrial sectors, have committed to 12 percent reductions by 2010. The U.K. Government signed 10-year Climate Certification Agreements (CCA) in 2000 with 44 industry sectors, representing more than 5,000 companies. They include the U.K.'s most energy-intensive industries: steel, aluminum, cement, chemicals, paper, and food and drink. Of 12,000 individual sites covered by CCAs, 88 percent met their targets and have had their reductions renewed. The most successful climate-change companies, from energy-intensive DuPont and BP to consumer products companies like Nike and Interface, are using climate mitigation strategies to conduct profitable transformations in their businesses. With the advent of carbon dioxide trading through the Kyoto Protocol and the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme, and the capabilities of the CCX and ECX to mitigate risks through futures markets and derivatives, business and government organization managers have the opportunity to explore the business case for systematic approaches to climate change. Such strategies make sense, and make money. Far from being a burden, strategically addressing GHGs can be a catalyst for dramatic improvements for business performance, facilities management, and brand enhancement. In effect, a strategy to identify opportunities to reduce emissions will lead to the discovery of opportunities to achieve multiple benefits throughout the organization. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 47 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Operations Report: Overview A wide array of opportunities exists to enable companies, communities, colleges, churches, and other organizations to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) and save energy and in ways that reduce cost and confer substantial competitive advantage to companies that embrace them. However, few few corporate executives, government officers or non-profit administrators are aware that such opportunities exist; let alone how to capture them. The mainstream media and U.S. Administration persist in repeating the erroneous assertion that reducing greenhouse gas emissions can only be done at ruinous cost. This belief is inhibiting the eagerness of companies to join the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) and the European Climate Exchange (ECX), which is one of the easier ways to initiate a program to capture these opportunities. This Opportunities for Greenhouse Gas Reduction Report provides evidence to refute this limiting belief, demonstrating that deep cuts in GHG reductions can be achieved not at a cost, but at a profit. The Opportunities for Greenhouse Gas Reduction Report highlights the tangible benefits of reducing GHG emissions, both internally and through the development of offset projects, and proves that such emissions can be mitigated in ways that strengthen an organization. The accompanying Management Report shows how early participation in such a program like the Climate Exchanges shows how early participation in such a program confers a real first mover advantage, and demonstrates that companies can combine enhanced environmental performance with competitive advantage. The report is complimented by case studies of companies that are achieving a natural competitive advantage, and thus being profiled in a growing range of international publications, journals and keynote presentations.The accompanying Management Report introduced the concept that there are several ways to reduce GHG emissions. There are, in fact, many options available. In this Operations Report, a more complete range of reduction strategies will be presented. Whilst there are many ways to order and structure the following information on greenhouse gas emission reduction strategies, the structure of this report follows the material presented in chapters 7, 8 and 9 of the CCX rulebook, to allow easy cross-referencing. The CCX rulebook outlines how emissions can be monitored, measured and then counted for carbon financial instruments (CFI’s) covering numerous sectors. The methods prescribed in it follow WRI/WBCSD protocols. Specific guides and automated workshops based on these protocols can all be downloaded24 for many sectors. This Operations Report gives an overview of what leaders in a range of sectors are doing to achieve marked reductions in GHG emissions. It describes the exciting opportunities to reduce GHG emissions, and feature some of the best practices of CCX and ECX members and other leading companies in each sector. It answers such questions as “what is best practice?”, and “which reports and networks already exist to assist my organization?” while illustrating the points with success stories. 24 Chicago Climate Exchange n.d. CCX Rulebook, http://www.chicagoclimatex.com/info/rulebook.html (accessed December 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 48 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Part 1: CFI Opportunities from reducing CO2 Emissions from Energy Production and Use Reducing CO2 Emissions from Electric Power and Steam Generation One of the biggest on site emitters of GHGs is the electric power generation sector, producing an estimated 40% of such emissions in the U.S.25 This sector is the single largest on site emitter of greenhouse gas emissions in the USA and in most other countries as well. Hence we consider this sector first. Many utilities are taking steps to address their GHG emissions driven by the market factors described in the Management Report: government regulatory changes, operations savings and shareholder activity pressures. And, as described in that Report, companies undertaking such programs are outperforming their sector. Utility GHG emission reduction strategies utilize such new technologies as co- and tri -generation, fluidized bed boilers, and integrated gas and gasification combined cycles. These technologies help coal fired power stations achieve higher conversion efficiency and simultaneously reduce NOx and SOx emissions.26 Fluidized beds, which can produce the same amount of electricity using a 1/3 less coal, while greatly reducing NOx and SOx emissions, have been commercialized since the 1970s; hundreds are already in use in the U.S. alone.27 Recently utilities have worked with such organizations as the International Energy Authority (IEA), which promotes greenhouse gas reducing technologies (see Table 1) through 40 international co-operation and collaboration agreements28. For instance, the IEA29 Implementing Agreement for Cooperation in the Field of Fluidized Bed Conversion (FBC) of Fuels Applied to Clean Energy Production provides a framework for international collaboration on energy technology development and deployment. Eleven countries are now active in this including Austria, Canada, France, Finland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom are now active in this. 25 26 27 28 29 King, M. Sarria, P. Moss, D. and Neil, J. (2004) Actions to Address Climate Change: Case Studies of Five Industry Sectors, Sustainable Energy Institute, Washington D.C., www.s-e-i.org (accessed November 2006) and Numark Associates, Inc. Coal Industry Advisory Board, International Energy Agency (IEA), and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (1996), Factors affecting the take up of clean coal technologies, Overview Report http://www.iea.org/textbase/nppdf/free/1990/ciab1996.pdf (accessed December 2006). Additional information at Cogeneration TechnologiesTM n.d. Fluidized Bed Boilers, www.cogeneration.net/FluidizedBedBoilers.htm (accessed November 2006). International Energy Agency (IEA) n.d. Technology Agreements web page www.iea.org/textbase/techno/index.asp (accessed November 2006). International Energy Agency (IEA) n.d. Fluidized Bed Conversion (FBC) of Fuels Applied to Clean Energy Production program, www.iea.org/textbase/techno/iaresults.asp?Ia=Fluidized%20Bed%20Conversion (accessed November 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 49 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Reducing GHGs and Gaining CFI’s in Electric Power and Steam Generation Pressurized Fluidized Bed Boilers A more efficient way to burn coal is through the use of a "pressurized fluidized bed boiler." Using this system, future boilers will be able to generate 50% more electricity from coal than a regular power plant from the same amount of coal. A "pressurized fluidized bed boiler" will reduce the amount of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide (CO2) released from coal-burning power plants, as it uses less fuel to produce the same amount of power. Older coal boilers operate at temperatures around 3000 degrees F, while Fluidized Beds burn "cooler,” which is only about 1400 degrees F.30 Waste Heat Recovery Industrial process heating operations use waste heat recovery methods that intercept the waste gases before they leave the process, extract some of the heat they contain, and recycle that heat back to the process. Common methods of recovering heat include: direct heat recovery to the process; recuperators/regenerators; and waste heat boilers.31 Cogeneration Co-generation is an efficient, clean, and reliable approach to generating power and thermal energy from a single fuel source. It is also known as combined heat and power (CHP), and total energy. Co-generation produces thermal energy by using heat that is otherwise discarded from conventional power generation, and achieves typical effective electric efficiencies of 50% 70% by recycling this waste heat. This is a vast improvement on the average 33% efficiency of conventional fossil-fueled power plants. Now almost 10% of our nation's electricity is produced by cogeneration, saving customers up to 40% on their energy expenses, and providing even greater savings to our environment. Trigeneration A tri-generation plant can be described as a co-generation plant that has added absorption chillers. Absorption chillers take the "waste heat" a cogeneration plant would have "wasted," and converts this "free energy", into chilled water. Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) is rapidly emerging as one of the most promising technologies in power generation. It utilizes low-quality solid and liquid fuels and is able to meet the most stringent emissions requirements. IGCC systems are extremely clean, and are much more efficient than traditional coalfired systems. They use a combined cycle format with a gas turbine driven by the combusted syngas from the gasifier, while the exhaust gases are heat exchanged with water/steam to generate superheated steam to drive a steam turbine.32 Table 1: Reducing GHGs and Gaining CFI’s in Electric Power and Steam Generation Source: Cogeneration Technologies33 U.S. Department of Energy n.d. Cleaning Up Coal: A "Bed" for Burning Coal? http://www.fossil.energy.gov/education/energylessons/coal/coal_cct4.html (accessed February 2007). 31 Co-Generation Technologies n.d Waste Heat Recovery TM and Recycled Energy TM http://www.cogeneration.net/RecycledEnergy.htm (accessed Feb 2007) 32 Co-Generation Technologies n.d Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle http://www.cogeneration.net/IntegratedGasificationCombinedCycle.htm (accessed February 2007) 33 Cogeneration Technologies (http://www.cogeneration.net/) (accessed February 2007) 30 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 50 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World The benefits of combined heat and power (CHP) systems, otherwise known as cogeneration, are clear. Figure 1 shows that 189 units of fuel is required for a separate heat and power system to produce the same amount of energy as 100 units of fuel from a CHP system. Figure 14: Combined heat and power systems Source: American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy, 1999 34 The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) support and encourage the use of co-generation technologies through their Combined Heat and Power Program.35 Tri-generation now offers the possibility of even higher conversion efficiencies, potentially in excess of 80%.36 34 35 36 Elliott, R. Spurr, M. (1999) Combined Heat and Power: Capturing Wasted Energy US Department of Energy, The American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy n.d. http://www.aceee.org/pubs/ie983.htm. (accessed, February, 2007) U.S. Department of Energy n.d. Combined Heat and Power Program www.eere.energy.gov/de/technologies/euii_chp_tech_basics.shtml (accessed November 2006). Goldstein, L. Hedman, B. Knowles, D. Freedman, S. I. Woods, R. Schweizer, T (2003) n.d. Gas-Fired Distributed Energy Resource Technology Characterizations A joint project of the Gas Research Institute (GRI) and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory. Sponsored by the US Department of Energy http://www.energystorm.us/Gas_fired_Distributed_Energy_Resource_Technology_Characterizations-r72552.html (accessed February 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 51 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Figure 15: Electricity Generation Comparison Source: The Co-generation & Tri-generation Experts,37 Reducing CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion: The Benefits of Co-Generation to Business, Universities and Municipalities Co- and tri-generation, that makes use of waste heat, is not just of benefit to coal fired power stations. They can be used by any industry that has medium to high temperature processes to significantly reduce energy bills and the emissions of greenhouse gases.38 There are now a variety of co- and tri-generation technologies that can assist almost any business.39 For instance, when planning an extension to Chicago’s McCormick Place Exhibition and Convention Center that would double its size, management were faced with a potential cost of $27 million40 for the new heating and cooling system alone. However, through an energy outsource agreement, a tri-generation system was installed. The system not only provides the center with heating, cooling, and electricity, but does so with a 93% overall efficiency rating. The benefits have been substantial, not only saving the $27 million capital cost of a conventional system, but also delivering annual savings in energy and operating expenses of in excess of $1 million. The GHG emissions savings have also been significant, with the tri-generation system producing approximately half 37 38 39 40 Cogeneration Technologies n.d. Cooler, Cleaner, Greener Power & Energy Solutions, http://www.cogeneration.net (accessed November 2006). U.S. CHP Association (1999) Combined Heat and Power: A Vision for the Future of CHP in the U.S. in 2020 www.nemw.org/uschpa (accessed November 2006). Elliott, R. N., and Spurr, M. (1999) Combined Heat and Power: Capturing Wasted Energy, American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, Washington DC. Executive summary available online, along with other reference materials, at www.aceee.org/chp (accessed November 2006). All dollars are U.S. dollars unless otherwise marked. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 52 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World the CO2 of a traditional system.41 Co- and tri-generation can assist energy utilities, businesses, universities and municipalities to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions and thereby obtain CFI credits such as shown in Table 2. Stationary Combustion: Onsite Energy Generation other Cogeneration: Combined Heat and Power Integrated systems for cooling, heating and power (CHP) for buildings incorporate multiple technologies for providing energy services to a single building or to a campus of buildings. Electricity to such buildings is provided by on-site or near-site power generators using one or more of the many options: internal combustion (IC) engines, combustion turbines, mini-turbines or micro-turbines, and fuel cells. In CHP systems, waste heat from power generation equipment is recovered for operating equipment for cooling, heating, or controlling humidity in buildings, by using absorption chillers, desiccant dehumidifiers, or heat recovery equipment for producing steam or hot water. These integrated systems are known by a variety of acronyms: CHP, CHPB (Cooling, Heating and Power for Buildings), CCHP (Combined Cooling Heating and Power), BCHP (Buildings Cooling, Heating and Power), tri-generation and IES (Integrated Energy Systems).42 Tri-generation systems for businesses Coors Brewing Company has a 90% efficient tri-generation system at its plant in Golden, Colorado, the largest single brewing site in the world. The tri-generation system saves 250,000 tons of CO2 annually, along with 125 tons of NOx and 900 tons of SO2. Co-generation from Industrial Processes. Any industrial process that involves high temperatures can reduce GHG emissions through the use of co/tri-generation. Table 2: Stationary Combustion: Onsite Energy Generation other than from Electric Power and Steam Generation Source: Cogeneration Technologies43 The Benefits of Energy Efficiency for Energy Utilities More efficient energy usage has been the biggest source of new energy growth for several decades.44 After the 1979 oil shock, the increased efficiency of energy usage enabled the US to reduce oil consumption by 15% within six years, whilst the 41 42 43 44 All businesses in these sectors that implement such strategies as McCormick Place did/can qualify for CFI’s under the CCX/CFI stationary combustion criteria. Additional information at: Chicago Climate Exchange n.d. CCX Rulebook, http://www.chicagoclimatex.com/info/rulebook.html (accessed December 2006). Chapter 7. Brown, L. R. (2003) Wind Power Set to Become World's Leading Energy Source, Earth Policy Institute, June 25, 2003-4. Cogeneration Technologies (http://www.cogeneration.net/) (accessed February 2007) Lovins, L.H. King, W. (2003) ‘Energy Efficiency: Spoiler or Enabler The relationship between energy efficiency and renewable energy’, invited paper, AAAS Annual Meeting, February 16, 2003. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 53 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 economy grew 16%. These efficiencies were achieved by more productive use of energy: better-insulated houses; better-designed lights and electric motors; and cars that are safer, cleaner and more powerful yet more fuel-efficient. By 2000, the energy service provided by increased efficiency was 73% greater than total U.S. oil consumption; five times domestic oil production; three times all oil imports; and 13 times Persian Gulf oil imports. Since 1996, saved energy has been the nation’s fastest-growing major “source” of energy.45In nearly every case, energy efficiency costs far less than the fuel or electricity it saves. For instance, it only costs about 2 cents per kilowatt-hour to save energy. (Once the easy savings are made up this will be higher than 2 cents but about half the current electricity use could be saved at this price.) Almost no form of new supply can compete with this. End use energy efficiency can help energy utilities reduce onsite greenhouse gas emissions in two ways. It can reduce demand allowing energy utilities to shut down older and more expensive to run generation plants and it can help delay the need to build any new greenhouse gas emitting electricity generation infrastructure. However in the past “Electric utility experts have recognised for a long time that under traditional regulatory structures (eg: traditional rate-of-return regulation, rate caps etc) utilities do not have an economic incentive to provide programs to help their customers be more energy-efficient. In fact, they typically have a dis-incentive because reduced energy sales reduce utility revenues and earnings. The financial incentives are very much tilted in favour of increased electricity sales and expanding supply side systems.”46 A new report, Aligning Utility Interests with Energy Efficiency Objectives: A Review of Recent Efforts at Decoupling and Performance Incentive47 has investigated how to re-align incentives and regulations to ensure that electric utilities and customers are both significantly rewarded for pursuing energy efficiency opportunities. Their report overviews in detail how over 25 states in the USA now have serious utility ratepayer-funded energy efficiency programs in operation all with very positive results. The report overviews how already over 25 states in the USA have addressed this traditional disincentives, by having approved some type of cost recovery mechanism for these energy efficiency programs for the electric utility (eg: a public benefits charge plus the ability to recover additional energy efficiency costs in rates). Broadly speaking these mechanisms fall into two categories: (1) Decoupling of utility revenues and profits through legislation to reward utilities for selling less energy. Generally in these new regulatory frameworks customers received 85% of those savings as lower bills, while the utility's shareholders received the rest—as extra profits, not to mention the direct savings in infrastructure from the reduced peak load generation requirement: the perfect winwin option for the energy supply sector. Lovins, L.H. (2004) ‘Making it last,’ YES! Magazine, with cover story, ‘Can We Live Without Oil?’, September 2004, http://www.futurenet.org/article.asp?ID=1018 (accessed November 2006). 46 Kushler, M (2006) Aligning Utility Interests with Energy Efficiency Objectives: A Recent Review of Efforts at Decoupling and Performance Incentives. P5 Available at: (http://aceee.org/pubs/u061.pdf?CFID=1902973&CFTOKEN=31285910) 47 ibid 45 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 54 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World (2) Providing shareholder “performance incentives” for achieving energy efficiency program objectives. These can take several forms such as ‘providing utilities with a specific reward for meeting certain targets, allowing utilities to earn a rate of return on energy efficiency investments equal to supply side and other capital investments or providing utilities with an increased rate of return either on the energy efficiency investment specifically or overall.’ The fact that some state utilities and power companies are working with state governments to create innovative incentives to encourage energy efficiency was briefly mentioned in the Management Report. As stated above, such regulatory reform also typically allows the utilities to retain, as increased profit, a percentage of any savings created for their clients and customers. For example, retaining 15% of the savings inspired Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), the U.S.'s largest private utility, to put a halt to building or planning any new conventional power plants. For any new power generation projects PG&E proposed instead to invest in renewables. This market based mechanism was made possible by disconnecting the utilities' profits from the amount of kilowatt hours produced and sold; in other words, ensuring that the energy utility is no longer rewarded for selling more energy nor penalized for selling less. This sensible program was mothballed when the “deregulation” mania swept California, and set the state down the path to exporting billions of dollars to Enron and other Texas energy companies. But in the wake of the 2001 California Energy Crisis, it is coming back in to fashion. Today, PG&E now runs an extensive Customer Energy Management Program that provides customers with access to energy efficiency experts in order to address demand-side energy efficiency and conservation. During 2002, this program prevented 206,980 tons of CO2 emissions, 119 tons of NOx, and 73 tons of SOx from entering the atmosphere. In those states that do not yet have explicitly regulated incentives, many utilities are showing that there are many hidden economic benefits anyway for energy utilities to encourage their customers to be more efficient. Leading energy utilities have found that the reduced revenue that results from improving the efficiency of its customers is less than the cost savings achieved by eliminating the need to generate the additional energy. Enbridge Gas Distribution48 (Ontario) was able to reduce GHG emissions by 25%, compared to 1990 levels, through encouraging the energy efficiency of its clients in the same way as PG&E. This not only helped saved its clients $700 million, but also avoided 2.5 million tons of CO2 emissions from its plant. For these efforts Enbridge Gas Distribution was awarded the Environmental Practice of the Year award at the 2001 Financial Times Global Energy Awards in New York. The awards recognize the most outstanding accomplishments of the international energy industry.49 48 49 Enbridge Gas Distribution n.d. Climate Change Action Plan, http://www.enbridge.com/csrReport2005/environmentalPerformance/climateChange.php (accessed November 2006). Pleckaitis, A. (2004), ‘Enbridge Climate Change Action Plan’, presentation, Conference of the Reducers, Toronto, May 10, 2004. http://www.cgc.enbridge.com/G/G05-03-01_climate-change.asp (accessed November 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 55 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Figure 16: Wes Birdsall Source: Smart Communities Network, n.d. 50 In 1974 Wes Birdsall, manager of the Osage Municipal Utilities Department (OMU) did the same thing in response both to rising oil prices in 1973 and growing demands for energy. He “stepped across the meter” to help his customers get more energy efficient. "One of the most effective things we did was to take an infrared scanner into many local buildings," says Birdsall. "When we showed people on the scanner how much energy they were losing, they usually were on the phone to a contractor before we could get out the door." In doing so, the OMU’s Demand-Side Management Program51, saved its customers in this small rural town $1.2 million annually, which is almost US$200 a year in energy bills per household. "I don't see any difference between a dollar brought in by a new business and a dollar that's saved due to energy conservation," says Birdsall. Osage Municipal Utilities has been able reduce electricity rates by 19% during the last eight years and natural gas rates by 5% during the last five years.52 In addition the program reduced unemployment to half that of the national average and with the lower utility bills more factories and companies came to town, whilst reducing the emissions and costs of the utility itself.53 50 51 52 53 Smart Communities Network, n.d. Green Buildings Success Stories, http://www.smartcommunities.ncat.org/success/osage_muni.shtml (accessed December 2006). Osage's ground breaking efforts as detailed on the PBS program, Race to Save the Planet, have earned it the title, "the energy conservation capital of America." Osage Municipal Utilities Demand-Side Management, Dennis M. Fannin, +1 (515) 732-3731. Case study by: Smart Communities Network, n.d. Green Buildings Success Stories, http://www.smartcommunities.ncat.org/success/osage_muni.shtml (accessed December 2006). National Renewable Energy Laboratory (1996) The Jobs Connection: Energy Use and Local Economic Development, produced for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The document was produced by the Technical Information Program, under the DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, http://www.flasolar.com/pdf/energy_jobs.pdf (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 56 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World End Use Energy Efficiency Opportunities There are significant energy efficiency opportunities in the economy that energy utilities can encourage and assist their customers to identify and implement. The building sector is an area rich with opportunities for improved energy efficiency. Buildings consume approximately 68% of the electricity produced annually in the US, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Even simple energy management practices and energy-efficient equipment can reduce a buildings energy costs by at least 20%—a net savings opportunity worth more than US$11 billion by 2010 for the U.S.54 And more aggressive measures can nearly eliminate the fossil energy used in buildings. For example, the SC Johnson headquarters building in Racine, Wisconsin, was designed for energy efficiency. The gross annual energy consumption is approximately 73,000 BTUs per square foot—about 50% less than the average for similar buildings. This reduced energy consumption will save SC Johnson nearly $100,000 per year, compared to average new construction in Wisconsin. Using commercially available equipment and technologies, the efficiency measures achieved a 50 percent reduction in energy use as compared to a conventional office building The 23,234-square-foot structure provides offices, laboratories, meeting, and dining rooms. The building is extensively daylit, with task lighting if needed. It uses a raised access floor for wiring and air distribution. Instead of conventional air-conditioning, an underfloor air space delivers cool air, which displaces warm stale air out vents at the ceiling. This improves indoor air quality, and indoor comfort provides more even temperatures, eliminates drafts and uses substantially less energy than conventional mechanical systems. Despite better performance, the building was built at market average cost for Class A offices.55 Toyota's Torrance office complex completed in 2003, combined such energyefficiency strategies as lighter roof color, photovoltaic solar electricity, and ‘little things’ including an advanced building automation system, a utilities metering system, natural-gas-fired absorption chillers for the HVAC system, an Energy Star cool roof system, and thermally insulated, double-paned glazing to achieve a 600,000+ square foot campus exceeding California's stringent energy-efficiency requirements by 24 percent at no additional cost than a conventional office building.56 In 1992, Pacific Gas and Electric utility teamed with energy experts from Lawrence Berkeley to design a typical single-family home that used 75 percent less energy to keep it comfortable year around, even in California’s Central valley. The PG&E ACT2 House in Davis, California, is entirely passively heated and cooled, enabling it to remain comfortable without air conditioning during a week of over 54 55 56 GreenBiz.com n.d. Greener Buildings, www.greenerbuildings.com (accessed November 2006); GreenBiz.com n,d. Energy Use Backgrounder, www.greenbiz.com/sites/greenerbuildings/backgrounders_detail.cfm?UseKeyword=Energy%20Use (accessed November 2006). Rocky Mountain Institute (2005) Why Build Green, http://www.rmi.org/images/other/GDS/D0214_WhyBuildGreen.pdf (accessed November 2006). Flynn, L. (2003) ‘Driven to be Green’, sourced from Building Design and Construction Magazine, November 2003. http://www.bdcmag.com/magazine/articles/BDC0311kToyota.asp (accessed November 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 57 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 45°C. by combining an array of energy efficiency measures, the builders could eliminate the costs for such major mechanicals as a furnace or air-conditioner and ductwork. This was a test house, but had it been built as a mature-market building it would have cost $1800 less than standard tract construction for substantially superior performance, Present-valued maintenance costs saved $1600. The design energy savings were ~82% below California Title 24 standard.57 Similar performance can be achieved even in very large office buildings at market average construction cost. Four Times Square, the flagship Durst/ Conde-Nast Building in New York is a 47-story office tower designed and marketed around energy efficiency, indoor air quality, and non-toxic, low-embodied-energy materials selection. It uses half the energy of a conventional building of its type and much of that is generated on site. Much of what looks like exterior window glass on the south and west facades is really solar photovoltaics, integrated into the building’s spandrel glass. This produces peak power on hot summer afternoons, significantly reducing the building’s load on the local grid. In the basement are hydrogenpowered fuel cells for electricity generation. The 1.6-million-square-foot building was part of an experiment by the builder, Eley & Associates on energy-related performance-based compensation. The design team paid is in part from the energy savings from having produced a more efficient building. 85 percent of the spaces in the building were either pre-leased or pre-sold even before construction was completed. Space is let at a premium because, with the ultra-reliable energy generation on site, tenants can never be blacked out. In the 2004 Northeast blackout, people came to Four Times Square from blocks around to camp out under the building – it was about the only location in New York with light.58 Providing better lighting in buildings can save money and carbon emissions and dramatically improve worker productivity. Sony Electronics’ US and Mexican facilities voluntarily installed energy-efficient lighting where it was cost-effective and did not interfere with the quality of light. By the end of 1994, the organization had upgraded approximately 6.1 million square feet of floor space with new lighting fixtures, reduced its operating expenses by more than $915,000 per year and lowering energy demand by almost 12 million kilowatt hours annually. In addition, these lighting changes indirectly prevented more than 7,300 tons of air pollution from being emitted by local utility companies.59 Sony found its participation in the EPA's Green Lights program60 very advantageous. Lighting retrofits often so improve visual performance that they can lead to significant increases in labor 57 58 59 60 Wilson, A. Seal, J.L. McManigal, L.A. Lovins, L.H. Cureton, M. and Browning, W.D. (1998) Green Development: Integrating Real Estate and Ecology, John Wiley & Sons, New York. Rocky Mountain Institute (2005) Why Build Green, http://www.rmi.org/images/other/GDS/D0214_WhyBuildGreen.pdf (accessed November 2006). Sony Electronics Inc. is not only committed to being the best at bringing advanced technology together with the needs of the end-user, it is also dedicated to protecting and improving the environment in all areas of the company's operations. Information available at: Sony n.d. Environmental Affairs, http://news.sel.sony.com/en/corporate_information/environmental (accessed November 2006). DeCanio, S. (1998) ‘The Efficiency Paradox: Bureaucratic and Organizational Barriers to Profitable Energy-Saving Investments’, Energy Policy, vol 26, no 5, pp441–454; DeCanio, S. and Watkins, W. (1998) ‘Investment in Energy Efficiency: do the Characteristics of Firms Matter?’, Review of Economics and Statistics, February, pp95– 107. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 58 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World productivity and reductions in error rates. The financial benefits from this far outweigh the value of the energy savings. For example, Boeing implemented a lighting system retrofit in its design and manufacturing areas. The program cut lighting energy costs by 90 percent with a less than 2-year payback, but because workers could see better they avoided rework – the error rate decreased 30 percent – increased on-time delivery and enhanced customer satisfaction.61 Lockheed commissioned a new headquarters building for its Sunnyvale facility. The architects successfully argued that the “literium” that provided daylighting throughout the structure was not merely an amenity, but was essential to the performance of the building. They were right: The lighting system resulted in a 75 percent reduction in lighting energy. This contributed to enabling the building to use half the energy of a comparable standard building. The different design added $2 million to the cost of the building, the reason the “value engineers sought to eliminate it from the design. However it is saving Lockheed $500k/year worth of energy, or a 4-year payback. But more important, because workers enjoyed the space more absenteeism dropped 15%, and productivity increased 15%. The gains from this won Lockheed a very competitive contract, the profits from which paid off the entire costs of the building.62 High performance buildings are simply a better way to do business. The national market for high performance green building products and services in 2003 was estimated to be $5.8 billion, up 34% from 2002. Using LEED (U.S. Green Building Council's Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design standards) recommended practices and materials during design and construction can save nearly $50 per square foot over a 20 year period, even considering any minimal increase in construction costs. That's a net savings of over $1.2 million for a 25,000 square foot building. The savings can pay for employee salaries, increased spending in classrooms, or deferred maintenance. Nationwide, over 1800 LEED registered buildings and 20,000 LEED Accredited Professionals exist. Major federal agencies including General Services Administration, Department of State, U.S. Air Force, Army and Navy, as well as over 12 states and 40 municipalities now require LEED standards or use LEED as an incentive. High performance green buildings have been shown to help boost productivity through reducing running costs, absenteeism and boosting employee productivity.63 61 62 63 Romm, J. and Browning, W. (1998) Greening the Building and the Bottom Line, Rocky Mountain Institute, Old Snowmass, http://www.rmi.org/images/other/GDS/D94-27_GBBL.pdf (accessed December 2006). Ibid. Romm, J. and Browning, W. (1995) Greening the Building and the Bottom Line: Increasing Productivity Through Energy-Efficient Design. http://www.rmi.org/images/other/GDS/D94-27_GBBL.pdf (accessed February 2007) Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 59 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Reduce CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion through End Use Efficiency Up to 90% Whole System Design Big energy and resource savings often cost less than small savings. Sound impossible? Engineers are showing time and again that through good engineering resource efficiency (i.e., whole system design), savings of up to an order of magnitude are possible, often for less cost than incremental improvements.64 Through a whole system (re) design approach large energy efficiency savings can be made to a pumping system, a car, or a building and many other engineered systems.65 Electric Motors Selecting the right motor results in large and cost Up to ~60% effective savings.66 Whole system design and through management can achieve even greater savings.67 whole The use of variable speed drive (VSD) (up to system 50%),68 high efficiency motors (28-50%)69 and design. improved system management (48-55% for pumping systems,70 and 30-57% for ventilation systems) are expected to deliver an average increase in electric motor system efficiency of 85% by 2050.71 Buildings (the Shell) The energy efficiency of a shell of the commercial building (excluding equipment) can be improved by 45%, on average, through improvements in design and construction.72 45% on average. Lighting Using efficient compact fluorescent lights and 70% using von Weizsäcker, e. Lovins, A.B. and Lovins, L.H. (1997) Factor Four: Doubling Wealth, Halving Resource Use, Earthscan, London; Hawken, P. Lovins, A.B. and Lovins, L.H. (1999) Natural Capitalism: Creating the Next Industrial Revolution, Earthscan, London. Chapter 6: Tunnelling Through the Cost Barrier, http://www.natcap.org/images/other/NCchapter6.pdf (accessed December 2006). 65 Pears, A (2004) Energy Efficiency - Its Potential: Some Perspectives and Experiences. Background paper for International Energy Agency Energy Efficiency Workshop, Paris April 2004. Available at: (www.naturaledgeproject.net/Documents/IEAENEFFICbackgroundpaperPearsFinal.pdf) 66 Australian Greenhouse Office (2003) The Motor System Available at: (www.greenhouse.gov.au/motors/casestudies/cs_system.html 67 ACEEE (2002) Energy-Efficient Motor Systems: A Handbook on Technology, Program, and Policy Opportunities, 2nd Edition Available at: (http://www.aceee.org/motors/ 68 Hamilton, C. Turton, H. Saddler, H. and Jinlong, M. (2002) Long Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios: A Pilot Study of Australian Can Achieve Deep Cuts in Emissions, Discussion Paper #48, The Australia Institute, Canberra, 2002, p47. 69 CADDET Energy Efficiency Centre (1995) Saving Energy with Electric Motor and Drive, http://www.caddet.org/reports/index.php?PHPSESSID=ad4a61f4db189db7746c05ae9af5 (accessed December 2006). 70 Benders, R. and Biesiot, W. (1996) ‘Electricity Conservation in OECD Europe’ in Proceedings of International Conference on Energy Technologies to Reduce CO2, 1996. 71 Hamilton, C. Turton, H. Saddler, H. and Jinlong, M. (2002) Long Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios: A Pilot Study of Australian Can Achieve Deep Cuts in Emissions, Discussion Paper #48, The Australia Institute, Canberra, 2002. 72 Tuluca, A. (1996) Energy Efficiency Design and Construction for Commercial Buildings, MaGraw-Hill, New York; USA Department of Energy (2002) Annual Energy Outlook, US Department of Energy, Washington D.C. 64 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 60 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Systems installing movement sensors can improve the a range of energy efficiency of lighting.73 In addition, the measures.75 installation of high frequency ballasts instead of core-coil ballasts and the additions of reflectors or high efficiency fluorescent light fittings can greatly reduce energy use.74 Table 3: Reduce CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion through End Use Efficiency Source: Hargroves & Smith, 200576 End use energy efficiency gains such as those listed in Table 3 can significantly help reduce greenhouse gas emissions. As Amory Lovins, CEO of the Rocky Mountain Institute wrote in Natural Capitalism:The Next Industrial Revolution, “From the power plant to an industrial pipe, inefficiencies along the way whittle the energy input of the fuel—set at 100 arbitrary units in this example—by more than 90%, leaving only 9.5 units of energy delivered to the end use. Small increases in enduse efficiency can reverse these compounding losses. For instance, saving one unit of output energy will cut the needed fuel input by 10 units, slashing cost and pollution at the power plant.”77 Figure 17 Transmission losses from electricity plants.(Source: RMI78.) UK Carbon Trust (2007) Energy Efficiency – By Technology – Lighting (http://www.carbontrust.co.uk/energy/startsaving/tech_lighting_intro.htm) Accessed February 2007 74 Sathaye, J. Moyers, S. (1995) Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Assessment: A Guidebook, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell, MA. 75 R. G. Watts,. Engineering Response to Global Climate Change, (New York: Lewis Publishers, 1997). 76 Hargroves, K. Smith, M.H. (2005) The Natural Advantage of Nations, Business Opportunities, Innovation and Governance in the 21st Century, Earthscan, London. Chapter 17: Profitable Greenhouse Solutions, Table 17.2, p331 citing Denniss, R. Diesendorf, M. and Sadler, H. (2004) A Clean Energy Future for Australia, a report by the Clean Energy Group of Australia. 77 Hawken, P. et al (1999) Natural Capitalism:The Next Industrial Revolution, Earthscan, London, Chapter 6: Tunnelling Through the Cost Barrier 78 Lovins, A.B (2005) “More Profit with Less Carbon,” Scientific American, Sept. 2005 (extended bibliography at www.rmi.org/sitepages/pid173.php#C05-05) 73 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 61 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Hence by focusing on end use efficiency it can create a cascade of savings all the way back to the power plant. Therefore a focus on achieving end use energy efficiency gains in such engineered systems such as motors, lighting, commercial buildings, appliances and office equipment (See Table 3) can help reduce greenhouse gases significantly. This underlies the importance of re-aligning incentives and regulations to ensure that electric utilities and customers are both significantly rewarded for pursuing energy efficiency opportunities as outlined in the 2006 report, Aligning Utility Interests with Energy Efficiency Objectives: A Review of Recent Efforts at Decoupling and Performance Incentive79. Benefits of Fuel Switching Leading utilities are also investing in renewable energy. Globally, renewable energy is by far the fastest growing energy sector. In the USA twenty-two states have certified/accredited green power products available, and the others have an electricity standard in place. Tradable Renewable Certificates are available Nationwide in the USA.80 Of the different forms of renewable energy, the two fastest growing areas of new renewable energy supply are wind and solar. Trends in Energy Use (by source) 1995 - 2001 Energy Source Annual rate of growth (%) Wind power + 32.0 Solar photovoltaics + 21.0 Geothermal power* + 4.0 Hydroelectric power + 0.7 Oil + 1.4 Natural gas + 2.6 Nuclear power + 0.3 Coal - 0.3 *Data available through 1999 Table 4: Trends in energy use, by source, 1995-2001 Source: Earth Policy Institute, n.d.81 Kushler, M (2006) Aligning Utility Interests with Energy Efficiency Objectives: A Recent Review of Efforts at Decoupling and Performance Incentives. P5 Available at: (http://aceee.org/pubs/u061.pdf?CFID=1902973&CFTOKEN=31285910) Accessed February 2007. 80 The Centre for Resource Solutions n.d. (http://www.green-e.org/about.shtml) Accessed February 2007. 81 Brown, Lester R., 2003, "Restructuring the Energy Economy" (February 2003 release from Earth Policy Institute, http://www.edcnews.se/Reviews/Brown0302.html (accessed February 2007) The table was compiled from BP, BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2002 (London: Group Media & Publishing, June 2002), from American Wind Energy Association (AWEA), Global Wind Energy Market Report (Washington DC: March 2002), from Worldwatch Institute, Vital Signs 2002 (New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 2002), from Paul Maycock, PV News, various issues; and from Geothermal Energy Association, “World Geothermal Power Up 50%, New US Boom Possible,” press release (Washington, DC: 11 April 2002). 79 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 62 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Wind Power Wind power is one of the fastest growing electric supply sectors, delivering over 5 gigawatts of new energy each year. In principle, wind resources in the USA could produce five times more electricity than the United States currently uses.82 Wind is one of the cheapest sources of new electricity – competitive with natural gas turbines – at prices between 3 and 4.5 cents per kilowatt-hour. The cost of producing wind power has fallen by as much as 90 percent since 1980. Given this rate of reduction in cost, by 2010, electricity from new wind power projects could be cheaper than electricity from new conventional power plants, according to the US Department of Energy.83 It is also much quicker to install than fossil-fuel plants. This means that wind power is able to rapidly provide an income stream to investors. In the United States, installed wind turbine capacity grew 28 percent annually from 1999 to 2003. It now provides over 6,740 megawatts of carbon-free power, and over $5 million in lease fees for landowners. The U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) "Wind Powering America" initiative has a stated goal of producing five percent of USA’s electricity from wind by 2020. This will lead to $60 billion in capital investment to rural America, $1.2 billion in additional income for farmers and rural landowners, and 80,000 new jobs by 2020. Renewable portfolio standards, already in place in 11 states, were adopted by another seven states and the District of Columbia in 2004. These will increase the adoption of renewable energy. For 2005, four 200-plus megawatt projects have been announced in New York, Washington, Wisconsin, and Minnesota; a 600-plus megawatt development is being planned for a Wyoming ranch.84 Chuck Hassebrook, Executive Director of the Center for Rural Affairs, writes, Many areas of the Midwest and Great Plains contain significant wind capacity. Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota are among the states with the largest potential to harness wind for electricity generation. These states are often referred to as the “Saudi Arabia of wind generation”. The DOE found that North Dakota has the largest “reserves” of wind of any state – it alone has the wind capacity to provide 36 percent of the electricity demand for the 48 contiguous states. The three “windiest” states—North Dakota, Kansas, and Texas – could provide enough wind power generation for most of the nation’s electricity needs.85 (See Figure 5) Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley has lent his considerable support to wind energy, making the state third in the nation in terms of wind energy developed by 2003. The Iowa Department of Natural Resources estimates that the state has the Union of Concerned Scientists (2007) Factsheet:Farming the Wind: Wind Power and Agriculture. N.d (http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/renewable_energy_basics/farming-the-wind-wind-power-andagriculture.html) Accessed February 2007. 83 Ibid. 84 American Wind Energy Association, “Wind Power Outlook 2004” and “US Wind Energy Continues Expansion of Clean Domestic Energy Source”, 27 January 2005. See www.awea.org. And personal communication, Dan Leach, HTH Wind Energy Inc., 4 February 2005 85 Chuck Hassebrook, “Fresh Promises: Highlighting Promising Strategies of the Rural Great Plains and beyond,” October 2004. 82 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 63 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 potential to produce nearly five times its own annual electrical needs through wind power. Iowa already has 472 megawatts (MW) of wind energy installed, and another 581 MW planned.86 Figure 18: US Wind Resources. (Source US Department of Energy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory)87. The Intertribal Council On Utility Policy (COUP) representing Indian tribes in the Dakotas and Nebraska, is coordinating an alliance between rural and urban areas, tribes and cities to build 3,000 MW of tribally-owned windpower on two-dozen Indian reservations across the Great Plains by 2010. The Intertribal COUP Environmental Justice Wind Project seeks to create good jobs, reduce greenhouse gas emissions efficiently, and build ecologically sustainable economies based on the clean generation and efficient use of the world's richest wind energy regime in the heart of Native American Reservations in the Northern Great Plains.88 87 88 American Wind Energy Association, Iowa state summary (updated Nov 12, 2004), http://www.awea.org/projects/iowa.html. Union of Concerned Scientists (2007) Factsheet:Farming the Wind: Wind Power and Agriculture. N.d (http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/renewable_energy_basics/farming-the-wind-wind-power-andagriculture.html) Accessed February 2007. http://www.honorearth.org/initiatives/energy/independenceday/description.html Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 64 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Wind does have its critics. One U.K. turbine neighbor said the noise was like Chinese water torture. Some upscale U.S. neighborhoods have sued to prevent wind farms from being erected, but most such lawsuits have been dismissed. Recent media reports have raised the issue of surprisingly large numbers of bats being killed by wind generators in Pennsylvania, and bird kills have been a concern. Such issues are lessened with lower blade speeds and other mitigation technologies. Wind advocates counter that even with 100 percent of U.S. electricity coming from wind, turbine-caused bird kills would only be 1/250th of bird kills from other human causes, and that wind energy displacement of coal electricity will help reduce climate change that is endangering birds through habitat changes.89 The extensive ecological studies associated with wind farm siting procedures rarely find significant ecological effects. The modern wind industry was developed in the United States, but inept national policies allowed this industry to migrate to such countries as Denmark, which is now getting over 20 percent of its energy from wind. An August 2004 survey in the United Kingdom, which is rapidly developing its own wind resources,90 found that (1) most people agree wind farms are necessary (72 percent); (2) 61 percent who have seen wind farms disagree that they’re noisy, and (3) 70 percent would support development of a wind farm in their area.91 The DOE’s Wind Energy for Rural Economic Development states, “Wind energy offers rural landowners a new cash crop. Although leasing arrangements vary widely, royalties are typically around $2,000 per year for a 750-kilowatt wind turbine or 2-3 percent of the project’s gross revenues. Given typical wind turbine spacing requirements, a 250-acre farm could increase annual farm income by $14,000 per year, or more than $55 per acre. In a good year that same plot of land might yield $90 of corn, $40 of wheat, and $5 worth of beef.”92 These wind turbines have a very small footprint and do not interfere with ranching and farming operations. Figure 19: Farmers can plant crops right to the base of the turbines. (Source: Warren Gretz, National Renewable Energy Laboratory)93 American Wind Energy Association, “Wind Power Outlook 2004.” Cited is a 2002 study of the causes of bird deaths in the US, finding that wind energy was less than 1 per 10,000. 90 British Wind Energy Association, www.bwea.com 91 Ecotricity, “Champions sign up to Embrace wind campaign as poll confirms strong support,” http://www.ecotricity.co.uk/code/pr2004/embrace_bwea.html. 92 US DOE, Wind Energy…, p. 4. 93 Union of Concerned Scientists (2007) Factsheet:Farming the Wind: Wind Power and Agriculture. N.d (http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/renewable_energy_basics/farming-the-wind-wind-power-andagriculture.html) Accessed February 2007. 89 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 65 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 According to Windustry, a Minnesota-based farmer wind energy network, “The most common way for a farmer to participate in a wind project is through leasing land, but there are other options. Wind lease terms vary quite a bit, but general rules of thumb are: $2,500 to $5,000 per turbine, $3,000 to $4,000 per megawatt of capacity, or 2-4 percent of gross revenues. Larger turbines should translate to larger payments. Compensation packages typically are offered as fixed yearly payments, as percentages of gross revenues, or some combination.”94 Communities are employing wind as a local source of power generation. Sacred Heart Monastery in Richardton, North Dakota, (pop. 619) was facing rising energy costs. They turned to wind-generated electricity, installing two 100-kilowatt turbines at the local Benedictine Monastery. They only plan to keep the turbines in place for 10 years and then replace them with state-of-the-art technology. The turbines cost $120,000, but returned a savings of $41,600 in the first three years, roughly 45 percent of the monastery’s electricity costs.95 In Moorhead, Minnesota, a city of 32,000, the local utility offered a “Capture the Wind” program that allows customers to obtain wind-generated electricity for approximately $5 per month. Both of the utility’s wind turbines are fully subscribed, with over 900 customers in the program. US Wind Farming Inc. has announced plans to establish small, distributed “Wind Turbine Agricultural Renewable Energy Cooperatives” with farmers nationwide. The first publicly-traded U.S. wind company, it says farmers installing its 1.5- to 2.5megawatt turbines can expect up to a $100,000-per-year annuity for 30 years.96 In June 2004, the Ames, Iowa, city council voted to take the next step towards a sustainable energy system by joining a partnership with the DOE to install the most sustainable energy system within our current technological grasp – wind turbines that will generate hydrogen during their off-peak hours.97 Solar Solar photovoltaic and other technologies continue to improve and are the best choice today for remote applications, or where the cost of running lines is high. Photovoltaics are being installed as roofs or walls in commercial buildings, supplementing grid power and providing energy security against grid failures and dramatic price increases. Four Times Square Building in New York City uses solar panels that look like glass in much of the building’s south façade. The building cost no more to build than normal, but the developers are able to charge tenants premium rates because they can never lose power. Windustry, “What Does a Farmer Need to Know About Wind Energy”, October 2004. Chuck Hassebrook, “Fresh Promises: Highlighting Promising Strategies of the Rural Great Plains and beyond,” October 2004. 96 US Windfarming, Inc Press Release, June 28, 2004, http://www.uswindfarming.com. 97 SolarAccess.com, July 20, 2004, http://www.solaraccesss.com/news/story?storyid=7170&p=1 94 95 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 66 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Prices have come down significantly over the last few years and are almost comparable to those of unsubsidized fossil fuels. New advances may bring prices down to comparable with wind power within five years.98 Such innovations plus government funded initiatives like the California’s one million roofs program is driving the rapid development of this market. Sacramento, California is a case in point. The Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) had to replace half its capacity almost overnight, as they were forced to close their unreliable and unpopular nuclear plant, when the public voted it out of existence. Conventional wisdom would have dictated building a conventional plant to meet supply. Instead SMUD invested in first in energy efficiency, spending $59 million locally on measures to help customers use less of its product through aggressive demand side management. In 1992, SMUD adopted a policy to obtain as much as 650 megawatts of equivalent power capacity from its customers by the year 2000, by installing load management and energy efficiency measures. This, they found, was the lowest cost way to meet the customer’s needs for energy services. They then invested in a diversity of small-scale, distributed supply, most of it renewable – wind, solar, cogeneration fuel cells, everything they could lay their hands on - to learn from the process. Having no experience in using renewable energy, rather than pick any one, the utility experimented with as many different technologies as it could. SMUD found that it was more cost effective to install photovoltaics in an alleyway when it needed additional alley lights, than to hook in to the existing (its own) grid. This was because the additional demand from those alley lights would require them to expand part of the grid component (e.g., a sub-station or wiring). They undertook the economic analysis, asking whether it was cheaper to invest in small distributed generation or conventional supply. In every instance distributed generation was the superior economic choice. Figure 20: Rancho Seco, Sacramento Source: U.S. Department of Energy, n.d.99 98 99 Personal communication with the investor in one such company in California U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy Department (n.d.) Solar Energy Technologies Home Page, http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/ (accessed December 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 67 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 The results after more than ten years:100 Regional income increased $124 million, achieving an economic multiplier of 2.11. - - The program created 880 direct-effect jobs, 250 of which were SMUD jobs - Avoided spending $45 million to purchase power from other regions - Added $22 million to the area’s wage-earning households. In addition, had the plant just kept running, the rates would have increased by 80%, which would have forced a number of factories to relocate. SMUD was able to keep rates flat for a decade. In the California price spike of 2000 - 2001, Sacramento’s rates stayed flat. This kept over 2000 jobs in place. The program eliminated the utility’s debt. The innovative program turned out to be a much better business for the utility to be in than just building what most utility executives are more comfortable with: conventional coal or gas power plants.101 Figure 21: Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) installing domestic solar water heating systems. Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 1996102 A commitment to efficiency and renewables is a much more labor intensive, much less capital-intensive way to deliver energy services than any kind of conventional option. Advocates of building power plants often justify them for the jobs they, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (1996) The Jobs Connection: Energy Use and Local Economic Development, produced for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The document was produced by the Technical Information Program, under the DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. http://www.flasolar.com/pdf/energy_jobs.pdf (accessed November 2006). 101 Personal communication from Ed Smeloff, General Manager SMUD, Oct, 2000. 102 National Renewable Energy Laboratory (1996) The Jobs Connection: Energy Use and Local Economic Development, produced for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The document was produced by the Technical Information Program, under the DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, http://www.flasolar.com/pdf/energy_jobs.pdf (accessed November 2006). 100 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 68 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World almost any alternative will provide more. Large centralized power plants are far more capital intensive than almost any other investment in the economy.103 An Historic Shift in the Energy Sector: Small is Profitable The case stories above exemplify a broader and historic shift in the energy sector. This is the subject of the recently published, Small is Profitable: the Hidden Economic Benefits of Making Electrical Resources the Right Size.121 Voted one of the 3 ‘books of the year’ for 2002 by The Economist magazine.122 Small is Profitable represents the first time that the engineering economics of distributed generation has been collected in one place. It describes how it is now more cost effective to make meet electric demand through energy efficiency and small scale generation like co-generation and renewable production than large, fossil plants. Many utility engineers believe that economies of scale describes make large thermal plants the best buy, but Small is Profitable shows that properly counting the economic benefits of “distributed” (decentralized) and renewable electricity sources raises their value to a utility system by approximately tenfold. Such sources improve system planning, utility construction and operation (especially of the grid), and service quality. They also avoid societal costs like worsening climate change. In Small is Profitable, Amory Lovins et al., describe the historic shift this way, “as one industry team stated in 1992, ‘From the beginning of [the twentieth] century until the early 1970s demand grew, plants grew, and the vertically integrated utility’s costs declined. Looking back on the 1990s, it is now obvious that a reversal [in this trend] has actually occurred. In 1976, the concept of largely ‘distributed’ or decentralized electricity production was heretical, in the 1990s, it became important, by 2000, it was the subject of cover stories in such leading publications as the Wall Street Journal, the Economist, and the New York Times, and by 2002, it was emerging as the winner in the marketplace.” The book catalogues the economic benefits of the smaller scale distributed technologies, both the conventional plants described in the graph above, and the emerging renewable energy options. These changes in the energy industry sector is exactly the sort of “inflection point” described by Andrew Grove of Intel in his book, Only the Paranoid Survive: How to Exploit the Crisis Points That Challenge Every Company and Career.104 Just as the critical mass of enabling technologies in information technologies led to a remarkable shift in how we communicate over the last 30 years, so the combination of energy efficiency and renewable energy, described in the Sacramento, example, above, marks a wave of innovation in how societies meet their energy needs that will play out over the next 30 years. 103 104 Input output regressions by Professor Bruce Hannon, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaigne Grove, A. (1996) Only the Paranoid Survive: How to Exploit the Crisis Points That Challenge Every Company and Career, Currency, New York. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 69 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Figure 22: Maximum and average sizes of new generation units (fossil-fuelled steam utilities, 5-year rolling average) by year of entry into service. Source: Lovins et al, 2002105 Small is Profitable shows that there is now a critical mass of enabling innovations making integrated approaches to sustainable development in the energy sector economically viable. It also shows that advances in energy efficiency, demand management, renewable energy, co-generation, fuel cells, and new fuels like hydrogen are not simply a list of interesting options but are “a web of innovations that all reinforce each other.” It states, ‘these developments form not simply a list of separate items, rather their effect is thus both individually important and collectively profound.’ 105 Lovins, A., Datta, K., Feiler, T., Rábago, K., Swisher, J., Lehmann, A. and Wicker, K. (2002) Small Is Profitable: The Hidden Economic Benefits of Making Electrical Resources the Right Size, Rocky Mountain Institute, Old Snowmass, Context: The Pattern that Connects, p24. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 70 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Figure 23: Critical mass of innovations meeting real market needs creates new waves of innovations. Source: Adapted from Hargroves and Smith, 2005106 Small is Profitable describes a range of components that provide a clear business case in which the size of “electrical sources” (devices that make, save, or store electricity) affects their economic value. It finds that properly considering the economic benefits of “distributed” (decentralized) electricity sources typically raises their value by a large factor, often approximately tenfold, by improving system planning, utility construction and operation (especially of the grid), service quality, and by avoiding societal costs. 106 Hargroves, K. and Smith, M.H. (2005) The Natural Advantage of Nations: Business Opportunities, Innovation and Governance in the 21st Century, Earthscan, London. Chapter 1: The Need for a New Paradigm, Figure 1.2, p19. The publication’s online companion is available at www.naturaladvantage.info. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 71 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Figure 24: A new wave of innovation in the energy sector. Source: Adapted from Hargroves and Smith, 2005107 What Lovins et al. are arguing, is that we stand on the cusp of a wave of innovation in the energy sector. Small is Profitable is only one piece of a growing body reports making such arguments. Other reports include the 1999 the Union of Concerned Scientists report Powerful Solutions: Seven Ways to Switch America to Renewable Electricity108 and their follow-on report, Clean Energy Blueprint, A Smarter National Energy Policy for Today and the Future109. They show that advances in energy efficiency, demand management, renewable energy, co-generation, fuel cells, and new fuels like hydrogen are not simply a list of interesting options but together represent the path to decarbonizes the energy sector. Increasingly, these economic benefits are being understood. It is possible for anyone to purchase or supply renewable energy. Almost any industry can become at least 40% more energy efficient. Even if you don’t care about greenhouse gases and carbon credits, and care only about economic growth, the case studies mentioned above show that it makes sense for energy utilities to invest in energy efficiency and renewables. More Hargroves, K. and Smith, M.H. (2005) The Natural Advantage of Nations: Business Opportunities, Innovation and Governance in the 21st Century, Earthscan, London. Chapter 1: The Need for a New Paradigm, Figure 1.2, p19. The publication’s online companion is available at www.naturaladvantage.info. 108 Nogge, A et al (1999) Powerful Solutions: Seven Ways to Switch America to Renewable Electricity. Union of Concerned Scientists. (http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/clean_energy_policies/offmen-powerful-solutionscontents.html) 109 Clemmer, S et al (2001) Clean Energy Blueprint, A Smarter National Energy Policy for Today and the Future. American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy. 107 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 72 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World and more energy utilities, businesses, and municipalities are investing in energy efficiency and either building renewable energy sources or purchasing energy from them. CCX member Interface, an international carpet manufacturer, is building its own wind farm. Another CCX member, Dupont, has committed to purchasing 10% of all its energy from renewables by 2010. In many countries it is now possible for business, universities, and virtually any organization to purchase “green power” through government accredited systems. As stated in the Management Report, Episcopal Power and Light are encouraging churches to implement energy efficiency strategies and to purchase their electrical power from renewable sources. The Rev. Jim Ball of the Evangelical Environmental Network, who in 2002 began a "What Would Jesus Drive?" campaign and drove a hybrid vehicle across the country, said the strongest moral argument he made to fellow evangelicals was that climate change would have disproportionate effects on the poorest regions in the world.110 Finally, internationally, regionally and locally there are now a raft of programs, renewable energy targets, and regulations such as the Kyoto Protocol that will further drive this wave of innovation.111 The ratification of the Kyoto Protocol, and rising global demand for greenhouse gas reductions is not just driving a wave of innovation in the energy sector, it is also driving innovations in how societies meet their needs in a broader sense. Most industry sectors are now consciously working to become more efficient and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Goodstein, L. (2005) ‘Evangelical Leaders Swing Influence Behind Effort to Combat Global Warming’, New York Times, March 10, 2005. 111 A sample of some of the emerging European links and databases (in English) that provide significant resources for CCX and ECX members are: A Global Overview of Renewable Energy Resources (AGORES) n.d. Renewable Energy Information, www.agores.org/WHOS_WHO/DIRECTORIES/default.htm (accessed November 2006); GreenTIE, n.d. GREENTIE, www.greentie.org (accessed December 2006); and CADDET, n.d. CADDET, www.caddet.org/search/results.php (accessed November 2006). 110 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 73 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Part 2: Reducing Process Emissions (including nonCO2 emissions) in High GHG Emitting Sectors The order of the industry sectors covered next here in Part 2 follows the order that these industry sectors are listed in chapters 7 and 8 of the CCX rulebook, to allow easy cross-referencing. The CCX rulebook outlines how emissions can be monitored, measured and then counted for carbon financial instruments (CFI’s) covering numerous sectors. The methods prescribed in it follow WRI/WBCSD protocols. Specific guides and automated workshops based on these protocols can all be downloaded112 for many industry sectors covered in the CCX rulebook. Part 2 of the Operations Report seeks to compliment this by providing an overview of what leaders in these industry sectors are doing to achieve marked reductions in onsite GHG emissions through which CCX members can gain CFI credits. Iron and Steel Production Figure 25: Smelting for Iron Source: Myanmar, n.d.113 Steel is produced in the majority of the world's nations, though over 96% of world steel production in 2000 was centered in 36 countries. The value of steel produced annually is in excess of US$200 billion. As with the aluminum sector, the peak international body for the steel sector has also issued a number of significant reports and commitments recently, including the first ever global Steel Sustainability Report.114 These reports show that the steel industry has taken Chicago Climate Exchange n.d. CCX Rulebook, http://www.chicagoclimatex.com/info/rulebook.html (accessed December 2006). 