WorkCoverSA Work-related back pain study: measuring biopsychosocial risk factors Discussion paper July 2012 Authors: Radek Stratil, Clinical Psychology Consultant & Margaret Swincer, Manager, Research Disclaimer Free information support services are available for: TTY (deaf or have hearing/speech impairments) call (08) 8233 2574. Languages other than English call the Interpreting and Translating Centre (08) 8226 1990 and ask for an interpreter to call WorkCoverSA on 13 18 55. Braille, audio, or e-text call 13 18 55. The information in this publication is compiled by WorkCover Corporation of South Australia. The data and facts referred to are correct at the time of publishing and provided as general information only. It is not intended that any opinion as to the meaning of legislation referred to is to be relied upon by readers who should seek independent advice as to any specific issues relevant to you, your workplace or organisation. This publication is not intended as a substitute for the requirements of the Workers Rehabilitation and Compensation Act 1986 or the Occupational Health Safety and Welfare Act 1986. © WorkCover Corporation of South Australia, 2010, published [insert month] 2010. © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 2 Contents Executive summary ...............................................................................................................................................4 Background ............................................................................................................................................................8 Aim of study .............................................................................................................................................................8 The biopsychosocial model .....................................................................................................................................8 Risk assessment ..............................................................................................................................................9 The flags model ................................................................................................................................................9 Psychosocial study outline ............................................................................................................................... 11 Methodology ......................................................................................................................................................... 11 Participants .................................................................................................................................................... 11 Assessment ................................................................................................................................................... 11 Worker supplied information .......................................................................................................................... 12 Clinician supplied information ........................................................................................................................ 13 WorkCover database information .................................................................................................................. 13 Results ................................................................................................................................................................. 13 Demographic data on participants and non-participants ...................................................................................... 13 Patterns of recovery ...................................................................................................................................... 13 Accuracy of comprehensive assessment tools..................................................................................................... 15 Discussion ........................................................................................................................................................... 18 Who should do the assessment and when? ......................................................................................................... 19 Which psychometric instruments to use? ............................................................................................................. 20 Brief screening instrument: applicability of Orëbro ........................................................................................ 22 Guidance on potential risks and potential interventions ................................................................................ 22 Conclusion and recommendations ....................................................................................................................... 24 Appendix A Psychosocial studies conducted in WorkCoverSA ........................................................................... 25 Appendix B Examples of key conceptual models representing the domains of psychosocial risk. ..................... 27 Appendix C Screening principles .......................................................................................................................... 28 Appendix D Psychometric instruments used and key domains measured .......................................................... 29 Appendix E Who is in the study? .......................................................................................................................... 30 Bibliography ........................................................................................................................................................ 31 © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 3 Executive summary This report presents the rationale for and findings from a multistage, prospective and longitudinal study of backinjured workers which investigated the risk factors present at acute stages of injury affecting disability, recovery, return to work outcomes and claim costs. The study also obtained information on the frequency and type of medical treatment, claims management and workplace rehabilitation. Provided are recommendations to improve screening for and management of key risk issues in back-related work injuries. Aim of study The objective of this study was to improve the early identification of specific psychosocial risk factors that could be targeted by evidence-based medical and vocational management. The current study extends and broadens the findings of a 1999-2002 WorkCover study that demonstrated the validity of early risk screening using the Orëbro low-back questionnaire (Linton and Hallden 1998) at acute stages of a work-related back injury to detect general risks of long term disability. Study design Unique features of the current study include peer reviewed prospective design, use of ‘gold standard’ screening and comprehensive psychosocial risk assessment tools with injured workers beginning at an acute stage of injury with periodic follow-up assessment (3, 6, 12 and 24 months post injury), and enhanced by the integration of multiple data sources on risk issues impacting on health, work and compensation outcomes. The participants were over five hundred injured workers of employers registered with WorkCover SA, recruited at the acute stages of back related work injury. The participation rate was high; fifty percent completed risk assessment tools and follow-up questionnaires. The instruments used were those recommended by international and Australian expert panels for use to assess major domains of risk and outcomes of pain related injuries, selected for practical applicability, and being in use by health clinicians in South Australia. Key to the study was the comparison of the effectiveness between multiple measures of risk, disability and treatment progress against outcomes relevant to the local compensation environment. The psychometric risk information was cross-linked with the WorkCover database information and also with the medical information provided by the workers’ treating general practitioners and physiotherapists regarding the worker’s capacity, health status and treatment. The study also used qualitative information provided by workers to provide additional data on disability, treatment and rehabilitation outcomes. As the follow-up was conducted with all participants for two years post-injury, irrespective of subsequent compensation status, this study has for the first time in Australia provided accurate information on injured workers’ long term vocational, health, and functional outcomes and information on re-injury rates. Furthermore the integrated individual and treatment data collected in this study provides a useful and comprehensive baseline of current treatment, management strategies and long term health and vocational outcomes useful to measure the impact of new strategies targeting outcomes. Key messages General study findings The tools used in the study identified a small number of discrete risk factors present at acute stages of injury which accurately identified two thirds of the ten percent of injured workers who subsequently developed a chronic pain related work disability. Those identified as ‘at risk’ had risk