The Societal Benefits of the U.S. International Linear Collider Research and Development Program1 I. Introduction The International Linear Collider (ILC) project is a global, collaborative effort which represents the consensus of the world-wide high energy physics community for the next major particle accelerator facility: a linear accelerator capable of colliding positrons and electrons with centerof-mass energies of 500 GeV, eventually upgradeable to 1 TeV. Building the ILC will require substantial advances in accelerator and detector science and technology that can only be accomplished through significant world-wide investment in a coordinated R&D effort in the next five years. While a global consensus has been reached by the high energy physics community on the priority of the ILC in terms of fundamental scientific merit, the scale of the proposed effort is such that any substantial national commitment will likely require further detailed consideration of the potential wider impact of the R&D program. Such an assessment needs to be undertaken with great care. Decision makers would like realistic, quantitative assessments of both the risks2 and benefits of such a large program in the context of a wider portfolio of R&D options in order to allow meaningful comparisons between possible alternative courses of action. While such quantitative assessments can be reasonably undertaken for short-term benefits and risks, the primary long-term wider impacts of curiosity driven basic research programs are often indirect, and difficult or impossible to predict. For example, relatively short-term technological spillovers or spinoffs that more or less directly follow from investment in advanced radiofrequency (RF) technology needed for the ILC to applications such as next generation light sources can be reasonably guessed at and quantified. However, the much wider benefits that may follow from the use of such light sources across the medical, biological and physical sciences are difficult to quantify, and even the existence of any future applications of the basic understanding of physics at the Terascale is nearly impossible to guess at. Recent history indicates that there is great danger in appearing to oversell the shortterm spillovers and ignoring the long-term wider benefits, which are central to societal and economic arguments for undertaking high risk, high payoff basic science research. Nevertheless, historical econometric studies on technological change have consistently shown that both direct and indirect R&D spillovers of research are an important and fundamental source of advancement, yielding high social rates of return.3 The challenge, then, is to find appropriate narratives and/or quantitative metrics which are able to capture both the short-term and longterm benefits and risks of basic research in a balanced way so as to facilitate the decision-making process. 1 Prepared by U. Varadarajan. These risks may, for example, be associated with the probabilities and adverse impacts of failing to attain some desired performance criteria in a required time period or within a forecast budget. 3 Leon Clarke, John Weyant and Alicia Birky, On the sources of technological change: Assessing the evidence, Energy Economics, 2006, vol. 28, issue 5-6, p. 579-595. 2 1 Further, as basic science becomes a truly global endeavor whose fruits are available to scientists internationally, the question of why the U.S. should invest in any given program rather than allow Asia or Europe to spend its money also needs to be addressed. Any specific comparative advantages that the U.S. may have in a given area or uniquely national benefits that may to accrue from investment in a program also need to assessed. The aim of the present document is to provide a narrative for the development of a detailed assessment of the wider relevance of the U.S. ILC R&D program. Major components of the ILC accelerator and detector R&D effort will be described, and a qualitative initial assessment is made of their potential wider direct and indirect scientific and technological benefits, along with any relevant national comparative advantages or international context. This will be followed by a discussion of potential societal impacts that follow more broadly from investment in the ILC R&D program, such as knowledge benefits, workforce development benefits and issues of international cooperation. Finally, a sketch of the further information and analyses needed to produce a more quantitative economic assessment is outlined. II. ILC R&D Program Scientific and Technological Benefits The ILC R&D program is envisioned as a globally coordinated effort that will involve detailed planning and a prioritization of needs. The bulk of this effort will be devoted to the accelerator R&D program which will be coordinated as an integral part of the ILC Global Design Effort (GDE). The direct, short to mid-term wider benefits of this accelerator R&D program arise largely from the applicability of the scientific knowledge, technology and infrastructure being developed for the ILC to a range of next-generation accelerator-based facilities. The novel facilities enabled by this R&D effort in turn are expected to enable a myriad of potential, longerterm future applications in fields as diverse as medicine and nuclear waste. In addition, it is expected that there will be indirect benefits or spillovers of the accelerator R&D program to nonaccelerator based technologies. An overview of the proposed ILC accelerator R&D program, the novel facilities it is expected to help enable, as well as the potential for other indirect spillovers will be discussed in detail in the first part of this section. In addition to the accelerator R&D program, a more modest (and independently coordinated) program will be devoted to detector R&D. The technologies required to attain the measurement precision as well as the global data analysis infrastructures needed to extract the physics of the Terascale from the collisions at the ILC are expected to have wider application. These issues will be discussed in the latter part of this section. A. Accelerator R&D Creation of energetic particle beams enables much of modern research in the physical sciences. Electrons, protons and atomic nuclei accelerated to high velocities serve as probes for studying the broad range of matter from molecules and materials to quarks. The ILC will be able to accelerate tightly focused beams of electrons and positrons to energies nearly an order of magnitude higher than any previous machines. Collisions of these extremely high energy beams will enable the study of the physical laws governing nature at the smallest distance scales, in the 2 hope of addressing fundamental questions such as the precise nature of dark matter and the detailed physics of electroweak symmetry breaking and the Higgs field. In order to produce the colliding beams necessary to precisely explore this new physics, the ILC R&D program must make fundamental advances in accelerator science and technology. Many of these advances – in areas such as superconducting radiofrequency (SCRF) science and technology, high power RF power systems, polarized electron and positron sources, damping rings, nanometer-scale beam instrumentation, large-scale alignment and metrology, as well as accelerator simulations – will have substantial direct impacts on future accelerator based facilities, as well as far ranging wider benefits. Further, the transfer of technology from laboratory to industry is needed. After a description of each of these areas as well as the advances required for the ILC, an assessment of the wider benefits of these advances is made, focusing largely on their relevance to a range of novel next-generation accelerator-based facilities. Finally, we discuss the international context of this R&D program, focusing on SCRF technology. Superconducting Radiofrequency (SCRF) Science and Technology The ILC R&D program area focused on the superconducting radiofrequency (SCRF) science and technology is both the area of highest priority and the most resource intensive, comprising more than