Appendix 2 Initial Agreement for Carbon and Energy Fund Project across three NHS Grampian sites Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................. 3 1. Introduction ........................................................................................................ 6 2. The Strategic Case ............................................................................................ 7 2.1. Strategic Context .................................................................................................. 7 2.2. Organisational Overview and Business Strategy ............................................... 9 2.3. Investment Objectives ........................................................................................ 10 2.4. Existing Arrangements ....................................................................................... 11 2.5. Potential Scope and Service Requirements...................................................... 12 2.6. Benefits Criteria .................................................................................................. 13 2.7. Strategic Risks .................................................................................................... 13 2.8. Constraints and Dependencies.......................................................................... 16 3. The Economic, Commercial, Financial and Management Case................... 16 3.1. Critical Success Factors .................................................................................... 16 3.2. Main Business Options ...................................................................................... 17 3.3. Preferred Way Forward....................................................................................... 19 3.4. Short-listed Options ........................................................................................... 19 3.5. Indicative project timescales ............................................................................. 20 3.6. Outline Commercial Case................................................................................... 20 3.7. Outline Financial Case........................................................................................ 21 3.8. Outline Project Management Arrangements ..................................................... 23 3.9. Recommended Way Forward ............................................................................. 23 Contents Page Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Executive Summary Introduction The purpose of this Initial Agreement is to establish the case for change and the need for investment in energy efficient infrastructure at three large, strategically important sites within the NHS Grampian estate: Royal Cornhill Hospital, Dr Gray’s Hospital and the Foresterhill Campus (which includes Aberdeen Royal infirmary, Royal Aberdeen Childrens Hospital, Aberdeen Maternity Hospital and Aberdeen Dental School). Case For Change The Scottish Government’s commitments under the Climate Change Act 2009 and associated HEAT performance targets require all NHS Boards to reduce energy consumption and associated greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across their estates The 2011/12 HEAT Target report showed that NHS Grampian’s energy consumption had increased by 5.8% from the baseline year, and that GHG emissions had increased by almost 11% over the same period. NHS Grampian has the third highest energy-consuming hospital in Scotland (Aberdeen Royal Infirmary) and has a number of hospitals with energy consumption well in excess of the Scottish national average (including Aberdeen Maternity Hospital and Dr Gray’s Hospital). To comply with these targets therefore NHS Grampian must significantly improve its performance in terms of energy consumption and GHG emissions. Project Objectives The objective of the project is to deliver a substantial reduction in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and a corresponding reduction in operating costs through the replacement of existing plant and infrastructure with more energy efficient arrangements at each of the three sites. The investment will also address related backlog maintenance issues. The key investment objectives are: To reduce energy consumption and costs in real (evidenced) terms against an agreed baseline for each site. Such reductions to be ambitious and to (as a minimum) meet current Scottish Government national and Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorate (SGHSCD) targets of a 1% per annum reduction in energy consumption. To reduce carbon emissions in real (evidenced) terms against an agreed baseline for each site. Such reductions to be ambitious and to (as a minimum) meet current Scottish Government national and SGHSCD targets of a 3% per annum reduction in CO2 emissions in relation to fossil fuel heating. 