The current state of seismic monitoring in Puerto Rico John F. Clinton1, Georgia Cua2, Víctor Huérfano2, Christa G. von HillebrandtAndrade2, José Martínez Cruzado1 A. Introduction The US Commonwealth of Puerto Rico has a population of 3.8 million (2000 Census), which amounts to a higher population density than any US state. The island, approximately 160km from east to west by 50km from north to south, is bounded by offshore active faults on all sides. Numerous local and regional events in the recorded history with M>7.0, some of which have generated tsunamis, have caused extensive damage to local infrastructure; the last significant ground motions were felt on-shore in 1918. The USGS hazard maps (Mueller et al,, 2003) indicate that the seismic hazard is similar to the Basin and Range province in the Western USA, and the island is assigned Seismic Zone 3 in the current standard Building Code in Puerto Rico, the 1997 UBC. The significant hazard, combined with the large population and untested infrastructure, result in a potentially devastating combination for Puerto Rico. Efficient emergency response in the event of a large earthquake will be crucial to minimising the resultant loss of human life and disruption of lifeline systems. The first step in providing an appropriate response to such a disaster is a timely knowledge of the magnitude, location and expected ground shaking and damage patterns from the event. This requires a modern and dense seismic network, capable not only of recording the earthquake ground motion without saturation, but also doing so in real-time and then providing data for near-immediate analysis, which can be made available to the emergency services and community at large. The seismicity of the island, as well as the northeastern Caribbean region in general (including the US and British Virgin Islands), is monitored jointly by the Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) and the Puerto Rico Strong Motion Program (PRSMP), both 1 Puerto Rico Strong Motion Program, Department of Civil Engineering and Surveying, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez 2 Puerto Rico Seismic Network, Geology Department, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez 1 operating within the University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez. They currently acquire, analyse and archive broadband, short period and strong motion seismic data in continuous real-time format, using both Antelope and Earthworm software, from stations on Puerto Rico, surrounding islands, the US and British Virgin Islands, and the Dominican Republic. In addition, PRSN imports and processes data from various regional stations operated by other networks. The PRSMP also operates some dial-up and stand-alone installations. Stations range from state-of-the-art seismic vaults for event locations and magnitude determination, to free-field and structural installations for engineering studies and structural health monitoring. In the near future, the networks expect to add continuous streams of data from tidal gauges and buoys (for tsumani warning), GPS and digital weather stations to their operations. B. Tectonic background The island of Puerto Rico has a long history of damaging earthquakes and tsunamis. The island is bounded on all sides by major tectonic fault lines (Figure 1). Major earthquakes have produced damaging ground motions in Puerto Rico in 1615, 1670, 1751, 1776, 1787 (~M8.0 Puerto Rico Trench), 1867 (~M7.3 Anegada Passage) and 1918 (~M7.3 Mona Passage). Large events also occurred in 1943 (~M7.5) and 1946 (~M7.8) that caused much damage in the neighbouring Dominican Republic (PRSN Historical Catalogue, http://temblor.uprm.edu/~victor/PRSN/history/; Shepherd and Lynch, 1992). The 1867 and 1918 events were accompanied by destructive tsunamis (Mueller et al, 2003; Reid and Taber, 1919). Puerto Rico is located on a microplate sandwiched between the obliquely subducting North American and Caribbean plates (Figure 1). Puerto Rico accommodates approximately 16.9mm/yr of deformation relative to North America, and 2.4mm/yr relative to the Caribbean plate (Jansma and Mattioli, 2005; Jansma et al., 2000), primarily by left-lateral strike-slip motion along east-west striking faults. The main sources of seismic activity in the region are at the supposed boundaries of the microplate; the subduction zones to the north (the Puerto Rico Trench, which is the location of the largest gravity anomaly on earth) and south (the Muertos Trough), and zones of extension at the 2 Anegada Trough to the east, and the Mona Canyon region to the west. All regions are capable of producing events greater than