4.6 Multiple Responses Motivating example: In a pharmaceutical trial, a drug is designed with a particular target effect in mind but invariably there are side-effects of varying duration and severity. The target response and supplementary responses are summarized in the following table: Target effect Complete cure Partial cure No improvement Side-effect Severity None Mild Moderate severe Duration Temporary Permanent The following lines of inquiry would often be considered worth pursuing: Model construction for the dependence of each response marginally on covariates x. Model construction for the joint distribution of all responses. Model construction for the joint dependence of all response variables on covariates x. (a) Joint Dependence of Response Variables I. Independence and conditional independence Suppose we have 3 responses, A, B, and C. For example, in the previous section, A is the target effect, B is the severity of side-effects and C is the duration of side effects. Then, mutual independence of the 3 responses A, B, and C corresponds to the log-linear model log ijk i j k , i 1,2,3; j 1,2,3,4; k 1,2. 1 The model, log ijk ij k , corresponds to C being independent of A, B, jointly. The model, log ijk ij jk , corresponds to the independence of A and C conditionally on B. II. Canonical correlation models For a model with two responses A and B with k A and k B levels, respectively, there are k A k B 1 parameters for the additive terms i j and k AkB parameters for the interaction terms ij . For example, in the pharmaceutical example, suppose there are only two responses, target effect and severity (side-effect). Then, there are 3+4-1=6 parameters for i j and 3•4=12 parameters for ij . It is natural to explore the intermediate ground where the nature of the interaction is described by a small number of parameters. If the scores s1 , s2 , , sk A and t1 , t 2 , , t k B are available for the response categories of A and B, respectively, then for i 1,2,, k A ; j 1,2,, kB , the following models can be used, log ij i j r si t j log ij i j ri t j log ij i j ri t j j si In the absence of score, we may entertain the single-root canonical covariance model 2 log ij i j i j , where 1 , 2 ,, k t A 1 , 2 ,, k and kA unknown unit vectors satisfying kB i 1 i j 1 j t B are 0 and 0 is unknown. Note: The above model is not of the log-linear type. Note: The likelihood equation for 0 satisfies kA kB ˆ ˆ y i 1 j 1 i j kA ij kB ˆiˆ j ˆ ij i 1 j 1 . Note: The likelihood ratio statistic for testing independence H 0 : 0 against the above model does not have an asymptotic 2 distribution. The correct asymptotic distribution is the distribution of the largest root of a certain Wishart matrix. 3