Is Corn Profitable on the Lower Eastern Shore of Maryland? Eddie Johnson Wicomico County Extension E-mail: ejohnso3@umd.edu 410.749.6141 03/06/07 Research Question: The agricultural land use of the Lower Eastern Shore is dominated by field crop production, mostly in support of the poultry industry. In the TriCounty area of the Eastern Shore of Maryland (Worcester, Wicomico and Somerset Counties) an average of 12.5% of the State’s grain (corn and soybeans) is produced (25% of the production on the Eastern Shore). Demand for corn by the poultry industry alone has been estimated to exceed Maryland’s average annual production by 50%. Ethanol will demand more corn than we can possibly produce. Literature Summary: A summary of research by Linda Foreman with USDA (Statistical Bulletin No. (SB974-1) 28pp, August 2001 indicates that the production costs for a bushel of corn ranged from an average of $1.19 per bushel for those farmers in the lowest quartile to $3.67 per bushel for corn farmers in the highest quartile, ranked by production costs per bushel. Producers with high corn production costs per bushel tended to have both lower than average yields and higher than average corn costs per acre. Corn producers in the Heartland and Prairie Gateway had lower corn production costs per bushel than corn producers in the Northern Crescent and Southeast. Part-time farmers and farmers with small corn acreage tended to have high corn production costs per bushel. Allen Baker at webadmin@ers.usda.gov in a similar summary entitled: Characteristics and Production Costs of U.S. Corn Farms reports that the operating and ownership cost for producing a bushel of corn in 2001 ranged from an average of $1.08 for the quarter of U.S. producers with the lowest costs to an average of $2.98 for the quarter with the highest costs. Production costs varied considerably, depending on yields, farm location, tillage practices, irrigation, previous field usage, enterprise size, and weather. … 1 Study Description: A Corn Improvement program was started in Wicomico County in 1986 through a joint effort between the University of Maryland Cooperative Extension Service and local the poultry industry. Since 2000, the Corn Improvement has expanded to include a tri-county area of Wicomico, Worcester and Somerset Counties. A field is selected by a farmer, which is then measured by an employee of the county Extension office. Harvest is completed in the measured section and moisture of the corn in the measured area is determined as it is loaded into a truck. Specific production information that was performed by the farmer is recorded by the extension personnel to determine Best Management Practices used and all cultural practices. All associated costs of production are determined using current Custom Rates provided by the National Agricultural Statistics Service. Land charges are fixed at $75 per acre; seed, fertilizer and chemical cost are determined by an average of 3 local dealers’ prices for a cost for each product used in the field. Irrigation is a fixed cost for system of $70 per acre plus $1.80 per inch of water applied. Applied Questions: Is conventionally grown corn cheaper to produce than no—till corn? http://www.ag.auburn.edu/aux/nsdl/sctcsa/Proceedings/1991/Bradley.pdf 2 World Wide Trends In No-Till Farming - Competing with the competition, an article by John F. Hebblethwaite and Dan Towery from the Conservation Technology Information Center West Lafayette, Indiana, USA, report that cost in each country follow the same trend with conventional higher than no-till even in other countries. The US averaged $0.12 higher and Agrentina and Brazil were $0.20 and $0.17 respectively. Global competitiveness in agriculture is growing. This becomes more obvious as government support declines. With declining price supports in the USA, producers will need to reduce input cost per unit of production like any other production industry. No-till crop production and the cropping flexibility, provided by the 1996 Farm Bill, will allow US producers to venture boldly into production systems that are more efficient and profitable. Many of these systems, based on no-till and crop rotation, have