EMU - FACULTY OF ARTS AND SCIENCES DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS COURSE DESCRIPTION 2015 - 16 Fall Course Code and Title: MATH523: Statistical Data Analysis Instructor: Yücel Tandoğdu (Office: AS252, ext. 1004) Textbook: Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists. R. E. Walpole, R. H. Myers, S. L. Myers. 8th Edition. Prentice Hall, 2007. Mathematical Statistics with Applications. J. F. Freund. 7th Edition. Prentice Hall, 2004. Other References: TIME TABLE Lecture hrs. Office hrs. Friday: 13.30 -16.20, Place: ASG02. Friday: 10.30 -11.20 Course Objectives Collecting data and analyzing is a common practice in all fields of scientific study. In this course the data analysis will be studied at a level that will enable the student or researcher to understand the theoretical background as well as its application. OUTLINE Week 1 Start Date 05/10 /2015 2 12/10/2015 3 19/10/2015 4 26/10/2015 5 02/11/2015 6 09/11/2015 Topics Brief Review of Some Important Probability Concepts: Random functions, probability distribution and probability density function, independence of random variables. Expectation and moments, moment generating functions. Sampling Methods. Random, Stratified Random, Cluster, Systematic sampling methods. Data Description. Data validation, graphical representation of data. Sample statistics. mean, median, mode, variance, and standard deviation; sampling distribution of means and variances. t, 2 , and F distributions. HW/Prj 1: Collecting data from your research topic and analyzing. Due date: 06/11/2015 Estimation Problems: Statistical inference, Classical methods of estimation. Single Sample; Estimating the mean, standard error of a point estimate, tolerance limits, estimating a proportion, estimating the variance. Estimating the difference between two means, paired observations, estimating the difference between two 7 16/11/2015 8 23/11/2015 9 10 07/12/2015 11 14/12/2015 12 21/12/2015 13 28/12/2015 14 02/01/2016 17 12-27Jan 2016 proportions, estimating the ratio of two variances. Bayesian methods of estimation. Maximum likelihood estimation. HW/Prj 2: Use of research topic related data in estimating necessary parameters and commenting on findings. Due date: 20/11/2015 Hypothesis Tests: Important points in setting a hypothesis. Errors in hypothesis testing and how to minimize them. Power of a test. Single sample; tests concerning a single mean when the variance is known and when it is unknown. Relationship to confidence interval estimation. Two samples; tests on two means, choice of sample sizes for testing means. P value and its use in decision making. One sample test on single proportion. Two sample tests on two proportions. One and two sample tests concerning variances. Goodness of fit tests. Test for independence (categorical data), test for homogeneity, test for several proportions. Two sample case study. HW/Prj 3: Use of research topic related data in an integrated hypothesis testing and related conclusions. Due date: 18/12/2015 Linear regression. Properties of the Least Squares Estimators, inferences concerning the regression coefficients, confidence interval for the regression parameters, confidence and prediction interval for the response variable Y x . Choice of a regression model, analysis of variance approach, test for linearity of regression Multiple linear regression. Estimating the coefficients, linear regression using matrices, properties of the least squares estimators Inferences in multiple linear regression. HW/Prj 4: Use of research topic related multivariate data in regression analysis. Due date: 08/01/2016. FINAL EXAM PERIOD. GRADING Midterm examination : 30% Homework/Project : 30% Final examination : 40%