scores on the psychosocial assessment tools at levels equivalent to scores reported in chronic pain patients seeking treatment and these scores decreased only marginally with time. Those at ‘low risk’ had significantly lower risk scores which rapidly decreased within two months post-injury. This finding supports the view that psychological factors are present © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 4 early (Dunn 2010) and reinforce the need to identify those at risk early and act to address these issues as recommended in relevant guidelines. By contrast, the study found that the reported treatment by doctors and physiotherapists participating in the study changed marginally since the 2002 WorkCover study with lower rates of ‘passive’ forms of treatment in line with evidence based guides, however the participating clinicians when asked to assess the psychosocial risk in their patients were unable to correctly identify more than 5% of those with ‘non-organic’ presentation at subacute stages of injury and only 13% accurately identified “moderate risk of chronic pain”. Thus these study findings suggested that clinical judgment if used alone at early stages to inform medical treatment will need to be better informed by the significantly more accurate psychosocial assessment provided by the tools validated in this study. This is important as a more specific management is recommended in the relevant guidelines (National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia) 1999) for managing those “at risk”. Specific study findings The psychosocial tools used identified at acute stages of injury six key and overlapping dimensions of psychosocial risk that accurately predicted compensation and return to work outcomes. These included: 1. high pain intensity and quality 2. high perceived disability which was impacting on most home, work, recreational and social activities 3. excessive pain focus and fear of aggravating pain through normal daily activity 4. beliefs about having a negative future prognosis and belief that work activities were unsafe 5. poor pain related self-efficacy, poor belief in own self-management of pain 6. prominent psychological distress including anxiety and depressive symptoms which further adversely affected their ability to cope. The perception of the workplace supervisor as being non-supportive added to the risk in a sub-group of injured workers. Most of the identified risk issues are potentially modifiable and this paper proposes interventions to address these risks at the acute and subacute stages of compensable work injury. Follow-up assessment with relevant tools found changing patterns of psychosocial risk during transition to recovery or chronic disability. As shown Figure 1, the proportion of workers not fully cleared for work decreased rapidly to eight weeks then tapered off from 26 to 52 weeks reinforcing the opportunity for early intervention to maximise positive outcomes. However the medical, physiotherapy treatment pattern did not change over time to address risk issues as recommended in evidence guides. For example, as shown in Figure 1, physiotherapists who provide up to 80% of treatments provided this at a relatively constant rate for all workers irrespective of risk status and outcome. Vocational rehabilitation involvement increased gradually from 30% at 8 weeks post injury to over 80% by the end of first year. By contrast, psychology practitioners were not significantly involved within twelve months of injury. Given the evidence obtained in this study that psychosocial assessment can identify risk issues which do not appear to be noted by the clinicians involved highlights the need to develop strategies that help inform these practitioners and provide a better model of care as outlined in the recommendations. Recommendations This paper proposes an intervention strategy using early risk assessment tools to assist and inform clinical judgement to significantly improve compensation outcomes. Figure 2 summarises the proposed process, tools and procedures to be used during the three phases of injury from acute to chronic to improve screening and management of key risk factors by clinicians. Two intervention strategies proposed are: 1) Encourage risk screening by doctors and physiotherapists at early stages of injury to improve the current injury management model. 2) Develop risk screening involving a two-stage process to help identify subgroups needing specific interventions. Such interventions may involve specifically trained psychologists and other clinicians to provide targeted brief interventions focussing on key factors amenable to clinical intervention. See Figure 2 for a summary with details discussed within this report. © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 5 Figure 1. Key activities at various stages after injury Recovery rates of back injured workers 70 and servicing patterns at each phase Percentage not fully fit on medical certificate 60 50 40 30 20 10 Claim lodged for recent soft tissue injury © WorkCoverSA, 20 4 to 8 weeks üMore medical provided üMore physical therapy üLittle voc rehab 0 to 4 weeks üLittle psychology ü1st medical visits üPhysical therapy starts 12 to 26 weeks üMore medical provided 8 to 12 weeks üMore physical therapy üMore medical provided on more then 80% of üMore physical therapy claims ü 1/3 of workers have üVoc rehab on up to voc rehab at 8 wks, 82% of claims 2/3 by 12 wks üLittle psychology üLittle psychology 52 weeks plus üMore medical provided 26 to 52 weeks üPhysical therapy on üMore medical provided 90% of claims üMore physical therapy üVoc rehab on more provided than 80% of claims üVoc rehab on more üPsychology on 42% of than 80% of claims claims üPsychology on 14% of claims 0 at 4 wks or more at 8 wks or more at 12 wks or more Acute phase at 52 wks or more at 26 wks or more Sub-acute phase Chronic phase Page 6 Figure 2. Screening for psychosocial issues Who screens whom, when and for what? How to and who should intervene? Risk assessments Acute phase Use brief screeners like Orebro and pain intensity used by GP at 2nd visit for these high risk factors (i) function (ii) global prediction of RTW (iii) fear/avoidance behaviour (iv) serious re-injury fears Intervention type Early intervention Reassurance by GP and physio on: üpain üseverity of injury © WorkCoverSA, 20 Sub-acute phase Chronic phase Two tiered screening (i) Brief screener with GP for high level risks then (ii) comprehensive assessment to identify key psychosocial issues by psychologist include Pain Disability Index, Pain Self-efficacy Q’re, K-10 Comprehensive screening plus clinical input Using Pain Disability Index, Pain Self-efficacy Q’re Pain Catastrophising Scale, Depression Anxiety Stress Scale Cognitive behaviour techniques to avoid chronic pain syndrome addressing ü fear/avoidance behaviour at work ü high pain focus ü distress Multi disciplinary team (or virtual team of experienced clinicians) General practitioner/occupational physician Psychologist Occupational therapist Workplace rehabilitation provider or rehabilitation RTW coordinator Cognitive behaviour techniques to counter ü distress, depression, anxiety ü self perceived disability ü pain management techniques Pain management techniques via ü physical exercise regime ü coaching/motivational techniques Page 7 Background This section describes the rationale for and the outcomes of the longitudinal psychosocial risk assessment study (also known as Back Pain Study) of over five hundred injured workers. The study aimed to provide high quality practical information to improve early management of back-related injuries in the South Australian workers’ compensation scheme. The study involved the early assessment of key psychosocial, health, disability and work related issues with periodic follow up at 3, 6, 12, 24 months post injury. Aim of study The range of goals of this multistage longitudinal study included: Identify key psychosocial risk drivers of chronicity that are potentially modifiable to early management. Extend and improve the current risk assessment beyond the actuarial data analysis by integrating this information with relevant psychosocial information. Develop a practical and testable model of risk assessment and intervention applicable to individuals; expand on the findings from an earlier WorkCover study conducted in 1999-2002 which demonstrated the accuracy of using a brief early screening tool recommended as a part of the NZ ACCC ‘Yellow flags’ project (Kendall 1999). Develop more comprehensive measures of baseline risk indicators, to help identify subgroups requiring specific targeted treatment and management. Evaluate the nature and relevance of current treatment and management strategies to improving injured workers’ long term health and vocational outcomes, integrate this with information in the WorkCover database to help develop more effective and targeted management specific to relevant subgroups of injured workers. Provide a more comprehensive and accurate integrated baseline to better measure the impact of new strategies on long term health and vocational outcomes of injured workers and their employers. The biopsychosocial model It has been recognised for some time that long-term musculoskeletal, sprain and strain injury claims involve a