M7.0, and all have evidence of having done so in the recorded history of the island (Ascencio, 1980; Moya and McCann, 1992; Macari, 1994). On average Puerto Rico is strongly shaken with Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) >VII once every hundred years, and MMI > VI is experienced on the island once every 50years. In addition to these off-shore sources, recent trenching shows evidence of 2 surfacerupturing events on the inland South Lajas fault in southwestern Puerto Rico (Prentice et al., 2000, Prentice and Mann, 2005), predominantly along a normal fault with a component of strike-slip motion, both within the last 5000yr. This 50-km long inland fault segment can produce M7.0 events (LaForge and McCann, 2003), and potentially could be part of a longer fault zone that extends towards Ponce, the second largest city on the island (population 186,000, 2000 Census). Other shallow faults, mainly with E-W trends, are interspersed across the island. These include the Great Northern and Southern Puerto Rico Fault Zones. These structures have unknown potential for large magnitude events, as yet there is no evidence of Holocene rupture. Tectonic models (Prentice and Mann, 2005) and GPS studies (Jansma and Mattioli, 2005) indicate there are active faults on-shore to accommodate some extension across the island. The most recent large event to cause widespread damage across the island occurred in the Mona Passage in 1918, with MS7,3 (Pacheco and Sykes, 1992). This event caused substantial structural damage to the large towns of Mayagüez and Aguadilla on the West of the island. The associated tsunami had a run-up of 6m at Aguadilla, and 2m at Mayagüez (reaching over 1km inland) (Mercado and McCann, 1998), which killed over 100 people. Widespread liquefaction was observed along the unconsolidated floodplains in the municipalities of Añasco and Mayagüez (Capacete et al., 1972; Moya and McCann, 1992), areas now with pockets of dense population. With the island in general now having a far greater density of population and infrastructure – infrastructure that has island-wide not yet been tested by strong motions since this event in 1918 – a repeat of such grounds motions would lead to a far more severe loss of life and infrastructure. 3 The tsunami risk in the north-east Caribbean is also very real. Aside from the potential for large magnitude events (Huérfano, 2003), recent bathymetry studies have shown numerous large landslide scarps and cliffs near the Puerto Rico Trench as well as the Muertos Trough (Grindlay et al., 2005a; Grindlay et al., 2005b; ten Brink, 2004). The off-shore bathymetry is particularly severe to the North of the island, where the Puerto Rico Trench drops to a depth of over 8.3 km just 180 km north of the island. The interior of the island is mountainous; resulting in much of the population being concentrated in the at-risk low-lying coastal flood plains and alluvial basins. C. Seismic Networks in Puerto Rico The Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) and the Puerto Rico Strong Motion Program (PRSMP), jointly monitor seismic activity in the northeastern Caribbean region. The primary duty of the PRSN is to identify and provide information on local, regional, and teleseismic earthquakes. PRSN is also the host of the Emergent Tsunami Warning System for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. PRSN is the reporting authority for event locations and magnitudes, and maintains the authoritative event catalogue. PRSN operate vault stations primarily in low noise locations. The objective of the PRSMP is to record on scale ground motions from earthquakes affecting the island with as high a quality and station density as possible. The PRSMP maintain a dense urban network with both freefield stations and structural arrays. Both networks share the common goal of providing high-quality data and information in response to needs of the emergency management, engineering, and scientific communities, as well as the general public. PRSMP and PRSN run complimentary operations and share all continuous data in realtime (see Figure 2). This exchange provides an essential level of redundancy and robustness that will be important in ensuring timely and accurate information following a large earthquake. 4 D. Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) The Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) has historically provided locations and magnitudes for earthquakes in the Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands (PRVI) region. PRSN is the reporting authority for the region bounded by latitudes 17.0N to 20.0N, and longitudes 63.5W to 69.0W (Figure 1). The network has been operating since 1974, when the U.S. Geological Survey installed several short-period stations for the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority that were used to evaluate local seismicity in response to concerns regarding the planned construction of two nuclear power plants. In 1982, the network was transferred to the University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, where it has been operating under the jurisdiction of the Department of Geology since 1987. The main objective of the PRSN is to record, process, analyze, provide information and research local, regional and teleseismic earthquakes, providing high quality data and information in order to be able to respond to the needs of the emergency management, academic and research communities, and the general public. It presently operates 13 broadband stations and 10 short period stations throughout Puerto Rico and the US and British Virgin Islands (Figure 3). 6 of these broadband stations also jointly house strong motion sensors. The broadband (BB) stations consist of Guralp CMG 40T, CMG 3 ESP and CMG 3T seismometers recording onto 24-bit Refraction Technology (130 and 72A), NetDas DAQ or Quanterra Q330 digitizers, all sampling at 40 sps. The strong motion (SM) sensors are all Kinemetrics EpiSensors, sampling at 100 sps. The broadband sensors are linked to the central data collection center in Mayagüez via Monitron UHF digital radios, DDS 56K telephone lines, spread-spectrum radios and Internet service. The analogue short period (SP) seismic stations consist of Teledyne S-13 and Mark L-4 seismometers and the data is digitized at 16-bits at 100 sps at the offices of the PRSN. The PRSN runs Earthworm software (Johnson, et al, 1995) to acquire and write waveforms to disk for permanent archival. Automatic locations and alerts are generated for events in Puerto Rico, the Intra America Seas, and the Atlantic by the EarlyBird system (Whitmore and Sokolowski, 2002), which monitors PRSN stations as well as 5 some 30 other ‘virtual’ stations operating in the North, Central and South America and other sites in the Caribbean (Figure 2). Manual locations and analyst review of automatic locations of events within the PRSN area of responsibility (AOR) is facilitated by the PRDANIS (Puerto Rico Data Analysis and Information System) software developed by PRSN using the broadband, strong motion and short period waveforms. The location algorithm is based on the inversion schema HYPOINVERSE-2000 (Klein, 2002), using the crustal model of Huérfano and Bataille (1994). Currently all magnitudes reported by PRDANIS are Md, duration magnitude. All phase arrival times, locations, amplitudes and magnitudes are reviewed by a seismic analyst, usually on the same day, and always within one week. The continuous waveform data is permanently archived at PRSN in GSE2.1 format, though all broadband waveforms are continuously exported to, and archived in SEED format at IRIS (Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology, http://www.iris.edu). Full dataless SEED volumes are available for all stations. Phase data is saved in HypoInverse 2000 format. PRSN hosts a website with a searchable event database, felt event reports and general information about seismicity in the area of responsibility, which can be accessed from http://redsismica.uprm.edu/english/. PRSN is also producing ShakeMaps (Wald et al., 2000) for all felt events in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, and provides QDDS (Quake Data Distribution System) data to the USGS ‘Did You Feel It?’ tool (http://pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/shake/prt/). E. Puerto Rico Strong Motion Program (PRSMP) Strong motion instrumentation efforts in Puerto Rico began in the 1970’s and have continued at a steady pace due to the activities of the Puerto Rico Strong Motion Program (PRSMP). In the immediate aftermath of a large earthquake, the mission of the PRSMP is to provide timely information regarding the distribution of peak ground shaking to emergency management officials to guide response and recovery efforts. In general, the PRSMP aims to provide the best strong motion data to the scientific and engineering communities to improve land use and construction of earthquake-resistant 6 structures. The PRSMP focuses on (1) deploying and maintaining instrumentation for recording large earthquakes that will produce damaging ground motions on the island with as high a data quality and station density as possible; (2) providing timely and appropriate information to the local authorities, seismologists and engineers; and (3) supporting and conducting