Homework 6 UCDavis, 160a, Fall 2011 Prof. Farshid Mojaver Economies of Scale and Imperfect Competition 2 1. The United States, France, and Italy are among the world’s largest producers. To answer the following questions, assume that their markets are monopolistically competitive, and use the gravity equation with B = 93 and n = 1.25. a. Using the gravity equation, compare the expected level of trade between the United States and France and between the United States and Italy. Answer: The expected level of trade between the United States and France is 93(1,830 * 12,409) / 5,544125 = $44,146 billion. The expected level of trade between the United States and Italy is 93(1,668 * 12,409) / 6,229125 = $34,785 billion. (Note: These numbers are larger than is realistic because we are using the gravity equation estimated on the United States and Canada state/provincial trade, rather than the equation estimated on international trade.) b. The distance between Paris and Rome is 694 miles. Would you expect more French trade with Italy or with the United States? Explain what variable (i.e., country size or distance) drives your result. Answer: The expected level of trade between Italy and France is 93(1,830 * 1,668) / 694125 = $79,694 billion. This number is so large because it reflects the short distance between the two countries. In particular, this number is larger than the predicted amount of trade between the United States and Italy, as calculated in part (a). 2. What evidence is there that Canada is better off under the free-trade agreement with the United States? Answer: Economist Daniel Trefler found that between 1988 and 1996 the productivity of Canadian firms increased by as much as 15% in industries most affect by the tariff cuts. The growth in productivity translates to an increase in real earnings of 3% over the 8-year period. Moreover, Canadian consumers gained from the fall in prices and the rise in product variety. WTO 1. Go to: http://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/org6_e.htm , and find out how many countries belong to the WTO. Which countries joined most recently? 2. Which of the following actions would be legal under GATT, and which would not? a. A U.S. tariff of 20 percent against any country that exports more than twice as much to the United States as it imports in return. While tariffs are legal, the United States is obliged to offer compensation for any unilateral tariff increase by reducing other tariffs to compensate the affected exporting country. b. A subsidy to U.S. wheat exports, aimed at recapturing some of the markets lost to the European Union. Export subsidies on agricultural products are legal under GATT. c. A U.S. tariff on Canadian lumber exports, not matched by equivalent reductions on other tariffs. This is not legal under GATT because the United States is not offering compensating reductions in other tariffs on Canadian goods. Interestingly, in the late 1980s, U.S. efforts to protect the shakes and shingles industry were met with an outcry and Canadian threats of a trade war. These protectionist efforts by the United States were rescinded. d. A Canadian tax on lumber exports , agreed to at the demand of the United States to placate U.S. lumber produces. This is legal under GATT since the action is taken by Canada on its own exports. e. A program of subsidized research and development in areas related to high-technology goods such as electronics and semiconductors. This is legal under GATT since it does not involve any direct export subsidies. f. Special government assistance for workers who lose their jobs because of imports competition. This is legal under GATT and, in fact, may help increase the benefits from trade. Trade Policy 1: Tariffs and Quota 1. Consider a small country applying a tariff, t, to imports of a good. a. Suppose that the country decides to reduce its tariff to t’. Draw the graphs for the Home (with domestic supply and demand) and import markets (derived import demand curve) to illustrate this change. What happens to the quantity of goods produced at Home and their price? What happens to the quantity of imports? Answer: The reduction of the tariff, and corresponding decrease in domestic price in the small country, leads to a reduction in domestic production (to S3) and an increase in domestic quantity demanded (to D3). The result is an increase in imports (to M3). See the following figure. b. Are there gains or losses to domestic consumer surplus due to the reduction in tariff? Are there gains or losses to domestic producer surplus due to the reduction in tariff? How is government revenue affected by the policy change? Illustrate