complex interaction of biomedical, psychosocial and legal factors and increasingly the clinical and applied research evidence indicated that psychosocial and compensation issues are as important as medical factors in determining recovery from work-related musculoskeletal injuries (Burton, Tillotson et al. 1995; Turk and Okifuji 2002; Linton, Gross et al. 2005). The biopsychosocial nature of disability was recognised by the Australian government together with 200 other nations in the internationally agreed WHO International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF) (Kuijer, Brouwer et al. 2006) now being adapted for use in conceptualizing pain related disability (Lakke, Soer et al. 2009; Roe, Sveen et al. 2009). Despite considerable advances in this area many gaps exist, particularly in applying this information to the specifics of the compensation environment and in changing health provider behaviour. Early screening has now been shown to be effective in identifying a ‘general risk of future disability’ and a large number of screening tools have been validated (Linton and K 1996; Shaw, Pransky et al. 2005; Hill, Dunn et al. 2010; Linton, Nicholas et al. 2011) including those validated within the WorkCover Psychosocial Indicators of Chronicity Study (PICS) project 1999-2002. Page 8 However, these brief screeners are not intended to identify specific risk issues or to select people into subgroups based on shared risk. Having a general risk score therefore does not enable targeted treatment by primary health clinicians or rehabilitation or help workplace management (Dunn and Croft 2005; Foster, Hill et al. 2011). Furthermore studies have identified a large number of potential ‘psychosocial’ factors comprising ’risk’, however, these differ with the nature of the compensation scheme, work environment, country or stages of the disability; few studies are directly relevant to workplace-based rehabilitation and recovery. Some of the identified factors appear to contribute to disability, others appear as consequences (sequelae), others appear to be associated in more complex ways with the development of long-term chronic compensation claims (Gatchel, Peng et al. 2007). The nature and interaction of some of these risk factors can change during the transition from acute to chronic stages but only a few factors have been consistently shown to be amenable to intervention as shown in the flags project, making it difficult to develop effective treatment and management strategies. Only a few studies such as (Linton 2001; Boersma and Linton 2005), have used a prospective design or were conducted in the compensation arena but even these were not directly applicable to South Australian scheme (Schultz, Crook et al. 2005; Nicholas 2010). The strategies to-date mainly addressed the education of workers, treatment providers and employers. A key focus was placed on provider education and guidelines to help improve medical and physiotherapy clinicians’ assessment and management of psychosocial issues (National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia) 1999). Other strategies attempted to prevent chronic outcomes by positively influencing beliefs held by the general public (including clinicians) about pain and early return-to-function through mass education campaigns such as by the Victorian WorkCover Authority in 2005 (Buchbinder 2008). Despite these strategies, the long term impact on provider behaviour and on disability rates has been seen as minimal at the level of the individual (Foster, Dziedzic et al. 2009). Many compensation schemes including WorkCover have also attempted to provide specific education and guidelines for health providers (TREAT and other projects). Risk assessment Actuarial and clinical models Two key risk-screening approaches used in the past were the actuarial/administrative approach, and clinical judgment approach (Waddell, Burton et al. 2003). While many compensation schemes use actuarial risk and outcome assessment tools, most have limited application to the risk assessment and management outcomes of specific individuals or groups of individuals, leaving the clinicians to identify and manage. However, risk assessment done by medical and rehabilitation professionals has not been shown to follow available guidelines as it is an unreliable process subject to many potential biases (Main, Foster et al. 2010). The flags model One of the earliest and the most influential models of risk assessment and management was the ‘Flags’ model of biopsychosocial risk assessment developed in 1997 as a part of the NZ ACCC Guides project (ACCC) then extended by an international working group of researchers in 2007 and 2010 (‘Decade of the Flags’) to form a consensus classification using different ‘flags’ to denote various risk domains.(Shaw, van der Windt et al. 2009). Different representations are shown in Appendix B and illustrated in Figure 3. Page 9 Figure 3 Representation of key psychosocial factors incorporating the ‘flags’ concept Individual issues - ‘Yellow’ and ‘Orange’ flags Perception of workplace - ‘Blue’ flags’ Coping skills Severity of disorder, recurrence, symptoms Mood and emotion Clinical history, comorbidity Thoughts and beliefs Behaviour and activity Quality of workplace contact Availability of suitable duties Job satisfaction, co-worker support Management support, culture Supervisor involvement, belief that work tasks are harmful. Belief that worker will not RTW Health care system - treatment issues Systemic issues - ‘black’ flags Delays in treatment Non-evidence based treatment Contradictory treatments Uncoordinated treatment Focus exclusively on physical injury Lack of specialised training in pain-related arenas Compensation and variable legislative requirements Financial and legal Social issues Financial support, dispute - hardship Legal issues, proof, claim validity Reluctance to accept validity of psychosocial issues *Red flags were used to indicate the rare physical conditions requiring immediate attention are not shown here. The ‘flags’ concepts illustrated in Figure 3 emphasise that risk assessment may need to take into account the interaction of many issues, some are beyond an individual. For example, the systemic issues where workers may not be used to dealing with large bureaucracies, paperwork and professional groups such as doctors and lawyers (Schultz, Crook et al. 2000; Loisel, Durand et al. 2003). Other similar conceptual models include those of Loisel (Loisel, Buchbinder et al. 2005; Loisel, Hong et al. 2009) (also shown on Appendix B). While the ‘flags’ models have been used as aids to management (Kendall, Burton et al. 2009), a need exists to develop structured and practical risk-screening and management procedures to change provider behaviour to target relevant issues. Therefore, despite the acceptance of the biopsychosocial models of disability and considerable and expensive education strategies undertaken worldwide, very little of the increasing knowledge about workrelated disability prevention has been effectively translated to modify actual health provider behaviour, to improve the effectiveness of workplace rehabilitation management or to an improvement in disability rates (Shaw, van der Windt et al. 2009; Main, Foster et al. 2010). Page 10 Psychosocial study outline The current psychosocial study proposed to develop a specific assessment and intervention strategy that combines accurate and cost effective risk-screening assessment that could be linked to targeted treatment and rehabilitation management by appropriately informed and trained providers. Similar strategies are now under-way overseas (Hill, Dunn et al. 2008; Schultz, Crook et al. 2008), however, none are directly relevant to the SA Scheme. The current study was therefore undertaken to help address this gap and to be able to integrate with actuarial and individual/clinical data. Furthermore, this study was also intended to provide an accurate baseline for measuring outcomes and the impact of other strategies at both individual, group and scheme level (for the first time in Australia). The principles of screening are discussed in Appendix C. Methodology The study was designed in 2005 as a prospective cohort study following an extensive review of 1200 studies on early risk-assessment and intervention. The design was approved by the University of South Australia (UniSA) Ethics Committee with oversight and assistance from key Australian and international clinicians and researchers in this field including A/Professor Michael Nicholas. The prospective study has been conducted under the WorkCover research agenda in cooperation with UniSA from 2006 to 2010. Participants Injured workers fitting the study criteria were identified via the WorkCoverSA database at two weeks postinjury and were invited to participate in the study. Each participant was asked to complete psychosocial riskscreening questionnaires at each stage of injury. Over 600 injured workers agreed to join the study from among the 1300 injured workers approached. The main selection criteria were: no work-related compensation claim in the previous year; a primary injury to the back; and not fully cleared to return-to-work. In addition, the study tracked the database outcomes of the comparison group of 700 workers who were