half of the accelerator R&D effort. In all existing and planned accelerator facilities, beams are accelerated in evacuated tubes by the powerful electric fields in traveling radiofrequency (RF) waves moving at the same speed as the particles. In linear accelerators (linacs), these waves travel through a series of successive cavities in synchrony with bunches of particles so as to constantly accelerate them as they move along the linac. The main linac of the ILC will use cold superconducting radiofrequency cavities powered by state of the art RF power sources to accelerate electrons and positrons. Older accelerators used copper cavities and operated at room temperature. However, in order to achieve the extremely high energies required to reach the Terascale in an accelerator of reasonable length and cost, the ILC requires cavities which can support a very high ‘gradient’ or energy gain per unit length measured in mega-electron volts per meter (MV/m). This could be achieved by increasing both the frequency and RF power applied to a copper cavity. Unfortunately, the resulting strong electric fields set up currents in the surface of a copper cavity which dissipate energy and tend to cause electrical discharges which destroy the surface. One way around these problems is offered by cooled superconducting cavities, where the tiny resistance of the metal at RF frequencies virtually eliminates the currents and the heating, resulting in much higher power efficiency. The superconductor of choice is ultra-pure niobium, whose surfaces have been freed from inclusions, painstakingly polished, and cooled to just above absolute zero by a liquid helium bath. Single-cell niobium cavities are formed into donut shapes and welded into nine-cell units typically about one meter long. These units are processed through a series of steps involving ultra-pure water rinses, high temperature baking, chemical etching and electropolishing in a bath of highly reactive acids. Nine of the multi-cell units are packaged into a single cryomodule which provides the enclosure for the helium bath. The ILC will require approximately 2000 cryomodules containing 16,000 multi-cell units to produce collisions at energies capable of probing the physics of the Terascale. 3 The U.S. ILC R&D effort will be focused on several challenges which need to be overcome in order to make SCRF acceleration a viable technology within the capability of US industry. The primary advantages of superconducting acceleration are realized by creating fairly high gradients at lower frequencies of operation and high efficiencies, allowing larger apertures, shorter accelerators, lower power consumption and less required infrastructure. Current accelerators which make use of SCRF technology have operated at relatively low gradients, between 5-10 MV/m. A description of some major facilities which currently make use of low gradient (between 5-10 MV/m) SCRF technology with applications outside of high energy physics are described in Appendix A. Over the past decade, advances in laboratory settings have raised the gradients to over 30 MV/m, offering dramatic new opportunities for research facilities and industrial applications. However, achieving such high gradients reliably at the scale needed for the ILC effort will require gaining good control of the niobium cavity surface preparation steps. These involve complex operations involving highly reactive chemicals and high temperatures, where the possibility of contaminating the surface is large. The ILC R&D effort will therefore require a more refined understanding of surface processing steps, new fabrication methods, and, perhaps, the development of new materials such as large grain niobium. Further, in order to optimize the performance of the cavities, ILC R&D will also explore improvements and standardization in SCRF cavity processing, new cavity shapes, and better control of higher order cavity modes. An essential goal of the effort will involve transfer of SCRF technology to U.S. industry and the expansion of U.S. and worldwide industrial capabilities in SCRF cavity production. The scale of the ILC effort will make it the most important future driver for SCRF acceleration technology. Thus the ILC R&D will be the engine through which the entire field will be advanced, and opportunities will be created for the myriad other applications across the physical, materials, and life sciences. Efficient, Reliable RF Power Systems In linacs, the electromagnetic fields present in the cavities through which the particles move and gain energy are generated in a series of steps. A modulator converts AC power from the power grid to short pulses of constant high voltage. This pulse is delivered to a klystron in which electrons are oscillated by permanent magnets, gaining energy in the high voltage and amplifying the RF electromagnetic wave generated by the oscillating electrons. This wave is then transported through wave guides to the front end of the cavities, thereby creating the fields which accelerate the particles in the beam. New modulators and klystrons are needed to generate the higher power electromagnetic waves needed for future accelerators such as the ILC. Techniques for improving the efficiency and reliability of these components also need to be developed. Electron and Positron Beam Sources One of the important features of the ILC is that the electron beam will be highly polarized. The development of an electron beam source capable of the > 80% polarization, reliability, stability, and long bunch trains desired for the ILC will require R&D on time-programmed high power lasers, photocathodes, and high voltage electron gun technology. The need to produce a high 4 quality positron beam will spur further research on undulators for polarized photons and Compton back-scattered polarized photon beams. Damping Rings The electrons and positrons emerging from their respective sources are converted into high intensity, small phase space beams in the ILC damping rings. Superconducting wiggler magnets occupying 200m of the rings give rise to beam cooling through photon radiation. New methods for suppressing positive ion or electron buildups are required. These damping rings will require parallel development of lower frequency superconducting RF cavities and cryomodules together with fast injection and extraction systems and associated pulse compression techniques. Beam Instrumentation In order to ensure that a sufficient luminosity is achieved (i.e. so that the rate of collisions between high energy electrons and positrons is high enough to see rare phenomena), the electron and positron beams must be focused at the Interaction Point (IP) to a size of about 500 by 5 nm. However, any particles which stray far from the tight beam core must be collimated, so that they would not be mistaken for products of a collision. In order to maintain this very stringent set of constraints, beam parameters such as the energy spectrum and polarization must be very precisely measured, requiring sophisticated beam diagnostics and instrumentation Such measurements should be made both before and after interaction. Beams coming in to the interaction point must be measured to facilitate tuning of the machine. Fast intra-train and slow inter-train feedbacks are needed to keep the beams in collision and maintain the small beam sizes. The detector and beamline components must be protected against errant beams. After collision, the beams must be transported to the beam dumps safely and with acceptable losses. These requirements require the development of new instruments for beam energy spectroscopy, non-destructive measurement of beam position, profile and angle such as cavity higher order mode monitors, laser wire detectors, and X-ray synchrotron radiation cameras capable of changing real-time beam measurements. Large Scale Metrology and Alignment The extraordinary precision and stability in alignment required to deliver a beam with nanometer precision over kilometer-scale distances will require advanced alignment and control systems. Robotic survey systems for real-time dynamic micrometer level