CHAPTER 7 THE NORMAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION 1. A probability function must be non-negative. That is the curve should be above the x-axis. Also, the total area under the curve must equal 1. 3. The actual shape of a normal distribution depends on its mean and standard deviation. Also, given the values of mean and standard deviation, a normal distribution is uniquely defined. Thus, there is a normal distribution, and an accompanying normal curve, for a mean of 7 and a standard deviation of 2. There is another normal curve for a mean of $25,000 and a standard deviation of $1742, and so on. 5. (a) From the Z-table at the end of the book we find that : area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.36 is 0.1406; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.82 is 0.4656. Hence, area under the curve between –0.36 and 1.82 is 0.1406 + 0.4656 = 0.6062. 0.1406 0.4656 -0.36 0 (b) 1.82 From the Z-table we find that: area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.47 is 0.4292; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.71 is 0.4966. Hence, area under the curve between 1.47 and 2.71 is 0.4966 – 0.4292 = 0.0674. 0.4292 0.0674 0 (c) 1.47 2.71 From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.51 is 0.4345. 0.4345 0 7-1 1.51 (d) From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.94 is 0.4738. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 1.94 is 0.5 – 0.4738 = 0.0262. 0.4738 0.0262 0 (e) 1.94 From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.82 is 0.2939. Hence, area under the curve to the right of –0.82 is 0.5 + 0.2939 = 0.7939. 0.2939 0.5 -0.82 7. (a) 0 Area between 0 and the z-value = 0.5 – 0.025 = 0.475 From the Z-table, we have the corresponding z-value = 1.96 0.475 0.025 0 (b) 1.96 Area between 0 and the z-value = 0.95 – 0.5 = 0.45 From the Z-table, we find that the z-value is midway between 1.64 and 1.645 (we shall take it to be 1.645) 0.45 0.5 1.645 (c) From the Z-table, we get directly that the required z-value is slightly greater than 1.28. So, it is approximately 1.281 0.4 7-2 1.281 9. (a) 55 60 1 . 5 65 60 1. z-value corresponding to 65 is z 5 z-value corresponding to 55 is z Hence, the area between 55 and 65 is the area between ( - 1 ) and ( + 1 ) which equals 0.6826. (b) 50 60 2 . 5 70 60 2. z-value corresponding to 70 is z 5 z-value corresponding to 50 is z Hence, the area between 50 and 70 is the area between ( - 2 ) and ( + 2 ) which equals 0.9544. (c) 45 60 3 . 5 75 60 3. z-value corresponding to 75 is z 5 z-value corresponding to 45 is z Hence, the area between 45 and 75 is the area between ( - 3 ) and ( + 3 ) which equals 0.9974. 11. (a) z-value corresponding to 10 is z 10 12.2 0.88 , and 2.5 z-value corresponding to 14.3 is z 13. 14.3 12.2 0.84 . 2.5 (b) We have already calculated in part (a) that the z-value corresponding to 14.3 is 0.84. We want area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.84. From the Z-table, we find this area to be 0.2995. (c) We have already calculated in part (a) that the z-value corresponding to 10 is –0.88 We want area under the Z-curve to the left of –0.88. From the Z-table we find that the area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.88 is 0.3106. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –0.88 is 0.5 – 0.3106 = 0.1894. (a) z-value corresponding to 415 is z 415 400 1.5 . 10 We want area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.5. From the Z-table, we find this area to be 0.4332. (b) z-value corresponding to 395 is z 395 400 0.5 . 10 We want area under the Z-curve between –0.5 and 0. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.5 is 0.1915. Hence, area under the curve between –0.5 and 0 is 0.1915. 7-3 15. (c) We want area under the normal curve to the left of 395. We have already calculated in part (b) that the z-value corresponding to 395 is –0.5. Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of –0.5. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.5 is 0.1915. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –0.5 is 0.5 – 0.1915 = 0.3085. (a) z-value corresponding to 75 is z 75 80 0.357 . 14 90 80 0.714 . z-value corresponding to 90 is z 14 We want area under the normal curve between –0.357 and 0.714 From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.357 is approximately 0.1394; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.714 is approximately 0.2623. Hence, area under the curve between –0.357 and 0.714 is approximately 0.1394 + 0.2623= 0.4017. (b) We have already calculated in part (a) that the z-value corresponding to 75 is –0.357 and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.357 is approximately 0.1394. