Research on Input-output Table and Analysis Method in Western China Qiu Piqun XI’AN Statistics Institute, Department of Information 6# Xiaozhai East Road #64, XI’AN City, China E-mail: peiqunqiu@yahoo.com.cn Liu Yin York University Toronto City, Canada E-mail: liu_yin2001@yahoo.com Western development is the major strategy of Chinese economic construction in the 21st century. During western development, recognizing the present state and development potential of society, economy, resources and environment in western area is the precondition to carrying out “develop towards west” scientifically and effectively. It is very necessary to use input-output technique to analyze the economic linkage, resources supply and environmental protection in the ten western provinces and autonomous regions. By working out the total input-output table, this paper researches and analyzes input-output relationship, environment and resources occupation in western China. The ten western provinces and autonomous regions include: Xinjiang, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Shaanxi, Sichuan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Yunnan and Xizang. 1. The structure of total input-output table in western China The total input-output table (Table 1) in western China is a model, which includes product, labor force flow, pollution and pollution control, and resources occupation of the ten western provinces and autonomous regions. The structure of Table 1 includes 9 quadrants: Ⅰ . Middle use, which reflects the middle flux of each production department in various regions; Ⅱ. Middle input of pollution control departments, which reflects product consumption of each department in pollution control process; Ⅲ. Final use, which reflects the direction and structure of final use in each department; Ⅳ. Initial input, which reflects the initial input of each production department in various regions; Ⅴ. Initial input of pollution control departments, which reflects the pollution control cost of each department; Ⅵ. Pollution formation, which reflects the pollution formation status of each department in middle use; Ⅶ. This quadrant reflects -1- the pollution formation amount in decontamination; Ⅷ . This quadrant reflects pollution formation status in final use; Ⅸ. Resources occupation, which reflects the occupation of land, water, mine and other natural resources. Middle input Table 1. The total input-output table in western China Middle use Pollution Final use control dept. 12…n 12…m 1 2 … Ⅰ n Ⅱ Ⅲ Total output Initial input Ⅳ Ⅴ Ⅶ Total input Pollution-creating dept. 1 2 … m Ⅵ Resources occupation Land Water Mine Others Ⅸ Ⅷ The total table (Table 1) is designed by modularization method, and the 9 quadrants are regarded as 9 modules. The following three different input-output models can be obtained by combining the modules. 2. The regional input-output model and analysis in western China The regional input-output table in western China can be obtained by combining the Ⅰ, Ⅲ, Ⅳ modules of the total table (Table 1) and dividing the Ⅰ quadrant into composite groupings. Ten regions are divided under the middle use and the middle input, and n departments are divided under each region. Table 2 is the regional input-output table in western China. The first part of Table 2, that is the Ⅰ quadrant of Table 1, is a regional flux matrix. The flux is xijpq , which expresses the product consumption of department j, department j is in region q; the product is supplied by department i, department i is in region p. The second part of Table 2, that is the Ⅲ quadrant of Table 1, is divided into 11 regions under the final use. The eleventh region reflects the total of midland and eastern area. The final use is expressed as Yi pq . -2- 11 The sum of ranks is Yi p , Yi p Yi pq . q 1 10 The sum of lines is Yi q , Yi q Yi pq . p 1 Table 2. The regional input-output table in western China Middle use Region2 … Region10 Dept. Dept. 12…n … 12…n Region1 Dept. 1 Dept. 2 … Dept. n Region2 Dept. 1 Dept. 2 … Dept. n … … Region10 Middle input Region1 Dept. 12…n Final use Region 1 Region 2 xijpq … Region 10 Midland East Yi pq Total output X ip Dept. 1 Dept. 2 … Dept. n Initial input N qj Total input X qj In the third part of Table 2 (that is the Ⅳ quadrant of Table 1), the initial input is expressed as N qj , which includes depreciation, labor rewards, and interest tax, etc. The total output is expressed as X ip , and the total input is expressed as X qj . The equilibrium relationship in Table 2 is: 10 Line: n x q 1 j 1 10 Rank: pq ij Yi p X ip n x p 1 i 1 pq ij N qj X qj ( pi 11,,22......10n ) ( qj11,,22......10n ) The direct consumption coefficient of partition product is: aijpq xijpq X qj ( pi,,qj 11,,22......10n ) (1) The total consumption coefficient of partition product is: B pq ( I A pq ) 1 I (2) -3- where, A pq aijpq nn . Substituting aijpq in the equilibrium relationship, and the equilibrium equations are: 10 a q 1 j 1 10 pq ij X qj Yi p X ip ( pi 11,,22......10n ) pq ij X qj N qj X qj ( qj11,,22......10n ) n n a p 1 i 1 Its matrix representation is: 10 A X q Y p X p ( p=1,2…10 ) C q X q N q X q ( q=1,2…10 ) pq q 1 10 p 1 10 n 10 n 10 n pq where, C q diag aipq , a ainpq 1 i 2 p 1 i 1 p 1 i 1 p 1 i 1 set A A pq 1010 , C diag (C 1 C 2 C 10 ) , Y (Y 1Y 2 Y 10 ) T, X ( X 1 X 2 X 10 ) T, N ( N 1 N 2 N 10 ) T get AX Y X CX N X then the line model is: X ( I A) 1 Y (3) the rank model is: X ( I C ) 1 N (4) According to formula (1) and (2), the direct consumption coefficient and the total consumption coefficient can be figured out. They can be used to analysis the consumption relationship between regional product and labor force, and the relation of regional manufacturing technique. According to formula (3) and (4), the regional economic development in western China can be forecasted. 