113 Myanmar, n.d. Mining Enterprises, http://mission.itu.ch/MISSIONS/Myanmar/ecom/MINES/MINES/myanmar.com/Ministry/Mines/mines/No%20(3)%20Mining%20Enterprise.htm (accessed November 2006). 114 International Iron and Steel and Institute (2004) Sustainability Report 2004: The Measure of Our Sustainability, Report of the World Steel Industry, www.worldsteel.org/sustainability.php?page=report (accessed November 2006) 112 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 74 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World encouraging strides over the past decades to reduce its energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. In the recent International Iron and Steel Institute (IISI) study ‘Energy Use in the Steel Industry’, case histories of four steel product facilities indicated reductions in energy consumption have been in the order of 25% since the mid-1970s. In fact, since the end of World War II, the industry has reduced its energy intensity (energy use per shipped ton) by 60%. Between 1990 and 1998 alone, intensity has dropped from 20 to 18 million Btu (MBtu) per ton. Figure 26: EU steel industry energy consumption per tone of finished steel vs. EU steel industry CO2 emissions per ton of finished steel. Source: European Confederation of Iron and Steel Industries, 2000115 The savings resulted from several key technological innovations which are projected to reduce emissions to 15 MBtu/ton by 2010. Already there is a significant list of emerging opportunities that will allow the steel industry to achieve even further greenhouse gas emission reductions into the coming decades. The IISI study suggests the future may bring energy consumption figures of 12 GJ/t of steel, 115 European Confederation of Iron and Steel Industries (EUROFER) (2000) The European Steel Industry and Climate Change Report, EUROFER, Brussels, http://www.eurofer.org/publications/pdf/200010EuropSteelIndClimateChanges.pdf (accessed December 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 75 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 a saving of about 60% from current values. This is in accord with the findings of Hamilton et al.116 Whilst there is not room in this report to give an overview of all the opportunities in each sector to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, we will do so for the steel sector in order to give a sense to the reader that with every sector there are a similar array of opportunities and enabling technologies to be considered. Table 5 details the main opportunities to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the steel sector.117 Current Production Technologies Co-generation A co-generation system implemented on a Melbourne, Australia, iron smelting plant is recovering enough heat to: power 20,000 homes each year; create a new low-energy technology for treating waste water on site; produce a valuable by-product for sale on the international market; and save AUD$1 million in energy bills. Advanced and high efficiency electricity generation technology Combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) can be used to self-generate some of the electricity used in the steel and iron industries. Coke dry quenching To recover the heat losses in coke-making to generate electricity. Pulverized coal injection (PCI) in blast furnaces Since the late 1980s this technology has become more and more widely used. It allows the coke to be directly injected into the blast furnace, thereby reducing the amount of coal used for steel production by a ration of 1.4:1. This has potential to reduce a large percentage of GHG emissions. Top gas recovery turbines (TRT) To recover the top gas from blast furnaces to generate electricity. Basic oxygen furnace (BOF) gas/ stream recovery systems. To recover the gas and steam from BOFs and to realize a net negative energy use in BOF steel making processes. Emerging Enabling Production Technologies Smelting reduction iron making The smelting reduction process no-longer requires the coke oven or the sinter plant, and can even run on cheap non-coking coals. These innovations reduce both the operational and upfront capital costs of iron production. Hamilton, C. et al. (2002) Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios A pilot study of how Australia can achieve deep cuts in emissions, The Australia Institute, Discussion Paper Number 48. 117 Additional information on these emerging methods at: Department of Energy (DOE) (1996), Effects of Energy Technology on Global CO2 Emissions, Department of Energy, Washington D.C.; DOE (2002) Annual Energy Outlook 2002, Department of Energy, Washington D.C.; International Iron and Steel Institute (IISI) (1996), Statistics on Energy in the Steel Industry, IISI, Brussels.; IISI (1998) Energy Use in the Steel Industry, ISSI, Brussels; Stubbles, J. (2000) Energy Use in the U.S. Steel Industry, U.S. DOE, Washington D.C., http://www.getf.org/file/toolmanager/O16F21874.pdf (accessed November 2006). 116 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 76 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Direct reduction iron –making process Directly reduced iron (DRI) production involves directly reducing iron ores to metallic iron without the need for smelting of raw materials in a blast furnace (which is the most energy intensive process in iron production). In this process, reformed natural gas is used to convert iron ore into partially metallized iron granules. Thin slab and strip casting These forms of casting replace the conventional hot rolling mill, thereby bypassing the reheating and roughing steps in normal hot rolling mill production sequences. This produces a thin slab at lower cost with maximal use of the thermal energy of molten iron, while also minimizing additional fuel and electricity use downstream. Table 5: Heat and gas recovery options Source:(Stubbles, 2001. Hamilton et al, 2002)118 The overall energy efficiency of the steel industry could increase by 35% through adoption of these new technologies,119 with potential overall efficiency improvements of 70%.120 The increased recycling of steel and iron can offer further significant efficiency gains as, for example, it takes at least 60% less energy to produce steel from scrap than it does from iron ore. Furthermore, waste disposal problems are lessened because used steel can be recycled over and over. Steel beverage cans may become new steel in a matter of weeks; cars may take 10 to 15 years; and buildings and bridges nearly a century.121 Sooner or later, virtually all scrap gets back to the steel mill. Steel's established recycling loop and the ease with which scrap is reclaimed through steel's natural magnetism helps today's designers make end-of-life recycling a vital part of product planning. An extensive re-examination of steel production practices is being carried out in various regional programs around the world. One example is the Ultra Low CO2 Steelmaking (ULCOS) project in Europe. The objective of ULCOS is to formulate new ways of producing steel with large reductions in green-house gas emissions. This means that paradigm shifts have to be envisioned and that breakthrough technologies have to be explored. This has obvious consequences in terms of development time, complexity, and funding for technology research and development. The IISI’s CO2 Breakthrough Program, started in 2003, aims to bring together the various regional programs that are in progress around the world. Stubbles, J. (2000) Energy Use in the U.S. Steel Industry, U.S. DOE, Washington D.C. Hamilton, C. et al. (2002) Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios A pilot study of how Australia can achieve deep cuts in emissions, The Australia Institute, Discussion Paper Number 48 119 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (1998) Annual Energy Outlook 2002, Department of Energy, Washington D.C.; International Iron and Steel Institute (IISI) (1998), Energy Use in the Steel Industry, IISI, Brussels. 120 Hamilton, C. et al. (2002) Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios A pilot study of how Australia can achieve deep cuts in emissions, The Australia Institute, Discussion Paper Number 48. 121 Additional information at: Sustainable Steel n.d. International Iron and Steel Institute, http://www.sustainablesteel.org (accessed November 2006). 118 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 77 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Initially, the program will provide a platform for technical exchange between parallel and independent programs. In the future, it may bring together large-scale, common projects to develop the steel-making processes of the future, while sharing strategy, costs, and acceptance of the new technologies. A wide range of technologies with a high potential for reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas emissions will be examined. Some examples include the carbon-lean technologies listed in Table 5 combined with CO2 capture and sequestration, and innovative use of natural gas, hydrogen, biomass, and electricity. Together these offer the steel industry the potential to reduce its GHG footprint by as much as 70%. Therefore, the steel industry has much to gain by joining the CCX/ECX, as it has significant potential to achieve CFI’s if it simply maintains its current rates of GHG reduction/ton of steel produced, from the last 50 years, over the coming decades. The list of emerging technologies in Table 5 gives every encouragement that this can be achieved. The Aluminum Sector Figure 27: Aluminum Ingots Source: Alcan, n.d122 Hall and Héroul independently discovered the production of aluminum through electrolysis in 1886. In 1900, annual output of aluminum was one thousand tones; by the end of the twentieth century annual production had reached 32 million tones, comprising 24 million tones of primary aluminum and 8 million tones from recycled metal. This makes aluminum the most recycled metal in the world. In Europe, over the past 22 years the production of aluminum metal from used products has been growing by an average of 4% annually. From 1960 to 2000 the ratio of global recycled metal tonnage to total industry product shipments increased from 17% to 33%, and by 2020 it is projected to increase to around 40%. Even without subsidy the Industry continues to recycle aluminum, but with the help of appropriate authorities, local communities and society as a whole, the amount of aluminum 122 More information at: Alcan Australia, n.d. Alcan Australia Homepage, http://www.alcan.com.au/home/content.asp?PageID=329&pnav=308 (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 78 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World collected from used products and fabrications processes can be increased even further. Aluminum is a marvelous metal, light and flexible, But it is also extremely energy intensive to produce In 2003, the Future Generations Sustainable Development Program was launched by the International Aluminum Institute123 (IAI) in partnership with the regional and national aluminum associations. The program is a voluntary global undertaking by the members of the IAI, involving 26 CEOs, whose companies represent over 75% of the world’s aluminum production. "The program unites IAI member companies in their shared commitment towards sustainable development across the three pillars of environmental footprint, economic growth and social progress." Travis Engen, the IAI chairman and CEO of Alcan. Clearly, most organizations already know what their sector is committed to regarding greenhouse gas reductions. The International Aluminum Institute’s commitments are an example of what many sectors are actually doing now. The IAI’s eight voluntary objectives and twenty-two performance indicators were designed for the program to encourage a continual improvement in performance by the industry.124 The following outlines the objectives and indicators that overlap with the greenhouse gas reduction goals of CCX. 1. Voluntary Objective 1: An 80% reduction in perfluorocarbon (PFC) greenhouse gas emissions by 2010 versus 1990 for the industry as a whole per ton of aluminum produced. Between 1990-2003 PFC specific emissions (per ton of aluminum produced) were reduced by 73%. Thus, since 1990 a reduction equivalent to around 3 tons of CO2 per ton of aluminum produced has been achieved. 2. Voluntary Objective 3: A 10% reduction in smelting energy usage by 2010 versus 1990 for the industry as a whole per ton of aluminum produced. Since 1990 the average electric energy used for electrolysis has been cut by 6%. 3. Voluntary Objective 7: A reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from road, rail and sea transport through the industry’s annual monitoring of aluminum shipments. Also the industry will track aluminum’s contribution through light-weighting. Between 2002 – 2003 aluminum shipments to the automotive and light truck industry increased by 5.5%. To meet these targets the International Aluminum Institute will: 1. Make available a team of consultants, comprising leading technical experts from the industry, to provide advice and training on good practice from around the world; More information at: The International Aluminum Institute 2004 Aluminum For Future Generations: Sustainability Update 2004, www.world-aluminium.org/iai/publications/documents/update_2004.pdf (accessed November 2006). 124 International Aluminium Institute, n.d. The Aluminium Industry’s Sustainability Report, http://www.worldaluminium.org/iai/publications/sustainable.html (accessed November 2006) 123 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 79 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 2. Gather annual global scrap and recycling statistics to help identify the scope for increased recycling; 3. Publish annual global surveys of the aluminum industry's energy consumption; 4. Publish an annual global survey of the industry's PFC emissions and PFC reduction performance, backed up by benchmarking graphs and training seminars to encourage plants to match the best performers. Energy Efficiency The IAI publishes an annual Survey of Global Energy Consumption, which has, over the years, recorded a considerable reduction in energy consumption per ton. Producers of aluminum have always had a vested interest in minimizing electricity consumption because energy represents a large part of the costs (approximately 25%) associated with primary aluminum production. In the 1990s, smelters used a third less electricity per ton than the equivalent plant in the 1950s, and that trend of improving energy efficiency is continuing. Hamilton et al.,125 in their landmark Australian study, looked into how industries can achieve deep cuts in greenhouse emissions. They found that through a wide range of options, such as minimizing heat losses in digester processes, or replacing rotary kilns with gas suspension calciners, a 33% improvement in energy efficiency between now and 2050 is both technically and economically realistic. In most countries at present, the electricity intensity of electrolysis is twice the absolute theoretical limit of 6.34 MWh/t. A realistic goal is 10-11 MWh/t, which will require the use of new materials and improved pot design.126 Greenhouse Gases Reduction in the form of Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) PFCs are produced when brief upsets in the conditions of electrolysis occur. The institute carries out annual surveys of perfluorocarbon (PFC) emissions and also sends out benchmarking reports allowing individual plants to compare their performance with other de-identified plants using the same technology. A PFC consultant has been appointed by the industry to hold seminars and carry out measurement programs in order to encourage the wider adoption of good operating practices. For the years 1998, 1999 and 2000, the preliminary results of the IAI surveys for IAI member companies reporting anode effect data showed a continuing declining trend with PFC emissions - as carbon dioxide equivalents - by 60% per ton of production since 1990. Between 1990 and 2000, the companies responding to requests for anode effect data increased the world's primary aluminum production from 61% to 66%. Worldwide estimates of PFC emissions have been based on an extrapolation of the IAI survey data using the knowledge of the reduction 125 Hamilton, C. et al. (2002) Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios: A pilot study of how Australia can achieve deep cuts in emissions, The Australia Institute, Discussion Paper Number 48. 126 Australian Department of Industry Tourism and Resources (2006) Energy Efficiency Best Practice in the Australian Aluminum Industry Sector. Available from www.industry.gov.au (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 80 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World technologies at those facilities that have not reported anode effect data. Those results show that, while worldwide aluminum production has increased by around 24% since 1990, there has still been an overall reduction in the total annual emissions of PFCs. These reductions in PFC emissions to the atmosphere are estimated to amount to over 34 million ton as carbon dioxide equivalents, which represents approximately a 39% reduction from the 1990 baseline for worldwide PFC emissions. The surveys also show that smelters in the developing world, which often use state of the art technology, are performing as well, if not better, than some plants in Europe or North America. Alcan is a good example, winning the 2003 Corporate Knights Gold Award for Sustainability and Ford's 2003 World Environmental Leadership Award. Part of the award was for reducing PFC emissions for all Alcan smelters by 70% overall, compared to 1990 levels. Alcan reduced PFC emissions in one smelter in France by 60%, compared with 2001, by replacing two out-of-date pot-line control systems. This success inspired the company to adopt a systematic company wide emissions reduction commitment which has resulted in the company achieving significant results and numerous awards internationally for their efforts. Improvements in Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions from Recycling During the period 1996-1999, world primary aluminum production increased, on average, by 3.5%.127 Another way of addressing the problem of increased greenhouse gas emissions resulting from increased aluminum production is through recycling more secondary aluminum and reducing the amount of primary aluminum produced. Norgate and Rankin, Australia’s CSIRO experts in this field, have estimated that recycling aluminum at a rate of 30% (70% primary aluminum, 30% recycled aluminum) reduces total energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions by about 30% over primary aluminum production. However, metal quality and product recovery issues will affect the number of recycles possible in practice.128 It is evident the U.S. aluminum industry should join CCX given the aluminum industry's progress to date in achieving targets that are even more ambitious than CCX requirements. International Primary Aluminium Institute (IPAI) web site (www.world-aluminium.org). Cit Norgate, T. E. and Rankin, W.J. (2001) ‘Greenhouse gas emissions from aluminum production – a life cycle approach’, CSIRO Minerals, published in Metallurgical Society of the Canadian Institute of Mining Metallurgy and Petroleum (2001) Proceedings of the International Symposium on Greenhouse Gases in the Metallurgical Industries: Policies, Abatement and Treatment, August 26-29, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, pp 275-290, http://www.minerals.csiro.au/sd/CSIRO_Paper_LCA_Al.htm (accessed November 2006). 128 Norgate, T. E. and Rankin, W.J. (2001) ‘Greenhouse gas emissions from aluminum production – a life cycle approach’, CSIRO Minerals, published in Metallurgical Society of the Canadian Institute of Mining Metallurgy and Petroleum (2001) Proceedings of the International Symposium on Greenhouse Gases in the Metallurgical Industries: Policies, Abatement and Treatment, August 26-29, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, pp 275-290, http://www.minerals.csiro.au/sd/CSIRO_Paper_LCA_Al.htm (accessed November 2006). 127 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 81 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Waste Management Landfill gas (LFG) is created as solid waste decomposes in a landfill. This gas consists of about 50 percent methane (CH4), the primary component of natural gas, about 50 percent carbon dioxide (CO2), and a small amount of non-methane organic compounds. As discussed in the Management Report, methane is a greenhouse gas with a global warming potential 21 times stronger than CO2. Municipal solid waste landfills are the most significant source of human-related methane emissions in the USA, accounting for 25 percent of these emissions in 2004. Landfill gas (LFG) projects capture 60-90% of the methane emitted from the landfill. The captured methane is burned to produce electricity and produces water and CO2. Good waste management techniques and practices can reduce greenhouse gas emissions from landfill waste in numerous ways as summarized in Table 6. Municipal Solid Waste Management Strategy Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks Raw Materials Acquisition and Manufacturing Change in Forest or Soil Carbon Storage Source Reduction Decrease in GHG emissions relative to the balance of manufacturing. Recycling Decrease in GHG Increase in forest emissions due to carbon storage. low energy requirements (compared to manufacture from virgin inputs) and avoided process non-energy GHGs. Waste Management Increase in forest No carbon storage. emissions/sinks. Process and transportation emissions associated with recycling are counted in the manufacturing stage. Composition No emissions/sinks. (food scraps, yard trimmings) Increase in soil carbon storage. Compost machinery emissions and transportation emissions. Combustion No change. No change. Non-biogenic CO2, N2O emissions, avoided utility emissions, and transportation emissions. Landfilling No change. No change. Electricity from Methane emissions, longterm carbon Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 82 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World storage, avoided utility emissions, and transportation emissions. Table 6: Components of net emissions for various municipal solid waste management strategies. Source: US EPA, n.d.129 The US EPA created the Landfill Methane Outreach Program (LMOP)130 in 1994 to significantly reduce methane emissions from municipal solid waste (MSW) landfills by encouraging the use of landfill gas (LFG) for energy. Of the 2,300 or so currently operating or recently closed MSW landfills in the United States, about 380 have LFG utilization projects. The US EPA estimates that “approximately 600 more MSW landfills could turn their gas into energy, producing enough electricity to power over 900,000 homes. Landfill gas emitted from decomposing garbage is a reliable and renewable fuel option that remains largely untapped at many landfills across the United States, despite its many benefits. Generating energy from LFG creates a number of environmental benefits.”131 EPA (1998) Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Management of Selected Materials in Municipal Solid Waste, http://yosemite.epa.gov/oar/globalwarming.nsf/UniqueKeyLookup/SHSU5BUMGJ/$File/greengas.pdf (accessed November 2006). 