The Research Agenda of the Ohio Articulation and Transfer Network (OATN) 0 I. Introduction: The research agenda of the Ohio Articulation and Transfer Network (OATN) includes specific questions on the following four broad themes: 1. The quantification of transfer movements among institutions in the University System of Ohio (USO). 2. The extent of cost-savings facilitated by the transfer of credit. 3. The comparison of academic performance between transfers and continuing students. 4. The evaluation of recent OATN initiatives such as the Transfer Assurance Guides (TAGs) and the Advanced Placement (AP) test policy on the academic performance of transfer students. A regular updating of the complete matrix of transfer movements among the 61 USO campuses addresses the first set of questions as it provides both the volume and the directions of annual transfer movements in the system.i An aggregation of the differences in the costs – between the source and the receiving institutions – of transferred credit hours provides estimates of annual transfer facilitated savings. The estimates of selected academic outcome indicators such as graduation rates or course completion rates across transfers and continuing students provide comparisons between the two groups. Finally, evaluations of recently implemented OATN initiatives –TAGs and the AP test policy – reveal their impacts on academic performance. Credit transfers allow undergraduates to earn credit from one institution and use it at a different institution in a subsequent period. Dual high school and college enrollments or the standardized Advanced Placement (AP) tests, on the other hand, allow high school students earn college credit. Regardless of the specifics of how individuals attempt college credit at one institution with a view to using the hours in a different institution, they could be required to repeat previously completed courses if the transfer or the granting of credit is subject to the details of the courses or the characteristics of credit granting and receiving institutions. In recent years, OATN has implemented specific initiatives – TAGs and the AP policy – to streamline the transfer of credit. TAGs were implemented in 2005-06; they provide a guaranteed pathway to baccalaureate degree completion. TAGs serve as an advising tool, specifying the courses leading to baccalaureate degrees in each of the 40 different disciplines that have been approved to date by higher education faculty panels. Importantly, credits earned in the approved equivalent courses transfer and apply to meeting pre and beginning major requirements in any institution in the USO. The Advanced Placement test policy, on the other hand, standardizes how colleges grant credit for AP tests. Prior to the current policy directive issued in 2009-10, institutions granted credit for AP tests but exercised their discretionary choices. The current policy requires colleges to identify equivalent courses for each AP subject, and to grant credit in corresponding courses for a minimum AP test score of three.ii The OATN initiatives are geared to the goal of rendering credit earned at one institution equivalent to credit from any other institution. Accordingly, the initiatives reduce the need for course repetition and are likely to shorten graduation time. The initiatives also enable students to save resources by earning credit at lowercost institutions and using it at more expensive institutions, or by earning college credit as high school students at a fraction of the cost. These initiatives also create greater degree completion opportunities as students are able to get on a lower-cost pathway 1 to receiving a baccalaureate degree. The benefits of credit transfer, therefore, can be partially measured with estimates of aggregate annual savings received by students. Although cost-savings made possible by the ‘equivalency of credit’ is a tangible benefit, the question remains whether credits are indeed equivalent across institutions. On a specific note, are students similarly prepared for related higher level courses as a result of completing courses with the same expected learning outcomes at a community college or at a 4-year university? By the same token, do students receive the same academic preparation for future related work by taking an AP test (with a minimum score of three) or by completing the corresponding course at a 4-year university? The OATN is committed to implementing a comprehensive policy that upholds academic standards while ensuring that credits do count. The validation of the equivalency of credit, therefore, commands paramount importance in the OATN research agenda. Validation efforts are split into two components. The first focuses on the comparison of selected academic outcomes between transfers and continuing students while the second component carries out evaluations of recent OATN initiatives such as TAGS and the AP test policy. Because the equivalency of credit across institutions is likely to have the largest bearing when students transfer to 4-year university main campuses, academic outcomes are compared between transfer students to 4-year university main campuses and continuing students in those same campuses. The same two comparison groups are used also in the statistical evaluations of the impacts of TAGs and the AP test policy. methodologies, as