2010年十年领悟[见解]和十大突破 http://www.sciencemag.org/site/special/insights2010/ http://www.sciencemag.org/content/330/6011.toc 《科学》 http://www.sciencemag.org/content/330/6011.toc 精确宇宙学 世纪之交-----3朵乌云:3D宇宙 [eprint arXiv:1010.1307] 3D Universe 宇宙学家在做什么? 3件事! 1为什么! 2是什么! 3应该是什么! 我们的宇宙 Hubble参量观测数据与宇宙学模型限制 H(z) the observational Hubble parameter data (OHD) 张同杰 马骢 [2010级硕士] 北京师范大学天文系 Hubble Parameter Cosmology or H(z) Cosmology Lensing cosmology Lee Jounghun, Pen,Ue-Li. ApJ, 686: L1–L4, 2008 SN cosmology; GRB cosmology Simulation, Weak lensing, Wavelet Zhang, Tong-Jie; Yu, Hao-Ran; et al, ApJ, 728, 35 Yu, Hao-Ran; Zhang, Tong-Jie et al arXiv:1012.0444 Hubble parameter H(z) Cosmological application: Joan Simon, Licia Verde, and Raul Jimenez. PRD 71, 123001 (2005) Luminosity distance VS Hubble parameter 1. The integral smears out information about E o S 2. The integral make the luminosity distance have only a weak discriminating power with respect to different possible histories of E o S Limitations using luminosity distance 2001 PRL 86 今天Outline 一. Observational methods for H(z) 二. Power of Observational Hubble parameter data[OHD] -- H(z) 三、Future of OHD 一. Observational methods for H(z) 1. the differential age method: different age of the oldest galaxies in each redshift bin; 2. the radial BAO size method: the baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) along the line-of-sight direction from the spectroscopic galaxy samples; 3. the GW method: compact-binary objectobservation. 1. the differential age method 1. Measure the age difference, Dt, between two passively evolving galaxies that formed at the same time but are separated by a small redshift interval Dz; 2. Infer the derivative dz/dt from the ratio Dz/Dt. At high redshifts, z=1–2, H(z) would constrain the EoS of DE, while at low redshifts, z<0.2, it would determine the Hubble constant, H_0. Galaxies samples: The fair samples of passively evolving galaxies 1.Similar metallicities 2. Low star formation rates (i.e., a red color) So, the average age of their stars would far exceed the age difference between the two galaxy samples. Age-redshift relation of the galaxies ----Edge or Envelope Joan Simon, Licia Verde, and PRD 71, 123001 (2005) Raul Jimenez [upenn]. 9 data point = 8+1 1 data---Sloan Digital Sky Survey(SDSS)[R. Jimenez et al, ApJ.593, 622 (2003)] 8 data----GeminiDeep Survey (GDDS) survey [R. G. Abraham et al., Astron. J. 127, 2455(2004)] and archival data [T. Treuet al, MNRAS. 308, 1037 (1999)] Key advantage Differential ages are less sensitive to systematics errors than absolute ages. Two new H(z) data sets Stern, D., Jimenez, R.et al. 2010, JCAP 02(2010)008 [astroph/0907.3149] Two samples: 1. the SPICES sample. Most of the spectra were taken at the Keck telescope; 2. The VVDS [49] is the VIMOSVLT survey carried out by the VLT/ESO telescope 1+8+2=11 2. the radial BAO size method the baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) along the line-of-sight direction from the spectroscopic galaxy samples Looking back in time; angles imply distance D. J. Eisenstein et al., Astrophys. J. 633, 560 (2005) CREDIT: WMAP & SDSS websites CMB Detection of BAO GALAXIES standard ruler BAO method The comoving sizes of cosmological object [standard ruler] of feature at redshift z in line-of-sight and transver directions observed sizes Two-point correlation function Updated data sets: 13=[1+8+2] 11 [OHD] + 2 [BAO] 1. Ma Cong, Zhang Tong-Jie [arXiv:1007.3787] ApJ, 730:74 (8pp), 2011 2. Zhang, Tong-Jie; Ma, Cong; Lan, Tian Hindawi Publishing Corp. Hindawi Publishing Corporation Advances in Astronomy Volume 2010, Article ID 184284, 14 pages [eprint arXiv:1010.1307] Ze-Long,yi, Tong-Jie Zhang, Modern Physics letters A, 22,41-53(2007) ( arXiv:astro-ph/0605596) (arXiv:astro-ph/0607301) 3. GW method-Standard siren[汽笛] SN or Gamma ray burst [GRB]— electromagnetic wave--standard candle [gamma-ray bursts] Compact-binary object-- continuous GW— determine luminosity distance to the binaries with a high precision standard siren Future space-based gravitational wave detectors Such as DECI-hertz Interferometer Gravitational-wave Observatory (DECIGO) and Big-Bang Observer (BBO) 1. sensitive to GW in 0.1-1Hz band 2. detect GW sources [1]. Cosmological GW background during Inflation [2]. Mergers