130 US EPA Landfill Methane Outreach Program (http://www.epa.gov/lmop/index.htm) accessed February 2007 131 Ibid 129 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 83 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Manufacturing Contributions of the Manufacturing Sector to Greenhouse Gases The manufacturing sector accounts for over 80% of energy consumption and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, standing as the largest source of energyrelated carbon dioxide emissions in U.S. industry.132 Table 7, below, summarizes the results of the U.S. Energy Information Association’s 1998 Manufacturing Consumption Survey (MECS), which surveyed more than 15,000 plants every four years. SIC* Code CO2 Emissions (Millions Metric Tons) Share of Total Manufacturing Emissions (%) Carbon Intensity of Energy Supply (Million Metric Tons per Quadrillion Btu of Energy Consumed) Petroleum 29 320.4 21.6 45.26 Chemicals 28 319.2 21.5 45.84 Metals 33 251.0 16.9 68.17 Paper 26 118.4 8.0 37.40 Food 20 90.4 6.1 59.05 Glass 32 82.9 5.6 67.76 303.6 20.4 55.20 1,485.8 100.0 50.91 Industry Group Other Manufacturing Total *Standard Industry Classification Table 7: Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Manufacturing by Industry Group, 1998 Source: Energy Information Association, 1998133 The trends of energy consumption in the U.S. manufacturing sector show an overall increase in energy-related CO2 emissions from 1991 to 1998 of 234.4 million metric tons, or 18.7%, corresponding to a 36.4% increase in demand for manufacturing products over the same period.134 In the European Union, CO2 emissions from fossilfuel use (either for combustion or feedstock) in the manufacturing sector accounted for 15% of total greenhouse emissions in 2000. Between 1990 and 2000, the EU experienced an 8% reduction in CO2 emissions, due primarily to energy efficiency improvements and structural change in Germany. Furthermore, as Figure 15 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (2003), Emissions of Greenhouse Gases in the United States 2003, http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/ggrpt/manufacturing.html (accessed November 2006). 133 Energy Information Association (EIA) (1998) Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, Form EIA-846; Monthly Refinery Report, NS Form EIA-810. 134 Ibid. 132 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 84 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World indicates, over the period of 1990 – 1999, gross value industrial output in Europe increased by 8%, indicating a “decoupling” of emissions from gross value added. Figure 28: Carbon dioxide emissions from EU manufacturing sector and gross value added. Source: European Environment Agency, 2002135 Encouraging in the USA manufacturing companies are adopting best practice in energy efficiency, demand management, whole system design, and using green energy to make deep cuts in company-wide greenhouse gas emissions. Initiatives such as the Chicago Manufacturing Centre GreenPlants136 program are providing manufacturing companies in the Chicago area with a facilitated approach to implementing such practices for greenhouse gas reductions and improved competitiveness. The following case stories give a flavor of the sorts of programs coming into effect. Gugele, B. et al. (2002) Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trends in Europe, 1990 – 2000, European Topic Centre on Air and Climate Change, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen. 136 Additional information at: Chicago Manufacturing Centre n.d. GreenPlants Initiative, http://www.cmcusa.org/initiatives/greenplants.cfm (accessed November 2006). 135 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 85 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 International Examples of Best Practice in Greenhouse Gas Reductions 1. Small Manufacturer - Harbec Plastics Inc., U.S.137 Harbec Plastics Inc. is a small New York based custom-injection molding company with expertise in both low volume prototypes and large production runs. They service customers in the automotive, medical equipment, and office products industries. Noting how increasing electricity rates, power surges and blackouts, were severely affecting the company’s competitiveness, the management at Harbec set out to implement best practice in energy efficiency, co-generation, renewable electricity, and green building development. Injection molding is an energy intensive process requiring a series of machining, heating and cooling processes that consume a lot of energy, and generate large amounts of waste heat. Not only do these use energy, they also detract from worker performance and comfort, particularly in the hot and humid summer months. The conventional solution of implementing an air-conditioning system was quickly eliminated due to high cost, and the decision was made, instead, to engage in energy efficiency practices and reuse the waste heat in the molding process. The company first captured the “low hanging fruit” by replacing inefficient older equipment with efficient lighting, motors, soft starts and inverter drives. Harbec then replaced two-dozen hydraulic-powered injection-molding machines with a more efficient alternative. Although the new machines cost 50% more than the originals, the replacements would recover the cost differential in three years from reduced energy consumption. The new machines further reduced waste heat and excess moisture, were much quieter, and effectively cut greenhouse emissions from the molding operation in half. On 14 August 2003, a blackout rolled across 8 northeastern U.S. states shutting Harbec, and millions of other customers down. To provide a cleaner and more reliable source of power, Harbec invested in the use of highly efficient micro turbines that would run on locally sourced natural gas, methane, or waste gases, and would also cut transmission inefficiencies. Waste heat from the micro turbine set-up would power the air conditioning for the entire molding production facility. The micro turbines would produce 1,500,000 kWh annually, and reduce carbon emissions by 90% compared to drawing energy from traditional fossil fuel plants. The result is an annual carbon dioxide emissions saving of 1012.5 tons. Harbec further took advantage of the local winds to install wind power generation on site. Though the location was considered a non-viable wind generation location for commercial wind farm developers, the small turbines generated the electricity at a lower cost than buying the electricity purchased from the grid at peak rate times. Coupled with the distributed power on site, the 250kW Fuhrlaender wind turbine would be capable of generating 350,000 kWh of electricity annually, or 20-25% of 137 Clean Air – Cool Planet n.d. Case Study: Harbec Plastics, http://www.cleanaircoolplanet.org/information/pdf/Harbec_case_study.pdf (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 86 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Harbec’s total annual energy requirements. Finally, the turbine eliminated annual carbon dioxide emissions of 264 tons. Figure 29: Harbec Plastics wind turbine Source: Harbec Plastics, n.d.138 Harbec has also made use of the U.S. Green Building Council’s Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) program, to implement within the plant’s facilities day lighting via skylights, insulated wall segments, preinstalled interior and exterior siding, a warm air re-circulation system, and radiant floor heating. The above activities undertaken by Harbec Plastics Inc., including other initiatives such as a Green Fleet program, have lead to an annual carbon dioxide emissions reduction of 1807.94 tons. 2. Large Manufacturer: DuPont139 Global chemicals manufacturing giant DuPont has built upon its early success of developing alternatives to chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from its global operations by 67% since 1990, reducing energy use by 9% below 1990 levels during an increase in production of 35%, and sourcing 3% of its energy from renewables. The inventory of greenhouse emissions and identification of point source reductions began in 1991, where DuPont retrofitted facilities in Texas, Canada, the UK, and Singapore in a US$50 million program to reduce nitrous oxide emissions (310 time more potent than carbon dioxide as a greenhouse gas). Paul Tebo, DuPont’s vice president for safety, health and the environment, stated “the company’s major stretch goal for global operations is to achieve zero injuries, illnesses, incidents, wastes and emissions.” The result of this process has been a 55% percent reduction in emissions from global operations. 138 139 Ibid. The Climate Change Group, n.d. Case Studies, http://www.theclimategroup.org/index.php?pid=430 (accessed November 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 87 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 DuPont heightened its aggressive corporate energy policy, with a focus on maximizing energy efficiency, lowering the environmental impact of energy consumption, and renewing power infrastructure. The company engaged groundfloor teams to search for energy efficiency improvements throughout operations – installing efficient lighting, heating and cooling, compressed air and co-generation. The energy efficiency program kept energy use “flat” between 1990 and 2000, saving DuPont US$2 billion, while production increased 35%. Through the use of renewables, DuPont save a further US$10-15 million annually. It has set targets to reduce greenhouse gases by 65% below 1990 levels by 2010, hold energy use constant at 1990 levels and source 10% of global energy from renewables.140 3. Large Manufacturer: Intel Corporation141 Founded in 1968, Intel Corporation has grown into a world leader in the manufacture of computer chips and additional computer, networking and communications products. In response to the business case for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, Intel have reduced perfluorocarbon (PFC) emissions by 35% between 2001 and 2003; held its total worldwide energy use constant from 2002 to 2003; and are purchasing 14 million kWh annually of clean wind power. To meet the goal of a 10% reduction of PFC emissions below 1995 levels by 2010, as stated in the World Semiconductor Council agreement of 1999, Intel will reduce PFC emission by more than 90% per silicon wafer, through chemical substitution, process optimization, and abatement in manufacturing processes. Intel is making significant ground in reducing end-user emissions through improving the efficiency of it products, such as the development of the Instantly Available PC (IAPC) technology, which reduces energy usage by 71%. The U.S. EPA estimates the IAPC technology will avoid 159 million tones of CO2 emissions between 2002 and 2010. Intel has spent US$2-3 million per year on energy conservation initiatives in global facilities, resulting in annual energy cost savings of US$10 million. The company has set an internal goal of reducing energy consumed per unit of production by 4% from 2002 – 2010. Future priorities of Intel include the preparation for involvement in the emerging carbon market, and its effects on global operations. 140 141 Ibid. Ibid. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 88 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Semi-conductor Wafer Production (PFC emissions) In April 1999, the World Semiconductor Council (WSC) announced its intention to reduce perfluorocarbon (PFCs) emissions by at least 10% below the industry's 1995 baseline level by year-end 2010.142 The current processes to manufacture semiconductors require the use of many of these high greenhouse-warmingpotential gases (see Table 6), and 1080% of these gases pass through the manufacturing tool chambers un-reacted and are released into the air. PFCs are unsurpassed in their process performance, and are vital to etching intricate circuitry features on silicon wafers and for cleaning chemical vapor deposition tool chambers (CVDs). Although PFC use did not begin until the late 1980s, their application facilitated the development of significantly more complex and faster processing semiconductors. Table 8 presents some of the process chemicals used by the industry and the environmental impact of these gases if released to the atmosphere. Compound Application Atmospheric Lifetime (years)* Global Warming Potential (100 year)* CVD Chamber Cleaning Plasma Etching CO2 N/A N/A variable 1 C2F6 Yes Yes 10,000 9,200 CF4 Yes 50,000 6,500 SF6 Yes 3,200 23,900 Yes 740** 10,800** Yes 264 11,700 2,600 7,000 3,200 8,700 NF3 Yes CHF3 C3F8 Yes c-C4F8 *IPCC, 1995. Yes 143 Yes **IPCC, 2001. 144 Table 8: Electronic gas applications and climate impact Source: U.S. EPA, n.d.145 PFCs are dissociated in plasmas and thereby provide highly reactive fluorine atoms in the manufacturing tool chambers. In CVD tool chamber cleaning applications, the US EPA, n.d. PFC Reduction Partnership for the Semiconductor Industry, http://www.epa.gov/highgwp/semiconductor-pfc/overview.html (accessed November 2006). 143 Intergovenmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (1995) Greenhouse Gas Inventory Reference Manual, IPCC WG1 Technical Support Centre, Hadley Centre, Bracknell, UK. 144 Houghton, J. T. Ding, Y. Nogua, M. Griggs, D. Van der Linden, P. Maskell, K. (eds.) Intergovenmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2001) Climate Change 2001. The scientific basis, Cambridge University Press., Cambridge, U.K. 145 US EPA, n.d. PFC Reduction/Climate Partnership for the Semiconductor Industry, http://www.epa.gov/highgwp/semiconductor-pfc/overview.html (accessed November 2006). 142 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 89 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 fluorine atoms react with and remove excess materials from the surface of the tool chambers themselves. In the case of plasma etching, the free fluorine atoms selectively react with and remove insulating and/or conductive materials from the exposed surface of a silicon wafer to create the intricate circuitry patterns found on modern semiconductors. The semiconductor industry is implementing a variety of emission reduction strategies, such as switching to alternative input gases, for example NF3, which react and are utilized more efficiently in the process, thereby emitting significantly less PFC into the exhaust stream. IBM is using NF3 to replace as much as 98% of PFCs in some processes. Figure 30: IBM Circuit Board Source: Printed Circuit Board Fabricators, 1999146 Other methods include fine-tuning the production processes to use and emit less PFC gas. While the industry has made significant advances in controlling emissions from CVD processes, there is still considerable work needed to economically reduce PFC emissions from delicate plasma etching processes. More detailed information on the costs of reducing PFC emissions from semiconductor manufacturing is available at the U.S. EPA's web site.147 Some companies, such as Swiss headquartered CCX member STMircoelectronics (ST), are showing that it is possible to significantly reduce PFC emissions. ST has set its own internal target for PFCs, which is to reduce its emissions to 10% of 1995 levels (reduction by a factor of 10) per unit of production by 2008, two years before the WSC deadline PFC emissions rose 33% 1998-2003. ST has managed to cut the emission rate by 53% compared with the 1995 baseline. In 2003 it reached a rate of 40% alternative chemicals compared with 2% in 1995.148 There are numerous online resources to assist individual firms to address these issues.149 Printed Circuit Board Fabricators (1999) Homepage, http://www.pcbfab.com/index1.html (accessed November 2006). 147 U.S. EPA (2001) Cost and Emission Reduction Analysis of PFC, HFC, and SF 6 emissions from semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S. www.epa.gov/highgwp/pdfs/chap6_semi.pdf (accessed November 2006). 148 STMicroelectronics (2004) Sustainability Report 2003, p. 92-3, http://www.st.com/stonline/company/environm/sustdev/sustdev03.pdf (accessed November 2006). 149 U.S. EPA n.d. Documents, Tools, Resources www.epa.gov/highgwp/semiconductor-pfc/resources.html (accessed November 2006). 146 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 90 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Many countries, including the U.S., led on this issue before the WSC announced its PFC reduction targets. The U.S. EPA's PFC Reduction/Climate Partnership150 for the Semiconductor Industry was launched in 1996, and has served as a catalyst for semiconductor companies in Europe, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan to organize similar voluntary programs and join with the U.S. to establish the first global industry climate protection goal. The U.S. EPA program has, overall, been very successful at reducing PFC emissions below business as usual (see Figure 18). The figure below shows the U.S. semiconductor industry partners' historical and expected future PFC emissions (green) compared to its "business as usual" (BAU) emissions (blue). The BAU scenario reflects the partners’ direct PFC emissions assuming they take no action to reduce emissions. The semiconductor industry's impressive growth pattern is historically cyclical. While production slowed and declined in 2001 and 2002, rising demand for personal computers and mobile handsets in 2003 has sparked a recovery and return to industry growth expected to approach 11 percent annually through 2007.151 Figure 31: Business as usual PFC emissions vs. actual PFC emissions due to GHG emission reductions. Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, n.d.152 U.S. EPA (n.d) PFC Reduction/Climate Partnership www.epa.gov/highgwp/semiconductor-pfc/index.html (accessed November 2006). 151 GreenBiz (n.d.) U.S. E.P.A SF6 Emission Reduction Partnership for Electric Power Systems http://www.greenbiz.com/frame/1.cfm?targetsite=http://www.epa.gov/highgwp1/sf6 (accessed Feb 2007). 152 U.S. EPA (2006) PFC Reduction/Climate Partnership – Accomplishments, http://www.epa.gov/highgwp/semiconductor-pfc/accomplish.html (accessed November 2006). 150 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 91 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Figure 32: Wafer Chip, Motorola Source: Precision Camera, n.d.153 Motorola is a CCX member who has taken a leadership role in the U.S. EPA’s Industry Partnership Program. It is also a member of the World Semiconductor Council and co-chaired the Semiconductor Industry Association PFC Task Force. As a charter member of the EPA PFC Emission Reduction Partnership, Motorola has developed technical solutions to address emissions reduction, and was one of the first companies to develop and release a formal strategy to reduce emissions after working on this issue for nearly six years. Motorola has openly shared its technology developments, evaluation results, and strategies with its competitors in the industry. Intel, Novellus Systems, and NEC are other leading companies who have won awards for their efforts to reduce PFC emissions from this sector.154 Another award winner is Air Products and Chemicals (APC) Inc., who has made significant contributions to the semiconductor industry in characterizing and reducing PFC emissions. They developed analytical methods to accurately measure emissions from semiconductor processes and have used these techniques to characterize the vast majority of processes used in the industry. APC also developed and helped implement strategies for minimizing PFC emissions and have optimized chambercleaning processes by working with integrated circuit manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers. PFC emission reductions of as much as 85% have been achieved where these optimized processes have been implemented. Before the invention of the Hitachi Super Catalytic Decomposition System in 1998, there were no economical means of destroying PFCs. Hitachi Ltd. and Hitachi America Ltd. successfully developed a way to decompose these molecules through catalysis. Semiconductor and liquid crystal display manufacturing industries are now using the process which has proven to be more than 99% efficient at decomposing all PFC gases while maintaining a low cost of ownership to the operational facility. Gallery of Local Texas Photographers n.d. Kirk Tuck Photography, http://www.precisioncamera.com/gallery/tuck/ktuck.htm (accessed November 2006). 154 Ibid. 153 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 92 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World The World Semiconductor Council (WSC), through aiming to reduce perfluorocompound (PFCs) emissions by 10% below the 1995 baseline level by 2010, are setting a target very similar to CCX. The technologies listed allow companies to go well beyond this. Hence, it makes sense, once again, for companies in this sector, such as those mentioned, to join CCX/ECX. Cement Production Cement is one of the basic building blocks of society. The industry produces 1.6 billion tons of cement annually - a 'glue' which holds together much of our modern global infrastructure. It employs about 850,000 workers in facilities in 150 countries. In 2000, the industry had an estimated global annual revenue of US$97 billion and has grown by nearly 4% percent annually over the last decade. The cement industry is one of the most capital-intensive industries: the cost of a new cement plant can be equivalent to about 3 years of revenue. Modern cement plants have capacities well in excess of 1 million tons per year, and once built, facilities may last for 50 years. Figure 33: Cement Industry Greenhouse Gas Emissions Source: Batelle Memorial Institute, 2002155 Cement production is energy-intensive and, as a result, the industry is responsible for 3 to 5% of global CO2 emissions. As a result, the World Business Council for Sustainable Development has identified the cement sector as one of the six industries on which to focus independent research and stakeholder consultations in order to align its practices and policies with the requirements of sustainability.156 Cement production inherently consumes large amounts of materials and energy, and innovations that could radically reduce resources used are hampered by 155 156 World Business Council for Sustainable Development (2002) Toward a Sustainable Cement Industry, World Business Council for Sustainable Development, p 218. WBCSD n.d. Cement Sustainability Initiative, http://www.wbcsdcement.org/ (accessed December 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 93 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 existing standards and specifications. Policies to address climate change may have serious financial consequences for the cement industry, and in the absence of action on the part of cement companies, the financial liabilities associated with the industry’s CO2 emissions could exceed current profits, or result in large increases in the price of cement. A proactive and well-managed strategy to lower CO2 emission from cement production could not only reduce the potential liability, but also yield financial benefits for the industry. The main greenhouse gas emitted by the cement industry is CO2. The industry currently emits 730 to 990 kilograms of CO2 for every 1000 kilograms of cement produced. Furthermore, it requires the equivalent of 60 to 130 kilograms of fuel oil and 110 kWh of electricity to produce one ton of cement. In 2000, the average North American cement producer emitted .99kg of CO2 per kg of cement. The Western European cement industry emitted .84kg of CO2 per kg of cement. Figure 34: Energy Consumption in U.S. cement production by fuel, 1970 to 1997 Source: Martin, Worrell and Price, 1999 157 The largest portion of GHG emissions from production of cement worldwide (approximately 50%) originates from the process reaction that converts limestone to calcium oxide, the primary precursor to cement. Other cement related GHG emissions come from fossil fuel combustion at cement manufacturing operations (about 40% of the industry’s emission); transport of raw materials (about 5%) and combustion of fossil fuel required to produce the electricity consumed by cement manufacturing operations (about 5%). In cement plants, direct CO2 emissions result from the following sources: - 157 calcinations of limestone in the raw materials; Martin, N. Worrell, E. Price, L. (1999) Energy Efficiency and Carbon Dioxide Emissions Reduction Opportunities in the U.S. Cement Industry, Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, p42. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 94 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World - conventional fossil kiln fuels; - alternative fossil-based kiln fuels; - biomass kiln fuel; and - non-kiln fuels. Over 90% of in-house energy is used to fire kilns to heat limestone in the calcinations process. The remaining energy is in the form of electricity to operate kilns, clinker grinding plants and other equipment. Since the early 1980s, there has been a steady trend away from other sources of energy towards a heavier reliance on coal and coke. One of the best, technically proven approaches for reducing process emission lies in reducing the amount of clinker in cement. Substituting pozzolanic materials, such as blast furnace slag, fly ash and natural pozzolans for clinker substantially reduced process-related CO2 emissions. In addition, the dry process is up to two times more efficient than wet cement production. Further energy efficiency options include: 1. conversion from direct to indirect firing; 2. improved recovery from coolers; and 3. installation of roller presses, vertical mills and high efficiency separators. Figure 35: Carbon emissions from the U.S. cement industry by clinker production process Source: Martin, Worrell and Price, 1999158 158 Ibid. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 95 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Further research and development could provide new manufacturing processes to reduce the cement industry’s GHG emissions. Examples of innovations that could reduce CO2 emissions in the future include: - non-limestone based binders; - hybrid plants that produce both energy and cement; - engineered carbon capture and sequestration; Through a blend of magnesium oxide and conventional cement, Australian inventor John Harrison of TecEco Pty. Ltd. developed “eco-cement.” This new blend of cement incorporates magnesium oxide (magnesia) and wastes to make it environmentally sustainable. Eco-Cement uses a lower heating temperature during manufacturing, so less fossil fuels are used. Wastes such as fly and slags etc can be included, without incurring problems such as delayed reactions. Eco-Cement absorbs CO2 from the atmosphere to set and harden and can be recycled.159 Case Study: CEMEX - leading global producer and marketer of quality cement and ready-mix concrete products. Launched in 1994, the CEMEX Eco-efficiency Program160 is designed to optimize energy and raw material efficiency to produce an economic and ecological benefit derived from a reduction of environmental impact. In 2000 alone, the program saved this Mexican-based cement company a total of $35.1 million, while total savings are estimated at more than $60 million. Furthermore, CEMEX reduced their CO2 emissions by 2.5 million metric tons through a variety of methods that included: developing and implementing technology and innovative practices for production processes and new cement plant design; - - selective mining techniques and optimal quarry exploitation; - recycling and reuse of materials; use of alternative raw materials (e.g., blast furnace slag and fly ash, by products from steel plants and power stations); - - use of natural cementing materials (pozzolana); and use of alternative fuels by reusing wastes (petcoke, waste oils, used solvents, etc.). - Raw Materials Preparation Efficient transport system - 159 160 Australian Broadcasting Company, The New Inventors: Eco-Cement by John Harrison, http://www.abc.net.au/newinventors/txt/s1296184.htm Additional information at: Cemex n.d. Cemex Homepage, http://www.cemex.com/ (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 96 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Raw meal blending systems (dry process) Conversion to closed circuit wash mill High-efficiency roller mills (dry cement) High-efficiency classifiers (dry cement) - Clinker Production (Wet) - Clinker Production (Dry) Kiln combustion system Kiln combustion system improvements improvements Kiln shell heat loss reduction Kiln shell heat loss reduction Use of waste fuels Use of waste fuels Conversion to modern grate coolerConversion to modern grate cooler Optimize grate coolers Heat recovery for power generation Conversion to pre-heater, preLow pressure drop cyclones for calciner kilns suspension pre-heaters Conversion to semi-wet kilns Long dry kiln conversion to multistage pre-heater kiln Optimize grate coolers Long dry kiln conversion to multistage pre-heater, pre-calciner kiln Addition of pre-calciner to preheater Finish Grinding (applies to wet and dry cement production) Improved grinding media (ball mills) High-pressure roller press High-efficiency classifiers Improve mill internals - General Measures Preventative maintenance (insulation, compressed air losses, maintenance) Reduced kiln dust wasting Energy management and process control High-efficiency motors Efficient fans with variable speed drivers - Product Changes Blended cements Reducing the concentration of C3S in cements Reducing fineness of cement for selected uses - Table 9: Energy efficient practices and technologies in cement production Source: (Worrell et al)161 161 Worrell, E. Galitsky, C (2004) Energy Efficiency Improvement Opportunities for Cement Making:An Energy Star Guide for Energy and Plant Managers. Environmental Energy Technologies Division: Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Sponsored by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (http://www.energystar.gov/ia/business/industry/Cement_Energy_Guide.pdf) (accessed February 2007) Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 97 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Ammonia Production Ammonia is produced by the Haber process, which combines hydrogen gas with atmospheric nitrogen at high temperatures (~500oC) and very high pressure (~250 atmospheres, ~351kPa). The hydrogen gas produced is usually derived from methane, producing CO2 as a byproduct of the reaction. Figure 36: The Ammonia Manufacturing Process Source: Japan Fertilizer & Ammonia Producers Association, n.d.162 Given that often the ammonia process produces CO2 onsite from stripping hydrogen atoms from methane, carbon sequestration techniques are also relevant here as a method to reduce GHG emissions. Before CO2 gas can be sequestered from power plants or industrial sources, it must be captured as a relatively pure gas. But CO2 is already routinely separated and captured as a by-product of industrial processes such as synthetic ammonia production. 162 Japan Fertilizer and Ammonia Producers Association n.d. Homepage, http://jaf.gr.jp/www/english/english.htm (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 98 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Figure 37: CO2 separation and capture at an ammonia plant. Source: Haldor Topsoe163 Clearly these production methods are perfect for co-generation, because the process is done at high temperatures.164 Such savings count for CFI’s under the stationary combustion criteria and methodologies. However, when looking for GHG reduction opportunities, it is helpful to ask more fundamental questions about the processes involved. Namely, what is the real need here? Are there other ways of meeting that need? Ammonia is largely made for fertilizers. Production of nitrogenous fertilizer from atmospheric nitrogen uses an enormous amount of energy - about 30 gigajoules for every ton of ammonia.165 Are there ways to replenish the soil with nutrients other than through artificial ammonia based fertilizers? If so, which of them has the smallest ecological footprint? Taking a Natural Capitalism / Whole Systems Approach requires finding answers to these fundamental questions. Current scientific, technological, and engineering knowledge provide a multitude of ways to meet civilizations needs today. In designing whole systems solutions one of the criteria sought is synergies; that is, other potential opportunities and problems that could be addressed simultaneously. The following two discussion points are examples of this.166 163 164 165 166 Haldor Topsoe n.d. Products and Services, http://www.haldortopsoe.com/site.nsf/all/BBNN5PKJ8W?OpenDocument (accessed February 2007). Additional information at: Renewable Energy Technologies n.d. Cogeneration Technologies, http://www.cogeneration.net (accessed November 2006). Additional information at: CSIRO Greenhouse Solutions n.d. CSIRO Climate Program, http://www.csiro.au/csiro/ghsolutions/s7.html (accessed November 2006). Please note that the following does not count for CFI’s under the current CCX rules. They are presented to illustrate the point that, in seeking to address the opportunities presented by CFI’s, this report is not covering all the opportunities for GHG reductions for industry and society. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 99 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Organic Recycling: Case Study of the Multiple Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Reduction Strategies Adopting a whole system approach allows us to consider the problem of nutrient reenrichment of the soil, and ask are there problems facing society that could, in fact, provide a solution? The answer is yes. Landfill in all its forms has become one of the largest long-term problems facing urban society today. It steals space, devalues property, threatens waterways and contaminates the land. It is the graveyard of societies waste, and it compromises the very survival of future generations. At the same time, at the other end of the process, farming depletes soils, and nitrogen fertilizers pollute waterways leading to algal blooms. Depletion of soil quality is a problem that makes the headlines in newspapers globally almost every day. A recent science report in Britain stated that in excess of 30 percent of farm soils in the UK were deficient in organic material. Figure 38: Map of soil degradation globally Source: UNEP Global Resource Information Database (GRID), n.d.167 167 UNEP Financial Information Engine on Land Degradation (FIELD) n.d. Field Main Page, http://www.gmunccd.org/English/Field/soil.htm (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 100 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Yet the greatest contaminant in landfill is organic material. Over 15 percent, and in some regions as much as 27 percent of all the materials regions put into landfill are organic (food wastes, clippings from lawns and ovals, agriculture wastes),168 and a very large part of this has come from farming processes. The U.S. EPA states, “yard trimmings and food residuals together constitute 23 percent of the U.S. municipal solid waste stream.”169 Farming is a mineral extractive industry that progressively removes from the soil not only the organic fraction, but also minerals and trace elements. All of this material is either exported or carried into the cities where it is processed through people and, passing through a waste management system, ends up in either our landfill or our sewage treatment works. It is this organic material which leaches through the landfill to create further problems of contamination and pollution. There is a constant outcry from the emerging organic composting industry that there is no market for their products. At the same time our soils cry out for the application of the organic materials, micronutrients and the microbial activity that is compacted into our landfills every day. Plants cannot make minerals and trace elements and these important ingredients for healthy plant growth are not put into our soils through the application of fertilizer. The process of degradation of our soils costs societies millions of dollars per year. At the same time, one of the factors in this degradation, chemical fertilizer is constantly rising in cost, both to the farmer and to the broader community. Therefore if this organic material could be returned to the food chain we could eliminate a large part of the problem of landfills, create local employment programs and go some way to relieving the destruction of our soils through the overuse of chemical fertilizer and unsustainable farming practices. Municipalities need programs that are focused on the removal of organic materials from the waste stream and the processing of this material into a viable, balanced organic product for use on farms. True Landfill Costs In most urban societies around the world, the cost of landfill is skyrocketing. Yet landfill fees only cover a small part of the actual cost of landfill. The true costs of landfill, when all burial, amenity, administration, security, replacement, and oncosts are included, is in most cases at least three times the cost charged at the gate. Even in small unattended country landfills, when all costs are included, the price per ton is often around $50– $70. If these funds were redirected, they could be used for the processing of our organic materials into compost suitable, or even specifically designed for, farm use. In most instances the cost of this process would be far less than the current cost of landfill. It would have the additional benefits of 168 169 Government of the Australian Capital Territory (2000) The Next Step in the No Waste Strategy. ACT Government No Waste by 2010 Program, Canberra. (www.nowaste.act.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/12462/thenextstepinthenowastestrategy.pdf) (accessed February 2007). Ibid. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 101 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 reducing the fertilizer bill for local farmers, increasing the organic levels in the soil, raising the microbial density of the soil and, at the same time, the ability to produce quality products. Once organic material is removed and used in this way, all other products in our waste streams become available for reuse. The 1 percent of hazardous waste in any stream of material could be removed before it becomes a problem, leaving the remaining inert wastes and packaging to be used in local industrial processes or, when sufficient material becomes available, transported to national markets. Globally there are now a raft of process innovations, and an emerging industry, in organic recycling,170 and vertical composting units.171 However, other changes in the packaging industry could bring even larger benefits to farmers. Figure 39: Vertical Composting Units Source: Perry Group Ltd, n.d.172 Packaging for Community Profit As the humble brown paper bag taught us many years ago, packaging does not need to be complex in its makeup to be effective, and indeed even when it is complex it does not need to be antisocial. It can be designed to be recycled to paper or to compost, depending on its clean or contaminated state. When combined with the major corporate commitments to the development of safe biodegradable plastics, this will see us growing increasing quantities of our compostable or recyclable packaging within the coming years. Eastman, BASF, Mitsubishi, Cargill The U.S. Composting Council website provides a comprehensive overview and links to further organizations. Additional information at: U.S. Composting Council, n.d. U.S. Composting Council, www.compostingcouncil.org/index.cfm (accessed November 2006). 171 Vertical Composting Unit (VCU) is an enclosed aerobic composting system suited to processing biological waste in small to medium sized municipal and industrial applications. Additional information at: VCU Technology n.d. VCU Technology, http://www.vcutechnology.com/indexx.cfm?sectionid=4 (accessed November 2006); and VCU Technology n.d. VCU Composting Technology, http://www.secureserver5.com/vcu/pdfs/VCU_English_updated.pdf (accessed November 2006). 172 Perry Group Ltd. n.d. Homepage, http://www.perry.co.nz/index.asp?PageID=2145822637 (accessed November 2006). 170 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 102 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Dow, Toyota, ADM, and Dupont have all recognized the need for change, while other companies such as Ford, 3M, Daimler Chrysler, Proctor & Gamble, Fujitsu, NTT, and Sony have either made or expanded their commitment to the adoption and use of biodegradable plastics in their product lines. There is a nexus between waste management, soil management, landfill, product and packaging design. It is that part of the solution to these multiple problems has a common source - the soil. We can have pollution, desertification, contamination, and waste, or we can have employment, good food, clean air, and health. The EU Commission has completed a thorough study of the benefits and costs of organic recycling versus other methods and found that “generally, the analysis of external costs and benefits is favorable to the separate collection and treatment of bio-wastes through composting or anaerobic digestion.”173 Ensuring Carbon: Nitrogen Balance While organic compost waste has many minerals and nutrients in it that help rebuild the soils, they can have one weakness in that it is common that the nitrogen levels in the organic compost are less, not more, than the soil. Therefore, if incorrectly applied they can deplete soils of their nitrogen rather than help them. There are a number of strategies for dealing with this problem. For plantations, where human health concerns are minimal, there is a way to address the issue of the nitrogen:carbon balance, and in doing so solve another environmental problem. Australia’s leading R&D body, the CSIRO, has run a 10-year project to address, as thoroughly as possible, issues related to how best to reuse the nitrogen rich treated effluent (from cities and towns) on plantations. Given that cities and country towns have a continual source of treated effluent that is nitrogen rich, this “waste” can be used to ensure that the correct nitrogen:carbon balance is maintained in the plantation soil. The CSIRO conducted a 10-year a benefit/cost analysis of the Wagga Wagga Effluent Plantation Project, focusing on the design, establishment and management of sustainable effluent-irrigated plantations throughout Australia.174 Estimates were derived for effluent-irrigated plantations that utilized the project's design and management principles, or which were undertaken because of the project, from 1992-1999 (during the life of the project) and in the coming 10 years (following release of the national guideline). Not including the very considerable environmental benefits of protecting soil and water resources achieved by following the Guideline's principles, the national net benefit attributable to the Wagga Wagga Effluent European Commission (YEAR) Economic Analysis of Options for Managing Biodegradable Municipal Waste. Final Report to the European Commission. p. 185. http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/waste/compost/econanalysis_finalreport.pdf (accessed November 2006). 174 Sultech Pty Ltd. (1999) Impact Analysis and Evaluation: CSIRO Forestry, Wood and Paper Industries Sector. 173 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 103 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Plantation Project over 17 years optimistically AUD$482 million.175 was conservatively AUD$53 million, and Figure 40: CSIRO Effluent plantation project, Wagga Wagga, Australia Source: CSIRO, n.d.176 175 176 Ibid. CSIRO n.d. Effluent plantation project http://www.ffp.csiro.au/pff/effluent_guideline/waggaproject.htm (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 104 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World HFC-23 Emissions from the Production of HCFC-22 and Conversion to CO2 Equivalence Prior to 1990, the only significant emissions of HFCs resulted from generation of HFC-23 as a byproduct of the production of HCFC-22. HCFC-22 is currently used in refrigeration and air-conditioning systems and as a chemical feedstock for manufacturing synthetic polymers. The U.S. Inventory Report provides detailed descriptions on HFC-23 emissions from HCFC-22 production and how they are estimated (see the chapter entitled “Industrial Processes”).177 Opportunities for the reduction of HFC-23 emissions from the production of HCFC-22 are well covered by Sally Rand and Deborah Ottinger (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency) and Marvin Branscome (Research Triangle Institute), and so we refer the reader to their report.178 N2O from Adipic Acid and Nitric Acid Production N2O is a potent GHG that has a global warming potential (GWP) of 310 times that of CO2, when normalized over 100 years, and an atmospheric lifetime of 120 years.179 Industrial on-site sources account for 7 percent of global N2O production. The two largest industrial sources of N2O emissions are from adipic and nitric acid production. The U.S. is the world’s major producer of these acids, with three companies in four locations accounting for approximately 40 percent of world production. Reducing N2O emissions from their production can be achieved through the use of catalytic destruction, thermal destruction, or various N2O recycling/utilization technologies (see Table 10). Currently, the three largest adipic acid producing plants in the U.S. voluntarily control N2O emissions. Sixty three percent of production employs catalytic destruction, 34 percent uses thermal destruction, and 3 percent of production has no N2O abatement measures. Currently, the nitric acid industry controls for NOx using non-selective catalytic reduction (NSCR). NSCR is very effective at controlling N2O emissions.180 U.S EPA n.d. US Emissions Inventory 2003, http://yosemite.epa.gov/oar/globalwarming.nsf/content/ResourceCenterPublicationsGHGEmissionsUSEmissionsI nventory2003.html (accessed November 2006). 178 Rand, S. Ottinger, D. and Branscome, M. n.d. Opportunties for the Reduction of HFC-23 Emissions from the Production of HFC-22, US EPA and Research Triangle Institute, http://arch.rivm.nl/env/int/ipcc/docs/IPCCTEAP99/files/m99a7-1.pdf (accessed November 2006). 179 Houghton, J.T., Meira Filho, L.G., Callander, B.A., Harris, N., Kattenberg, A. and Maskell, K. (eds) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (1996) Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group 1 to the second assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 180 US EPA (2000) U.S. Adipic Acid and Nitric Acid N2O Emissions 1990-2020: Inventories, Projections and Opportunities for Reductions,www.epa.gov/nitrousoxide/pdfs/adipic_nitric_n2o.pdf (accessed December 2006). 177 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 105 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Abatement Technology N 2O Destruction Factor Extent of Implementation in the U.S. Description Catalytic Destruction 90 – 95 percent Two plants comprising approx. 63 percent of U.S. production capacity. N2O destruction is achieved using a N2O decomposing catalyst, metal-zeolite catalysts (i.e. noble metals, precious metals). Using a catalyst allows operation at a much lower temperature (Reimer, 199a). Thermal Destruction 98 – 99+ percent One plant, comprising approx. 