eligible and fit the study criteria but did not participate. Information sources The information from the mailed questionnaires was matched to additional data sources including from the workers’ treating clinicians and the WorkCover claims management database on services by providers of healthcare, rehabilitation and diagnostic services and chemists prescriptions. The worker’s treating medical and physiotherapy clinicians (with permission from their patient) were asked to independently outline their clinical management and provide a risk-assessment. Assessment Outcomes assessed included database information on return-to-work, the extent and duration of income maintenance and disability ratings and written qualitative information provided by the worker at 6, 12 and 24 months after injury. The study used key proven risk, health and return-to-work measures in domains relevant to the biopsychosocial model of injury. Assessment data was collected in the acute injury phase (2-8 weeks) with individual assessment data provided by workers at 3, 6, 12, 24 months post-injury. Weekly data on individual outcomes and treatment was obtained from WorkCover database. Page 11 Worker supplied information Workers supplied quantitative and qualitative data collected directly via mailed self-report questionnaires and included short screening instruments and comprehensive measures covering disability, function, distress, fear-avoidance, self-efficacy, and perceptions of the work environment. The comprehensive psychometric measures included ‘gold standard’ instruments recommended by key practitioners in the field (Deyo, Battie et al. 1998; Dworkin, Turk et al. 2005; Turk, Dworkin et al. 2008). Instruments included measures of work-related issues such as the perception of the workers that workplace accommodation was available and that supervisors and co-workers were supportive of the rehabilitation process. These measures are now seen as major risk issues during rehabilitation as highlighted in recent evidence-based guidelines (Shaw, Pransky et al. 2005; Shaw, van der Windt et al. 2009). System-based issues described as ‘black’ flags are also seen as potential risks by the ‘Flags’ group of researchers (Kendall, Burton et al. 2009). Table 1 lists the key screening and comprehensive measures used. The workers also provided information on long-term outcomes including durable RTW, absenteeism and presenteeism1 rates and qualitative assessment information on satisfaction with care, long-term impact of injury and quality of life. Table 1 Key psychometric instruments used to measure psychosocial risk factors Screening type Risk domain of individual Instrument Brief screeners Pain intensity Numerical rating score out of 10 Pain quality Single scale question Durable RTW Single scale question Brief screeners Orëbro (Linton and Hallden 1998) Occupational screening questionnaire (Shaw, Pransky et al. 2005); Beliefs about return to work and function (Dunn and Croft 2005; Hill, Dunn et al. 2008) and possible system issues (black flags) Perceptions of workplace support (blue flags) (Shaw, Pransky et al. 2005; Shaw, van der Windt et al. 2009) Comprehensive instruments Function Pain Disability Index (PDI Oswestry Disability Index (Oswestry) ) (Gronblad, Jarvinen et al. 1994; Fairbank and Pynsent 2000) Fear-avoidance beliefs and pain catastrophising Pain Catastrophising Scale (PCS) (Sullivan, SR et al. 1995) Confidence about coping with pain Pain Self Efficacy Questionnaire (PSEQ)(Asghari and Nicholas 2001) Emotional distress Depression Anxiety and Stress Scale (DASS) (Lovibond and Lovibond Tampa Scale of Kinesiophobia (Tampa) (Kori, Miller et al. 1990) Fear of work activities from the Fear Avoidance Beliefs Questionnaire (FABQ) (Waddell, Newton et al. 1993) 1995) Kesslers or K10 (measures psychological distress)(Furukawa, Kessler et al. 2003) Positive and Negative Affective Scales (PANAS provides a measure of depression and anxiety traits)(Watson, Clark et al. 1988) 1 at work with diminished capacity Page 12 Appendix D details the particular risk domains covered by the brief screening instruments and more comprehensive measures. Clinician supplied information Treating general practitioners and physiotherapists completed mailed questionnaires (based on the 2005 Shaw, Pransky et al format) providing relevant biomedical information on the injury, incapacity, treatment regime and the clinician’s predictions of outcome and an assessment of worker’s level of depression. WorkCover database information Quantitative and qualitative data from the WorkCover database were used including income maintenance (or discontinuance), treatment patterns, medications used, scans and rehabilitation outcome data. Information included other qualitative data regarding the claim. That information is not reported on in detail here. Results Demographic data on participants and non-participants The 550 study participants broadly represent the age and gender distribution of the South Australian working population. Sixty-eight percent of the participants were male which aligns to the demographics of other musculoskeletal injury types. Additional de-identified data was also obtained from the WorkCover database regarding the characteristics of the 600 injured workers with back injuries who did not complete the questionnaires. This analysis was done to assess the potential differences between the two groups to indicate potential bias. The general recommendations for studies are to have a participation rate of 60-80%. However the participation rate in this study is very high for this population. Previous brief mailed surveys as a part of WorkCover reviews had much lower participation rates. Furthermore the information required was sought at acute stages of injury where a majority of people were recovering and as indicated in the telephone follow-up many of the non-participants felt that as they had “recovered” and did not need to participate. Furthermore given that the questionnaire had over 100 questions the rate of 50% was deemed as extremely good. None the less the analysis comparing demographics, return to work, medical intervention and injury recurrence rates did not indicate significant difference. Key differences were female gender and older ages marginally were more likely to participate and workers who at the time of being approached had fully returned to work were less likely to participate. Importantly the educational data obtained from the participants closely fitted the distribution of educational qualifications in the general employed population, reducing the possibility of bias based on this criterion. See Appendix E for more information on demographics of the study sample. Patterns of recovery The recovery trend (Figure 1) shows that at four weeks after claim lodgement, two-thirds of the workers were still not fully recovered. The medical certificate data shows the workers were not fit for their pre-injury job by being either unfit or fit for alternative duties. The trend then shows a significant increase in return-to-work whereby at three months the proportion not fully recovered has almost halved to be 35 per cent. The rate of return-to-work then decreases, by six months 25 per cent are still not recovered, reducing to 16 percent by 12 months. Page 13 Treatment patterns The outcome data shows that most workers return to work within three months of injury (Figure 1). Claims management data (Figure 4) on these back-injured workers shows that physiotherapists provide up to 80% of treatments from early stages; similar treatment frequency is maintained for all workers irrespective of risk status and outcome. Vocational rehabilitation which is seen as critical to early management increased gradually from 30% at 8 weeks post-injury to over 80% by the end of first year. Psychology practitioners were not significantly involved within six to twelve months of injury. Information from the clinicians and WorkCover database shows that there has been a small reduction since 2002 in the use of the more passive forms of treatment as recommended by evidence based guides, however the treatment pattern continues to have a biomedical focus as illustrated by the frequency of physiotherapist services and by the number of scans that occur at acute stages of injury. Similar trends have been reported in recent studies where the frequency of physiotherapy intervention did not decrease in lowrisk groups (Foster 2011). Figure 4 Servicing patterns for workers certified as not fully fit at various intervals Services to workers with back injuries not fully cleared for work 100.0 89.9 90.0 80.0 84.6 82.4 80.1 77.5 67.4 70.0 Percentage (%) 92.2 89.8 57.0 60.0 50.0 50.0 43.0 40.0 42.2 41.2 37.2 36.7 34.7 32.6 30.0 26.2 22.5 23.3 20.0 13.6 10.0 6.7 0.2 3.6 1.0 0.0 Not fully fit 1 month Not fully fit 2 months Not fully fit 3 months Not fully fit 6 months Not fully fit 12 months services at different times of claim % receiving allied health % chemist prescript % scans-xray/MRI/CT % Voc rehab % psychology Findings on accuracy of early clinical assessment: During the acute/subacute phase of the injury, information was sought from the worker’s treating medical practitioner who provided an assessment on: the worker’s functional limitations and pain treatment and referrals Page 14 potential