already been developed by our neighbors around the world. We can learn from them as they have learned from us. This Lower Shore Corn Improvement Program study resulted in final costs of production for conventional versus no-till corn production to be within $0.10 per bushel. Which corn variety performs the best on the Lower Eastern Shore of Maryland? http://www.nrsl.umd.edu/extension/crops/corn/2006AgronomyFacts54Final.doc Developed by Dr. Robert Kratochvil, University Agronomist indicates no one variety repeatedly outperformed another in these studies. Average variety life was less than five growing seasons. What is the actual cost of production for an individual farmer? This program derives a specific cost of production for each farmer who enters their farm into the Corn Improvement Program. Every participant will have an individual cost per bushel of production calculated. Each can only pick themselves from the literature and power points presented. Recommendations: The program results in an annual maximum economic yield determined by the six week average of harvest prices. Final costs for the farmer are determined as cost per bushel, which is steadily increasing each production year (with the exception of 2002 due to drought). A Best Managers Award is given to the farmer with a combination of highest yield and lowest inputs (Table 1). A characteristic of this program that is unique, and increases the farmers’ satisfaction of the program is the use of portable scales. The use of scales saves the farmers’ time as well as eliminating any pre-weighing of the truck. 3 Year Price Yield (bu/acre) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Average $1.92 $2.10 $2.90 $2.45 $2.20 $2.15 $2.89 $2.37 203 215 235 204 232 168 254 216 Production Cost (per acre) $1.08 $1.26 $1.80 $1.27 $1.29 $1.46 $1.41 $1.36 Table 1. The Best Managers Award: Lowest Cost of Corn Production on the Lower Eastern Shore of Maryland. 2000-2006. During the seven years of this program, both irrigated and non-irrigated corn yield were represented. Corn farmers in the program have averaged 42.4 bushels per acre higher than county averages. Table 2 represents the average yields of farmers involved in the program compared to the county average. Table 2. Yields of Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Corn in Lower Eastern Shore of Maryland. 2000-2005. 250 Irrigated Non-irrigated Program Average County Average Yield (bu/acre) 200 150 100 50 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 4 The overall cost per acre of all participants (average) and the Best Manager’s Cost are shown in Table 1. This can be viewed alongside the average profit per acre and price per bushel that was earned by the farmers participating in the program. The cost of irrigated corn is steadily increasing but always profitable. In 2002, despite the drought the true cost production exceeded the price of corn by $0.32 per bushel. Table 3 shows the average cost per acre, the best manager’s cost and the average profit per acre. Table 3 Profitability 3.50 Price/bu Average cost/acre 3.00 Best Manager's Cost Average Profit/acre 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Individual yields and associated cost 2005 with corn at harvest price of $2.15. All cost are considered. As a group they averaged $89.00 per acre NET. We can produce corn economically utilizing poultry litter as our nutrient base. The least cost per bushel of production was $1.46 with three tons of litter as the fertilizer cost. The farmer with $118.00 tillage cost per acre used conventional tillage and the rest used NO Till. Table 4 AVERAGE COST PER BUSHEL OF PRODUCTION 3.50 Price/bushel Irrigated Non-Irrigated 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 5 Table 4 shows the average cost of production and in 2006 Irrigated corn cost $1.89 per bushel to produce and non irrigated corn cost an average of $1.66 per bushel to produce Table 5 TOTAL COST, AND INPUT COST Per acre yield Cost seed fert chem Cost/ Bushel 254 357 40 80 26 1.41 208 314 43 53 32 1.51 230 352 47 84 27 1.53 211 326 47 67 38 1.54 211 333 47 67 38 1.58 190 312 45 83 17 1.64 178 298 50 67 18 1.68 199 363 37 61 17 1.82 217 