34 percent of U.S. production capacity. One example of thermal N2O destruction is the destruction of off-gases in boilers using reducing flame burners with premixed methane (or natural gas) (Reimer, 1999a). Recycling, Utilization Technologies 90 – 98 percent In 2000, a 20,000 metric ton expansion unit at one of the U.S. plants will implement an N2O recycling/utilizatio n technology. This technology uses N2O offgas as an oxidant to produce phenol from benzene. The phenol produced will be used in the nylon process, with the remaining capacity sold on the open market. Once the technology has been demonstrated successfully, there are plans for expanded use. It is estimated to result in a 20 percent cost reduction in the production of adipic acid (CW, 1998). Solutia has since announced delayed implementation of this technology. Recycle to Nitric Acid 98 – 99 percent None currently. A French company has licensed and implemented a technology patented by DuPont that recycles N2O to produce nitric acid by burning the gas at high temperatures in the presence of steam (CW, 1998). The benefits of this process are two fold: it captures the N2O from adipic acid production and avoids the N2O generated by conventional nitric acid production. Table 10: Abatement technologies Source: U.S. EPA, 2000181 181 US EPA (2000) U.S. Adipic Acid and Nitric Acid N2O Emissions 1990-2020: Inventories, Projections and Opportunities for Reductions, www.epa.gov/nitrousoxide/pdfs/adipic_nitric_n2o.pdf (accessed December 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 106 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Electrical Transmission Equipment (SF6 emissions) SF6 has a global warming potential 23,900 times greater than that of CO2, and an atmospheric life of 3,200 years. Therefore, one pound of SF6 has the same global warming impact of 11 tones of CO2. The main use of SF6 is in the electric power industry, which uses roughly 80 percent of all SF6 produced worldwide, which uses it for insulation and current interruption in electric transmission and distribution equipment. Ideally, none of this gas would be emitted into the atmosphere. In reality, significant leaks occur from aging equipment, and gas losses occur during equipment maintenance and servicing. SF6 emissions from electric power transmission equipment can be quantified and reduced using the protocols developed by the WRI/WBCSD. Numerous nations also have their own programs. For example, the U.S. EPA’s SF6 Emission Reduction Partnership for Electric Power Systems Scheme.182 From 1999-2003, this program achieved reductions in SF6 emissions of ~6 percent.183 Figure 41: SF6 emission reduction partnership emission rate trend, 1999 – 2003 Source: US EPA, n.d.184 US EPA, n.d. SF6 Reduction Partnership for Electric Power Systems, www.epa.gov/highgwp/electricpower-sf6 (accessed November 2006). 183 US EPA, n.d. SF6 Reduction Partnership for Electric Power Systems:Resources www.epa.gov/highgwp/electricpower-sf6/resources.html (accessed November 2006). 184 US EPA n.d. SF6 Emission Reduction Industry Partnership program, http://www.epa.gov/highgwp1/sf6 (accessed November 2006). 182 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 107 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 The most promising and cost-effective options to reduce SF6 emissions are: Leak detection and repair. The U.S. EPA estimates that if consistently and aggressively implemented in the U.S., SF6 emissions could be reduced by 20 percent. - Use of recycling equipment The U.S. EPA estimates that SF6 recycling could eliminate 10 percent of total related emissions from the U.S. electric industry. - Reducing the amount of SF6 needed in the first place. In 1999, PG&E set a threeyear goal to reduce SF6 emissions annually by 50 percent from a 1998 baseline. PG&E has successfully achieved this goal by implementing several key policies and procedures resulting in more efficient and cost-effective use of SF6. The savings from reduced gas purchases totaled about US$400,000.185 - In the future, superconductivity has the potential to revolutionize electric transmission systems in the same way fiber optics revolutionized the communications industry. Unlike conventional wires made of materials such as copper, super-conducting wires made of advanced materials have the ability to carry large electrical current without resistance losses. High temperature superconductors (HTS) conduct electricity with extremely high efficiency. When an electrical conductor is cooled sufficiently, electrical resistance disappears, which allows a very large electrical current to flow through it. Since this prevents heat loss, these wires require much less insulation, which means they need less SF6. Almost 40 percent of the capital investment currently required to produce and deliver electricity goes to construct transmission and distribution facilities. Seven and one-half percent of electricity generated in the United States each year is currently lost due to the resistance of copper and aluminum wire. By the middle of the 21st century, the electricity superhighway could be dominated by hightemperature superconducting (HTS) wires in cables (Figure 29), transformers, and current controllers. Superconductors, which have nearly zero resistance, could make available most of the energy that is currently lost in distribution, without requiring any additional fossil fuel use or generating capacity. In addition to reducing electricity losses, HTS materials could strengthen the reliability of the U.S. electricity infrastructure; eliminate hazardous materials from electrical systems; and create thousands of new high-technology domestic jobs. 185 US EPA, n.d. SF6 Reduction Partnership for Electric Power Systems: Case Study, www.epa.gov/highgwp/electricpower-sf6/pdf/PGE_casestudy.pdf (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 108 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Figure 42: Cross-Sectional View of Cold Dielectric Design of High-Temperature Superconducting Source: Interlaboratory Working Group, 2000 186 186 Interlaboratory Working Group: Oak Ridge National Lab., Lawrence Berkeley Lab.; and National Renewable Energy Lab., (2000) Scenarios for a Clean Energy Future, ORNL/CON-476, LBNL-44029 and NREL/TP-62029379, November, p366. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 109 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Part 3: Transport Sector - Mobile Combustion CO2 emissions from vehicles operated by each CCX ember are included emission sources if they represent large emission sources – namely 10,000 metric tons of CO2 equivalent per year or more. Corporate transportation emissions can take the form of either direct or indirect emissions. Direct emissions refer to only those emissions that are associated with owned or controlled sources, such as company owned vehicle fleets and corporate aircraft. Indirect emissions refer to all other company-related emissions, including employee commuting, short-term vehicle rentals, and upstream/downstream transportation emissions, such as those associated with material inputs or consumer use. There is a range of ways that business, municipalities and universities can reduce their greenhouse gas emissions from transport (mobility). Corporate and government fleets can, over time, purchase more efficient cars/trucks (see Table 11). - Organizations can do much to encourage car-pooling of staff.187 Companies can join government sustainable transport schemes such as the U.S. EPA’s Smart Transport Partnership for assistance in setting up such schemes. - Business travel with airlines can now be done in a climate neutral way. For the first time ever, airplane travel can be certified as having a net zero impact on the earth's climate. TripleE, one of the United States' leading socially responsible businesses, recently announced that it received certification from the Climate Neutral Network allowing it to offer a first-of-its-kind travel program that prevents air travel from contributing to global warming. "Every time we fly, drive a car or spend the night in a hotel, we contribute to global warming. We're providing a great way for travelers to reduce their role in this problem," said Mitchell Rofsky, TripleE's president. TripleE is investing in offset projects to meet their climate neutral commitments, the first of which is the installation of natural gas boilers to replace inefficient and polluting oil-burning boilers in public schools throughout Portland, Oregon. This will save the schools thousands of dollars and keep hundreds of tons of CO2 out of the atmosphere. - Stock turnover of fleets is another significant opportunity to reduce GHG emissions from transport. This could help any company running a fleet of cars, buses, or airplanes. For instance, new airplanes are 20 percent more efficient than older models. - 187 USA EPA n.d. Smart Transport Partnership: Nike case study, www.epa.gov/smartway/partners/nike.htm (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 110 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Specifications Emission Standard HONDA CIVIC GX 1.7L 4, auto PZEV HONDA INSIGHT 1.0L 3, auto SULEV II 57 56 TOYOTA PRIUS 1.5L 4, auto PZEV 60 51 HONDA CIVIC HYBRID 1.3L 4, auto PZEV 47 48 TOYOTA COROLLA 1.8L 4, manual ULEV II 32 41 TOYOTA ECHO 1.5L 4, manual Tier 2 bin 9 35 42 NISSAN SENTRA 1.8L 4, manual PZEV 28 35 HONDA CIVIC HX 1.7L 4, manual ULEV I 36 44 PONTIAC VIBE / TOYOTA MATRIX 1.8L 4, manual ULEV II 30 36 MAZDA 3 2.0L 4, manual PZEV 28 35 2.3L 4, auto PZEV 36 31 2.0L 4, manual PZEV 26 35 Make & Model FORD ESCAPE HYBRID FORD FOCUS / FOCUS WAGON MPG: MPG: City Hwy 34 30 Table 11: The greenest vehicles of 2005 Source: Greencars.com, 2005188 Figure 43: Ford Escape Hybrid Source: Tom Strongman, n.d.189 188 189 Greencars.com n.d. Greenest Cars of 2005 www.greenercars.com/12green.html (accessed November 2006). Tom Strongman’s Auto Ink n.d. 2005 Ford Escape Hybrid, http://www.tomstrongman.com/RoadTests/EscapeHybrid/Index.htm (accessed November 2006). Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 111 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Universities and Municipalities There is much that Universities and Municipalities can do also to reduce emissions from transport. Encouraging public transport, cycling and walking has all sorts of hidden economic benefits. For instance, encouraging these forms of transport prevents the need to build more vertical parking in the inner city or on university campuses, which can mean significant financial savings for municipalities and universities. For instance, the “Getting Students and Staff Out of the Car” program at Cornell University, New York, saved US$3,123,000.190 Creating a “Bus-Riding Campus” at the University of Colorado-Boulder, saved them US$1,000,000. There is much that municipalities can do to send clearer market signals to internalize the real externalized costs of current transport usage. For example, consider the congestion eco-tax recently implemented in London. For most, traffic is one of the few areas of politics that remains untouchable. Although economists could see that charging people directly for driving in certain areas of a city would make traffic more manageable, especially if linked to a hypothecated long-term improvement of public transport, no politician would take on the powerful car lobby. The political risks are very high, as Ken Livingstone, Mayor of London, found in 2002. He established an expensive, though non-invasive, system of monitoring cars and charging drivers to cross through inner London. In the first few weeks a 20-25 percent reduction in traffic was observed (and was greatly appreciated by communities and by business). The £130 million per year collected is already being channeled into improved public transport. There have been few substantial complaints. Cities around the world are now preparing to copy the London experiment. A long-term project to tackle what was seen as an insurmountable problem has begun to work. The political risk has paid off – the vision has worked.191 There are many great efforts and remarkable individual achievements to report, but to ensure that over the next 30 years we achieve more than the last 30, more integrated approaches are needed. Feebates: Municipalities Another simple and positive policy that municipalities can implement is feebates. Feebates simply combine both a fee on the most environmentally harmful brands of a certain product, whilst providing income to governments, allowing them to provide a rebate to encourage consumers to purchase the most environmentally benign products. Operationally feebates are very simple, as in the example of the car outlined by Hawken et al in Natural Capitalism. When you bought a new car, you would pay an extra fee if it were an inefficient user of fuel, or alternatively get a 190 National Wildlife Federation (NWF) (1998) Green Investment, Green Return: How Practical Conservation Projects Save Millions on America's Campuses, NWF, Reston, VA. 191 UK Government, Transport For London (2003) Congestion Charging 6 Months On, http://www.tfl.gov.uk/tfl/downloads/pdf/congestion-charging/cc-6monthson.pdf (accessed December 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 112 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World rebate if it were energy-efficient. The neutral point would be set so that fees and rebates balanced, so it becomes neither an inflationary measure nor a disguised tax. The fees and rebates may impact at point of sale or on annual registration fees, and usually offset each other thereby ensuring fiscal neutrality. In principle this can be a cost neutral program to government, not involving any new taxes being created. Australian state governments in particular have many rebate schemes now to encourage consumers to purchase more water and energy efficient products and are to be congratulated for that; but as yet, Australia does not have a single feebate scheme. Feebate variations already exist in Ontario (Canada), Germany, Denmark, Austria, the UK, and parts of the U.S. In June 2004, France announced it would be implementing a feebate scheme on all cars. The key benefit of feebates is that they would ensure that industry knows that clear market signals will be sent to the consumer to purchase more efficient products, stimulating innovation in the right direction for sustainability. But government would still need to work with industry to phase in feebates to ensure industry has time to respond. To reduce administrative costs, feebates can be targeted to those consumer products that have the largest ongoing environmental impacts, such as cars, and within the home refrigerators and washing machines. Feebates have been criticized because it is difficult to accurately calculate the externality costs in order to know what a fair fee and rebate amount would be, but this is true of any attempt to internalize externalities. The benefit of feebates over other attempts to build externalities into market signals is that feebates can be phased in before governments have compiled databases on the real costs of externalities that are not straightforward to determine. These are but some of the strategies that can assist to reduce GHG emissions from mobile transportation. Another strategy that transportation, airline, and car companies can investigate is carbon offsets as mentioned in the case of TripleE. The airline industry in particular has one of the fastest growing carbon footprints. U.K. studies show that within 50 years the airline industry in the U.K. will be responsible for 30 percent of that country’s GHG emissions. Investing in carbon offsets is therefore a critical strategy for such industries to continue to reduce their emissions. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 113 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Part 4 - Offsets Capturing Methane from Coal Mines Methane from landfill emissions can be captured and burnt for energy, but there are other sources of methane emissions that can also be converted into energy. For instance, methane is liberated through natural degasification during underground and surface coal mining. It is also emitted from ventilation systems, used at underground mines, which ensure methane levels remain within safe concentrations. The technologies that oxidize this low-concentration methane are especially promising. There are also many innovative technologies available to capture and produce coal-bed methane (CBM) and coal mine methane (CMM). Furthermore, the development of advanced drilling technologies, such as in-mine and surface directional drilling systems, may enable fewer wells to produce more gas, thus increasing efficiency and reducing emissions.192 The uptake of these technologies is being encouraged by governments around the world. For instance, The U.S. EPA and the U.S. DOE are working with Consol Energy to demonstrate thermal oxidation of ventilation air methane. Ventilation air methane equipment can use up to 100 percent of the methane released from a mine ventilation shaft. It also generates heat that can be used for power production. Figure 44: Capturing methane from coal mines Source: U.S. Climate Technology Program, 2003193 192 US Government n.d. U.S. Climate Change Technology Program, http://www.climatetechnology.gov (accessed November 2006). 193 U.S. Climate Change Technology Program (2003) Research and Current Activities, US Government, http://www.climatetechnology.gov/library/2003/currentactivities/car24nov03.pdf (accessed November 2006). Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 114 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Forestry Offsets Project Forestry offsets projects are those through which forestry practices remove CO2 from the atmosphere. The term “sinks” is also often used to describe forestry lands that absorb CO2. These projects can help prevent global climate change by enhancing carbon storage in trees, preserving existing tree carbon, and by reducing emissions of CO2, methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O). Key Forestry Offset Project Types Explanatory note Effect on greenhouse gases Afforestation Tree planting on lands previously not in forestry. Increases carbon storage through sequestration. Reforestation Tree planting on lands, such as restoring trees on severely burned lands that will demonstrably not regenerate without intervention. Increases carbon storage through sequestration. Forest preservation Protection of forests that Avoids CO2 emissions via or avoided otherwise would have been conservation of existing deforestation cleared. carbon stocks. Forest management Modification of forestry practices, such as lengthening the harvestregeneration cycle. Increases carbon storage by sequestration Table 12: Key forestry offset project types and their effect on GHGs Source: U.S. EPA, 2006194 Agriculture and forestry projects are typically discrete activities with clearly defined geographic boundaries, timeframes, and institutional frameworks. The GHG Protocol Initiative for Project GHG Accounting and Reporting, convened by World Resources Institute and World Business Council for Sustainable Development has much information on ways to address the following key issues regarding management of forestry offset projects.195 The key issues associated with quantifying the GHG benefits of forestry projects, (i.e., used to offset another entity's GHG emissions), are: - establishing baselines;196 U.S. Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) (2006) Table: Forestry Practices that Sequester or Preserve Carbon, www.epa.gov/sequestration/forestry.html (accessed November 2006). 195 World Business Council on Sustainable Development & World Resources Institute n.d. Greenhouse Gas Protocol Initiative, www.ghgprotocol.org/reduction/index.htm (accessed November 2006). 196 U.S. EPA n.d. Establishing baselines for projects, www.epa.gov/sequestration/baselines.html (accessed November 2006). 194 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 115 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 identifying leakage for the unanticipated decrease or increase in GHG benefits outside of the project's accounting boundary as a result of project activities;197 - addressing duration to address the fact that the benefits of GHG offset projects in forestry are partially or completely reversible;198 and - monitoring and verifying GHG benefits to ensure credibility for the results claimed by your project.199 - Many organizations are active in establishing and assessing agricultural and forestry projects such as GHG offsets. For instance, American Electric Power (AEP) is currently involved in Bolivia,200 Brazil,201 and in Louisiana's Catahoula National Wildlife Refuge.202 AEP has joined in partnerships with governmental agencies, local and international environmental groups to preserve and restore wild lands and wildlife habitats. The U.S. EPA website also features other companies doing similar good work.203 CCX offers opportunity for organizations to achieve significant carbon sequestration credits through sequestration not just in the U.S., but also in Brazil. Few people realize that 20 percent of the world's annual CO2 emissions result from land-use change; primarily deforestation in the tropical regions of Central and South America, Africa, and Asia. These lands are being transformed from relatively highcarbon stock natural forests to generally lower-carbon stock crop, agro-forestry, grazing, or fuel-wood lands and urban areas. Whilst these changes through land clearing, forest harvest, and fire provide immediate economic benefits and rural livelihood, in the long term it will lead to devastation of these rural economies as tropical soils run out of nutrients. Soil Offsets Emissions from soil disturbance can be reduced by a number of approaches, such as reduced tillage; erosion control; irrigation management; changes in rotations; and crop cover. The IPCC estimates that improved productivity and conservation tillage can allow increases in soil carbon at an initial rate of around 0.3 tones of Carbon/ha/yr.204 The potential of carbon sequestration, on a global scale, is about 0.6-billion tones to 1-billion tones per year.205 The idea of using soils for absorbing CO2 comes from Rattan Lal, Professor of Soil Science at Ohio State University. Currently, soils don’t act as a carbon sink; they Ibid. Ibid. 199 Ibid. 200 Noel Kempff Mercado National Park n.d. Homepage, www.noelkempff.com (accessed November 2006). 201 Guaraqueçaba Climate Action Project n.d. Homepage, www.guaracap.com (accessed November 2006). 202 Catahoula Wildlife Refuge n.d. Homepage, http://www.fws.gov/catahoula/ (accessed November 2006). 203 US EPA (2006) Carbon Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry: Project Analysis, http://www.epa.gov/sequestration/project_analysis.html (accessed November 2006). 204 Watson, R.T. et al. (eds.) (2000) Special Report on Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press. p204. 205 Lal, R. (YEAR) ABC Earthbeat Radio Interview: Rattan Lal, http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/earth/stories/s226590.htm (accessed November 2006). 197 198 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 116 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World act as a carbon source. Ever since humanity began to farm, soils have been losing carbon, due to practices such as plowing that opens-up the soil and mixes oxygen into it, leading to oxidation of the carbon riches in the soil. In addition, plowing the soil decreases the structural stability, making it more vulnerable to erosion by water and wind. As the erosion happens, it removes the light fraction of the soil, which is organic matter content. Plowing, therefore, depletes the carbon in the soil in two ways. To reduce carbon loss from soil, alternative methods of farming are needed, such as new methods of plowing, or simply agricultural systems that plough much less. The critical point is that ploughs not only dig a furrow through the soil, but they also turn it over, and it is this that does the damage. Plowing in a way that doesn’t turn the soil, or not plowing at all, is called “reduced tillage”. It is now a respected method for preventing soil erosion that also involves using plenty of mulch and manure, and planting crops to enhance the soil. Professor Lal believes that applying these techniques around the world would sequester a significant amount of carbon. Ian Noble, former chief executive of the Australian CRC for Greenhouse Accounting, says sequestering carbon in soil offers a distinct advantage: “Carbon stored in the soil is actually much safer for reversibility than, for example, trees and other vegetation. However, there are some risks. Say, for example, the farmer has been carrying out… a minimum tillage for 10, 15 years or more, and then for one reason or another they go back to deep plowing. Even for a few years, that can release a lot of the carbon that’s been stored. So any monitoring system has to be accurate enough to detect that, and make sure that that’s properly accounted for… Minimum tillage was not done originally for Kyoto purposes; it was done because it was good agricultural practice, and we’d like to encourage that practice throughout, not just the Annex 1 countries, the developed countries, but also through the developing countries. So it is a very worthwhile thing to do for many different purposes.” For more information please consult Professor Lal’s homepage at Ohio State University,206 and the U.S. EPA’s website that provides extensive resources for calculating baselines regarding soil carbon offsets.207 Farming Offsets At least 5 percent of many nations’ GHG emissions stem from cattle and sheep. Australia’s CSIRO is exploring ways to help sheep and cattle to digest rough and low nutrient pastures more efficiently. By modifying the bacteria in the animal's rumen, scientists have found livestock yield more meat, wool and milk - and less methane. Trials have shown live weight gains of about 20 percent in sheep and cattle, and 9 Lal, R. (2004) No-Till Farming Offers Fix to Global Problems, www.ag.ohio-state.edu/~news/story.php?id=2880 (accessed November 2006). 