alignment of ILC components over kilometer-scale distances will be required. Nanosecond-scale feedback systems based upon new beam position instrumentation will be needed, which will thereby enable the development of fast beam correction algorithms required for achieving beam stability. The ILC will use such systems to provide spatial corrections for large mechanical systems such as magnets and cryomodules. Accelerator Simulations 5 Development of new cradle-to-grave simulation codes for study of wake fields and collective instabilities, effects of magnetic element misalignment and ground motion will be critical to the design and operation of the ILC. Scientific and Technological Benefits of ILC Accelerator R&D Advances in accelerator technology enabled by the large scale ILC R&D effort are likely to have a direct impact in the near to mid-term on a range of future facilities with applications to a broad array of fields. Broad, direct impacts on accelerator based facilities include: Availability of lower cost, higher reliability components. The industrialization effort associated with the ILC R&D program in SCRF technology promises to make available high quality, reliable superconducting cavities, cryomodules, and klystrons. The resulting substantial drop in unit price for these items will likely have far reaching benefits for a very wide range of future accelerators. Efficient, reliable RF power systems. Similarly, the high efficiency, reliable RF power systems being developed for the ILC will lower operational costs and downtime for a wide range of future facilities. Advanced beam instrumentation and accelerator simulation tools. Further, the nanometer scale beam instrumentation along with the new accelerator simulation tools being developed for the ILC will also find general use for all accelerator facilities. In more detail, the ILC accelerator R&D effort will likely have a substantial impact on the following future accelerator facilities with a range of wider applications: 4 Future high current proton linacs for neutron spallation sources (such as a proposed upgrade of the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS)) will benefit from high-gradient SCRF cavities, efficient high power RF systems and the industrial and laboratory experience and infrastructure arising from the ILC R&D effort. The high gradient SCRF linac system (cavities, cryogenics, and RF power systems) can be applied with little modification to build shorter, less costly proton linacs (due to reduced cryomodule and conventional construction costs). Further, SCRF proton linacs with no normal conducting sections yield better performance with regard to beam halo growth with attendant beam loss, and the ILC industrialization effort promises to make available high quality, reliable SCRF linac systems at significantly lower unit prices than would have been possible otherwise. This opens up the possibility for higher power spallation sources. 5 Wider Applications: These neutron sources provide intense pulsed neutron beams for scientific research and industrial development, including applications to materials science, chemistry and the life sciences. 4 For more details on these and other applications of SCRF, please see the RF Superconductivity - 2004 brochure, prepared by Hasan Padamse, available at http://www.lns.cornell.edu/~preprint/hasan/BrochureOriginal.pdf. 5 Private communication from P. Montano, Division of Scientific User Facilities, Basic Energy Sciences. 6 New Storage Ring Light Sources will benefit from ILC damping ring research and innovations aimed at developing high intensity small phase space beams, such as a much better understanding of collective effects (fast ion instability), creation of very low emittance beams, impedance control, as well as fast injection and extraction systems and associated pulse compression techniques. Wider Applications: These highly sought after light sources have had and are expected to continue to have an enormous impact on materials and life sciences such as molecular and electronic structure determination, elemental analysis, imaging, microtomography, the structure of proteins and cells, chemical reaction dynamics, environmental impacts on soils and water sources, and X-ray lithography. For example, synchrotron radiation has been used to aid in the design of drugs – recent studies contributed to the development of new pharmaceuticals effective in the treatment of AIDS and influenza, and crystallographers using the Brookhaven and Argonne synchrotrons solved the major structure of the ribosome, the cell’s factory for assembling proteins.6 Energy Recovery Linacs (ERL) are next generation light sources which will be based on SCRF technology as well as efficient, reliable RF power systems developed for the ILC. The SCRF technology is critical to making ERLs viable as they must use low loss SCRF technology since energy recovery is not efficient in normal conducting structures. Focused R&D to improve surface properties of SCRF cavities, either through improved processing techniques or the use of different superconducting materials, will improve ERL performance. Further, just as with storage ring light sources, the fast injection and extraction systems and associated pulse compression techniques developed for the ILC damping rings will find application in ERLs as well. It would also be important in an upgraded storage ring operating in a hybrid mode (both storage ring and ERL modes). Note that while ERLs will make use of the advanced SCRF cavities and technologies being developed by the ILC R&D program, they will run in continuous wave (CW) mode rather than a pulsed mode as in the ILC, and therefore may not run at the highest possible gradients due to higher operating costs associated with increased cooling and power needs.7 Wider Applications: These ERLs will be capable of producing sub-picosecond light pulses with much higher peak brilliance and coherence than storage right light sources with comparable average light fluxes. Such pulses will enable atomic resolution, real time studies of single molecule dynamics and are expected to have an even greater impact on the material and life sciences than the previous generation of light sources. The development of Free Electron Lasers (FEL) based on SCRF linacs operating at frequencies ranging from the IR to the soft X-ray range will benefit from cost and size reductions enabled by SCRF acceleration and efficient, reliable RF systems. Focused R&D to improve surface properties of SCRF cavities, either through improved processing techniques or the use of different superconducting materials, will improve FEL 6 “The Structure of the 50S Ribosomal Subunit at 2.4 Å Resolution and its Functional Consequences,” Poul Nissen, et al, American Crystallographic Association Golden Anniversary Meeting, (July 2000). 7 Private communication from P. Montano, Division of Scientific User Facilities, Basic Energy Sciences. 