well as the anticipated completion date of each investigation. II. Quantification of Transfer Movements: Volumes and Directions i. How many students transfer among institutions in the USO in a given year? ii. What are the directions of the transfers (among specific institutions and sectors)? Methodology: Quantification of Transfer Movements The flow of transfer students within the University System of Ohio is an important indicator of the effectiveness of various transfer related policies. A trend of transfer volumes illustrates the growth of transfer numbers while the ratio of transfer to enrollment, also over time, informs on the growth of the proportion of students who transfer in a given year. Moreover, the directions of transfers – among broad sectors – help identify the major flows, informing on the current and future needs of transfer students in the system. The most important methodological question centers on how to define a transfer student. While the question is at the core of investigation, obtaining a consistent and workable definition is complicated by a number of observations. In any academic year, students in the University System of Ohio attend multiple institutions or even multiple campuses of the same institution. The multiplicity of enrollment is often observed in the same term of the year. Since ‘transfer’ involves the movement of students or of credits, it is necessary to define the ‘college of attendance’ before defining the transfer movement. In the following, brief descriptions of the questions and the relevant methodologies used in addressing those questions are provided. This research agenda also includes a table that lists the broad themes, associated questions, specifics of the data and the 2 The college of attendance is defined as the one where the student attempted the maximum credit hours in the year. A student is defined as a transfer if she makes a clean break from her college of attendance in an academic year where a clean break in turn is defined to have occurred in any of the following situations: i. The student formally transfers credits from her college of attendance to another institution. ii. The student does not transfer credit to another institution but attends a single institution of higher education that is different from her original college of attendance. iii. The student does not transfer credit to another institution but attends multiple institutions and attempts the maximum number of credit hours in an institution other than her original college of attendance. The definition includes students who ‘formally’ transfer credit to other colleges as well as those who change college without transferring credits. The definition, however, does not include transients – students who attend an institution for a few credit hours over a brief period before returning to their original colleges. Summer-term enrollments at colleges close to parental homes are typical examples of transient movements. The definition and observed patterns of transfer movements can be found at http://www.ohiohighered.org/transfer/research. Armed with the definition, a complete matrix of transfer movements – the number of students moving among the campuses in the University System of Ohio is prepared for the academic year. Subsequently, the numbers are aggregated to obtain transfer movements among three broadly defined sectors – community colleges, regional campuses of 4-year universities, and main campuses of 4-year universities. The annual transfer matrix from 2002 through 2010 – in its original and abbreviated forms – is available at http://www.ohiohighered.org/transfer/research. III Transfer Facilitated Savings What are the aggregate annual amounts of transfer facilitated cost-savings in the USO? Transfer movements, of students and credits, enable undergraduates to save resources as they take courses at less expensive institutions and use them at more expensive institutions. The low-cost pathway, facilitated by transfer movements, creates greater opportunities for degree completion for a large number of students. The investigation considers two specific sources of transferfacilitated cost-savings: i. Inter-institution transfer of college credit ii. College credit received through dual high school and college enrollment. In the calculation of savings from either of the above sources, only credits earned in general and baccalaureate level courses are included. Credits earned in courses classified as technical education are excluded because those courses are often occupation specific and may not be accepted by 4-year universities. Remedial education hours are excluded because they do not lead to credit accumulation. III.A Methodology: Savings from Inter-Institution Transfer of Credit Savings from inter-institution transfers of college credit are generated from the following activities: - Transfer of students from less expensive institutions to more expensive institutions; it is maintained that savings are generated only if students transfer in an upward direction, i.e., from a community college to a regional or the main campus of a 4-year university, or from the regional 3 - campus of a 4-year university to the main campus of a 4year university. Transfer of credit, but not of students, from less expensive to more expensive institutions; in this case, students continue