Estimating the Energy Level of the Van Allen Belts R. Dodda The purpose of this experiment is to investigate the factors that cause the energy level of the Van Allen Radiation Belts to change. Two possible forms of the source functions will be checked to see if they serve as a good estimation of the energy entering the belts. INTRODUCTION The following differential equation describes the energy in the radiation belts: dE E P (t ) dt (EQ1) where E is the energy of the radiation belts. P(t) is the source function that corresponds the energy being pumped into the belts. A good estimation for the P(t) based on measurable parameters is a very useful in Space Physics. Two forms discussed below have been suggested for P(t), and in this experiment we will determine which is a better estimation. The purpose of this experiment is to determine the following two quantities: PROCEDURE The procedure was fairly straightforward. We obtained the Geomagnetic data to calculate the following parameters during the same time period: dE dE E(t) , , P1 (t ) , P2 (t ) . ( was dt dt calculated from E(t) ). Then to calculate , we assumed at P(t) was zero in EQ1 and fit a straight line between the lhs and rhs of the following equation which is a modification of EQ1 : dE E dt 1. The value of 2. The form of function P(t). In fact, two possible candidates for P(t) have been suggested. The experiment will only determine which if the two forms is better. The two forms are: P (t ) v | B | if Bz 0 1 where B is the root of the sum of the squares of the component of B in y and z directions. The angle is between the y and z-components of B. z (and P1 (t ) = 0 if Bz > 0) or P2 (t ) vB 2 sin 4 ( ) L20 2 To deicide the functional form, we calculate P1 (t) and P2 (t) from the specified parameters in appearing in them. We obtained the raw measured data for the wind velocities and the Magnetic Flux to calculate these functions. E(t) was estimated from the following Dessler-Parker-Scopke formula: E (t ) 2.8 1013 J Dst nT Then, a regression analysis was done to find the correlation of between the lhs and the rhs of the following equation which is a modification of EQ1. The two forms for P(t) were plugged in it in turns. Also, since the solar wind takes time to reach the earth, the correlation coefficients were also obtained for a possible delay of 1 and 2 hours. RESULTS The value of obtained was 1.0E+05 with an error of 1.877E-27. The table of the obtained correlation coefficients is: Correlation for P1 (t) 0.127733 No Time Lag 1 -0.0313 Hour Delay 2 -0.0783 Hour Delay : Correlation for P2 (t) -0.39366 -0.506206 -0.39383 The error in the correlation coefficient was, like that of , was insignificant. DISCUSSION From the table it can be concluded that P2 (t) is a better function for the intended purpose. There is also an optimum timedelay to obtain maximum correlation, and we know that it is certainly between 0 and 2 hours. REFERENCES NASA’s Coordinated Data Analysis Web – http://cdaweb.gsfc.nasa.gov World Data Center for Geomagnetism, Kyoto – http://swdcb.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp