Solution to problems chapter9 9.51 Population under study: all the adults in United States. Survey question: should the AIDS taste be made mandatory to certain risk group / mandatory to all = proportion of all those adults who said “mandatory to all” They surveyed a sample of 1014 adults (that is n= 1014) x = # of adults who said “mandatory to all” = 466 Sample proportion p = x/n = 466/1014 9.55 This problem consists of two sub problems That is there are two populations are under study Pop1 = population of all the Nonperisters Pop2 = population of all the Persisters n1 = size of the sample from pop1 = 44 n2 = size of the sample from pop2 = 257 x = # hours worked per week during the first quarter 1 = average # hours worked per week during the first quarter by pop1 2 = average # hours worked per week during the first quarter by pop2 a. To construct 98% confidence interval for 1 the formula is : x z / 2 s / n (Since sample size n1 = 44 is a large sample, we use the z- formula) Plugging all the numbers in the formula, the interval is ( 20.558, 30.682) Interpretation: If we draw several samples of size 44 and construct one confidence interval corresponding to each sample, then 99% of all such constructed confidence intervals will trap the true value of population mean. b. similar to part a except use the values from the Persisters. c. It is based on larger sample. d. since the interval in part a has lower limit greater than 20, this indicates that mean number of hours worked per week by non-persisters is greater than 20. 9.65 specified error B= 0.1 and σ = 0.8 n = (1.96 * σ/B)2 = 245. 86 Interpretation: We want to draw a sample such that we want to be 95% confidant that error in estimation does not exceed 0.1, the size of sample should be n> 245. 9.66 Survey question: do you support 10-2 verdict in criminal cases not involving death penalty? N = 900 people surveyed with this questions. 71% of these 900 supported In the whole population, the percentage of supporters (say ) is not known Proportion of supporters inside the sample of 900 is p = .71. To construct a 99% confidence interval for Step i: check if the sample size is large? Ie check if np>10 and n(1-p)>10 np = 900*.71 = 639 > 10 n(1-p) = 900*.29 =262 >10 Yes the sample size is large hence we can apply the formula p(1 p) Step ii : the formula is p z / 2 n Step iii: the computed interval is (.671, .749) Step V: interpretation: Based on this interval we are 99% confident that the true value of the population proportion of the supporters of the survey question fall between 67.1% and 74.9% (again our confidence is in the process of repeated sampling and not in a single sample)