3 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project To minimise or eliminate future backlog maintenance spend in relation to some of the energy infrastructure at the sites, by investing in low energy/ low carbon technologies. Financial Case An independent feasibility study by the Carbon Trust indicated that an overall investment of c £8million could enable a scope of works across the three sites that will deliver a guaranteed reduction in carbon emissions and energy consumption at a level that will meet the objectives of the project and ensure a payback of the initial investment within a 15 year timescale. Recognising the results of this study the following options have been identified for further consideration: Option 1: ‘Do Nothing’ Option 2: ‘Do minimum’ (address backlog maintenance issues only) Option 3: Carry out a limited scope of works Option 4: Carry out full scope of works The procurement process is designed to encourage innovation on the part of potential bidders and the final tendered solution is likely to include different technologies and funding options than those identified in the feasibility study. The final cost of the investment may therefore vary to the cost identified in the initial feasibility study. Commercial Case Potential funding options include either traditional NHS capital funding or the Carbon and Energy Fund Scotland (CEFS) or potentially a mixture of both. The CEFS has been established as a joint venture partnership between the Carbon and Energy Fund and NHS National Services Scotland (National Procurement and Health Facilities Scotland) to allow health boards in Scotland to progress large-scale energy investment opportunities using external finance raised either by the CEFS itself or by the successful contractor. The CEFS offers a competitive procurement route that will encourage innovation and result in the best solution – both economically and technically – for NHS Grampian. The CEFS provides the option of a third party service financing and owning any installed equipment. Ongoing operation can be carried out by the third party, or by NHS Grampian staff. The third party service provider will supply, and possibly maintain, the plant under a service contract with NHS Grampian, the costs of which will be covered by guaranteed savings from reduced energy consumption and GHG emissions. 4 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Recommendation The Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorates Capital Investment Group is asked to approve the following recommendation :NHS Grampian proceed to develop an Outline Business Case to further consider and refine the above options, including the options for financing and procurement via the CEFS, in line with the Scottish Capital Investment Manual guidelines. 5 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project 1. Introduction NHSScotland Boards have an obligation to reduce energy consumption and associated greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across their estates. This is to fulfil the requirements of both the Scottish Government’s commitments under the Climate Change Act 2009 and NHSScotland’s HEAT targets. To date, many of the ‘quick wins’ have been realised and since 1990, energy consumption has reduced by c 42% across NHSScotland sites. However, significant investment is now required to realise more long-term savings and to ensure that 2020 and 2050 energy and climate change targets are met. NHS Grampian is one of the poorer performing NHS Boards in terms of energy consumption and GHG emissions. The 2011/12 HEAT Target report showed that NHS Grampian’s energy consumption had increased by 5.8% from the baseline year, and that GHG emissions had increased by almost 11% over the same period. Further, NHS Grampian has the third highest energy-consuming hospital in Scotland (Aberdeen Royal Infirmary) and has a number of hospitals sites with energy consumption well in excess of the Scottish national average (including Aberdeen Maternity Hospital and Dr Gray’s Hospital). This relates primarily to the age profile and development across multiple NHS Grampian sites, coupled to a general lack of investment in low energy technologies and opportunities. To address some of these issues, NHS Grampian commissioned a new energy centre for the Foresterhill Campus. The new centre started operation in 2012 and comprises a gas turbine combined heat and power (CHP) plant, a biomass boiler and three high-efficiency dual-fuel boilers. It was designed to provide all the heat demand and c 90% of the peak electricity demand of the Foresterhill Campus. However, at time of writing, the Energy Centre is not working to full capacity, due to slower progress with planned site developments, and therefore is currently operating less optimally than will be achieved when site development plans are realised. Energy appraisals conducted by the Carbon Trust in 2012 identified significant energy saving opportunities at three sites: Foresterhill Campus, Royal Cornhill Hospital and Dr Gray’s Hospital. However, these measures require a capital investment of c £8million. In January 2013, the Scottish Government published “Low Carbon Scotland: Meeting our Emissions Reduction Targets 2013-2027: The Draft Second Report on Proposals and Policies”. This outlined the Scottish Government’s approach to meeting its Climate Change Act duties, including the level of central funding it would be allocating to this. This is decreasing over time, with more emphasis being placed on private sector investment. 