EM Algorithm Presented By: Haiguang Li Computer Science Department University of Vermont Fall 2011 Copyright Note: This presentation is based on the paper: Dempster, A.P. Laird, N.M. Rubin, D.B. (1977). "Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data via the EM Algorithm". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological) 39 (1): 1– 38. JSTOR 2984875.MR0501537. 2 The section 1 and 4 come from professor Taiwen Yu’s “EM Algorithm”. The section 2, 3, and 6 come from professor Andrew W. Moore’s “Clustering with Gaussian Mixtures”. The section 5 is edited by me. 2 Contents 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 3 Introduction Example Silly Example Example Same Problem with Hidden Info Example Normal Sample EM-Main Body EM-Algorithm Running on GMM Introduction The EM algorithm was explained and given its name in a classic 1977 paper by Arthur Dempster, Nan Laird, and Donald Rubin. They pointed out that the method had been "proposed many times in special circumstances" by earlier authors. EM is typically used to compute maximum likelihood estimates given incomplete samples. The EM algorithm estimates the parameters of a model iteratively. – Starting from some initial guess, each iteration consists of 4 an E step (Expectation step) an M step (Maximization step) Applications 5 Filling in missing data in samples Discovering the value of latent variables Estimating the parameters of HMMs Estimating parameters of finite mixtures Unsupervised learning of clusters … EM Algorithm Silly Example 7 8 EM Algorithm Same Problem with Hidden Info 10 11 12 13 EM Algorithm Normal Sample X ~ N ( , ) 2 Normal Sample Sampling x ( x1, x2 , 1 (x ) f ( x | , ) exp 2 2 2 2 15 T , xn ) ˆ ? 2 ˆ ? f ( x | , 2 ) 1 (x ) exp 2 2 2 Maximum Likelihood Sampling L(, | x) 2 Given x, it is a function of and 2 16 x ( x1, x2 , T , xn ) We want to maximize it. f (x | , 2 ) f ( x1 | , 2 ) 1 2 2 n/2 f ( xn | , 2 ) n ( xi ) 2 exp 2 2 i 1 L(, | x) 2 2 2 1 n/2 n ( xi ) 2 exp 2 2 i 1 Log-Likelihood Function l (, | x) log L(, | x) 2 Maximize this instead 2 n ( xi )2 n 1 log 2 2 2 2 2 i 1 n n 1 n 2 n n 2 2 log log 2 2 xi 2 xi 2 2 2 2 i 1 i 1 2 By setting 17 l ( , 2 | x) 0 and 2 l ( , | x) 0 2 Max. the Log-Likelihood Function l (, | x) 2 n n 1 n 2 n n 2 2 log log 2 2 xi 2 xi 2 2 2 2 i 1 i 1 2 n 1 n 2 l ( , | x) 2 xi 2 0 i 1 18 1 n ˆ xi n i 1 1 n ˆ xi n i 1 n 1 ˆ 2 xi2 ˆ 2 n i 1 Max. the Log-Likelihood Function l (, | x) 2 n n 1 n 2 n n 2 2 log log 2 2 xi 2 xi 2 2 2 2 i 1 i 1 2 2 n n 2 2 l ( , | x ) x 4 xi 4 0 2 2 4 i 2 2 i 1 i 1 2 n n n i 1 i 1 n 1 n 2 xi2 2 xi n 2 2 2 1 x xi xi n i 1 n i 1 i 1 n n 2 i 19 n 2 EM Algorithm Main Body Begin with Classification 21 Solve the problem using another method– parametric method 22 Use our model for classification 23 EM Clustering Algorithm 24 E-M 25 26 27 What’s K-means? 28 EM Algorithm EM Running Example 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 38 ^ Dempster, A.P.; Laird, N.M.; Rubin, D.B. (1977). "Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data via the EM Algorithm". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological) 39 (1): 1–38. JSTOR 2984875.MR0501537. ^ Sundberg, Rolf (1974). "Maximum likelihood theory for incomplete data from an exponential family".Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 1 (2): 49–58. JSTOR 4615553. MR381110. ^ a b Rolf Sundberg. 1971. Maximum likelihood theory and applications for distributions generated when observing a function of an exponential family variable. Dissertation, Institute for Mathematical Statistics, Stockholm University. ^ a b Sundberg, Rolf (1976). "An iterative method for solution of the likelihood equations for incomplete data from exponential families". Communications in Statistics – Simulation and Computation 5 (1): 55–64.doi:10.1080/03610917608812007. MR443190. ^ See the acknowledgement by Dempster, Laird and Rubin on pages 3, 5 and 11. ^ G. Kulldorff. 