3. The environmental protection input-output model and analysis in western China The environmental protection input-output model in western China can be obtained -4- by combining the Ⅰ , Ⅱ , Ⅲ , Ⅵ , Ⅶ , Ⅷ modules of the total table (Table 1). Considering the environmental protection model is complicated, the form of regional input-output model is not used again. The model is a substance-value model. To production departments, it use value unit to link up with the total table; to pollution-creating matters, it use unit in kind to get data easily; to consumable of pollution control departments, it use value unit to establish equations set easily. The number of pollution-creating departments and pollution control departments is assumed corresponding equal. They all include m types, such as drain water, and exhaust gas, waste residue, garbage, etc. The production departments include n types. In the first part of the model, the middle flux of production departments is expressed as X ij ; in the second part of the model, the middle input flux of pollution control departments is expressed as Eij ; in the third part of the model, the final use of production departments is expressed as Yi ; in the fourth part of the model, the pollution-creating flux in production process is expressed as Fij ; in the fifth part of the model, the pollution-creating flux in pollution control process is expressed as K ij ; in the sixth part of the model, the pollution-creating amount in final use is expressed as Ri ; and the total output of production departments is expressed as X i , the total pollution is expressed as Gi , the decontaminated pollution is expressed as S i . According to the environmental protection input-output table, the following economic parameters can be worked out. ① The pollution-creating coefficient of production departments f ij Fij Xj ( ij 11,,22......mn ) (5) ② The pollution-creating coefficient of pollution control departments k ij K ij Sj ( i,j =1,2…m ) (6) ③ The direct consumption coefficient of pollution control departments eij E ij Sj ( ji 11,,22......nm ) -5- (7) ④ Decontamination ratio λi = Si Gi ( i =1,2…m ) (8) The measurement unit of the numerator and the denominator is not the same in formula (5) and (7). The former represents pollution amount created by production department j in the process of manufacturing one value unit of products, the latter represents the consumption values of product manufactured by department i in decontaminating one unit of pollution j. According to formula (5), (6), (7), (8), pollution-creating coefficients and pollution control coefficients can be worked out to calculate the pollution-creating amount and measure the condition of decontamination, and analyses the relationships between environmental protection and economic development. 4. The resources occupation input-output model and analysis in western China The resources occupation input-output model in western China can be obtained by combining theⅠ, Ⅲ, Ⅳ, Ⅸ modules of the total table (Table 1) and dividing the Ⅰ quadrant into n departments. The Ⅰ quadrant becomes a flux matrix, which includes n n departments. The table is also a substance-value input-output table, the first part (middle use), the second part (final use) and the third part (initial input) of the table all use value unit to agree with the unit of the total table (Table 1); the fourth part (natural resources occupation quadrant) of the table uses unit in kind to do natural resources occupation analysis in western China and get data easily. Natural resources are divided into 4 types, that is land, water, mine, and other resources. Each type is divided into several resources; the total number is s. Natural resources occupation is expressed as Z ij , i is the number of the resources types, j is the production department, and the total amount of resource i is expressed as Wi . According to the fourth part of the resources occupation input-output table, the following economic parameters can be worked out. ① The direct resources occupation coefficient s ij Z ij Xj ( ij 11,,22......sn ) ② The total resources occupation coefficient S * S ( I A) 1 where, S sij sn , A aij nn , -6- a ij is the direct product consumption coefficient, the formula doesn’t consider the consumption of fixed assets, it is a simplified formula. ③ The distribution coefficient of direct occupation t ij Z ij Wi ( ij 11,,22......sn ) ④ The distribution coefficient of total occupation T * T ( I H ) 1 where, T t ij sn , H hij nn , hij is product distribution coefficient. ⑤ The output coefficient of unit occupation rij Xj Z ij ( ij 11,,22......sn ) According to the above economic parameters, we can analyze the direct occupation, the total occupation, the direct distribution, and the total distribution of various natural resources during economic development of western China. According to the output coefficient of unit occupation, we can analyze the relationships between resources input, occupation, and economic benefits of output, and research the relationships between resources occupation and regional output. References [1] W.Leontief, Input-output Economics, New York Oxford University Press, 1966 [2] Li Qiang, The Experience and Research on Input-output in Contemporary China, Chinese Statistic Press, 1999 [3] Cheng Xikang, The Demonstration and Innovation of Input-output in Contemporary China, Chinese Statistic Press, 1995 -7-