Tips for a Sensible Animal Justification Reid D. Landes Disclaimer: the opinions and thoughts contained herein are not necessarily those of UAMS or any of its affiliates (including the IACUC). Outline • Reviewers’ questions • Answers for – Non-statistical justifications – Statistical justifications • Elements of a (normal) power analysis • Pilot studies Reviewers ask • • • • What are you measuring? What are the groups? What do you want to learn? Do the animal numbers match your need? Non-statistical Justifications • Reviewer: Measuring what? Learning what? – PI: “From the animals? Nothing.” • Typical protocols with these answers – Breeding protocols – Materials protocols Comment #1 • Breeding protocols: How many animals… – are needed for future research objectives and maintenance of colony? – will not be used for any purpose? • Materials protocols: How much material… – is needed & why that amount? – does one animal provide? Tips for Statistically Justifying Your Animal Use Answers to Reviewers’ Questions for Statistical Justifications Comment #2 • Many protocols have more than one experiment • Some differ in their design or size • Some differ in their outcomes • Usually power analyses are needed for each unique design-size-outcome combination What are you measuring? • Define your outcome measures • Give their units • Several outcomes in one experiment? – Which is most important? – Which is most variable? – On what outcome is the power analysis based? Outcome Measures Examples • Cancer study: “Tumor burden” – Number of cancer cells per ml. Or tumors. – Volume of largest tumor. Or all tumors. • ALS Study: Several measures – Time on a rotating rod (seconds) – Survival time (days; power based on this) – Oxidative damage markers (more definition needed here) What are the groups? • Describe the “experiment design” • List the groups (and how they are formed) – The Methods section contains what happens to animals in the various groups Experiment Design Example Strain WT Drug -- Dose 0 A KO B -- A B Lo Hi Lo Hi 0 Lo Hi Lo Hi • “Mice within a strain equally randomized among the 5 drug-dose combinations” • 6 mice / strain-drug-dose combo X 10 strain-drug-dose combos = 60 mice Experiment Design Example (cont)PO Strain WT Drug -- Dose 0 A KO B -- A B Lo Hi Lo Hi 0 Lo Hi Lo Hi • Define strains, drugs, and drugs’ low & high doses outside of the table • If sample size differs among Strain-Dose-Drug combos, then add a new row What do you want to learn? • “What are your research hypotheses?” • Identify comparisons are of interest • Sometimes, comparisons are ordered – Primary, secondary, tertiary – Base power analyses on primary ones • Often possible comparisons exceed comparisons of interest Comparisons of Interest Example Strain WT Drug -- Dose 0 A KO B -- A B Lo Hi Lo Hi 0 Lo Hi Lo Hi • Possible comparisons: 10C2 = 45 pairs • Primary: Within Drug, compare strains (2) • Secondary: Within Strain and Drug, compare each dose to control (2x2x2=8) Do the animal numbers match your need?PO • • Provide a well-described power analysis Attributes of “well-described” 1. Describes statistical analyses that are consistent with experiment design 2. Describes a power analysis that • • is consistent with the statistical analysis can be reproduced 3. Presents and justifies the parameters and assumptions required in the power analysis Comment on Attribute #1 • Must you describe the statistical analysis? – For me? Not required, but definitely appreciated • Often, a well-described power analysis sufficiently describes the statistical analysis – For simpler experiments • If a statistical / power analysis is beyond investigators’ capabilities, consult / collaborate with a statistician Comment on Attribute #2 • Must have reproducible power analysis? – I’m looking for this • Sample sizes based on heuristics (trial & error, “standard” for a particular field, etc.) are generally turned back Comment on Attribute #3 • Parameters of a power analysis – Significance level, Power, Sample size, Effect size, …and others depending on statistical analysis – All are required to reproduce the power analysis Particular parameter = F(other parameters) • Often have to assume / estimate one or more of these – Explanation or references for estimates should be given Elements of a Power Analysis Normal-distribution based • Need to identify (or calculate) the previous 4 parameters, plus – parameters specific to the experiment (e.g., number of groups, factors and levels) – statistical analysis (e.g., 1-way, 2-way ANOVA, two-sample t-test, paired t-test, etc.) – Possibly comparisons of interest Effect Size Comment • What about a SD? Or difference to detect? – Encompassed in an effect size • When comparing two groups’ means an effect size = difference in means within-group SD • difference = 5, SD = 10 effect size = ½ • difference = ¾, SD = ¼ effect size = 3 Example of a Power Analysis Strains-Drugs-Doses • Assuming – Y, outcome of interest, is normal – All Ys are mutually independent – k =10 groups are mutually independent – “one-way” ANOVA • Significance level=.05, power=.80, and… • and n=6 … forces effect size= – 1.17 (not controlling for multiple tests) – 1.30 (controlling for 2 tests with Bonferroni’s method) • and effect size=1.0 … forces n= – 8 (not controlling for multiple tests) – 10 (controlling for 2 tests with Bonferroni’s method) Example Write Up “With 6 mice per strain-drug-dose combination, we can detect a difference of 1.3 SDs for the primary comparisons of interest with at least .80 power using a .05 level two-sided t-test, adjusted for 2 tests with Bonferroni’s method and conducted within an one-way ANOVA context. SDs of survival times have been estimated to be as high as 10 days [refs]. A difference of 2 weeks was found between Drug A and a control in [ref]; hence, providing evidence that a difference of 13 days is not unreasonable to expect.” Pilot StudiesPO • Reviewers still ask the same questions • Animal measurements informing scientific objectives call for justification • Often, statistical justifications are possible and sensible for pilot studies • When not possible, decision rules should be in place Objectives of Pilot studies • Estimating a statistical parameter; e.g., SD, mean, proportion, etc. – Report widths of 95% Confidence Intervals for requested n • Determining feasibility – Feasibility defined in terms of measurement – i.e., define a rule by which feasibility is determined Pilot Study Example #1 Estimating a statistical parameter • Estimate SD of Y with n=10 animals “Assuming Y is normal in distribution, we will have 95% confidence that the true SD is no more (less) than 1.83 (0.68) times the estimated SD.” Pilot Study Example #2 Determining Feasibility • Want to know if a new procedure is reliable (i.e., feasible) in producing a desired effect. • Requesting 6 animals • Investigator defined rule: “The procedure will be deemed ‘feasible’ if the effect is produced in all 6 animals. We will examine each animal in sequence stopping if the effect is not produced.” Contact Information • • • • • Reid Landes rdlandes@uams.edu 501-526-6714 COPH Room 3224 www.uams.edu/biostat/landes