these on your graphs. Answer: Consumer surplus increases because consumers now buy a greater quantity of products at a lower price. Domestic producer surplus, on the other hand, decreases because producers sell a smaller quantity of products at a lower price. Government revenue changes from the rectangle S2D2PWPW + t to the rectangle S3D3PWPW + t’. Notice that the area of the rectangle does not necessarily decrease when the tariff is lowered because, although the tax per import is less, the amount of imports has increased. c. What is the overall gain or loss in welfare due to the policy change? Answer: The overall welfare gain from the reduction in the tariff is illustrated by the decrease in total deadweight loss. On our graphs this is the reduction in the size of the striped triangles; after the reduction in the tariff, total deadweight loss is represented by the smaller solid triangles. 2. Consider a large country applying a tariff, t, to imports of a good. a. How does the export supply curve in panel (b) compare with that in the small country case? Explain why these are different. Answer: The export supply curve is upward-sloping in the large-country case (it was horizontal in the small-country case). In the small-country case, a horizontal export supply curve means that the supply of exports from the rest of the world is infinitely elastic. This corresponds to the price taking assumption in perfect competition. In contrast, an upward-sloping export supply curve means that the price of exports from the rest of the world responds when the large country changes its import demand. For instance, if the large-country importer applies a tariff that decreases its demand for imports, the price charged by foreign exporters falls. b. Explain how the tariff affects the price paid by consumers in the importing country, and the price received by producers in the exporting country. Use graphs to illustrate how the prices are affected if (i) the export supply curve is very elastic (flat), or (ii) the export supply curve is inelastic (steep). Answer: In the small-country case (flat export supply curve), a tariff increases the amount that consumers pay by exactly the amount of the tariff and foreign exporters are paid the original world price, P*; the difference is collected by the domestic government as tax revenue. Refer to Figure 8-7: With an upward-sloping export supply curve (in the large-country case) foreign exporters reduce their price due to a tariff; that is, foreign exporters receive less than they did prior to the tariff. Domestic consumers pay more than before, but by less than the full amount of the tariff. Again, the difference between what consumers pay and what Foreign exporters receive is the amount of the tariff, t, collected by the domestic government. In the large-country case, the incidence of the tariff is shared by domestic consumers and foreign producers. Moreover, a steeper foreign export supply curve implies that foreign exporters absorb more of the price increase due to the tariff. 3. Consider a large country applying a tariff, t, to imports of a good. How does the size of the terms-of-trade gain compare with the size of the deadweight loss when (i) the tariff is very small, and (ii) the tariff is very large? Use graphs to illustrate your answer. Answer: As the size of the tariff increases, the export supply curve shifts upward by more, M2 decreases by more (relative to M1), and the size of the triangle with area b+ d increases relative to rectangle e. That is, consumer deadweight losses get larger relative to terms-of-trade gains due to the tariff. We can interpret this as meaning that for small tariffs the welfare gains from terms of-trade improvements outweigh consumer deadweight losses, but the opposite is true for tariffs that are sufficiently large. 4. Consider the following scenarios: a. If the foreign export supply is perfectly elastic, what is the optimal tariff Home should apply to increase welfare? Explain. Answer: This is the small-country case. Because the incidence of the tariff is shouldered completely by consumers and there is no terms-of-trade gain to applying a tariff, the optimal tariff is zero. b. If the foreign export supply is less than perfectly elastic, what is the formula for the optimal tariff Home should apply to increase welfare? Answer: This is the large-country case. The optimal tariff is determined as: t=1/E*X, where E*X is the Foreign export supply elasticity. c. What happens to Home welfare if it applies a tariff higher than the optimal tariff? Answer: For a tariff higher than the optimal tariff, welfare declines because deadweight losses increasingly outweigh terms-of-trade gains. For a sufficiently high tariff, welfare can go as low as the autarky level. 