Ground Damage Database David Anderson Nancy Rockbrune 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Introduction 26th IGHC Conference Introductions David Anderson • GDDB Chair • Head of Operational Safety ~ British Airways Nancy Rockbrune • GDDB Secretary • Assistant Director SMS and Operational Data Management ~ IATA 3 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Overview 26th IGHC Conference History Ground damage has been long reported to cost airlines $4b annually • • Estimate Unplanned costs Significant changes need to be made • Thin margins Focus on Ground Operations has been made Collaboration to make a difference 5 26th IGHC Conference History Launched 2011, with limited membership Shift in IATA’s data management and analysis approach During 2011 and 2012 new reporting protocols and requirements were developed • • • • Updated Contract Launched Q1 2012 First useable data received from 10 members (with some manipulation) Consistently receiving useable data from 14 participants 2013 focus on expanding participation • Any airline, ground service provider, and / or airport which provide ground services are eligible to participate in the program 6 26th IGHC Conference GDDB Coverage ~ As of December 2012 7 26th IGHC Conference GDDB Coverage ~ As of May 1, 2013 8 26th IGHC Conference GDDB Coverage ~ As of May 1, 2013 9 26th IGHC Conference Efforts to Support Growth Introductory letter to all Stakeholders Updated contract with reporting criteria IT development • • • • • Automated quality check Web Form Discussions with strategic partners to develop GDDB submission extract from existing reporting systems Common dimension tables Participant query tool 10 26th IGHC Conference Efforts to Support Growth Introduction of IOSA provision ~ ISM Ed. 7 GRH 1.11.6 The Operator should have a process to ensure aircraft ground damages are reported to IATA for inclusion in the Ground Damage Database (GDDB). Such reports should be submitted in accordance with the formal IATA ground damage reporting structure. (GM) 11 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Purpose 26th IGHC Conference Purpose Facilitate data driven improvements to effectively improve performance Gather and analyze global data with Industry partnership • • • Provide information not otherwise possible Identify trends and contributing factors allowing for the development and assessment of effective mitigation actions Establish a baseline of ground damage performance in which future comparisons can be made 13 26th IGHC Conference Use of Data Conduct statistical analysis on clean defensible data • • • • • • Statistical analysis produces more tangible information Measures process performance Identify and prioritize contributing factors to process performance Measure and predict process performance improvements Provides confidence interval Measures the quality of the data Communicate findings to applicable WGs and TFs 14 26th IGHC Conference What Data? Data (even seemingly benign) is critical • • • Identifying issues Determine the effectiveness of any mitigation actions Demonstrating effectiveness of the program as a whole Data driven decisions Not only improves safety / performance but also makes for a more efficient organization as a whole 15 26th IGHC Conference Types of Data? Reactive ~ wait for incidents to happen and try to understand why Proactive ~ analyze identified risks to mitigate before they turn into an accident / incident Predictive ~ mature system which conducts predictive analytics (statistical modeling) to identify and mitigate unknown risks 16 26th IGHC Conference Confidential Reporting Confidential reporting can be used for the following safety concerns: • • • • • Unsafe behaviors Inadvertent errors and mistakes Near miss occurrences (incidents that did not occur but could have easily resulted in a serious event) Inadvertent errors or violations of aircraft handling or servicing systems Procedures or processes that could be improved 17 26th IGHC Conference Data Collection Process Identify hazards Report on hazards and occurrences Collect and risk assess reported hazards Trend and analyze information Identify mitigation action Monitor for effectiveness Review and monitoring for continuous improvement 18 26th IGHC Conference Challenge ~ Data Quality Any airline, ground service provider, and / or airport which provide ground services are eligible to participate in the program Variance in data received Data integrity the utmost of importance Confidence in analysis and decisions derived from it is equal to the confidence in the data itself 19 26th IGHC Conference Data Management Principles Information producers and knowledge workers alike must know the meaning of information; otherwise they cannot perform their work properly Information producers must also know the business rules, valid values, and formats to create information correctly Information definition is to data (content) what manufacturing product specifications