6 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project In 2012, Health Facilities Scotland (HFS) was tasked by Scottish Government and NHSScotland’s Strategic Facilities Group to investigate the potential for private sector investment in energy efficiency projects across the NHSScotland estate. After exploring a number of schemes, HFS and National Procurement are now working in partnership with the Carbon and Energy Fund and have established Carbon and Energy Fund Scotland (CEFS) to support NHS Boards in large-scale energy investment opportunities. The purpose of this Initial Agreement is to establish the case for change and the need to deliver a substantial reduction in energy consumption and GHG emissions and a corresponding reduction in operating costs through replacement of existing plant and infrastructure with more energy efficient arrangements at each of three strategic sites in NHS Grampian. The investment will also address related backlog maintenance. 2. The Strategic Case 2.1. Strategic Context The planned project fits clearly with NHS Grampians strategic theme of delivering high quality care in the right place through providing safer, effective and sustainable services and is also in line with national strategy as follows : Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009 (CCSA): This sets legally-binding targets for greenhouse gas reduction within Scotland; specifically, a 42% reduction in carbon dioxide (CO2) by 2020 (based on 1990 levels) and an 80% reduction by 2050. The CCSA also includes requirements around renewable energy generation, climate change adaptation and energy/ sustainability monitoring and reporting. As a public sector body, NHS Grampian has both explicit and implicit duties to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to meet CCSA requirements. NHSScotland HEAT Target E8: The NHSScotland HEAT (Health, Efficiency, Access, Treatment) target E8 covers energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. The present target requires NHS Boards to achieve a 3% per annum reduction in CO2 emissions in relation to fossil fuel heating and a 1% per annum reduction in energy consumption (against a baseline financial year of 2009/10). HEAT target updates are provided to Scottish Government on a quarterly basis, with a full report provided annually following financial year end. The 2011/12 HEAT target report showed that NHS Grampian’s energy consumption had increased by 5.8% since the baseline year, and that carbon dioxide (CO2) emission has increased by almost 11% in the same period. This relates primarily to the age profile and development across multiple NHS Grampian sites, coupled to a general lack of investment in low energy technologies and opportunities 7 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project More generally this Initial Agreement is integral to a number of existing business strategies and work programmes : Local Grampian Health Plan: The Plan sets out the overall strategy and guidance for the development of the health system in Grampian. NHS Grampian Healthfit 2020: This is the practical vision for the health system in Grampian taking account of the direction set out in the Health Plan. It sets out specifically how many elements of the health system could and should be organised up to 2020 if current good practice was to be applied consistently and comprehensively. The 2020 vision will not remain static but will continue to be developed to aid understanding on what is possible in Grampian as a whole and within individual communities. A key feature of the vision is its consistency with the original Healthfit vision for Grampian developed in 2002 but recently updated and endorsed by the Board for health priorities in the Grampian area until 2020. It demonstrates that Healthfit has provided the firm foundation for continuous change to improve and modernise the health system in Grampian. The NHS Grampian Health and Care Framework which is a set of strategies, guidance and tools that supports the Healthfit approach to health and healthcare. It also supports the detailed implementation of the Grampian Health Plan approved by the Board. NHS Grampian Property and Asset Management Plan (PAMPS) which aims to ensure that assets are used efficiently, coherently and strategically to support the future clinical and corporate needs of the Board consistent with our forecast for service need. In relation to this, NHS Grampian also undertakes a regular review of its ‘Backlog maintenance’. This stand at circa £157 million (before uplifts for fees, VAT etc). NHS Grampian Service Plans which set clear quality requirements for services and care and are based on the best available evidence of what treatments and services work most effectively for patients. Supporting programmes of change which are needed to support the implementation of the Board’s plans and services strategies and which have a significant influence in the pace and extent to which plans can be implemented. These programmes are planned care, unscheduled care, integration and improving health. 8 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project National The Healthcare Quality Strategy for NHSScotland: This sets out NHSScotland’s three quality ambitions for the service: person centred, safe, effective. In the context of property, this translates as improvements in patient experience and environment (person centre), minimisation of backlog risks (safe), and reductions in cost, energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions (effective). NHSScotland Sustainable Development Strategy: A Sustainable Development Strategy for NHSScotland was announced in February 2012. The Strategy contains 14 mandatory requirements for NHS Boards, including the establishment of a Sustainable Development champion and the development of a Sustainable Development Action Plan (incorporating climate change mitigation and adaptation). 