Title: Efficacy and Safety of Incretin Therapy in Type 2 Diabetes: systematic review and meta-analysis Authors: RE. Amori, JL. Lau, AG Pittas Source: JAMA. July 11, 2007, Vol. 298, No. 2: 194-206 Objective: To assess the efficacy and safety of incretin-based therapy in adults with type 2 diabetes. Data sources and selection: Articles were searched from MEDLINE and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for English-language randomized controlled trials involving GLP-1 or DDP4 inhibitor. The search was also including abstracts presented at recent conference, relevant Websites, reference lists and citations. Out of 355 potential articles, 29 articles were met selected criteria. Inclusion criteria: 1) Randomized controlled trials 2) At least 12 weeks in duration 3) Compared incretin therapy with placebo or other diabetes medication 4) With HbA1c outcomes Exclusion criteria: Trial duration less than 12 weeks (inadequate assessment of change in glycemic efficacy) Data extraction: Efficacy Primary outcome is the difference in HbA1c change from baseline. Secondary outcomes are difference in fasting plasma glucose and the proportion of participants reaching HbA1c < 7%. Safety Numbers of participants reporting hypoglycemia; all adverse events Other data were also extracted when available: change in body weight, postprandial glycemia, lipid profile, level of circulating antibodies to incretin analogue. Data analysis: Continuous variables (Hba1c, fasting plasma glucose, weight) calculate weighted mean differences and 95% CIs for change from baseline in incretin vs placebo or hypoglycemic agent Dichotomous variables (percentages achieving HbA1c < 7% and percentages with hypoglycemia and adverse events) calculate the risk ratios and 95% CIs for change from baseline in incretin vs placebo or hypoglycemic agent For meta-analysis use random-effects model weights studies; use the I2 statistic to quantify the degree of heterogeneity among trials Results: Primary outcomes (see figure2. and 3.): GLP-1 Analogues: Compared to placebo showed statistically significant difference in HbA1c decline, weighted mean defference –0.97% (95CIs, -1.13% to -0.81%). There was no difference in HbA1c between exenatide vs insulin. DDP4 inhibitors: Compared to placebo showed difference in HbA1c decline, weighted mean difference –0.74% (95% CIs, -0.85% to -0.62%). There were slightly less effective when DDP4 inhibitors were compared with other hypoglycemic agents (weighted mean difference, 0.21%, 95CIs, 0.02% - 0.39%) Secondary outcomes summary (details see table 2. and 3. in the article): GLP-1 resulted in weight loss, -1.4 kg and -4.8 kg vs placebo and insulin. DDP4 inhibitors were weight neutral. More GI side effects were reported in GLP-1, risk ratio 2.9 (95CIs, 2.0 - 4.2) for nausea; 3.2 (95CIs, 2.5 - 4.4) for vomiting. DDP4 inhibitors had an increased risk of infection and headache, risk ratio 1.2 (95CIs, 1.0 – 1.4) for nasopharyngitis, 1.5 (95CIs, 1.0 - 2.2) for UTI and 1.4 (95CIs, 1.1 - 1.7) for headache. Conclusions: Incretin-based therapy with GLP-1 analogues or DDP4 inhibitors is moderately effective in improving glycemia in adults with type II diabetes. Incretin therapy decreased both fasting and postprandial glycemia but more declined on postprandial and the effect is dose-dependent. GLP-1 has favorable effect on weight; DDP4 has neutral effect on weight. The low risk of hypoglycemia in incretin therapy offers an advantage over other therapies. The most common adverse effects with GLP-1 were nausea and vomiting (possibly due to the inhibition of gastric emptying). This study also found DDP4 inhibitors may increase risk of infection, such as urinary tract infection and nasopharygitis. (questionable long-term effects on immune function) Limitations: The longest study duration is 30 weeks in only 3 studies. Therefore, long-term efficacy and safety of incretin therapy were not able to assess. All selected trials were included predominantly white participants. Therefore, differential effects of incretin-based therapy by race or ethnicity could not be assessed. The glycemic efficacy maybe overestimated due to high dropout rate (~20% ) and use of all treated patients analysis instead of intention-to-treat analysis. Clinical impact: Incretin therapy offers a new alternative option for treating adults with type 2 diabetes; especially for those are at risk of hypoglycemic events and in need of weight loss. Insufficient data of effects on pancreas. Questions on GLP-1 expanding pancreatic B-cell mass and proliferating B-cells. The are case reports of pancreatitis caused by exenatide. Will need post-surveillance study to assess the effects of long-term use DDP4 inhibitors on immune system. Reference: RE. Amori, JL. Lau, AG Pittas. Efficacy and safety of incretin therapy in type 2 diabetes: systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA. 2007; 298(2): 194-206. Sten Madsbad. Treatment of type 2 diabetes with incretin-based therapies. The Lancet online published. 2008, 6736(08): 61246-5 Figure 2. Weighted Mean Difference in Change in Hemoglobin A1c Percentage Value for GLP-1 Analogues vs Control in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes Figure 3. Weighted Mean Difference in Change in Hemoglobin A1c Percentage Value for DPP4 Inhibitors vs Control in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes. The I 2 statistic describes the percentage of total variation across studies that is due to heterogeneity rather than chance. CI indicates confidence interval; DPP4, dipeptidyl peptidase 4.