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –0.357 is approximately 0.5 – 0.1394 = 0.3606. (c) z-value corresponding to 55 is z 55 80 1.786 . 14 70 80 0.714 . z-value corresponding to 70 is z 14 We want area under the Z-curve between –1.786 and -0.714 From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.786 is approximately 0.463; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.714 is approximately 0.2623. Hence, area under the curve between -1.786 and -0.714 is approximately 0.463 - 0.2623 = 0.2007. 17. (a) 35000 36280 0.388 . 3300 40000 36280 1.127 . z-value corresponding to 40000 is z 3300 z-value corresponding to 35000 is z We want area under the Z-curve between –0.388 and 1.127. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.388 is approximately 0.1510; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.127 is approximately 0.37. Hence, area under the curve between –0.388 and 1.127 is approximately 0.1510 + 0.370 = 0.5210. (b) z-value corresponding to 45000 is z 45000 36280 2.642 . 3300 We want area under the Z-curve to the right of 2.642. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.642 is approximately 0.4959. 7-4 Hence, area under the curve to the right of 2.642 is approximately 0.5 – 0.4959 = 0.0041. 19. (c) We have already calculated in part (a) that the z-value corresponding to 40000 is 1.127 and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.127 is approximately 0.37. Also, we have already calculated in part (b) that the z-value corresponding to 45000 is 2.642 and area under the Zcurve between 0 and 2.642 is approximately 0.4959. Hence, area under the curve between 1.127 and 2.642 is approximately 0.4959 – 0.37 = 0.1259. (a) z-value corresponding to 253 is z 253 250 0.75 . 4 258 250 2.0 . z-value corresponding to 258 is z 4 We want area under the Z-curve between 0.75 and 2.0. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.75 is 0.2734; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.0 is 0.4772. Hence, area under the curve between 0.75 and 2.0 is 0.4772 - 0.2734 = 0.2038. (b) z-value corresponding to 260 is z 260 250 2.5 . 4 We want area under the Z-curve to the right of 2.5. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.5 is 0.4938. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 2.5 is 0.5 – 0.4938 = 0.0062. (c) 245 250 1.25 . 4 255 250 1.25 . z-value corresponding to 255 is z 4 z-value corresponding to 245 is z We want area under the Z-curve between -1.25 and 1.25. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.25 is 0.3944. Hence, area under the curve between -1.25and 1.25 is 0.3944 + 0.3944 = 0.7888. 21. We want a number x such that the area under the normal curve to the right of x is 0.8. Hence, the area between x and must be (0.8 – 0.5) = 0.3. From the Z-table, we find that the z-value, such that the area under the Z-curve between z and 0 is 0.3 equals approximately -0.842. Hence, the required x value is approximately 80 - (0.842)(14) = 68.212. 23. We want a number x such that the area under the normal curve to the left of x is 0.03. Hence, the area between x and must be (0.5 – 0.03) = 0.47. From the Z-table, we find that the z-value, such that the area under the Z-curve between z and 0 is 0.47 equals approximately –1.88. Hence, the required x value is approximately ( - 1.88 ) = 3100 – (1.88)(250) = $2630. 25. (a) We want 1 – (area under the normal curve between 357 and 363). 7-5 357 360 1 . 3 363 360 1. z-value corresponding to 363 is z 3 z-value corresponding to 357 is z From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1 is 0.3413. Hence, area under the curve between -1 and 1 is 0.3413 + 0.3413 = 0.6826. Hence, fraction of bottles that will be discarded is (1 – 0.6826) = 0.3174. On average, (1000)(0.3174) = 317.4 bottles will be discarded per day. 27. (b) We want a number x such that the area under the normal curve between x and 363 is 1 – 0.2 = 0.8. z-value corresponding to 363 is 1, and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1 is 0.3413. Hence, area under the given normal curve between (=360) and 363 is 0.3413. Hence, area under the normal curve between x and (=360) should be 0.8 – 0.3413 = 0.4587. From the Z-table, we find that the value of z, such that