7 performance. The present cost of laser energy delivery is on the order of $1/kJ, and it is expected that the industrialization of cavity production enabled by the ILC R&D effort and the subsequent production rate required for the ILC may help to bring down this price below the $0.10/kJ range needed for FELs to become competitive for large-scale industrial and medical uses.8 The fast kicker technology being developed for the ILC damping rings is also important to FELs, where the beam is distributed from the linac to multiple independent FEL beamlines. Note that like ERLs, FELs will also run in continuous wave (CW) mode rather than a pulsed mode. Wider Applications: FELs will have a large range of applications reaching from industrial processes such as laser peening to toughen ship propellers to medical applications such as laser surgery to ultra-fast phenomena in condensed matter, atomic physics, chemistry and life sciences. FELs are also very promising as the underlying technology for the next generation of high power laser weapons systems for naval defense. Powerful, electron accelerator based terahertz radiation sources are currently being developed using SCRF technology very similar to that used for FELs and ERLs. The ILC R&D efforts regarding the industrialization of high quality SCRF cavities and accelerator systems as well as the development of efficient, reliable RF power systems will play a key role in enabling wider scientific and industrial development of terahertz radiation sources. Wider Applications: Terahertz radiation is a largely unexplored band of frequencies with potential applications ranging from imaging for defense and homeland security (explosives detection, mine detection, security technologies), medical imaging, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, to fundamental materials science, biology, optics, and chemistry. Revolutionary X-Ray Free Electron Lasers, such as the European X-Ray Laser Project (XFEL) to be built in Germany starting later this year, will use high gradient SCRF cavities and efficient high power RF systems based upon ILC prototype work to create brilliant (a billion times as bright as current light sources), coherent pulses of X-rays capable of observing atomic scale processes in materials with femtosecond time resolution. These facilities have been directly by advances in SCRF technology associated with the ILC R&D effort. Wider Applications: X-Ray FELs promise to have not only a substantial impact in materials science but also on the biological sciences – for instance, allowing structural biologists to resolve protein structures that are difficult to crystallize. Next generation, large scale medical accelerators for proton and neutron therapy may benefit from the use of high gradient SCRF technology as well as efficient high power “Jefferson Lab Free Electron Laser Program Overview,” presentation by Fred Dylla for the Jefferson Lab FEL Team, FEL Users/Laser Processing Consortium Meeting, March 8, 2006, and private communication with G. Williams at Jefferson Labs. 8 8 RF systems. The current state-of-the-art linac for neutron therapy of prostate and other tumor treatment uses a roughly 100 foot long proton linear accelerator to generate the high current neutron beam. With the accelerating gradients as required for the ILC, a linac of about 25 feet would be required, possibly bringing this technique into the range affordable to major research hospital centers. Wider Applications: Proton and neutron therapy allows the irradiation of tumors with greater specificity, precision, and intensity than other methods of radiation therapy, giving rise to less normal tissue damage. Almost 40,000 patients have been treated with proton therapy as of July 2004.9 Advances in efficient, reliable RF power systems (modulators, klystrons) due to the ILC effort may also have an impact on the production of more efficient photon based medical accelerators which are widely used for radiation therapy today. Wider Applications: About 10,000 cancer patients are treated every day in the United States with photon or electron beams from electron accelerators.10 SCRF technology is also starting to be used to build new linear proton and deuteron accelerators for the production of radio-nuclides for medical diagnostics and therapy such as the SARAF project in Israel. This technology may help enable practical hospital-based facilities capable of both particle therapy and radioisotope production for procedures such as PET scans.11 Wider Applications: Radio-nuclides are used in medical diagnostic tests that primarily show the physiological function of the system being investigated, and are an important complement to anatomical images provided by CT or MRI. In U.S. hospitals, one of every three patients benefits from diagnostic or therapeutic nuclear medicine procedures (about 36,000 per day). More than 50 diagnostic tests involve nuclear medicine and 20% of all radiopharmaceuticals use isotopes produced in accelerators.12 Spallation neutrons from proton drivers may be used for accelerator based transmutation of radioactive waste, to transmute long-lived actinide isotopes and fission products to stable or quickly decaying isotopes. SCRF linacs would substantially lower the power needed for operation of such facilities, and the larger bore radius of SCRF cavities will relax alignment and steering tolerances as well as reduce beam loss. J. Sisterson, “Ion beam therapy in 2004”, Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research, B241, p.713 (2005). 10 . Projected from a 1994 survey: J. B. Owen, et al, “The Structure of Radiation Oncology in the United States in 1994,” Int. J. Radiation Oncology Biol. Phys. 39:179 (1994). 9 11 See for example, A. J. Lennox, “Hospital-based proton linear accelerator for particle therapy and radioisotope production,” Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research, B56/57, pp. 1197-1200 (1991). HEPAP’s Composite Subpanel for the Assessment of the Status of Accelerator Physics and Technology, (May 1996), J. Marx et al. 12 9 Wider Applications: The increasing demand for nuclear energy will be accompanied by a substantial growth in radioactive waste products with life-times in the 10,000 year range. Transmutation of these waste products to stable isotopes or those with 100 year lifetimes can lessen some of the technical problems associated with storing long-lived, high level radioactive waste. The nanometer scale beam instrumentation may be of interest to accelerators used in ion implantation with applications to the fabrication of novel nano-scale devices. Wider Applications: Ion implantation is essential to the multi-billion-dollar semiconductor industry, using ion beams from accelerators to embed doped layers in semiconductors. Ion implantation is also used to alloy a thin surface layer and harden surfaces such as those of artificial hip or knee joints, high-speed bearings, or cutting tools. Future Rare Isotope Accelerators (RIA) will be based upon novel low and medium velocity SCRF accelerator technology as well as new, efficient high power RF systems whose development will benefit from laboratory infrastructure and industrial development spurred by the ILC R&D effort. These accelerators promise to provide deep insights into nuclear astrophysics such as the origin of the heavy elements. Wider Applications: RIAs are expected to have applications to radioisotope production and biomedical research, the nuclear physics needs for science-based nuclear stockpile stewardship, R&D for accelerator based transmutation of radioactive waste, as well as materials science. New, high energy, continuous proton beam facilities for high precision nuclear physics experiments will make use of higher-gradient SCRF cavities as well as new, efficient high power RF systems. These facilities will help map the details quark and gluon structure of nucleons. For instance, DOE has identified upgrading the energy of the Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF) at Jefferson Labs as a nearterm priority. This upgrade requires higher gradient SCRF cavities, and the simultaneous involvement of Jefferson Labs in the ILC SCRF effort will accelerate both efforts. Next-generation heavy ion colliders for nuclear physics applications such as two proposed upgrades of the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider, RHIC II and eRHIC, will both likely make use of SCRF cavities as well as new, efficient high power RF systems in order to probe high energy density nuclear physics as well as the partonic spin and flavor structure of nucleons. Such upgrades will benefit from the infrastructure development undertaken by the ILC R&D program. SCRF technology will likely be critical to efforts to extend the frontiers of high energy physics as integral elements of the technology needed to build a muon collider. A 3 TeV muon collider may likely fit in a site like Fermilab. However, as muons are unstable, their decays produce a heat load, large detector backgrounds, and dangerous levels of neutrino radiation, making the realization of a muon collider very challenging. However, 10 the last problem can be turned into a feature, as muon storage rings may be ideal neutrino factories. Further, the accelerator ILC R&D program may also have a range of indirect