research activities associated with these records, in particular the understanding of the effects of earthquakes in Puerto Rico, and the mitigation of potential damage from future earthquakes. Currently the PRSMP maintains a network of (1) 78 3-component 18-bit ETNA urban free-field stations; (2) 6 24-bit EpiSensors alongside broadband sensors (jointly operated with the PRSN) at remote sites with vault conditions, and (3) 8 monitored structures with multi channel 19-bit K2 instrumentation (Figure 4). The density of strong motion instrumentation across the island is comparable to Greater Los Angeles, and greatly exceeds the density deployed in California as a whole. Station sites for the urban free-field network are selected based on the proximity to highly populated urban areas and regions of high seismicity (i.e. regions exposed to the greatest seismic risk). In addition, local cultural noise, site geology, ease of access for maintenance, availability of internet or telephone lines, and security are all important considerations. Of the 78 stations, 9 have a real-time continuous internet communication with PRSMP. These internet stations are primarily located on different University of Puerto Rico campuses throughout the island. Of the remaining ETNA stations, 42 have dial-up telephone communications, and 27 have no communications (‘standalone’ stations, and must be visited to gather data). For reasons of accessibility, security, and ease of obtaining site permissions, a majority of the dial-up and standalone stations are installed in fire stations or on Catholic church property. In addition to the ETNA stations, PRSMP monitors 8 structures across the island with multi-channel sensors. These sites are all equipped with 19-bit Kinemetrics K2 dataloggers and Kinemetrics EpiSensors or FBA-23/FBA-11 sensors. The critical infrastructures monitored are: high rise buildings (Plaza Immaculada Apartment Complex 7 and Minillas Government Center, San Juan), concrete dams (Lucchetti, La Plata and Carraizo), and bridges (Ponce Bypass, Mayagüez Viaduct, Paso del Indio bridge). All structural installations are currently stand alone. The PRSMP also shares the operation and maintenance of the 6 strong motion sensors colocated with PRSN broadband sensors (Figure 3), ensuring the entire seismic frequency and amplitude bandwidth is covered at these select stations The Antelope Real-Time System (ARTS, http://www.brtt.com/; Pavlis et al., 2005; Malone, 2000) facilitates communication with the PRSMP ETNA stations as well as with the strong motion and other data collected at PRSN. Antelope software also provides automatic and reviewed location and magnitude determinations (Richter Magnitude (M L) for local events; Body Wave Magnitude (mb), and Surface Wave Magnitude (MS) for regional and teleseismic events), which run as backup to PRSN operations. All data is archived in a temporary ring buffer of 15 days in SEED format, with permanent archiving of all data from all triggered events in SAC format. Event information, and selected event data, is available on-line at http://www.uprm.edu/prsmp. Data from 10 strong motion stations which recorded the recent 3 march 2006 Md5.3 event off Anegada was submitted to Cosmos, and is available from the their website (http://db.cosmos-eq.org/). F. Brief Description of the PRSN Catalogue The PRSN generates and maintains the earthquake catalogue for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Prior to July 2004, the PRSN catalogue was compiled using the PRHYPO earthquake location code with both local (Richter Magnitude, ML) and duration magnitude (Md) computed using the equations of von Hillebrandt and Bataille (1994). In July 2004, the location schema HYPOINVERSE2K was implemented and magnitudes have been calculated from short period and broadband data using the Eaton (1992) “full digital velocity” equations. PRSN have also introduced near-real time moment magnitude 8 estimation based on a Regional Moment Tensor (RMT) inversion code (Randall et al., 1995) and the ASPO search grid algorithm of Zahradnick et al. (2001). Figure 5 shows the epicenters of the analyst-reviewed events in the PRSN local reporting region (AOR) between January 1986 and March 2006. There are over 14,100 events in the catalogue, 9 with M>5.0. The largest event was an Md5.6, occurring at 67km depth, just south of Anegada, BVI, on 7 December 1998. The most recent large event was an Md5.3 event 80km NE of Anegada, on 3 March 2006. Shallow seismicity is concentrated in regions along the Mona Canyon, the region between the Puerto Rican Trench and the 19o N fault zone, the Sombrero fault zone, and on-land across the south of