of an intermediate-mass black hole [3]. A large number of(10^6) neutron star (NS) binaries: cosmological parameters can be accurately measured by DECIGO and BBO with a precision of 1%. The advantage of the standard sirens number 1. the expected of sources (NS binaries) is much larger than that of the type Ia supernovae; 2. the sources are distributed deeply enough at higher redshifts. Atsushi et al arXiv:1011.5000 OHD from GW 二. Power of Observational Hubble paramer data H(z) [eprint arXiv:1007.3787] Two Questions 1. Can future observational determinations of the Hubble parameter be used as a viable alternative to current SN Ia data? 2. If so, how many more data points need? Answer via an exploratory, statistical approach with simulated data (1) simulated H(z) data sets; (2) an “evaluation” model; (3) a well-defined “figure of merit” (FoM). Data set simulation Error simulation Upper line:σ+ = 16.87 z + 10.48, Lower line:σ− = 4.41 z + 7.25 Midline:σ0 = 10.64 z + 8.86 Error: σ (z)-Gaussian N(σ0(z), ε(z)) where ε(z) = (σ+−σ−)/4. Deviation simulation Hsim(z) = Hfid(z) + ΔH with σ(z) ΔH =Hsim(z)−Hfid(z)-Gaussian N(0,σ (z)) 500 realization Each-128 data points Figure of Merit[FoM] and The degeneracy of confidence regions FoM-the area enclosed by the contour of P(Ωm,ΩΛ| {Hi}) = exp(−Δχ2/2)Pmax, Δχ2 =6.17 Conclusions 1. more than 60 future measurements of H(z)[z-0-2]comparable with those obtained: SN Ia ConstitutionT; 2. lower the error of future H(z) measurements to 3% , ∼60 measurements [z=0.1, 1.0] achieve the same result; 3. Our result furthers a conclusion of Lin et al. (2009) and Carvalho et al. (2008), that OHD plays almost the same role as that of SNIa for the joint constraints on theΛCDMmodel. 三、Future of OHD 1. Observational cost: ConstitutionT data[Wei Hao]: a subset of the Constitution compilation, a combination of the groundbased CfA3 SN observations (Hicken et al. 2009b) and Union, a larger compilation of legacy SNe and spacebased observations (Kowalski et al. 2008). The CfA3 sample alone requires 10 nights for each of the 185 SNe observed. OHD: The current OHD from age-dating does not require space-based observations. Stern et al. (2010): 24 galaxy cluster containing target chronometer galaxies were obtained in only two nights using the Keck I telescope. Crawford et al. (2010): the South African Large Telescope is capable of measuring H(z) to 3% at an individual redshift in ∼180 hr. 2. Increase of quality and number Crawford et al. (2010) analyzed the observational requirement of measuring H(z) to 3% at intermediate redshifts with age-dating. The Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS): constrainH(z) with 2% precision at z ≈ 0.3,0.6 by measuring BAO imprints in the galaxy field, and at z ≈ 2.5 using the Lyα absorption spectra of quasars. And it also could extend H(z) measurement into deeper redshift. Future CMB observation programs, such as the Atacama Cosmology Telescope[ACT], may be able to identify more than 2000 passively evolving galaxies up to z ≈ 1.5 via SZ effect, and their spectra can be analyzed to yield age measurements that will yield approximately 1000 H(z) determinations with 15% error (Simon et al. 2005). 总的结论 the OHD set alone is potentially capable of being used in place of current SNIa data sets if it is large enough. Ma, Cong; Zhang, Tong-Jie, ApJ,730,74 (2011). [eprint arXiv:1007.3787] Open questions 1. 利用差分年龄观测,是否一定要用高分辨率光谱?是否可以 改变数据处理方式,通过类似于LAMOST的低分辨率光谱完成? 2. 星族形成、演化的模型对差分年龄有直接影响。 3. 利用差分年龄定H(z), 目前没有很系统的观测specification, 更没有专门化的观测计划。因此Fisher matrix的输入值还有 一些不确定性。 4. 21cm线,尚无高红移的直接观测。从现在到测出21cm背 景的BAO、乃至测出H(z), 还有多少路要走? 5. BAO用于宇宙学模型限制,特别是从BAO得到的H(z),并 没有完全消除对“fiducial model”的依赖性。这一点能否更好 地解决? 我们的关于H(z)的工作[10] (1). Ma, Cong; Zhang, Tong-Jie, ApJ,730,74 (2011). [eprint arXiv:1007.3787] (2). Zhang, Tong-Jie; Ma, Cong; Lan, Tian, Invited paper: Advances in Astronomy, 184284(2010)[eprint arXiv:1010.1307] (3). Zhai, Zhong-Xu; Wan, Hao-Yi; Zhang, Tong-Jie Physics Letters B, Volume 689, Issue 1, p. 8-13(2010) (eprint arXiv:1004.2599) (4). Wan, Hao-Yi; Yi, Ze-Long; Zhang, Tong-Jie; Zhou, Jie Physics Letters B, Volume 651, Issue 5-6, p. 352-356 (08/2007) (arXiv:0706.2737) (5). Yi, Ze-Long; Zhang, Tong-Jie, Modern Physics Letters A, Vol. 22, No. 1 (01/2007) 41-53 (arXiv:astroph/0605596) 谢谢!