benefits that extend beyond the direct applications of accelerators such as: ILC R&D can be expected to advance understanding of RF superconductivity and material science. Processing ultrapure niobium cavities on a large scale should advance the metallurgy of refractory metals generally. Improvements in vibration damping and ground motion correction as well as extremely stable low mass mechanical support systems for experimental detectors can be used in other scientific applications. The ILC R&D devoted to novel polarized electron source may help develop new technology for electron beam sources more generally, with potential future applications to novel electron microscopes, such as a Spin-Polarized Low Energy Electron Microscope (SPLEEM).13 The development of undulators for polarized photons and Compton back-scattered polarized photon beams done as part of the positron source R&D effort may be of interest as an alternative source of photons for photon radiotherapy. Advanced techniques for simulating electromagnetic structures used for accelerator modeling and simulation are of general benefit. International Context of ILC Accelerator R&D At present, U.S. industry lags behind that in Europe and Japan in attaining key competencies in high gradient SCRF technology. The main activity in developing high gradient SCRF was in the DESY laboratory in Germany over the past decade. Most of what is known about the processes necessary to polish niobium surfaces, fabricate clean multi-cell units and assemble them into cryomodules, and provide the RF power sources was achieved in test facilities in DESY. The only high gradient cavities in operation as an accelerator are at DESY. Most importantly, the Germans have succeeded in transferring the main steps in fabrication to their industry. The total investment in high gradient superconducting RF at DESY where the technology was pioneered exceeded $150M (European accounting without manpower) over several years. There is a proposal to build a new European superconducting test facility on the $100M scale. The Japanese have started superconducting RF programs more recently, capitalizing with their characteristically close interaction with Japanese industry. Their focus so far has been on developing new shapes for cavities which offer even higher acceleration, and their single cell cavities have reached gradients above 50 MV/m. Their pioneering work on electropolishing to get the final surface smoothness required has been taken over by labs elsewhere. The KEK 13 For recent work along these lines, see M. Kuwahara, et al.: Jpn. J. Appl. Phys. Vol. 45, No. 8A (2006) pp. 62456249, or slides of a talk given at Jefferson Labs, http://casa.jlab.org/seminars/2006/slides/kuwahara_061114.pdf. 11 laboratory in Japan is already embarked on building a test facility similar in scope to that proposed by a US consortium at Fermilab. Some developing industrial nations have seen the promise of superconducting RF for their own research and commercial applications. In particular, Korea and India are now stepping up their investment in superconducting RF activities with an eye toward developing domestic light sources, neutron facilities or heavy ion programs. For major high energy physics projects such as the ILC or high intensity neutrino sources, we expect a very high degree of international collaboration. The scale of the ILC will very likely demand that accelerating cavities be produced in the US, Europe and Asia, using local industry. The head start that Europe, and to some extent Japan, have makes it imperative that the US make a vigorous start in developing its own superconducting RF technology. In the U.S., a new consortium of laboratories has developed plans to advance the state of the art in superconducting acceleration, and to transfer the technologies to industry. This consortium is driven primarily by the ILC needs, but has important elements that were brought by the nuclear physics and basic energy sciences communities. Fermilab serves as the leader of the consortium to develop the superconducting cavities, with Argonne, Thomas Jefferson Laboratories and Cornell University as key players. The proposed R&D program is distributed among these laboratories under Fermilab leadership. A separate consortium lead by SLAC, with help from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories, is developing the new power sources – new modulators, klystrons and RF delivery systems. These programs have been seeded primarily through laboratory generic accelerator R&D funds, but would benefit greatly from dedicated large scale support from the ILC R&D effort. This effort will consist of two major elements – the support needed to have industry build a series of cavities, cryomodules, power couplers, modulators, klystrons, and the provision of test facilities at DOE laboratories that can measure the performance and diagnose possible problems of these components. The industrial production will require a learning curve, with first prototypes expected to fall short of desired ultimate specification. Close collaboration of industry and laboratories in this learning phase will be essential, with rapid turn-around from production of items, test in laboratories, development of plans for improvement and subsequent industry production of the next series of prototypes. The extensive existing infrastructure and capabilities of the U.S. national laboratory system across the many scientific disciplines with substantial interests in SCRF technology can provide the Nation with a competitive advantage in pursuing SCRF technology, if these resources are quickly mobilized on a large enough scale. The expansion of accelerator science, technology, and industrialization envisioned for the ILC R&D program, provides the opportunity for the U.S. to become a world leader in high gradient SCRF technology. This leadership role would be critical in accelerating the wide-scale adoption of SCRF in cutting edge facilities with benefits to the myriad of applications described above. Such a course of action will in turn help enable continuing and future U.S. leadership in disciplines ranging from materials science to radiation therapy. B. Detector R&D 12 Exploring with precision the physics of the Terascale at the ILC poses tremendous challenges to current detector technology. Most ILC detector subsystems will have to perform beyond the current state-of-the-art. A comparison of the ILC detector requirements with the performance of the detectors recently built for the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) can provide a sense of the challenge. For example, at the heart of an ILC detector system will be a vertex detector, a compact particle tracking device about the size of a wine bottle which surrounds the interaction region. The vertex detector is analogous to a 3D digital camera – it consists of concentric cylinders of finely segmented silicon detectors, similar to the arrays of small sensors used to record pixels in digital cameras. However, for the ILC, a billion pixels are needed in this 3D camera to measure the tracks of outgoing particles with micron precision. In particular, this kind of precision is critical in order to accurately detect and characterize exotic heavy quarks produced by the collisions at the ILC which are critical pointers to new physics. These heavy quarks live only for a billionth of a second and decay at “vertices” within the detector to familiar forms of matter. In order to achieve this precision, the sensor size for an ILC vertex detector must be reduced by a factor of 30 and the sensors must be thinner by a factor of 20 (to avoid disturbing the particles) as compared to those used at LHC detectors. Further, as we describe in detail below, the readout speed required for the ILC is also much greater than the present state-of-the-art can provide – that is, we must be able to take consecutive 3D gigapixel pictures of the particle tracks much faster than any digital camera can today. Meeting these demands is plausible only because the environment at the ILC is benign by LHC standards. The LHC demands detectors