Puerto Rico. The oblique subduction of the North American Plate under the Puerto Rican microplate appears to be the source of much of the deep seismicity. The density of seismicity is shown in Figure 6. The seismicity is dominated by 3 regions; 2 to the North of the island, near the Puerto Rico Trench, and another in the southwest of the island, near Cabo Rojo. Huérfano et al. (2005) suggest the increased seismicity in SW Puerto Rico may be due to local topographic effects. Short period sensors dominated the network until 2000, when broadband sensors were first introduced, though the station density has remained relatively constant. Figure 7(a) shows the number of events binned into periods of 3 months. It is clear that the level of recorded seismicity increased by about 20% once the broadband sensors were introduced to the network. The spike in events in the bin from January-March 2006 is due to the M5.3 indicated in Figure 5. This anomalously large number of events reflects significant recent improvements in automated event-picking algorithms using both Earthworm and Antelope modules. In Figure 7(b) and 7(c), the magnitude and depth distribution of the catalogue is analysed. From Fig. 7(b), the average magnitude of completeness, M C, for the entire catalogue can be estimated to be about Md 3.3. The majority of events are shallow (Figure 7(c)), though the spike in event depth at 25km is due to this being the initial default depth for events up until 2004. Figure 7(d) shows the Gutenberg-Richter distribution for the catalogue, with a b-value of 1.12. 9 The spatial distribution of magnitude of completeness for the catalogue across the PRSN reporting region is shown in Figure 8. At best, the magnitude of completeness is Md2.4, and is at least Md3.0 across the island of Puerto Rico. At the most distant areas from land, (and thus most distant from stations), the magnitude of completeness degrades to over Md4.2. This degradation is an unavoidable consequence of the island geography, but the problem is significantly compounded by the frequent loss of communication with the most remote sites: the Virgin Islands to the east, and Desecheo and Mona Islands to the west of Puerto Rico. The ongoing efforts to secure high quality broadband data with good communications at the more isolated sites, such as Anegada and Mona, coupled with expected installations in the Dominican Republic, will reduce the magnitude of completeness in the extreme regions. In addition to the difficulties is detecting off-shore events, exact earthquake location is also difficult in the region as most of the stations lie in a band between 18oN and 18.5oN, with poor azimuthal constraint on events lying to the north and south (Mendoza and Huérfano, 2005). G. Current Network Initiatives 1. ShakeMap for Puerto Rico ShakeMaps are ground shaking and intensity maps that combine instrumental measurements of shaking with information regarding local geology and earthquake location and magnitude to estimate shaking variations throughout a geographic area (Wald et al., 2005). The ShakeMap software is distributed and maintained by the USGS, with local network operators responsible for customizing the distributed software to their particular network environment. The PRSN has the capability to manually generate ShakeMaps within 1.5 hours following a significant felt event. An example for the recent 2 March 2006 M5.3 event in the Lesser Antilles is shown in Figure 9. PRSN ShakeMaps are constrained by peak ground motion parameters obtained from real-time broadband and strong motion instruments operated by PRSN and PRSMP; the initial ShakeMaps can be updated as strong motion data from PRSMP dial-up stations become available. Site amplification effects are approximated by assigning Vs30 values on a uniformly-spaced 10 1.5 km grid throughout the island. A set of 14 Vs30 measurements (Odum et al., 2006) sampling representative geologic units throughout mainland Puerto Rico was used to determine how to assign average Vs30 values to geologic units. The efficiency and performance of the ShakeMap system in Puerto Rico can be improved by: 1) automating the transfer of data from the PRSN earthworm data acquisition system to ShakeMap, 2) updating the current site conditions map to take into account detailed microzonation studies available for the San Juan Metropolitan Area (Aponte et al., 2000), Ponce, and Mayaguez (Llavona, 2004), the three largest urban centers on the island, and 3) educating potential users on how to use ShakeMap products to guide post-earthquake response and recovery efforts. 