The Robert Smyth School Mathematics Faculty Topic 1 Probability Innovation & excellence Revision on Probability - grade C 1. Chloe records the number of goals scored by her favourite football team in each of 40 matches. Number of goals Frequency 0 7 1 15 2 13 3 2 4 2 5 1 (a) Chloe’s father watched one of these matches on TV. What is the probability that the team scored at least one goal in that match? ..................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................... Answer ......................................................................... (2) (b) Calculate the mean number of goals scored per match. ..................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................... Answer ......................................................................... (3) (Total 5 marks) 2. In a sixth form college there are 1000 students. 2 of the students are girls. 5 The probability that a girl chosen at random studies mathematics is 1 10 The probability that a boy chosen at random studies mathematics is 1 6 The Robert Smyth School 1 The Robert Smyth School Mathematics Faculty Topic 1 Probability Innovation & excellence Calculate how many students in the college study mathematics. ................................................................................................................................................ ................................................................................................................................................ ................................................................................................................................................ ................................................................................................................................................ ................................................................................................................................................ Answer ..................................................students (Total 4 marks) 3. Chandni wants to survey pupils in her school about their reading habits. (a) Write a question that would help Chandni to investigate how often pupils in her school read for pleasure. Include a response section. ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... (2) (b) There are 1000 pupils in Chandni’s school. Chandni samples 50 pupils at random and asks them to complete her survey. She finds that 16 of the pupils in the sample read comics. Estimate the number of pupils in the school who read comics. ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................... Answer ............................................................ (2) (Total 4 marks) The Robert Smyth School 2 The Robert Smyth School Mathematics Faculty Topic 1 Probability Innovation & excellence 4. A bag contains 12 blue and 8 green counters. More blue and green counters are added to the bag such that for every blue counter added, two green counters are added. 1 The probability that a counter taken at random is blue is now 2 How many blue and green counters were added to the bag? ............................................................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................................................... Answer ................... blue ................. green (Total 2 marks) 5. The probabilities of whether a student, picked at random from a school, is vegetarian or not are shown in this table. Vegetarian Non-vegetarian (a) Boys Girls 0.08 0.4 0.2 0.32 What is the probability that a student chosen at random from the school is vegetarian? ...............…………………………………………………………………………….. ...............…………………………………………………………………………….. ...............…………………………………………………………………………….. Answer ............................................ (1) (b) There are 320 girls in the school who are vegetarian. How many students are there in the school altogether? ...............…………………………………………………………………………….. ...............…………………………………………………………………………….. ...............…………………………………………………………………………….. Answer ................................ students (2) (Total 3 marks) The Robert Smyth School 3 The Robert Smyth School Mathematics Faculty Topic 1 Probability Innovation & excellence 6. Penny, Sam and Robert do this experiment on the same bag of 10 counters. 1. Take a counter from the bag at random. 2. Record its colour. 3. Put the counter back in the bag. Repeat this trial a number of times. Their results are shown in this table. Colour of counter Name of pupil Number of trials Black White Green Penny 10 0 6 4 Sam 40 3 16 21 Robert 200 22 76 102 Estimate the number of each different coloured counter in the bag. Clearly state the set of results that you use to make the estimate. Give a reason for your choice. .............................................................................................................................................. .............................................................................................................................................. .............................................................................................................................................. .............................................................................................................................................. .............................................................................................................................................. .............................................................................................................................................. .............................................................................................................................................. Set of results used ..................................................... Reason ................................................................................................................................. .............................................................................................................................................. Answer Black ......................., White ......................., Green …………………. (Total 4 marks) The Robert Smyth School 4 The Robert Smyth School Mathematics Faculty Topic 1 Probability Innovation & excellence 1. (a) 15 + 13 + 2 + 2 + 1 or 40 – 7 = (b) M1 33 40 A1 (0 × 7) + 1 × 15 + 2 × 13 + 3 × 2 + 4 × 2 + 5 × 1 Or (0) + 15 + 26 + 6 + 8 + 5 Attempt at fx or total 58 to 63 or 67 0 × 7 need not be included “60” 40 M1 M1 dep = 1.5 A1 Ans only of 1.675 SC1 [5] 2. 2 × 1000 or 400 (girls) 5 or M1 3 × 1000 or 600 (boys) 5 Alternative method 2 1 2 or 5 10 50 1 3 3 or or 6 5 30 1 × 400 or 40 girls 10 2 × 1000 or 40 girls 50 1 × 600 or 100 boys 6 3 × 1000 or 100 boys 30 140 students M1 M1 A1 [4] 3. (a) (b) Eg. How often do you read for pleasure? Time related and reading for a purpose B1 Response section eg. Daily (frequently) Every 2 or 3 days (often) Weekly (sometimes) About once a month (rarely) Never Choice of time categories only B1 16/50 × 1000 M1 The Robert Smyth School 5 The Robert Smyth School Mathematics Faculty Topic 1 Probability Innovation & excellence 320 A1 [4] 4. 4 blue and 8 green M1,A1 M1 for attempt to find a solution (e.g. T&I) A1 answer [2] 5. (a) 0.28 B1 Accept equivalent fractions or 28% (b) 320 0.2 M1 M1 for equating 320 with 0.2 = 1600 A1 [3] 6. Robert's results B1 or all results Largest number of trials ( 22 200 or 76 200 or 102 B1 200 ) × 10 M1 or (25/250 or 98/250 or 127/250) × 10 allow rounded values or black =1 or white = 4 or green = 5 or 1/10 and 4/10 and 5/10 black = 1, white = 4, green = 5 A1 [4] The Robert Smyth School 6