co-morbidities prediction of return to work outcomes how much the worker is depressed. Table 2 summarises the results from the clinicians. Table 2 Summary of clinical assessment data from treating practitioners Information sought from treating doctor Results Comment Previous episodes 40% reported knowing about a previous episode 60% didn’t notice or reported no previous episode Knowledge was quite variable and lacked consistency This may possibly indicate: a lack of knowledge lack of interest, or insufficient time to pursue the worker’s relevant medical history Prediction of RTW 13% reported high risk of chronic pain however equal number incorrectly identified risk Predicting a high proportion of chronicity which is less than actual level Other conditions impacting on RTW 20% reported other conditions Most common conditions were: (i) other injuries e.g shoulder, neck (ii) mental disorder (iii) general musculoskeletal problem (iv) co-morbidities such as obesity (v) pregnancy Treatment and investigations Nearly 60% prescribed rest 75% referred to physiotherapy More than one third requested x-rays and other imaging investigations Passive treatment such as rest does not accord with the WCSA Back Guidelines The WCSA Imaging Guidelines do not recommend x-rays etc at this stage Participating clinicians when asked to assess the psychosocial risk in their patients were unable to correctly identify more than 5% of those with a ’non-organic’ presentation at the subacute stages of injury and only 13% accurately identified a ’moderate risk of chronic pain’ with equal numbers incorrectly identifying as high risk those that did not continue to become chronic. Thus these study findings suggest that clinical judgment if used alone to inform medical treatment will need to be better informed by the significantly more accurate psychosocial assessment provided by the tools validated in this study. This is important as a more specific management is recommended in the relevant guidelines (National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia) 1999) for managing those ‘at risk’. Accuracy of comprehensive assessment tools The validity of the brief screening tools has been previously demonstrated in the PICS study (described in Appendix A). Therefore, the main object of this study focussed on data from the comprehensive assessment tools to measure the accuracy of these tools and their effectiveness in helping to identify specific risk issues. Data analysis has identified a small number of discrete risk factors present at acute stages of injury which accurately identified two thirds of the ten percent of injured workers who subsequently developed chronic pain related work disability. The scores on the comprehensive assessment tools in each risk domain differentiated between injured workers with chronic outcomes as defined by ‘any income maintenance paid beyond 12 months post-injury’ from those that had ‘ceased income maintenance before three months post-injury’. Page 15 The six risk categories were as follows: 1. high pain intensity and quality 2. high perceived disability which was impacting on most home, work, recreational and social activities 3. excessive pain focus and fear of aggravating pain through normal daily activity 4. beliefs about having a negative future prognosis and belief that work activities were unsafe 5. poor pain related self-efficacy, poor belief in own self-management of pain 6. prominent psychological distress including anxiety and depressive symptoms which further adversely affected their ability to cope. The relevant instruments in each risk category accurately predicted compensation and return-to-work outcomes at acute stages of injury as shown in Table 3. The scores for the group with ‘no income maintenance at any stage’ (not shown in the Table 3) have lower scores that the two groups shown. This additional group is likely to represent the background levels of pain, disability and recurrence in the community as those claimants had only a minor exposure to the compensation environment. Table 3 shows that workers with chronic outcomes have significantly higher risk scores at acute stages except the PSEQ where a reduction in scores also indicates poor self-efficacy. Figure 5 provides graphical comparison of the trends for the disability scores observed between workers who have chronic outcomes to those that do not. Further comparison to data from studies of chronic pain patients indicates that the ‘at risk’ workers in the current study had as a group, risk scores on the psychosocial assessment tools at levels equivalent to scores reported in chronic pain patients seeking treatment (Nicholas, Asghari et al. 2008). These scores decreased marginally over two months post-injury gradually increasing with ongoing disability between one to two years post-injury. By contrast, those workers who did not follow a chronic trajectory, while having elevated scores on relevant instruments, these were significantly below the scores obtained by those workers with chronic outcomes. Furthermore the scores of those not at risk decreased more steeply than those identified as ‘at risk’. Table 3 Scores from groups with: (i) no income after 14 weeks, (ii) income for more than 12 months on the key psychometric instruments Tests 1. Income maintenance status Initial Subsequent 6 months 12 months <15 weeks 4.6 2.3 1.4 2.0 >12mths 6.5 5.6 5.2 5.9 Perceived disability (PDI) <15 weeks 27.3 15.3 11.9 8.6 >12mths 43.8 38.8 37 38 Pain focussing (PCS) <15 weeks 17.9 15.2 14.2 10.3 >12mths 24.7 23.8 21.7 21.3 Beliefs about work, prognosis (FABQ_W) <15 weeks 20.2 17.7 N.A. N.A. >12mths 25.4 26.8 N.A. N.A. Poor self-efficacy (PSEQ) <15 weeks 41.6 46.6 45.7 47.1 >12mths 22.1 26.8 21.9 23.8 Distress DASS-S <15 weeks 12.4 9.3 7.8 8.3 >12mths 19.9 19.3 20.1 19.8 Pain - (Numerical Rating Score) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Note PSEQ is reverse scored – higher the score, better coping skills, lower the score, poorer the self-efficacy Page 16 Figure 5 Disability scores at various stages after injury for different cohorts Pain Disability Index 50 40 30 20 10 IM >12 mths all claims no IM 0 initial subsequent after 6 months after 12 months claim duration This finding supports the view that psychological factors are present early and continue over time (Dunn 2010) reinforcing the need to identify those at risk early and act to address these issues as recommended in relevant guidelines. Most of these risk categories include issues which can be managed if identified early and practitioners are provided with relevant information and management tools. Page 17 Discussion The objective of this study was to improve the early identification of specific psychosocial risk factors that could be targeted by evidence-based medical and vocational management. Psychometric and other data were used to identify relevant risk domains and evaluate the accuracy of the current clinical risk identification in informing clinical practice. To date, very few relevant studies have been conducted in the Australian workers’ compensation context. The study extended the findings of a 2001 WorkCover PICS study that demonstrated the validity of early risk-screening using the Orëbro low-back questionnaire (Linton and Hallden 1998) at acute stages of a workrelated back injury to detect general risks of long term disability. The current study found strong evidence for the accuracy of early risk-assessment which identified two thirds of the ten percent of injured workers who subsequently developed a chronic pain-related work disability. The comprehensive instruments used were able to accurately measure six related but separate domains of risk which included: high pain intensity; perceived disability; pain focus and avoidance of feared activities of daily living; beliefs about having a negative future work prognosis and belief that work activities were unsafe; poor pain related self-efficacy; and psychological distress. Those identified as ‘at risk’ had risk scores on the psychosocial assessment tools at levels equivalent to scores reported in chronic pain patients seeking treatment and these scores decreased only marginally with time. Also found was that current clinical assessment did not accurately identify those at risk, particularly in distinguishing different domains of risk - pain, psychosocial ‘non-organic’ issues, the fears of work tasks and those with prominent psychological distress. The accuracy rates were at 10-20% with an equal number of false positives (those identified as at risk when they are not at risk). These findings support the view that psychological factors are present early (Dunn 2010) and reinforce the need to identify those at risk early and to address these issues as recommended in relevant guidelines. In addition to various educational strategies, any intervention will need to use general and more comprehensive risk-assessment to better inform clinicians about those at risk and what specific domains of risk need to be targeted in treatment. Few studies (Linton 2001; Boersma and Linton 2005), have used prospective designs or were conducted in the compensation arena (Schultz, Crook et al. 2005; Nicholas 2010). One study at the Concord Hospital in NSW has trialled an early risk-assessment and management approach. That study, conducted within one large workplace (with further studies planned), is not directly applicable to the WorkCoverSA scheme that has many and varied employers and different treatment providers. Any intervention needs to be based on accurate, timely, specific and cost-effective screening. The study findings indicate that the most cost-effective and optimal screening could be done from four to eight weeks post-injury using a two-staged process. The first stage would involve an initial brief screening to identify any general risks. Those identified as at risk at the first stage can have a general psychosocial intervention or undergo a more comprehensive assessment to confirm the risk and identify the specific risk domains that require targeted intervention. While both brief and comprehensive screening instruments were shown to be accurate, key challenges remain in implementing risk-screening prompting the following questions: Who should conduct the screening and management and at what stage of injury? How would it be done, what instruments to use? Should this be a one or two-staged process? How to integrate risk assessment with improving current treatment strategies?’ Page 18 Who should do the assessment and when? The study findings indicate that risk screening is feasible at each stage of injury, however the most costeffective and optimal screening could be done at early stages from four to eight weeks post-injury. While earlier assessment has been shown to be accurate (eg Concord study), given the nature of the claims management process, size of employers and current medical management it is unlikely that an externally triggered strategy is feasible under three weeks post injury. Given the above limitations and the need to early assessment and intervention a number of potential professionals may be considered to provide screening, assessment and or intervention. A number of screening approaches have been trialled including case-manager administered questionnaires (Hazard, Haugh et al. 1996), using primary medical clinicians, OHS nurse practitioners and physiotherapists (Foster, Hill et al. 2011). Each approach has advantages and disadvantages and is specific to each compensation scheme. Key issues are accessibility, trust and ability to refer and treat early. The following section discusses the potential professionals who could be involved in this process. Case manager The relationship with the worker is remote with insufficient involvement in the early stages. Is there sufficient trust in the case manager to answer personal questions? The worker might be wary of the impact on their claim. General practitioner Doctors, often first in the injury management process, are endorsed by the system, society and the worker to diagnose, determine interventions and treatments. Screening by questionnaire or interview techniques would be an acceptable part of the clinical process. The doctors could be trained to interpret the results and provide feedback to the worker. The probability that doctors would systematically undertake that role without assistance is low, however, with sufficient education and support this may change. Currently, some doctors do screen for risk-factors such as psychological distress in mental health domains using K10 (but not for musculoskeletal disorders). These practices should be extended to the routine assessment of musculoskeletal injuries. An informal survey of doctors who participated in this study indicated a preference for having clinic staff handing out and collecting completed questionnaires for posting to an assessment facility off site which can provide relevant feedback similar to the process for assessing blood samples. Workplace rehabilitation provider or vocational rehabilitation provider This group possesses general skills but is not always involved early and may not have be sufficient clinical skills and confidence to interpret the results and provide feedback to the worker. They are able to recommend the need for specialist treatment, but not refer. Physiotherapist This clinical group is often an early participant and continues to be involved at all stages of injury at the highest levels of servicing. They have some awareness of psychosocial issues but workers with psychological conditions are outside their skill domain. However, the worker might be comfortable being screened by a physiotherapist which can be helpful to provide interventions for fear and avoidance beliefs. Some physiotherapists use Orëbro or Oswestry to screen for high risk factors but generally do not use psychological screeners generally and do not target psychological issues in a structured way. Page 19 Occupational therapist This clinical group is not often involved in the early stages but may help with screening; only some are licensed under Medicare arrangements as suitable to provide range of psychological treatments. Rehabilitation & return to work coordinator This group is based at the workplace (or worksite) therefore the worker may not have sufficient confidence in their ability to take on “medical type” tasks of assessment and interpretation of pain and psychosocial issues. As a group they lack the specialist skills and confidence to interpret the results and may not be able to communicate the assessment findings to medical or other specialists. However with appropriate training this group can be important in assisting in the process for an early screening and management of psychological issues. Psychologist A group rarely involved until psychological issues are obvious and disability behaviours are well entrenched. An intervention for those identified with high risk factors needs to done early in the claim. It is probably not effective to have routine screening by psychologists; a psychologist with relevant training and experience in clinical and organisational psychology will be needed, and there could be waiting times for those who are skilled in this arena. As there are no clinicians experienced in the early intervention a specific training would need to be provided to selected clinicians. Worker’s supervisor Similar issues to the RTW coordinators. Nurse If based at the workplace or doctor’s practice, a nurse might have the trust of the worker to interview, administer a questionnaire and obtain compliance from the worker. Which psychometric instruments to use? An extensive array of psychometric instruments has been tested in this study. Some instruments are strongly correlated with each other and have been able to corroborate the results. The instruments that measure the six key domains that best predict psychosocial risk are discussed below. The results for recommended instruments are summarised in Table 4 and disability scores for different cohorts are presented in Figure 4. The order of the risk domains relates to the impact that domain has on the outcomes. The most significant predictor of future disability is the current disability; however the other dimensions are also key determinants of risk. Comprehensive assessment should include the following elements: 1. Pain Severity Recommendation: Pain severity scale of current and weekly pain (NRS) from the existing tools such as the Orëbro or Oswestry (for low back pain only) 2. Perception of function or self-perceived disability Both the Pain Disability Index (PDI) and the Oswestry Disability Index are highly correlated and predictive of future outcomes. Even though the Oswestry is commonly used by physiotherapists and doctors, it is specific to back injuries. While either can be used, the advantage of the PDI in the WorkCover context is broader applicability across injuries and a potential to compare across a range of body locations injuries to assess progress and the impact of management or Page 20 treatmentstrategies. Recommendation: Oswestry for low back pain only, PDI for all body locations 3. Pain focus The Pain Catastrophising Scale (PCS) provides a measure of catastrophising personality traits. People high in this dimension can be successfully treated with CBT (Main, Sullivan et al. 2008). Recommendation: PCS 4. Beliefs about work and prognosis The fear of work activities and a belief that a person will not be able to return to work duties is one of the key predictors of future disability (Shaw, van der Windt et al. 2009).The Orebro has a brief scale that assesses this dimension. Recommendation: abbreviated Orebro (Linton, Nicholas et al. 2011) with supplementary workplace relevant questions from the occupational disability screener (Shaw, Pransky et al. 2005) which was validated for use in the WorkCover context as a part of this study. 