are to the manufactured product Quality “Information Product Specifications” are necessary for the consistent production of quality information 20 26th IGHC Conference Data Management Principles Managing by averages leads to flawed decision making as you are not accounting for process variation If measurement system variation is too large there is an increased risk of: Rejecting good data Accepting bad data Important to know how much of the observed variation of a process is due to the actual process itself (normal) and how much is due to the measurement system 21 26th IGHC Conference Data Management Principles Operational definitions (includes taxonomies) help reduce subjectivity and variance in your measurement system (data) Operational definitions can be: • A written statement • Templates • Display of comparisons (colour chart) Operational definitions should be: • Something people can really use • Enables different people to reach the same conclusion (repeatability) • Enables the same person to reach the same correct conclusion at different times (reproducibility) 22 26th IGHC Conference Taxonomy / Operational Definitions Controls data inputs Reduce subjectivity Reduce variation Means for integration (internal and external) 23 26th IGHC Conference Solution ~ Defined Fields GDDB TF developed reporting criteria • Representatives from Operators, GSP’s, Manufacturers and Industry groups Identified data to be consistently reported amongst ALL members • • Includes definitions / assumptions Minimize data variance Identify means in which data and analysis will feed ground operations working groups and vice versa 24 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Reporting Criteria 26th IGHC Conference Definition “Any occurrence / event associated with ground operations that results in aircraft damage” Out of Scope In Scope While parked at Gate / Stand or other parked area During Marshaling or using Stand Guidance During Deicing While being Towed Near Miss Slide Deployments 26 FOD Wildlife Damage Lightning Strikes Environmental 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Mandatory • • • • • • • • • • Optional • • • Incident details Location details Aircraft details Ramp conditions Phase of operation ~ definitions included Activities Type of damage Damage to aircraft Ground equipment Severity ~ definitions included 27 Causal factors Corrective actions Free text 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Mandatory • • • • • • • • • • Incident details Location details Aircraft details Ramp conditions Phase of operation Activities Type of damage Damage to aircraft Ground equipment Severity 28 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Incident Details Type of Report Damage by 3rd Party Date Reporting Station Time Previous Station Stand / Gate Type of Stand Found Yes Cargo Reported No Passenger Terminal Passenger Remote N/A 29 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Location Of Incident Apron Manoeuvring Area De-Icing Pad Taxiway 30 Stand / Gate 26th IGHC Conference Aircraft Details Field Categories Flight Number* Aircraft Registration* Date of Flight* Aircraft Model ETA ATA ETD ATD Manufacturer Model Series Configuration Freighter Passenger 31 26th IGHC Conference Ramp Conditions Field Categories Weather Surface Conditions Phase of Day Clear Dry Dawn Rain Wet Day Fog Ice Dusk Freezing Rain Snow Night Hail Contaminated Snow Sand / Dust Storm Wind Electrical Storm 32 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Arrival Phase of Operation / Activities Towing Servicing Departure Arrival ~ Time period from when the aircraft nose wheel crosses onto the stand until the anti-collision light is off Towing ~ Time period when an aircraft is being towed from one location to another Servicing ~ Time period an aircraft is being serviced at a gate / stand Departure ~ Time period when the anti-collision light is turned on and the brakes are off until control is handed over to Flight Operations 33 26th IGHC Conference Phase of Operation / Activities Field Categories Arrival Towing Servicing Marshalling Stand to Stand Deicing Guidance To Maintenance Fueling From Maintenance Catering All Activities broken down into three periods: 1. Positioning 2. Performing 3. Removal Departure Pushback Loading Passenger Baggage Cargo Etc 34 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Type of Damage Scratch / Dent / Scuff Puncture Tear or Crack Delamination 35 Detached Slide Deployment 26th IGHC Conference Area of Damage Field Categories Engine Cargo Hold Fuselage Lights Doors Landing Gear Wings Engine Intake Fwd Cargo Hold Radar Nose Cone Cabin Door Wing Surface Main Undercarriage Door Engine Exhaust Aft Cargo Hold Pitot Head / Probe Cabin Door Surround / Frame Wing Leading Edge Undercarriage / Wheels / Tires Engine Cowling Bulk Cargo Hold Antenna Cabin Door Seal Wing Trailing Edge Nose Undercarriage Door Propeller Loading System Skin / Structure Cargo Door Wing Tip Nose Gear / Wheels / Tires Locks / Stops / Guides Panels / Hatches Cargo Door Surround / Frame Flaps Tail Wheel Panel / Side Walls Tail Cargo Door Seal Aileron Scuff Plates 36 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Ground Equipment Pax Stairs / Steps Lav Truck Belt Loader Pushback Tractor ULD Loading Bridge Catering Vehicle Etc. Conventional Pallet Towbarless 37 Container 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Minor ~ No operational effect Low ~ Aircraft inop < 60 mins Moderate ~ Aircraft inop ≥60 minutes <24 hours High ~ Aircraft inop ≥ 24 hours Catastrophic ~ Hull loss 38 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Time Out of Service Hours out of service ~ rounded up to the nearest hour Note: this field is for calculation purposes only, and should not be confused with severity 39 26th IGHC Conference Field Categories Optional • • • Causal factors Corrective actions Free text 40 26th IGHC Conference Causal Factors Field Categories Behaviour Organizational Equipment Regs / SOPs Not Followed Physical Cirumstances Excess Speed Lack of SOPs Defective Equipment SOP Weather Conditions Spatial Misjudgment Inadequate Time... Incorrect Use Safety Regulations Surface Conditions Distraction Inadequate Supervision Unsuitable for Task Traffic Regulations Inadequate Lighting Incapacitation Insufficient Personnel Unsafe for Task PPE Noise Etc. Inadequate Training Design Problem Validity of License Congestion Left in Wrong Place Etc. Incorrect ULD / Pallet Contour 41 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Statistical Analysis 26th IGHC Conference Statistical Analysis Summarizes data Measures the quality of the data Assess the degree of variation • • Critical to understanding the process performance Measure process performance Calculate separate descriptive statistics for each group, allowing to see how the groups differ • Identify “critical x’s” • Predict process performance with improvements 43 26th IGHC Conference Sample ~ Box Plot Quickly compare distributions Highlights the variability of the data Displays data from different categories Can compare several groups of data at once 44 26th IGHC Conference Sample ~ Control Charts Displays the control of a process • • In control process shows random variation Out of control process shows unusual variation due to special causes Help to determine where to focus problem-solving efforts by distinguishing between common and special-cause variation 45 26th IGHC Conference Sample ~ Pareto Charts Displays defects from largest to smallest Prioritize issues and focus improvement efforts on areas where largest gains can be made Separates the "vital few" problems from the "trivial many” 46 26th IGHC Conference Sample ~ Probability Charts Measure process improvements If distributions are normal can estimate the performance if new procedures are put in place 47 26th IGHC Conference Hypothesis Test ~ P-Value Help us determine whether observed differences are: Statistically significant Or Due to chance (random variation) 48 26th IGHC Conference Hypothesis Test ~ P-Value Null Hypothesis = No statistical difference • • Things are “on Target”, “same”, difference is due to “random variation” Not likely to be a critical x or may require more data Alternative Hypothesis = statistical difference • • Things are NOT “on target”, “the same”, due to “random variation” Data supports this x as a likely cause for further investigation 49 26th IGHC Conference Hypothesis Test ~ P-Value P-Value represents the risk that we are wrong if we conclude that the null hypothesis is false • That we claim there is a difference and there isn’t one Numerically • • P-Value < 0.05 we can conclude that we found a statistical difference We may say we have a 5% chance of being wrong when we conclude that something is “off-target” 50 26th IGHC Conference Hypothesis Test ~ P-Value We have found a statistical difference if the p-value is < 0.05 51 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Some Comparisons Type of Report (found vs. reported) and Severity Correlations: Num report, Num Sev Pearson correlation of Num report and Num Sev = -0.334 P-Value = 0.000 Statistically Significant 52 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Some Comparisons Type of Report (found vs. reported) and Organization Correlations: Num Org, Num report Pearson correlation of Num Org and Num report = 0.124 P-Value = 0.040 Statistically Significant 53 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Some Comparisons Month of Report and Severity Correlations: Mnth, Num Sev Pearson correlation of Mnth and Num Sev = 0.065 P-Value = 0.292 Not Statistically Significant 54 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Some Comparisons Type of Report (found vs. reported) and Reporting Region Correlations: Num report, Num Region Pearson correlation of Num report and Num Region = - 0.232 P-Value = 0.000 Statistically Significant 55 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Some