2.2. Organisational Overview and Business Strategy NHS Grampian is the second largest NHS Board geographically in Scotland with the third highest energy consumption. The property portfolio consists of 99 properties/sites with a building floor area of approximately 385,000 m2 and a net book value of circa £428 million (at 31st March 2013). Energy consumption amounts to over 166 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of energy consumed per annum, equating to over 47,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions and over £8.6million in energy costs. The recent State of Assets and Facilities report highlighted, nationally, many of the issues that are the focus of our local Property and Asset Management Plan. The report places particular emphasis on the extent of backlog maintenance that our remaining estate requires in order to bring the accommodation up to the relevant physical and statutory standards. A significant challenge for NHS Grampian in managing this property portfolio is the current financial burden relating to backlog maintenance (including energy efficiency and carbon reduction). The current estimate of need amounts to circa £157 million (excluding any uplift allowances for fees, VAT, contingency, inflation etc.). £41m (26%) of this cost is significant risk items and a further £12.5m (8%) is high risk items. The Board are committed to reduce the level of carbon emissions across our property base and all new developments are now delivered, where possible, with integral technology designed to reduce energy use and consequently carbon emission levels. Specific recent developments include the new combined heat and power plant at Foresterhill which was brought in to operation during 2012. In addition funding has been approved through the national Carbon Reduction Programme to develop a biomass boiler at Royal Cornhill Hospital in 2014. 9 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project The extent of backlog maintenance outstanding across our asset base however requires that our future financial plans prioritise a demonstrable reduction in high and significant risk backlog maintenance in clinical areas, whilst maintaining a balanced essential equipment replacement programme. All available capital and revenue funding together with asset disposal proceeds are applied to target an 88% reduction in high and significant risk backlog maintenance in clinical areas over the next five years. As such, additional investment in low energy / carbon technologies which cannot be linked directly to high and/or significant risk backlog programmes are unlikely to be progressed within the Boards formula capital allocation within the five year period of our local delivery plan. 2.3. Investment Objectives The objective of the project is to deliver a substantial reduction in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and a corresponding reduction in operating costs through the replacement of existing plant and infrastructure with more energy efficient arrangements at each of three strategically important sites within the NHS Grampian estate. The investment will also address related backlog maintenance issues. Two sites in Aberdeen o Foresterhill Campus (which includes Aberdeen Royal infirmary, Royal Aberdeen Childrens Hospital, Aberdeen Maternity Hospital and Aberdeen Dental School). o Royal Cornhill Hospital One site in Elgin o Dr Grays Hospital The key investment objectives are: To reduce energy consumption and costs in real (evidenced) terms against an agreed baseline for each site. Such reductions to be ambitious and to (as a minimum) meet current Scottish Government national and Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorate (SGHSCD) targets of a 1% per annum reduction in energy consumption. To reduce carbon emissions in real (evidenced) terms against an agreed baseline for each site. Such reductions to be ambitious and to (as a minimum) meet current Scottish Government national and SGHSCD targets of a 3% per annum reduction in CO2 emissions in relation to fossil fuel heating. To minimise or eliminate future backlog maintenance spend in relation to some of the energy infrastructure at the sites, by investing in low energy/ low carbon technologies. 10 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project 2.4. Existing Arrangements Foresterhill Campus The site hosts three main hospitals (Aberdeen Royal Infirmary, Royal Aberdeen Children’s Hospital, Aberdeen Maternity Hospital), as well as the Aberdeen Dental School and a number of clinics, health centres and administrative blocks. Current total bed capacity is c 1,020. There are 20 operating theatres on the site, as well as extensive imaging facilities, Intensive Therapy Units (ITU)/ High Dependency Units (HDU) and numerous support service departments. Electrical load on the site is provided by two feeds from the national grid and by self generation from the Foresterhill Energy Centre (via a CHP plant). There are three separate high-voltage rings on the site. Heating on site is provided by