Annex A National Statistics - Natural and Built Environment Theme Working Group Housing and People - Office of the Deputy Prime Minister (ODPM) Quality Review of the Survey of English Housing and other related sources Project Initiation Document Background 1. The White Paper "Building Trust in Statistics" set out the framework for quality assuring National Statistics (NS). This involves a programme of quality assurance reviews which have been established to ensure that, as far as possible, NS and other official statistical outputs are fit for purpose, and that avenues for further quality improvements are identified and appropriate action taken forward. Emphasis is placed on ensuring that information needs of users are being met and that the data collection systems provide accurate statistics in a cost-effective manner without undue burden on data providers. 2. The Survey of English Housing, which is an NS data source, is carried out by contractors for ODPM. As the contract is due for re-tendering in 2003, it was agreed by the Natural and Built Environment Theme Working Group (NBETWG) that the Survey of English Housing should be subject to a quality assurance review in 2002. In addition as other NS household surveys also collect information on housing, the NBETWG agreed that the housing aspects of these surveys should be reviewed at the same time in order to ensure that all of the statistical outputs relating to housing meet the NS objectives. Information Sources 3. Apart from the Survey of English Housing (SEH) which is primarily a housing survey, the other major National Statistics household surveys that collect information on housing are the Family Resources Survey (FRS), the Expenditure and Food Survey (EFS), the General Household Survey (GHS), the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and the Census. Brief details are provided below: a) The Survey of English Housing: This is a continuous household survey commissioned by ODPM, and its predecessor Departments, which started in April 1993. It provides data on housing tenure, accommodation and characteristics of households for all housing sectors (owner occupation, social rented, private rented). In addition to collecting data on housing topics (rent, mortgages, type of accommodation etc) data is collected on attitudes to the local area, and on other topics of concern to the government (eg car ownership, access to bus services).The survey is designed to produce an achieved sample of around 20,000 household interviews per annum. b) The Family Resources Survey: This is a continuous survey of 24,000 households per annum commissioned by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP). The survey, which was launched in October 1992, collects information on income in greater detail than the SEH. Like the SEH it collects data on housing tenure, characteristics of the household, housing benefits, rent payments and mortgage payments. Other housing topics covered include accommodation type, number of rooms, number of bedrooms, type of mortgage, use of mortgage payment insurance, central heating by type of fuel. c) The Expenditure and Food Survey: This continuous household survey, which was previously known as the Family Expenditure Survey, is an Office for National Statistics survey of household expenditure. It collects data from 6,000 households per annum on housing benefits, rent payments, and mortgage payments. Other housing topics are housing tenure, accommodation type, number of rooms, number of bedrooms, central heating. d) The General Household Survey: This is a multi-purpose ONS survey of 8,000 households. The information collected relevant to housing includes tenure, accommodation type, date when built, number of rooms, central heating by fuel e) The Labour Force Survey: This is very large household survey, 48,000 households per annum, which is primarily a labour market survey. The information collected relevant to housing includes tenure, household characteristics. The amount of housing data collected was reduced when the SEH was set up; previously the LFS included a special housing trailer. f) The Census: This is a count of people, households and dwellings in the UK normally at a 10 year interval. Because it is a count, not a sample, results are available down to small geographical areas. Data collected relevant to housing includes tenure, type of accommodation, floor level, amenities, number of rooms, central heating. 4. In addition the English House Condition Survey is a very important housing survey also commissioned by ODPM, but as it is currently outside the scope of NS it will not be considered except in relation to the potential for establishing a merged survey (see below). A number of other surveys collect a limited amount of information about housing for background purposes (eg the British Crime Survey) but these will be excluded from this Review. Nature of the Review 5. In terms of the categories of review adopted by the National Statistics Planning Board it is proposed that this review should be a "Standard Review" which is a review appropriate to statistical outputs that are important but where there are no known concerns. The purpose of a Standard Review is to ensure that the outputs are (still) of good quality