area under the Z-curve between z and 0 is 0.4587, equals approximately –1.736. Hence, the required value of x is ( - 1.736 ) = 360 – (1.736)(3) = 354.792 ml. (c) We want area under the normal curve between 357 and 363 (that is, between 360-3 and 360+3) to be at least 0.8. So, the area between 360 and 363 should be at least 0.4. From the Z-table, we find that the z-value, such that the area under the Z-curve between 0 and z is 0.4 equals approximately 1.282. Hence 3 1.282 new or new (3/1.282) = 2.34. The standard deviation of the new machine should be no greater than 2.34. (a) np (40)(0.55) 22 ; np(1 p) 40(0.55)(0.45) 3.15 (b) Since n p = 22 > 5 and n (1 – p) = 40 (0.45) = 18 > 5, we can approximate the binomial distribution by normal distribution with = 22 and = 3.15. We want area under the normal curve to the right of 24.5. z-value corresponding to 24.5 is z 24.5 22 0.794 . 3.15 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of 0.794. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.794 is approximately 0.2864. Hence, area under the curve between 0 and 0.794 is approximately 0.5 – 0.2864 = 0.2136. (c) We want area under the normal curve to the left of 15.5. z-value corresponding to 15.5 is z 15.5 22 2.063 . 3.15 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of –2.063. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.063 is approximately 0.4804. Hence, area under the curve to the left of -2.063 is approximately 0.5 – 0.4804 = 0.0196. (d) We want area under the normal curve between 14.5 and 25.5. z-value corresponding to 14.5 is z 14.5 22 2.381 . 3.15 7-6 z-value corresponding to 25.5 is z 25.5 22 1.111 . 3.15 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve between -2.381 and 1.111. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.381 is approximately 0.4913; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.111 is approximately 0.3667. Hence, area under the curve between –2.381 and 1.111 is approximately 0.4913 + 0.3667 = 0.858. 29. (a) Let X be the number of installations, out of 50, that will take more than 30 minutes. Then X follows binomial distribution. E(X) = = n p = (50)(0.2) = 10 (b) n p = (50) (0.2) > 5 and n (1 – p) = 50 (0.8) = 40 > 5. Hence, we shall approximate the binomial distribution by normal distribution with mean and standard deviation; np (50)(0.2) 10 ; np(1 p) 50(0.2)(0.8) 2.83 We want area under the normal curve to the left of 7.5. z-value corresponding to 7.5 is z 7.5 10 0.883 . 2.83 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of –0.883 From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.883 is approximately 0.3114. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –0.883 is approximately 0.5 – 0.3114 = 0.1886. (c) We want area under the normal curve to the left of 8.5. z-value corresponding to 8.5 is z 8.5 10 0.53 . 2.83 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of –0.53 From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.53 is 0.2019. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –0.53 is 0.5 – 0.2019 = 0.2918. (d) 31. We want area under the normal curve between 7.5 and 8.5. We have already calculated in part (b) that the z-value corresponding to 7.5 is –0.883 and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.883 is approximately 0.3114. Also, we have already calculated in part (c) that the z-value corresponding to 8.5 is –0.53 and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.53 is 0.2019. Hence, area under the curve between –0.833 and –0.53 is approximately 0.3114 – 0.2019 = 0.1095. Let X be the number of offenders, out of 100, who will commit another crime. Then X is a binomial random variable with mean and standard distribution; np (100)(0.38) 38 ; np(1 p) 100(0.38)(0.62) 4.854 n p = (100) (0.38) = 38 > 5 and n (1 – p) = 100 (0.62) = 62 > 5. Hence, we can approximate the binomial random variable by normal random variable with = 38 and = 4.854 (a) We want area under the normal curve to the right of 29.5. 7-7 z-value corresponding to 29.5 is z 29.5 38 1.751 . 4.854 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of –1.751. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.751 is approximately 0.46. Hence, area under the curve to the right of –1.751 is approximately 0.5 + 0.46 = 0. 96. (b) We want area under the normal curve to the left of 40.5 z-value corresponding to 40.5 is z 40.5 38 0.515 . 4.854 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of 0.515. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.515 is approximately 0.1968. Hence, area under the curve to the left of 0.515 is approximately 0.5 + 0.1968 = 0.6968. 33. (c) We want area under the normal curve between 29.5 and 40.5. We have already calculated in part (a) that the z-value corresponding to 29.5 is –1.751 and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.751 is approximately 0.46. Also, we have already calculated in part (b) that the z-value corresponding to 40.5 is 0.515 and area under the Zcurve between 0 and 0.515 is approximately 0.1968. Hence, area under the curve between –1.751 and 0.515 is approximately 0.46 + 0.1968 = 0.6568. (a) z-value corresponding to Interline’s sales and number of employees are z (b) 170 180 1850 1500 0.4 and z 2.9167 respectively. 25 120 Interline’s sales compared to the other fabricators; From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.4 is 0.1554. Hence, area under the curve to the right of –0.4 is 0.5 + 0.1554 = 0.6554. It means that 65.54% of fabricators have greater net sales compared with Interline. Interline’s number of employees compared to the other fabricators; From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.9167 is 0.4982. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 2.9167 is 0.5 - 0.4982 = 0.0018. It means that 0.18% of fabricators have more employees than Interline. 35. (a) z-value corresponding to 5 is z 5 4.2 1.333 . 0.60 We want area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.333. From the Z-table, we find that this area equals approximately 0.4088. (b) We have already calculated in part (a) that the z-value corresponding to 5 is 1.333 and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.333 is approximately 0.4088. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 1.333 is approximately 0.5 - 0.4088 = 0.0912. (c) In part (a), we found that the z-value corresponding to 5 is 1.333 and area under Z-curve between 0 and 1.333 is approximately 0.4088. z-value corresponding to 6 is z 6 4.2 3. 0.60 7-8 From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 3 is 0.4987. Hence, area under the curve between 1.333 and 3 is approximately 0.4987 - 0.4088 = 0.0899. (d) In part (c), we found that the z-value corresponding to 6 is 3 and area under the Z-curve between 0 and 3 is 0.4987. z-value corresponding to 4 is z 4 4.2 0.333 . 0.60 We want area under the Z-curve between –0.333 and 3. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.333 is approximately 0.1306. Hence, area under the curve between –0.333 and 3 is approximately 0.1306 + 0.4987 = 0.6293. 37. (e) We want a number z such that area under the Z-curve to the right of z is 0.04. The area under Z-curve between 0 and z is then 0.5 - 0.04 = 0.46. From the Z-table, we find that z equals approximately 1.75. Hence, the length of time, such that 4 percent of the calls last longer than 4.2 minutes is approximately 4.2 + (1.75) 0.6 = 5.25 minutes. (a) z-value corresponding to 80 is z 80 100 1.0 . 20 110 100 0.5 . z-value corresponding to 110 is z 20 We want area under the Z-curve between –1.0 and 0.5. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.0 is 0.3413; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.5 is 0.1915. Hence, area under the curve between –1.0 and 0.5 is 0.3413 + 0.1915 = 0.5328. (b) z-value corresponding to 90 is z 90 100 0.5 . 20 We want area under the Z-curve to the left of –0.5. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.5 is 0.1915. Hence, area under the curve to the left of -0.5 is approximately 0.5 - 0.1915 = 0. 3085. (c) In part (b), we found that the z-value corresponding to 90 is –0.5 and area under the Zcurve between 0 and 0.5 is 0.1915. z-value corresponding to 130 is z 130 100 1.5 . 20 We want area under the Z-curve between –0.5 and 1.5. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.5 is 0.4332. Hence, area under the curve between –0.5 and 1.5 is 0.1915 + 0.4332 = 0.6247 (d) In part (a), we found that the z-value corresponding to 110 is 0.5 and area under the Zcurve between 0 and 0.5 is 0.1915. 7-9 z-value corresponding to 140 is z 140 100 2. 20 We want area under the Z-curve between 0.5 and 2. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2 is 0.4772. Hence, area under the curve between 0.5 and 2 is 0.4772 - 0.1915 = 0.2857. (e) 39. (a) We want a number z such that area under the Z-curve to the left of z is 0.05. The area under Z-curve between 0 and z is then 0.5 - 0.05 = 0.45. From the Z-table we get z equals approximately 1.645. Hence, the duration, such that the waiting time of only 5% of the patient is less than it is approximately 100 - (1.645) 20 = 67.1 minutes. We want area under the normal curve to the right of 55000. z-value corresponding to 55000 is z 55000 50000 0.625 . 