the Foresterhill Energy Centre (a combination of CHP, biomass and high-efficiency dual-fuel boilers) supplying steam to a piped ring main distribution system. The old East Boilerhouse (which is at the end of its economic life) provides process steam to the Laundry/Central Decontamination facility. Royal Cornhill Hospital The site provides the NHS Grampian centre for mental health care. Currently bed capacity is c 290 in-patient psychiatric beds. In addition there is a production kitchen and support service departments. Electrical supplies on site are provided from the national grid to a local high-voltage network. Heating is provided from a central medium pressure hot water (MPHW) boilerhouse comprising dual-fuel boilers. Dr Gray’s Hospital The site is a mixed hospital campus handling a variety of clinical and administrative services. Currently bed capacity is c 160 acute, maternity, paediatric and psychiatric beds. In addition there are four operating theatres, imaging facilities, ITU/HDU and numerous support service departments. There is also a production kitchen on site. Electrical supplies on site are provided from the national grid. Heating is provided from a central MPHW boilerhouse comprising dual-fuel boilers. These boilers are now deemed to be at the end of their economic life. 11 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project 2.5. Potential Scope and Service Requirements Following a series of energy appraisals funded by the Carbon Trust, provisional scopes of works have been identified for the three sites. Foresterhill Campus Optimisation of the Foresterhill Energy Centre by connecting further heat and electrical loads; Extension of the existing steam main to supply the Laundry/Decontamination facility, allowing closure of the East Boilerhouse; Review and (if necessary) replace the condensate return systems; Revision of the electrical base load and replacement of older oil filled transformers, and the rationalisation of old sub stations; Replacement of older calorifiers with non storage plate heat exchangers; Replacement of stand alone split-system cooling units; Replacement of old inefficient lighting; Improvement in the quality of pipework insulation across the site; Associated upgrades to the existing building management system and heating/ electrical controls. Royal Cornhill Hospital Refurbishment of the existing boilerhouse, to include one or more of the following options; o Containerised biomass boiler o Gas-fired or biomass CHP plant o Upgrading of existing burners Associated upgrades of heating controls and pipework insulation; Replacement of older calorifiers with non storage plate heat exchangers; Replacement of stand alone split -system cooling units; Replacement of old inefficient lighting. 12 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Dr Gray’s Hospital Replacement of existing boilers with new higher efficiency boilers and associated controls/ pipework insulation. The new boiler plant could include a biomass or CHP option if appropriate; Replacement of older calorifiers with non storage plate heat exchangers; Replacement of stand alone split-system cooling units; Replacement of old inefficient lighting. 2.6. Benefits Criteria The benefits associated with this project will be assessed against the following criteria: Alignment with NHS Grampian’s strategic objectives and business plans Amount of energy consumption and GHG emissions avoided, measured in terms of metric values (kilowatt-hours, tonnes of CO2) and related cost reductions Reduction in value of backlog maintenance Reduction in maintenance costs Qualitative improvement to patient and staff environments These criteria will be kept under review as the project develops. 2.7. Strategic Risks The main strategic risk associated with this project is to do nothing. This will result in existing infrastructure being no longer able to support our objectives for future patient care (NHS Grampian Strategic Risk number 855) with the following implications : The purchase of allowances from central Government to cover GHG emissions (via the Carbon Reduction Commitment Energy Efficiency Scheme) currently costs NHS Grampian circa £0.5m per annum. Carbon emission targets and therefore the cost of allowances will increase incrementally in future years in order to encourage active reduction in GHG levels. Failure to significantly reduce emissions on our major sites, will not only mean that we do not comply with national targets, but will also result in increased costs associated with the purchase of carbon allowances, diverting resource from direct patient care. 13 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project No reduction in backlog maintenance requirements. Some of the boilerhouses included within the scope of works have reached the end of their economic life, so replacement has become a critical issue. The worst-case scenario would be for an existing boilerhouse to fail, leading to immediate impact on clinical services. The following specific project risks have been identified at this stage. These will be reviewed and revised as the project develops. All risks are being managed by the Project Team: Risk Identified Mitigation Measures Insufficient thermal and/or electrical loads identified to improve Foresterhill Energy Centre efficiency Accurate energy data for the site is being