Comparisons Reporting Region and Severity Correlations: Num Region, Num Sev Pearson correlation of Num Region and Num Sev = 0.221 P-Value = 0.000 Statistically Significant 56 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Some Comparisons Type of Report (found vs. reported) and Severity Type of Report (found vs. reported) and Organization Month of Report and Severity Type of Report (found vs. reported) and Reporting Region Reporting Region and Severity 57 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Comparison of Means Severity and Organization • Does the organization affect the severity of reports One-way ANOVA: Num Sev versus Num Org Source DF SS MS F P Num Org 8 68.510 8.564 18.30 0.000 Error 256 119.830 0.468 Total 264 188.340 At least one organization’s mean is different S = 0.6842 R-Sq = 36.38% R-Sq(adj) = 34.39% 58 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Comparison of Means Severity and Organization • Does the organization affect the severity of reports One-way ANOVA: Num Sev versus Num Org Source DF SS MS F P Num Org 8 68.510 8.564 18.30 0.000 Error 256 119.830 0.468 Total 264 188.340 At least one organization’s mean is different But how much variation does this explain? S = 0.6842 R-Sq = 36.38% R-Sq(adj) = 34.39% 59 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Comparison of Means Severity and Organization • Does the organization affect the severity of reports One-way ANOVA: Num Sev versus Num Org Source DF SS MS F P Num Org 8 68.510 8.564 18.30 0.000 Error 256 119.830 0.468 Total 264 188.340 S = 0.6842 R-Sq = 36.38% But how much variation does this explain? 36% R-Sq(adj) = 34.39% 60 26th IGHC Conference Initial Analysis ~ Comparison of Means 61 26th IGHC Conference Statistical Analysis ~ In Summary Statistical analysis produces more tangible information Measures process performance Identify and prioritize contributing factors to process performance Measure and predict process performance improvements Provides confidence interval Measures the quality of the data » Need trained resources » Need consistent data » Dependent on controlled inputs 62 26th IGHC Conference Statistical Analysis ~ In Summary Must know restrictions of data • • • Sample size MSA Practical importance GDDB data • • • Small sample size Much variance in data but significantly better Practical importance will be vetted by WGs and TFs 63 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Sample Observations to Date 26th IGHC Conference Observations ~ Type of Report 43% 57% Source: IATA Q4 2012 GDDB 65 26th IGHC Conference Observations ~ Type of Report by Severity Source: IATA Q4 2012 GDDB 66 26th IGHC Conference Observations ~ Areas of Damage Engine 7 Fuselage 46 Wings 13 Lights 0 Doors 81 Cargo Hold 58 Landing Gear 9 67 Source: IATA Q4 2012 GDDB 26th IGHC Conference Observations ~ High Severity Reports Engine 0 Fuselage 3 13 High events reported Note: 1 report indicated damage to both Fuselage and Wings Wings 3 Lights 0 Doors 4 Cargo Hold 1 Landing Gear 3 69 Source: IATA Q4 2012 GDDB 26th IGHC Conference Observations ~ High Severity Reports Location of Damage Type of Damage Door Tear / Crack Scratch / Dent / Scuff Tear / Crack Scratch / Dent / Scuff Equipment Food Truck Bridge Unknown Cargo Loader Wing Scratch / Dent / Scuff Puncture * Scratch / Dent / Scuff Pax Stairs Catering Truck Pax Stairs Fuselage Scratch / Dent / Scuff Tear / Crack * Scratch / Dent / Scuff Unknown Pushback Tractor ~ Conventional Pax Stairs Cargo Hold Tear / Crack Main Loader Landing Gear Scratch / Dent / Scuff Tear / Crack Puncture Pushback Tractor ~ Unknown Pushback Tractor ~ Towbarless Pushback Tractor ~ Unknown 70 Source: IATA Q4 2012 GDDB 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Ongoing Development 26th IGHC Conference GDDB Development Numerous requests to expand the database to include entire scope of AHM and ISAGO TF meetings planned for May (DOH) and Sep (YUL) • • • Establishment of a costing model Identify reporting challenges / solutions Development of a phased plan to expand scope 72 26th IGHC Conference Strategy ~ Continuous Improvement Circle Regulatory Environment and Framework • Standards • Polices Operational Procedures • Procedures • Job cards Framework Implementation Database Verification Hazard Identification • Data analysis • Feedback Verification • Audit 73 26th IGHC Conference Strategy ~ Continuous Improvement Circle Regulatory Environment and Framework • Standards • Polices Operational Procedures • Procedures • Job cards AHM IGOM GDDB ISAGO Hazard Identification • Data analysis • Feedback Verification • Audit 74 26th IGHC Conference GSIC ODM GADM 75 26th IGHC Conference Participant Support IT development • • • • • Automated quality check Web Form Discussions with strategic partners to develop GDDB submission extract from existing reporting systems Common dimension tables Participant query tool 76 26th IGHC Conference 77 26th IGHC Conference Ground Damage Database Thank You 26th IGHC Conference