that are extremely radiation hard and that can operate at high speeds. The ILC, on the contrary, relaxes the radiation hardness requirement, admitting many additional technologies. It runs at comparatively low rates and consequently poses lighter demands for power dissipation. High precision, thin detectors are needed, which have not been developed for LHC. Vertex Detector The vertex detector is challenging because of the need to combine high precision with speed. The electron and positron beams at the ILC consist of trains of electrons and positrons which cross about five times a second. Each of these trains, in turn, consist of about 3000 bunches of more than 1010 electrons each, spaced by about 300 ns. Thus, 1010 electrons and positrons cross within the detector (a bunch crossing) every 300ns for a period of 0.9 microseconds, five times a second. Now, each of these bunch crossings will result in the deposition of roughly 5 particles per square centimeter in the innermost layer of the vertex detector. If the signals are read out only once for the entire train of 3000 bunches-crossings, the accumulated backgrounds overwhelm the signal, and render the device useless. Unfortunately, the state-of-the-art in the technology that was the basis of the precise SLD detector used in the linear collider at SLAC, Charge Coupled Devices (CCDs, also familiar as the core technologies in digital cameras and camcorders), permits no more than one readout per train. A British group has developed a new system based on CCDs, but while it is several orders of magnitude faster than any previous CCD system for science, it is probably still too sluggish, and 13 the devices may not hold up in the radiation environment of the ILC. Other groups are pursuing a variety of other approaches. Some are attempting to adapt the LHC devices, with their higher readout speeds, to the ILC environment by making them thinner and more finely grained. Others are developing smart devices with streamlined readout, or with the ability to timestamp the signals locally. One of these strategies will need to work if the detector is to meet ILC needs. Electromagnetic Calorimeter The electromagnetic calorimeter (ECAL) is designed to measure the energy of light, high energy particles emerging from the interaction region that interact primarily via electromagnetic interactions, such as electrons or photons. The ECAL is a “sandwich calorimeter” consisting of finely segmented, alternating layers of an absorber material with high electric charge nuclei (like tungsten or lead) and a sensor and readout material. A high energy electron entering a tungsten absorber layer of sufficient thickness will likely be deflected by the high electric field near some nucleus strongly enough so that it will emit a virtual photon with enough energy and momentum to decay into an electron positron pair, roughly moving in the same direction as the original electron. Thus, one high energy particle becomes three, which in turn further interact with other tungsten nuclei, creating a cascade or shower of particles. This shower will then enter a sensor plane, which may be made of silicon pad diodes, monolithic active pixel sensors (MAPS) or of scintillator strips or tiles. In this last case, as the shower passes through the scintillators, each particle creates a further shower of photons which can then be readout by novel solid-state, silicon based photo-sensors or silicon photomultipliers. The energy contained in the initial high energy electron can be computed by measuring the depth and size of the resulting showers of light through the many layers of the ECAL. The need for exquisite energy resolution for precision tests of the physics of the Terascale will require substantial improvements over current ECAL technology. The sensor sizes in the electromagnetic calorimeter need to be a factor of 200 smaller than those in the LHC. Currently, the CALICE collaboration, with 190 physicists and engineers drawn from 32 institutes and 9 countries drawn from Europe, Asia and the Americas, is studying the fine-grained silicontungsten device that might make this possible. A group from SLAC, Oregon and Brookhaven and another from Asia are testing devices based on the same principle, but with somewhat different electronics and mechanical design. Further, though silicon-based photo-sensors have been developed by various groups, the signal-to-noise ratio, gain, long-term performance, and pixel density required for the ILC calorimeter has not yet been achieved. It is expected that the ILC R&D effort will be a significant driver for this new technology. Hadronic Calorimeter The Hadronic Calorimeter (HCAL) is responsible for measuring the energy of the heavier hadrons (that is, particles which experience nuclear as well as possibly electromagnetic interactions) that may deposit only some of their energy in the ECAL. Several technologies of fine-segmented sampling calorimeters (i.e. with separate absorber and sensor layers just like the ECAL above) are under investigation with either analog or digital readout. The analog readout hadronic calorimeters use scintillator tiles as sensors, and steel or lead as 14 absorbers. These scintillator tiles would be readout by the silicon photo-detectors discussed above. The digital readout calorimeters make use of gaseous signal amplification, such as GEMs (Gaseous Electron Multipliers), Micromegas (Micro mesh gaseous structures) or RPCs (Resistive Plate Chambers) which are being developed in-house specifically for this applications. These calorimeters consist of thin and large area gas-filled chambers interspersed between steel absorber plates. The hadronic showers generated in the steel absorber plates create ionized electrons in the gas-filled chambers as they pass through. These are then accelerated and detected digitally at the chamber anode, which is segmented in small pads of about 1 cm2 size, matching the granularity needed for the particle flow algorithms used to compute jet energies to the precision required. The Detector Magnet Fundamental to determining the momentum of charged particles is the fact that their trajectories bend in the presence of a magnetic field. Thus, a basic component of any ILC detector will be a large superconducting electromagnet providing such a magnetic field. The precision in momentum needed for an ILC detector requires a very strong magnetic field, nearly 50,000 times the strength of the magnetic field at the Earth’s surface, which is also highly uniform over a large volume. Data Acquisition, Management, and Analysis While the overall rate of bunch crossings at the ILC will be on the order of 104 per second or 10 kHz, the pulsed nature of the ILC beam will result in much higher peak rates of several MHz. Appropriately tailored strategies for the acquisition and management for the large amount of vertex and calorimeter data associated with such a data stream need to be developed and validated. Further, novel data analysis and sharing tools will be needed on a global scale to extract the relevant physics from the data emerging from the ILC. Broader Impacts of ILC Detector R&D ILC detector R&D will have important payoffs for instrumentation and data analysis in many other fields ranging from medicine to astrophysics. 14 A new method for photon detection that is suitable for whole-body PET scans. The ILC calorimeters may require a huge number of photon detectors. One candidate device is a silicon photomultiplier, in which a photon triggers an avalanche in silicon. The silicon photomultiplier is small and inexpensive, and thus very suitable as a readout sensor both for the calorimeter and whole-body PET scans, but current test chips are too noisy. ILC physicists are working to improve their quality. Many of the detector applications outlined below were discussed in “Detector R&D for the International Linear Collider”, prepared for the EPP2010 Committee by the World-wide Study for the Physics and Detectors for the ILC, (provided courtesy J. Brau). 