collated, together with design information for new buildings (where available). Contractors place reliance on NHS Grampian owned data which subsequently proves to be inaccurate e.g. asbestos register, current energy bills Extent of reliance on NHS Grampian provided information is clearly identified in the contract. Internal review and risk assessment regarding accuracy of information to ensure an informed decision on any contingency necessary. Contractors withdraw from project during procurement phase If using a traditional procurement route, mitigation actions would depend on the number of contractors being considered. If the eventual number was deemed to be non-competitive, the project would be suspended and re-tendered at a later date. Longer term development plans will in due course secure the planned load for the Energy Centre. The CEFS framework of contractors is being reprocured and an extended list of contractors would be available at a later date. The project could be reprocured at that stage, taking into account reasons for previous contractor withdrawal. 14 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Carbon and Energy Fund Scotland ceases to trade If this happens during the procurement phase, the project would be re-procured at a later date using an alternative route. If this were to happen after the preferred bidder had been chosen, NHS Grampian would continue with contractual negotiations with that contractor. Health Facilities Scotland would provide contract oversight. NHS Grampian would no longer pay the CEFS management fee and could reinvest in another independent assessor if this was deemed necessary. Chosen contractor ceases to trade If a traditional procurement route has been used, NHS Grampian would re-tender for another contractor to complete the works and/or take over operation of the installed plant (depending on the stage of the project). If the contractor ceases to trade following installation of the plant, operation and maintenance could revert to NHS Grampian. If using the CEFS route, CEFS have a contractual responsibility to find an alternative contractor. Project does not deliver planned energy consumption reductions If a traditional procurement route has been used, NHS Grampian (in conjunction with Health Facilities Scotland) would review the installation and ascertain whether operation can be improved through simple remedial actions. If using the CEFS route, the CEFS is a guaranteed savings scheme, so in this scenario, NHS Grampian would receive financial compensation for the shortfall in savings. Planning permission refused for new biomass schemes Initial preparatory work has been undertaken to ascertain local authority views on similar schemes. 15 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project 2.8. Constraints and Dependencies Constraints The project must be delivered with minimal disruption to ongoing hospital functions. It is NHS Grampian’s intention to retain maintenance of the three sites in-house, and as such, third-party managed maintenance contracts are unlikely to be considered. For the Foresterhill Campus, new heating and electrical loads should be sourced from NHS Grampian (or neighbouring university) properties. The project should not be dependent on outsourcing heat or electrical load to third party organisations. The Project must be affordable within existing hospital budgets. This means that the costs of the project needs to be offset by guaranteed reductions in the cost the NHS Board would otherwise incur or guaranteed increases in revenue that the NHS Board would earn as a result of implementing the project. The project must comply fully with all relevant legislation (e.g. local planning guidance, environmental legislation) and Scottish Health Technical Memoranda. Dependencies The preferred option is dependent on the availability of financing either as a traditional NHS capital funded project or using external finance through the Carbon and Energy Fund Scotland or a mixture of both. Proposals which introduce new/upgraded equipment and/or infrastructure onto NHS Grampian sites will require to be assessed by the Board in order to establish their accounting treatment prior to approval. Proposals which are not compatible with the required accounting treatment will not be approved. 3. The Economic, Commercial, Financial and Management Case 3.1. Critical Success Factors A set of Critical Success Factors (CSFs) have been identified that will determine the success of the project. These are outlined in the table below, in order of importance. 