2. Focal Mechanisms and Moment Tensors With the support of SeaGrant, the PRSN is evaluating the use of available seismological methods for the rapid identification of earthquake source parameters using the broadband seismic waveforms recorded by the Puerto Rico Seismic Network and to develop automated procedures for the emergent Tsunami Warning System in the Puerto RicoVirgin Islands (PRVI) region. This work involves an evaluation of seismologic methods of waveform analysis using local and regional earthquake data recorded by the PRSN and a subsequent adaptation of these seismologic methods in numerical procedures that can be implemented rapidly within the PRSN seismic-detection and information system. The results will be incorporated to the broadcast schemas as part of the tsunami protocol in the PR-VI region The implementation of near-real time moment magnitude estimation based on the Regional Moment Tensor (RMT) inversion code of Randall et al. (1995), and regular calculation of first motion focal mechanisms are products of this work. For the recent 2 March 2005 (25km deep), a moment magnitude of MW5.5 was determined within 1 hour of event initiation. The focal mechanism has a strike/dip/rake of 83.2o/52.4o/53.6o, a thrust fault with some strike-slip component reflecting the compression dynamics typical of subduction zones, and is likely be related with the plate interface. This is consistent 11 with the Harvard Quick CMT solution (http://www.seismology.harvard.edu/CMTsearch.html), which indicates an MW5.5 high angle thrust event with strike 103o. 3. Structural Monitoring PRSMP currently monitors 8 structures, all stand-alone, with multi-channel K2 systems, with ETNA free-field sensors. These are all located on critical infrastructure around the island; 2 high rise buildings in San Juan, 3 bridges on the main road around the island, and 3 concrete dams. The instrumentation is summarised in Table 1. Currently all these stations are standalone, though cable internet is being installed at the Plaza Inmaculada building. 9 of the 15 channels will be continuously monitored at PRSMP, with the natural frequencies and modes of the building being monitored to investigate whether there are significant changes in the dynamic properties of the system during earthquakes or hurricanes that could indicate potential structural damage (Clinton, 2004; Clinton et al, 2006). The PRSMP is also in the process of installing dense instrumentation at the 19-story El Castillo apartment complex in Mayagüez, a component of the Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS) Structural Response Monitoring System. This test-bed will consist of at least 27 channels of 24-bit strong motion data recording on Quanterra Q330 dataloggers. 4. Network Expansion and Improvement Upgrade at remote sites and new installations Existing infrastructure at Mona Island in Puerto Rico and Anegada in the British Virgin Islands (Figures 1, 3) will be upgraded by installing 24-bit broadband and strong motion sensors and dataloggers. Satellite telemetry will be used to transfer data to PRSN. Both of these stations will also provide data to the emergent USGS Earthquake and Tsunami Monitoring System for the Caribbean. In addition, the currently non-operational short 12 period station at CSB (Figure 3) is likely to be moved to an area near San Juan, which will improve the sensitivity of the network in the NE region of the island. Installations in the Eastern Dominican Republic Two sites have been selected and permitted in the Eastern Dominican Republic, at Samana and Punta Cana (Figure 1), where the PRSN and PRSMP will jointly install and operate 24-bit collocated broadband and strong motion stations, with real-time continuous internet data transmission. Strong Motion Monitoring in the British Virgin Islands The PRSMP has begun a 3-year contract with the Department of Disaster Management in the British Virgin Islands to install a suite of free-field and structural strong motion sensors at critical local infrastructure. The airport control tower on Beef Island and the 3story Government Building in Road Town, Tortola will have 12-channel K2 instrumentation with both free-field and structural sensors. Both lie on reclaimed fill. Free field sites on hard rock in Road Town on Tortola, and Spanish Town on Virgin Gorda are in the course of being instrumented. All instrumentation will be transmitted in real time to PRSMP. Acknowledgements We would like to thank the PRSN and PRSMP personnel, technicians, administrative staff and students, who have made immense contributions to the success of both networks. The figures in this paper were made with the Generic Mapping Tools (GMT) software (Wessel and Smith, 1991), and ZMAP (Wiemer, 2001). The authors gratefully acknowledge GNU software developers. Funding for work on Moment Tensors at PRSN was provided by the SeaGrant Program (R-122-2-04). References Aponte, A., R. Ramos, and J. Martinez-Cruzado (2000). Mapping of soil classification of the San Juan Metropolitan Area. Department of Civil Engineering and Surveying, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez. Ascencio, E. (1980). 