14 15 Medical imaging may also benefit from the development of CMOS devices for the ILC vertex detectors. Future experiments in particle physics, astrophysics and nuclear physics will also benefit from ILC detector R&D. Even those with very different goals are likely to draw upon technological advances driven by ILC detector needs, just as some candidate ILC devices draw upon advances made in connection with LHC detector R&D. In the case of the ILC, R&D on a fast, finely-segmented vertex detector and new calorimetry are likely to benefit other experiments, as are technologies associated with the high resolution tracking devices, the large, high-field, highly uniform magnet, and the detector stabilization, alignment, and monitoring systems. Particle detector instrumentation. The very finely pixelated track detectors developed for ILC experiments will find applications such as security scanning and medical imaging. New large scale detector technologies that will be stimulated by ILC include very thin silicon pixel detectors, GEMs and micromegas. Computing and computer science. The very large data sets collected in ILC experiments and the need for access to users distributed around the world will stimulate further development of GRID computing techniques. Recognition of complex topology collision events will stimulate artificial learning algorithm development. International Context of ILC Detector R&D Any detector is an assembly of individual devices. As in the case of the LHC detectors, institutes in different countries will take responsibility for the construction of individual components and come together to assemble the full detector. After running starts, the international collaboration of physicists will work together to analyze the ILC data. The US must play its part in the development of the experimental apparatus if it wants to be a leader in the physics of the ILC. The World-Wide Study (WWS) is coordinating the R&D for the ILC detectors with the recognition of the ILC Steering Committee (ILCSC) and Global Development Effort (GDE). It is fostering the development of concepts for the overall detector design, and has set up a timetable for completing baseline designs with cost estimates. It has also set up an R&D panel to monitor and prioritize the various detector research areas. This framework ensures that US ILC detector research is focused and effective. Once the technology is understood, it is a major undertaking to develop a real (and economical) design for a large-scale device. For example, the silicon-tungsten technology envisioned for the ILC electromagnetic calorimeter is similar to the technology used for luminosity monitors at other electron-positron accelerator facilities such as SLAC and LEP, but designs that contain cost and power consumption and respect mechanical constraints are needed to turn it into an ILC detector. Current US funding of detector R&D has been limited - by contrast, the European Union has recently committed more than 7 million euro over the next three years to develop and beam test new detector technologies for the ILC, and individual European nations and laboratories are supporting detector R&D efforts at a similar level. Investment in detector R&D 16 at this early stage will allow US physicists to contribute to inventing the ILC detector technologies and to the development of the overall detector designs. Ultimately, it will allow US physicists to be full partners in the ILC detectors and the exploration of the physics of the ILC. III. Broader Societal Benefits of ILC R&D While the future direct and indirect technological benefits of frontier research in accelerator and detector science and technology can be assessed with some confidence, there are a range of broad societal benefits of basic research that are not captured by such an analysis but may be equally important in assessing the overall utility of the program. These broader societal benefits can be grouped into three general categories: knowledge benefits, workforce development benefits, and benefits associated with international scientific collaboration.15 Knowledge Benefits Much of basic research is driven by curiosity, a thirst for knowledge and understanding. Perhaps the most direct benefits from such research are the broad societal impacts associated with the creation and flow of new knowledge. In the case of the ILC R&D program, the knowledge generated is expected to largely take the form of scientific and technical knowledge relevant to accelerator and detector physics and technology. As was discussed in the previous section, this knowledge has substantial value as a result of its potential application to a range of other scientific and technological problems of substantial interest to a range of scientists and engineers. The resulting transfers and flows of this knowledge at universities, workshops, summer schools, and to industry will not just impact the applications described in the previous section, but also play an important role in the dissemination and advancement of the state of knowledge in a range of related fields. That is, a substantial investment in ILC R&D will strengthen a wider knowledge network linked to accelerator and detector science and technology. The reach of this network – ranging from nuclear medicine to national security – highlights the range of the resulting knowledge benefits. In the next section, emerging tools and techniques to measure such benefits will be discussed. Workforce Development Benefits Another fairly immediate societal benefit of basic research is its important role in the nation’s capacity to attract, train, and retain talent. These benefits, again, extend beyond any particular technological application and are difficult to capture with a direct market value – they are instead associated with the broad added value of talented human capital. In the case of the ILC R&D program, the major workforce issue surrounds the health of the high energy physics and accelerator communities in the U.S. as the center of gravity of these fields shift to Europe with the operation of the LHC. By the end of this decade, there will be no high energy physics accelerator facility in operation within the U.S., posing a substantial challenge to the capacity of this community to attract, train and retain talent. The ILC R&D program will The following discussion arose from conversations with B. Valdez (DOE/SC) – see also U. Amaldi, “Spin-offs of High Energy Physics to Society” at the International Europhysics Conference-High Energy Physics ’99, and the discussion “What is the use of basic science?” by C. H. Llewellyn Smith found at: http://press.web.cern.ch/Public/Content/Chapters/AboutCERN/WhatIsCERN/BasicScience/BasicScience1/BasicSci ence1-en.html 15 17 help retain and expand U.S. talent and workforce capacity in this area, sowing the seeds for regaining a leadership position in this area. While some of these talented individuals will primarily contribute directly to closely related areas of basic research, a substantial fraction will instead contribute to a range of other endeavors, where their fundamental training (and, perhaps, the new techniques and approaches they bring with them) will be utilized.16 The value of the corresponding dissemination and diffusion of knowledge and talent over long periods of time may well be substantial. For instance, studies of recent physics Ph.D. recipients have shown that at least a third move on to other research areas and/or the private sector, and further, a majority of those individuals find that their fundamental physical understanding and problem solving skills (though not their specific training) are well utilized in these new capacities.17 In high energy and accelerator physics, specific numbers available through HEPfolk, a community census program at LBL. 18 Preliminary results show that of 333 graduating HEP students in 2007 from physics graduate programs, at least 102 plan to start jobs in industry or non-HEP academic institution. As will be discussed in the following section, further study of this issue is needed to better elucidate the wider impact of these talented individuals. International Scientific Collaboration Benefits Basic scientific discovery and discourse