St361HW7sol 7.14. (a) A 95% two-sided confidence interval for the true average dye-layer density for all such trees is: s x 1.96 n .163 1.28 1.96 69 1.028 0.03846 .9895 ,1.0665 1.96 s (b) n B 2 1.96 .16 .025 2 158 A sample size of 158 trees would be required. (Note: The researchers wanted an interval width of .05. So, the bound on the error of estimation, B, is half of the width. B = .025) 7.15. (a) The large sample size (n = 169) allows us to use the large-sample formula x z 95% confidence is z = 1.96, so the interval is x z s n = 89.10 (1.96) 3.73 169 s n . The z-value for = 89.10 .5624 = [88.5376, 89.6624] or, approximately, [88.54, 89.66]. The interval is very narrow (i.e., its width 89.6688.54 = 1.12 is a small fraction of the mean value, 89.10) so our knowledge about is quite precise. (b) Given that = 4, the minimum sample size needed to estimate to within .5 Mpa is: n = 2 2 1.96 1.96 (4) = = (15.68)2 = 245.86, or, n 246. .5 B 7.38. Given: n = 8 x 30 .2 s 3.1 A 95% confidence interval for the true average stress is: s x t critica l value n The t critical value is obtained from Table IV with df = (n – 1) = 7 for a two-sided interval. 3.1 30 .2 2.365 8 30 .2 2.6 27 .6, 32 .8 7.49. The approximate degrees of freedom for this estimate are: df 11.32 6 11.32 6 2 2 8.83 2 8.32 8 2 = 893.586/101.175 5 7 = 8.83, so we round down and use df 8. For a 95% 2-sided confidence interval with 8 df, the critical t value is 2.306, so the desired interval is: ( x1 - x2 ) - t s12 s 22 = (40.3-21.4) (2.306) n1 n2 11 .32 8.32 = 6 8 18.9 (2.306)(5.4674) = 18.9 12.607 = [6.3, 31.5]. Because 0 is not contained in this interval, there is strong evidence that 1-2 0; i.e., we can conclude that the population means are not equal. Calculating a confidence interval for 2-1 would change only the order of subtraction of the sample means (i.e., x2 - x1 = -18.9), but the standard error calculation would give the same result as before. Therefore, the 95% interval estimate of 2-1 would be [-31.5, -6.3], just the negatives of the endpoints of the interval for 12. Since 0 is not in this interval, we reach exactly the same conclusion as before: the population means are not equal. 7.74. (a) A 95% lower confidence bound for the true average strength of joints with a side coating is: s x t critical value n The t critical value is obtained from Table IV with df = (n – 1) = 9 for a one-sided interval. Thus: 5.96 63 .23 1.833 10 63 .23 3.45 59 .78 That is, with a confidence level of 95%, the value of lies in the interval (59 .78, ) . Note: Our above interval is valid only if the distribution of joint strength is normal. (b) A 95% lower prediction bound for the strength of a single joint with a side coating is: 1 x t critical value s 1 n The t critical value is obtained from Table IV with df = (n – 1) = 9 for a one-sided interval, just as in part (a) of this exercise. Thus: 1 63 .23 1.833 5.96 1 10 63 .23 11 .46 51 .77 That is, with a confidence level of 95%, the strength of a single joint with a side coating would be in the interval (59 .77 , ) . (c) For a confidence level of 95%, a two-sided tolerance interval for capturing at least 95% of the strength values of joints with side coating is: x (tolerance critical value) s The tolerance critical value is obtained from Table V for a two-sided interval, with 95% confidence, k = 95%, and n = 10. Thus, 63.23 3.379 5.96 63.23 20.14 (43.09, 83.37 ) That is, we can be highly confident that at least 95% of all joints with side coatings have strength values between 43.09 and 83.37. (d) A 95% confidence interval for the difference between the true average strengths for the two types of joints is: (80 .95 63 .23) ( t critical value) 9.59 2 5.96 2 10 10 The t critical value requires the df be calculated. 2 91 .9681 35 .5216 10 10 df 91 .9681 10 2 35 .5216 10 2 9 9 15 .05 Thus, we use df = 15 and the t critical value from Table IV is 2.131. So, 17.72 (2.131)(3.57 ) 17 .72 7.61 (10 .11, 25 .33) With 95% confidence, we can say that the true average strength for joints without side coating exceeds that of joints with side coating by between 10.11 and 25.33 lb-in./in.