8000 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of 0.625. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.625 is approximately 0.2341. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 0.625 is approximately 0.5 - 0.2341 = 0.2659. (b) We want area under the normal curve between 40000 and 65000. 40000 50000 1.25 . 8000 65000 50000 1.875 . z-value corresponding to 65000 is z 8000 z-value corresponding to 40000 is z Thus, we want area under the Z-curve between –1.25 and 1.875. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.25 is 0.3944; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.875 is approximately 0.4696. Hence, area under the curve between –1.25 and 1.875 is approximately 0.3944 + 0.4696 = 0.8640. (c) We want area under the normal curve between 38000 and 45000. 38000 50000 1.5 . 8000 45000 50000 0.625 . z-value corresponding to 45000 is z 8000 z-value corresponding to 38000 is z Thus, we want area under the Z-curve between –1.5 and –0.625. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.5 is 0.4332; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.625 is approximately 0.2341. Hence, area under the curve between –1.5 and -0.625 is approximately 0.4332 – 0.2341 = 0.1991. (d) We want a number x such that the area under the normal curve to the right of x is 0.2. Let us find number z such that area under the Z-curve to the right of z is 0.2. 7-10 The area under the Z-curve between 0 and z is then 0.5 - 0.2 = 0.3. From the Z-table, we find that z equals approximately 0.842. Hence, the cutoff point x between those who earn a bonus and those who do not is 50000 + (0.842)(8000) = $ 56736. 41. 43. We want a number x such that the area under the normal curve to the right of x is 0.05. Let us find number z such that area under the Z-curve to the right of z is 0.05. The area under the Z-curve between 0 and z is then 0.5 - 0.05 = 0.45. From the Z-table, we find that z equals approximately 1.645. So, x = + 1.645 = 4000 + (1.645) (60) = 4098.7. Hence the bonus will be paid if the production rate exceeds 4098.7 units per week. (a) Let us find area under the normal curve, corresponding to income, to the right of 50400. z-value corresponding to 50400 is z 50400 48000 2.0 . 1200 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of 2.0. From the Z-table, we find that area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.0 is 0.4772. Hence, area under the curve to the left of 2.0 is 0.5 + 0.4772 = 0.9772. Thus, the annual income of 97.72 percent of the supervisors is less than that of John. (b) Let us find area under the normal curve, corresponding to length of service, to the left of 10. z-value corresponding to 10 is z 10 20 2.0 . 5 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of –2.0. From the Z-table, we find that area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.0 is 0.4772. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –2.0 is 0.5 - 0.4772 = 0.0228. Only 2.28% of the supervisors have length of service less than that of John. 45. (c) We want a number x such that area under the income curve to the left of x is 0.08. Let us find number z such that area under the Z-curve to the left of z is 0.08. The area under Z-curve between z and 0 is then 0.5 - 0.08 = 0.42. From the Z-table, we find that z equals approximately -1.405. Hence, the cutoff point between those who earn a bonus and those who do not is approximately 48000 – (1.405)(1200) = $ 46314. (a) z-value corresponding to 8 is z 8 10.3 1.022 . 2.25 We want area under the Z-curve to the left of –1.022. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.022 is approximately 0.3466. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –1.022 is approximately 0.5 – 0.3466 = 0.1534. (b) 12 10.3 0.756 . 2.25 14 10.3 1.644 . z-value corresponding to 14 is z 2.25 z-value corresponding to 12 is z 7-11 We want area under the Z-curve between 0.756 and 1.644. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.756 is approximately 0.2752; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.644 is approximately 0.4499. Hence, area under the curve between 0.756 and 1.644 is approximately 0.4499 – 0.2752 = 0.1747. (c) We want area under the normal curve to the left of 0. z-value corresponding to 0 is z 0 10.3 4.578 . 