5. Coping skills with regard to pain The Pain Self Efficacy Questionnaire (PSEQ) measures the confidence to self manage the impact of pain. The PSEQ is one of the few instruments that provides a measure of positive future focused approach. The PSEQ and PCS are moderately correlated, therefore the use of both instruments might not be warranted. Recommendation: the PCS and PSEQ 6. Distress and depression Three measures of distress have been tested, Depression Anxiety and Stress Scale (DASS) (Lovibond and Lovibond 1995), Kesslers (K10)(Kessler, Andrews et al. 2002), Positive and Negative Affective Scales (PANAS)(Watson, Clark et al. 1988). The DASS is a more clinically specific instrument extensively validated in the Australian and UK context (Lovibond and Lovibond 1995; Crawford and Henry 2003) and also with pain patients(Nicholas, Asghari et al. 2008). The K10 is a more general instrument with less sensitivity but is simpler to use. Most GP’s use this test routinely and are familiar with and the meaning of the K-10 scores. PANAS measures stable affective states and can detect longer-term personal predisposition to neuroticism (Crawford and Henry 2004) which has been associated with dysfunctional coping in a range of “psychosomatic” conditions and particularly the impact on work performance (Kaplan, Bradley et al. 2009). Our study indicated a possible use of PANAS in research on general personality predictors and cross-correlation with other instruments measuring related concepts, however the direct clinical utility in the WorkCover context is being evaluated further as a part of the longitudinal component of this study. Recommendation: Use K10 by GP’s in the acute phase to detect general distress in primary medical practice. If the K10 score is above 30 it can also be used in the more chronic phases. The DASS is useful if interpreted by an experienced clinician such as a psychologist. It can inform the treating practitioner about more specific aspects of the worker’s distress e.g. anxiety and depression. Currently the clinical utility of PANAS in routine screening is uncertain. Page 21 Brief screening instrument: applicability of Orëbro There is widespread interest in using the original Orëbro tool and a range of recent abbreviated versions. Following our experience of using this tool in combination with other tools, we offer the following observations about its applicability in this workers’ compensation environment: - It is a composite tool mainly validated with acute and subacute populations. - As it provides a “global risk score”, it is not generally used to triage risk groups and it does not assess the impact of work related barriers therefore stream to appropriate risk intervention. A second step is probably needed to identify the main risk factors. - Consequently, additional screening is needed to obtain more detail on the specific risk issues. - Some major deficiencies of this tool are the lack of questions about the workplace (relationships, supports, barriers) and that it in not related to return to work in any way. Therefore a number of more recently developed tools now exist (see Shaw (Shaw, Pransky et al. 2005), StarT tool – (Hill, Dunn et al. 2010) for use in primary care). Overall it is a valuable addition to the risk screening toolkit. It is a potentially valuable screening instrument if used as a first step in combination with five item questions relevant to workplace from the occupational disability questionnaire (Shaw, Pransky et al. 2005). The second step would involve more comprehensive risk assessment process, other tests or assessments are needed to identify specific areas requiring intervention / management. Guidance on potential risks and potential interventions A summary of the broader risks, relevance and potential interventions for those workers whose current status is ‘High impact on activities to daily living and more than two weeks not cleared for work’ is provided in Table 5. The risks align to the most significant findings (see results section) and are also colour-coded using the ‘flags’ model to identify the source of the psychosocial risk; ‘yellow’ indicates personal psychosocial, ‘blue’ indicates workplace psychosocial and ‘red’ indicates potential medical co-morbidities. Page 22 Table 5 Guidance on the key psychosocial issues (personal, work and health) for workers who report high pain levels Current status Relevance Risks Possible intervention 1 High impact on activities to daily living and more than two weeks not cleared for work Away from workplace Deconditioning and likely reaggravation Coordinated supervised RTW activities Program by physiotherapist and psychologist 2 High fear and avoidance beliefs about work The avoidance behaviour relates to work activities not general activity These beliefs prevent the worker being active with a high probability of reaggravation Beliefs addressed and graduated return to feared activities as 2nd step of physiotherapy and psychology program 3 A high pain focus and fear of negative outcomes A catastrophising personality that is very pain-focussed Fear of pain, symptoms or activity If the worker exhibits the behaviours 1 to 3, is a high probability of poor recovery and low RTW rates Same as for 2 4 High pain self-efficacy and optimism Coping ability Based on a global measure of optimism about RTW If high - chance of a good outcome If less than average, coping will be a barrier to RTW and is a strong indicator of worker’s predicted outcome Clarify reasons, address potential RTW issues continue with graduated program 5 Psychological distress Overall distress or more specifically the clinical symptoms of depression or anxiety (not applicable to injuries with a perceived traumatic element) May impact on some outcomes. Depression early in the claim is likely to be a pre-existing condition Clarify extent of problems using GP/ psychologist/psychiatrist; address with medication or CBT* 6 Work-related issues blue flags (i) Supervisor support (ii) Availability of duties (iii) Co-worker attitudes (iv) Work is heavy and monotonous Sustained RTW is not assured if (i) to (iii) are negative Work intervention with help from RRTW* coordinator or workplace rehabilitation provider; focus on suitable duties and support as part of a structured program to address any fears identified in 2 7 Health risks factors Red flags Potential co-morbidities: Smoking Obesity Lack of exercise Longer claim duration for those reporting poor self-reported health or presence of multiple risk factors Return to long-term management with help from GP * Key: CBT Cognitive behaviour therapy RRTW rehabilitation and return to work coordinator Page 23 Conclusion and recommendations The study again confirmed that most injured workers returned to work and ceased extensive treatment within three months of injury with only 10-20% who had longer periods of disability. The current evidence-based guides specify intervention within 10 weeks of injury to prevent poor outcomes. However treatment and occupational intervention requires additional resources, training and costs which to be cost effective need an early and accurate identification of those needing this intervention. The study indicated that an early and brief psychometric screening was feasible and more accurate than routine medical or physiotherapy assessment at identifying those at risk. Furthermore the study also found that by using comprehensive assessment tools more specific domains of risk could be identified which can then be targeted with appropriate treatment. Therefore, a process is proposed comprised of early risk assessment tools to assist and inform clinical judgement to significantly improve compensation outcomes as summarised in Figure 2 (page 4). Two intervention strategies proposed are: 1) Conduct a trial with primary treating clinicians (general practitioners and physiotherapists) at early stages of injury to improve the current injury management model using a brief screener such as the Orebro. 2) Develop risk-screening involving a two-stage process to help identify subgroups needing specific interventions. This should involve in addition to the procedures described in 1) a triage process undertaken by a nominated and trained psychologist to further confirm if the person identified through the brief screening is at risk and likely to benefit from a targeted treatment. This process will identify the key risk issues in each domain and provide or facilitate relevant short-term treatment in coordination with the treating doctor and physiotherapist. This strategy should involve training 10 psychologists, physiotherapists and medical practitioners in the proposed process and in the standardised treatment. This training would be provided by leading experts in the field including Clinical Psychologist Dr Michael Nicholas and other relevant professionals (eg physiotherapists and medical practitioners) with expertise in this field. © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 24 Appendix A Psychosocial studies conducted in WorkCoverSA Psychosocial indicators of chronicity study In 2001 the project, the Psychosocial indicators of chronicity study PICS) was conducted to assess the usefulness of initial risk screening on injured workers. The study was a prospective longitudinal cohort of 400 workers with musculoskeletal claims. This study was the first validation study in Australasia using two instruments: (i) Acute Low Back Pain Questionnaire (ALBPQ)-later renamed Orëbro against workers’ compensation return to work (RTW) data; (ii) the Brief Multi-dimensional Pain Inventory Instrument2 and a Chronic Pain Grade Instrument (Dixon, Pollard et al. 2007). The results showed that high risk claims could be identified; however the Orebro tool while able to differentiate general risk was not able to differentiate between different categories of risk. Therefore additional tools were required to help identify categories of risk issues likely to be amendable to intervention