Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing Solutions: 12. a. z x 0 / n 78.5 80 12 / 100 1.25 Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic Using normal table with z = -1.25: p-value =.1056 p-value > .01, do not reject H0 b. z x 0 / n 77 80 12 / 100 2.50 Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic Using normal table with z = -2.50: p-value =.0062 p-value .01, reject H0 c. z x 0 / n 75.5 80 12 / 100 3.75 Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic Using normal table with z = -3.75: p-value ≈ 0 p-value .01, reject H0 d. z x 0 / n 81 80 12 / 100 .83 Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic Using normal table with z = .83: p-value =.7967 p-value > .01, do not reject H0 17. a. H0: 125,500 Ha: 125,500 b. z x 0 / n 118, 000 125,500 30, 000 / 40 1.58 9-1 Chapter 9 Because z < 0, p-value is two times the lower tail area Using normal table with z = -1.58: p-value = 2(.0571) = .1142 c. p-value > .05, do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that the year-end bonuses paid by Jones & Ryan differ significantly from the population mean of $125,500. d. Reject H0 if z -1.96 or z 1.96 z = -1.58; cannot reject H0 24. a. b. t x 0 s/ n 17 18 4.5 / 48 1.54 Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 47 Because t < 0, p-value is two times the lower tail area Using t table: area in lower tail is between .05 and .10; therefore, p-value is between .10 and .20. Exact p-value corresponding to t = -1.54 is .1303 c. p-value > .05, do not reject H0. d. With df = 47, t.025 = 2.012 Reject H0 if t -2.012 or t 2.012 t = -1.54; do not reject H0 34. a. H0: = 2 H a: 2 b. x c. s d. t xi 22 2.2 n 10 xi x n 1 x 0 s/ n 2 .516 2.2 2 .516 / 10 1.22 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 9 Because t > 0, p-value is two times the upper tail area Using t table: area in upper tail is between .10 and .20; therefore, p-value is between .20 and .40. Exact p-value corresponding to t = 1.22 is .2535 9-2 e. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. No reason to change from the 2 hours for cost estimating purposes. Chapter 10 Comparisons Involving Means Solutions: 2. a. z x1 x2 D0 2 1 n1 3. n2 (25.2 22.8) 0 (5.2) 2 62 40 50 b. p-value = 1.0000 - .9788 = .0212 c. p-value .05, reject H0. a. z x1 x2 D0 2 1 n1 8. 2 2 2 2 n2 (104 106) 0 (8.4) 2 (7.6) 2 80 70 b. p-value = 2(.0630) = .1260 c. p-value > .05, do not reject H0. a. z x1 x2 0 2 1 n1 2 2 (69.95 69.56) 0 n2 2.52 2.52 112 84 2.03 1.53 1.08 b. p-value = 2(1.0000 - .8599) = .2802 c. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. Cannot conclude that there is a difference between the population mean scores for the two golfers. 54 9 6 x1 b. s1 ( xi x1 ) 2 2.28 n1 1 s2 ( xi x2 ) 2 1.79 n2 1 c. x2 42 7 6 11. a. x1 x2 = 9 - 7 = 2 Chapter 9 2 d. 2 s12 s22 2.282 1.792 6 n1 n2 6 df 9.5 2 2 2 2 1 2.282 1 1.792 1 s12 1 s22 5 6 5 6 n1 1 n1 n2 1 n2 Use df = 9, t.05 = 1.833 2.282 1.792 6 6 x1 x2 1.833 2 2.17 (-.17 to 4.17) H0: 1 - 2 = 0 40. Ha: 1 - 2 0 z ( x1 x2 ) D0 2 1 n1 2 2 n2 (4.1 3.4) 0 (2.2)2 (1.5) 2 120 100 2.79 p-value = 2(1.0000 - .9974) = .0052 p-value .05, reject H0. A difference exists with system B having the lower mean checkout time. Chapter 12 Simple Linear Regression Solutions: a. 16 14 12 10 y 1. 8 6 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 x 9-4 4 5 6 b. There appears to be a positive linear relationship between x and y. c. Many different straight lines can be drawn to provide a linear approximation of the relationship between x and y; in part (d) we will determine the equation of a straight line that “best” represents the relationship according to the least squares criterion. d. x xi 15 3 n 5 y ( xi x )( yi y ) 26 b1 yi 40 8 n 5 ( xi x ) 2 10 ( xi x )( yi y ) 26 2.6 10 ( xi x )2 b0 y b1 x 8 (2.6)(3) 0.2 yˆ 0.2 2.6 x e. a. 2500 2000 Price ($) 5. yˆ 0.2 2.6(4) 10.6 1500 1000 500 0 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 Baggage Capacity b. Let x = baggage capacity and y = price ($). There appears to be a positive linear relationship between x and y. c. Many different straight lines can be drawn to provide a linear approximation of the relationship between x and y; in part (d) we will determine the equation of a straight line that “best” represents the relationship according to the least squares criterion. d. x xi 29.5 3.277778 n 9 y ( xi x )( yi y ) 2909.888891 yi 11,110 123.444444 n 9 ( xi x ) 2 4.555559 Chapter 9 b1 ( xi x )( yi y ) 2909.888891 638.755615 4.555559 ( xi x )2 b0 y b1 x 1234.4444 (638.7561)(3.2778) 859.254658 yˆ 859.26 638.76 x e. A one point increase in the baggage capacity rating will increase the price by approximately $639. f. yˆ 859.26 638.76 x 859.26 638.76(3) $1057 15. a. The estimated regression equation and the mean for the dependent variable are: yi 0.2 2.6xi y 8 The sum of squares due to error and the total sum of squares are SSE ( yi yi ) 2 12.40 SST ( yi y ) 2 80 Thus, SSR = SST - SSE = 80 - 12.4 = 67.6 b. r2 = SSR/SST = 67.6/80 = .845 The least squares line provided a very good fit; 84.5% of the variability in y has been explained by the least squares line. c. 18. a. rxy .845 .9192 The estimated regression equation and the mean for the dependent variable are: yˆ 1790.5 581.1x y 3650 The sum of squares due to error and the total sum of squares are SSE ( yi yˆi ) 2 85,135.14 SST ( yi y ) 2 335, 000 Thus, SSR = SST - SSE = 335,000 - 85,135.14 = 249,864.86 b. r2 = SSR/SST = 249,864.86/335,000 = .746 We see that 74.6% of the variability in y has been explained by the least squares line. c. 26. a. rxy .746 .8637 In solving exercise 18, we found SSE = 85,135.14 s2 = MSE = SSE/(n - 2) = 85,135.14/4 = 21,283.79 s MSE 21,28379 . 14589 . 9-6 ( xi x ) 2 0.74 sb1 t s ( xi x ) 2 145.89 0.74 169.59 b1 581.1 3.43 sb1 169.59 Using t table (4 degrees of freedom), area in tail is between .01 and .025 p-value is between .02 and .05 Using Excel or Minitab, the p-value corresponding to t = 3.43 is .0266. Because p-value , we reject H0: 1 = 0 b. MSR = SSR/1 = 249,864.86/1 = 249.864.86 F = MSR/MSE = 249,864.86/21,283.79 = 11.74 Using F table (1 degree of freedom numerator and 4 denominator), p-value is between .025 and .05 Using Excel or Minitab, the p-value corresponding to F = 11.74 is .0266. Because p-value , we reject H0: 1 = 0 c. Source of Variation Regression Error Total Sum of Squares 249864.86 85135.14 335000 Degrees of Freedom 1 4 5 Mean Square 249864.86 21283.79 F 11.74 p-value .0266