and fit for purpose. Fitness for purpose of the outputs: Users will be consulted to establish their requirements and whether they consider that their needs are being met. The form of consultation will include a user seminar and the circulation of a questionnaire to users. Appropriateness of the methodology and processes: An independent methodological study of the SEH will be commissioned. The review will not cover the detailed methodology of the other surveys, but will consider the actual housing questions asked, and how the data are used. A useful output would be a list of 'preferred sources' for particular variables. There will also be a separate feasibility/scoping study by an independent expert of the advantages and disadvantages and feasibility of combining the EHCS and the SEH. Technical topics to be covered by the methodological review of the SEH include: sample size and design (including stratification and the possibility of including a panel element), the choice of grossing method, the potential for using imputation. In addition the review should consider the technical aspects of the more general questions listed below. Questions to answer and scope of the review 6. The basic question to be answered is 'Are the housing statistics, obtained from the SEH and the other NS household surveys, fit for purpose?'. This in turn requires the main uses and users to be identified. Subsidiary questions include Are there any important needs that are not being met ? Are the statistics being collected in the most cost-effective manner ? This leads on to a set of further questions a) Should the SEH be linked/combined with the EHCS in order to provide better value for money, and provide an improved analysis linking the physical characteristics of dwellings to a wider range of household characteristics ? b) Should the SEH be included in the planned Integrated Social Survey, which would combine the various ONS household surveys ? c) If the SEH remains as a separate survey should the sample size be increased in order to provide results for smaller geographical areas and more accurate national results for smaller housing sectors, in particular the private rented sector(PRS), or for smaller social groups eg. ethnic groups ? (Combining years is an alternative for variables that change relatively slowly but not for more volatile variables such as rents.) As an alternative to an overall increase in sample size should there be a specific ethnic or PRS boost, in order to provide better housing statistics for these groups ? d) Should the SEH be modified to collect information on dwellings as well as households ? (It is believed that a slight extension of the data collected, to include a limited amount of data on empty dwellings and on occupied second homes, would allow results to be produced in terms of dwellings.) e) Can publication/dissemination of SEH results be improved both in format and in terms of timeliness ? Specific questions include: Is the traditional form of publication still appropriate? Should SEH results be published in isolation or should there be a broader housing publication containing results from various sources ? Can arrangements for making data sets available to outside researchers be improved ? Should packages of regional data sets be produced for use by local authorities ? f) Is best use being made of the surveys other than the SEH that collect housing data ? Are the correct questions being asked ? Could data from a number of surveys be combined to give improved estimates based on a larger sample ? How would the situation be changed by the proposed Integrated Social Survey that would combine the LFS, EFS and GHS ? Timing Appointments to the Review Board have been made (see Annex 1) and the Review is likely to run until February/March 2003. Annex 1 REVIEW BOARD Name Bruce Oelman Barbara Noble Edward Kafka Peter Lynn Organisation ODPM Housing Statistics ODPM Housing Statistics ODPM Housing Statistics University of Essex Stephen Wilcox Keith Kirby University of York ODPM Research Analysis and Evaluation ODPM Housing Private Sector ODPM Housing Statistics David Woodward Steven Wellington Role Chair, Review Sponsor Vice Chair Review Manager External Academic Advisor External user Internal User Internal User Secretariat Annex 2 Review Timetable Month Methodology review stages 2002 May June First meeting of Steering Group to agree terms of reference Initiate short review of SEH and EHCS Main methodology review to Advertise review to users in tender SEH report, on ODPM/ ONS websites etc Agree methodology review Plan seminar date for contractor consultation Consider format of annual Draft questionnaire and publication. circulate Consider current Plan seminar in detail methodology, best practice etc Review report on possible Hold seminar merger of EHCS and SEH. Questionnaires returned Review methodological Questionnaires analysed report, and results of user consultation if these produce methodological issues Second meeting of Steering Group ODPM respond to methodology and user recommendations; draft final report July August September/ October/ November November December/ January 2003 February March User consultation Steering Group agree report and action plan Final report and action plan published