attendance in a single institution in two successive academic years, but earn credit simultaneously from a less expensive institution. Savings are calculated as a product of the following two components. a. The differences in the expenditure per credit between main campuses of 4-year universities and community colleges, between the main and the regional campuses of 4-year universities, and between regional campuses of 4-year universities and community colleges. b. The aggregate number of credit hours completed at less expensive institutions and intended for use at more expensive institutions. Specifically, this includes hours completed at community colleges – to be used at the regional or the main campus of a 4-year university, and hours completed at a regional campus of a 4-year university to be used at a main campus of the same. The calculated savings reflect the difference in the total costs of those hours – the sum of student, institution and state expenditures – between the more and the less expensive sectors. However, because state outlays for similar courses differ little between sectors, estimated cost savings accrue mostly to students. III.B Methodology: Savings from High School College Dual Enrollments Similar to the estimation for inter-institution transfer of credit, costsavings resulting from high school and college dual enrollment is also estimated as a product of the following components: i. The aggregate number of college credit completed by high school students (through dual enrollment). ii. The difference in the per credit cost; the difference refers to the amount relevant for undergraduates less the amount relevant for high school students (through dual enrollment). Because high school students do not pay for college credits attempted through dual enrollments, associated cost differences are the costs of the credit hours. The number of aggregated completed hours is obtained by starting with all undergraduates in a given academic year who are 20 or younger. These students are classified as eligible undergraduates at community colleges, regional campuses of 4-year universities, and main campuses of 4-year universities. Subsequently, the number of aggregate completed hours for each group of is obtained from dual high school and college enrollment records from the previous two years. For each group of students, the number of general and baccalaureate level hours is obtained separately. Finally, per credit costs of baccalaureate and general education hours are used to obtain estimates of overall cost-savings. IV. Comparison of Academic Performance: Continuing Students vs. Transfers How do continuing students and transfers compare with respect to academic performance? The comparison requires the selection of outcome indicators and the selection of separate groups of continuing and transfer students (for comparison). The choice of outcome indicator depends on the target parameters, and also on the interest of specific audiences. In the current context, cumulative graduation rates satisfy both concerns. First, an improvement of graduation rates of transfer students is an obvious target for transfer policy initiatives. Graduation rates are also an easy to understand indicator of academic performance, satisfying a 4 broad range of audiences interested in the performance of the system as a whole. In future efforts, the choice of the performance indicator can be expanded. Regarding the choice of comparison groups, current efforts consider students transferring to 4-year university main campuses in a given year and students continuing in those universities in the same year. The focus on 4-year university main campuses acknowledges that various transfer initiatives are likely to have the maximum bearing for students who transfer to 4-year university main campuses. Both transfer and continuing students, however, differ in important characteristics. Transfer students to 4-year university main campuses, for example, transfer at different points in their higher education paths, as observed from their differential ranks at the destination campuses. Second, the intensity of attendance also differs as they attend destination campuses as part-time or full-time students. Similarly, continuing students include students with differential ranks and attendance intensities. The research methodology, therefore, compares students – incoming transfers and continuing students at 4-year university main campuses – by rank and by attendance intensity; sophomore (juniors) full-time transfer students are compared to sophomore (junior) full-time continuing students. Conditioning on rank and attendance intensity helps create appropriate comparison groups. However, large underlying differences still exist with respect to key demographic, economic and social characteristics. Since those factors are also related to academic performances, graduation rates are subsequently compared by conditioning on selected individual and family characteristics as well. V. Evaluation of impacts of TAGs on graduation rates What are the impacts of TAGs on graduation rates? TAGs provide a guaranteed pathway to baccalaureate degrees. Serving as an advising tool, TAGs specify the courses that students need to take to graduate in each of the 40 different disciplines that have been approved to date by higher education faculty panels to date. Under TAGs, credits earned in approved equivalent courses transfer across institutions in the USO, and meet pre and beginning major requirements. Since the initiative provides pathways leading to graduation and also renders credits equivalent (in approved courses) across institutions, it is important to know how it influences the actual graduation outcome of transfer students. The current effort answers the question by using comparisons between transfer students to 4-year university main campuses and continuing students in those campuses. Methodology: Impact of TAGs The identification of the impacts of TAGs is obtained as follows. First, the change in the rate of graduation, before and after the implementation of TAGs, is obtained for continuing students. Second, the change in the rate of graduation, before and after the implementation of TAGs, is obtained for the transfer students. Finally, a comparison of the change in graduation rates between the two groups reveals the impact of TAGs. The estimation methodology also accounts for differences in individual and family characteristics between groups and over time.iii VI. Evaluation of Advanced Placement (AP) test policy What are the impacts of AP test policy (on academic outcomes)? The AP test policy requires colleges to specify equivalent courses for each of the AP subject tests and to grant students college credit in an equivalent course for a minimum AP test score of three.iv Prior to 5 the AP policy directive, colleges used discretionary choices in granting credit for AP tests. In the evaluation of the AP test policy, it is necessary to choose appropriate comparison groups and the outcome indicator. Although comparison groups are drawn from 4-year university main campus students with and without AP tests, data availability considerations have a significant bearing on the choice of the comparison groups as well as the choice of the outcome indicators. Methodology: AP Test Policy The directive for the AP policy went to institutions in the summer of 2009 (the first term of the 2009-10 academic year). Consequently, the effect of the new policy can be investigated using available data only on freshman students from the 2009-10 and 2010-11 academic years. Given the lack of data covering an extended period, the evaluation effort cannot consider graduation rates as the outcome indicator. Instead, the effort focuses on course completion rates (ratio of completed to attempted hours), cumulative GPA, and firstyear retention rates. Moreover, colleges are interested in knowing whether receiving college credit for AP tests encourages students to attempt additional credit in related topics. In light of the particular concern, the AP test policy evaluation effort considers whether credits for AP tests in a given subject are complementary in nature or whether students use such credit as a pure substitute and divert from the discipline(s) in question in future work. The identification for the AP test policy is also based on a beforeand-after comparison of groups of students who did and did not take the AP test. The pre-implementation differences in the outcome indicator are obtained from before 2009-10 and the postimplementation comparison refers to 2009-10 and 2010-11 academic years. Because beneficiaries had chosen to take the AP tests, the comparison can be applied to more narrowly matched groups of program beneficiaries and students who did not benefit from it; the matching is conditional on the similarity of estimated probabilities of taking the AP test.v VII. Conclusion The research agenda of the Ohio Articulation and Transfer Network (OATN) lists questions related to four broad themes: the quantification of transfer movements, transfer facilitated costsavings, transfers vs. continuing student academic performance, and impacts of OATN initiatives such as TAGs and the AP test policy. The agenda describes the various benefits of credit transfers while emphasizing the need for rigorous assessments of academic performances of transfer students. The agenda provides brief descriptions of methodologies used in the estimation of transfer facilitated benefits and in evaluating the impact of OATN initiatives on academic outcome indicators. i Transfer movements are calculated for 61 campuses in the University System of Ohio. Of those, 14 are 4-year university main campuses; transfer movements involving the Northeastern Ohio University Colleges of Medicine and Pharmacy are included in the accounting. Of the remaining 47 campuses, 24 are regional campuses of 4-year universities, and 23 are community colleges. ii The specification of equivalent courses is subject to the availability of relevant courses. A detailed description of the directive is available at http://www.ohiohighered.org/transfer/advancedplacement iii The estimation methodology is known as the difference-in-difference (DID) estimator in the program evaluation literature. Specific assumptions regarding the applicability of the DID estimators will be discussed in the report. iv Same as endnote ii. v Similar to the evaluation of the impact of TAGs, the evaluation of the AP test policy applies the DID estimator. However, given that students choose to take the AP test, the DID estimator is applied to matched comparison groups of students who did and did not take the AP test. 6