Statistics 512 Notes 13: Properties of Maximum
Likelihood Estimates
L( ) L( ; X1 , , X n ) f ( X1 , , X n )
ˆMLE max L( ; X1, , X n ) max l ( ; X1,
, Xn )
Good properties of maximum likelihood estimates:
(1) Invariance
(2) Consistency
(3) Asymptotic Normality
(4) Efficiency
Invariance (Theorem 6.1.2): Let X 1 , , X n be iid with the
pdf f ( x; ), . For a specified function g, let
g ( ) be a parameter of interest. Suppose ˆ is the mle
of . Then g (ˆ) is mle of g ( ) .
Proof: For each in the range of g, define the set
g 1 ( ) { : g ( ) }
The maximum occurs at ˆ and the domain of g is which
covers ˆ . Hence ˆ is in one of these sets and , in fact can
only be in one set. Hence to maximize L ( ) , choose ̂ so
1
that g (ˆ ) is the unique set containing ˆ . Then ˆ g (ˆ) .
Example: X 1 , , X n iid Bernoulli (p). The large sample
confidence sample interval for p is
pˆ 1.96 Varˆ( pˆ )
The MLE for p̂ is pˆ MLE
n
i 1
n
Xi
.
p(1 p)
.
n
By invariance the maximum likelihood estimate of
pˆ (1 pˆ )
Var ( pˆ MLE ) is
.
n
The variance of the MLE is Var ( pˆ MLE )
Consistency:
Consistency means that the MLE converges in probability
to the true value. To proceed, we need a definition. If f
and g are PDF’s define the Kullback-Leibler distance
between f and g to be
f ( x)
D( f , g ) f ( x) log
dx
g
(
x
)
It can be shown that D ( f , g ) 0 and D( f , f ) 0 . For any
, to mean D( f ( x), f ( x)) .
We say that the model is identifiable if implies that
D ( , ) 0 . This means that different values of the
parameter correspond to different distributions. We will
assume that the model is identifiable.
Let 0 denote the true value of . Let ln ( ) denote the log
likelihood of based on an iid sample X 1 , , X n .
Maximizing ln ( ) is equivalent to maximizing
f (X )
1
M n ( ) log i .
n i
f0 ( X i )
By the law of large numbers, M n ( ) converges to
f ( x)
f ( X i )
E0 log
log
f0 ( x)dx
f0 ( X i )
f0 ( x)
f0 ( x)
log
f0 ( x)dx D( , 0 )
f
(
x
)
Hence, M n ( ) D(0 , ) which is maximized at 0 since
D(0 ,0 ) 0 and D(0 , ) 0 for 0 . Therefore,
we expect that the maximizer will tend to 0 . To prove this
P
formally, we need more than M n ( ) D( 0 , ) . We
need this convergence to be uniform over . We also have
to make sure that the function D(0 , ) is well behaved.
Here are the formal details
Theorem: Let 0 denote the true value of . Define
f (X )
1
M n ( ) log i
n i
f0 ( X i )
and M ( ) D(0 , ) . Suppose that
P
sup | M n ( ) M ( ) | 0
and that for every 0 ,
sup :| * | M ( ) M ( 0 )
P
Let ˆn denote the MLE. Then ˆn 0 .
Proof: Since ˆn maximizes M n ( ) , we have
M (ˆ ) M ( ) . Hence,
n
n
n
0
M ( 0 ) M (ˆn ) M n ( 0 ) M (ˆn ) M ( 0 ) M n ( 0 )
M (ˆ ) M (ˆ ) M ( ) M ( )
n
n
n
0
n
0
sup | M n ( ) M ( ) | M ( 0 ) M n ( 0 )
P
0
where the last line follows from the assumption
P
sup | M n ( ) M ( ) | 0 .
Pick any 0 . By the assumption
sup :| * | M ( ) M ( 0 ) , there exists 0 such that
| 0 | implies that M ( ) M (0 ) . Hence,
P(| ˆ | ) P(M (ˆ ) M ( ) ) 0 .
n
0
n
0