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Bataille (1994). PRSN formulas for the calculation of magnitude; Puerto Rico Seismic Network Bulletin: Preliminary Location of earthquakes recorded near Puerto Rico, Jan-Dec 1993, pp 36-37. Wald, D. J., B. C. Worden, V. Quitoriano and K. L. Pankow (2005). ShakeMap manual: technical manual, user’s guide, and software guide: U.S. Geological Survey Techniques and Methods, book 12, section A, chap. 1, 132 p. Wessel, P. and W. H. F. Smith (1991). Free software helps map and display data, EOS Trans. AGU, 72, 441 & 445-446. Wiemer, S. (2001). A Software Package to Analyze Seismicity: ZMAP. Seismological Research Letters, Vol. 72, 373-382, 2001. Whitmore, P.M. and T.J. Sokolowski (2002). Automatic earthquake processing developments at the U.S. West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Warning Center, in Recent Research Developments in Seismology, Transworld Research Network, Kervala, India, 1-13. 16 Zahradnick, J., J. Jansky and K. Papatsima, (2001). Focal mechanisms of weak earthquakes from amplitude spectra and polarities, Puer and Appl. Geophysics., 158, pp 647-665. 17 Figure 1: Map of northeast Caribbean, showing major tectonic structures and approximate locations for damaging earthquakes in recent history. GPS displacement vectors are from Jansma et al. (2000). [USVI: US Virgin Islands; BVI: British Virgin Islands; Cul: Culebra, PR; Vq: Vieques, PR; PC: Punta Cana; SM: Samana; SLF: South Lajas Fault; GSPRFZ: Great Southern Puerto Rico Fault Zone; GNPRFZ: Great Northern Puerto Rico Fault Zone] 18 FIGURE 2: Data Acquisition and Processing at PRSN / PRSMP 19 FIGURE 3: Stations with real-time continuous monitoring at PRSN. All are operated by PRSN except the IRIS station SJG and the PRSMP 18-bit strong motion stations. 3 joint BB and SM stations will be installed in locations outside the map: on Mona Island, and at Punta Cana and Samana in the Dominican Republic (see Fig 1). Currently short period stations IDE and CSB are out of operation. [BB: broadband sensor; SM: strong motion sensor] 20 FIGURE 4: Strong Motion stations in Puerto Rico monitored by PRSMP. Additional details of the dense instrumentation in three largest towns in Puerto Rico, San Juan, Ponce and Mayagüez, is shown. 21 FIGURE 5: Seismicity within PRSN local reporting region between January 1986 and March 2006. The largest event in this time period was a M5.6 located near Anegada, BVI. There were 9 events with M>5.0 (yellow stars). The most recent large event was a M5.3 on 2 March 2006, with cropped text at upper right of map. 22 Figure 6: Density of seismicity in the reporting region, PRSN catalogue, Jan1986Mar2006. Local seismicity is concentrated in southwest Puerto Rico (south of the Great Southern Puerto Rico Fault Zone); the region between the Puerto Rico trench and the 19o Fault Zone; and the Sombrero seismic zone (see Figure 1 for fault locations). 23 (a) (b) (c) (d) Figure 7: Analysis of the PRSN Catalogue (Jan 1986 - March 2006) (a) number of events over time (3month bins); (b) number of events in 0.1 magnitude bins; (c) number of events in 5km depth bins; (d) Gutenberg-Richter relation. 24 Figure 8: Geographical distribution of the magnitude of completeness, MC, for the PRSN Catalogue for the reporting region (Jan 1986 – Mar 2006). MC is Md2.5 for a significant portion of the center and southwest of the island, and is at least Md3.0 throughout the island of Puerto Rico. As distance from the islands increases, the magnitude of completeness degrades, in some regions being greater than Md4.0. 25 Figure 9: ShakeMap for a 2 March 2006 M5.3 event located in Sombrero Seismic Zone (see Figure 5 for location). 26 Structure Name Location San Juan Station ID B02L Etna Free field SJ05 # K2 sensors 15 High Rise Apartment Plaza Inmaculada High Rise Building Highway Overpass Minillas Government Center Mayagüez Viaduct San Juan B01L SJ05 6 Mayagüez B01R MY09 24 Highway Overpass Ponce By-Pass Ponce B02R PN10 12 Highway Bridge Paso del Indio Vega Baja B03R VGB1 24 Dam Lucchetti Yauco D01M YAC1 12 Dam Carraizo Trujillo Alto D02M TA02 9 Dam La Plata Toa Alta D03M TOA2 12 Table 1: Summary of Instrumented Structures Operated by PRSMP. Locations for the sensors can be found in Figure 4. 27