395 53 67 11 1.83 151 280 19 63 14 1.85 203 396 49 84 58 1.95 214 417 49 118 58 1.95 219 442 57 60 31 2.02 206AVE 352AVE 45AVE 73AVE 30AVE 1.71AVE Table 5 compares each individual input cost of seed, fertilizer, and chemicals, total cost is compared and the average cost per acre of production was $352.00 per acre. $19.00 was low cost on seed (population of 15K by mistake) $53.00 for fertilizer (2.5 T of Poultry liter plus 50# of Nitrogen) Chemicals show a great range of difference depending on the chemical, application rate and if an insecticide was used. Table 6 RANK BY YIELD AND NET Table 6 compares the ranking of yield and net. Lots of Corn data only focuses on yield without regard to input cost or the bottom line (net). Only 3 farmers have the same rank in both columns (1,2, 13). It is interesting to note that a 219 bu. Yield will rank 3rd in yield but ties for 11th in net. The reason is the fixed charge per acre of irrigation equipment of $70.00. 6 Per acre yield Cost Rank/yield Rank net $NET Cost/ Bushel 254 357 1 1 376 1.41 208 314 8 3 288 1.51 230 352 2 2 312 1.53 211 326 6 4 284 1.54 211 333 7 5 276 1.58 190 312 11 6 237 1.64 178 298 12 8 215 1.68 199 363 10 9 213 1.82 217 395 4 7 230 1.83 151 280 13 13 156 1.85 203 396 9 11T 190 1.95 214 417 5 10 201 1.95 219 442 3 11T 190 2.02 7 Table 7 provides a brief summary of the data, net ranking , cost per bushel and a description of the cultural practices used in the field. Conv/pl/4.5 would mean conventional corn with 4.5 tons of poultry litter per acre. NT is no till and IRR is irrigated , one farmer ripped the ground then planted NT while one used commercial fertilizer. Per acre yield Gross cost net description Cost/ Bushel 254 735 357 377 -1 Conv/pl/4.5 1.41 208 603 314 289 -3 NT/pl/2.5 1.51 230 664 352 312 -2 NT/pl/2.5/S 1.53 211 610 326 284 -4 NT/pl/3 1.54 211 610 333 276 -5 NT/pl/3 1.58 190 550 312 238 -6 NT/pl/2/S 1.64 178 514 298 216 -8 NT/pl/2 1.68 199 576 363 213 -9 NT IRR/3.5pl 1.82 217 626 396 230 -7 NT IRR/3pl 1.83 151 437 280 157 -13 Conv/S 1.85 203 587 396 190 -12 Rip/NT/3pl 1.95 214 618 417 201 -10 NT/comm/Fert 1.95 219 633 442 191 -11 Conv/IRR/pl3 2.02 Summary: A grant was written to the MD State Police to obtain six portable scale units, giving us the capability of weighing a 10 wheel truck without split weighing. We place plywood under the scales if ground is extremely sandy, otherwise we use a field road and make out fine. Any one can obtain a used set of scales from the state police. They are constantly updating equipment. It has given us the ability to weigh and measure yields in the field of corn, beans and pallets of vegetables, wagon loads of hay or forage. It is the best method of manure calibration available today. We can weigh and load spreaders at end of house, then spread it and measure the area covered. The research indicates with 2-3 tons of poultry litter supplying the nitrogen corn can be quite profitable on the Eastern Shore of Maryland. In 4 of the 7 years the data indicates that application of 2 tons of poultry litter and 50 lbs of nitrogen were the most 8 economical. 3 tons of manure and no nitrogen are economical if price of manure is relatively cheap. Also a longer term problem may be arising because of excess Phosphorous. Maryland has strict Nutrient Management Laws including a Phosphorous Site Index, which may limit the amount of poultry litter to crop removal levels of Phosphorous. We have seen the %P become lower in the litter samples because of feeding lower P levels to the poultry and the addition of Phytase in the feed. Many growers use Allum to control the ammonia in a new flock and alum tends to tie up the phosphorous. If we can lower the P in the manure to 40lbs per ton, we can get back to the 2 ton rate of application and continue to produce corn very economically. Traditionally we have used $8.00 per ton of manure and in discussing it with farmers they can have manure delivered to their farm at $10.00 per ton and then an application fee of $5 per ton making a cost of $15.00 per ton of manure for the crop year 2007. Even with the additional cost in the manure, we can still produce corn at a very reasonable cost of production. 9