16 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Critical Success Factor Description Strategic Fit Meets agreed investment objectives and related business needs and service requirements Value for Money Maximises the Net Present Value of the initial capital investment Affordability Delivers a net annual cash releasing saving (minimum breakeven) Achievability Can be delivered without adversely compromising NHS Grampian’s core activities Supply Side Capacity and Matches the contractor’s ability to deliver the required Capability level of service and functionality 3.2. Main Business Options A SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis has been carried out on a list of four options to address the main investment objectives listed earlier. Option Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats Option 1: ‘Do Nothing’ No resource requirements Major strategic and site issues are not addressed None Some boilerhouses are at the end of their economic life, so may fail NHS Grampian’s energy consumption and associated GHG emissions do not decrease Backlog maintenance issues not addressed 17 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Option Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats Option 2: ‘Do minimum’ (address backlog maintenance issues only) Minimum resource requirements NHS Grampian’s energy consumption and associated GHG emissions do not decrease Minimal impact on staff resources Energy targets will not be met Option 3: Carry out scope of works on single site only Reduced capital investment required. Does not address wider issues Logistics of project delivery can be simplified Major backlog maintenance issues at all sites, so some would be missed. Simpler to procure NHS Grampian funding unlikely to be available Simpler procurement exercise. Less complicated logistics Option 4 (a): Carry out full scope of works using NHS Grampian funding and using traditional OJEU procurement route NHS Grampian retain full control of funding and procurement process NHS Grampian realise 100% of project savings on delivery Minimises energy consumption / GHG emissions and backlog maintenance reductions Does not encourage ‘innovative’ solutions. Procurement will be extended. OJEU process restrictive Requires significant upfront capital investment from NHS Grampian 18 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project Option Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats Option 4(b): Carry out full scope of works using Carbon and Energy Fund Scotland funding and procurement route Existing OJEUprocured contractor list with specific expertise in NHS estates NHS Grampian must follow CEFS process, so lose some control Encourages innovative solutions IFRS accounting rules may hinder the process Options for added value add-ons NHS Grampian do not need to fund initial capital investment Guaranteed savings and service availability 3.3. Preferred Way Forward The preferred way forward is to go with the option that represents the best fit for the specified investment objectives and Critical Success Factors. The table below shows how the above five options compare against the CSFs identified earlier. Option CSF1: Strategic Fit CSF2: Value for Money CSF3: CSF4: Affordability Achievability CSF5: Supply Side Capacity and Capability 1 × × N/A 2 × × 3 × × × 4 3.4. Short-listed Options The above options will be assessed in the Outline Business Case (OBC) which will be submitted to the NHS Grampian Board for approval in August 2013. 19 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project 3.5. Indicative project timescales The project plan, deliverables and associated timelines for approval will be detailed in the OBC. Current indicative timescales are as follows Initial agreement – Board approval June 2013, CIG approval July 2013 OBC – Board and CIG approval August 2013 FBC – Board and CIG approval December 2013 3.6. Outline Commercial Case The procurement process is designed to encourage innovation on the part of potential bidders and the final tendered solution is likely to include different technologies and funding options. Potential funding options include either traditional NHS capital funding or the Carbon and Energy Fund Scotland (CEFS) or potentially a mixture of both. CEFS Procurement Process The CEFS provides a robust procurement process for selecting a preferred contractor, and financial model, for the proposed scope of works. The CEFS has a framework of contractors that was procured via an OJEU tender in early 2011. At present, there are ten companies/ consortia on the framework. The particulars of this tender have been reviewed by NHSScotland’s National Procurement and deemed suitable for use by NHS Boards. An Invitation to Mini Competition (ITMC) is prepared and issued to the CEFS framework contractors. Interested parties are invited to an Open Day at NHS Grampian during which they are given presentations on the proposed scope of works, NHS Grampian’s strategic requirements, and other pertinent issues. The contractors also have a site tour to view the facilities. Using information gathered at the Open Day, combined with data collated during earlier phases and the completed feasibility study, they develop potential solutions. Up to four bidders are short listed from these discussions and issued with a full Invitation to Tender (ITT). Tender returns are then evaluated by the NHS Grampian project team (assisted by CEFS staff) and a preferred bidder selected. At this stage, the business case is presented to NHS Grampian’s Board for formal approval. 