Plankton, the Fuel of War: The Origin and Development of Iraqi Oil Lecture Outline • Introduction • Geologic development of Iraq and oil formation • Tectonic history • Sedimentation history • Human history of oil production in Iraq • Current trends in oil and gas use This ad for the Chevron-Texaco 1936 marketing merger featured a processing plant built in Bahrain The Arabian Peninsula is Home to the World’s Largest Oil Reserves Middle Eastern Political Boundaries and the Arabian Peninsula Folds in Sedimentary Layers Can Trap Oil Oil migrates from a source rock into a trap in a reservoir rock Requirements for Formation of Oil and Gas Deposits • Source Rock - sedimentary strata rock rich in organic matter typically shale or limestone • Thermal maturation and migration - Source rock is heated to 90 to 150oC to convert organic solids into liquid hydrocarbon (oil and natural gas) • Reservoir Rock - Sedimentary rock in which oil accumulates; must contain abundant pore spaces; typically sandstone or limestone • Seal Rock - Impermeable sedimentary strata that blocks upward flow of oil; typically shale or evaporites (salt) • Trap - Geometric arrangement of reservoir and seal rocks that cause significant amounts of oil to accumulate in one area • Timing - Trap must form before thermal maturation and migration occurs Plankton in the Arabian Sea Oil Forms from Plankton Remains diatom radiolarian coccolithophore foramifera Tectonic Development of Arabian Peninsula Paleozoic 255 Ma • Arabia covered by Paleo-Tethys Sea (shallow) • Shale source rocks accumulate in Saudi Arabia Tectonic Development of Arabian Peninsula Early Triassic 235 Ma • Persia rifts from Arabia • Arabia inundated by Tethys Sea (shallow) Tectonic Development of Arabian Peninsula Jurassic 195 Ma • Arabia covered by shallow Seas • Organic - rich limestone source rocks accumulate Distribution of Jurassic Source Rocks on Arabian Peninsula From USGS Bull. 2202-E Tectonic Development of Arabian Peninsula Cretaceous 95 Ma • Arabia covered by shallow Seas, but Tethys Sea begins to close • Limestone and sandstone reservoir rocks accumulate • Evaporite seal rocks accumulate Distribution of Cretaceous Seal Rocks on Arabian Peninsula From USGS Bull. 2202-E Tectonic Development of Arabian Peninsula Early Tertiary 35 Ma • Arabia collides with Persia and Asia • Zagros Mountains begin forming (+ Alps through Himalaya) • Anticline traps formed • Oil migrates from source rocks to reservoir rocks and accumulates in traps Tectonic Development of Arabian Peninsula Overly Deformed and Uplifted Rocks Insufficient Accumulation of Sedimentary Rocks Oil was first discovered in the Middle East by George Reynolds (left) in 1908, working for a British Company History of Middle Eastern Oil Development and Production • Pre - WWI • 1908 - Oil discovered by British Interests in Persia (Iran) after 5 - year search. • Ottoman Empire (Iraq, Saudi Arabia) mostly unexplored for oil • Post - WWI • Oil recognized by Europeans and U.S. as vital to national security • Ottoman Empire dissolved • Oil discovered near Kirkuk in 1927 • Production volume split equally between Britain, France and U.S. by agreement • 1938, oil discovered in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia History of Iraqi Oil Development and Production Two Stages • 1925-1961 • Iraqi Petroleum Company, post WWI, moderate development, most profits taken abroad (Britain) • 1968 - Present From Graham, 2002 U.S. consumes 20 million bbl/day, 7 billion bbl/year • Iraqi National Oil Company, rapid development, profits kept in Iraq Iraqi Oil Fields Two main groups • Basrah area in southeast • Kirkuk area in north Iraqi Oil Exports • To the U.S. • 800,000 bbl/day U.S. Imports of Iraqi Oil • 8.5% of total U.S. imports • 32% of Iraqi exports • To other countries • 1.5 million bbl/day to France, China and Russia • 200,000 to 400,000 bbl/day smuggled to neighboring states • Erratic Production Rates From Graham, 2002 Iraqi Oil Potential Estimated Reserves • Proven reserves • 112 (EIA, 2002) to 142 (Ibrahim, 1996) billion barrels • Undiscovered reserves • 45 (USGS) to 220 (EIA) billion barrels From Graham, 2002 U.S. Oil Consumption Will Outpace Production • Based on trends over past ten years • U.S. consumption will increase by 6 million bbl per day • U.S. production will decrease by 1.5 million bbl per day After Graham, 2002 Does Cheap Gas Fuel Increased Consumption? Oil and Gas Prices, 1920-1995 Where the U.S. Gets Its Oil Imports Global Oil Reserves Persian Gulf Oil Conclusions • Fortuitous geologic history gave Iraq enormous oil reserves • U.S. and global oil consumption will increase while production declines • Iraq will play vital role in global economy