is increasingly international in its scope, with some indirect but important implications for international diplomacy, development, and competitiveness. Such discourse has occasionally played an important historical role, such as communication back-channels during the cold war enabled by scientists (particularly high energy and nuclear physicists), and the role played by scientists such as Andrei Sakharov in promoting values which are critical to the scientific process, such as freedom of expression and thought. International scientific collaborations also provide important opportunities for the transfer of knowledge, expertise, and talented human capital to and from the developing world, with important implications for development and national security. Further, as the scale of basic science research grows, international coordination and collaboration may be essential for further progress in areas in which no individual nation or group of nations is willing or able to provide the resources to proceed. U.S. participation in such endeavors, exemplified by projects such as ITER and the ILC, may become critical for future progress in a range of scientific areas of substantial importance to national interests and competitiveness. The establishment of international frameworks for cooperation and coordination as well as the experience gained by scientists, students, and administrators in collaborations such as the ILC R&D effort will substantially aid U.S. scientists as they vie for leadership in the global scientific marketplace. IV. Towards a Quantitative Analysis of ILC R&D Benefits As described in a 2001 report by the National Academies, Physics in a New Era: An Overview, “In both the public and private sectors, it is important that decisions about the development and deployment of a technology be made by people who understand not only its power but also its limitations… basic physical principles lie at the heart of this understanding…” p. 161. 17 AIP Pub No. R-282.26 Initial Employment Report: Physics and Astronomy Degree Recipients of 2003 & 2004 18 HEPfolk’s website is: http://hepfolk.lbl.gov/census/index.html, and the data described above was taken from “HEP Demographics Survey (HEPfolk) report on 2007 Census,” prepared by W. Carithers. 16 18 In order to provide decision makers with tools to better assess the utility of the ILC program and compare it with other basic science alternatives, it is useful to explore quantitative methods of accounting for the range of benefits and risks described in the preceding sections. While there are no tools, models, or methods which can come close to providing a framework for comprehensive assessment of the benefits of basic science like the ILC R&D program, some tools are being developed which can capture some aspects of the benefits outlined above and facilitate comparison of such benefits between different research options. Tools to Assess Direct Technical and Economic Benefits and Risks The direct technical risks and benefits of the ILC R&D program – that is, assessment of the direct impact of the R&D on various accelerator and detector-related technology pathways and industries – can be measured using survey and performance analysis tools which are not very different from those being developed and used for technical forecasting and performance assessment across government and industry today. For example, survey and modeling tools are being developed at DOE19 to assess the potential future impacts of particular energy technology programs – such as thin film solar photovoltaics – on both technology performance goals as well as the economic prospects of the relevant industries. Such tools could be adapted and used to assess potential impacts of various R&D programs on accelerator and accelerator application performance measures as well as the economic impacts on the relevant industries (i.e. medical accelerator, isotope production, etc.) and scientific facility (FELs, ERLs, etc.) capital costs. These tools can be useful in presenting decision makers with aggregated expert opinion regarding the impacts of various R&D options on relevant scientific and economic goals. Of course, the use of these tools will require a substantial effort devoted to the sampling of expert opinion via workshops, surveys, etc. Tools to Assess Wider Societal Benefits The assessment of knowledge benefits through bibliometric methods such as citation and patent analysis has been substantially advanced over the last decade through the use of increased computational power and network and cluster analysis. Such analyses can now simultaneously make use of a wide range of data sets and track scientific and technological connections (such as citation chains, co-authorship, and patent dependencies) across very long time frames. Further, they are able to assess important features of scientific networks such as the level and impact of international and cross-disciplinary collaborations, thereby providing insights into their function, dynamics, and efficacy.20 Such analyses, if applied to the high energy physics and accelerator communities enabled and supported by ILC R&D, could provide important insights into the knowledge, international collaboration, and workforce development benefits of the R&D program that may flow through these communities. These analyses can be undertaken by groups in both universities and the private sector, but will require dedicated support. Data available through HEPfolk should provide a promising starting point for such activities. 19 This discussion is based on conversations with B. Valdez and S. Baldwin at DOE who have been engaged in these activities for the Office of Science and Office of Energy Efficiency respectively. 20 See, for example, C. S. Wagner, L. Leydesdorff, “Mapping the network of global science: comparing international co-authorships from 1990 to 2000,” International Journal of Technology and Globalisation 2005 - Vol. 1, No.2 pp. 185 – 208. 19 In summary, some tools are available which may help provide more detailed, integrated assessments of the benefits of the ILC R&D program. The use of these tools will require some effort and resources, but may provide decision makers, industry, and the scientific community a much clearer picture of the impact of the ILC R&D program, and even perhaps suggest areas of opportunity for enhancing cross-disciplinary collaboration and societal benefits. Appendix A. Existing Facilities Utilizing SCRF Technology The Argonne Tandem Linear Accelerator System (ATLAS) was the first accelerator to utilize SCRF technology to produce precision beams of heavy ions for detailed studies of nuclear structure. The Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF) at Jefferson Labs uses SCRF cavities to provide high energy, continuous beams of protons for high precision nuclear physics experiments such as mapping the details quark and gluon structure of nucleons. The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS), an accelerator-based neutron source in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, employs a lower accelerating gradient system using SCRF cavities. SNS provides intense pulsed neutron beams for scientific research and industrial development, including applications to materials science, chemistry and the life sciences. The Jefferson Lab Free Electron Laser is a high average power free electron laser making use of SCRF acceleration and energy recovery to reach average powers in excess of 10kW at frequencies ranging from the IR to the UV. This laser was developed to process plastics, synthetic fibers, advanced materials, and metals as well as components for electronics, MEMS, and nanotechnology, and can by used to analyze ultra-fast phenomena in condensed matter, atomic physics, chemistry and life sciences. The Cornell High Energy Synchrotron Source (CHESS), an X-ray storage ring light source based on the Cornell Energy Storage Ring (CESR) has seen its synchrotron radiation flux more than doubled as a result of the upgrade of CESR to SCRF technology. These light sources have an enormous impact on materials and biological sciences. 20