20 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project At this stage, should the Board not approve the project, the process will stop and there will be no cost incurred to the Board. Should the Board approve the business case, then that bidder will be given three months to complete its design and the contract technical schedules, ready for the NHS Grampian Board to approve and sign. Should the contract be for the same (or better) price and guaranteed savings, then the Board is expected to sign the contract. If it does not, then NHS Grampian will be expected to cover the bidder and CEFS costs associated with those three months. Once the contract is signed, the successful contractor commences with installation works at the sites. When the sites are operational, NHS Grampian pays an agreed monthly fee, set out in the original contract. Energy savings are monitored throughout operation by the CEFS. Should the guaranteed savings not be achieved, the contractor must provide remedial costs to NHS Grampian to account for the shortfall. Any savings achieved in excess of the guarantee are retained by NHS Grampian. Standard OJEU Procurement Process The alternative procurement route open to NHS Grampian is via a standard OJEU procurement. In this scenario, NHS Grampian would specify a proposed programme of works at designated sites and invite proposals via an open procurement process. Bidders have a designated time period to respond to the call for proposals. Whilst this approach opens the field to (potentially) more bidders, it does not allow for innovative solutions (other than via variant bids) and does not allow for any dialogue between bidders and NHS Grampian (other than clarification questions). It also does not offer the opportunity to consider alternative finance models (unless this is specified in the original notice). 3.7. Outline Financial Case An independent feasibility study indicated that an overall investment of c £8million could enable a scope of works across the three sites that will deliver a guaranteed reduction in carbon emissions and energy consumption at a level that will meet the objectives of the project and ensure a payback of the initial investment within a 15 year timescale. The procurement process is designed to encourage innovation on the part of potential bidders and the final tendered solution is likely to include different technologies and funding options than those identified in the feasibility study. The final cost of the investment may therefore vary to the cost identified in the initial feasibility study. 21 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project NHS Grampian has c £1.5million allocated via the Scottish Government’s Carbon Reduction Programme for a biomass plant at the Royal Cornhill Hospital. This funding was intended for spend in the financial years 2013/14 and 2014/15 (a 50:50 split across both years) and is conditional on a 1.5MW biomass boiler being installed on the site. Early indications show that a biomass plant of this size would not be the optimum solution for the site and alternative solutions are under consideration. Once the optimum approach for Royal Cornhill Hospital has been agreed, NHS Grampian (supported by Health Facilities Scotland) will approach Scottish Government Health & Social Care Directorate to request that the funding is targeted at the alternative solution and the timing of the funding realigned to meet the project. It should be noted that permission to apply the funding to an alternative project, or to an alternative financial year, may not be granted Regardless, of whether Carbon Reduction Programme funding is available or not there will be a significant shortfall in availability of funding for the whole scheme. Therefore alternative routes to funding must be considered. The CEFS offers two potential funding routes: funding via the CEFS itself or funding via the successful contractor. Both routes can incorporate a contribution from the Carbon Reduction Programme (or other Board funding) if available. In adopting either funding route, NHS Grampian would pay a monthly service charge on completion of the works to cover the cost of capital and ongoing operational costs. This would be funded by guaranteed savings on energy costs, i.e. if the installed project does not achieve the levels of savings guaranteed, the contractor must reimburse NHS Grampian for the shortfall. Conversely, any additional savings achieved will go straight to NHS Grampian. Once the technical options from the prospective contractors have been received, there will be more clarity on the amount of funding available and the financial savings that can be realised. 22 Initial Agreement for CEFS Project 3.8. Outline Project Management Arrangements A project management team has been established including members from NHS Grampian’s Estates and Finance Department, as well as a Partnership representative and technical support from Health Facilities Scotland. Membership is detailed in the table below: Project Sponsor Project Director Finance representative Estates Project Manager Procurement Manager Energy Manager Partnership Representative HFS Technical Support Administrator Alan Gray, Director of Finance Gary Mortimer, General Manager Facilities and Estates Garry Kidd, Assistant Director of Finance Graham Mutch, Head of Maintenance Steve Glass, Head of Procurement Alan Lamont, Energy Manager Mike Adams, NHS Grampian Kathryn Dapré, HFS Energy & Climate Change Manager Suzanne Rogerson, PA to General Manager Facilities and Estates 3.9. Recommended Way Forward The Scottish Government Health Directorates Capital Investment Group is asked to approve the following recommendation :NHS Grampian proceed to develop an Outline Business Case to further consider and refine the above options, including the options for financing and procurement via the CEFS, in line with the Scottish Capital Investment Manual guidelines. 23