and management. Additional information required to enable full risk identification included: baseline data on risk profiles in relevant risk domains - claim duration, type of claim, work and compensation issues, individual characteristics, claims history, provider involvement integrating relevant workplace information integrating data from the workers’ compensation database with data collected from individuals including baseline data on factors affecting long term outcomes post injury such as recurrence, absenteeism, presenteeism One key recommendation arising from that project was to develop tools and an intervention strategy to help identify subgroups with shared risk profiles and pilot an intervention to manage key risk areas. Projects since 2007 Phased approach Since 2007 we have been taking a phased approach to determine those psychosocial factors that influence the duration of workers’ compensation back claims within the Australian compensation context. This project has continued the work started in the PICS project (and incorporating the growing evidence from other studies in the field) but targeting low back injuries as the first step in the risk identification. As back injuries are the most prevalent in chronic compensation claims, a number of risk assessment tools were chosen to make it possible to cross link the strategy with other available initiatives world wide. The three phase project started with a pilot study to develop and refine the methodology to collect both quantitative and qualitative data. The second phase, a prospective longitudinal study, is nearing completion and forms the basis of this report. See the next section for more detail. The third phase discussed in the “Conclusion and recommendations section of this report will be based on interventions to address the significant risk factors identified in the longitudinal study. Prospective study 2 Refer to literature by Turk et al © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 25 Objectives The aims for the prospective longitudinal study were refined during the pilot study and were to: Assess in more detail those psychosocial factors that influence claim duration in work related back injuries within the South Australian compensation context. Identify those risk factors amenable to change. Determine the feasibility of using a one or two step risk assessment process; that is using brief clinician administered screening questionnaire or using an additional comprehensive assessment to further refine a persons specific risk issues. Validate an existing risk tool(s) or if relevant refine or develop a new tool(s). Determine the most appropriate person(s) to do the assessment – for example treating clinician, physiotherapist, case manager, vocational rehabilitation professional or others. Develop a protocol for early intervention studies targeting key risk areas and assess benefits of risk intervention. © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 26 Appendix B Examples of key conceptual models representing the domains of psychosocial risk. (a) the “flags” model Risk domains Biological Flag identifier Red Psychiatric Orange Psychosocial/ personal Yellow Psychosocial/ environmental Blue Systemic Black Factors Serious pathology Co-morbidity Depression PTSD Unhelpful coping strategies Emotional distress Passive role in recovery Overly solicitous carers Perceived low social support at work Perceived unpleasant work Low job satisfaction Perception of excessive demands Legislative criteria for compensation Nature of workplace (eg. heavy work) Threats to financial security (b) Simplified representation of the model by Loisel et al 2005 (c) A matrix of key psychosocial issues incorporating using flags (a) concepts Modified from Loisel et al 2005, Burton and Kendall 2009. = © WorkCoverSA, 20 Individual issues Workplace perception and issues Coping Severity of disorder, recurrence, symptoms Clinical history, comorbidity Thoughts and beliefs Mood and emotion Behaviour and activity Quality of contact Availability of suitable duties Job satisfaction, co-worker support Management support, culture Supervisor involvement Pre-existing performance issues Health care system- treatment issues. Systemic issues Delays in treatment Non-evidence based treatment Contradictory treatments Uncoordinated treatment Focus exclusively on physical injury Lack of specialised training in pain related areas Compensation and variable legislative requirements Financial and legal Social issues Financial support, dispute – hardship Legal issues, proof, claim validity Reluctance to accept psychosocial issues Page 27 Appendix C Screening principles The positive predictive value is the proportion of subjects with a ‘positive’ screening test who do go on to long-term incapacity - a measure of false negatives. Negative predictive value is the proportion of subjects with a “negative” screening test who do return to work – a measure of false positive. Other relevant concepts that impact on the effectiveness of the screening exercise are sensitivity and specificity. Sensitivity is the proportion of clients who do go on to long-term incapacity who are correctly predicted by the screening tool. (It is actual long-term incapacity taking account of false negatives.) Sensitivity = a / (a + c): in this example, a / (a + c) = 16/20 = 80% sensitivity. Specificity: the proportion of clients who do not go on to long-term incapacity who are correctly predicted by the screening tool. (It is actual return to work taking account of false positives). Specificity = d / (b + d): in this example, d / (b + d) = 56/80=70% specificity. Economic deadweight: those who receive a work focused intervention but would have returned to work without the intervention. If a screening tool is used to select clients for the intervention, economic deadweight is the false positives. Economic deadweight = b / (a + b): in this example, b / (a + b) = 24/40= 60% economic deadweight. Actual Outcome Screening tool prediction Long-term incapacity Long term incapacity Return to work Correct prediction of incapacity, a False positive, b (b=24) (a=16) Return to work False negative, c (c=4) © WorkCoverSA, 20 Correct prediction of return to work, d (d=56) Page 28 Appendix D Psychometric instruments used and key domains measured Screen Type Instruments Dimensions covered A Orëbro (various versions) Functional questions from Orëbro from data from cohort in 2001 collected using full version of Orëbro; also used abbreviated version of Multi-dimensional Pain Inventory (Turk et al) A Shaw Back Disability Risk Questionnaire Brief version of Orëbro risk screening tool including questions on workplace relationships A Pain last week - NRS/10 Intensity of pain A Current Severity Self-report “Oswestry q1” on the impact of pain and quality of pain A Function-Orëbro /100+ Single item risk screeners from Orëbro on perceived functional limitations including ‘bothersome pain’, activities of daily living (ADLs) A Belief - Pain persists /100 Single items about beliefs A Work in 6 months Expectation of RTW in 6 months A Normal Work in 4 weeks/10 Expectation of RTW in 4 weeks B Function - Oswestry /100 Questions from Oswestry on perceived functional limitations (ADLS) B Pain Disability Index/70 Questions from PDI on perceived functional limitations (ADLs) B Tampa Fear avoidance beliefs about activity and meaning of pain (hurt=harm) B Pain Catastrophising Scale Pain focusing scale (how do you habitually think about pain not just post-injury) - more a measure of trait B Pain Self Efficacy Scale Confidence in ability to be active despite pain; correlates with PCS and general function; global expectations of recovery; workplace (blue flags) and compensation system issues (black flags) B Dass- D Common indicator of depressed mood, not affected by pain related symptoms B Dass-A Common indicator of anxiety, not affected by pain related symptoms B Dass-S Common indicator of perceived stress (more situational or environmental); not affected by pain related symptoms B K-10 Generic measure of distress, used in population studies and by general practitioners A = from a brief screener B = from a comprehensive measure © WorkCoverSA, 20 Page 29 Appendix E Who is in the study? Frequency of claims by age group Education com pleted Time with employer 250 35% 35% 30% 30% 200 25% 150 20% 20% % Counts of claim 25% 15% 100 15% 10% 10% 50 5% 5% 0% 0 <20 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+ Primary only HS to yr 10 HighS y11+ Tafe-4 0% uni-5 Age groups w ith Employer < w ith Employer 0 0.5 yrsr yrs .5-1yr yrs categories w ith Employer 2-5 yrs w ith Employer 5+ yrs Health indicator - sm oking Health indicator - exercise Health indicator BMI w ith Employer 1-2 yrs 45% 40% 70% 40% 60% 35% 35% 50% 30% 30% % 20% 15% 25% 40% 20% 30% % 25% 15% 20% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% underweight <20 © WorkCoverSA, 20 healthy 20-25 overweight 25-30 obese 30+ 0% 0% no exercise rarely once 2 to 3 w eekly smokes/day 0 4 or more w eekly Page 30 smokes/day <10 smokes/day 1020 smokes/day 20+ Bibliography Asghari, A. and M. K. Nicholas (2001). "Pain self-efficacy beliefs and pain behaviour. A prospective study." Pain 94(1): 85-100. Boersma, K. and S. J. Linton (2005). 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