207 U.S. EPA, n.d. Carbon Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry: Resources, www.epa.gov/sequestration/tools_resources.html (accessed November 2006). 206 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 117 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 percent fleece weight gains. In digesting more of their food, the animals release 1880 percent less methane through belching.208 Representative Time over which carbon sequestration may occur sequestration before saturating rate in U.S. (Assuming no disturbance, harvest or interruption of (Metric tons of C practice) per acre per year) Activity Afforestation Reforestation a) c) Changes in forest management Conservation or riparian buffers Conversion from conventional to reduced tillage References 0.6 – 2.6 b) 90 – 120+ years Birdsey 1996209 0.3 – 2.1 d) 90 – 120+ years Birdsey 1996210 0.6 – 0.8 e) If wood products included in accounting, saturation does not necessarily occur if C continuously flows into products. Row 1996211 0.2 f) IPCC 2000212 0.1 – 0.3 g) Not calculated Lal et al. 1999213 0.2 – 0.3 h) 15 – 20 years West and Post 2002214 25 – 50 years Lal et al. 1999 25 – 50 years Follet et al. 2001215 0.2 i) Changes in grazing land management 0.02 – 0.5 Biofuel substitutes for fossil fuels. 1.3 – 1.5 j) k) Saturation does not occur if Lal et al. 1999. fossil fuel emissions are continuously offset. Table 13: US EPA on Representative Carbon Sequestration Rates and Saturation Periods for Key Agricultural & Forestry Practices Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, n.d216 U.S. EPA (1998) Small Steps Make a Difference: Improving your Cow-Calf Business and the Environment in the Southeastern US, www.epa.gov/sequestration/pdf/smallsteps.pdf (accessed November 2006). 209 Birdsey, R.A. (1996) ‘Regional Estimates of Timber Volume and Forest Carbon for Fully Stocked Timberland, Average Management After Final Clearcut Harvest’, in Sampson, R.N. and Hair, D. (eds.) Forests and Global Change. American Forests, Washington, DC. Volume 2: Forest Management Opportunities for Mitigating Carbon Emissions. 210 Ibid. 211 Row, C. (1996) ‘Effects of selected forest management options on carbon storage’ in Sampson, R.N. and Hair, D. (eds.) Forests and Global Change. American Forests, Washington, DC. Volume 2: Forest Management Opportunities for Mitigating Carbon Emissions. pp 27-58. 212 Watson, R.T. et al. (eds.) (2000) Special Report on Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press. p. 184. 213 Lal, R. Kimble, J.M. Follett, R.F. and Cole, C.V. (1999) The Potential of U.S. Cropland to Sequester Carbon and Mitigate the Greenhouse Effect, Lewis Publishers, Broken Sound Parkway, NW. 214 West, T.O. and Post, W.M. (2002) ‘Soil Carbon Sequestration by Tillage and Crop Rotation: A Global Data Analysis’, Soil Science Society of America Journal 2002, http://cdiac.ornl.gov/programs/CSEQ/terrestrial/westpost2002/westpost2002.html (accessed December 2006). 215 Follett, R.F., Kimble, J.M. and Lal, R. (2001) The Potential of U.S. Grazing Lands to Sequester Carbon and Mitigate the Greenhouse Effect, Lewis Publishers, Broken Sound Parkway, NW. 216 U.S. EPA n.d. Sequestration rates, www.epa.gov/sequestration/rates.html (accessed November 2006). Important Note: Any associated changes in emissions of methane (CH4) nitrous oxide (N2O) or fossil CO2 not included. 208 Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 118 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Table 13 Notes: a) Values are for average management of forest after being established on previous croplands or pasture. b) Values calculated over 120-year period. Low value is for spruce-fir forest type in Lake States; high value for Douglas Fir on Pacific Coast. Soil carbon accumulation included in estimate. c) Values are for average management of forest established after clear-cut harvest. d) Values calculated over 120-year period. Low value is for Douglas Fir in Rocky Mountains; high value for Douglas Fir in Pacific Coast. No accumulation in soil carbon is assumed. e) Select examples, calculated over 100 years. Low value represents change from 25-year to 50-year rotation for loblolly pines in Southeast; high value is change in management regime for Douglas Fir in Pacific Northwest. Carbon in wood products included. f) Forest management here encompasses regeneration, fertilization, choice of species and reduced forest degradation. Average estimate here is not specific to U.S., but averaged over developed countries. g) Assumed that carbon sequestration rates are same as average rates for lands under USDA Conservation Reserve Program. h) Estimates include only conversion from conventional to no-till for all cropping systems except for wheat-fallow systems, which may not produce net carbon gains. Estimates of changes in other greenhouse gases not included. i) Assumed that average carbon sequestration rates are same for conversion from conventional till to no-till, mulch-till or ridge-till. Estimates of changes in other greenhouse gases not included. j) See Improve/Intensify Management section in Table 16.1 of Follett et al., (2001). Low end is improvement of rangeland management; high end is changes in grazing management on pasture, where soil organic carbon is enhanced through manure additions. Estimates of flux changes in other greenhouse gases not included. k) Assumes growth of short-rotation woody crops and herbaceous energy crops, and that burning this biomass offsets 65-75 percent of fossil fuel in CO2 emissions. Estimates of changes in other greenhouse gases not included. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 119 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Douglas G. Cogan, Corporate Governance and Climate Change: Making the Connection, , a CERES Sustainable Governance Project Report Prepared by the Investor Responsibility Research Center, June 2003. 1 Tim Weber, Business Editor, BBC News website, in Davos, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4221219.stm 2 3 Personal communication at the 2002 Fortune Magazine Annual Meeting, Aspen, Colorado. 4 www1.dupont.com/NASApp/dupontglobal/corp/index.jsp?page=/social/SHE/usa/us3b.html Joseph Romm and William D. Browning, Greening the Building and the Bottom Line: Increasing Productivity Through Energy-Efficient Design, (Colorado: Rocky Mountain Institute, 1994). 5 Vital Signs 2003 by WorldWatch Institute: Molly O. Sheehan wrote the section "Carbon Emissions and Temperature Climb", pp. 40-41. In this section is a chart called "Global Average Temperature and Carbon Emissions from Fossil Fuel Burning, 1950-2002, and Atmospheric Concentrations of Carbon Dioxide, 1960-2002". 6 Geoffrey Lean, “Global Warming Approaching Point of No Return, Warns Leading Climate Expert,” The Independent on Sunday, U.K. Sunday, January 23, 2005. 7 8 David Grossman, Columbia Journal of Environmental Law, February 2003. 9 Jeffrey Ball, Wall Street Journal, May 7, 2003. Francis X. Lyons, “Sarbanes-Oxley and the Changing Face of Environmental Liability Disclosure Obligations,” Gardner Carton & Douglas LLP, former US EPA regional administrator. www.gcd.com/db30/cgi-bin/pubs/Sarbanes2.pdf. 10 “Global Warming Approaching Critical Point 'An Ecological Time-bomb is Ticking Away',” CNN Report, Monday, January 24, 2005, posted: 3:59 PM EST (2059 GMT). 11 A. Lovins and Lovins, L. H., Climate: Making Sense and Making Money, (Colorado: Rocky Mountain Institute, 1997) Also highly recommended is A. Lovins, and Lovins, H., Brittle Power (Colorado: Rocky Mountain Institute, 1997) Chapter 17. 12 Drozdiak, W., “Big Corporations Alter View of Global Warming,” Washington Post Service, Friday, November 24, 2000. 13 14 www.chicagoclimatex.com/news/CCXPressRelease_040701.html. Coal Industry Advisory Board: International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), “Factors affecting the take up of clean coal technologies,” Overview Report, 1996. 15 16 www.naturalgas.org/environment/naturalgas.asp Hamilton C et al 2002, Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios, Discussion Paper No. 48, The Australia Institute, Canberra p.38 17 Mark Z. Jacobson and Gilbert M. Masters , Wind is Competitive with Coal .Science Aug 24 2001: 1438. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 943054020, USA. 18 19 Lester R. Brown, Eco-Economy Update 2003-10, Earth Policy Institute 2003, December 3, 2003, ‘Coal: U.S. Promotes whiles Canada and Europe move beyond. (www.earthpolicy.org/Updates/Update30.htm) Carbon Disclosure Project: Climate Change and Shareholder Value In 2004, Prepared by Innovest Strategic Value Advisors, May 2004. 20 A. Lovins, Datta, K., Feiler, T., Rábago, K., Swisher, J., Lehmann, A. and Wicker, K., Small Is Profitable: The Hidden Economic Benefits of Making Electrical Resources the Right Size, (Colorado: Rocky Mountain Institute Publications, 2002) www.smallisprofitable.com. 21 22 www.greenmountainpower.com/whoweare/green.shtml The Jobs Connection: Energy Use and Local Economic Development, produced for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, a DOE national laboratory. The document was produced by the Technical Information Program, under the DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. (www.flasolar.com/pdf/energy_jobs.pdf) 23 24 Personal communication from Ed Smeloff, General Manager SMUD, Oct, 2000. 25 www.smud.org/cpp/info/CPPFS.pdf 26 http://www.millionsolarroofs.org/index.html Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 120 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World 27 BP Sustainability Report (2003) (www.bp.com) Greg Bourne, then CEO of BP, “2050: Australia’s Energy Future,” interview, ABC Earthbeat (08.30.03) Australia, (www.abc.net.au/rn/science/earth/stories/s931647.htm) 28 STMicro-electronics (2003) Sustainable Development report (www.bl.uk/pdf/eis/stmicroelectronics2003is.pdf) 29 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency - PFC Reduction/Climate Partnership for the Semiconductor Industry (www.epa.gov/highgwp/semiconductor-pfc/overview.html) 30 DuPont Sustainable Growth 2002 Progress Report: Creating Shareholder and Societal Value ... While Reducing Our Footprint Throughout the Value Chain. 31 32 ibid IBM, “Environment and Well-Being Report,” 2003 (www8.ibm.com/ibm/au/environment/annual/2003.html) p8 33 Presentation by Ravi Kutchibhotla, corporate program manager for energy management, IBM – Conference of the Reducers, May 12, 2004, Toronto. 34 US Climate Change Technology Research Program - Research and Current Activities: Reducing Emissions of Other Greenhouse Gases. (www.climatetechnology.gov) 35 Nike Partners with World Wildlife Fund and the Center for Energy and Climate Solutions to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Nike Joins Climate Savers Program, October 2, 2001. 36 The US Department of Energy, Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy program provides extensive overview of industry energy efficiency developments. (www.eere.energy.gov/EE/industry.html). Further US resource web sites of note include (www.metaefficient.com) and (www.rmi.org). For a comprehensive overview of organizations and databases on energy efficiency in the US and Europe (www.energyefficient.com.au/links.html) 37 38 Watts, R. G. 1997, Engineering Response to Global Climate Change, Lewis Publishers, New York 39 http://www.climatetechnology.gov/library/2003/currentactivities/car24nov03.pdf The World Business Council cement sustainability initiative provides a range of reference material. (www.wbcsd.org) 40 41 ibid p.40 42 http://www.apcrc.com.au/Programs/Geodisc_Sleipner.htm R. H. Williams, “Fuel De-carbonization for Fuel Cell Applications and Sequestration of the Separated CO2,” Res. Rep., No. 295, January 1996, Princeton University Centre for Energy and Environmental Studies, Princeton U., Princeton, NJ 08540. 43 44 45 Denver Mayors Office Press Release - 4/22/2004 Denver to Begin Using Biodiesel Fuels. Andy Wales. How We Manage Our Fleets. 2001. HSBC Holdings. Ray C. Anderson, Interface Chairman, “A Call for Systemic Change,” Plenary Lecture at the 3rd National Conference on Science, Policy and the Environment: “Education for a Sustainable and Secure Future” Sponsored by the National Council for Science and the Environment January 31, 2003. Interface is a charter partner in the US EPA’s SmartWay Transport voluntary partnership as well as a partner with Business for Social Responsibility's Green Freight Group. 46 47 World Business Council for Sustainable Development, “Interface: Sustainability Means ‘Business as Usual’,” case study, 2004. RIS International & Torrie Smith Associates, Moving Towards Kyoto: Toronto – Emission Reductions 1990-1998, Policy Report for Toronto Atmospheric Fund, April 22, 2003. (www.city.toronto.on.ca/taf/pdf/moving_towards_kyoto_policyreport.pdf) 48 49 This case study has been drawn from www.metaefficient.com. Birkeland, J. (2002) Design for Sustainability: A Sourcebook of Integrated Eco-Logical Solutions, Earthscan, London. 50 Design by Simon Velez, built on land provided by the Caldas Committee of the Coffee Federation, and funded by the Manizales Chamber of Commerce, chaired by Dr. Mario Calderon. 51 52 IPCC, Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2000). IPCC, “Special Report on Land Use, Land-Use Change And Forestry” (www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/land_use/index.htm) 53 The Negawatt Revolution: Electric Efficiency and Asian Development, by Amory Lovins and Ashok Gadil (www.rmi.org/images/other/Energy/E91-23_NegawattRevolution.pdf) A greatly abridged version of this article was published in August 1991 by The Far Eastern Economic Review. 54 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 121 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 55 RMI "Saving the Utilities" (www.rmi.org/sitepages/pid322.php) Amory Lovins and Gadgil, A., “The Negawatt Revolution: Electric Efficiency and Asian Development,” www.rmi.org/images/other/Energy/E91-23_NegawattRevolution.pdf. A greatly abridged version of this article was published in August 1991 by The Far Eastern Economic Review. 56 Hawken, P., Lovins, A. and Lovins, L. H. (1999) Natural Capitalism: Creating the Next Industrial Revolution, Earthscan, London 57 Larry Flynn, “Driven to be Green,” Building Design and Construction Magazine, November 1, 2003, sourced from www.bdcmag.com/magazine/articles/BDC0311kToyota.asp. 58 59 (http://www.eere.energy.gov/femp/services/awards_presidential2002.cfm). S. Arora, and Cason, T., “An Experiment in Voluntary Environmental Regulation: Participation in EPA’s 33/50 Program,” Journal of Environmental Economics & Management, vol. 28, no 3, 1995, pp271–286. 60 S. Arora and Cason, T., “Why do Firms Volunteer to Exceed Environmental Regulations? Understanding Participation in EPA’s 33/50 Program,” Land Economics, November 1996, pp 413–432. S. DeCanio, “The Efficiency Paradox: Bureaucratic and Organizational Barriers to Profitable EnergySaving Investments,” Energy Policy, vol. 26, no 5, 1998, pp441–454. 61 S. DeCanio and Watkins, W., “Investment in Energy Efficiency: Do the Characteristics of Firms Matter?,” Review of Economics and Statistics, February 1998, pp95–107. Sony Electronics Inc. is not only committed to being the best at bringing advanced technology together with the needs of the end-user, it is also dedicated to protecting and improving the environment in all areas of the company's operations. (http://news.sel.sony.com/corporateinfo/environmental_affairs/) 62 Joseph Romm (U.S. Department of Energy) and William Browning (Rocky Mountain Institute) ‘Greening the Building and the Bottom Line. 63 64 ibid 65 Natural Capitalism p 52. http://www.rmi.org/sitepages/pid208.php. Case study from greenerbuildings.com: http://www.greenerbuildings.com/case_studies_detail.cfm?LinkAdvID=38528). 66 67 http://www.h-m-g.com/projects/daylighting/projects-PIER.htm For a detailed synthesis of this thesis refer to Hargroves, K. and Smith, M., The Natural Advantage of Nations: Business Opportunities, Innovation and Governance in the 21st Century, (London: Earthscan, 2005). Developed by The Natural Edge Project, www.naturaledgeproject.net. 68 Lovins, A. and Lovins, L. H., Climate: Making Sense and Making Money, (Colorado: Rocky Mountain Institute, 1997). Also highly recommended is Lovins, A. and Lovins, H., Brittle Power, (Colorado: Rocky Mountain Institute, 1982), Chapter 17. 69 3M – Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions, www.solutions.3m.com/wps/portal/_l/en_US/_s.155/115245/_s.155/115898. 70 Refer to key works such as Hawken, P., et al., 1999, Natural Capitalism: Creating the Next Industrial Revolution, and Hargroves, K. et al., 2005, The Natural Advantage of Nations. 71 72 Center for Energy and Climate Solutions, www.energyandclimate.org/strategic.cfm. Green Investment, Green Return - How Practical Conservation Projects Save Millions on America's Campuses, National Wildlife Federation, http://www.nwf.org/campusEcology/HTML/gigr.cfm. 73 RIS International &Torrie Smith Associates, Moving Towards Kyoto: Toronto – Emission Reductions 1990-1998, policy report for Toronto Atmospheric Fund, April 22, 2003, www.city.toronto.on.ca/taf/pdf/moving_towards_kyoto_policyreport.pdf. 74 75 City of Toronto Webpage, Toronto Atmospheric Fund, http://www.city.toronto.on.ca/taf/ . 76 Climate Change, Heidelberg Germany, 2001, http://www.energie-cites.org/BD/PDF/hei-cha-en.pdf. Woking Borough Council Energy Services, Taking Stock: Case Study 2, 2003, www.takingstock.org/Downloads/Case_Study_2-Woking.pdf. 77 Cities for Climate Protection (CCP) is a performance-oriented campaign that offers a framework for local governments to develop a strategic agenda to reduce global warming and air pollution emissions, with the benefit of improving community livability, http://www.iclei.org/co2/index.htm. 78 79 Episcopal Power and Light Project, www.theregenerationproject.org/epl.html. 80 Interfaith Power and Light Project, www.theregenerationproject.org/ipl/. 81 Ibid. Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 122 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World “Corporate Environmental Governance: A study into the influence of Environmental Governance and Financial Performance,” Prepared by Innovest Strategic Value Advisors November, 2004, www.innovestgroup.com/publications.htm. 82 83 Ibid., p. 12. 84 ibid,p13 85 Ibid., p. 13. 86 ibid,p43 87 ibid 50 88 ibid 51 Braithwaite, J. and Drahos, P., Global Business Regulation, (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 2000). 89 Carbon Disclosure Project Appendix: “Renewable Energy and Clean Technology”: Global Market Overview. 90 91 http://www.shell.com/home/media-en/downloads/scenarios.pdf. M. Mansley, Long Term Financial Risks to the Carbon Fuel Industry from Climate Change, (London: Delphi Group, 1995). 92 Carbon Disclosure Project, Climate Change and Shareholder Value In 2004, prepared by Innovest Strategic Value Advisors, May 2004. 93 Hargroves, K and Smith, M (2005) The Natural Advantage of Nations: Business Opportunities, Innovation and Governance in the 21st Century, Earthscan, London. Developed by The Natural Edge Project (www.naturaledgeproject.net) 94 Michael E. Porter and Claas van der Linde, "Toward a New Conception of the EnvironmentCompetitiveness Relationship," Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 4, no. 4, Fall 1995, pp. 97-118. 95 Carbon Disclosure Project: Climate Change and Shareholder Value In 2004, prepared by Innovest Strategic Value Advisors, May 2004, 96 97 Douglas G. Cogan, Corporate Governance and Climate Change: Making the Connection, June 2003, a CERES Sustainable Governance Project Report prepared by the Investor Responsibility Research Center. Corporate Environmental Governance: A study into the influence of Environmental Governance and Financial Performance, prepared by Innovest Strategic Value Advisors November 2004. 98 “100 Most Sustainable Companies Named at Davos,” GreenBiz.com. The Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations in the orld is a project initiated by Corporate Knights Inc., with Innovest Strategic Value Advisors Inc. as the exclusive research analytic data provider, www.greenbiz.com/news/news_third.cfm?NewsID=27635 99 100 Katie Sosnowchik, “Between Blue and Yellow: What's In a Name?,” Green@work. Evelyn Iritani, “From the Streets to the Inner Sanctum, “The Los Angeles Times, Sunday, February 20, 2005, http://www.truthout.org/docs_2005/L022005Y.shtml. 101 For further discussion of the Shell story see forward by Hunter Lovins in Hargroves, K. and Smith, M., The Natural Advantage of Nations, 2005, Earthscan, London. 102 World Business Council for Sustainable Development, "Annual Review 2003 - Reconciling the Public and Business Agendas." 103 104 Evelyn Iritani, “From the Streets to the Inner Sanctum.” "Expecting Sales Growth, CEOs Cite Worker Retention as Critical to Success”, PricewaterhouseCoopers Trendsetter Barometer, March 15, 2004, www.barometersurveys.com. 105 106 http://www.med.harvard.edu/chge/cccostspress.html. 107 http://www.pewclimate.org/hurricanes.cfm. 108 Munich Re, 28 December, 2004, press release, www.munichre.com. “Insurer Warns of Global Warming Catastrophe,” Planet Ark, March 4, 2004, http://www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/24122/story.htm. 109 110 Maggie McKee, ‘US states sue over global warming’, NewScientist.com news service, 22 July, 2004. Grossman, D., “Warming Up to a Not-so-Radical Idea: Tort-based Climate Change Litigation,” Columbia Journal of Environmental Law, February, 2003. 111 112 Amy Cortese, “As the Earth Warms, Will Companies Pay?” August 18, 2002. Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World Operations Report Page 123 of 124 The Natural Edge Project 2006 Francis X. Lyons, “Sarbanes-Oxley and the changing face of environmental liability disclosure obligations,” TRENDS, Volume 35, Number 2, November/December 2003, http://www.gcd.com/db30/cgi-bin/pubs/Sarbanes2.pdf. 113 114 GreenBiz.com, February 18, 2005, www.GreenBiz.com. 115 http://www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/29556/story.htm. 116 http://www.greenbiz.com/news/news_third.cfm?NewsID=27474, London, December 7, 2004. Carbon Disclosure Project: “Climate Change and Shareholder Value”: Prepared by Innovest Strategic Value Advisors, May 2004. 117 Interlaboratory Working Group 1997, “Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions: Potential Impacts of Energy-Efficient and Low-Carbon Technologies by 2010 and Beyond,” Oak Ridge, TN and Berkeley, CA: Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. ORNL-444 and LBNL40533. September. Apparently no longer available on the internet. Mintzer I, Leonard J A & Schwartz P 2003, US Energy Scenarios for the 21st Century, Pew Center on Global Climate Change. 118 References to reports that show that deep cuts in greenhouse emissions are possible. H.,Turton, Ma, J., Saddler, H. and Hamilton, C., Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Scenarios, Discussion Paper No. 48, The Australia Institute, Canberra, 2002. Department of Trade and Industry, Our Energy Future – Creating a Low Carbon Economy, Energy White Paper, UK Department of Trade and Industry, 2003, version 11 on www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper/; R. Denniss, Diesendorf, M. and Saddler, H., A Clean Energy Future for Australia, a report by the Clean Energy Group of Australia, 2004. 119 Department of Trade and Industry, Our Energy Future – Creating a Low Carbon Economy, Energy White Paper, UK Department of Trade and Industry, 2003,version 11. 120 . Prepared by The Natural Edge Project, May 2005 Page 124 of 124 Prospering in a Carbon-Constrained World