1961. Contributions to the theory of estimation from grouped and partially grouped samples. Almqvist & Wiksell. ^ a b Anders Martin-Löf. 1963. "Utvärdering av livslängder i subnanosekundsområdet" ("Evaluation of sub-nanosecond lifetimes"). ("Sundberg formula") ^ a b Per Martin-Löf. 1966. Statistics from the point of view of statistical mechanics. Lecture notes, Mathematical Institute, Aarhus University. ("Sundberg formula" credited to Anders Martin-Löf). ^ a b Per Martin-Löf. 1970. Statistika Modeller (Statistical Models): Anteckningar från seminarier läsåret 1969–1970 (Notes from seminars in the academic year 1969-1970), with the assistance of Rolf Sundberg.Stockholm University. ("Sundberg formula") ^ a b Martin-Löf, P. The notion of redundancy and its use as a quantitative measure of the deviation between a statistical hypothesis and a set of observational data. With a discussion by F. Abildgård, A. P. Dempster, D. Basu, D. R. Cox, A. W. F. Edwards, D. A. Sprott, G. A. Barnard, O. Barndorff-Nielsen, J. D. Kalbfleisch and G. Rasch and a reply by the author. Proceedings of Conference on Foundational Questions in Statistical Inference (Aarhus, 1973), pp. 1–42. Memoirs, No. 1, Dept. Theoret. Statist., Inst. Math., Univ. Aarhus, Aarhus, 1974. ^ a b Martin-Löf, Per The notion of redundancy and its use as a quantitative measure of the discrepancy between a statistical hypothesis and a set of observational data. Scand. J. Statist. 1 (1974), no. 1, 3–18. ^ Wu, C. F. Jeff (Mar. 1983). "On the Convergence Properties of the EM Algorithm". Annals of Statistics 11 (1): 95– 103. doi:10.1214/aos/1176346060. JSTOR 2240463. MR684867. ^ a b Neal, Radford; Hinton, Geoffrey (1999). Michael I. Jordan. ed. "A view of the EM algorithm that justifies incremental, sparse, and other variants". Learning in Graphical Models (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press): 355–368. ISBN 0262600323. Retrieved 2009-03-22. ^ a b Hastie, Trevor; Tibshirani, Robert; Friedman, Jerome (2001). "8.5 The EM algorithm". The Elements of Statistical Learning. New York: Springer. pp. 236–243. ISBN 0-387-95284-5. ^ Jamshidian, Mortaza; Jennrich, Robert I. (1997). "Acceleration of the EM Algorithm by using Quasi-Newton Methods". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 59 (2): 569–587.doi:10.1111/1467-9868.00083. MR1452026. ^ Meng, Xiao-Li; Rubin, Donald B. (1993). "Maximum likelihood estimation via the ECM algorithm: A general framework". Biometrika 80 (2): 267–278. doi:10.1093/biomet/80.2.267. MR1243503. ^ Hunter DR and Lange K (2004), A Tutorial on MM Algorithms, The American Statistician, 58: 30-37 The End 39 Thanks very much! Question #1 40 What are the main advantages of parametric methods? – You can easily change the model to adapt to different distribution of data sets. – Knowledge representation is very compact. Once the model selected, the model is represented by a specific number of parameters. The number of parameters does not increase with the increasing of training data . Question #2 What are the EM algorithm initialization methods? – – 41 Random guess. Initialized by k-means. After a few iterations of kmeans, using the parameters to initialize EM. Question #3 What are the differences between EM and Kmeans? – – 42 K-means is a simplified EM. K-means make a hard decision while EM make a soft decision when update the parameters of the model.