2.25 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of –4.578. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 4.578 is almost 0.5. Hence, the area to the left of –4.578 is almost (0.5 – 0.5) = almost 0. The chance of a day with no returns is very very small. 47. (a) Let X be number of defective bottles in a lot of 100. Then X follows binomial distribution with n = 100 and p = 0.05. Hence, = n p = (100)(0.05) = 5. We would expect 5 bottles to be defective. The standard deviation is np(1 p) 100(0.05)(0.95) 2.179 . (b) The total number of bottles in the sample is 100, a fixed number. Every bottle is either defective or non-defective; every bottle has the same probability (= 0.05) of being defective; and one bottle being defective has no effect on the probability of another bottle being defective. Thus, the trials are independent of each other. (c) n p = (100)(0.05) = 5; n (1 – p) = 100 (0.95) = 95 > 5. Hence, we can approximate X by a normal random variable with = 5 and = 2.179. The required probability is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve to the right of 7.5. z-value corresponding to 7.5 is z 7.5 5 1.15 . 2.179 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of 1.15. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.15 is 0.3749. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 1.15 is 0.5 – 0.3749 = 0.1251. (d) This is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve between 7.5 and 10.5. In part (c), we found that the z-value corresponding to 7.5 is 1.15 and area under the Zcurve between 0 and 1.15 is 0.3749. z-value corresponding to 10.5 is z 10.5 5 2.52 . 2.179 From the Z-table, we find that area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.52 is 0.4941. Hence, area under the curve between 1.15 and 2.52 is 0.4941 – 0.3749 = 0.1192 (e) This is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve between 7.5 and 8.5. In part (c), we found that the z-value corresponding to 7.5 is 1.15 and area under the Zcurve between 0 and 1.15 is 0.3749. 7-12 z-value corresponding to 8.5 is z 8.5 5 1.61 . 2.179 From the Z-table, we find that area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.61 is 0.4463. Hence, area under the curve between 1.15 and 1.61 is 0.4463 – 0.3749 = 0.0714. (f) This is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve to the left of 0.5. z-value corresponding to 0.5 is z 0.5 5 2.06 . 2.179 So, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of -2.06 From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.06 is 0.4803. Hence, area under the curve to the left of –2.06 is 0.5 – 0.4803 = 0.0197. 49. (a) Let X be the number of students, out of the trial of 80 students, who will fail. Then X follows binomial random variable with n = 80 and p = 0.1. Hence, = n p = (100)(0.05) = 5. We would expect 8 students to fail. The standard deviation is np(1 p) 80(0.1)(0.9) 2.6833 . (b) n p = (80)(0.1) = 8 > 5 and n (1 – p) = 80(0.9) = 72 > 5. Hence, we can approximate X by a normal random variable with = 8 and = 2.6833. The required probability is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve between 9.5 and 10.5. 9.5 8 0.559 . 2.6833 10.5 8 0.932 . z-value corresponding to 10.5 is z 2.6833 z-value corresponding to 9.5 is z Thus, we want area under the Z-curve between 0.559 and 0.932. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.559 is approximately 0.212; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.932 is approximately 0.3243. Hence, area under the curve between 0.559 and 0.932 is approximately 0.3243 – 0.212 = 0.1123. (c) This is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve to the right of 4.5. z-value corresponding to 4.5 is z 4.5 8 -1.304. 2.6833 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of –1.304. From the Z-table, we get area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.304 is approximately 0.4039. Hence, area under the curve to the right of –1.3 is approximately 0.5 + 0.4039 = 0.9039. 51. Let X be the number of Canadians, out of a random sample of 50, who will show distrust in water quality. Then X is approximately binomially distributed with the mean and standard deviation, np (50)(0.46) = 23 ; np(1 p) 50(0.46)(0.54) 3.5242 n p = (50)(0.46) = 23 > 5 and n (1 – p) = 50(0.54) = 27 > 5. 