5. Rank the following in ascending order of Home welfare and justify your answers. If two items are equivalent, indicate this accordingly. a. Tariff of t in a small country corresponding to the quantity of imports M. b. Tariff of t in a large country corresponding to the same quantity of imports M. c. Tariff of t’ in a large country corresponding to the quantity of imports M’> M. Answer: a < c < b. For the same quantity of imports, M, Home welfare is greater in the large-country case relative to the small-country case because (assuming an optimal tariff) the terms-of-trade gain partially offsets the deadweight losses due to the tariff; thus, a< b. A larger quantity of imports implies that t’< t. Therefore, in the large-country case with optimal tariff t, the welfare associated with a tariff of t’ is somewhere in between the small-country case and the large country case; thus, a < c < b. 6. Rank the following in ascending order of Home welfare and justify your answers. If two items are equivalent, indicate this accordingly. a. Tariff of t in a small country corresponding to the quantity of imports M. b. Quota with the same imports M in a small country, with quota licenses distributed to Home firms and no rent seeking. c. Quota of M in a small country with quota licenses auctioned to Home firms. d. Quota of M in a small country with the quota given to the exporting firms. e. Quota of M in a small country with quota licenses distributed to rent-seeking Home firms. Answer: d = e < a = b = c. A tariff t corresponding to imports M, and a quota on M units of import corresponding to tariff t are equivalent in terms of welfare so long as proceeds from quota rents remain in the Home country and are not squandered by rent-seeking activities: a = b = c. When quota rents are either given away to Foreign firms or are squandered completely by Home firms seeking access to rents, Home welfare diminishes by an equal amount (the amount of the quota rents): d = e < a = b = c. 6. Suppose Home is a small country. Use the graphs below to answer the questions. a. Calculate Home consumer surplus and producer surplus in the absence of trade. Answer: Total surplus in the absence of trade is 35. Consumer surplus without tariff: Producer surplus without tariff: CS = 0.5 . 5 .(18 - 9) PS = 0.5 . 5 . (9 - 4) CS = 22.5 PS = 12.5 b. Now suppose that Home engages in trade and faces the world price, P*= $6. Determine the consumer and producer surplus under free trade. Does Home benefit from trade? Explain. Answer: Home is better off with trade because total surplus increases by 15 (i.e., total surplus under trade is 50). Consumer surplus under free trade: Producer surplus under free trade: CS = 0.5 . 8 .(18 - 6) PS = 0.5 . 2 . (6 - 4) CS = 48 PS = 2 c. Concerned about the welfare of the local producers, the Home government imposes a tariff in the amount of $2 (i.e., t = $2). Determine the net effect of the tariff on the Home economy. Answer: The net effect on Home welfare is -8. Consumer surplus with tariff: Producer surplus with tariff: CS = 0.5 . 6 . (18 - 8) PS =0.5 . 4 . (8 - 4) CS = 30 PS = 8 Government with tariff: Government = (6 - 4) . (8 - 6) Government = 4 Fall in consumer surplus: -18 Rise in producer surplus: +6 Rise in government revenue: +4 Net effect on Home welfare: -8 7. Refer to the graphs in problem 8. Suppose that instead of a tariff, Home applies an import quota limiting the amount foreign can sell to 2 units. a. Determine the net effect of import quota on the Home economy if the quota licenses are allocated to local producers. Answer: An import quota of 2 units has the same net effect on Home welfare as an equivalent tariff of $2 when the quota licenses are allocated to local producers as long as the firms do not participate in rent-seeking activities. Fall in consumer surplus: Rise in producer surplus: Rise in government revenue: Net effect on Home welfare: -18 +6 +4 -8 b. Calculate the net effect of the import quota on Home’s welfare if the quota rents are earned by foreign exporters. Answer: Fall in consumer surplus: -18 Rise in producer surplus: +6 Net effect on Home welfare: -12 c. How do your answers to parts (a) and (b) compare with part (c) of problem 8? Answer: With an import quota of 2 units the net effect on Home welfare is equivalent to that of a tariff of $2 (i.e., the net effect on Home welfare is -8) when the quota licenses are allocated to local producers. If the quota rents are earned by foreign exporters, Home welfare falls further so that the net effect is -12.