7-13 Hence, the distribution of X can be approximated by normal distribution with = 23 and = 3.5242. The desired probability is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve to the left of 19.5. z-value corresponding to 19.5 is z 19.5 23 -0.99. 3.5242 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the left of -0.99. From the Z-table, we find that area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.99 is 0.3389. Hence, area under the curve to the left of -0.99 is 0.5 – 0.3389 = 0.1611. 53. (a) We want area under the normal curve between 2.0 and 3.0. 2.0 3.1 -3.67. 0.3 3.0 3.1 -0.33. z-value corresponding to 3.0 is z 0.3 z-value corresponding to 2.0 is z Thus, we want area under the Z-curve between –3.67 and -0.33. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 3.67 is approximately 0.5; area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.33 is 0.1293. Hence, area under the curve between –3.67 and –0.33 is approximately 0.5 – 0.1293 = 0.3707. (b) We want area under the normal curve to the left of 2.0. From solution to part (a), we see that the z-value corresponding to 2.0 is –3.67 and the area under the Z-curve between –3.67 and 0 is almost 0.5. Hence, the area to the left of –3.67 is almost 0. The percentage of students on probation is almost 0. (c) Let us find area under the normal curve to the right of 3.7. z-value corresponding to 3.7 is z 3.7 3.1 2.0. 0.3 From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 2.0 is 0.4772. Hence, area to the right of 2.0 is 0.5 – 0.4772 = 0.0228. Hence, 2.28 percent of students are on Dean’s list, or (10000)(0.0228) = 228 students are on Dean’s list. 55. (d) We want a number x such that area under the normal curve to the right of x is 0.1. Let us find the z-value such that area under the Z-curve to the right of z is 0.1. The area under the curve between 0 and z should then (0.5-0.1) = 0.4. From the Z-table, we find that z = approximately 1.282. Hence, x = + 1.282 = 3.10 + (1.282)(0.3) = 3.4846. A student must attain a GPA of 3.4846 to qualify for a Bell scholarship. (a) We want area under the normal curve to the left of 4.0. z-value corresponding to 4.0 is z 4.0 4.2 0.5 . 0.4 From the Z-table, we find that the area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.5 is 0.1915. Hence, the area to the left of –0.5 is (0.5 – 0.1915) = 0.3085. 7-14 Therefore, 0.3085 fraction of hams actually weigh less than the amount claimed on the label. (b) If is increased to 4.3, then z-value corresponding to 4.0 is z 4.0 4.3 0.75 . 0.4 From the Z-table, we find that the area under the Z-curve between 0 and 0.75 is 0.2734. Hence, the area to the left of –0.75 is (0.5 – 0.2734) = 0.2266. If is decreased to 0.2 kg, then z-value corresponding to 4.0 is z 4.0 4.2 1.0 . 0.2 From the Z-table, we find that the area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.0 is 0.3413. Hence, the area to the left of –1.0 is (0.5 – 0.3413) = 0.1587. 0.1587 is less than 0.2266. Thus decreasing leads to a smaller probability of hams below the label weight. Furthermore, decreasing also reduces probability of some hams having too large in weight. Hence, decreasing is a better option. 57. We are given that, (i) 40 percent times the sales are more than 470000. So, (50 – 40) = 10 percent times sales are between and 470000. (ii) 10 percent times the sales are more than 500000. So, (50 – 10) = 40 percent times sales are between and 500000. From the Z-table, we find that, - the z-value such that area under the Z-curve between 0 and z equals 0.1, is approximately 0.253, and - the z-value such that area under the Z-curve between 0 and z equals 0.4, is approximately 1.282. Hence, + 0.253 = approximately 470000 + 1.282 = approximately 500000 Hence, (1.282 – 0.253) = (500000 – 470000) = 30000. or 30000 29154.52 1.282 0.253 = 500000- (1.282)() = 500000- (1.282)(29154.52) = 462623.9 59. Let X be the number of business phones in the list of 150 selected phone numbers. Then, if the manufacturer’s claim is correct, X is binomially distributed with n = 150 and p = 0.15. n p = (150) (0.15) = 22.5 > 5 and n (1-p) = (150)(0.85) = 127 > 5. Hence, we can approximate X by a normal random variable with = n p = 22.5 and np(1 p) 150(0.15)(0.85) 4.37. The desired probability is thus approximately equal to the area under the normal curve to the right of 29.5. 7-15 z-value corresponding to 29.5 is z 29.5 22.5 1.602 . 4.37 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of 1.602. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.602 is approximately 0.4454. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 1.602 is approximately 0.5 - 0.4454 = 0.0546. Hence, if manufacturer’s claim is correct, likelihood that 30 or more phone numbers selected will be business numbers is approximately 0.0546. 61. Let X be the number of households, out of the total of 50 selected households, that would own a personal computer. Then X is approximately binomially distributed with n = 50 and p = 0.69. = n p = (50) (0.69) = 34.5; np(1 p) 50(0.69)(0.31) 3.27. Since, n p = 34.5 > 5 and n (1 - p) =(50)(0.31) = 15.5 > 5, we can approximate X by a normal random variable with = 34.5 and = 3.27. The desired probability is thus approximately equal to the area under the normal curve to the right of 39.5. z-value corresponding to 39.5 is z 39.5 34.5 1.529 . 3.27 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of 1.529. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.529 is approximately 0.4369. Hence, area under the curve to the right of 1.529 is approximately 0.5 - 0.4369 = 0.0631. Thus, probability that 40 or more would own personal computer is approximately 0.0631. 63. Let X be the number of guests, out of 105, who will actually show up. Then X is approximately binomially distributed with n = 105 and p = 0.1. Since, n p = (105) (0.1) = 10.5 > 5 and n (1 - p) =(105)(0.9) = 94.5 > 5, we can approximate X by a normal random variable with = n p = (105) (0.1) = 10.5 and np(1 p) 105(0.1)(0.9) 3.074. We want probability that X is greater than or equal to 5. This is approximately equal to the area under the normal curve to the right of 4.5. z-value corresponding to 4.5 is z 4.5 10.5 1.952 . 3.074 Thus, we want area under the Z-curve to the right of –1.952. From the Z-table, area under the Z-curve between 0 and 1.952 is approximately 0.4745. Hence, the area under the curve to the right of –1.952 is approximately 0.5 + 0.4745 = 0.9745. The probability is approximately 0.9745 that all the arriving guests will receive a room. 65. We want a number x such that area under the normal curve to the right of x is 0.04. So, area under the curve between and x is (0.5 – 0.04) = 0.46. From the Z-table, we find that z-value, such that area under the Z-curve between 0 and z equals 0.46, is approximately 1.751. Hence, x = + 1.751 = 800 + (1.751)(80) = 940.08. The new order quantity should be approximately 940.08 kg. 7-16 67. (a) The Minitab and Excel outputs are given below. Note that Minitab does not compute population standard deviation. It only computes the sample standard deviation. The population mean and standard deviation are: 3.363, and 5.077 MINITAB OUTPUT Descriptive Statistics: C1 Variable C1 N 87 Mean 3.363 Median 2.715 TrMean 3.420 Variable C1 Minimum -11.852 Maximum 18.987 Q1 1.099 Q3 4.953 StDev 5.106 SE Mean 0.547 MEGASTAT OUTPUT Descriptive statistics #1 count 87 mean 3.363183 population sample variance 25.772775 population standard deviation (b) 69. 5.076689 Assuming that the distribution is normal, and using Minitab or Excel, we find that probability, that percentage change during a randomly selected year does not exceed two percent, is approximately 0.394. By sorting the data, we see that 39 out of 87 values are less than or equal to 2.0. Hence, the fraction of values that do not exceed 2.0 are 39/87 = 0.448. This is not a really good approximation. But given the small moderate size (= 87) of the population data, this is expected. Using Megastat, we get the values 9.5 and 59.81 . (See the printout of the output below.) MEGASTAT OUTPUT Descriptive statistics count 100 mean 9.4983 population sample variance 3,576.7866 population standard deviation 59.8062 Again, using Excel, we get for a normal random variable, X, with 9.5 and 59.81 , probability that a random value, x, will be less than 2 equal to 0.45. Thus, the probability that the value of x will be more than 2 equals (1.0-0.45)=0.55. Thus, using normal approximation, we get the probability (that the one-year percentage return on common equity of a randomly chosen company in the list will be greater than 2 percent) equal to 0.55. 7-17 By sorting the data, using Excel or Minitab, we find that 71 out of the companies have a one-year percentage return on common equity more than 2 percent. Thus, (71/100 =) 0.71 fraction of the companies have a one-year percentage return on common equity more than 2 percent. The two values (0.55 and 0.71) are quite different. Use of normal distribution did not yield a good approximation in this case. 7-18